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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,351 records · Page 75
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Predictive Workload Model for Air Traffic Controllers during UAM Operations

The effect of airspace factors on air traffic controller (ATC) workload has been an active area of study for almost three decades due to the importance of safety considerations necessary to design and maintain operations. Existing literature has examined several traffic-related (e.g., number of aircraft under control, loss of separation) contributors to ATC workload and proposed mathematical functions to best describe controller response. However, future air traffic continues to increase in complexity with the introduction of urban air mobility (UAM) – or the transportation of humans and cargo using electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft. UAM aims to alleviate congestion for existing ground transportation systems and improve mobility within urban centers and other high-demand locations. This shift in the traditional airspace paradigm necessitates an evolved understanding of model use and development for ATC workload prediction. This study aimed to develop an ATC workload forecasting model based on human-in-the-loop (HITL) simulation data for UAM operations at large airports. Data collected from the HITL simulation served as the training and testing data for a Long Short-Term Memory recurrent neural network and enabled time-series forecasting of ATC workload from traffic characteristics. Results demonstrated the potential of LSTM models for forecasting ATC workload 40 minutes into the future and highlighted important considerations for future development.

predictive model↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Predictive Workload Model for Air Traffic Controllers during UAM Operations

The effect of airspace factors on air traffic controller (ATC) workload has been an active area of study for almost three decades due to the importance of safety considerations necessary to design and maintain operations. Existing literature has examined several traffic-related (e.g., number of aircraft under control, loss of separation) contributors to ATC workload and proposed mathematical functions to best describe controller response. However, future air traffic continues to increase in complexity with the introduction of urban air mobility (UAM) – or the transportation of humans and cargo using electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft. UAM aims to alleviate congestion for existing ground transportation systems and improve mobility within urban centers and other high-demand locations. This shift in the traditional airspace paradigm necessitates an evolved understanding of model use and development for ATC workload prediction. This study aimed to develop an ATC workload forecasting model based on human-in-the-loop (HITL) simulation data for UAM operations at large airports. Data collected from the HITL simulation served as the training and testing data for a Long Short-Term Memory recurrent neural network and enabled time-series forecasting of ATC workload from traffic characteristics. Results demonstrated the potential of LSTM models for forecasting ATC workload 40 minutes into the future and highlighted important considerations for future development.

predictive model↗
DOE OSTI2023

Performance analysis and comparison of data-driven models for predicting indoor temperature in multi-zone commercial buildings

Building thermal models, which characterize the properties of a building’s envelope and thermal mass, are essential for accurate indoor temperature and cooling/heating demand prediction. Because of their flexibility and ease of use, data-driven models are increasingly used. Here, this study compared and analyzed the performance of gray-box (resistance-capacitance) and black-box (recurrent neural network) models for predicting indoor air temperature in a real multi-zone commercial building. The developed resistance-capacitance model served as a benchmark model for which full sets of temporal data and building information were used as inputs. The recurrent neural network models were trained and tested assuming various available types and amounts of temporal data and known building physical information to investigate the effects of data and information availability. Feature importance analysis was conducted to select the key variables for different prediction targets under different scenarios. This research provides guidance in selecting an appropriate building thermal response modeling method based on the measured data availability, building physical information, and application.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2022

Determination of Infinite Dilution Activity Coefficients of Molecular Solutes in Ionic Liquids and Deep Eutectic Solvents by Factorization-Machine-Based Neural Networks

Widely known as “green solvents,” ionic liquids (ILs) and deep eutectic solvents (DESs) have been used as substitutes for traditional organic solvents in separation science. To achieve better separations using ILs and DESs, this work aimed to predict the infinite dilution activity coefficients (IDACs) of molecular solutes in these solvents with the state-of-the-art factorization-machine-based neural network (DeepFM). DeepFM combines the benefits of factorization machines and deep neural networks to learn both low-order and high-order interactions among features. The IDAC prediction model was established with 52,372 experimental IDAC datapoints including 260 solvents (252 ILs and 8 DESs) and 112 molecular solutes collected at various temperatures from 288.15 to 428.15 K. Chemical information describing the ILs, DESs, and molecular solutes was included in the IDAC prediction model, including chemical functional groups, molecular weights, and Abraham solvation parameters. The IDAC prediction model showed an improved accuracy compared with alternative models; additionally, DESs were included in the IDAC prediction model for the first time. Here, the model will reduce the energy and resources needed to optimize the selection of ILs and DESs for specific separations, which will promote the development of these green solvents for sustainable chemical processes.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
NASA NTRS1992

Semi-empirical model for prediction of unsteady forces on an airfoil with application to flutter

A semi-empirical model is described for predicting unsteady aerodynamic forces on arbitrary airfoils under mildly stalled and unstalled conditions. Aerodynamic forces are modeled using second order ordinary differential equations for lift and moment with airfoil motion as the input. This model is simultaneously integrated with structural dynamics equations to determine flutter characteristics for a two degrees-of-freedom system. Results for a number of cases are presented to demonstrate the suitability of this model to predict flutter. Comparison is made to the flutter characteristics determined by a Navier-Stokes solver and also the classical incompressible potential flow theory.

Mahajan, Aparajit J.↗
NASA NTRS1993

Semi-empirical model for prediction of unsteady forces on an airfoil with application to flutter

A semi-empirical model is described for predicting unsteady aerodynamic forces on arbitrary airfoils under mildly stalled and unstalled conditions. Aerodynamic forces are modeled using second order ordinary differential equations for lift and moment with airfoil motion as the input. This model is simultaneously integrated with structural dynamics equations to determine flutter characteristics for a two degrees-of-freedom system. Results for a number of cases are presented to demonstrate the suitability of this model to predict flutter. Comparison is made to the flutter characteristics determined by a Navier-Stokes solver and also the classical incompressible potential flow theory.

Mahajan, A. J.↗
DOE OSTI2021

Semi-automated Design of Artificial Intelligence Earth Systems Models

Prediction and observation of water cycles at various scales involve not only patterns isolated in space and time, but also modeling of complex spatio-temporal relationships across multiple domains. For instance, evapotranspiration (ET) and leaf area indexes (LAI) are two parameters that are needed to accurately model and understand land-atmosphere processes. Accurate assessments of ET and LAI are critical for understanding hydrological processes, deforestation, crop yield, and irrigation impacts. However, ET estimates for global simulations are available at very coarse spatial resolution. They are usually derived from satellite data based on broad plant functional types (PFTs), which fail to capture fine-scale variations because of changes in vegetation type across the globe. Similarly LAI estimates have typically been derived from vegetation indices at global scales or estimated locally using physical models, both of which suffer from a range of uncertainties that impact model sensitivity. The new era of AI model development for Earth systems (ES) calls for data-driven methods that provide domain scientists with uncertainty-aware estimations of biophysical parameters such as ET and LAI in a generalizable, interpretable, and discoverable manner.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRS1993

The use of computer models to predict temperature and smoke movement in high bay spaces

The Building and Fire Research Laboratory (BFRL) was given the opportunity to make measurements during fire calibration tests of the heat detection system in an aircraft hangar with a nominal 30.4 (100 ft) ceiling height near Dallas, TX. Fire gas temperatures resulting from an approximately 8250 kW isopropyl alcohol pool fire were measured above the fire and along the ceiling. The results of the experiments were then compared to predictions from the computer fire models DETACT-QS, FPETOOL, and LAVENT. In section A of the analysis conducted, DETACT-QS AND FPETOOL significantly underpredicted the gas temperature. LAVENT at the position below the ceiling corresponding to maximum temperature and velocity provided better agreement with the data. For large spaces, hot gas transport time and an improved fire plume dynamics model should be incorporated into the computer fire model activation routines. A computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model, HARWELL FLOW3D, was then used to model the hot gas movement in the space. Reasonable agreement was found between the temperatures predicted from the CFD calculations and the temperatures measured in the aircraft hangar. In section B, an existing NASA high bay space was modeled using the CFD model. The NASA space was a clean room, 27.4 m (90 ft) high with forced horizontal laminar flow. The purpose of this analysis is to determine how the existing fire detection devices would respond to various size fires in the space. The analysis was conducted for 32 MW, 400 kW, and 40 kW fires.

Notarianni, Kathy A.↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Modeling of a Solid Oxide Fuel Cell as Part of a Predictive Functional Model for Aerospace Fuel-Cell Systems

This paper will discuss initial efforts at modeling a solid oxide fuel cell (SOFC) for aerospace applications. Fuel cells historically have been used in spacecraft from the Gemini to the Shuttle era for providing spacecraft power with the added benefit of producing water for crew use. However, there are many potential applications for fuel cells and electrolyzers in spaceflight, including oxygen generation, in-situ resource utilization (ISRU) and propellant production. This proof-of-concept model has been developed using a commercial multiphysics modeling software package. Two-dimensional and one-dimensional isothermal models were created based on a certain SOFC design and results were compared to test data from the real system. Local Butler-Volmer kinetic relations were adjusted, and an effective porous medium approach was taken in order to capture how the many interconnects between cells in the gas channels affected fluid flow. The model was able to reproduce polarization curves derived from test data within around 0.02 Volts for a given current density. This model could be adapted to model a solid oxide electrolyzer, proton exchange membrane fuel cell, or other type of fuel cell technology in order to understand how these types of technologies could fit into broader spacecraft designs and advance the capabilities of spaceflight systems.

Mary Lou Nadeau↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Modeling of a Solid Oxide Fuel Cell as Part of a Predictive Functional Model for Aerospace Fuel-Cell Systems

This paper will discuss initial efforts at modeling a solid oxide fuel cell (SOFC) for aerospace applications. Fuel cells historically have been used in spacecraft from the Gemini to the Shuttle era for providing spacecraft power with the added benefit of producing water for crew use. However, there are many potential applications for fuel cells and electrolyzers in spaceflight, including oxygen generation, in-situ resource utilization (ISRU) and propellant production. This proof-of-concept model has been developed using a commercial multiphysics modeling software package. Two-dimensional and one-dimensional isothermal models were created based on a certain SOFC design and results were compared to test data from the real system. Local Butler-Volmer kinetic relations were adjusted, and an effective porous medium approach was taken in order to capture how the many interconnects between cells in the gas channels affected fluid flow. The model was able to reproduce polarization curves derived from test data within around 0.02 Volts for a given current density. This model could be adapted to model a solid oxide electrolyzer, proton exchange membrane fuel cell, or other type of fuel cell technology in order to understand how these types of technologies could fit into broader spacecraft designs and advance the capabilities of spaceflight systems.

Mary Lou Nadeau↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Modeling of a Solid Oxide Fuel Cell as Part of a Predictive Functional Model for Aerospace Fuel-Cell Systems

This paper will discuss initial efforts at modeling a solid oxide fuel cell (SOFC) for aerospace applications. Fuel cells historically have been used in spacecraft from the Gemini to the Shuttle era for providing spacecraft power with the added benefit of producing water for crew use. However, there are many potential applications for fuel cells and electrolyzers in spaceflight, including oxygen generation, in-situ resource utilization (ISRU) and propellant production. This proof-of-concept model has been developed using a commercial multiphysics modeling software package. Two-dimensional and one-dimensional isothermal models were created based on a certain SOFC design and results were compared to test data from the real system. Local Butler-Volmer kinetic relations were adjusted, and an effective porous medium approach was taken in order to capture how the many interconnects between cells in the gas channels affected fluid flow. The model was able to reproduce polarization curves derived from test data within around 0.02 Volts for a given current density. This model could be adapted to model a solid oxide electrolyzer, proton exchange membrane fuel cell, or other type of fuel cell technology in order to understand how these types of technologies could fit into broader spacecraft designs and advance the capabilities of spaceflight systems.

Mary Lou Nadeau↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Modeling of a Solid Oxide Fuel Cell as Part of a Predictive Functional Model for Aerospace Fuel-Cell Systems

This paper will discuss initial efforts at modeling a solid oxide fuel cell (SOFC) for aerospace applications. Fuel cells historically have been used in spacecraft from the Gemini to the Shuttle era for providing spacecraft power with the added benefit of producing water for crew use. However, there are many potential applications for fuel cells and electrolyzers in spaceflight, including oxygen generation, in-situ resource utilization (ISRU) and propellant production. This proof-of-concept model has been developed using a commercial multiphysics modeling software package. Two-dimensional and one-dimensional isothermal models were created based on a certain SOFC design and results were compared to test data from the real system. Local Butler-Volmer kinetic relations were adjusted, and an effective porous medium approach was taken in order to capture how the many interconnects between cells in the gas channels affected fluid flow. The model was able to reproduce polarization curves derived from test data within around 0.02 Volts for a given current density. This model could be adapted to model a solid oxide electrolyzer, proton exchange membrane fuel cell, or other type of fuel cell technology in order to understand how these types of technologies could fit into broader spacecraft designs and advance the capabilities of spaceflight systems.

Mary Lou Nadeau↗
DOE OSTI2025

Model-driven prediction for accelerator magnet diagnostics to improve operation reliability

Reliability is one of the most critical metrics for accelerator operation, especially in user facilities. To reduce costly facility downtime and provide an operational environment where system performance can be reliably predicted in support of scientific studies, we are developing a model-driven approach for prediction and anomaly detection. Here, in this study, we present the application of a model-driven method that employs a linear regression model to predict the future temperature, in real time, of accelerator magnets at the NSLS-II light source. This approach enables proactive identification of magnet-heating issues, facilitating magnet flushing prior to the occurrence of permanent damage without interrupting machine operation. The implementation of this method in the NSLS-II control room is described and the analysis of the online results is presented. The results demonstrate the model’s effectiveness in providing early alerts to engineers and improving the reliability of accelerator operations.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2019

Constitutive Modeling for Predicting High-Temperature Flow Behavior in Aluminum 5083+10 Wt Pct SiC{sub p} Composite

A constitutive model capable of predicting material flow behavior with high precision is essential for optimizing secondary processing parameters through simulation techniques. In this study, the hot deformation behavior of aluminum 5083+10 wt pct SiC particulate composite was predicted using constitutive equations based on the modified Johnson–Cook (JC), modified Zerilli–Armstrong (ZA), and strain-compensated Arrhenius models. The models were established on the basis of the true stress–strain values obtained from an isothermal hot compression test conducted on the INSTRON 8801 universal tensile testing machine under a temperature range of 473 K to 773 K and strain rate of 0.01 to 10 s{sup −1}. The prediction ability of the modified models was compared by calculating the correlation coefficient (R), average absolute relative error, and relative error. All the models could precisely predict the hot flow behavior of the composite. The modified ZA model had the highest accuracy. The JC model required the least number of material constants and had the lowest calculation time, followed by the modified ZA and strain-compensated Arrhenius models.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2015

Ecosystem biogeochemistry model parameterization: Do more flux data result in a better model in predicting carbon flux?

Reliability of terrestrial ecosystem models highly depends on the quantity and quality of thedata that have been used to calibrate the models. Nowadays, in situ observations of carbon fluxes areabundant. However, the knowledge of how much data (data length) and which subset of the time seriesdata (data period) should be used to effectively calibrate the model is still lacking. This study uses theAmeriFlux carbon flux data to parameterize the Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (TEM) with an adjoint-baseddata assimilation technique for various ecosystem types. Parameterization experiments are thus conductedto explore the impact of both data length and data period on the uncertainty reduction of the posteriormodel parameters and the quantification of site and regional carbon dynamics. We find that: the modelis better constrained when it uses two-year data comparing to using one-year data. Further, two-year datais sufficient in calibrating TEM’s carbon dynamics, since using three-year data could only marginallyimprove the model performance at our study sites; the model is better constrained with the data thathave a higher‘‘climate variability’’than that having a lower one. The climate variability is used to measurethe overall possibility of the ecosystem to experience all climatic conditions including drought and extremeair temperatures and radiation; the U.S. regional simulations indicate that the effect of calibration datalength on carbon dynamics is amplified at regional and temporal scales, leading to large discrepanciesamong different parameterization experiments, especially in July and August. Our findings areconditioned on the specific model we used and the calibration sites we selected. The optimal calibrationdata length may not be suitable for other models. However, this study demonstrates that there may exist athreshold for calibration data length and simply using more data would not guarantee a better modelparameterization and prediction. More importantly, climate variability might be an effective indicator ofinformation within the data, which could help data selection for model parameterization. As a result, we believe ourfindings will benefit the ecosystem modeling community in using multiple-year data to improve modelpredictability.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗