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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Low-Cost, Durable and Retrofittable Methane Oxidation Catalysts (Abstract)

There is significant concern over the contributions of GHG emissions to global warming which has sparked intense focus on reducing GHG emissions in industrial processes. In response, this project aims to develop and demonstrate a methane oxidation catalyst that can be deployed on NG engines used in US O&G industry and will serve to significantly reduce the carbon footprint associated with those midstream operations. The catalyst will achieve 90% oxidation efficiency while operating at 450°C or less and at 50% less Pd versus existing catalyst technology. This technology would enable the realization of nearly 30% reduced GHG emissions from NG engines (versus diesel) that methane slip from these engines otherwise negates.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

Solute effects upon dislocation motion and recovery in Mg alloys (Final Report)

The objective the research was to develop a firmer understanding of the interactions between substitutional solute atoms and dislocations within Mg alloys. These interactions govern the absolute and relative mobilities of various types of dislocations in Mg (e.g., basal < a>, non-basal < a>, and pyramidal < c+a>). Furthermore, they have an impact on dislocation recovery processes (e.g., cross-glide, climb, rearrangement, and annihilation). Ultimately, solute-dislocation interactions strongly impact a) strain hardening, b) strain rate sensitivity, c) plastic anisotropy of textured polycrystals, d) texture evolution, e) dislocation substructures evolution, and even f) recrystallization behavior. It is broadly known that Mg alloys exhibit poor low temperature formability. Since formability is largely governed by properties (a) – (c) in this list, it is critical to develop a better understanding of solute-dislocation interactions, if one hopes to improve the situation. While the theory of static solute strengthening is well developed, especially for alloys with face centered cubic (FCC) crystal structures, there are outstanding questions related to applications to hexagonal close packed (HCP) crystal structures and dynamic strain aging (DSA) in materials of various structures. DSA has far-reaching implications for metal formability and, in the case of Mg alloys, appears to correlate with the so-called rare-earth (RE) texture which has been shown to benefit formability. The Portevin-Le Chatelier (PLC) effect, and associated negative strain rate sensitivity, occur at higher temperatures (>100℃) in Mg alloys as compared with similar Al alloys, even though they have similar melting points and solute diffusivities. Our preliminary research has shown that modern, physics-based models of DSA can be tuned to describe the behavior of Mg alloys if a rather higher activation enthalpy is assumed for cross-core diffusivity. While this partially explains the delay in DSA to higher temperatures, it is also hypothesized that this delay is due in part to the intrinsically more thermally activated (rate sensitive) nature of non-basal < a> dislocation motion which is required for macroscopic flow of Mg alloys, whereas octahedral slip in many FCC metals like aluminum is essentially athermal at room temperature. It was originally proposed to employ a combination of in-situ diffraction-based experimental characterization to validate existing theory. It was envisioned to perform in-situ transmission electron microscopy (TEM) to assess individual dislocation behavior and in-situ high-energy X-ray diffraction (HEXRD) techniques which were showing great promise for elucidating collective dislocation behavior, 2 including recovery, especially if the contributions to various forms of diffraction peak broadening (𝜂𝜂,𝜔𝜔,and 2𝜃𝜃) can be effectively integrated. Finally, it was envisioned to perform discrete dislocation dynamics (DDD) modeling approaches to aide in the interpretation of both TEM and HEXRD experiments. In the end, mechanical tests were performed on more complex Mg alloys which exhibited evidence of dynamic strain aging, and this led to the establishment of another project. Mechanical test data obtained at McMaster University served as the basis of an assessment of the applicability of Bazinski’s “stress equivalence” theory of solute strengthening to polycrystalline alloys of Mg. Although we did not succeed in applying the approach to Mg alloys, we did develop expertise with the HEXRD approach using a BCC, β-Ti alloy and demonstrated numerous new capabilities that may be applied to any polycrystalline material in collaboration with researchers at CHESS and around the world: (1) assessment of details of the elastoplastic transition (yielding) using a combination of HEXRD and full-field polycrystal plasticity modeling, (2) the first-ever experimental observation of strong stress rotation within the individual grains of a polycrystalline material, and (3) a comprehensive analysis of the grain-level dislocation density evolution based upon diffraction peak broadening along 𝜂𝜂,𝜔𝜔,and 2𝜃𝜃 directions. This final aspect allowed us to confirm that dislocations were gliding on multiple plane types and not restricted to {110} type planes, and it also provided clues as to why some grains were unloading during straining, with surprising implications for our understanding of the effects of geometrically necessary dislocations (GNDs). Finally, graduate student, Mohammed Shabana, developed a MATLAB code which confirmed the conclusions of Prof. Catalin Picu (Rensallear Polytechnic Institute, RPI) regarding the effect of solute-trapped, forest dislocations on the breaking stress of Lomer lock junctions in FCC metal alloys. He applied the same anisotropic line-tension model to a variety of dislocation junction configurations and found an inconsistency in the widely cited results of Dupuy and Fivel regarding the Hirth Lock, and he outlined an approach to extend these finding to HCP Mg alloys that we are still pursuing with discretionary fundings at UVA.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Toward Global Regional Seismic Moment Tensor Inversion with Three-Dimensional Earth Models for Nuclear Explosion Monitoring with Sparse Networks: Demonstration of Reciprocity for Strain Greens Tensor Database Simulation with Salvus

Seismic source characterization is an essential function of global nuclear explosion monitoring (NEM). While large events (roughly with moment magnitude, M w , greater than 5.0) can often be easily detected, located and identified with high signal-to-noise ratios at teleseismic distances (> 20°), trends in NEM research require confident source characterization at much lower magnitudes (say down to 3.0) and exploitation of sparse observations (from only a few stations) at regional distance (< 20°). Regional distance waveform inversion to characterize sources is now widely used and effective (e.g. Ford et al., 2009; Alvizuri and Tape, 2018; Alvizuri et al., 2018; Chiang et al., 2018; Ford et al., 2022). These methods obtain the magnitude, depth and seismic moment tensor, which represents the forces that excited the observed seismic waves (slip on an earthquake fault, explosion, collapse or a combination of various forces). Common to many problems in seismology, the isolation of the source 2 properties requires removal of path propagation effects that waves experience while traveling through the three-dimensional (3D) Earth (the structure exists due to different rock types, material properties, temperature and tectonic processes).

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Implement and Test 3D Mortar Contact in BISON

We leverage the extension of the generation of mortar segment meshes to three dimensions in MOOSE’s framework to extend thermomechanical modeling capabilities to problems with three dimensions. A modular approach to gap heat transfer physics using the mortar finite element method was created and documented, mechanical contact was extended to three dimensions—including frictional behavior, performance and ease of use were improved, and steps towards scalability of solid mechanics problems involving contact were taken. Many of these new developments are demonstrated in the simulation of 3D light-water reactor (LWR) problems, where the thermomechanical interface problem is solved using the mortar finite element method. Usage of the mortar framework has improved convergence in 2D problems and has enabled employing friction in 3D problems, of which we show results of a short, local stack of 3D pellets. Consequently, the benefits of mortar in terms of solution convergence and quality are extended to three dimensions. Section 2 discusses fundamental developments that enabled the simulation of practical mortar problems in three dimensions and other general improvements, including the reduction of the derivative container size, the modification of dual basis computations when edge dropping (lack of secondary element projection) takes place, the improvement of conditioning when employing the VCP in-edge dropping conditions, and code usability and quality improvements. These latter code enhancements include the migration of tests using “old” mortar contact constraints to using dual mortar with a semi-smooth Newton solution strategy and the reuse of lower dimensional domains for straightforwardly setting up a mortar thermomechanical LWR problem, i.e. the MOOSE action is employed for mechanical contact and the thermal LWR action is employed to capture the gas conductance, contact, and radiation components of gap heat transfer physics. Independently of the mortar LWR thermal action, we developed a modular approach to gap heat transfer that resides in MOOSE and can be leveraged, e.g., in metallic fuel problems. This approach, whose code design based on MOOSE’s user objects to model specific physics was proposed by the maintenance activity, is detailed in Section 3. Based on the dual mortar finite element method, the frictional contact constraints were extended to three dimensions. A block sheared in two directions in and out of contact with a rigid plane is employed in Section 4 to show the way the approach handles changes in frictional states (e.g. stick to slip) within a competitive number of Newton iterations. Equations and numerical results on the use of the VCP with Cartesian Lagrange multipliers, whose combination enables their direct condensation, are described in Section 5.3. Two-dimensional and three-dimensional BISON LWR simulations are discussed in Section 6. Particularly, a stack of five eccentric pellets with a surface defect is simulated and the effect of pellet-cladding friction is assessed. Finally, conclusions are outlined in Section 7.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Water-Resistant Container Testing: A426-1000 Container Design

The purpose of this report is to detail the results of water ingress testing conducted on the A426-1000 container design and discuss these results against the water-resistant container requirements of TA55-AP- 522 and PA-RD-01009. The A426-1000 is a proposed commercially off the shelf inner container option for material storage inside of a glovebox and/or as an approved non-hermetically sealed inner of an approved packaging configuration inside of an approved outer container as listed in PA-RD-01022. The A426-1000 is shaped like a slip lid container, made of 316L stainless steel, and utilizes a smooth, threaded lid with a silicone O-ring for closure and containment. This container both lid and body is machined out of one billet piece of 316L stainless steel with no welds. See Figure 1 and Table 1 for a summary of the container specifications. For more details on the container design, see Section 1.4.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Water-Resistant Container Testing: 48 oz Bruntmor Container Design

The purpose of this report is to detail the results of water ingress testing conducted on the 48 oz Bruntmor container design and discuss these results against the water-resistant container requirements of TA55-AP 522 and PA-RD-01009. The 48 oz Bruntmor is a proposed commercially off the shelf inner container option for material storage inside of a glovebox and/or as an approved non-hermetically sealed inner of an approved packaging configuration inside of an approved outer container as listed in PA-RD-01022. The 48 oz Bruntmor is shaped like a slip lid container, made of 18-8 stainless steel, and utilizes a smooth, threaded lid with a silicone gasket for closure and containment. This container both lid and body is hot rolled out of 18-8 stainless steel with one seam weld on the body.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Machine Learning and Data Science to Advance Laboratory Earthquake Prediction and Illuminate the Mechanics of Precursors to Failure

Earthquakes represent one of our greatest natural hazards and in recent years human induced seismicity is adding to the threat. Even a modest improvement in the ability to forecast devastating large earthquakes or smaller shallow events associated with fluid injection could save thousands of lives and billions of dollars. Current efforts to forecast earthquakes are limited by knowledge of earthquake physics and hampered by a lack of reliable lab or field observations. However, recent work has provided a critical opportunity for advancement. We have found: 1) clear and consistent precursors prior to earthquake-like failure in the laboratory and 2) that lab earthquakes can be predicted using machine learning (ML). These works show that stick-slip failure events –the lab equivalent of earthquakes– are preceded by a cascade of micro-failure events that radiate elastic energy in a manner that foretells catastrophic failure. Remarkably, ML predicts the fault zone stress state, the failure time and in some cases the magnitude of lab earthquakes. In addition, the observations include clear precursors to failure in the form of changes in fault zone properties prior to lab earthquakes. Precursors have been observed in previous laboratory studies but their origin is poorly understood and their possible connection to ML based earthquake prediction is unknown. The work conducted under our project has dramatically expanded these efforts. We have developed an integrated data science approach to illuminate the physics of earthquake precursors and lab earthquake prediction. Our work has accelerated the development of ML, artificial intelligence (AI), and related data science approaches by providing massive data sets that are tightly connected to critical scientific problems and by bringing together leading subject matter experts and data scientists. Earthquake physics involves phenomena that are far from equilibrium. Our work has leveraged data science methods to illuminate these phenomena and investigate how they relate to earthquake prediction. In addition to a large database with many types of labeled events that is available to everyone, our work has advanced the fundamental understanding of seismic forecasting, earthquake physics, and fault rheology

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Full Cycle Simulations of The Fermilab Booster

The Proton Improvement Plan phase II (PIP-II) project currently under construction at FNAL will replace the existing 400 MeV normal conducting linac with a new 800 MeV superconducting linac. The beam power in the downstream rapid-cycling Booster synchrotron will be doubled by raising the machine cycle frequency from 15 to 20 Hz and by increasing the injected beam intensity by a factor 1.5. This has to be accomplished without raising uncontrolled losses beyond the administrative limit of 500 W. In addition, slip-stacking efficiency in the Recycler, the next machine in the accelerator chain, sets an upper limit on the longitudinal emittance of the beam delivered by the Booster. As part of an effort to better understand potential losses and emittance blow-up in the Booster, we have been conducting full cycle 6D simulations using the code PyORBIT. The simulations include space charge, wall impedance effects and transition crossing. In this paper, we discuss our experience with the code and present representative results for possible operational scenarios.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Triaxial Shear Tests on Simulated Sierra White Fault Gouge & Borehole Simulation in Sierra White Gouge

Laboratory shear tests were conducted on pulverized Sierra White granite (SWG) to investigate slip mechanisms in naturally occurring faults. Synthetic fault geometries were constructed by sandwiching fine grained SWG powder in between steel forcing blocks. For dry experiments, ~3.5 g of SWG powder was poured onto the face of the lower steel forcing block and leveled. For saturated experiments, enough fluid was added to the ~3.5 g of Sierra White granite powder to form a slurry. This slurry was applied to the lower forcing block and leveled. Inclined forcing blocks with 25.4 mm diameter and 35° faces, which were machined from ground steel rods with fine teeth on the faces, help to hold the gouge in place and prevent delamination at the interface. The top forcing block had a 2.03 mm centered hole to allow pore fluid access to the gouge. A fine steel mesh prevented back flow of the gouge into pore fluid lines. Samples were isolated from the confining medium using three layers of heat shrink polyolefin, as shown in Figure 1. The outer layer was shrunk over the o-rings on the end caps to form an impermeable seal, which was reinforced with steel tie wires on both sides of the o-rings. Hardened steel spacers and copper shim stock was placed between the steel forcing blocks and the end caps to preserve the parallelism of the Hastelloy wetted parts. For dry samples, the end caps were plugged, while the end caps for the saturated samples were connected to pore lines.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Corrosion Analysis of 121103072 (SAVY-4000)

A surveillance feedlist for fiscal year (FY) 2022 was developed with the intent to target containers with contents known to generate corrosive gasses. One SAVY-4000 (hereafter “SAVY”) container with a serial number 121103072 was selected due to the reasonable wattage and known molten salt extraction (MSE) material corrosive behavior. The material was measured at 3.08 W with approximately 200 g of material placed inside of the SAVY for 6.07 years. The inner packaging configuration included a ¼ Qt stainless steel slip top inner container and a sPVC bag-out bag enclosing the inner container. Visual observations of the container during retrieval revealed several concerning features on the exterior of the container, notably on the lid. Fig. 1 shows the container lid along with an inset image further magnifying the features of interest. The corroded tamper indicating device (TID) wire and the corroded radioactive material tag wire indicated that corrosive gas species for steel were produced during storage. Although the TID wire and rad tag wire are not the same composition as the SAVY body and lid, these are often used as an indicator of potential corrosion inside of the SAVY container. The oxide residing inside of the filter holes and significant buildup around one hole provided further evidence supporting the presence of corrosive species inside of the container.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Ash Fouling Free Regenerative Air Preheater for Deep Cyclic Operation

The University of Kentucky (UKy) project titled “Ash Fouling Free Regenerative Air Preheater for Deep Cyclic Operation”, DE-FE0031757, was conducted from 8/15/2019 to 8/14/2024 in two Budget Periods. Other participants included PPL Corporation and Black Dragon Double Boiler. The overall goal was to investigate the proposed self-cleaning technology to achieve ash fouling free air preheater operation in a coal-fired power plant, especially during deep cycling. All project deliverables, milestones, and success criteria were met. UKy obtained the following scientific findings. • Temporary and periodic high temperature of heating elements (450 ~ 500 °F) can prevent ash accumulation and maintain air preheater free of clogging. • The ash samples analysis and unit operation provide solid evidence of ABS formed during low load with SCR ammonia slip being the major cause of ash accumulation, and air preheater clogging can be prevented by raising the heating element temperature up to 450 °F~ 500 °F at which ABS is decomposed. • In-situ self-cleaning can be controlled by monitoring temperature and/or presetting fixed number of cleanings per day. Both approaches in pilot testing show positive results for maintaining an ash free state for the air preheater. • Temperature criteria (cold end or gas outlet temperature) for entering self-cleaning service is critical to balance the number of cleaning cycles with maintaining the ash level. • Temperature criteria (cold end or gas outlet temperature) for exiting self-cleaning service is critical to balance the duration of the cleaning cycles with maintaining the ash level.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2024

Journey to Time-Variable Moment Tensors through Inversion of Acoustic and Seismoacoustic Data

We explore the capability of acoustic and seismoacoustic datasets to directly resolve a complex, time-variable source consisting of a buried mechanism, represented as a moment tensor, and a spall mechanism, represented as a vertical force at the surface. Traditionally, each component of a resolved moment tensor assumes one underlying source time function, which likely fails to capture the full evolution of a dynamic source, such as an explosion followed by slip on near-source joints or development of spallation. Specifically, we expand previous work to resolve a time-variable moment tensor using single-modality and joint-modality inversion frameworks through analysis of infrasound and seismoacoustic data recorded as part of the Source Physics Experiment Phase II: Dry Alluvium Geology (DAG). We investigate the impact of including signals from seismic-to-air coupling that are local to each infrasound sensor in comparison to mainly atmosphere-propagating acoustic signals, which occur from coupling of the wavefield from the subsurface to the atmosphere directly above the source. Additionally, we assess the ability of our inversion algorithm to fit observed infrasound data using a variety of time-variable source mechanisms. First, we consider the buried moment tensor source alone, which assumes that the determined Green’s functions incorporate effects from spallation or that the impact from spallation is minimal. Second, we examine the estimated buried moment tensor and vertical surface spallation as terms that must both be resolved in the inversion. Third, we assess the ability for an estimated vertical surface spallation source to fit the acoustic data on its own. Finally, we compare results from the joint inversion of both seismic geophone and infrasound acoustic data for the buried-only source compared to buried and spallation sources. Our results are a preliminary investigation into the applications of the inversion technique to recorded datasets and show the technique has limited capabilities using acoustic data alone. Instead, this method shows promise for seismic and seismoacoustic datasets to resolve the time-variable mechanisms of a buried source.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2024

DECOVALEX-2023: Task G, SAFENET Final Report

DECOVALEX Task G deals with fracture mechanics at several scales using a combined approach of experimental work, related model development, benchmarking and experimental analysis. Fig. 0.1 provides a graphical abstract for Task G. The experimental basis for the related mechanical (M), hydro-mechanical (HM), and thermo-mechanical (TM) processes comes from the rock mechanics laboratories of Universities of Freiberg (TUBAF) and Edinburgh, as well as the Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building Technology (KICT). The experimental work in the rock laboratories is closely linked to the underground research laboratories (URLs) Reiche Zeche (Germany), KURT (Korea), and Mont Terri (Switzerland). The scientific key questions are related to fracture permeability evolution under THM conditions, anisotropy effects on fracturing processes, and thermal fracture slip, which are being addressed in specific steps of the task. A large variety of numerical methods have been developed and applied for experimental analysis, ranging from continuum to discontinuum approaches. A detailed comparison of mechanical and hydro-mechanical processes is given in the section 3 via the benchmarking exercises. As a result of DECOVALEX-2023 Task G we further improved our understanding and predictability of fracturing processes under THM conditions. This was based on robust numerical simulation methods and in-depth experimental analysis.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2025

Fundamental Study of Fatigue Crack Initiation at Grain and Twin Boundaries in Austentic Stainless Steel (Final Technical Report)

The overarching goal of this project was to understand the dislocation-based mechanisms driving fatigue crack initiation at grain and twin boundaries. The hypothesis of the work is that dislocation structures equivalent to persistent slip bands (PSBs) form in the boundaries, leading to local stress concentrations and fatigue crack initiation. The sub-goals associated with this work include: • Understanding the evolution of the dynamic stress state and dislocation density surrounding PSB/grain boundary interactions. This will require the development of new techniques that couple high resolution electron backscatter diffraction (HREBSD) with in situ scanning electron microscopy (SEM) deformation. • Uncover the mechanisms by which dislocations are accommodated in grain and twin boundaries during fatigue. The proposed approach here is to conduct in situ transmission electron microscopy (TEM) deformation experiments on fatigued samples. • Establish correlations between microstructure, deformation accommodation, and crack initiation across time and length scales. This work primarily focuses on understanding fatigue crack initiation in austenitic stainless steels, though promising work by an undergraduate researcher extended the work to high purity Al.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Prediction and Analysis of Utah FORGE Injection Activities using a Coupled Thermo-hydro-mechanical and Earthquake (THM+E) Modeling Workflow

A coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical (THM) numerical workflow that is capable of modeling seismic slip is critical for the successful development of enhanced geothermal systems (EGS). By integrating key physical processes, this workflow enables accurate simulation of temperature and pressure diffusions, stress changes, and induced seismicity. As a result, it serves as a vital tool for predicting induced seismicity and optimizing reservoir stimulation strategies. The Utah FORGE (Frontier Observatory for Research in Geothermal Energy) project, located near Milford, Utah, is a U.S. Department of Energy initiative aimed at advancing EGS technology. In April 2024, eight new stimulation stages (Stages 3R-10) were conducted in well 16A (injection well) subsequent to the first series of stimulation (Stages 1-3) performed in April, 2022. To monitor the induced seismicity, geophones were deployed in wells 58-32, 56-32, and 78B-32, while fiber optic cables were also installed in wells 16B, 78-32, and 78B-32 to collect microseismic data and detect frac hits Preliminary analyses of microseismic catalogs and fiber optic data suggest that the stimulated fractures in Stages 3R–6 closely align with that generated during Stage 3, indicating that the new stimulations were likely reactivating the previously stimulated fracture. To better understand the underlying process, a comprehensive modeling approach that can accurately capture thermal, hydrological, mechanical, and seismic responses is essential. In this work, we propose and utilize a coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical and earthquake (THM+E) simulation workflow to numerically investigate the stimulation activities on well 16A. The specific objective is to confirm whether the new stimulation stages (Stages 3R–6) reactivated fractures previously stimulated during Stage 3. For this purpose, we perform THM+E simulations individually for Stages 3, 3R, 4, and 5, incorporating the discrete fracture networks (DFNs) created by the plane-fitting technique based on the microseismic catalogs. The simulation workflow consists of two separate models: a THM model and an earthquake model, coupled in a one-way manner. Detailed descriptions of the workflow are provided in Section 3. Simulation results are presented in terms of injection pressure, permeability evolution, and predicted seismic catalogs, which are then compared with field data for further analyses. This report is structured as follows. In Section 2, we present detailed analyses of the field data and propose the hypothesis that the new stimulation stages (Stages 3R–6) were probably reactivating the previously stimulated fractures in Stage 3. In Section 3, we introduce the coupled THM+E workflow and the problem setup to validate our hypothesis, followed by the simulation results for each stage in Section 4. Meanwhile, discussions are included to analyze the model predictions and their comparison with field data. Lastly, we conclude the report and outline future plans in Section 5.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Machine Learning Approaches to Predicting Induced Seismicity and Imaging Geothermal Reservoir Properties

This project developed machine learning (ML) methods, lab data sets, and field data to advance geothermal exploration and geothermal energy production. The work had three focus areas. One involved the development of ML methods to use microearthquakes (MEQs) for imaging geothermal reservoir properties and improving subsurface characterization – most importantly the evolution of permeability within the evolving reservoir. This part of the work included development of ML approaches for automated MEQ location, focal mechanism determination and identification of earthquake precursors. The second area focused on using MEQ signals generated by geothermal exploration and production to predict the relationship between fluid injection and seismicity. Here, we extended to reservoir scale our success in using ML to predict laboratory earthquakes and fault zone stress state. The third focus area was on lab experiments. Here, we developed new ML models for lab earthquake prediction and identification of precursors to failure to improve earthquake forecasting and early warning in geothermal settings. Major outcomes of our work include ML models that learn from MEQ signals during geothermal exploration and production to predict induced seismicity. MEQs occur naturally in connection with drilling and energy production. We developed ML methods to use the seismic waves from these events to characterize the elastic, hydraulic and poromechanical properties of reservoirs. Our work illuminated fracture geometry and the evolution of fracture permeability by incorporating seismic coda wave analysis and ML methods to relate fluid injection and seismicity. We significantly expanded laboratory earthquake prediction to include methods that use both passive measurements of microearthquakes within the lab fault zones and also active source acoustic measurements of fault zone elastic properties. These methods can now predict fault zone stress state, time to failure and the magnitude of lab earthquakes. Our work showed that repetitive stick- slip failure events during frictional sliding (the lab equivalent of earthquakes) are preceded by a cascade of micro-failure events that radiate energy in a manner that foretells unstable failure – manifest as laboratory MEQs. We documented a mapping between fracture properties and statistical attributes of elastic radiation. We extended existing works to geothermal reservoir scale and developed ML methods to determine reservoir permeability, fracture properties, and their evolution during geothermal energy production. An attractive feature of ML algorithms is their ability to handle big datasets and reveal patterns and correlations that may remain invisible to conventional analyses. Our work connected data from field, laboratory and intermediate scales to study permeability, stress, strength, fracture stiffness and geometry. At the field scale we used data from the Newberry Volcano field site, UtahFORGE, EGS Collab, and also the Bedretto underground research lab in Switzerland. These data sets are bridging the gap between the lab scale, theory, and reservoir scale. Our work produced plain language summaries to improve public understanding of DOE research. We also developed openly distributed ML and seismicity datasets for use by all researchers and we published connections between induced seismicity in geothermal areas and reservoir properties including permeability, fracture properties, and stress state. Our models are designed for the large data sets of induced seismicity typically associated with geothermal sites. We produced labeled event catalogs and used them on geothermal data to assess how ML can facilitate geothermal production and exploration. All datasets are available on the GDR Productivity: The project produced 32 publications in peer reviewed journals (two are in review). It supported the work of 6 PhD students, 40 conference presentations, 6 keynote talks at national meetings, and mentoring and professional development for 4 postdoctoral fellows.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Coupled Experimental and High-Temperature Discrete-Element Method Modeling Studies of Aluminosilicate Particle Handling in Concentrated Solar Power Environments

Chemically inert, aluminosilicate based particles have been investigated as both a thermal transport and sensible energy storage medium for concentrated solar power facilities. These particles will experience a wide range of operating temperatures (300-1000 K) and handling conditions (dense to dilute falling particle curtains, dense granular flows, or dense structures), requiring specially-designed and optimized infrastructures. The relative influence of collisional and frictional interactions between particles varies based on temperature-dependent particulate properties and greatly impacts the bulk, granular flow behavior. These underlying physics are captured using discrete element method modeling tools. However, this modeling method is computationally expensive as each particle position and interaction is tracked during the simulation. These modeling methods are further complicated by introducing temperature-dependent particle properties, high-temperature radiative exchange, and directional irradiation sources experienced by granular flows in concentrated solar power environments. Coupled experimental and numerical studies of aluminosilicate particles in rotary kilns and dense particle curtains were performed for bulk temperatures up to 1073 K. The three particle types investigated included Carbobead HSP 30 /60, Carbobead CP 30/60, and Granusil 4030. Temperature, spatial, and velocity profile data were extracted from experimental runs using embedded K-type thermocouple probes and particle image velocimetry techniques. Experimental and numerical studies were compared using spatial temperature profiles, velocity fields, and shape profiles of the bulk, granular flows. Numerical models were developed using commercially available discrete element method modeling software, Aspherix®. Existing Aspherix® functionality was expanded by introducing coupled radiative exchange modeling tools. The laboratory-scale rotary kiln was developed to investigate the steady-state heat and mass transfer performance of aluminosilicate particles based on particle type, bulk handling temperature, and wall roughness. The rotational speed of the rotary kiln was varied to control the relative impact of collisional and frictional effects upon the granular flow behavior. Heat and mass transfer performance was categorized based on the Froude number and the observed flow regimes of slipping, rolling, cascading, and centrifuging. Coupled discrete element method modeling studies were used to evaluate the effects of temperature-dependent, particulate mechanical properties upon bulk flow behavior and upon the relative effects of radiative, advective, and/or conductive heat transfer. A high-temperature (< 1073 K) falling particle curtain was similarly fabricated to investigate the heat and mass transfer performance of aluminosilicate particles in particle handling situations dominated by inter-particle collisions. The impact of particle type, flow preheat temperatures (< 1073K), and bulk mass flow rates were investigated upon the particle curtain shape, temperature, and velocity profiles. Coupled discrete element method modeling studies were performed to evaluate the varying impact of temperature-dependent, particulate mechanical properties on the bulk flow behavior and the temperature profile of the particle curtain.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Tailoring composition and deformation modes at the microstructural level for next generation low-cost high-strength austenitic stainless steels

The objective of this project is to enable deliberate development of cost-effective, hydrogen resistant alloys by establishing detailed relationships specific to the effects of alloy composition, short-range order (SRO), and microsegregation in the presence of hydrogen on the transition between homogeneous deformation and localized plasticity in shear bands. In collaboration with the International Institute for Carbon-Neutral Energy Research, I2CNER, at Kyushu University in Japan, we conceptualized, designed, and manufactured four austenitic alloys that maintain corrosion resistance and ensure lower cost relative to baseline commercial alloys. The mechanical properties and deformation modes of the novel alloys (KU alloys) were assessed in the presence of hydrogen (H). Correlations between composition and performance revealed that two of the KU alloys are suitable replacements for 316 steel, while another is a viable replacement for 304 steel at room temperature. We found that, in the presence of other austenite stabilizing elements namely Mn and N, replacing Ni with Cu does not lead to martensite formation as has been previously reported.1–3 Furthermore, we found that the addition of Cu leads to an earlier onset of multiple slip resulting in an relative earlier onset of a higher work hardening rate (WHR). Greater understanding of the relationships between alloy composition and SRO required the development of a novel advanced electron diffraction methodology to characterize SRO in complex FCC alloys. This innovative approach, which combines fluctuation and correlation analyses of diffuse-scattering signals, successfully differentiated between SRO and long-range ordering (LRO). Further investigations into annealed austenitic stainless steels could provide insights into manipulating SRO and its effects on material properties. Atomistic simulations provided understanding of SRO behavior that was difficult to capture experimentally. This project created the first spin cluster expansion model that is able to capture and describe SRO effects in Fe-Ni-Cr FCC alloys, accounting for the non-negligible effects of magnetism. An automated computational workflow was established to provide reliable predictions of SRO in Fe-Ni-Cr austenitic alloys, both with and without the presence of H atoms. Analysis of the propensity for SRO in Fe-Ni-Cr alloys revealed that H tends to cluster with specific, well-defined SRO domains. The computational framework is general purpose and can be extended to realistic stainless steels across diverse composition ranges. With confidence that SRO is possible in austenitic stainless steels, we developed a discrete dislocation finite element code to understand the interaction of dislocations with SRO in the presence of H. By incorporating H effects on the dislocation emission and SRO stress field we show that the critical stress for the dislocation pileup to breakthrough the SRO domain decreases in the presence of H, which directly contributes localized deformation at the macroscale. Through the simulation of a uniaxial tension test, we demonstrated that H-induced weakening of SRO stress field and H-enhanced dislocation emission can lead to the onset of shear localization at lower macroscopic strains. As a whole, this project identified three novel alloys that show improvements in performance and cost efficiency for H-facing applications by studying correlations between alloy chemistry and deformation behavior. We also made significant advancements to experimental and computational methodologies necessary to study the chemistry and distribution of SRO across a range of alloys, which in turn allowed us to demonstrate how deformation mechanisms change due to the contributions of SRO in austenitic alloys in the presence of H. The combined advancements in fundamental understanding with novel alloy development in this project has increased the viability of next generation H-technologies for the broader public through accessible low-cost alloys and accelerated development towards future H-infrastructure.

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