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At least 1,333 records · Page 74

Impacts of NASA's Earth Observations on Subseasonal and Seasonal Forecasts

NASA's suite of Earth-observing satellites provides a unique view of many processes on Earth, with relevance on timescales ranging from hours to weeks and even years. NASA's observations span all parts of the Earth system: atmospheric, ocean, land and cryosphere, and include physical, chemical and biological components. This presentation explores use of NASA observations in extended-range prediction, from many days to months, using the Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) assimilation and predictive modeling capabilities. The skill of a weather forecast is linked to the fidelity of the initialization process (data assimilation) and the realistic representation of "fast" physical processes in the model. At longer time horizons, the slower "feedback" processes in the Earth System begin to take a more prominent role in the accuracy of the forecast. Simultaneously, forecast-skill attribution transitions away from feature-based metrics that emphasize smaller scales (e.g., representations of fronts and vortices) to metrics that emphasize the statistical distributions of large-scale features (e.g., ENSO diagnostics and teleconnections). This presentation will summarize studies performed using the GEOS-S2S (subseasonal to seasonal) system that explore the impacts of NASA observations on the fidelity of the forecasts. The GEOS-S2S system is configured for the atmosphere-ocean-land-ice model and is initialized using in-situ and space-based observations, including atmospheric aerosols and ozone which are not typically analyzed in such systems. The GEOS-S2S model routinely includes aerosol feedbacks, which systematically impact the realism of the forecasts, providing a first example of how suitable NASA observations impact the performance of the GEOS-S2S system. Studies in which a stratospheric chemistry module is activated in the GEOS-S2S system allow the impacts of ozone radiative feedbacks to be isolated. Space-based observations of sea-surface temperature and altimetry are routinely analyzed for the initialization of the GEOS-S2S system; recent advances allow the use of NASA's sea-surface salinity data, which are shown to impact the long-range skill of the forecasts.

Pawson, Steven↗

Soft mounted momentum compensated pointing system for the Space Shuttle Orbiter

This paper describes a potential pointing and tracking system for the Space Shuttle with possible future application to Space Station. In order to accomplish high precision pointing and tracking (at rates up to 2 deg/s) in the expected disturbance environment, a high bandwidth gimbaled pointing system is required. A soft-mounted, momentum-compensated gimbal system is suggested for this role. A momentum-compensated system is inertially reacting, decoupling the control system dynamics from the basebody structural dynamics. This allows a soft isolation stage to be added between the basebody and the articulation stage, which attenuates high frequency disturbances. In this paper, three configurations are examined: a hard-mounted system, a passive soft-mounted system, and an active soft-mounted system. Analysis demonstrates that the soft-mounted systems have superior disturbance-rejection properties. The active soft mount allows reduction of the isolation stiffness to zero, and so obtains the highest level of performance.

Sirlin, Samuel W.↗

Effect of artificial viscosity on shocked particle-laden flows for staggered grid Lagrangian methods

Abstract Shocked particle-laden flows are important to many natural and industrial processes. When simulating these systems, artificial viscosity is often required to prevent numerical artifacts, such as ringing, from arising in the pressure and density fields. The linear and quadratic coefficients of the artificial viscosity determine the amount of smoothing that occurs in these fields. For particle-laden flows, however, many of the fluid–particle interaction forces, for example, the pressure gradient force and unsteady forces, depend on gradients in the fluid fields. Furthermore, while the shock passes over a particle, these forces can be more dominant than drag. This means that the artificial viscosity coefficients affect how a particle and fluid interact when simulating shocked particle systems. Here this effect is investigated for isolated particles and for a particle curtain using a staggered grid Lagrangian approach. The artificial viscosity coefficients have a significant impact on the maximum force that a fluid imparts to a particle, which is important for determining whether a particle will break up in response to the shock. Furthermore, it is found that the density ratio between the particle and the fluid is important in determining whether the artificial viscosity coefficients have a significant impact on the particle’s motion.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

The Role of Cloud Radiative Effects in the Propagating Southern Annular Mode

Abstract The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is the most dominant natural mode of variability in the mid‐latitudes of the Southern Hemisphere (SH). However, both the sign and magnitude of the feedbacks from the diabatic processes, especially those associated with clouds, onto the SAM remain elusive. By applying the cloud locking technique to the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) atmosphere model, this study isolates the positive feedback from the cloud radiative effect (CRE) to the SAM. Feedback analysis based on a wave activity‐zonal momentum interaction framework corroborates this weak but positive feedback. While the magnitude of the CRE feedback appears to be secondary compared to the feedbacks from the dry and other diabatic processes, the indirect CRE effects through the interaction with other dynamical and thermodynamical processes appear to play as important a role as the direct CRE in the life cycle of the SAM. The cross‐EOF analysis further reveals the obstructive effect of the interactive CRE on the propagation mode of the SH zonal wind directly through the CRE wave source and/or indirectly through modulating other diabatic processes. As a result, the propagation mode becomes more persistent and the SAM it represents becomes more predictable when the interactive CRE is disabled by cloud locking. Future efforts on inter‐model comparisons of CRE‐denial experiments are important to build consensus on the dynamical feedback of CRE.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

WEC fault modelling and condition monitoring: A graph-theoretic approach

The nature of wave resources usually requires wave energy converter (WEC) components to handle peak loads (i.e., torques, forces, and powers) that are many times greater than their average loads, accelerating equipment degradation. Moreover, due to their isolated nature and harsh operating environment, WEC systems are projected to possess high operations and maintenance (O&M) cost, i.e., around 27% of their leveled cost of energy. As such, developing techniques to mitigate these costs through the application of condition monitoring and fault tolerant control will significantly impact the economic feasibility of grid connected WEC power. Toward this goal, models of faulty components are developed in the open source modeling platform, WEC-Sim, to estimate the performance and measurable states of a WEC operating with likely device and sensor failures. Two types of faulty component models are then applied to a point absorber WEC model with basic controller damping and spring forces. Resulting changes in device behavior are recorded as a benchmark, and a graph-theoretic approach is proposed for fault detection and identification utilizing multivariate time series. Simulation results demonstrate that these faults can greatly affect the WEC performance, and that the proposed method can effectively detect and classify different types of faults.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

A Path to 100 Percent Renewable Energy: Grid-Forming Inverters will Give Us the Grid We Need Now

This is a more urgent problem than it might sound. The westernmost Hawaiian island of significant size, Kauai is home to around 70,000 residents and 30,000 tourists at any given time. Renewable energy accounts for 70 percent of the energy produced in a typical year - a proportion that's among the highest in the world and that can be hard to sustain for such a small and isolated grid. During the day, the local system operator, the Kauai Island Utility Cooperative, sometimes reaches levels of 90 percent from solar alone. But on 2 April, the 26-MW generator was running near its peak output, to compensate for the drop in solar output as the sun set. At the moment when it failed, that single generator had been supplying 60 percent of the load for the entire island, with the rest being met by a mix of smaller generators and several utility-scale solar-and-battery systems.

battery management systems↗

Utah FORGE GeoThermOPTIMAL Video

This is a project description video by Dr. William W. Fleckenstein related to their "Development of Multi-Stage Fracturing System and Wellbore Tractor to Enable Zonal Isolation During Stimulation and EGS Operations in Horizontal Wellbores" R&D project at Utah FORGE which is linked bellow.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Shallow-to-Deep Convective Transition in the Amazon (Final Report)

The frequent and extensive deep cloud formations over the Amazon Basin provide a vast area of atmospheric heating in the Tropics, forcing large-scale global circulations on daily to secular time scales. Motivated by the importance of these systems to the global climate system and the well-documented seasonal cycle in rainfall over the Amazon Basin, this study focused on improving understanding of the processes governing these systems on seasonal time scales and their impact on the typical growth of convection from early afternoon through evening, termed the shallow-to-deep transition. This study is based on observations from the Department of Energy (DOE) ARM Mobile Facility (AMF) near Manacapuru, Brazil collected during the Observations and Modeling of the Green Ocean Amazon (GOAmazon) field campaign from 1 January 2014 to 30 November 2015, together with total column water vapor (CWV) and surface meteorological observations from a dense Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) network within 50 km of the AMF site provided by the CHUVA Program collected in coordination with the GOAmazon campaign. The specific objectives of this study were to address the following questions: 1) What environmental conditions support the shallow-to-deep convective transition over the Central Amazon? 2) How does the relative importance of these conditions compare during the wet and dry seasons? 3) How are these conditions modulated by basin-scale transient forcing? 4) How well are these processes captured by regional model simulations convective resolving scale? Our main hypothesis was that intra-seasonal atmospheric disturbances were a primary driver of rainfall during the wet season in the Central Amazon, while localized surface heating of the land was the primary driver of enhanced rainfall during the dry season. Overall, our findings supported our hypothesis, with the convectively active phase of atmospheric Kelvin waves strongly favoring the development of larger, more organized rain systems during the wet season, while localized isolated deep convection dominated the types of rain events seen during the dry season. These results have implications for the predictability of rainfall over the Central Amazon and for its representation in climate and weather models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Adaptive Cyber-Physical Resilience for Building Control Systems

The main goal of the project is to develop an AI-based process layer cybersecurity suite for detection, isolation and mitigation of cyber-attack effects on operation of building energy management systems (BEMS). The following constituent key technologies were developed under the program towards fulfilling the program objectives: (1) developed a high fidelity BEMS testbed for generation of training data and validation of developed technologies; (2) developed a physics informed ML based attack detection and localization module (ADL) capable of detecting high impact stealthy attacks (HISA - attacks causing 30% energy utilization but no immediate visible impact otherwise) with 98% accuracy; (3) developed a methodology to determine ’representative days’ to limit the data required for training; (4) developed a virtual sensing system that can reconstruct affected sensors with 10% error for the same HISA set; (5) developed a resilient model predictive control system that can continue operation of the BEMS without jeopardizing stability for the HISA set; and (6) integrated and deployed all the constituent modules and demonstrated the efficacy of the technology in real-time in a hardware in loop simulation.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Identifying and classifying localized states in gapless systems using pseudospectral methods

For decades, band theory has been used to understand the physical properties of crystals by leveraging these systems’ translational symmetries to determine the spectral range and distribution of their Bloch eigenstates. However, many important phenomena only manifest at a crystal’s defects or boundaries where this translational symmetry is broken, such as defect-localized states that appear at color centers, or boundary-localized states whose existence is guaranteed by topology. Although it is possible to extend band theoretic approaches to study these classes of states, these extensions are only applicable in gapped systems, where any localized states are spectrally isolated from the crystal’s bulk states.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

In Situ High-Temperature Ultrafast Electron Diffraction through Integrated Furnace and MEMS Platforms

Temperature fundamentally governs phase stability, defect evolution, and transport behavior in materials. Despite its central role, direct measurements of structural evolution at elevated temperatures on ultrafast timescales have remained limited. Here, we report the design, integration, and validation of 2 complementary in situ heating platforms that substantially extend the thermal operating range of ultrafast electron diffraction (UED). A compact furnace-type heating stage enables stable diffraction measurements from room temperature to 800 K with ±0.1 K stability under ultrahigh vacuum, achieved through multi-sensor feedback control, dual air-cooling channels, and a thermally isolated motion stage. In parallel, a microelectromechanical system (MEMS)-based heating platform provides rapid thermal response and access to extreme temperatures ≥1,373 K with ±0.1 K stability over hundreds-micrometer regions while supporting simultaneous electrical biasing for electrothermal coupling studies. Absolute temperature calibration is established using diffraction-based thermometry via aluminum lattice expansion and independently validated through in situ melting of bismuth thin films. UED measurements further reveal pronounced temperature-dependent nonequilibrium lattice dynamics in bismuth, including modifications to electron–phonon coupling and Debye–Waller behavior, as well as enhanced ultrafast diffuse scattering in aluminum at elevated temperatures. Together, these developments establish a practical framework for quantitative, time-resolved studies of temperature-driven kinetics and nonequilibrium structural dynamics under extreme thermal environments.

Bai, Qianqian [Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS), ↗

Controlled flow assembly

Incorporation of isolation valves in high pressure oxygen supply system prevents occurrence of shock ignition when valves are opened. Specifications of equipment show flow rates, pressure ratings, and service life. Illustration of equipment is provided.

Cohen, A. E.↗

A miniaturized pointing mount for Spacelab missions

A Miniaturized Pointing Mount (MPM) for Spacelab missions is defined and simulation results are described. This mount is proposed to complement the Spacelab Instrument Pointing System (IPS). It uses the same mount isolator concept as the Spacelab IPS but is much more efficient and economical for the accommodation of small shuttle payloads. The MPM is built from star tracker assemblies left over from the Apollo Telescope Mount program thereby assuring low cost and development risk. Simulation results indicate a high level of instrument stability can be expected. The short development time of the MPM would permit it to serve as a precursor to the Spacelab IPS for verifying critical new concepts such as the mount isolation and hold down mechanisms.

Fritz, C. G.↗

Concatenated coding systems employing a unit-memory convolutional code and a byte-oriented decoding algorithm

Concatenated coding systems utilizing a convolutional code as the inner code and a Reed-Solomon code as the outer code are considered. In order to obtain very reliable communications over a very noisy channel with relatively small coding complexity, it is proposed to concatenate a byte oriented unit memory convolutional code with an RS outer code whose symbol size is one byte. It is further proposed to utilize a real time minimal byte error probability decoding algorithm, together with feedback from the outer decoder, in the decoder for the inner convolutional code. The performance of the proposed concatenated coding system is studied, and the improvement over conventional concatenated systems due to each additional feature is isolated.

Lee, L. N.↗

Concatenated coding systems employing a unit-memory convolutional code and a byte-oriented decoding algorithm

Concatenated coding systems utilizing a convolutional code as the inner code and a Reed-Solomon code as the outer code are considered. In order to obtain very reliable communications over a very noisy channel with relatively modest coding complexity, it is proposed to concatenate a byte-oriented unit-memory convolutional code with an RS outer code whose symbol size is one byte. It is further proposed to utilize a real-time minimal-byte-error probability decoding algorithm, together with feedback from the outer decoder, in the decoder for the inner convolutional code. The performance of the proposed concatenated coding system is studied, and the improvement over conventional concatenated systems due to each additional feature is isolated.

Lee, L.-N.↗