Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “operating conditions”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 1,369 records · Page 76

Design for an Integrated Open-Loop System for Carbon Dioxide Removal using Liquid Amine

Manned Space missions require maintaining a safe environment for the crew that can both sustain a breathable atmosphere and remove pollutants. Carbon dioxide, while not toxic in low concentrations, accumulates as crew members work and breath and can eventually affect the crew’s health. Therefore, a constant, passive system to remove the carbon dioxide build up is necessary for long-term missions. Currently, the prevailing liquid sorbent used in submarines and industrial flue gas utilizes the primary amine, monoethanolamine (MEA), to capture, transfer, and remove carbon dioxide from air. Diglycolamine (DGA) is an alternate primary amine that has similar performance and less volatility. It is currently being studied at Ames Research Center (ARC) and is the primary candidate for the operation of the sub-scale liquid amine test stand. The test stand is used to investigate liquid flow and liquid gas interfaces to assist in a system design for microgravity applications. The test stand includes a wedge design utilizes capillary action to hold the liquid while allowing gas-liquid interaction for carbon dioxide transfer. These wedge trays are placed in a contactor unit to remove carbon dioxide from the air stream, a degasser unit to replenish the liquid amine, and a capillary condensing heat exchanger (CCHX) to recapture water lost in the degasser unit. Nominal operating conditions for the contactor are a gas flow rate of 26scfm enriched with pure CO2 to 2600ppm and a liquid mixture of 65/35 vol% DGA/H2O at 0.65mL/min while the degasser was operated at 100°C and 1 atm. This paper discusses the challenges and limitations of a fully integrated system which will influence the design of a new subscale test stand.

Adrian Cortez↗

Overview of Quantum Sensing Materials and Techniques for Energy Sector Applications

The energy sector has become increasingly dependent upon highly sensitive sensing devices for a wide range of applications. Variables such as temperature, pH, electromagnetic fields, ions, and pressure must be measured with high precision, often in harsh conditions (e.g. highly corrosive environments due to high temperature, pressure and humidity). These sensors are deployed in infrastructure such as transformers, pipelines, mines, nuclear power plants, and other areas to ensure safe operating conditions and uninterrupted, optimized service. Moreover, new opportunities for sensors have emerged due to the expansion of smart grids/meters, driverless vehicles, and the discovery of new oil, gas, and critical mineral deposits. The continued maturation of quantum sensing technologies offers exciting opportunities for quantum-enhanced measurements within the energy sector that may provide significant improvements in sensitivity beyond the classical limit. Here, an overview of established and emerging quantum materials for sensing applications will be provided, from trapped ions to color centers in diamond and silicon carbide. Associated quantum sensing methods for these materials will be discussed, with an emphasis on platforms that are nearing commercial viability. Specific application opportunities within the energy sector for quantum sensors will then be analyzed, including oil/gas discovery, greenhouse gas emission monitoring, pH and ion sensing, current measurement in electric vehicle batteries, and quantum-enhanced spectroscopy. Remaining barriers, such as quantum sensor platform miniaturization and ruggedization, will also be analyzed. A specific project at the National Energy Technology Laboratory involving the functionalization of qubits using metal-organic frameworks for enhanced quantum sensing will also be highlighted. Here, nitrogen vacancy centers (NV) in nanodiamonds, a commercially available qubit with long coherence times and utilizable quantum properties at room temperature, are encapsulated in a controlled way using the metal-organic framework ZIF-8. The ZIF-8 provides a well-defined, porous scaffold that can be controlled to promote the selective uptake of specific target analytes, such as gas molecules or ions. The quantum sensing performance of this composite material is either preserved or enhanced following ZIF-8 encapsulation; the optically detected magnetic resonance response of the NV nanodiamonds with and without the ZIF-8 coating are identical, while the ZIF-8 coating increases the longitudinal spin relaxation lifetime (T1) of the NV centers, an important parameter for spin relaxometry-based quantum sensing experiments. Taken together, these results demonstrate the importance of qubit functionalization as a crucial step for rationally designing high performance quantum sensors.

Crawford, Scott↗

Exploring the Effects of Varying Pre-Chamber Geometry in a Heavy-Duty Natural Gas Optical Engine under Dilution Conditions

Pre-chamber combustion is an advanced ignition strategy that has been shown to enhance spark ignition (SI) combustion stability in natural gas (NG) engines by providing distributed ignition sites from turbulent jets and enhancing main-chamber turbulence. Pre-chamber combustion has been proven especially advantageous compared to SI in ultra-lean and dilute operating conditions. This work involves experimental investigation of the effects of varying passive pre-chamber nozzle configuration on pre-chamber and main chamber combustion under simulated exhaust gas recirculation (EGR) dilution (0 and 20%) conditions in a heavy-duty, single-cylinder, optically accessible NG engine at stoichiometric fuel-air ratio. Pre-chamber nozzle configurations include four pre-chambers with constant nozzle area to pre-chamber volume ratio (A/V) with different nozzle sizes and orientations and one configuration with larger nozzles. The optical engine is operated in a skip-fire sequence consisting of 18 motored cycles followed by two consecutive fired cycles to elucidate the effect of combustion residuals (internal EGR) on combustion evolution. Pressure-based diagnostics are used to monitor pre-chamber and subsequent main chamber combustion, and optical diagnostics include high-speed OH* chemiluminescence to visualize the development of pre-chamber jets and the resulting ignition of the main chamber charge. Heat release analysis of the in-cylinder pressure data indicates that a faster pre-chamber pressure rise does not always translate into faster main-chamber combustion. The pre-chamber with the smallest nozzle diameter produced the highest pre-chamber pressure rise and fastest combustion under non-diluted conditions. However, dilution delays the main chamber ignition for smaller nozzles despite a comparable rise in pre-chamber pressure compared to configurations with larger nozzles. This effect is more pronounced for cycles with in-cylinder combustion residuals in addition to external dilution. Additionally, it was observed that pre-chambers with swirling nozzles have a faster pressure rise in the pre-chamber and main chamber under dilute conditions. Optical diagnostics suggest that the main reason for the delay between the pre-chamber pressure rise and main-chamber combustion lies in jet quenching and delayed re-ignition, which can even lead to misfire if jets emitted from small nozzles combined with dilution fail to re-ignite.

Dhotre, Akash [University Of Minnesota-Twin Cities↗

High-Fuel Loading Ignition Delay Time Characterization of Hydrogen/Natural Gas/Ammonia at Gas Turbine-Relevant Conditions Inside a High-Pressure Shock Tube

Abstract This study explores the combustion characterization of high-fuel percentage, air-diluted mixtures of H2 mixed with natural gas (NG) as well as mixtures of H2 and NH3 at temperatures and pressures relevant to turbine operating conditions (20–30 bar, 1000–1500 K). Lower temperatures (below 1070 K) exhibit preignition characteristics due to non-homogeneity. An attempt to mitigate these occurrences at high pressures is investigated using the constrained reaction volume (CRV) stage-filling technique. Due to the need to further refine the facility CRV stage-filling uncertainty, only higher temperature data will be interpreted at this time. The test conditions in this study closely replicate the temperatures, pressures, and mixtures that would be seen in hydrogen-powered gas turbines, making it the first to explore such conditions. The experimental IDTs were compared against the current state-of-the-art chemical kinetic models for mechanism validation. The current work will advance H2-powered turbines and aims to determine the optimum molecular ratio of H2 when mixed with natural gas.

Pierro, Michael↗

Design of a supervisory control system for autonomous operation of advanced reactors

Advanced reactors to be deployed in the coming decades will face deregulated energy markets, and may adopt flexible operation to boost profitability. To aid in the transition from baseload to flexible operation paradigm, autonomous operation is sought. This work focuses on the control aspect of autonomous operation. Specifically, a hierarchical control system is designed to support constraint enforcement during routine operational transients. Within the system, data-driven modeling, physics-based state observation, and classical control algorithms are integrated to provide an adaptable and robust solution. A 320 MW Fluoride-cooled High-temperature Pebble-bed Reactor is the design basis for demonstrating the proposed control system. The hierarchical control system consists of a supervisory layer and low-level layer. The supervisory layer receives requests to change the system's operating conditions (e.g., the current reactor power to meet a load -follow), and accepts or rejects them based on constraints that have been assigned. Constraints are issued to keep the plant within an optimal operating region. The low-level layer interfaces with the actuators of the system to fulfill requested changes, while maintaining tracking and regulation duties. Further, to accept requests at the supervisory layer, the Reference Governor algorithm was adopted. To model the dynamics of the reactor, a system identification algorithm, Dynamic Mode Decomposition, was utilized. To estimate the evolution of process variables that cannot be directly measured (e.g., the propagation of delayed neutron precursors), the Unscented Kalman Filter, incorporating a nonlinear model of nuclear dynamics, was adopted. The composition of these algorithms led to a numerical demonstration of constraint enforcement during a 40% power drop transient (at a rate of 5 %/min). Uncontrolled secondary-side temperatures were successfully constrained. Adaptability of the proposed system was demonstrated by modifying the constraint values, and enforcing them during the transient. Robustness was also demonstrated by enforcing constraints under noisy environments.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Advances and prospects to achieve high-performing and durable proton-exchange-membrane unitized regenerative fuel cells

Proton-exchange-membrane unitized regenerative fuel cell (PEM-URFC) is a promising energy storage and conversion device for large-scale and long-term applications. Previous research has primarily focused on materials development studies, with performance and durability not evaluated at relevant conditions. Such an approach becomes insufficient for making URFC technology commercially competitive. In this review, we highlight recent progress on high-performing PEM-URFCs, focusing on electrode engineering, key components, and operating approaches that take realistic operating conditions into consideration. Key components of a membrane electrode assembly (MEA), including catalyst layer, diffusion media, and membrane, which require different optimization strategies, are discussed in this review.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Computational materials assessment of the D/Li-stripping neutron source as a prototypical facility for fusion materials testing

As the US fusion materials community awaits the selection and design of a fusion prototypical neutron source (FPNS), a risk reduction exercise has been conducted to (i) provide an updated materials performance evaluation using state-of-the-art computational materials modeling, (ii) expand on legacy analysis based on pure Fe to other relevant fusion structural materials types, and (iii) ensure that materials response under FPNS operational conditions is consistent with referential fusion reactor conditions. The current paper describes the efforts undertaken to assemble a comprehensive computational methodology that includes neutronics, primary damage calculations, atomistic simulations of displacement cascades, chemical inventory evolution calculations, and a computational thermodynamic analysis of emerging phases during irradiation. Our work extends existing studies in pure Fe to reduced-activation ferritic/martensitic steels, tungsten, silicon carbide, and vanadium alloys. We focus on the single-beam deuteron/lithium-stripping neutron source behind the IFMIF-DONES concept, which we assess against ITER, two DEMO designs, and an ideal pure 14-MeV flux. Our analysis indicates that, within standard uncertainties inherent to the models employed, the DONES concept adequately captures fusion conditions in the four materials analyzed. Our work is intended as a comprehensive irradiation damage analysis of fusion-representative neutron sources, to be used for further neutron source evaluation and fusion facility operation.

Marian, Jaime [Univ. of California, Los Angeles, C↗

Depth-Dependent Understanding of Cathode Electrolyte Interphase (CEI) on the Layered Li-Ion Cathodes Operated at Extreme High Temperature

The high-temperature operation of Li-ion batteries is highly dependent on the stability of the cathode electrolyte interphase (CEI) formed during lithiation-delithiation reactions. However, knowledge on the nature of the CEI is limited and its stability under extreme temperatures is not well understood. Therefore, herein, we investigate a proof-of-concept study on stabilizing CEI on model LiNi 0.33 Mn 0.33 Co 0.33 O 2 (NMC333) at extreme operation condition of 100 oC using thermally stable pyrrolidinium based ionic liquid electrolyte. The electrochemical lithiation-delithiation reactions at 100 oC and the CEI evolution upon different cycling conditions are investigated. Further, the depth-dependent CEI chemistry was investigated using energy tunable synchrotron-based hard X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (HAXPES). Overall, the results reveal that the high temperature operation accelerated the CEI formation compared to room temperature, and the surface of the interphase layer is rich in boron-based inorganic moieties than the deeper surface. Further, bulk sensitive X-ray absorption spectroscopy (XAS) was used to investigate the transition metal redox contributors during high temperature electrochemical reactions, similar to room temperature, the Ni2+/4+redox couple is the only charge compensating redox couple during high temperature operation. Finally, the physical nature of the conformal CEI on the cathode particles was visualized with high-resolution transmission electron microscopy, which confirms that the significant degradation of cathode particles without conformal CEI is due to the transformation of layer to spinel formation at extreme temperature. In this study, understanding this high temperature interfacial chemistry of NMC cathodes through advanced spectroscopy and microscopy will shed light on transforming ambient temperature Li-ion chemistry to high temperature applications.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

System model development for nuclear thermal propulsion

A critical enabling technology in the evolutionary development of nuclear thermal propulsion (NTP) is the ability to predict the system performance under a variety of operating conditions. This is crucial for mission analysis and for control subsystem testing as well as for the modeling of various failure modes. Performance must be accurately predicted during steady-state and transient operation, including startup, shutdown, and post operation cooling. The development and application of verified and validated system models has the potential to reduce the design, testing, and cost and time required for the technology to reach flight-ready status. Since Oct. 1991, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), Department of Defense (DOD), and NASA have initiated critical technology development efforts for NTP systems to be used on Space Exploration Initiative (SEI) missions to the Moon and Mars. This paper presents the strategy and progress of an interagency NASA/DOE/DOD team for NTP system modeling. It is the intent of the interagency team to develop several levels of computer programs to simulate various NTP systems. The first level will provide rapid, parameterized calculations of overall system performance. Succeeding computer programs will provide analysis of each component in sufficient detail to guide the design teams and experimental efforts. The computer programs will allow simulation of the entire system to allow prediction of the integrated performance. An interagency team was formed for this task to use the best capabilities available and to assure appropriate peer review.

Walton, James T.↗

Altitude-Test-Chamber Investigation of a Solar Afterburner on the 24C Engine I - Operational Characteristics and Altitude Limits

An altitude-test-chamber investigation was conducted to determine the operational characteristics and altitude blow-out limits of a Solar afterburner in a 24C engine. At rated engine speed and maximum permissible turbine-discharge temperature, the altitude limit as determined by combustion blow-out occurred as a band of unstable operation of about 8000 feet altitude in width with maximum altitude limits from 32,000 feet at a Mach number of 0.3 to about 42,000 feet at a Mach number of 1.0. The maximum fuel-air ratio of the afterburner, as limited by maximum permissible turbine-discharge gas temperatures at rated engine speed, varied between 0.0295 and 0.0380 over a range of flight Mach numbers from 0.25 to 1.0 and at altitudes of 20,000 and 30,000 feet. Over this range of operating conditions, the fuel-air ratio at which lean blow-out occurred was from 10 to 19 percent below these maximum fuel-air ratios. Combustion was very smooth and uniform during operation; however, ignition of the burner was very difficult throughout the investigation. A failure of the flame holder after 12 hours and 15 minutes of afterburner operation resulted in termination of the investigation.

Source record↗

Hybrid Gear Performance Under Loss-of-Lubrication Conditions

Hybrid composite gear technology is being investigated to increase power density in rotorcraft drive systems. These gears differ from conventional steel gears in that the structural web material is replaced with a lightweight carbon fiber composite. Past studies have focused on performance of this technology under normal operating conditions, however, for this technology to be viable it must also withstand adverse conditions. The study presented here evaluates the performance of hybrid gears under loss-of-lubrication conditions in NASA Glenn Research Centers Contact Fatigue Test Facility. Two experiments are presented using small-scale 3.5 inch (8.9 cm) pitch diameter hybrid gears and compared to a baseline steel gear pair. Results of these tests show that there are limitations to the use of a hexagonal interlock pattern between the steel and composite. There is also evidence that the presence of polymer in the gear during an oil out event has a potential to increase time to failure. Further studies are planned to expand on these initial findings.

Gearbox↗

Hybrid Gear Performance Under Loss-of-Lubrication Conditions

Hybrid composite gear technology is being investigated to increase power density in rotorcraft drive systems. These gears differ from conventional steel gears in that the structural web material is replaced with a lightweight carbon fiber composite. Past studies have focused on performance of this technology under normal operating conditions, however, for this technology to be viable it must also withstand adverse conditions. The study presented here evaluates the performance of hybrid gears under loss-of-lubrication conditions in NASA Glenn Research Centers Contact Fatigue Test Facility. Two experiments are presented using small-scale 3.5 inch (8.9 cm) pitch diameter hybrid gears and compared to a baseline steel gear pair. Results of these tests show that there are limitations to the use of a hexagonal interlock pattern between the steel and composite. There is also evidence that the presence of polymer in the gear during an oil out event has a potential to increase time to failure. Further studies are planned to expand on these initial findings.

Gearbox↗

Electron Beam Welding of Pure Tungsten Hex Cans for Nuclear Thermal Propulsion Engines

Nuclear thermal propulsion (NTP) is an in-space propulsion method currently being developed at the NASA Marshall Space Flight Center (MSFC). NTP systems are a high specific impulse (750–1,100 s), high thrust (15,000–250,000 lbf ) method of propulsion which have the potential to allow for faster transit times when optimizing for high ΔV. In the nuclear rocket engine, the heat from the nuclear fission reaction is transferred to a low molecular mass propellant (such as hydrogen). Hot propellant is expanded through a nozzle to generate thrust. Development of ceramic metal (cermet) fuel systems for NTP applications is currently ongoing at MSFC. In cermet fuel systems, ceramic fissile fuel particles such as uranium nitride or uranium dioxide are dispersed within a net-shaped, high-density structural matrix. The composite material is cladded by a protective metal structure to make up an NTP fuel element. Cladding materials must be able to withstand the demanding operating conditions required of the engine as well as retain a hermetic seal to allow for retention of fuel element structural integrity, prevent hydrogen attack or migration of the ceramic fuel, and limit release of fission products during operation. For NTP applications, tungsten is a prime material for both the metal matrix and cladding in cermet fuel systems because of its high melting point, high temperature strength, and compatibility with hot hydrogen. If a weld in tungsten with the capability of holding a hermetic seal is achievable, tungsten becomes a strong candidate for NTP applications. This Technical Memorandum focuses on determining the weldability of pure tungsten using electron beam welding (EBW). Tungsten appears well suited for NTP applications, but it has a high ductile to brittle transition temperature (DBTT) dependent upon chemical composition, structure/stress distribution, and mechanical conditions. Therefore, it is highly subject to brittle fracture. Because of its high susceptibility to brittle fracture, it is very difficult to weld. EBW was chosen for joining pure tungsten because of its low heat input compared to gas tungsten arc welding. Reduced heat input can be directly correlated with an increase in ductility of a tungsten weld. EBW is a high energy density welding process in which a stream of electrons penetrates a weld joint in a deep, narrow spike in contrast to a broad gas tungsten arc weld pool. The investigation initially focused on EBW of tungsten plates of both 0.01 in and 0.03 in thickness to determine if EBW could weld pure tungsten without the presence of visual defects—particularly cracking—in the welds. Variation in the weld procedure and post-weld heat treatment (PWHT) was used to improve the surface appearance of flat EBWs on a pure tungsten sheet. The investigation moved on to weld 0.05-in-thick hexagonal tungsten cans with a weld joint thickness of 0.025 in. The goal for welding the pure tungsten hex cans was to avoid any visual surface defects and generate a weld capable of a hermetic seal. This proved difficult. Cold welds commonly exhibited porosity that leaked air. Hot welds exhibited cracks, typically observed immediately after welding. Later welds were preheated to increase ductility and decrease the likelihood of through-thickness cracking. PWHT was used to arrest microcrack growth both in the flat weld samples and hexagonal weld samples.

Courtright, Z. S.↗

Limiter-aware adaptive excitation control for hydropower generators with legacy voltage regulation systems

Hydropower units often rely on legacy excitation systems with fixed automatic voltage regulator (AVR) settings, but parameter drift, changing operating conditions, and evolving grid-service demands can degrade terminal-voltage regulation over time. This problem should be addressed because poor voltage regulation affects reactive-power support, system stability, and reliable plant operation, and replacing installed AVR and limiter logic is costly and disruptive in practice. To address this issue, this paper proposes a retrofit-friendly enhancement for hydropower generator excitation systems that combines adaptive tuning of the AVR middle lead–lag branch with a small proportional-integral correction for removing steady bias and slow drift. The adaptive laws are normalized, projection-bounded, and equipped with leakage, while adaptation is enabled only in the middle branch. Thus, the intent of the underexcitation and overexcitation limiters, as well as legacy current and rate limits, remains unchanged. Stability is analyzed under incremental performance assumptions, yielding boundedness and asymptotic tracking in the absence of saturation. The method is evaluated using real operational data from a utility-scale hydropower unit at Rocky Reach Dam, Unit C-8. Compared with the fixed AVR baseline, the proposed method reduces terminal-voltage mean squared error by about 70%, removes long periods of steady-state bias, and improves transient tracking while coexisting with limiter actions. These results show that substantial voltage-control improvement can be achieved on existing hydropower units with minimal integration effort and without replacing the installed AVR structure.

ESST5B model↗

Hanford Waste Treatment Plant Low Activity Waste Facility Stack Effluent Monitoring: Sampling Probe Location Qualification Evaluation (Rev.1)

The Hanford Tank Waste Treatment and Immobilization Plant Low Activity Waste (LAW) facility stack monitor locations were qualified using scale model stacks to mitigate the risk of discovering that sampling locations do not meet the qualification criteria on the full-scale stacks. As required by the American National Standards Institute/Health Physics Society (ANSI/HPS) N13.1-1999 standard, the scale model and its sampling location were geometrically similar to the actual stack and the Reynolds numbers for both the actual and model stacks were >10,000. An additional criterion is that the product of the hydraulic diameter and mean velocity (DV) of the full-scale stack must be between 1/6 DV and 6 DV of the scale model stack tests. Verification tests of the LAW stacks were performed at normal operating conditions. The minimum 1/6 DV value, along with the maximum 6 DV value from the scale model testing, determines the range of stack flow rates for which the full-scale stack may be operated and remain in compliance with the stack verification criterion. For this analysis, the range of qualified flow rates listed is conservatively based on the average DV through 6 DV for LV-S1, LV-S2, and LV-C2, and 1/3 DV to 3 DV for LV-S3. Table S1 lists the operating flow rates along with the conservative lower and upper qualified stack flow rates for each of the LAW facility stacks. For each stack, the operating flow is below the upper qualified stack.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Sodium-sulfur Cell Technology Flight Experiment (SSCT)

The sodium-sulfur battery is emerging as a prime high-temperature energy storage technology for space flight applications. A Na-S cell demonstration is planned for a 1995-96 NASA Space Shuttle flight which focuses on the microgravity effects on individual cells. The experiment is not optimized for battery performance as such. Rather, it maximizes the variety of operating conditions which the Na-S cell is capable of in a relatively short 5-day flight. The demonstration is designed to reveal the effects of microgravity by comparison with ground test control cells experiencing identical test conditions but with gravity. Specifically, limitations of transport dynamics and associated cell performance characteristics should be revealed. The Na-S Cell Technology Flight Experiment consists of three separate experiments designed to determine cell operating characteristics, detailed electrode kinetics and reactant distributions.

Halbach, Carl R.↗

A laboratory model of a hydrogen/oxygen engine for combustion and nozzle studies

A small laboratory diagnostic thruster was developed in order to evaluate approaches for the use of temperature and pressure sensors for the investigation of low thrust rocket flowfields. Tests were performed at chamber pressures of about 255 kPa, 370 kPa, and 500 kPa with oxidizer/fuel mixture ratios between 4.0 and 8.0. Two gaseous hydrogen/gaseous oxygen injector designs were tested with 60 and 75 fuel film cooling. The results of hot-wire tests showed the thruster and instrumentation designs to be effective. Azimuthal temperature distributions were found to be a function of operating conditions and hardware configuration. Results indicated that small differences in injector design can result in dramatically different thruster performance and wall temperature behavior. However, the importance of these injector effects may be decreased by operating at a high fuel film cooling rate.

Morren, Sybil H.↗

Probabilistic Physics-Based Risk Tools Used to Analyze the International Space Station Electrical Power System Output

This paper describes the methods employed to apply probabilistic modeling techniques to the International Space Station (ISS) power system. These techniques were used to quantify the probabilistic variation in the power output, also called the response variable, due to variations (uncertainties) associated with knowledge of the influencing factors called the random variables. These uncertainties can be due to unknown environmental conditions, variation in the performance of electrical power system components or sensor tolerances. Uncertainties in these variables, cause corresponding variations in the power output, but the magnitude of that effect varies with the ISS operating conditions, e.g. whether or not the solar panels are actively tracking the sun. Therefore, it is important to quantify the influence of these uncertainties on the power output for optimizing the power available for experiments.

Patel, Bhogila M.↗