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The primary topics of this presentation describe the testing of network based telemetry and RF modulation techniques. The overall intend is to aid the aerospace industry in transitioning to a network based telemetry system.
Estimating tropical cyclone intensity by just using satellite image is a challenging problem. With successful application of the Dvorak technique for more than 30 years along with some modifications and improvements, it is still used worldwide for tropical cyclone intensity estimation. A number of semi-automated techniques have been derived using the original Dvorak technique. However, these techniques suffer from subjective bias as evident from the most recent estimations on October 10, 2017 at 1500 UTC for Tropical Storm Ophelia: The Dvorak intensity estimates ranged from T2.3/33 kt (Tropical Cyclone Number 2.3/33 knots) from UW-CIMSS (University of Wisconsin-Madison - Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies) to T3.0/45 kt from TAFB (the National Hurricane Center's Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch) to T4.0/65 kt from SAB (NOAA/NESDIS Satellite Analysis Branch). In this particular case, two human experts at TAFB and SAB differed by 20 knots in their Dvorak analyses, and the automated version at the University of Wisconsin was 12 knots lower than either of them. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) estimates about 10-20 percent uncertainty in its post analysis when only satellite based estimates are available. The success of the Dvorak technique proves that spatial patterns in infrared (IR) imagery strongly relate to tropical cyclone intensity. This study aims to utilize deep learning, the current state of the art in pattern recognition and image recognition, to address the need for an automated and objective tropical cyclone intensity estimation. Deep learning is a multi-layer neural network consisting of several layers of simple computational units. It learns discriminative features without relying on a human expert to identify which features are important. Our study mainly focuses on convolutional neural network (CNN), a deep learning algorithm, to develop an objective tropical cyclone intensity estimation. CNN is a supervised learning algorithm requiring a large number of training data. Since the archives of intensity data and tropical cyclone centric satellite images is openly available for use, the training data is easily created by combining the two. Results, case studies, prototypes, and advantages of this approach will be discussed.
We present a neural network algorithm for spectroscopic retrievals of concentrations of trace gases. Using synthetic data we demonstrate that a neural network is well suited for filtering etalon fringes and provides superior performance to conventional least squares minimization techniques. This novel method can improve the accuracy of atmospheric retrievals and minimize biases.
As human exploration once again targets the surface of the Moon, questions continue to emerge regarding the necessity of Earth-based tracking systems, such as the Deep Space Network, for spacecraft navigation in support of lunar descent and landing. This paper will derive an extensive Deep Space Network sensor model for use in linear covariance analysis and demonstrate the resulting trajectory dispersions and navigation performance in comparison with alternate solutions, such as terrain relative navigation. An in-depth trade study with considerations for various trajectory profiles, time allocated to ground tracking, number of active ground stations, and interaction with other sensors will be conducted to shed significant insight into sensor suite requirements to ensure safe and precise landing on the Moon.
An artificial convolutional neural network was created to efficiently mimic a micromechanics model, the High Fidelity Generalized Method of Cells, for use in multi-scale structural finite element analysis. The network was found to quickly and accurately replicate the stiffness predicted by the micromechanics model using a 2D image of an idealized representative volume element of a fiber/matrix microstructure. The long-term goal of this work is to efficiently apply multi-scale methods for predicting the damage progression of a composite structure.
This paper proposes extending NASA's Deep Space Network into a 6-station International Network. Discusses the design rationale with these characteristics: Avoids loss of communications due to natural hazards; earthquakes, etc.; provides latitude diversity to cover significant mission events wherever they occur; provides additional stations to cover events in high southern latitudes.
This paper describes tha Demand Access Network Scheduler (DANS) system for automatically scheduling and rescheduling resources for a network of communication antennas. DANS accepts a baseline schedule and supports rescheduling of antenna and subsystem resources to satisfy tracking goals in the event of changing track requests, equipment outages, and inclement weather.
The concept of an all-fiber, IC-based sensor network is presented. Fundamental issues including topology tradeoffs, power budget, and power distribution subsystem are analyzed. Some potential applications of such sensor networks are discussed.
This paper presents an analytical method for determining the exact distance a load is required to be offset from a passive two-port network to obtain maximum or miunimum return losses from the terminated two-port network.
This paper presents a case study of the knowledge engineering process employed to support the Link Monitor & Control Operator Assistant (LMCOA). The LMCOA is a prototype system which automates equipment used to support space-ground communication with deep space spacecraft in NASA's Deep Space Network (DSN). The primary knowledge base in the LMCOA is the Temporal Dependency Network (TDN). The paper provides a brief background on the DSN, and describes the evolution of the TDN and supporting knowledge bases, the process used for knowledge engineering, and an analysis of the successes--and problems--of the knowledge engineering effort.
With increase in urbanization and Earth Sciences research into urban areas, the need to quickly and accurately segment urban rooftop maps has never been greater. Cur-rent machine learning techniques struggle to produce high accuracy maps in dense urban zones where there is high image noise and foot print overlap. In this paper, we evaluate a training methodology for pixel-wise segmentation for high resolution satellite imagery using progressive growing of generative adversarial networks as a solution. We apply our model to segmenting building rooftops and compare these results to conventional methods for rooftop segmentation. We evaluate our approach using the SpaceNet version 2 and xView datasets. Our experiments show that for SpaceNet, progressive Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) training achieved a test accuracy of 93% compared to 89% for traditional GAN training and 87% for U-Net architecture, while for xView, we achieved 71% accuracy using progressive GAN training compared to 69% through traditional GAN training and 65% using U-Net.
Higher dimensional flamelet manifolds are essential in capturing the coupled effects of pressure gradients and unsteady chemical kinetics observed in supersonic combustion applications. Previous studies have validated the feasibility of using deep neural networks as an alternative to computation-ally intensive multidimensional flamelet table storage and lookup. This approach has demonstrated a significant reduction in memory footprint and enabled the use of larger dimensional tabulated manifolds for supersonic combustion in canonical problems. In this study, the Unsteady Flamelet Progress Variable (UFPV)-ANN model implemented in the VULCAN-CFD code is validated by the Burrows-Kurkov supersonic mixing/combustion configuration. The well characterized experimental problem consists of hydrogen injection into a supersonic vitiated crossflow that results in a lifted flame structure. The initial model consists of a 4-dimensional table where the independent variables Z, C, Xst, P are tabulated using an unsteady flamelet code with boundary conditions corresponding to the vitiated air conditions. The results show the development of a lifted flame structure and over-all acceptable agreement with finite-rate chemistry (FRC) simulation and the experimental data. Moreover, direct mapping between the independent variables and the flamelet table is replaced by a deep neural network for significant memory reduction. The results indicate that the UFPV-ANN approach can retrieve the same solution as the memory intensive lookup table approach.
Geostationary satellite imagers, such as those of the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) series, have been observing severe convection at 15–60-minute intervals for over 40 years. When properly assessed, such a data record can be valuable in efforts of estimating severe storm risk throughout the diurnal cycle based on automated detection of patterns consistently found atop severe storms. Furthermore, environmental conditions favorable for severe weather are well-known and are thought to be represented well by modern reanalysis products. Promoting resilience against such hazards on local and global scales is a chief goal the NASA Disasters program, which seeks to encourage use of satellite observations to mitigate risk. For instance, hail is the costliest severe weather hazard across the globe in terms of insured loss, but reporting inconsistencies for hail events globally make it difficult to develop models that can quantify the risk. Satellite observation and model reanalysis taken together have the potential to, with reasonable skill and specificity, characterize environmental conditions that are favorable for hazardous weather, and thereby enable creation of hazard climatologie. Such climatologies are particularly useful over regions without extensive radar networks or storm reporting. By mapping the multivariate combination of observed cloud features and reanalysis environmental parameters/indices to United States Next Generation Weather Radar (NEXRAD) radar-estimated Maximum Expected Size of Hail (MESH) by way of a deep neural network (DNN), estimates of likelihood for potentially severe hail can be produced. Such estimates are of greater complexity and efficiency than could be performed with previous multivariate or logistic regression analyses for observed points within convective systems. Statistical distributions of convective parameters from satellite and reanalysis are shown to highlight non-severe/severe class separation for well-known hailstorm predictors, e.g., overshooting cloud top characteristics, deep-layer wind shear, mid-level stability, helicity, and convective inhibition. These complex, multivariate predictor relationships are exploited within a DNN, which can efficiently produce a quantitative hail risk metric with better than 70% detection rate and under 30% false alarms. These hail classifications can then be aggregated across the satellite record to yield a hazard climatology for hail frequency and severity – knowledge of which is of particular interest to those who manage risk (e.g., insurers) and are seeking opportunities to identify hail-prone regions, particularly in developing nations. This NASA study uses satellite observations and model parameters in a DNN to perform climatological hailstorm analysis in support of catastrophe model development, with the hope of promoting risk resilience particularly in regions without adequate weather radar coverage.
In this paper we propose a new approach for nonlinear regression and uncertainty quantification. The method is based on a pair of neural networks which parameterize mean and dense covariance functions of a multivariate Gaussian process, trained together to maximize the log-likelihood of observing the given data. The covariance matrix is made positive definite at every input by construction. We also propose a sampling approach that produces viable surrogate function realizations from the Gaussian process. We call the proposed model a Structured Covariance Gaussian Network (SCGN). We illustrate the use of SCGNs for learning an aerodynamic response surface with built-in uncertainty for the Orion crew module. We find that SCGN provides an efficient and systematic way to learn nonlinear functional relationships and dense covariances. We compare results to a baseline Gaussian process regressor and observe that the SCGN provides comparable uncertainty descriptions with improved scalability to dataset size. The sample functions generated by SCGN are fast to evaluate online and are therefore convenient for use in trajectory simulations. These results suggest that SCGN may be a viable computational method for aerodynamic uncertainty quantification.
Large and growing data resources on the spatial and temporal diversity and distribution of the more than 400 carbon-bearing mineral species reveal patterns of mineral evolution and ecology. Recent advances in analytical and visualization techniques leverage these data and are propelling mineralogy from a largely descriptive field into one of prediction within complex, integrated, multidimensional systems. These discoveries include: (1) systematic changes in the character of carbon minerals and their networks of coexisting species through deep time; (2) improved statistical predictions of the number and types of carbon minerals that occur on Earth but are yet to be discovered and described; and (3) a range of proposed and ongoing studies related to the quantification of network structures and trends, relation of mineral “natural kinds” to their genetic environments, prediction of the location of mineral species across the globe, examination of the tectonic drivers of mineralization through deep time, quantification of preservational and sampling bias in the mineralogical record, and characterization of feedback relationships between minerals and geochemical environments with microbial populations. These aspects of Earth’s carbon mineralogy underscore the complex coevolution of the geosphere and biosphere and highlight the possibility for scientific discovery in Earth and planetary systems.
In this paper we propose a new approach for nonlinear regression and uncertainty quantification. The method is based on a pair of neural networks which parameterize mean and dense covariance functions of a multivariate Gaussian process, trained together to maximize the log-likelihood of observing the given data. The covariance matrix is made positive definite at every input by construction. We also propose a sampling approach that produces viable surrogate function realizations from the Gaussian process. We call the proposed model a Structured Covariance Gaussian Network (SCGN). We illustrate the use of SCGNs for learning an aerodynamic response surface with built-in uncertainty for the Orion crew module. We find that SCGN provides an efficient and systematic way to learn nonlinear functional relationships and dense covariances. We compare results to a baseline Gaussian process regressor and observe that the SCGN provides comparable uncertainty descriptions with improved scalability to dataset size. The sample functions generated by SCGN are fast to evaluate online and are therefore convenient for use in trajectory simulations. These results suggest that SCGN may be a viable computational method for aerodynamic uncertainty quantification.
Precision synchronization is vital for robust long-distance quantum networking over fiber and free-space channels for which high-fidelity entanglement swapping between separate sources via an optical Bell state measurement requires temporal overlap of photonic qubits arriving from either source. This challenge is particularly distinct in satellite-based entanglement distribution in which relative motion, channel effects, and propagation delay must be addressed. This work presents a precision synchronization method for free space entanglement distribution, and reports on risk reduction testing in a quantum networking testbed at MIT Lincoln Laboratory. Primary consideration is for a dual-uplink architecture in which photons from entanglement sources at two ground locations interact in an optical Bell-state measurement implemented on a satellite in a low-earth orbit. The control approach uses independent entanglement sources at each ground location supplemented with a synchronization signal for feedback control from a timing discriminant measured at the spacecraft. The approach is being implemented in a laboratory testbed using 1-GHz repetition rate 1550-nm band entanglement sources generating ~10-MHz source entanglement rates with few-ps photon pulse lengths. The paper describes both fundamental architectural considerations and practical implementation details.
The use of a recently developed machine learning (ML) interatomic potential for molecular dynamics simulations of aluminum melt properties will be presented. Such properties are critical for process modeling in additive manufacturing, including the melt pool size, solidification, and formation of solidification microstructures. Direct first-principles modeling of these processes is computationally prohibitive whereas simulations employing ML potentials combine the high accuracy of quantum-mechanical methods with high computational speeds. The physically-informed neural network (PINN) method used herein, integrates a high-dimensional regression implemented by an artificial neural network with a physics-based bond-order interatomic potential. PINN potentials can accurately reproduce many properties of aluminum in both crystalline-solid and liquid phases. We examine the accuracy of a PINN Al potential in predicting the density, self-diffusivity, viscosity, and the tension of the liquid surface and liquid-solid interfaces. Comparison with experimental data and ab initio molecular dynamics calculations shows very good agreement for all properties tested.