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DOE OSTI2023

Computational budget optimization for Bayesian parameter estimation in heavy-ion collisions

Abstract Bayesian parameter estimation provides a systematic approach to compare heavy-ion collision models with measurements, leading to constraints on the properties of nuclear matter with proper accounting of experimental and theoretical uncertainties. Aside from statistical and systematic model uncertainties, interpolation uncertainties can also play a role in Bayesian inference, if the model’s predictions can only be calculated at a limited set of model parameters. This uncertainty originates from using an emulator to interpolate the model’s prediction across a continuous space of parameters. In this work, we study the trade-offs between the emulator (interpolation) and statistical uncertainties. We perform the analysis using spatial eccentricities from the T R ENTo model of initial conditions for nuclear collisions. Given a fixed computational budget, we study the optimal compromise between the number of parameter samples and the number of collisions simulated per parameter sample. For the observables and parameters used in the present study, we find that the best constraints are achieved when the number of parameter samples is slightly smaller than the number of collisions simulated per parameter sample.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Study of CORC Conductors With Respect to Individual Tape Properties

CEA has been studying the advantages of a conductor based on an assembly of CORC cables in the high field zone of a hybrid Central Solenoid (CS) magnet for EU-DEMO. To this end, the detailed study of geometrical and electrical parameters of a CORC structure are studied in order to evaluate the cable’s electrical performance as well as to determine a number of important parameters (crossing points, contact surface etc…) as function of the cable structure. The paper first presents these geometrical and performance analyses. It will then try to introduce smeared models in order to reduce the cable’s performance to 1D tape scaling law using effective parameters. That reduction is of importance for use in thermohydraulic models. Finally, the paper will present the case study of a particular CORC conductor that is being procured and is foreseen to be tested in SULTAN in 2025. The paper also will try to give some predictive estimate of the cable performance and identify some of the unknowns related to current redistribution and joint resistance.

CORC↗

DOE OSTI2016

Improved accuracy of quantitative parameter estimates in dynamic contrast-enhanced CT study with low temporal resolution

Purpose: A previously proposed method to reduce radiation dose to patient in dynamic contrast-enhanced (DCE) CT is enhanced by principal component analysis (PCA) filtering which improves the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) of time-concentration curves in the DCE-CT study. The efficacy of the combined method to maintain the accuracy of kinetic parameter estimates at low temporal resolution is investigated with pixel-by-pixel kinetic analysis of DCE-CT data. Methods: The method is based on DCE-CT scanning performed with low temporal resolution to reduce the radiation dose to the patient. The arterial input function (AIF) with high temporal resolution can be generated with a coarsely sampled AIF through a previously published method of AIF estimation. To increase the SNR of time-concentration curves (tissue curves), first, a region-of-interest is segmented into squares composed of 3 × 3 pixels in size. Subsequently, the PCA filtering combined with a fraction of residual information criterion is applied to all the segmented squares for further improvement of their SNRs. The proposed method was applied to each DCE-CT data set of a cohort of 14 patients at varying levels of down-sampling. The kinetic analyses using the modified Tofts’ model and singular value decomposition method, then, were carried out for each of the down-sampling schemes between the intervals from 2 to 15 s. The results were compared with analyses done with the measured data in high temporal resolution (i.e., original scanning frequency) as the reference. Results: The patients’ AIFs were estimated to high accuracy based on the 11 orthonormal bases of arterial impulse responses established in the previous paper. In addition, noise in the images was effectively reduced by using five principal components of the tissue curves for filtering. Kinetic analyses using the proposed method showed superior results compared to those with down-sampling alone; they were able to maintain the accuracy in the quantitative histogram parameters of volume transfer constant [standard deviation (SD), 98th percentile, and range], rate constant (SD), blood volume fraction (mean, SD, 98th percentile, and range), and blood flow (mean, SD, median, 98th percentile, and range) for sampling intervals between 10 and 15 s. Conclusions: The proposed method of PCA filtering combined with the AIF estimation technique allows low frequency scanning for DCE-CT study to reduce patient radiation dose. The results indicate that the method is useful in pixel-by-pixel kinetic analysis of DCE-CT data for patients with cervical cancer.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

DOE OSTI2019

Geohydrodynamic Parameters and Their Implications on the Coastal Conservation: A Case Study of Abak Local Government Area (LGA), Akwa Ibom State, Southern Nigeria

A total of 14 vertical electrical soundings using Schlumberger electrode configuration and the complementary laboratory analysis of aquifer samples were carried out in the Abak Local Government Area of Akwa Ibom State, the coastal region of Nigeria. The study focused on the estimation of geohydrodynamic parameters of the frequently exploited aquifers and the implication of hydrodynamic parameters on the lithostratigraphy and the anticipated exposure of the assessed geologic formation at the shorelines. These parameters were porosity (&straightphi;), tortuosity (τ), formation factor (F), aquifer water formation resistivity (R{sub w}) and coefficient of permeability/hydraulic conductivity (K). Computation of the effective porosities from the aquifer cuttings was carried out using wet weight–dry weight technique and petrophysical techniques. The F values were computed using the aquifer formation bulk resistivity measured from field 1-D resistivity data analysis, whose interpretation was constrained by nearby borehole information. The formation pore water resistivities were estimated from the laboratory using electrical resistivity metre. The Win RESIST software program was used in interpreting the field data electronically. The results of interpretation gave the primary parameters of saturated and unsaturated units of the coastal regions used in this work. The area generally shows seemingly high porosity with high coefficient of permeability. The primary and secondary parameters have been contoured to model their distributions. Besides, some functional relations have been realized through regression analyses. The contour distribution of the geohydrodynamic parameters indicates the vulnerability of the water repositories to contaminations as well as the vulnerability of the shoreline to waterborne erosion. The seemingly high effective porosity in the compliant laboratory and calculated values indicate that the coastal region is neither lithified nor compacted/consolidated. This signals the possibility of the formation to be easily eroded, weathered or flooded where these units are exposed to water current. With these revelations, the shorelines could be properly managed and conserved by geotechnically reinforcing with hard and water-resistant concrete that can protect the vulnerable and erosion-prone porous sediments.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2016

Spatial Precision in Magnetic Resonance Imaging–Guided Radiation Therapy: The Role of Geometric Distortion

Because magnetic resonance imaging–guided radiation therapy (MRIgRT) offers exquisite soft tissue contrast and the ability to image tissues in arbitrary planes, the interest in this technology has increased dramatically in recent years. However, intrinsic geometric distortion stemming from both the system hardware and the magnetic properties of the patient affects MR images and compromises the spatial integrity of MRI-based radiation treatment planning, given that for real-time MRIgRT, precision within 2 mm is desired. In this article, we discuss the causes of geometric distortion, describe some well-known distortion correction algorithms, and review geometric distortion measurements from 12 studies, while taking into account relevant imaging parameters. Eleven of the studies reported phantom measurements quantifying system-dependent geometric distortion, while 2 studies reported simulation data quantifying magnetic susceptibility–induced geometric distortion. Of the 11 studies investigating system-dependent geometric distortion, 5 reported maximum measurements less than 2 mm. The simulation studies demonstrated that magnetic susceptibility–induced distortion is typically smaller than system-dependent distortion but still nonnegligible, with maximum distortion ranging from 2.1 to 2.6 mm at a field strength of 1.5 T. As expected, anatomic landmarks containing interfaces between air and soft tissue had the largest distortions. The evidence indicates that geometric distortion reduces the spatial integrity of MRI-based radiation treatment planning and likely diminishes the efficacy of MRIgRT. Better phantom measurement techniques and more effective distortion correction algorithms are needed to achieve the desired spatial precision.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

DOE OSTI2020

Hotspot parameter scaling with velocity and yield for high-adiabat layered implosions at the National Ignition Facility

Here, in this paper, we present a study on hotspot parameters in indirect-drive, inertially confined fusion implosions as they proceed through the self-heating regime. The implosions with increasing nuclear yield reach the burning-plasma regime, hotspot ignition, and finally propagating burn and ignition. These implosions span a wide range of alpha heating from a yield amplification of 1.7–2.5. We show that the hotspot parameters are explicitly dependent on both yield and velocity and that by fitting to both of these quantities the hotspot parameters can be fit with a single power law in velocity. The yield scaling also enables the hotspot parameters extrapolation to higher yields. This is important as various degradation mechanisms can occur on a given implosion at fixed implosion velocity which can have a large impact on both yield and the hotspot parameters. The yield scaling also enables the experimental dependence of the hotspot parameters on yield amplification to be determined. The implosions reported have resulted in the highest yield (1.73×10 16 ±2.6%), yield amplification, pressure, and implosion velocity yet reported at the National Ignition Facility.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

NASA NTRS1980

Structural concept trends for commercial supersonic cruise aircraft design

Structural concept trends for future commercial supersonic transport aircraft are considered. Highlights, including the more important design conditions and requirements, of two studies are discussed. Knowledge of these design parameters, as determined through studies involving the application of flexible mathematical models, enabled inclusion of aeroelastic considerations in the structural-material concepts evaluation. The design trends and weight data of the previous contractual study of Mach 2.7 cruise aircraft were used as the basis for incorporating advanced materials and manufacturing approaches to the airframe for reduced weight and cost. Structural studies of design concepts employing advanced aluminum alloys, advanced composites, and advanced titanium alloy and manufacturing techniques are compared for a Mach 2.0 arrow-wing configuration concept. Appraisals of the impact of these new materials and manufacturing concepts to the airframe design are shown and compared. The research and development to validate the potential sources of weight and cost reduction identified as necessary to attain a viable advanced commercial supersonic transport are discussed.

Sakat, I. F.↗

NASA NTRS1999

Observational Review of Gamma-Ray Bursts

The observed gamma-ray temporal, spectral, intensity and spatial distribution characteristics of GRBs, primarily from data obtained from the Compton Observatory, will be described. The talk will concentrate on recent studies of burst properties, correlations of GRB parameters and other statistical studies that have only recently come to light with the unprecedented sample of over two thousand GRBs, along with some mention of studies in progress by members of the BATSE team. Recent studies of possible observational biases, un-triggered GRBs and threshold calculations for BATSE will also be described.

Fishman, Gerald J.↗

NASA NTRS1998

Observational Review of Gamma-Ray Bursts

The observed gamma-ray temporal, spectral, intensity and spatial distribution characteristics of GRBs (Gamma Ray Bursts), primarily from data obtained from the Compton Observatory, will be described. The talk will concentrate on recent studies of burst properties, correlations of GRB parameters and other statistical studies that have only recently come to light with the unprecedented sample of over two thousand GRBs, along with some mention of studies in progress by members of the BATSE (Burst and Transient Source Experiment) team. Recent studies of possible observational biases, un-triggered GRBs and threshold calculations for BATSE will also be described.

Fishman, Gerald J.↗

NASA NTRS1999

Observational Review of Gamma-Ray Bursts

Fishman, Gerald J.↗

NASA NTRS2000

Joint Discussion/Mini-Workshop: Gamma-Ray Bursts and their Hosts

Fishman, Gerald J.↗

NASA NTRS2000

Ten Years of Gamma-Ray Bursts Observations with BATSE

The observed gamma-ray temporal, spectral, intensity and spatial distribution characteristics of GRBs from data obtained from BATSE/Compton Observatory, will be described. The talk will concentrate on recent studies of burst properties, correlations of GRB parameters and other statistical studies that have only recently come to light with the unprecedented sample of over 2700 GRBS. Recent studies of possible observational biases, un-triggered GRBs and threshold calculations for BATSE will also be described.

Fishman, Gerald J.↗

NASA NTRS2003

Gamma-Ray Bursts

Gamma-ray bursts originate from cosmological distances and represent the largest known explosions in the Universe. The observed temporal and spectral characteristics of bursts in the gamma-ray region, primarily from data obtained with the BATSE experiment on the Compton Observatory, will be described. The talk will concentrate on recent studies of burst properties, correlations of GRB parameters and other statistical studies that have recently come to light. A summary of recent discoveries and observations in other wavelength regions will also be presented, along with their implications for models of the burst emission mechanism. Various models for the energy source of gamma-ray bursts will be described.

Fishman, Gearld J.↗

DOE OSTI2015

Reinforced concrete membranes under shear: Global behaviour

The main purpose of this article is to study compressed reinforced concrete membranes under perpendicular tensile stress. The state-of-the-art is presented and it shows that not much research has been done on this topic, probably because it needed very expensive laboratory equipment. In the current investigation, the authors have tried a new type of equipment, less expensive than that of previous investigations, and it proved to be adequate for the type of tests needed for studying this topic. The authors tested six reinforced concrete panels under pure shear up to failure. A parameter that was studied in these tests was the thickness of the membranes. This is of particular importance in webs or walls of beams under shear or torsion forces. From the experimental measurements, the authors have computed the principal directions and the values of the stresses and strains for the tested beams. In this article, these values are presented and the principal strains and stresses are compared with those at 45° and the two fairly agree with each other, particularly for the case of the stresses.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2022

Impact of Polymer Rheology on Gel Treatment Performance of Horizontal Wells with Severe Channeling

Summary Gel treatment has been a cost-effective method to control the conformance of a reservoir with severe heterogeneity problems. The water channels in such reservoirs can be classified as open fractures or high permeability porous media with pore-throat network. Many simulation studies have been conducted to discuss gel treatment performance for conformance control. However, nobody considered the polymer rheology difference in open fractures and porous media in simulation. Previous simulation studies also ignored the residual resistance factor as a function of rock permeability rather than a constant parameter. In this study, a conceptual simulation model was established to simulate the linear flow system for the reservoir with horizontal wells considering the two factors mentioned above. The results demonstrate that the gel treatment always provides the better placement results in the open fracture type channel than pore-throat network type channel. Moreover, it is very necessary to consider residual resistance factor as a function of permeability, which is based on the experimental results and can provide much greater plugging efficiency in the higher permeable channels than constant residual resistance factor. Sensitivity analysis studies and multifactor analysis indicate that increasing oil viscosity and permeability ratio has a strong positive influence on conformance control results, which indicate in-situ gel treatment can be better applied in heavy or viscous oil reservoirs with fracture-like channels. Besides, the results also indicate that in reservoirs with severe channeling problem where channel velocity was high, the differences of gelant placement and profile improvement in models with two different types of channels could be enlarged greatly.

Engineering↗

DOE OSTI2017

Advanced Accelerators: Particle, Photon and Plasma Wave Interactions

The overall objective of this project was to study the acceleration of electrons to very high energies over very short distances based on trapping slowly moving electrons in the fast moving potential wells of large amplitude plasma waves, which have relativistic phase velocities. These relativistic plasma waves, or wakefields, are the basis of table-top accelerators that have been shown to accelerate electrons to the same high energies as kilometer-length linear particle colliders operating using traditional decades-old acceleration techniques. The accelerating electrostatic fields of the relativistic plasma wave accelerators can be as large as GigaVolts/meter, and our goal was to study techniques for remotely measuring these large fields by injecting low energy probe electron beams across the plasma wave and measuring the beam’s deflection. Our method of study was via computer simulations, and these results suggested that the deflection of the probe electron beam was directly proportional to the amplitude of the plasma wave. This is the basis of a proposed diagnostic technique, and numerous studies were performed to determine the effects of changing the electron beam, plasma wave and laser beam parameters. Further simulation studies included copropagating laser beams with the relativistic plasma waves. New interesting results came out of these studies including the prediction that very small scale electron beam bunching occurs, and an anomalous line focusing of the electron beam occurs under certain conditions. These studies were summarized in the dissertation of a graduate student who obtained the Ph.D. in physics. This past research program has motivated ideas for further research to corroborate these results using particle-in-cell simulation tools which will help design a test-of-concept experiment in our laboratory and a scaled up version for testing at a major wakefield accelerator facility.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

NASA NTRS1990

A numerical study of the effects of reverse sweep on a scramjet inlet performance

A comparative numerical study of performance parameters of a similar and an opposite sweep sidewall compression inlet is made. The focus of the study is the investigation of the impact of alternate backward-forward sweep on the compression sidewalls as opposed to back-ward sweep on all the sidewalls. Two equivalent scramjet inlet configurations are designed for this purpose. These inlets have the same wetted areas of compression and expansion and same height and width; but in one inlet all the compression surface are swept back (similar sweep inlet) whereas in the other inlet, alternate surfaces are swept backward and forward (opposite sweep inlet). The cowl closure in both cases begins at the start of the throat region. A three-dimensional Navier-Stokes code is used to calculate the flow through these inlets. Results of these calculations are used to compare the two designs for their performance and flow quality. Effects of boundary- layer ingestion on the performance and overall flow features are also investigated.

Kumar, Ajay↗

DOE OSTI2013

A Sensitivity Study of Radiative Fluxes at the Top of Atmosphere to Cloud-Microphysics and Aerosol Parameters in the Community Atmosphere Model CAM5

In this study, we investigated the sensitivity of net radiative fluxes (FNET) at the top of atmosphere (TOA) to 16 selected uncertain parameters mainly related to the cloud microphysics and aerosol schemes in the Community Atmosphere Model version 5 (CAM5). We adopted a quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) sampling approach to effectively explore the high dimensional parameter space. The output response variables (e.g., FNET) were simulated using CAM5 for each parameter set, and then evaluated using generalized linear model analysis. In response to the perturbations of these 16 parameters, the CAM5-simulated global annual mean FNET ranges from -9.8 to 3.5 W m-2 compared to the CAM5-simulated FNET of 1.9 W m-2 with the default parameter values. Variance-based sensitivity analysis was conducted to show the relative contributions of individual parameter perturbation to the global FNET variance. The results indicate that the changes in the global mean FNET are dominated by those of cloud forcing (CF) within the parameter ranges being investigated. The size threshold parameter related to auto-conversion of cloud ice to snow is confirmed as one of the most influential parameters for FNET in the CAM5 simulation. The strong heterogeneous geographic distribution of FNET variation shows parameters have a clear localized effect over regions where they are acting. However, some parameters also have non-local impacts on FNET variance. Although external factors, such as perturbations of anthropogenic and natural emissions, largely affect FNET variations at the regional scale, their impact is weaker than that of model internal parameters in terms of simulating global mean FNET in this study. The interactions among the 16 selected parameters contribute a relatively small portion of the total FNET variations over most regions of the globe. This study helps us better understand the CAM5 model behavior associated with parameter uncertainties, which will aid the next step of reducing model uncertainty via calibration of uncertain model parameters with the largest sensitivity.

aerosol↗