Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “model testing”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 1,369 records · Page 76

A Siamese CNN + KNN-Based Classification Framework for Non-intrusive Load Monitoring

Through the development of smart grids, programs such as demand side response, have been presented as auxiliary services to the real-time operation of distributed networks. In order to provide consumers information on their energy consumption, so that a modulation in consumption is possible, non-intrusive load monitoring has been introduced as an solution to this pattern recognition problem. Non-intrusive load monitoring enables the modeling of electrical loads connected to the low-voltage system, considering only a single measurement point. Presented state-of-the-art solutions though, consider availability of data as well as representation of all possible classes of the environment. This is of course a most conservative hypothesis, since in real-life applications availability of such data is much difficult, as well as the dynamic behavior of models is implicitly evolving in time. Here, a framework that uses neural Siamese networks with k-nearest neighbor clustering is presented toward non-intrusive load monitoring. Online learning feature is implemented, which relaxes the hypothesis of data requirements as well addresses the evolving nature of load profile. k-nearest clustering allows nonlinear characteristic space modelling. Test results using synthetics and real-life data show that the solution, besides obtaining a good generalizability in the classification, also obtained results with an accuracy of 95.77%.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Interannual variability of spring and summer monsoon growing season carbon exchange at a semiarid savanna over nearly two decades

Eddy covariance measurements of land-atmosphere energy, carbon, and water exchange now span multiple decades at some sites, supporting an improved understanding of flux interannual variability (IAV) and its ecophysiological and physical controls. Most eddy covariance IAV studies have focused on temperate forest ecosystems, where carbon fluxes are large and flux records are longest – but also where IAV is much lower than in dryland regions, which have been identified as an essential driver of the trend and variability in the global terrestrial carbon sink. In this study, we leveraged 19 years of continuous micrometeorological measurements at the AmeriFlux US-SRM mesquite savanna site in southern Arizona, USA to quantify the IAV, trends, and drivers of carbon fluxes during the distinct spring and summer growing seasons. We also assessed the ability of modern satellite and land surface models to capture the IAV of seasonal water and carbon fluxes. Annual net ecosystem production (NEP) was small and highly variable (23 +/- 64 gC m –2 yr –1 ). Precipitation and associated measures of water availability determined most of the variability in NEP, largely through their influence on annual and seasonal gross ecosystem productivity (GEP) as opposed to ecosystem respiration (ER). Root-zone soil moisture captured between 73% (spring) and 85% (summer) of GEP variability and between 73% (spring) and 58% (summer) of ER variability. Throughout the study period, soil moisture and greenness increased with associated increases in GEP, ER and NEP. These trends were strongly influenced by very productive and wet summer growing seasons during the last two years, which were characterized by abundant understory grass cover. Typically, less than half of the variability in growing season GEP and evapotranspiration was captured by satellite-based estimates and land surface model simulations with local site forcing and calibration, highlighting the ongoing utility of long-term datasets to support careful model testing and improvement.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The structure, composition, and performance impact of a YSZ-GDC interdiffusion layer in solid oxide electrolysis cells

This study provides a combined experimental and computational investigation into the structure and impact of the cation interdiffusion layer that appears at the gadolinium doped ceria (GDC)/yttria stabilized zirconia (YSZ) interface in solid oxide electrolysis cells (SOECs). Scanning transmission electron microscopy (STEM) illustrates that a ∼0.4 μm interdiffusion layer (IDL) with an intermixed cation distribution and fine grain size forms upon sintering. STEM identifies that the interdiffusion layer exists in the cubic fluorite structure despite changes in cation composition. The interdiffusion layer microstructure formed during sintering does not change during SOEC testing at either 1.3V or heightened voltage pulse testing. Modeling predicts that ionic conductivity may decrease in the interdiffusion layer due to Coulombic trapping between mobile oxygen vacancies and excess Gd 3+ acceptor dopants. Yet, the density and continuous nature of the layer should benefit cell stability by substantially reducing the formation of SrZrO 3 , which is corroborated by STEM and Synchrotron X-ray diffraction (XRD). We conclude that the interdiffusion layer acts as a beneficial barrier to Sr diffusion, when operating in a regime where electrolyte void formation is not observed.

organic↗

Exploring sodium dynamics in the dilute oxygen regime of mixed oxy-sulfide NaPSiSO glasses

All-solid-state‑sodium batteries have great potential to lower the cost of grid-scale energy storage systems. However, they require a low cost, high conductivity solid electrolyte to become a reality. The electrochemical properties of mixed oxy-sulfide glasses NaPSiSO exceed those of either the pure sulfide or the pure oxide glass alone. In this work, we have tested models of sodium ion dynamics in the NaPSiSO series: zNa 2 S+(1-z)[(1-y)[(1-x)SiS 2 + xPS 5/2 ] + yNaPO 3 ] where 0.57 ≤ z ≤ 0.588, 0 ≤ x ≤ 0.35, and 0.15 ≤ y ≤ 0.35 using 23 Na nuclear magnetic resonance to directly probe the local fields and their fluctuations at the nuclear sites. We determined the distribution of activation energies in these materials arising from distributions of local environments and provided quantitative information about the connectivity of the ionic pathways through which the sodium ions move. We found that the sodium ion conduction dynamics were described as an ionic percolation through a Gaussian distribution of energy barriers and that the composition dependence of the ionic conductivity in the dilute oxygen regime is well-described by the Nernst-Einstein relation modified for percolation.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Data initiatives for ocean-driven melt of Antarctic ice shelves

Ocean-driven melt of Antarctic ice shelves is an important control on mass loss from the ice sheet, but is complex to study due to significant variability in melt rates both spatially and temporally. Here we assess the strengths and weakness of satellite and field-based observations as tools for testing models of ice-shelf melt. We discuss how the complementary use of field, satellite and model data can be a powerful but underutilised tool for studying melt processes. Finally, we identify some community initiatives working to collate and publish coordinated melt rate datasets, which can be used in future for validating satellite-derived maps of melt and evaluating processes in numerical simulations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

ARC disruption physics and strategy

Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS) plans to operate a tokamak power plant called ARC in the early 2030s. Tokamak plasmas have stability limits that, if crossed, lead to a rapid termination of the plasma, referred to as a disruption. Disruptions pose a melt risk to the first wall resulting from thermal and non-thermal particle heat fluxes, and an electromagnetic loading risk on all metal components within the equilibrium coils. A comprehensive set of models is used herein to provide an assessment of both mitigated and unmitigated ARC disruption loads. A preliminary massive gas injection system is baselined and a runaway electron mitigation coil option is proposed to close possible gaps in the baseline. It is predicted that all ARC disruption loads are within a factor of 2 of the disruption loads in SPARC, a tokamak presently under construction by CFS, and therefore SPARC provides an opportunity to calibrate models, test solutions and inform the design of ARC. The goal for ARC is disruption-free operation, however, the pragmatic design target is to withstand one mitigated disruption per day, and to restart the plasma following mitigation in tens of seconds without interrupting the power output. Unmitigated disruptions must be rare, and experience with unmitigated disruption impacts in SPARC will better define what rare means. The implications of this strategy for plasma disruptivity and disruption prediction are discussed, and operating the ARC scenario on SPARC is expected to refine the ARC final design and operational plan.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Atmospheric 81 Kr as an Integrator of Cosmic-Ray Flux on the Hundred-Thousand-Year Time Scale

The atmospheric abundance of 81 Kr is a global integrator of cosmic rays. It is insensitive to climate shifts, geographical variations, and short-term solar cycle activity, making it an ideal standard to test models of cosmic-ray flux on the time scale of 10 5 years. In this work, we present the first calculation of absolute 81 Kr production rates in the atmosphere, and a measurement of the atmospheric 81 Kr/Kr abundance via the Atom Trap Trace Analysis method. The measurement result significantly deviates from previously reported values. The agreement between measurement and model prediction supports the current understanding of the production mechanisms. Additionally, the calculated 81 Kr atmospheric inventory over the past 1.5 Myr provides a more accurate input function for radiokrypton dating.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Real-Time Fault Tracking and Ground Motion Prediction for Large Earthquakes With HR-GNSS and Deep Learning

Earthquake early warning (EEW) systems aim to forecast the shaking intensity rapidly after an earthquake occurs and send warnings to affected areas before the onset of strong shaking. The system relies on rapid and accurate estimation of earthquake source parameters. However, it is known that source estimation for large ruptures in real-time is challenging, and it often leads to magnitude underestimation. In a previous study, we showed that machine learning, HR-GNSS, and realistic rupture synthetics can be used to reliably predict earthquake magnitude. This model, called Machine-Learning Assessed Rapid Geodetic Earthquake model (M-LARGE), can rapidly forecast large earthquake magnitudes with an accuracy of 99%. Here, we expand M-LARGE to predict centroid location and fault size, enabling the construction of the fault rupture extent for forecasting shaking intensity using existing ground motion models. We test our model in the Chilean Subduction Zone with thousands of simulated and five real large earthquakes. The result achieves an average warning time of 40.5 s for shaking intensity MMI4+, surpassing the 34 s obtained by a similar GNSS EEW model. Our approach addresses a critical gap in existing EEW systems for large earthquakes by demonstrating real-time fault tracking feasibility without saturation issues. This capability leads to timely and accurate ground motion forecasts and can support other methods, enhancing the overall effectiveness of EEW systems. Additionally, the ability to predict source parameters for real Chilean earthquakes implies that synthetic data, governed by our understanding of earthquake scaling, is consistent with the actual rupture processes.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

BEYONDPLANCK IV. On end-to-end simulations in CMB analysis — Bayesian versus frequentist statistics

End-to-end simulations play a key role in the analysis of any high-sensitivity cosmic microwave background (CMB) experiment, providing high-fidelity systematic error propagation capabilities that are unmatched by any other means. In this paper, we address an important issue regarding such simulations, namely, how to define the inputs in terms of sky model and instrument parameters. These may either be taken as a constrained realization derived from the data or as a random realization independent from the data. We refer to these as posterior and prior simulations, respectively. We show that the two options lead to significantly different correlation structures, as prior simulations (contrary to posterior simulations) effectively include cosmic variance, but they exclude realization-specific correlations from non-linear degeneracies. Consequently, they quantify fundamentally different types of uncertainties. We argue that as a result, they also have different and complementary scientific uses, even if this dichotomy is not absolute. In particular, posterior simulations are in general more convenient for parameter estimation studies, while prior simulations are generally more convenient for model testing. Before BEYONDPLANCK, most pipelines used a mix of constrained and random inputs and applied the same hybrid simulations for all applications, even though the statistical justification for this is not always evident. BEYONDPLANCK represents the first end-to-end CMB simulation framework that is able to generate both types of simulations and these new capabilities have brought this topic to the forefront. The BEYONDPLANCK posterior simulations and their uses are described extensively in a suite of companion papers. In this work, we consider one important applications of the corresponding prior simulations, namely, code validation. Specifically, we generated a set of one-year LFI 30 GHz prior simulations with known inputs and we used these to validate the core low-level BEYONDPLANCK algorithms dealing with gain estimation, correlated noise estimation, and mapmaking.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

The colliding planar shocks platform to study warm dense matter at the National Ignition Facility

We have developed an experimental platform at the National Ignition Facility that employs colliding planar shocks to produce warm dense matter with uniform conditions and enable high-precision equation of state measurements. The platform uses simultaneous x-ray Thomson scattering and x-ray radiography to measure the density, electron temperature, and ionization state in warm dense matter. The experimental platform is designed to create a large volume of uniform plasma (approximately 700×700×150μm 3 ) at pressures approaching 100 Mbar and minimize the distribution of plasma conditions in the x-ray scattering volume, significantly improving the precision of the measurements. Here, in this study, we present the experimental design of the platform and compare hydrodynamic simulations to x-ray radiography data from initial experiments studying hydrocarbons, producing uniform densities within ±25% of the average probed condition. We show that the platform creates a homogeneous plasma that can be characterized using x-ray Thomson scattering. Thus, the new platform enables accurate measurements of plasma conditions necessary to test models for the equation of state and ionization potential depression in the warm dense matter regime.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Search for a diffuse flux of photons with energies above tens of PeV at the Pierre Auger Observatory

Diffuse photons of energy above 0.1 PeV, produced through the interactions between cosmic rays and either interstellar matter or background radiation fields, are powerful tracers of the distribution of cosmic rays in the Galaxy. Furthermore, the measurement of a diffuse photon flux would be an important probe to test models of super-heavy dark matter decaying into gamma-rays. In this work, we search for a diffuse photon flux in the energy range between 50 PeV and 200 PeV using data from the Pierre Auger Observatory. For the first time, we combine the air-shower measurements from a 2 km 2 surface array consisting of 19 water-Cherenkov surface detectors, spaced at 433 m, with the muon measurements from an array of buried scintillators placed in the same area. Using 15 months of data, collected while the array was still under construction, we derive upper limits to the integral photon flux ranging from 13.3 to 13.8 km -2 sr -1 yr -1 above tens of PeV. We extend the Pierre Auger Observatory photon search program towards lower energies, covering more than three decades of cosmic-ray energy. This work lays the foundation for future diffuse photon searches: with the data from the next 10 years of operation of the Observatory, this limit is expected to improve by a factor of ∼20.

cosmic rays detectors↗

Structural maturation of myofilaments in engineered 3D cardiac microtissues characterized using small angle x-ray scattering

Abstract Understanding the structural and functional development of human-induced pluripotent stem-cell-derived cardiomyocytes (hiPSC-CMs) is essential to engineering cardiac tissue that enables pharmaceutical testing, modeling diseases, and designing therapies. Here we use a method not commonly applied to biological materials, small angle x-ray scattering, to characterize the structural development of hiPSC-CMs within three-dimensional engineered tissues during their preliminary stages of maturation. An x-ray scattering experimental method enables the reliable characterization of the cardiomyocyte myofilament spacing with maturation time. The myofilament lattice spacing monotonically decreases as the tissue matures from its initial post-seeding state over the span of 10 days. Visualization of the spacing at a grid of positions in the tissue provides an approach to characterizing the maturation and organization of cardiomyocyte myofilaments and has the potential to help elucidate mechanisms of pathophysiology, and disease progression, thereby stimulating new biological hypotheses in stem cell engineering.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A new mechanism for filament disconnection at the X-point: poloidal shear in radial E × B velocity

Plasma filaments generated by turbulence in the scrape-off layer are sometimes observed in experiments and simulations to disconnect from the target plate in the vicinity of the X-point, resulting in a ‘quiescent zone’ with reduced fluctuations, possibly affecting the fluctuating part of the divertor heat loads. This phenomena is usually explained by the flux tubes squeezing, induced by flux expansion, down to scales where collisions dominate. In this work, we consider an additional mechanism spontaneously arising at the X-point: the poloidal shear in radial E × B velocity. Through a simple model, tested against 3D global turbulence simulations, herein we quantify the effectiveness of this disconnection mechanism and identify ways to control it.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Noise effects on Padé approximants and conformal maps

Here, we analyze the properties of Padé and conformal map approximants for functions with branch points, in the situation where the expansion coefficients are only known with finite precision or are subject to noise. We prove that there is a universal scaling relation between the strength of the noise and the expansion order at which Padé or the conformal map breaks down. We illustrate this behavior with some physically relevant model test functions and with two non-trivial physical examples where the relevant Riemann surface has complicated structure.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

TESS cycle 1 observations of roAp stars with 2-min cadence data

ABSTRACT We present the results of a systematic search for new rapidly oscillating Ap (roAp) stars using the 2-min cadence data collected by the Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS) during its Cycle 1 observations. We identify 12 new roAp stars. Amongst these stars we discover the roAp star with the longest pulsation period, another with the shortest rotation period, and six with multiperiodic variability. In addition to these new roAp stars, we present an analysis of 44 known roAp stars observed by TESS during Cycle 1, providing the first high-precision and homogeneous sample of a significant fraction of the known roAp stars. The TESS observations have shown that almost 60 per cent (33) of our sample of stars are multiperiodic, providing excellent cases to test models of roAp pulsations, and from which the most rewarding asteroseismic results can be gleaned. We report four cases of the occurrence of rotationally split frequency multiplets that imply different mode geometries for the same degree modes in the same star. This provides a conundrum in applying the oblique pulsator model to the roAp stars. Finally, we report the discovery of non-linear mode interactions in α Cir (TIC 402546736, HD 128898) around the harmonic of the principal mode – this is only the second case of such a phenomenon.

Holdsworth, D. L.↗

Measuring M31 globular cluster ages and metallicities using both photometry and spectroscopy

ABSTRACT The ages and metallicities of globular clusters play an important role not just in testing models for their formation and evolution but also in understanding the assembly history of their host galaxies. Here, we use a combination of imaging and spectroscopy to measure the ages and metallicities of globular clusters in M31, the closest massive galaxy to our own. We use the strength of the near-infrared calcium triplet spectral feature to provide a relatively age-insensitive prior on the metallicity when fitting stellar population models to the observed photometry. While the age–extinction degeneracy is an issue for globular clusters projected on to the disc of M31, we find generally old ages for globular clusters in the halo of M31 and in its satellite galaxy NGC 205 in line with previous studies. We measure ages for a number of outer halo globular clusters for the first time, finding that globular clusters associated with halo substructure extend to younger ages and higher metallicities than those associated with the smooth halo. This is in line with the expectation that the smooth halo was accreted earlier than the substructured halo.

Usher, Christopher (ORCID:0000000273837106)↗

Measurement of single- and double-differential cross sections for mesonless charged-current muon neutrino interactions on argon with final-state protons using the MicroBooNE detector

Charged-current neutrino interactions with final states containing zero mesons and at least one proton are of high interest for current and future accelerator-based neutrino oscillation experiments. Using the Booster Neutrino Beam and the MicroBooNE detector at Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory, we have obtained the first double-differential cross-section measurements of this channel for muon neutrino scattering on an argon target with a leading proton momentum threshold of 0.25 GeV/𝑐. We also report a flux-averaged total cross section of 𝜎 = (11.8±1.2) × 10 −38 cm 2 /Ar and several single-differential measurements which extend and improve upon previous results. Statistical and systematic uncertainties are quantified with a full treatment of correlations across 359 kinematic bins, including correlations between distributions describing different observables. The resulting dataset provides the most detailed information obtained to date for testing models of mesonless neutrino-argon scattering.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

In 2 O 3 -Ga 2 O 3 Alloys as Potential Buffer Layers in CdTe Thin-Film Solar Cells

The efficiency of state-of-the-art Cd Te solar cells remains limited by the relatively low open-circuit voltage (V OC ). Improving the front interface is key towards realizing a higher V OC after achieving the necessary bulk carrier density and lifetime. Recent efforts in identifying buffer layers beyond Cd S have focused on Mg x Zn 1-x O, which offers tunability of the band offsets, but often suffers from high interfacial defect densities. Ga 2 O 3 -based buffer layers demonstrate tremendous improvements in interfacial defect passivation in crystalline silicon and dye-sensitized solar cells, leading to record high V OC , yet remain largely unexplored in Cd Te-based devices. Here, we perform hybrid density-functional-theory calculations to investigate pure Ga 2 O 3 and InGaO 3 alloys as a window layer in Cd Te photovoltaics. We report calculated band offsets for several pairs of solid-solid interfaces comprising transparent conducting oxide (TCO) and Cd Te heterojunctions. The results support a large conduction band offset spike of 0.67 eV for the Cd Te/Ga 2 O 3 (100) interface, while the offset is reduced to 0.18 eV for the InGaO 3 alloy and matches closely with the preferred optimum value of 0.2 eV. Device-level modeling tests of Cd Te solar cells integrating our results indicate that the highest efficiency is achieved with InGaO 3 acting both as a buffer layer and TCO. Finally, our results suggest that alloys of In 2 O 3 and Ga 2 O 3 may be attractive alternatives to Mg x Zn 1-x O for tailoring optimal conduction-band offsets of the buffer and TCO layers in high-efficiency Cd Te thin-film solar cells.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗