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At least 1,369 records · Page 76

A simplified parameterization of isoprene-epoxydiol-derived secondary organic aerosol (IEPOX-SOA) for global chemistry and climate models: a case study with GEOS-Chem v11-02-rc

Secondary organic aerosol derived from isoprene epoxydiols (IEPOX-SOA) is thought to contribute the dominant fraction of total isoprene SOA, but the current volatility-based lumped SOA parameterizations are not appropriate to represent the reactive uptake of IEPOX onto acidified aerosols. A full explicit modeling of this chemistry is however computationally expensive owing to the many species and reactions tracked, which makes it difficult to include it in chemistry–climate models for long-term studies. Here we present three simplified parameterizations (version 1.0) for IEPOX-SOA simulation, based on an approximate analytical/fitting solution of the IEPOX-SOA yield and formation timescale. The yield and timescale can then be directly calculated using the global model fields of oxidants, NO, aerosol pH and other key properties, and dry deposition rates. The advantage of the proposed parameterizations is that they do not require the simulation of the intermediates while retaining the key physicochemical dependencies. We have implemented the new parameterizations into the GEOS-Chem v11-02-rc chemical transport model, which has two empirical treatments for isoprene SOA (the volatility-basis-set, VBS, approach and a fixed 3% yield parameterization), and compared all of them to the case with detailed fully explicit chemistry. The best parameterization (PAR3) captures the global tropospheric burden of IEPOX-SOA and its spatiotemporal distribution ( R 2 =0.94 ) vs. those simulated by the full chemistry, while being more computationally efficient ( ~5 times faster), and accurately captures the response to changes in NO x and SO 2 emissions. On the other hand, the constant 3 % yield that is now the default in GEOS-Chem deviates strongly ( R 2 =0.66 ), as does the VBS ( R 2 =0.47 , 49% underestimation), with neither parameterization capturing the response to emission changes. With the advent of new mass spectrometry instrumentation, many detailed SOA mechanisms are being developed, which will challenge global and especially climate models with their computational cost. The methods developed in this study can be applied to other SOA pathways, which can allow including accurate SOA simulations in climate and global modeling studies in the future.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

A parallel workflow implementation for PEST version 13.6 in high-performance computing for WRF-Hydro version 5.0: a case study over the midwestern United States

The Weather Research and Forecasting Hydrological (WRF-Hydro) system is a state-of-the-art numerical model that models the entire hydrological cycle based on physical principles. As with other hydrological models, WRF-Hydro parameterizes many physical processes. Hence, WRF-Hydro needs to be calibrated to optimize its output with respect to observations for the application region. When applied to a relatively large domain, both WRF-Hydro simulations and calibrations require intensive computing resources and are best performed on multimode, multicore high-performance computing (HPC) systems. Typically, each physics-based model requires a calibration process that works specifically with that model and is not transferrable to a different process or model. The parameter estimation tool (PEST) is a flexible and generic calibration tool that can be used in principle to calibrate any of these models. In its existing configuration, however, PEST is not designed to work on the current generation of massively parallel HPC clusters. To address this issue, we ported the parallel PEST to HPCs and adapted it to work with WRF-Hydro. The porting involved writing scripts to modify the workflow for different workload managers and job schedulers, as well as to connect the parallel PEST to WRF-Hydro. To test the operational feasibility and the computational benefits of this first-of-its-kind HPC-enabled parallel PEST, we developed a case study using a flood in the midwestern United States in 2013. Results on a problem involving the calibration of 22 parameters show that on the same computing resources used for parallel WRF-Hydro, the HPC-enabled parallel PEST can speed up the calibration process by a factor of up to 15 compared with commonly used PEST in sequential mode. The speedup factor is expected to be greater with a larger calibration problem (e.g., more parameters to be calibrated or a larger size of study area).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Control and Cost-benefit Analysis of Fast Spreading Diseases: The case of Ebola

Mitigating the spread of infectious disease is of great importance for policy makers. Taking the recent outbreak of Ebola as an example, it was difficult for policy makers to identify the best course of action based on the cost-effectiveness of what was available. In effort to address the needs of policy makers to mitigate the spread of infectious disease before an outbreak becomes uncontrollable, we have devised a cost-benefit disease control model to simulate the effect of various control methods on disease incidence and the cost associated with each of the scenarios. Here, we present a case study of Ebola used to quantify the cost effectiveness of vaccination and isolation methods to minimize the spread of the disease. We evaluate the impact of changing strategy levels on the incidence of the disease and address the benefits of choosing one strategy over the other with regards to cost of vaccine and isolation. Disease. We use a general SEIRJ model for disease transmission. Here, S-Susceptible, E- Exposed (latent), IA– Infected (asymptomatic),IM– Infected (mild symptoms), IS– Infected (severe symptoms),JM– Isolated (mild symptoms at home), JS– Isolated (severe symptoms in hospital), and R- Recovered individuals. In this model, we consider the dynamics of the system and the effect of the relative transmissibility of isolated individuals (L) compared to other infected individuals. Cost. Ebola vaccination and treatment are very expensive and not widely available. Some preliminary data shows that it will take$73 million (M) to produce 27 M vaccines plus the cost for vaccine delivery and health care professionals (not included here). On the other hand, the treatment for Ebola in the U.S. would cost $25,000dollars a day per person to ensure proper isolation and adequate care(treatment, health care professionals, facilities and special equipment).Although not included in this research, the proper isolation of Ebola patients would also lead to a loss in hospital revenue of $148,000per day due to reduced patient capacity3. Here, we use $27,000 per individual hospitalized per day and $2.70 per person vaccinated. Model. To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of control methods on disease transmission, we assessed the affect of different levels of vaccination coverage on the resulting number of infected individuals. Then, we calculated the overall estimated cost of vaccination and resulting hospitalization for each scenario to identify the lowest cost-benefit ratio. Using a base population of 10 M individuals, we ran scenarios for different levels of vaccination (μ= 0.01, 0.05, 0.1) while varying the relative transmissibility of isolated individuals (L = 0.5, 0.6, 0.65).For each combination, we calculated the incidence, vaccination and hospitalization cost per individual per day (Fig 1). We note that an increase in the relative transmissibility of isolated individuals leads to a higher number of infected people and, therefore, a reduced number of candidates for vaccination and an overall increase in cost. Since the cost of vaccination is 1 ten-thousandth of the cost of hospitalization, our results clearly show the cost-benefit of vaccinating over hospital treatment. In every scenario studied, we observed a measurable reduction in disease incidence when vaccinating a higher fraction of the population compared to isolating individuals post infection. Given these preliminary results, we plan to extend the framework of our model to a dynamic control system where we consider the cost of vaccination and isolation embedded in the system of differential equations. This approach will allow us see the best available control implementation while minimizing the cost of treatment and vaccination.

EBOLA↗

Extending Shared Socioeconomic Pathways to Future Water Supply In-frastructure Scenarios: A Case Study of San Antonio, TX

Datasets supporting findings and visualization behind Okoye and McManamay (2025) Extending Shared Socioeconomic Pathways to Future Water Supply Infrastructure Scenarios: A Case Study of San Antonio, TX. Environmental Research Communications, DOI: 10.57931/2563186 These datasets contains the results of a site selection analysis for municipal water supply planning across multiple Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs 1–5) and hard scenario classification of water systems in San Antonio, TX. It includes data at the resolution of individual surface water supply sources (COMIDs) and integrates a wide range of hydrologic, socioeconomic, infrastructural, and scenario-based planning variables. Please refer to the README file provided in Files for more details. Descriptions of the datasets are provided below. Dataset(s) Descriptions: Dataset_SSP1_SSP4.xlsx - Contains data used for site selection optimization under SSP1 to SSP4. This dataset was generated based on multi-indicator computations (e.g., WAI, WQI, ERI, WTC, WIC), scenario demand projections, and resource and spatial constraints, excluding new reservoir values. Dataset_SSP5.xlsx - Used for site optimization under SSP5. Unlike Dataset_SSP1_SSP4, this dataset includes new reservoir features with updated calculations of WAI, WTC, and WIC to reflect the added infrastructure and supply potential. hard_classification.xlsx - Provides the scenario classification output for each site. Includes both the initial scenario classification based on Euclidean Distance and adjusted classifications based on 30% change reduction BAU.zip - Zipped folder of .shp files showing spatially optimized water supply sites per SSP under the Business-As-Usual (BAU) water demand strategy LowGW.zip - Zipped folder of .shp files showing optimized site selections under the Low Groundwater strategy

geospatial↗

Women in Nuclear Power Programs: Case Studies from Africa

This paper first analyzes existing international, regional, and national efforts on gender equality in nuclear security and illustrates how these efforts can be integrated into a country’s preparations for a nuclear power program. The paper will hone into case studies from Eastern Africa, analyzing current programs and plans in two nuclear newcomer countries in the region: Kenya and Uganda. Finally, the ultimate purpose of the paper will be to present recommendations, suggestions, and potential solutions to address gender equality in nuclear security throughout the three milestones and to build equality in human resource development to achieve a robust nuclear security infrastructure for a nuclear power program.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

Chart case opens to form briefing easel

Aluminum carrying case protects charts during transit and opens to form a rigid easel for their presentation. Looseleaf clamps hold the charts in place for both carrying and displaying them.

Nelson, R. A.↗