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System engineering toolbox for design-oriented engineers

This system engineering toolbox is designed to provide tools and methodologies to the design-oriented systems engineer. A tool is defined as a set of procedures to accomplish a specific function. A methodology is defined as a collection of tools, rules, and postulates to accomplish a purpose. For each concept addressed in the toolbox, the following information is provided: (1) description, (2) application, (3) procedures, (4) examples, if practical, (5) advantages, (6) limitations, and (7) bibliography and/or references. The scope of the document includes concept development tools, system safety and reliability tools, design-related analytical tools, graphical data interpretation tools, a brief description of common statistical tools and methodologies, so-called total quality management tools, and trend analysis tools. Both relationship to project phase and primary functional usage of the tools are also delineated. The toolbox also includes a case study for illustrative purposes. Fifty-five tools are delineated in the text.

Goldberg, B. E.↗

Empirical radius formulas for canonical neutron stars from bidirectionally selecting features of equations of state in extended Bayesian analyses of observational data

Significant advancement in Bayesian inference of nuclear equation of state (EOS) from gravitational wave and x-ray observations of neutron stars (NSs) has been made by the nuclear astrophysics community especially since GW170817. By extending the traditional Bayesian analysis which normally ends at presenting the marginalized posterior probability distribution functions (PDFs) of individual EOS parameters and their correlations (or sometimes only the Pearson correlation coefficients which are only reliably useful when the variables are linearly correlated while they are actually often not), we search for a data-driven and robust empirical formula for the radius 𝑅 1.4 of canonical NSs in terms of the characteristic EOS parameters (features). We also identify the single most important but currently poorly known EOS parameter for determining the 𝑅 1.4 . Using three regression-model-building methodologies: bidirectional stepwise feature selection, least absolute shrinkage selection operator (LASSO) regression, and neural network regression on a large set of posterior EOSs and the corresponding 𝑅 1.4 values inferred from earlier comprehensive Bayesian analyses of NS observational data, we systematically and rigorously develop the most probable 𝑅 1.4 formulas with varying statistical accuracy and technical complexity. Here, the most important EOS parameters for determining 𝑅 1.4 are found consistently in each of the feature selection processes to be (in order of decreasing importance): curvature 𝐾 sym , slope 𝐿, skewness 𝐽 sym of nuclear symmetry energy, skewness 𝐽 0 , incompressibility 𝐾 0 of symmetric nuclear matter, and the magnitude 𝐸 sym ⁡(𝜌 0 ) of symmetry energy at the saturation density 𝜌 0 of nuclear matter.

Bayesian methods↗

AI-Batt (Autonomous Identification of Battery Life Models) [SWR 21-36]

Autonomous Identification of Battery Life Models (AI-Batt) AI-Batt is a MATLAB code base for developing lifetime models for batteries from accelerated aging data. The code base provides many functions for processing, visualizing, and modeling battery aging data, making the data processing, exploration, and modeling workflow substantially faster. These tools are tailored for working with battery aging data sets, which usually consist of many separate time-series for each cell, with many test conditions and possible replicates at each condition, which makes it difficult to simply process or visualize the data set. Complex modeling tasks, such as cross-validation, sensitivity analysis, and uncertainty quantification have been implemented to enable thorough statistical investigation of model predictions. Additionally, several machine-learning algorithms are implemented to autonomously identify suitable models via symbolic regression. Data processing functions automatically cast data from the struct data type, which is commonly used to store experimental data, but is not an acceptable input for most algorithms, to the table data type, which can be easily used as input to any optimization algorithm. Also, the data can be separated into time-invariant and time-variant data tables, which is helpful for exploring the data set as well as developing separate models for time-variant and time-invariant aging mechanisms. For example, in aging tests with constant temperature, temperature is a time-invariant experimental condition. Visualization tools enable plotting of data, model fits, and model simulations possible with single-line function calls, empowering data exploration of complex data sets with both time-varying and time-invariant trends. Plots can be automatically generated for the whole data set, or separated by data group (groups of test replicates) or individual data series. Data points or data series can be automatically colored by the value of a variable with a variety of color maps, and model predictions can also be colored by the value of a fit statistic. Comparisons between data sets and the predictions/simulations of different models on the same data set can be easily plotted as well. Distributions of parameter values from bootstrap resampling can be plotted to visualize the reliability of parameter estimation, or determine any correlations between parameters. Modeling tools handle the complex task of creating and parsing symbolic equations for modeling battery lifetime. Equations are parsed to grab relevant data variables, parameter values, or specified sub-models for input into optimization, evaluation, or simulation functions. Models can be optimized locally (one set of parameters for each data series), bi-level (some parameters shared across the data set), or globally (single set of parameters for all data). Functions implementing symbolic regression algorithms help users to discover effective model equations, even in poorly sampled, high-dimensional data.

Smith, Kandler↗

InterGraph-CPS: A Graph-Theoretic Approach to Characterize Cross-Domain Cyber-Physical Interdependencies and Uncertainties in Electric Grid Systems for Improved Decision-Making in Operation and Response

Critical infrastructure systems such as the electric grid are increasingly cyber-physical; yet, despite the cyber-physical characteristics of critical infrastructure systems, the physical process system and communication/control network system are traditionally analyzed in siloes. As these systems become more cyber-physical, it is crucial that models and methods are available to assess the cyber physical system (CPS) interdependencies, characteristics, and event propagation for improved planning, operation, and response. Thus, we proposed an integrated structural and temporal CPS interdependency analysis framework, InterGraph-CPS, that provides insight into the CPS function during normal operation as well as disturbances. This integrated structural and temporal interdependency framework is uniquely designed for assessing CPSs by account for the challenges of analyzing cyber and physical data streams together due to data availability, data type, and time scale differences. By leveraging both structural (e.g., graph analysis) and temporal (e.g., data analytics) techniques, different CPS behaviors and configurations can be accounted for.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Atomic arrangements in an amorphous CoFeB ribbon extracted via an analysis of radial distribution functions

Here we discuss the atomic structure of amorphous ferromagnetic FeCoB alloys, which are used widely in spintronics applications. Specifically, we obtain the pair-distribution functions for various atomic pairs based on high-energy x-ray diffraction data taken from an amorphous Co 20 Fe 61 B 19 specimen. We start our reverse Monte Carlo cycles to determine the disordered structure with a two-phase model in which a small amount of cobalt is mixed with Fe 23 B 6 as a second phase. The structure of the alloy is found to be heterogeneous, where the boron atoms drive disorder through the random occupation of the atomic network. Our analysis also indicates the presence of small cobalt clusters that are embedded in the iron matrix and percolating the latter throughout the structure. This morphology can explain the enhanced spin polarization observed in amorphous magnetic materials.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Dark Energy Survey Year 6 Results: Cosmological Constraints from Galaxy Clustering and Weak Lensing

We present cosmology results combining galaxy clustering and weak gravitational lensing measured in the full six years (Y6) of observations by the Dark Energy Survey (DES) covering $\sim$5000 deg$^2$. We perform a large-scale structure analysis using three two-point correlation functions (3$\times$2pt): (i) cosmic shear from 140 million source galaxy shapes, (ii) galaxy clustering of 9 million lens galaxy positions, and (iii) galaxy-galaxy lensing from their cross-correlation. We model the data in flat $Λ$CDM and $w$CDM cosmologies. The combined analysis yields $S_8\equiv σ_8 (Ω_{\rm m}/0.3)^{0.5} = 0.789^{+0.012}_{-0.012}$ and matter density $Ω_{\rm m} = 0.333^{+0.023}_{-0.028}$ in $Λ$CDM (68% CL), where $σ_8$ is the clustering amplitude. These constraints show a (full-space) parameter difference of 1.8$σ$ from a combination of cosmic microwave background (CMB) primary anisotropy datasets from Planck 2018, ACT-DR6, and SPT-3G DR1. Projected only into $S_8$ the difference is $2.6σ$. In $w$CDM the Y6 3$\times$2pt results yield $S_8 = 0.782^{+0.021}_{-0.020}$, $Ω_{\rm m} = 0.325^{+0.032}_{-0.035}$, and dark energy equation-of-state parameter $w = -1.12^{+0.26}_{-0.20}$. For the first time, we combine all DES dark-energy probes: 3$\times$2pt, SNe Ia, BAO and Clusters. In $Λ$CDM this combination yields a $2.8σ$ parameter difference from the CMB. When combining DES 3$\times$2pt with other low-redshift datasets (DESI DR2 BAO, DES SNe Ia, SPT clusters), we find a 2.3$σ$ parameter difference with CMB. A joint fit of Y6 3$\times$2pt, CMB, and those low-redshift datasets produces the tightest $Λ$CDM constraints to date: $S_8 = 0.806^{+0.006}_{-0.007}$, $Ω_{\rm m} = 0.302^{+0.003}_{-0.003}$, $h = 0.683^{+0.003}_{-0.002}$, and $\sum m_ν< 0.14$ eV (95% CL). In $w$CDM, this combination yields $w = -0.981^{+0.021}_{-0.022}$.

Abbott, T. M.C. [Cerro-Tololo InterAmerican Obs.]↗

Gear Damage Detection Using Oil Debris Analysis

The purpose of this paper was to verify, when using an oil debris sensor, that accumulated mass predicts gear pitting damage and to identify a method to set threshold limits for damaged gears. Oil debris data was collected from 8 experiments with no damage and 8 with pitting damage in the NASA Glenn Spur Gear Fatigue Rig. Oil debris feature analysis was performed on this data. Video images of damage progression were also collected from 6 of the experiments with pitting damage. During each test, data from an oil debris sensor was monitored and recorded for the occurrence of pitting damage. The data measured from the oil debris sensor during experiments with damage and with no damage was used to identify membership functions to build a simple fuzzy logic model. Using fuzzy logic techniques and the oil debris data, threshold limits were defined that discriminate between stages of pitting wear. Results indicate accumulated mass combined with fuzzy logic analysis techniques is a good predictor of pitting damage on spur gears.

Dempsey, Paula J.↗

Understanding the Hydronium Cation in the Solid State: A Study in Synthetic Hydronium Uranyl Phosphate and Arsenate Mineral Systems and Their Irradiation Stability

Here, we present neutron diffraction, electronic structure calculations, and optical vibrational spectroscopic characterization of hydronium uranyl phosphate (HUP), the synthetic analog of chernikovite ((H 3 O)(UO 2 )(PO 4 )·3H 2 O) to gain insight into structural features of the hydronium cation in the solid state. HUP crystallizes in P2 1 /c instead of previously reported P4/ncc 1 at room temperature and Pccn below 302 K. Lower symmetry was required due to hydronium and interstitial water positions within the structure. Crystallographic positions of hydronium cations determined from powder neutron diffraction data are bolstered by Raman and attenuated total reflectance infrared spectroscopic measurements and are further informed by density functional theory with phonon eigenvector analysis for spectral assignments. Finally, HUP and its arsenate analog (trogerite, (H 3 O)(UO 2 )(AsO 4 )·3H 2 O), (HUAs) were studied using He 2+ irradiation as an analog for α radiolysis to investigate the irradiation stability of these phases and the stability of hydronium cations in the solid state. Dose studies were employed wherein each sample was irradiated to 5, 10, 15, 25, and 50 MGy. Structural insight regarding irradiated materials is gained using optical vibrational spectroscopy and powder X-ray diffraction. Surprising irradiation stability of HUAs was found up to 50 MGy of dose, which may have important implications for understanding and modeling the geologic stability of legacy U.

actinides↗

Probing elemental speciation in hydrochar produced from hydrothermal liquefaction of anaerobic digestates using quantitative X-ray diffraction

Valorization of hydrochar, a solid byproduct from hydrothermal liquefaction (HTL) of anaerobically-digested agriculture wastes (digestates), requires fundamental knowledge of elemental speciation. This study investigated the effects of reaction temperatures (320–360 °C), digestate pH (3.5–8), and digestate cellulose-to-lignin ratios (0.2–1.8) on the speciation (chemical form) and composition of organics and inorganics in hydrochars produced during hydrothermal treatment. Quantitative X-ray diffraction (XRD) method was the primary technique used to characterize hydrochars. The comprehensive XRD pattern processing including the Rietveld refinement protocols demonstrated that the organic phase was comprised of mostly crystalline monocyclic, heterocyclic, and polycyclic aromatics with diverse aliphatic and aromatic substituents, while the inorganic mineral phase consisted of calcium-phosphates, magnesium-phosphates, calcium-carbonates, and magnesium-carbonates. Further, XRD results were validated by the elemental yields of products and the distribution of chemical functionalities measured using solid-state nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) spectroscopy. The characterization data were used to evaluate proposed mechanistic pathways using compositional analysis of biocrude and aqueous-phase coproducts. Mechanistic pathways developed in the study suggested that benzoic acids, phenols, benzaldehydes, phenolic aldehydes, α-dicarbonyls, and α-hydroxycarbonyls were responsible for the precipitation of organics through various reactions depending on operating conditions. Meanwhile, the formation of inorganic compounds appeared to be consistently represented by reactions including dehydration, hydrolysis, endergonic reduction, and structure rearrangement of native minerals in the digestates. This study provides basic knowledge needed to create and assess potential elemental speciation pathways. In addition, the results of the study facilitate the specification of process conditions to optimize targeted utilization routes of hydrochar for more economically-feasible and sustainable HTL processing.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Building Efficiency Targeting Tool for Energy Retrofits (BETTER) Application Programing Interface (API) (BETTER API) v1.0

The BETTER API allows advanced users and developers to access BETTER's analytical functionalities via HTTP requests from their own software platform without using the BETTER web-interface. API users prepare the input data and analysis configurations in a JSON format and send it to the web application via an HTTP request. The web application runs the analytical workflow on the back end and returns an HTTP response in JSON format. The user can then decide to render the results or further process it.

Szum, Carolyn↗

COMPILE: a GWAS computational pipeline for gene discovery in complex genomes

Abstract Background Genome-Wide Association Studies (GWAS) are used to identify genes and alleles that contribute to quantitative traits in large and genetically diverse populations. However, traits with complex genetic architectures create an enormous computational load for discovery of candidate genes with acceptable statistical certainty. We developed a streamlined computational pipeline for GWAS (COMPILE) to accelerate identification and annotation of candidate maize genes associated with a quantitative trait, and then matches maize genes to their closest rice and Arabidopsis homologs by sequence similarity. Results COMPILE executed GWAS using a Mixed Linear Model that incorporated, without compression, recent advancements in population structure control, then linked significant Quantitative Trait Loci (QTL) to candidate genes and RNA regulatory elements contained in any genome. COMPILE was validated using published data to identify QTL associated with the traits of α-tocopherol biosynthesis and flowering time, and identified published candidate genes as well as additional genes and non-coding RNAs. We then applied COMPILE to 274 genotypes of the maize Goodman Association Panel to identify candidate loci contributing to resistance of maize stems to penetration by larvae of the European Corn Borer ( Ostrinia nubilalis ). Candidate genes included those that encode a gene of unknown function, WRKY and MYB-like transcriptional factors, receptor-kinase signaling, riboflavin synthesis, nucleotide-sugar interconversion, and prolyl hydroxylation. Expression of the gene of unknown function has been associated with pathogen stress in maize and in rice homologs closest in sequence identity. Conclusions The relative speed of data analysis using COMPILE allowed comparison of population size and compression. Limitations in population size and diversity are major constraints for a trait and are not overcome by increasing marker density. COMPILE is customizable and is readily adaptable for application to species with robust genomic and proteome databases.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Graphite Oxidation Rate Study on ET-10 and ETU-10 Grades - Task 4: QA Support and Testing for Structural Graphite Oxidation

INL performed targeted oxidation tests to measure oxidation rates for samples of ET-10 and ETU-10 graphite under CRADA No. 21CRA22 Mod. 3, Annex A, “Tritium Testing to Support Kairos Power Advanced Reactor Demonstration” (04/02/2024). All testing was conducted within INL’s Carbon Characterization Laboratory (CCL) using test standard ASTM D7542-21 "Standard Test Method for Air Oxidation of Carbon and Graphite in the Kinetic Regime" [ASTM International, 2021]. Kairos Power provided all test specimens through its graphite vendor Ibiden, Inc. to INL and ASTM specimen specified dimensions. Information within this report only provides the Arrhenius oxidation rate plots as a function of temperature for each graphite grade tested. The raw mass loss per time data will be provided on the Nuclear Data Management and Analysis System (NDMAS) portal located on the INL information system.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Off-line data analysis and data reduction from digitally controlled random test systems.

This paper discusses the merits of employing the new computer-controlled random environment control systems for fast and efficient large-scale data analysis when they are not being used for test control. Hardware and software requirements are stated. Several of the more familiar frequency functions are defined from the Fourier coefficients, the main product of the Fourier processors used in these control systems. Another function, the probability density function, is defined and suggestions for its application are made. An analysis example is presented. Some programming tips are listed, and the accuracy and reliability of frequency analysis measurements are considered.

Chapman, C. P.↗

MSFC Skylab operations support summary

A summary of the actions and problems involved in preparing the Skylab-one vehicle is presented. The subjects discussed are: (1) flight operations support functions and organization, (2) launch operations and booster flight support functions and organization, (3) Skylab launch vehicle support teams, (4) Skylab orbital operations support performance analysis, (5) support manning and procedures, and (6) data support and facilities.

Martin, J. R.↗

Detailed requirements document for the integrated structural analysis system, phase B

The requirements are defined for a software system entitled integrated Structural Analysis System (ISAS) Phase B which is being developed to provide the user with a tool by which a complete and detailed analysis of a complex structural system can be performed. This software system will allow for automated interface with numerous structural analysis batch programs and for user interaction in the creation, selection, and validation of data. This system will include modifications to the 4 functions developed for ISAS, and the development of 25 new functions. The new functions are described.

Rainey, J. A.↗

Active experiments in modifying spacecraft potential: Results from ATS-5 and ATS-6

Instruments on ATS-5 and ATS-6 were operated to study the phenomena of spacecraft charging. The ion engine neutralizers were operated in attempts to modify the spacecraft potentials. The neutralizer on ATS-5 is a hot filament emitting electrons, while the neutralizer on ATS-6 is a low energy plasma bridge. The diagnostics used were particle detectors, counting electrons and protons as a function of energy. Operations were conducted in daylight and eclipse. This report describes the processing data from these and other operations. Only preliminary analysis of some of this data has been carried out, with the following results: (1) electron emission does not perturb the status of a low potential satellite by more than 50 volts, (2) emission of a low energy plasma does not change low potentials by more than a few volts, (3) when ATS-6 enters eclipse in the presence of a high energy plasma, the neutralizer suppresses any rise in (within a few volts resolution), (4) when the electron emitter on ATS-5 is operated, it serves to discharge negative potentials from thousands to hundreds of volts.

Olsen, R.↗

A network of automatic atmospherics analyzer

The design and function of an atmospheric analyzer which uses a computer are discussed. Mathematical models which show the method of measurement are presented. The data analysis and recording procedures of the analyzer are discussed.

Schaefer, J.↗

Predicting the time-temperature dependent axial failure of B/Al composites

Theoretical and experimental studies are reviewed whose objective was to gain insight into and predict the effects of time, temperature, and stress on the axial failure modes of boron fibers and B/Al composites. Owing to the inelastic nature of boron fiber deformation, it proved possible to develop simple creep functions which can be used to describe accurately the creep and fracture stress of as-produced fibers. Analysis of damping and stress data for B/6061 Al composites indicates that fiber creep and the effects of creep of fiber fracture are measurably reduced by the composite fabrication process.

Dicarlo, J. A.↗