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At least 1,333 records · Page 74

The Development of the New GEOS-MITgcm Atmosphere-Ocean Model for Coupled Data Assimilation System

During the last two plus decades, The Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) and Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) modeling groups have developed, respectively, atmosphere-only and ocean-only global general circulation models. These two models (GEOS and MITgcm) have demonstrated their data assimilation capabilities with the recent releases of the Modern Era Reanalysis for Research Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2) atmospheric reanalysis and the Estimating the Circulation and Climate of the Ocean, Version 4 (ECCO-v4) ocean (and sea ice) state estimate. Independently, the two modeling groups have also produced global atmosphere-only and ocean-only simulations with km-scale grid spacing which proved invaluable for process studies and for the development of satellite and in-situ sampling strategies.Recently, a new effort has been made to couple these two models and to leverage their data-assimilation and high resolution capabilities (i.e., eddy-permitting ocean, cloud-permitting atmosphere). The focus in the model development is put on sub-seasonal to decadal time scales. In this talk, I discuss the new coupled model and present some first coupled simulation results. This will include a high-resolution coupled GEOS-MIT simulation, whereby we have coupled a cubed-sphere-720 (~ 1/8 deg) configuration of the GEOS atmosphere to a lat-lon-cap-1080 (~ 1/12 deg) configuration of the MIT ocean. We compare near-surface diagnostics of this fully coupled ocean-atmosphere set-up to equivalent atmosphere-only and ocean-only simulations. In the comparisons we focus in particular on the differences in air-sea interactions between sea surface temperature (SST) and wind for the coupled and uncoupled simulations.

Strobach, Ehud↗

A New Atmosphere-Ocean Model for Studying Air-Sea Interactions and Coupled Data Assimilation

During the last two plus decades, The Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) and Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) modeling groups have developed, respectively, atmosphere-only and ocean-only global general circulation models. These two models (GEOS and MITgcm) have demonstrated their data assimilation capabilities with the recent releases of the Modern Era Reanalysis for Research Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2) atmospheric reanalysis and the Estimating the Circulation and Climate of the Ocean, Version 4 (ECCO-v4) ocean (and sea ice) state estimate. Independently, the two modeling groups have also produced global atmosphere-only and ocean-only simulations with km-scale grid spacing which proved invaluable for process studies and for the development of satellite and in-situ sampling strategies.Recently, a new effort has been made to couple these two models and to leverage their data-assimilation and high resolution capabilities (i.e., eddy-permitting ocean, cloud-permitting atmosphere). The focus in the model development is put on sub-seasonal to decadal time scales. In this talk, I discuss the new coupled model and present some first coupled simulation results. This will include a high-resolution coupled GEOS-MIT simulation, whereby we have coupled a cubed-sphere-720 (~ 1/8°) configuration of the GEOS atmosphere to a lat-lon-cap-1080 (~ 1/12°) configuration of the MIT ocean. We compare near-surface diagnostics of this fully coupled ocean-atmosphere set-up to equivalent atmosphere-only and ocean-only simulations. In the comparisons we focus in particular on the differences in air-sea interactions between sea surface temperature (SST) and wind for the coupled and uncoupled simulations.

Strobach, Ehud↗

The Development of the New GEOS-MITgcm Atmosphere-Ocean Model for Coupled Data Assimilation System

During the last two plus decades, The Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) and Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) modeling groups have developed, respectively, atmosphere-only and ocean-only global general circulation models. These two models (GEOS and MITgcm) have demonstrated their data assimilation capabilities with the recent releases of the Modern Era Reanalysis for Research Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2) atmospheric reanalysis and the Estimating the Circulation and Climate of the Ocean, Version 4 (ECCO-v4) ocean (and sea ice) state estimate. Independently, the two modeling groups have also produced global atmosphere-only and ocean-only simulations with km-scale grid spacing which proved invaluable for process studies and for the development of satellite and in-situ sampling strategies.Recently, a new effort has been made to couple these two models and to leverage their data-assimilation and high resolution capabilities (i.e., eddy-permitting ocean, cloud-permitting atmosphere). The focus in the model development is put on sub-seasonal to decadal time scales. In this talk, I discuss the new coupled model and present some first coupled simulation results. This will include a high-resolution coupled GEOS-MIT simulation, whereby we have coupled a cubed-sphere-720 (~ 1/8°) configuration of the GEOS atmosphere to a lat-lon-cap-1080 (~ 1/12°) configuration of the MIT ocean. We compare near-surface diagnostics of this fully coupled ocean-atmosphere set-up to equivalent atmosphere-only and ocean-only simulations. In the comparisons we focus in particular on the differences in air-sea interactions between sea surface temperature (SST) and wind for the coupled and uncoupled simulations.

Strobach, Ehud↗

Assessment of Sea Surface Salinity Products Using a Coupled ENSO Prediction Model

We assess the impact of satellite sea surface salinity (SSS) observations on seasonal to interannual variability of tropical Indo-Pacific Ocean dynamics as well as on dynamical ENSO forecasts. Twelve-month forecasts are initialized for each month from September 2011 to September 2017. All experiments assimilate satellite sea level (SL), sea surface temperature (SST), and in situ subsurface temperature and salinity observations (T(sub z), S(sub z)). Additionally various satellite, blended, and in-situ SSS products are assimilated. Using our intermediate-complexity coupled model as a transfer function, we test if more mature SSS model algorithms actually improve ENSO forecast skill. We find that including satellite SSS significantly improves Niño3.4 sea surface temperature anomaly validation, more mature SSS model algorithms are generally improving ENSO forecasts over time, and more satellite SSS helps to extend useful forecasts.

Hackert, E.↗

Nasa GEOS Model for Sub-Seasonal to Seasonal Predictions: The Major Teleconnections, Tropical Cyclone Activity, and ENSO

Ability of the NASA GEOS seasonal prediction model system (the latest version) in predicting the large-scale teleconnections, tropical cyclone (TC) activity, and ENSO are validated. The major large-scale teleconnections include the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), the Arctic Oscillation (AO), and the Pacific North American (PNA) that span vast geographical area across the North Pacific/Atlantic and North America. Predictive skill of TC activity is assessed by Genesis potential index (GPI). Anomaly correlations are greater than 0.5 for winter teleconnections at up to 2 month lead and for the first four month (June- July-August-September) GPIs over the North Atlantic and the Western Pacific. Correlation for the long-range prediction of the ENSO (Nino3.4 SST) maturity reaches 0.9 at 6 month lead and 0.8 at 9 month lead.

Lim, Young-Kwon↗

Sea State Based Estimation of White Cap Fraction: Implications for Primary Marine Aerosol Fluxes

Oceanic whitecaps (hereafter, W) or the characteristic whiteness of the sea foam is an important feature for predicting exchange of gases, sea spray aerosols (SSAs), heat and momentum transfer between the ocean and the atmosphere at the air-sea interface. Due to its increased surface emission and brightness temperature, whitecaps are critical for satellite retrievals of ocean albedo, ocean color, ocean surface wind vectors from satellite borne radiometer and microwave instruments. Most of the existing models predict W using wind speed and sea surface temperature (SST). However, numerous publications have pointed out that there are large uncertainties in the predicted W and using parameterizations based on wind-wave state can improve the precision of the predicted W. Here, we integrate the University of Miami Wave Model - 2.0 (UMWM) in Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) and use wave diagnostics to predict W. We choose the year 2006 for our global UMWM/GEOS runs because of the availability of W dataset from satellite observations. We run UMWM/GEOS at 0.5o x 0.5o by replaying to MERRA2 meteorology and evaluate the wave diagnostics using measurements from fixed buoys and satellite altimeters. We use three different parameterizations for W based on: 1) Reynolds number, 2) wave dissipation energy, and 3) volume of air entrained by breaking waves. We compare our results of W with previous studies and also with the satellite based observational dataset. Predicting W is important for understanding the processes at the air-sea interface. Therefore, this work is a step further in improving the uncertainties in the aerosol and atmospheric chemistry modules of the global models.

Oceanic Whitecaps↗

Downscaling Atmosphere-Ocean Global Climate Model Precipitation Simulations over Africa Using Bias-Corrected Lateral and Lower Boundary Conditions

A prequel study showed that dynamic downscaling using a regional climate model (RCM) over Africa improved the Goddard Institute for Space Studies Atmosphere-Ocean Global Climate Model (GISS AOGCM: ModelE) simulation of June–September rainfall patterns over Africa. The current study applies bias corrections to the lateral and lower boundary data from the AOGCM driving the RCM, based on the comparison of a 30-year simulation to the actual climate. The analysis examines the horizontal pattern of June–September total accumulated precipitation, the time versus latitude evolution of zonal mean West Africa (WA) precipitation (showing monsoon onset timing), and the latitude versus altitude cross-section of zonal winds over WA (showing the African Easterly Jet and the Tropical Easterly Jet). The study shows that correcting for excessively warm AOGCM Atlantic sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) improves the simulation of key features, whereas applying 30-year mean bias corrections to atmospheric variables driving the RCM at the lateral boundaries does not improve the RCM simulations. We suggest that AOGCM climate projections for Africa should benefit from downscaling by nesting an RCM that has demonstrated skill in simulating African climate, driven with bias-corrected SST.

West African monsoon↗

JPSS-2 VIIRS Polarization Sensitivity Performance Comparison with Heritage VIIRS Sensors

The Joint Polar Satellite System 2 (JPSS-2) is the follow-on for the Suomi-National Polar-orbiting Partnership (S-NPP) and Joint Polar Satellite System 1 (JPSS-1) missions. These spacecrafts provide critical weather and global climate products to the user community. A primary sensor on both JPSS and S-NPP is the Visible-Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) with Earth observations covering the Reflective Solar Band (RSB), Thermal Emissive Band (TEB) and Day Night Band (DNB) spectral regions. The VIIRS Sensor Data Records (SDRs) contain the calibrated Earth observations that are used in Environmental Data Record (EDR) products such as Ocean Color/Chlorophyll (OCC) and Sea Surface Temperature (SST). This SDR calibration is performed using unpolarized sources such as the Solar Diffuser (SD) for the RSBs and an On-Board Calibrator BlackBody (OBCBB) for the TEBs. Therefore, polarized Earth scenes will have radiometric bias errors within the SDRs based on how sensitive VIIRS is to polarized illumination and is corrected in some EDR algorithms. This paper will discuss the JPSS-2 VIIRS polarization characterization methodology, polarization sensitivity results and compare its performance to its predecessors S-NPP and JPSS-1 VIIRS. Optical modifications to the JPSS-2 VIIRS sensor to address heritage polarization sensitivity issues will be discussed.

S-NPP↗

Evaluation of Full Reynolds Stress Turbulence Models in FUN3D for Axisymmetric Jet Flow

Two full seven-equation turbulence models have been implemented into the FUN3D code to evaluate their ability to improve the computation of challenging flows encountered in aerospace propulsion, including mixing flows. These models are the SSG/LRR and Wilcox full second-moment Reynolds stress models. They solve equations for the six components of the Reynolds stress and a seventh equation for the mixing length. Two standard eddy viscosity models are also evaluated for comparison, the Spalart-Allmaras (SA) one-equation model and the Menter Shear Stress Transport (SST-V) two-equation turbulence model. Flow through an axisymmetric reference nozzle is examined at three flow conditions: subsonic unheated, subsonic heated, and near sonic unheated. Centerline profiles of velocity and turbulent kinetic energy and radial profiles of velocity, turbulent kinetic energy and turbulent stresses are examined. characteristics, no significant changes in the downstream flow behavior compared to the baseline case are observed. Furthermore, the total power consumed by the fans for different incoming flow conditions also remain marginally the same. It is hoped that the results, albeit obtained at very low speeds. would serve as a database for this technologically interesting flow field that has not been explored adequately before.

computational fluid dynamics↗

Algorithm Development for Predicting Biodiversity Based on Phytoplankton Absorption

Ocean color remote sensing has provided the scientific community with unprecedented global coverage of chlorophyll a, an indicator of phytoplankton biomass. Together, satellite-derived chlorophyll a and knowledge of Phytoplankton Functional Types (PFTs) will improve our limited understanding of marine ecosystem responses to physiochemical climate drivers involved in carbon cycle dynamics and linkages. Using cruise data from the Gulf of Maine and the Middle Atlantic Bight (N 269 pairs of HPLC and phytoplankton absorption samples), two modeling approaches were utilized to predict phytoplankton absorption and pigments. Algorithm I predicts the chlorophyll-specific absorption coefficient (a*(sub ph) (m(exp 2) mg chl a(exp - 1)) using inputs of temperature, light, and chlorophyll a. Modeled r(exp 2) values (400700 nm) ranged from 0.79 to 0.99 when compared to in situ observations with approximately 25 percent lower r(exp 2) values in the UV region. Algorithm II-a utilizes matrix inversion analysis to predict a(sub ph)(m(exp -1), 400700 nm) and r(exp 2) values ranged from 0.89 to 0.99. The prediction of phytoplankton pigments with Algorithm II-b produced r(exp 2) values that ranged from 0.40 to 0.93. When used in combination, Algorithm I, and Algorithm II-a are able to use satellite products of SST, PAR, and chlorophyll a (Algorithm I) to predict pigment concentrations and ratios to describe the phytoplankton community. The results of this study demonstrate that the spatial variation in modeled pigment ratios differ significantly from the 10-year SeaWiFS average chlorophyll a data set. Contiguous observations of chlorophyll a and phytoplankton biodiversity will elucidate ecosystem responses with unprecedented complexity.

phytoplankton↗

kL-based Linear and Nonlinear Two-Equation Turbulence Models

The development and implementation of kL-based Reynolds Average Navier-Stokes (RANS) two-equation turbulence models are reported herein. The kL is based on Abdol-Hamid's closure and Menter's modification to Rotta's two-equation model. Rotta shows that a reliable transport equation can be formed from the turbulent length scale L, and the turbulent kinetic energy k. Rotta's kL equation is well suited for term-by-term modeling and displays useful features compared to other scale formulation. One of the important differences is the inclusion of higher order velocity derivatives in the source terms of the scale equation. This can enhance the ability of RANS solvers to simulate unsteady flows in URANS mode. The present report documents the formulation of two model levels of turbulence models as implemented in the computational fluid dynamics FUN3D code. The levels are the two-equation linear k-kL and the two-equation algebraic Reynolds stress model (ARSM). Free shear, separated and corner flow cases are documented and compared with experimental, and other turbulence model data. The results show generally very good comparisons with experimental data. The results from this formulation are similar or better than results using the SST two-equation turbulence model. ARSM shows great promise with similar level of computational resources as basic two-equation turbulence models.

Abdol-Hamid, K. S.↗

Oceanic and Radiative Forcing of Medieval Megadroughts in the American Southwest

Multidecadal "megadroughts" were a notable feature of the climate of the American Southwest over the Common era, yet we still lack a comprehensive theory for what caused these megadroughts and why they curiously only occurred before about 1600 CE. Here, we use the Paleo Hydrodynamics Data Assimilation product, in conjunction with radiative forcing estimates, to demonstrate that megadroughts in the American Southwest were driven by unusually frequent and cold central tropical Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) excursions in conjunction with anomalously warm Atlantic SSTs and a locally positive radiative forcing. This assessment of past megadroughts provides the first comprehensive theory for the causes of megadroughts and their clustering particularly during the Medieval era. This work also provides the first paleoclimatic support for the prediction that the risk of American Southwest megadroughts will markedly increase with global warming.

Steiger, Nathan J.↗

Compact Coherent Laser Ranging (CCLR)

Presents a design to develop a Compact Coherent Laser Ranging with the following goals: Match the performance as GRACE-FO, with much reduced SWaP to fit on mini-Sat or CubeSat; Enables low cost and more frequent LL-SST gravitational missions; Immunes from ionosphere propagation delay with optical ranging; Increases the body pointing capability due to small satellite.

photon counting detector↗

Assessment of Satellite Sea Surface Salinity Products Using a Coupled ENSO Prediction Model

Much work has gone into revising and updating algorithms for converting satellite-measured radiances to useful ocean variables like sea surface salinity (e.g. SMOS - Boutin et al., 2017, SMAP - Fore et al., 2016 and Aquarius - Meissner et al., 2018). As part of our Ocean Salinity Science Team work, we utilize an intermediate-complexity air/sea coupled model as a transfer function to test if more mature satellite SSS model algorithms actually improve ENSO forecast skill. For initialization of the coupled forecast, we demonstrate that the positive impact of SSS assimilation is brought about by surface freshening near the eastern edge of the western Pacific warm pool and density changes that lead to shallower mixed layer between 10S-5N. In addition, salting near the ITCZ leads to a deepening of the mixed layer and thermocline near 8N. These patterns together provide the background state to amplify equatorial Kelvin waves and improve ENSO hindcasts (Hackert et al., 2019). Here we extend this work to compare the impact of various pairs of original and improved satellite SSS algorithms. For instance we compare SMAP V4.1 with the latest, SMAP V4.2, to see what impact algorithm improvements may have on ENSO forecasts. SSS observations are tested on seasonal to interannual variability of tropical Indo-Pacific Ocean dynamics as well as on dynamical ENSO forecasts by initializing twelve-month forecasts for each month of available data. All experiments assimilate satellite sea level (SL), sea surface temperature (SST), and in situ subsurface temperature and salinity observations (Tz, Sz). Additionally various satellite, blended, and in-situ SSS products are assimilated. We find that including satellite SSS significantly improves Niño3.4 sea surface temperature anomaly validation, more mature SSS model algorithms are generally improving ENSO forecasts over time, and more satellite SSS data coverage helps to extend useful forecasts.

Ocean↗

Progress Toward Implementation of Coupled Ocean/Atmosphere in Unified Forward Operator (UFO)

The (Sea-Ice Ocean and Coupled Assimilation) SOCA project focuses on meshing atmospheric and marine data assimilation efforts to create innovative data assimilation systems. One of the main goals ofSOCA is to make use of surface-sensitive radiances to constrain sea-ice and upper ocean fields (e.g., salinity, temperature, sea-ice fraction, sea-ice temperature, etc.). the focus of this research is to build first elements toward an ocean/sea-ice/atmosphere coupled data assimilation capability, with a focus on supporting and developing the assimilation of observations sensitive to multiple sub-domains. We Setup the existing Joint Effort for Data assimilation Integration (JEDI) coupled UFO (CRTM related) for surface sensitive microwave radiances (SST and SSS) focusing on Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Imager (GMI) and Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP).

Ebrahimi, Hamideh↗

Simulation and Modeling of Flow Generated by Gust Generator in a Wind Tunnel

A computational study of a gust field generated by a gust generator in a low-speed wind tunnel. The gust generator is designed for the University of Washington Aeronautical Laboratory (UWAL) Kirsten wind tunnel for a gust load alleviation (GLA) control experiment of a Common Research Model (CRM) flexible wing utilizing the Variable Camber Continuous Trailing Edge Flap (VCCTEF). The gust generator comprises four horizontal NACA 0015 gust generator vanes placed upstream of the test section. Computational fluid dynamics simulations using a two-dimensional (2D) Unsteady-Reynolds-Averaged-Navier-Stokes (URANS) with k-ω Shear Stress Transport (SST) turbulence model provide detailed time-resolved information about the generated flow by the gust generator under prescribed sinusoidal motion. The characteristics of the induced flow by the gust generator are analyzed. A gust propagation model of the gust field is investigated. An unsteady lift model is developed using a varying-fidelity approach which includes a 2D interference aerodynamic model of the combined gust generator-wing system. The computed integrated unsteady lift is compared to experimental data for validation of the unsteady lift model. Both the amplitude and transport delay are found to be accurately captured by the unsteady lift model.

Nhan, Nguyen↗

Designing an Optimal Ensemble Strategy for GMAO S2S Forecast System

The NASA Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) Sub-seasonal to Seasonal (S2S) prediction system is being readied for a major upgrade. An important factor in successful extended range forecasting is the definition of the ensemble. Our overall strategy is to run a relatively large ensemble of about 40 members up to 3 months (focusing on the sub-seasonal forecast problem), after which we sub-sample the ensemble, and continue the forecast with about 10 members (up to 12 months). Here we present the results of our testing of various ways to generate the initial perturbations and the validation of a stratified sampling approach for choosing the members of the smaller ensemble. For the initialization of the ensemble we propose a combination of lagged and burst initial conditions. To generate perturbations for the burst ensemble members we used scaled differences of pairs of analysis states (chosen randomly from the corresponding season) separated by 1-10 days. We consider perturbing separately the atmosphere and the ocean, or both. By varying the separation times between the analysis states, we are able to produce perturbations that resemble well-known modes of variability. Focusing on the ENSO SST indices, we found that all types of perturbations are important for the ensemble spread with, however, considerable differences in the timing of the impacts on spread for the atmospheric and oceanic perturbations.Our initial (larger) ensemble size was determined so as to maximize the skill of predicting some of the leading modes of boreal winter atmospheric modes (namely the NAO, PNA and AO). Since it is not feasible for us to run with the larger ensemble beyond about 3 months, we employ a stratified sampling procedure that identifies the emerging directions of error growth to subset the ensemble. By comparing the results from the stratified ensemble with that of the randomly sampled ensemble of the same size, we find that the former provides substantially better estimates the mean of the original large ensemble.

Borovikov, Anna↗

Acoustic Optimization for Anti-Phase Asymmetric Rotor

This investigation seeks to optimize the implementation of anti-phase alternating trailing edge (TE) patterns for rotor noise suppression. The design objective is to maximize reduction of noise perceived by the community while maintaining the aerodynamic thrust. Computations using a three-dimensional Unsteady-Reynolds-Averaged-Navier-Stokes (URANS) with k-w Shear Stress Transport (SST) turbulence model and Ffowcs-Williams and Hawkings (FW-H) formula are used to obtain aerodynamic thrust and far-field noise level. A parametric acoustic study of 13 configurations of KDE rotor with variable alternating trailing edge period, alternating trailing edge length, and trailing edge deflection angle is conducted. The best design candidate for the KDE rotor has a four-period TE waveform which results in a reduction in far-field noise level of 2.1 dB in the hover condition and a reduction of 1.1 dB in the forward flight condition at 9.7 m/s. A further parametric acoustic study is conducted for a different rotor manufactured by APC. Six APC rotor design candidates are simulated. The best design candidate 4H for the APC rotor results in a reduction in far-field noise level of 4.0 dB in the hover condition and a reduction of 1.3 dB in the forward flight condition at 9.7 m/s. A series of acoustic experiments in the Penn State University (PSU) anechoic chamber have been conducted. In the forward flight condition at 9.7 m/s, the APC anti-phase 4H rotor offers clear evidence of noise suppression capability across a wide range of the azimuthal angle. In the broadband frequency range of 2000-4000 Hz, the APC anti-phase 4H rotor produces as much as 6 dB noise reduction. The experimental results appear to confirm the noise suppression capability of the proposed anti-phase rotor design concepts.

Xiong, Juntao↗