Life Cycle Greenhouse Gas Emissions of Biodiesel and Renewable Diesel Production in the United States
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09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
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Results for “carbon analysis”
Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.
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Modeling perennial bioenergy crops in the E3SM land model (ELMv2)
Perennial bioenergy crops are increasingly important for the production of ethanol and other renewable fuels, and as part of an agricultural system that alters the climate through its impact on biogeophysical and biogeochemical properties of the terrestrial ecosystem. Few earth system models (ESMs) represent such crops, however. In this study, we expand the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) Land Model (ELMv2) to include perennial bioenergy crops with a high potential for mitigating climate change. We focus on high-productivity miscanthus and switchgrass, estimating various parameters associated with their different growth stages and performing a global sensitivity analysis to identify and optimize these parameters. The sensitivity analysis identifies five parameters associated with phenology, carbon/nitrogen allocation, stomatal conductance, and maintenance respiration as the most sensitive parameters for carbon and energy fluxes. We calibrated and validated the model against observations and found that the model closely captures the observed seasonality and the magnitude of carbon fluxes. The validated model represents the latent heat flux fairly well, but sensible heat flux for miscanthus is not well captured. Finally, we validated the model against observed leaf area index (LAI) and harvest amount and found modeled LAI captured observed seasonality , although the model underestimates LAI and harvest amount. This work provides a foundation for future ESM analyses of the interactions between perennial bioenergy crops and carbon, water, and energy dynamics in the larger earth system, and sets the stage for studying the impact of future biofuel expansion on climate and terrestrial systems.
09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
How Well do Earth System Models Capture Apparent Relationships Between Phytoplankton Biomass and Environmental Variables?
Abstract As phytoplankton form the base of the marine food web, understanding the controls on their abundance is fundamental to understanding marine ecology and its sensitivity to global climate change. While many Earth System Models (ESMs) predict phytoplankton biomass, it is unclear whether they properly capture the mechanistic relationships that control this quantity in the real ocean. We used Random Forest analysis to analyze the output of 13 ESMs as well as two observational data sets. The target variable was phytoplankton carbon and the predictors included environmental parameters known to influence phytoplankton, including nutrients, light, mixed layer depth, salinity, temperature, and upwelling. We examined the following: (a) What fractions of variability in ESMs and observations can be linked to the large‐scale environmental variables simulated by ESMs? (b) What are the dominant predictors and relationships affecting phytoplankton biomass? (c) How well do ESMs simulate phytoplankton carbon and do they simulate the relationships we see in observations? About 88%–96% of the variability in observational data sets and greater than 98% in the ESMs was accounted for by environmental variables known to influence phytoplankton biomass. The dominant predictors in the observational data sets were shortwave radiation and dissolved iron, with temperature and ammonium also relatively important. All the ESMs show that shortwave radiation is the most important variable and most of them predict the right sign of sensitivity to most variables. However, the models predict that biomass reaches maximum levels at unrealistically low levels of iron and unrealistically high levels of light.
Environmental Sciences & Ecology↗
A Framework for Parametric and Predictive Uncertainty Quantification in the E3SM Land Model: Assessing Site and Observable Generalizability
Quantifying parametric uncertainty using observations from individual sites provides a critical foundation for Earth system modeling, serving as a necessary first step before scaling up to regional or global applications. This study introduces a novel computational framework designed to enhance model predictability by reducing parametric uncertainty and assessing site and observable generalizability using various observational constraints. The framework integrates five components: Model Simulation, Statistical Emulation, Global Sensitivity Analysis (GSA), Model Calibration, and Model Prediction. Using the E3SM land model, we simulated site-level land-atmosphere carbon and energy fluxes from 2003 to 2007 across five evergreen needleleaf FLUXNET sites, perturbing 26 vegetation-related model parameters. Gaussian process emulators were employed to expedite GSA and model calibration. Four critical parameters that strongly influence selected land-atmosphere fluxes were identified by GSA. Bayesian approaches were used to infer parameter probability distributions leveraging synthetic data and FLUXNET observations. The results reveal that posterior parameter distributions vary significantly across different sites and observables within the same plant functional type. Probabilistic predictions indicate that parameters calibrated at one site can enhance predictive accuracy at other sites, although site heterogeneity may sometimes outweigh parametric uncertainty. Additionally, the probabilistic predictions demonstrate that calibration for one variable can also improve predictability for other variables, thereby maximizing predictive capabilities with limited observations. This framework provides a powerful approach for reducing parametric uncertainty in Earth system models and deepening our understanding of carbon dynamics and energy cycles. Its adaptability makes it a valuable tool for broader applications in Earth system modeling.
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
Environmental risks and opportunities of orphaned oil and gas wells in the United States
Abstract Hundreds of thousands of documented and undocumented orphaned oil and gas wells exist in the United States (U.S.). These wells have the potential to contaminate water supplies, degrade ecosystems, and emit methane and other air pollutants. Thus, orphaned wells present risks to climate stability and to environmental and human health, which can be reduced by plugging. To quantify environmental risks and opportunities of well plugging at the national level, we analyze data on 81 857 documented orphaned wells across the U.S. We find that > 4.6 million people live within 1 km of a documented orphaned well. 35% of the documented orphaned wells are located within 1 km of a domestic groundwater well, yet only 8% of the wells have groundwater quality data within a 1 km radius. Methane emissions from the documented orphaned wells represent approximately 3%–6% of total U.S. methane emissions from abandoned oil and gas wells, but this estimate is based on measurements at < 0.03% of U.S. abandoned wells. 91% of the documented orphaned wells overlie formations favorable for geologic storage of carbon dioxide and hydrogen, meaning that orphaned well plugging can reduce leakage risks from future storage projects. Finally, we estimate plugging costs for documented orphaned wells to exceed the $4.7 billion federal funding by 30%–80%, emphasizing the importance of prioritizing federal spending on wells with large remediation benefits. Overall, environmental monitoring data are not extensive enough to quantify risks, especially those related to air and water quality and human health. Plugging orphaned wells can provide opportunities for geologic storage of carbon dioxide and hydrogen and geothermal energy development, thereby facilitating efforts to transition to net-zero energy systems. Our analysis on environmental risks and opportunities of orphaned wells provides a framework that can be used to manage the millions of documented and undocumented orphaned wells in the U.S. and abroad.
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
Improving future travel demand projections: a pathway with an open science interdisciplinary approach
Transport accounts for 24% of global CO 2 emissions from fossil fuels. Governments face challenges in developing feasible and equitable mitigation strategies to reduce energy consumption and manage the transition to low-carbon transport systems. To meet the local and global transport emission reduction targets, policymakers need more realistic/sophisticated future projections of transport demand to better understand the speed and depth of the actions required to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions. In this paper, we argue that the lack of access to high-quality data on the current and historical travel demand and interdisciplinary research hinders transport planning and sustainable transitions toward low-carbon transport futures. We call for a greater interdisciplinary collaboration agenda across open data, data science, behaviour modelling, and policy analysis. These advancemets can reduce some of the major uncertainties and contribute to evidence-based solutions toward improving the sustainability performance of future transport systems. The paper also points to some needed efforts and directions to provide robust insights to policymakers. We provide examples of how these efforts could benefit from the International Transport Energy Modeling Open Data project and open science interdisciplinary collaborations.
32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
Coordinated Integration of Renewable Generation and Small Modular Reactors in Puerto Rico – an Initial Study
With a growing interest and awareness to support clean and sustainable sources of energy, several countries have ambitious plans to significantly increase the penetration of renewable energy in the grid. However, the sources of renewable energy, such as solar and wind, are highly intermittent and therefore can pose additional challenges to maintain reliable system operations; one such challenge being flexibility requirement. This paper addresses the concerns of increasing flexibility needs with high renewable penetration, and also study the coordinated integration of nuclear small modular reactor and inverter-based renewable generation sources in a system to achieve high levels of carbon-free and sustainable energy. In this paper, balancing reserve and short-term flexibility requirements were considered for the analysis purpose. Also, methodology was developed to calculate metrics for calculating short-term flexibility requirements in the time-scale of hours. Small modular reactors are considered as potential sources of generation flexibility to complement renewables.
Agrawal, Urmila↗
Parametric Modeling and Economic Analysis of a 2MW th 3-Stream sCO 2 Heat Exchanger
Here, this paper presents the design and cost optimization of a novel 2MW th 3-stream sCO2 plate-fin heat exchanger. This heat exchanger design is unique in that it uses reduced metal oxide particle-to-sCO2 heat exchanger for cost-effective energy storage applications. The design uses low velocity, laminar air as the re-oxidizing reactant to transfer the heat of the re-oxidizing reaction to a sCO2 power loop. The design of the heat exchanger is based on a 2-D, 3-fluid plate/fin heat transfer model. The model parameterizes the size, shape, and number of passages of the heat exchanger to calculate the temperature profile, pressure drop, and fluid velocities of all three fluids. Global heat exchanger parameters such as the effectiveness and total heat transferred to the sCO2 are then calculated for overall performance. Due to the value and increased use of sCO2 heat exchangers in power cycles, a cost model of the system based on the unique high temperature/high pressure operating conditions was created using quotes from reference projects and market analysis. These quoted air-to-sCO2 heat exchangers are then processed using multiple weighting factors pertinent to heat exchanger design, including heat exchanger type, maximum temperature, differential pressures, fluids, duty, and more. These factors are then used in an exponential function in order to generate a parameterized cost curve. The design and cost of the heat exchanger are then optimized using the SMPSO genetic algorithm in Python. The optimization objectives for the system are to maximize the overall system effectiveness, including an air recuperator for preheating, and to minimize unit costs. Additional constraints are added to the system for the sCO2 and air pressure drops, air velocity to reduce particle entrainment, and the length and volume of the heat exchanger.
Cost Model↗
Methods for Quantitative Thermal Analysis of Lithium Solid-State and Beyond Battery Safety
The use of differential scanning calorimetry (DSC) to measure the thermal behavior of individual components and electrolyte/electrode combinations is common. However, here we focus on DSC tests on an anode, cathode, and electrolyte (ACE) component combination over a temperature range that includes many of the phase transitions and key reactions (i.e., to 500 °C) that contribute to thermal runaway. This method can help quantify the complex reaction network in a full cell, thereby informing potential safety issues. Here, we used DSC heat flow data from a solid-state Li 0.43 CoO 2 +C+PVDF | LLZO | Li metal ACE sample and its components to quantify key factors affecting results. We focused on three areas: (1) ACE sample preparation and assembly in DSC pans, (2) DSC measurement parameters, and (3) heat flow analysis. Key points include the choice of component ratios (e.g., commercially relevant N:P capacity ratio), the importance of conductive carbon and binder, type of pan used, DSC ramp rate, and integration method used when dealing with broad and overlapping exothermic peaks. This work deepens the scientific basis and best practices for obtaining heat flow data from ACE samples for early-stage evaluation of solid-state and beyond battery safety.
25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
Data for "Which plant traits increase soil carbon sequestration? Empirical evidence from a long-term poplar genetic diversity trial"
This archive contains all data and code used by the following publication: Field, J. L., Sloan, B. P., Craig, M. E., Calloway, P., Ottinger, S. L., Mead, T., Abramoff, R. Z., Venegas, M. P., Chhetri, H. B., Haiby, K., Kalluri, U. C., Muchero, W., Schadt, C. W., & Mayes, M. A. (2025). Which plant traits increase soil carbon sequestration? Empirical evidence from a long-term poplar genetic diversity trial (p. 2025.02.17.638464). bioRxiv. https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.02.17.638464 Our analysis combined several soil and root data sets collected by Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) researchers/collaborators from the Clatskanie Poplar Common Garden in Clatskanie, OR by from 2009-2024. The raw data data files are located */02-data/01-raw/* which we harmonized using the codes in */01-codes/01-harmonize-clatskanie-data-pub.qmd*. The final processed data set used in the paper is found at */02-data/02-processed/clatskanie-c-fit-data.csv* and its columns are described in the table below.
Sloan, Brandon [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000316304271)↗
A-scaling of CCQE-like cross sections at MINERvA
MINERvA is a precision cross section experiment for neutrino scattering processes located at Fermilab in Batavia, IL. MINERvA has carbon, water, iron and lead nuclear targets to measure the A-scaling of cross sections. Using those targets, this analysis measures the CCQE-like cross sections on the different targets. The CCQE-like cross section is a measure of the probability that a neutrino interactionproduces an event with a muon, any number of nucleons and no mesons (such as pions). The cross sections are measured in 2-dimensional muon momentum space as well as using the so-called Transverse Kinematic Variables (TKI) which combine muon and proton variables. These variables are sensitive to various nuclear effects. Presented in this thesis are MINERvA’s first 2-dimensional results in the nuclear targets, MINERvA’s first TKI results in the nuclear targets and MINERvA’s first result using its water target.
Kleykamp, Jeffrey↗
Geo-Engineering Igneous Sill Complexes for CO2 Sequestration & Local H2 Storage
2022 Gordan Conference poster describing core analysis of diabase sills from Eastern Pennsylvania, along with experimental measurements of the rock interaction with CO2. Results show rapid carbonate mineral formation.
Andrews, Graham↗
An efficient Chlorella sp.-Cupriavidus necator microcosm for phenol degradation and its cooperation mechanism.
In this work, a Chlorella sp.-Cupriavidus necator (C. necator) microcosm was artificially established for phenol degradation. Additionally, the cooperation relationship between Chlorella sp. and C. necator was initially demonstrated, and then the effects of Chlorella sp./C. necator inoculation ratio, light intensity, temperature and pH on the performance of this microcosm were systematically evaluated and optimized. The optimal conditions for phenol degradation were as follows: a Chlorella sp./C. necator inoculation ratio of 1:1, a light intensity of 110 μmol m -2 s -1 , a temperature in the range of 25-32 °C and a pH in the range of 5.5-7.5. Under optimal conditions, this microcosm could degrade phenol with a maximum concentration of 1200 mg L -1 within 60 h. It was found that only when the phenol concentration was reduced to the tolerance concentration of microalgae, that is, the last stage of phenol degradation, the cooperation effect could be generated, indicating that the tolerance of microalgae to phenol may be more important than its degradation performance. Comparative transcriptomic analysis was conducted to discuss the cooperation mechanism of this microcosm subject to high phenol concentrations. The up-regulation of genes involved in photosynthesis and carbon fixation of Chlorella sp. demonstrated the CO 2 and O 2 exchange between Chlorella sp. and C. necator and their cooperation relationship. This study suggests that this microcosm has great potential for the bioremediation of phenol contaminants.
59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
Fire reduces riverine DOC concentration draining a watershed and alters post-fire DOC recovery patterns
Abstract The loading of dissolved organic carbon (DOC) from soils to inland waters and ultimate transport to the ocean is a critical flux pathway in the terrestrial biosphere carbon cycle. Fires can significantly affect this flux through biogeochemical processes related to oxidation and mobilization of DOC in the soil. Therefore, in order to accurately estimate and model terrestrial carbon storage and export to the marine environment, we need to better understand the effects of fire on DOC flux. In this analysis, we compiled available observational data sets from seven watersheds across the conterminous United States generally spanning the years 1999–2019. We used these data sets to examine the effects of fire on riverine DOC concentration draining a watershed to study both the immediate impacts and the post-fire recovery patterns. Our results suggest that these fires result in an immediate decrease in riverine DOC concentration draining the watershed by 26 ± 15%, and the time required for DOC concentrations to recover to pre-fire levels was estimated to be, on average, approximately 9 months. During recovery, DOC concentration was 24 ± 11% lower than the long-term average for the watershed. In addition, the larger the proportion of the watershed that burned, the greater the concentration decrease and the longer the time period for post-fire recovery.
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
Life-cycle greenhouse gas emissions analysis of battery-grade lithium production in Finland
Various countries are undertaking initiatives to domestically produce battery-related critical materials. Within Finland, Keliber Technology Oy is developing capabilities for battery-grade lithium hydroxide monohydrate (LHM) production from spodumene ores. A detailed life-cycle assessment (LCA) of this pathway is conducted to determine its life-cycle GHG impacts using Argonne's R&D GREET (Research and Development Greenhouse gases, Regulated Emissions, and Energy use in Technologies) model. The analysis shows life-cycle GHG emissions of similar to 9.2 kg CO 2-eq /kg LHM, dominated by contributions from three energy sources - diesel, natural gas, and electricity - and two material inputs - lime (CaO) and soda ash (Na 2 CO 3 ). Sensitivity analyses highlight the potential to reduce these impacts using low-carbon electricity, sequestration of process CO 2 emissions generated during CaO and Na 2 CO 3 production, and bio-based energy for LHM production (by similar to 15 % each). A comparative analysis shows lower impacts for Keliber's LHM than for existing LHM production from Australian spodumene ores processed in China (by similar to 40 %).
CCS↗
Techno-Economic Analysis and Life Cycle Assessment of the Production of Biodegradable Polyaliphatic–Polyaromatic Polyesters
Poly(butylene-adipate terephthalate) (PBAT) is a polyaliphatic–polyaromatic polyester that is biodegradable and has found application in several markets, making it a widely produced biodegradable polymer worldwide. However, the production of PBAT is carbon-intensive, as it relies on the use of petroleum-based monomers. There is, thus, significant interest in identifying polyesters that are biodegradable and less carbon-intensive (e.g., use of biomass- derived monomers). In this work, we develop a detailed process model (and an associated database) for the production of polyaliphatic–polyaromatic polyesters including petroleum-based PBAT and biomass-derived alternatives including poly(pentylene- adipate terephthalate) and poly(pentylene-adipate furandicarboxy- late). Techno-economic analysis (TEA) reveals that the production costs of these polyesters strongly depend on monomer costs (accounting for over 90% of the total production cost) and identifies market conditions under which biomass-based polyesters can be cost-competitive to petroleum-based PBAT. Life cycle assessment (LCA) shows that biomass-derived polyesters can reduce the global warming impact of PBAT by half. Altogether, the proposed TEA/LCA model aims to provide guidance into polyesters that are most promising and help assess their overall economic and environmental performance.
42 ENGINEERING↗
Methane Adsorption on Heteroatom-Modified Maquettes of Porous Carbon Surfaces
Experimental and theoretical studies disagree on the energetics of methane adsorption on carbon materials. However, this information is critical for the rational design and optimization of the structure and composition of adsorbents for natural gas storage. The delicate nature of dispersion interactions, polarization of both the adsorbent and the adsorbate, interplay between H-bonding and tetrel bonding, and induced dipole/Coulomb interactions inherent to methane physisorption require computational treatment at the highest possible level of theory. In this study, we employed the smallest reasonable computational model, a maquette of porous carbon surfaces with a central site for substitution and methane binding. The most accurate predictions of methane adsorption energetics were achieved by electron-correlated molecular orbital theory CCSD(T) and hybrid density functional theory MN15 calculations employing a saturated, all-electron basis set. Here, the characteristic geometry of methane adsorption on a carbon surface (“lander approach”) arises due to bonding interactions of the adsorbent π-system with the proximal H–C bonds of methane, in addition to tetrel bonding between the antibonding orbital of the distal C–H bond and the central atom of the maquette (C, B, or N). The polarization of the electron density, structural deformations, and the comprehensive energetic analysis clearly indicate a ∼3 kJ mol –1 preference for methane binding on the N-substituted maquette. The B-substituted maquette showed a comparable or lower binding energy than the unsubstituted, pure C model, depending on the level of theory employed. The calculated thermodynamic results indicate a strategy for incorporating electron-enriched substitutions (e.g., N) into carbon materials as a way to increase methane storage capacity over electron-deficient (e.g., B) modifications. The thermochemical analysis was revised for establishing a conceptual agreement between the experimental isosteric heat of adsorption and the binding enthalpies from statistical thermodynamics principles.
03 NATURAL GAS↗
Comprehensive Diagnostics for Bond-Selective Nanocarbon Growth in Plasmas
This award was continuation funding for our previously supported efforts into carbon nanoparticle synthesis with tunable bond hybridization, including for luminescent carbon nanoparticles, amorphous carbon nanoparticles, and eventually nanodiamond. Beginning in early 2021 we supported preliminary experiments with in-house funds. In February 2021 our user proposal to the PCRF to investigate this topic was accepted and our experiments at PCRF took place in July 2022. DOE awarded this proposal to support data analysis based on those experiments, and supported the continued efforts towards finalizing that work. With those results and further efforts, we will be able to finalize our early research into nucleation and growth of carbon nanoparticles for a long-term objective of selective bonding in carbon and other nanomaterials grown in low-temperature plasmas. We made several important discoveries.
70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗