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At least 1,333 records · Page 74

Bounded-Confidence Models of Multidimensional Opinions with Topic-Weighted Discordance

People’s opinions on a wide range of topics often evolve over time through their interactions with others. Models of opinion dynamics primarily focus on one-dimensional opinions, which represent opinions on one topic. However, opinions on various topics are rarely isolated; instead, they can be interdependent and correlated. In a bounded-confidence model (BCM) of opinion dynamics, agents are receptive to each other only if their opinions are sufficiently similar. Here, we extend classical agent-based BCMs—namely, the Hegselmann–Krause BCM, which has synchronous interactions, and the Deffuant–Weisbuch BCM, which has asynchronous interactions—to a multidimensional setting, in which the opinions are multidimensional vectors representing opinions of different topics and opinions on different topics are interdependent. To measure opinion differences between agents, we introduce topic-weighted discordance functions that account for opinion differences in all topics. We define regions of receptiveness for our models, and we use them to characterize the steady-state opinion clusters and provide an analytical approach to compute these regions. In addition, we numerically simulate our models on various networks with initial opinions drawn from a variety of distributions. When initial opinions are correlated across different topics, our topic-weighted BCMs yield significantly different results in both transient and steady states compared to baseline models, where the dynamics of each opinion topic are independent.

Mathematics and Computing↗

Data Assimilation for Robust UQ Within Agent-Based Simulation on HPC Systems

Agent-based simulation provides a powerful tool for in silico system modeling. However, these simulations do not provide built-in methods for uncertainty quantification (UQ). Within these types of models a typical approach to UQ is to run multiple realizations of the model then compute aggregate statistics. This approach is limited due to the compute time required for a solution. When faced with an emerging biothreat, public health decisions need to be made quickly and solutions for integrating near real-time data with analytic tools are needed. We propose an integrated Bayesian UQ framework for agent-based models based on sequential Monte Carlo sampling. Given streaming or static data about the evolution of an emerging pathogen this Bayesian framework provides a distribution over the parameters governing the spread of a disease through a population. These estimates of the spread of a disease may be provided to public health agencies seeking to abate the spread. By coupling agent-based simulations with Bayesian modeling in a data assimilation, our proposed framework provides a powerful tool for modeling dynamical systems in silico. We propose a method which reduces model error and provides a range of realistic possible outcomes. Moreover, our method addresses two primary limitations of ABMs: the lack of UQ and an inability to assimilate data. Our proposed framework combines the flexibility of an agent-based model with UQ provided by the Bayesian paradigm in a workflow which scales well to HPC systems. We provide algorithmic details and results on a simulated outbreak with both static and streaming data.

Spannaus, Adam [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000225213657)↗

Architecture for Quantum Time-dependent Circuits (ArQTIC) v1.0

ArQTiC is a domain-specific full-stack software package built for the dynamic simulations of materials on quantum computers. Its main contributions include providing a software library for high-level programming of such simulations on quantum computers, and providing post-processing capabilities that allow users to more efficiently analyze results from the quantum computer. Paired with the power to optimize and execute quantum circuits, ArQTiC opens the field of dynamic materials simulations on quantum computers to a broader community of scientists from a wider range of domain sciences, paving the way for accelerated progress towards physical quantum supremacy.

Bassman, Lindsay↗

Convective and turbulent motions in non-precipitating Cu. Part 1: Method of separation of convective and turbulent motions

Atmospheric motions in clouds and cloud surroundings have a wide range of scales, from several kilometers to centimeters. These motions have different impacts on cloud dynamics and microphysics. Larger-scale motions (hereafter referred to as convective motions) are responsible for mass transport over distances comparable with cloud scale, while motions of smaller scales (hereafter referred to as turbulent motions) are stochastic and responsible for mixing and cloud dilution. This distinction substantially simplifies the analysis of dynamic and microphysical processes in clouds. The present research is Part I of the study aimed at describing the method for separating the motion scale into a convective component and a turbulent component. An idealized flow is constructed, which is a sum of an initially prescribed field of the convective velocity with updrafts in the cloud core and downdrafts outside the core, and a stochastic turbulent velocity field obeying the turbulent properties, including the -5/3 law and the 2/3 structure function law. A wavelet method is developed allowing separation of the velocity field into the convective and turbulent components, with parameter values being in a good agreement with those prescribed initially. The efficiency of the method is demonstrated by an example of a vertical velocity field of a cumulus cloud simulated using the System for Atmospheric Modeling (SAM) with bin microphysics and resolution of 10 m. It is shown that vertical velocity in clouds indeed can be represented as a sum of convective velocity (forming zone of cloud updrafts and subsiding shell) and a stochastic velocity obeying laws of homogeneous and isotropic turbulence.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Characterizing post-fire delayed tree mortality with remote sensing: sizing up the elephant in the room

Abstract Background Despite recent advances in understanding the drivers of tree-level delayed mortality, we lack a method for mapping delayed mortality at landscape and regional scales. Consequently, the extent, magnitude, and effects of delayed mortality on post-fire landscape patterns of burn severity are unknown. We introduce a remote sensing approach for mapping delayed mortality based on post-fire decline in the normalized burn ratio (NBR). NBR decline is defined as the change in NBR between the first post-fire measurement and the minimum NBR value up to 5 years post-fire for each pixel. We validate the method with high-resolution aerial photography from six wildfires in California, Oregon, and Washington, USA, and then compare the extent, magnitude, and effects of delayed mortality on landscape patterns of burn severity among fires and forest types. Results NBR decline was significantly correlated with post-fire canopy mortality (r 2 = 0.50) and predicted the presence of delayed mortality with 83% accuracy based on a threshold of 105 NBR decline. Plots with NBR decline greater than 105 were 23 times more likely to experience delayed mortality than those below the threshold (p < 0.001). Delayed mortality occurred across 6–38% of fire perimeters not affected by stand-replacing fire, generally affecting more areas in cold (22–41%) and wet (30%) forest types than in dry (1.7–19%) types. The total area initially mapped as unburned/very low-severity declined an average of 38.1% and generally persisted in smaller, more fragmented patches when considering delayed mortality. The total area initially mapped as high-severity increased an average of 16.2% and shifted towards larger, more contiguous patches. Conclusions Differences between 1- and 5-year post-fire burn severity maps depict dynamic post-fire mosaics resulting from delayed mortality, with variability among fires reflecting a range of potential drivers. We demonstrate that tree-level delayed mortality scales up to alter higher-level landscape patterns of burn severity with important implications for forest resilience and a range of fire-driven ecological outcomes. Our method can complement existing tree-level studies on drivers of delayed mortality, refine mapping of fire refugia, inform estimates of habitat and carbon losses, and provide a more comprehensive assessment of landscape and regional scale fire effects and trends.

Environmental Sciences & Ecology↗

Impact of substrates and quantum effects on exciton line shapes of 2D semiconductors at room temperature

Exciton resonances in monolayer transition-metal dichalcogenides (TMDs) provide exceptionally strong light–matter interaction at room temperature. Their spectral line shape is critical in the design of a myriad of optoelectronic devices, ranging from solar cells to quantum information processing. However, disorder resulting from static inhomogeneities and dynamical fluctuations can significantly impact the line shape. Many recent works experimentally evaluate the optical properties of TMD monolayers placed on a substrate and the line shape is typically linked directly to the material’s quality. Here, we highlight that the interference of the substrate and TMD reflections can strongly influence the line shape. We further show how basic, room-temperature reflection measurements allow investigation of the quantum mechanical exciton dynamics by systematically controlling the substrate reflection with index-matching oils. By removing the substrate contribution with properly chosen oil, we can extract the excitonic decay rates including the quantum mechanical dephasing rate. The results provide valuable guidance for the engineering of exciton line shapes in layered nanophotonic systems.

2D semiconductor↗

Impact of Integration Scheme on Performance of Anisotropic Plasticity Models

Given the prevalent role of metals in a variety of industries, schemes to integrate corresponding constitutive models in finite element applications have long been studied. A number of formulations have been developed to accomplish this task; each with their own advantages and costs. Often the focus has been on ensuring the accuracy and numerical stability of these algorithms to enable robust integration. While important, emphasis on these performance metrics may often come at the cost of computational expense potentially neglecting the needs of individual problems. In the current work, the performance of two of the most common integration methods for anisotropic plasticity -- the convex cutting plane (CCP) and closest point projection (CPP) -- across a variety of metrics is assessed; including accuracy and cost. A variety of problems are considered ranging from single elements to large representative simulations including both implicit quasistatic and explicit transient dynamic type responses. The relative performance of each scheme in the different instances is presented with an eye towards guidance on when the different algorithms may be beneficial.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

All-Atom Simulation of 3D Hot Spot Formation in Shocked TATB Explosive

TATB is an insensitive high explosive (IHE) critical to the stockpile that is challenging to model at the continuum scale. Advanced detonation models in the Cheetah high explosive chemistry code require validation though subscale simulations. High explosive initiation is determined by micron-scale physics of hot spots formed a shock-collapsed pores. Pore sizes between 100 nm and 1 μm are believed to be the most important for determining the shock sensitivity of TATB. This range of pore sizes is difficult to access at the atomic scale through allatom molecular dynamics (MD) simulations, even with Sierra-class computers. Quasi-2D simulations are widely used and allow much larger pore sizes (up to 400 nm) to be studied, but the applicability of 2D simulations to the actual 3D pore response is not understood. Resolving these uncertainties through “full physics” MD modeling is key for generalizing, parameterizing, and validating the kinds of continuum models used to inform design, safety, and performance. This work was a continuation of FY20 efforts pushing simulations to full 3D with the largest-ever all-atom simulations of an explosive. These were the first all-atom full-3D simulations of large hot spots thought to govern explosive detonation and required over a billion atoms. Simulations were performed using LAMMPS, an open SNL science code. MD explosive models present unique challenges, even for established codes such as LAMMPS. Their model forms are more complex than typical models for metals, while simulating high temperature-pressure conditions is demanding and increases computational cost. Scaling problems in GPU-enabled MD algorithms initially limited simulations to <100 million atoms but were resolved through collaboration with SNL. An overall 24x speedup was obtained relative to CPU machines. Specialized analysis of these simulations required a bottom-up refactoring and algorithm parallelization of in-house codes and application of computer vision algorithms to extract meaningful information.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Nuclear Magnetic Resonance Relaxation Pathways in Electrolytes for Energy Storage

Nuclear Magnetic Resonance (NMR) spin relaxation times have been an instrumental tool in deciphering the local environment of ionic species, the various interactions they engender and the effect of these interactions on their dynamics in conducting media. Of particular importance has been their application in studying the wide range of electrolytes for energy storage, on which this review is based. Here we highlight some of the research carried out on electrolytes in recent years using NMR relaxometry techniques. Specifically, we highlight studies on liquid electrolytes, such as ionic liquids and organic solvents; on semi-solid-state electrolytes, such as ionogels and polymer gels; and on solid electrolytes such as glasses, glass ceramics and polymers. Although this review focuses on a small selection of materials, we believe they demonstrate the breadth of application and the invaluable nature of NMR relaxometry.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Distributed Real-time Plume Monitoring for Deep Sea Mineral Extraction​

In the emerging industry of deep-sea mining for minerals and deposits (e.g. polymetallic nodules for nickel, cobalt, copper, and manganese), more data is required to understand the effects of sediment plume generation and predict the distribution of disturbed sediment. There are two main sources of plume generation, the first being at the active mining site where the “collector” directly removes the top layer of the sea floor. The other is the “midwater plume” consisting of unwanted sediment that was collected during extraction that is pumped back into the aphotic zone. The vast majority of plume generation is caused by the collector, causing detrimental and long-lasting impacts on seafloor ecosystems due to the lack of wave activity or strong currents at the sea floor. Therefore, it is crucial to invest in the infrastructure to support the study and constant monitoring over a large area of the sea floor where plume generation is present. Due to the limited number of usable channels and power requirements, current subsea wireless communications technologies are not well suited to instrumenting the large areas of the sea floor needed to monitor plume migration. The scope of this effort is to transition experimental demonstrations of high-bandwidth, full-duplex scalable underwater laser communications to the seafloor in an open ocean environment. Specifically tackling challenges associated with the dynamic nature of the subsea world, including but not limited to, deployment logistics, sustainability, and range. The goal is to enable the internet of underwater things for deep sea industries by broadening the capabilities of subsea communications. By using high-precision laser transmitters, many of the challenges current subsea optical systems face can be circumvented, such as power consumption, interference, and bandwidth limitations. This approach lends itself to wireless interlinking multi-node networks, in series or parallel, facilitating the implementation of a wide array of sensor types. This interlinking allows all the data gathered from the network to be processed through a single hardline uplink to the surface, lowering the complexity required for near real-time data processing. Additionally, the laser control systems produce metadata that can be used to help characterize the water column between the nodes. Combining data from various sensors such as turbidity, temperature, current velocity with metadata such as beam attenuation and deflection can produce a high-resolution model of sea floor conditions around an active mining zone. The resulting near real-time model can be used to optimize location and flow rate of the mining operation to minimize and quantify the environmental impact.

Mons, Ishan↗

Curvature-induced hydrophobicity at imogolite–water interfaces

Imogolite, a nanotubular aluminosilicate mineral, is commonly found in volcanic soils, where it exerts a control on carbon dynamics. Synthetic imogolites are used for the removal of contaminants from industrial effluents and are considered for a range of other applications including gas adsorption and functionalised heterogeneous catalysts. In spite of their environmental and industrial relevance, the properties of imogolite–water interfaces remain poorly understood. In this work, an experimental and computational study is presented in which the structure and energetics of water are characterized on the curved external surface of imogolite and the hydrophilicity of this surface is contrasted with that of gibbsite, its planar counterpart. Atomic force spectroscopy experiments show that in spite of their identical surface structure, imogolite has a lower hygroscopicity than gibbsite. Molecular dynamics simulations provide an explanation for this observation: the curvature of imogolite prevents the formation of in-plane H-bonds along the directions of the nanotube circumference, lowering the enthalpy of adsorption of water molecules. The different arrangement of surface H-bonds and the resulting differences in hydration properties also affects the acidity constants of surface hydroxyl groups. This ‘nanotube effect’ may be relevant to other nanotubular systems with high curvatures, potentially impacting their wetting properties, their colloidal stability and their affinity towards hydrophobic organic moieties.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Hall–Petch strengthening limit through partially active segregation in nanocrystalline Ag-Cu alloys

The breakdown from grain-size strengthening to softening mechanisms is generally well understood for high-purity nanocrystalline materials when the mean grain size decreases to the nanometer range. In nanocrystalline alloys, however, the stabilization of nanosized grains by grain-boundary solute segregation complicates the above mechanisms. Moreover, current segregation models have little predictive power for determining the optimal solute content that maximizes Hall-Petch strengthening effects. In this article, using large-scale hybrid Monte-Carlo/molecular dynamic simulations, we present a systematic study of the Hall–Petch breakdown in Cu-segregated Ag alloys with grain sizes ranging from 8 nm to 59 nm, where three concentration-dependent regimes of plasticity are described: (1) Classical segregation strengthening behavior at low solute contents, (2) shear band-induced softening at high solute contents, and (3) a previously unknown, but extended plateau of maximum strengths for intermediate solute contents from 4 to 15 at.%, which we term as nanocrystalline Sterling silver. We find that flow strengths in nanocrystalline Sterling alloys naturally exhibit a zero-slope limit at the smallest grain sizes that is well below the ideal Hall–Petch strengthening trend. This phenomenon results from partially active grain-boundary segregation that acts to influence interfacial plasticity in some, but not all, grain boundary regions. Our findings amplify the atomic nature of solute segregation and interaction at grain boundaries and its complex roles on grain boundary-mediated plasticity mechanisms in nanocrystalline alloys.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Topological and Dynamical Representations for Radio Frequency Signal Classification

Radio Frequency (RF) signals are found throughout our world, carrying over-the-air information for both digital and analog uses with applications ranging from WiFi to the radio. One area of focus in RF signal analysis is determining the modulation schemes employed in these signals which is crucial in many RF signal processing domains from secure communication to spectrum monitoring. This work investigates the accuracy and noise robustness of novel Topological Data Analysis (TDA) and dynamic representation based approaches paired with a small convolution neural network for RF signal modulation classification with a comparison to state-of-the-art deep neural network approaches. We show that using TDA tools, like Vietoris-Rips and lower star filtrations, and the Takens' embedding in conjunction with a standard shallow neural network we can capture the intrinsic dynamical, geometric, and topological features of the underlying signal's manifold, offering informative representations of the RF signals. Our approach is effective in handling the modulation classification task and is notably noise robust, outperforming the commonly used deep neural network approaches in mode classification. Moreover, our fusion of dynamical and topological information is able to attain similar performance to deep neural network architectures with significantly smaller training datasets.

Myers, Audun D.↗

Hydrology controls thermokarst and alters carbon cycling and methane emissions in peatlands near the southern limit of permafrost

Permafrost peatlands store vast amounts of frozen carbon across northern landscapes. When ground ice melts, surface subsidence produces thermokarst landforms that expand wetlands at the edges of permafrost plateaus. Thermokarst represents an accelerating climate feedback, but uncertainties remain about how ground ice, hydrology, and vegetation interact to shape landscape change and carbon fluxes. We extended the process-based model ecosys to simulate thermokarst dynamics in laterally coupled 2D transects at a well-characterized boreal peatland site in Canada’s Northwest Territories. After benchmarking against site observations, we varied ground ice content and hydrologic boundary conditions across ranges typical near the southern permafrost limit. Simulations revealed distinct degradation regimes governed by the elevation difference between the frost table and the external water table. Rates of lateral retreat, the thaw-driven encroachment of wetlands into adjacent plateaus, ranged from 0 to >2 m yr −1 under identical weather forcing, consistent with observations and highlighting the strong role of WT and ground ice. Simulated vegetation dynamics indicate that black spruce mortality cannot be explained by anoxia alone, pointing to additional stressors such as root damage, pathogens, or physical destabilization. Despite large hydrologic shifts, net ecosystem CO 2 exchange remained a slight sink after collapse, while methane (CH 4 ) emissions rose by one to two orders of magnitude. As a result, lateral retreat substantially increases the greenhouse warming potential of permafrost peatlands (1.7 million km 2 in area), with simulated emissions of 0.1–10 Mt CO 2 -eq decade −1 depending on hydrology and retreat rates. These results underscore the need to account for both ground ice and hydrologic dynamics when assessing thermokarst-driven climate feedbacks.

carbon cycling↗

Sustained Oxygen Spectral Gaps and Their Dynamic Evolution in the Inner Magnetosphere

Van Allen Probes observations of ion spectra often show a sustained gap within a very narrow energy range throughout the full orbit. To understand their formation mechanism, we statistically investigate the characteristics of the narrow gaps for oxygen ions and find that they are most frequently observed near the noon sector with a peak occurrence rate of over 30%. The magnetic moment (μ) of the oxygen ions in the gap shows a strong dependence on magnetic local time (MLT), with higher and lower μ values in the morning and afternoon sectors, respectively. Moreover, we find through superposed epoch analysis that the gap formation also depends on geomagnetic conditions. Those gaps formed at lower magnetic moments (μ < 3,000 keV/G) are associated with stable convection electric fields, which enable magnetospheric ions to follow a steady drift pattern that facilitates the gap formation by corotational drift resonance. On the other hand, gaps with higher μ values are statistically preceded by a gradual increase of geomagnetic activity. Here, we suggest that ions within the gap were originally located inside the Alfven layer following closed drift paths, before they were transitioned into open drift paths as the convection electric field was enhanced. The sunward drift of these ions, with very low fluxes, forms a drainage void in the dayside magnetosphere manifested as the sustained gap in the oxygen spectrum. This scenario is supported by particle-tracing simulations, which reproduce most of the observed characteristics and therefore provide new insights into inner magnetospheric dynamics.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Highly disordered amorphous Li-battery electrolytes

"Medium-entropy" highly disordered amorphous Li garnets, with ≥4 unique local bonding units (LBUs), hold promise for use as solid-state electrolytes in hybrid or all-solid-state batteries owing to their grain-boundary-free nature and low-temperature synthesis requirement. Through this work, we resolved the local structure of amorphous Li garnet and understood their implication for Li dynamics. These medium-entropy amorphous structures possess unique characteristics with edge- and face-sharing LBUs, not conforming to the classic Zachariasen glass formation rules, and can be synthesized in a wide but processing-friendly temperature range (<680°C). Within these amorphous structures, Li and Zr are identified as the network formers and La as network modifier, with maxima in Li dynamics observed for smaller Li-O and Zr-O coordination; this structure understanding serves as a baseline for identifying additional network formers to further modulate Li transport. In conclusion, our insight provides fundamental guidelines for the structure and phase design for amorphous Li garnets and paves the way for their integration in next-generation batteries.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Relativistic Electron Precipitation Events Driven by Solar Wind Impact on the Earth's Magnetosphere

Certain forms of solar wind transients contain significant enhancements of dynamic pressure and may effectively drive magnetosphere dynamics, including substorms and storms. An integral element of such driving is the generation of a wide range of electromagnetic waves within the inner magnetosphere, either by compressionally heated plasma or by substorm plasma sheet injections. Consequently, solar wind transient impacts are traditionally associated with energetic electron scattering and losses into the atmosphere by electromagnetic waves. In this study, we show the first direct measurements of two such transient-driven precipitation events as measured by the low-altitude Electron Losses and Fields Investigation CubeSats. The first event demonstrates storm-time generated electromagnetic ion cyclotron waves efficiently precipitating sub-relativistic and relativistic electrons from >300 keV to 2 MeV at the duskside. The second event demonstrates whistler-mode waves leading to scattering of electrons from 50 to 700 keV on the dawnside. These observations confirm the importance of solar wind transients in driving energetic electron losses and subsequent dynamics in the ionosphere.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Response of Graphite to Dynamic Loading and Hypervelocity Jet Impacts

The compressive strengths of three varieties of high purity graphite, PCEA, NBG-18, and NBG-25, as well as the depth of penetration of small-scale charges into these materials was experimentally determined. These grades are similar in density, ranging from 1.80 – 1.85 g/cc, and nominal apparent porosity, ranging from 18% to 20%, but provide a wide range in maximum grain or particle size from 10s to 1000s of µm. Two very different manufacturing methods are also represented; PCEA is extruded while NBG-18 and NBG-25 are iso-molded. The quasistatic and dynamic strengths of each grade were determined on a load frame and split-Hopkinson pressure bar, respectively. The depth of penetration (DOP) of two small-scale shaped charges, the Teledyne RP-1 and RP-4, was determined against graphite. The global response of the RP-4 impacts was markedly different as the PCEA samples remained intact while all the NBG-25 samples split into 2 or 3 pieces after the jet penetration had completed. However, for all tests, the trusted DOPs fell within 2 cm. Preliminary hydrocode modeling of the penetration events used existing models that were not designed for graphite. The results can be tuned to reasonably reproduce the DOP, but the wound channel geometry is not reproduced well. A model designed for graphite would need to represent graphite’s non-linear and energy dissipation characteristics.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗