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DOE OSTI2023

A spatially regularized detector for emergent/re-emergent disease outbreaks

Early detection of outbreaks caused by emergent pathogens, using epidemiological surveillance data i.e., daily case counts, is difficult. This is because the data tend to be noisy during the early epoch of the outbreak. In contrast, the spread-rate of the disease tends to be well-behaved, as it depends only on the mixing patterns of the population and the characteristics of the pathogen, neither of which behave erratically in space-time. In this report, we explore whether the spread-rate can be used for epidemiological surveillance, conditional on case count data. Estimating the spread-rate from case count data allows us to exploit exogenous information, e.g., incubation period distributions etc., which can considerably smooth out any erratic temporal behavior. Further, epidemiological dynamics are spatially correlated, and if case counts are available for multiple areal units e.g., counties, these correlations could potentially be used to suppress noise in the early epoch data. These exogenous information and structure are not exploited by conventional syndromic surveillance detectors to extract a well-behaved latent variable for monitoring purposes. The technical challenge lies in the estimation of the spread-rate field jointly over a collection of areal units; further, the spread-rate varies over time. We develop a method based on mean-field variational inference to approximately estimate the spread-rate field, using a Gaussian Random Field Model for spatial regularization. The method is tested on the estimation of spread-rate in the thirty-three counties of New Mexico and detect the arrival of the Fall 2020 COVID-19 wave in September 2020. We find that the method is scalable, but underestimates the uncertainty in the estimated spread-rate field. We detect the arrival of the Fall 2020 wave a week ahead of conventional syndromic surveillance algorithms, but our simplistic detection algorithm, based on simple anomaly detection, suffers from a high false positive rate, similar to conventional detectors.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Evaluation of Neutron Detection Technology and Analysis Techniques to Support Fukushima Daiichi Decommissioning [Poster]

Decommissioning efforts and associated fuel debris retrieval from the damaged Units 1-3 require robust methods to monitor and assure subcriticality. These include adequate detection technologies capable to withstand high gamma radiation conditions within the units; as well as analysis methods capable to provide robust signatures to assure agile criticality monitoring in situation where material distribution is changing. This poster presents overview of experimental and analytical efforts focused on evaluation of neutronbased technologies and development of real-time analysis using state-of-the art capabilities available within the 1F Fuel Retrieval and Monitoring Experiments (1FRAME) project.

1FRAME↗

DOE OSTI2022

Tailoring Mesopores and Nitrogen Groups of Carbon Nanofibers for Polysulfide Entrapment in Lithium–Sulfur Batteries

In the current work, we combined different physical and chemical modifications of carbon nanofibers through the creation of micro-, meso-, and macro-pores as well as the incorporation of nitrogen groups in cyclic polyacrylonitrile (CPAN) using gas-assisted electrospinning and air-controlled electrospray processes. We incorporated them into electrode and interlayer in Li–Sulfur batteries. First, we controlled pore size and distributions in mesoporous carbon fibers (mpCNF) via adding polymethyl methacrylate as a sacrificial polymer to the polyacrylonitrile carbon precursor, followed by varying activation conditions. Secondly, nitrogen groups were introduced via cyclization of PAN on mesoporous carbon nanofibers (mpCPAN). We compared the synergistic effects of all these features in cathode substrate and interlayer on the performance Li–Sulfur batteries and used various characterization tools to understand them. Our results revealed that coating CPAN on both mesoporous carbon cathode and interlayer greatly enhanced the rate capability and capacity retention, leading to the capacity of 1000 mAh/g at 2 C and 1200 mAh/g at 0.5 C with the capability retention of 88% after 100 cycles. The presence of nitrogen groups and mesopores in both cathodes and interlayers resulted in more effective polysulfide confinement and also show more promise for higher loading systems.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2021

Integration of Simulated and Real Distributed Acoustic Sensor Measurements to Develop AI Enhanced Intelligent Sensing Operations

Distributed acoustic sensors (DAS) have shown remarkable success in monitoring critical civil, energy and transportation assets over long distances and under harsh environmental conditions. Integration of artificial intelligence (AI) technologies with DAS can extend their operational capabilities from conventional tasks (e.g., vibration frequency detection) to more advanced intelligent tasks like anomaly detection. However, these AI technologies often require large labeled/ annotated DAS measurements datasets of the assets in both normal and anomalous operating conditions. This data acquisition task can be both time consuming and costly. This work develops a generative adversarial network based unsupervised domain adaptation framework to build intelligent DAS operational capabilities.

Venketeswaran, Abhishek↗

DOE OSTI2026

Magneto-optical study of Nb thin films for superconducting qubits

Among the recognized sources of decoherence in superconducting qubits, the spatial inhomogeneity of the superconducting state and the possible presence of magnetic-flux vortices remain comparatively underexplored. Niobium is commonly used as a structural material in transmon qubits that host Josephson junctions, and excess dissipation anywhere in the transmon can become a bottleneck that limits overall quantum performance. The metal/substrate interfacial layer may simultaneously host pair-breaking loss channels (e.g., two-level systems, TLS) and control thermal transport, thereby affecting dissipation and temperature stability. Here, we use quantitative magneto-optical imaging of the magnetic-flux distribution to characterize the homogeneity of the superconducting state and the critical current density, $j_{c}$, in niobium films fabricated under different sputtering conditions. The imaging reveals distinct flux-penetration regimes, ranging from a nearly ideal Bean critical state to strongly nonuniform thermo-magnetic dendritic avalanches. By fitting the measured magnetic-induction profiles, we extract $j_{c}$ and correlate it with film physical properties and with measured qubit internal quality factors. Our results indicate that the Nb/Si interlayer can be a significant contributor to decoherence and should be considered an important factor that must be optimized.

Datta, Amlan [Ames Lab; Iowa State U.]↗

DOE OSTI2024

Conditional guided generative diffusion for particle accelerator beam diagnostics

Abstract Advanced accelerator-based light sources such as free electron lasers (FEL) accelerate highly relativistic electron beams to generate incredibly short (10s of femtoseconds) coherent flashes of light for dynamic imaging, whose brightness exceeds that of traditional synchrotron-based light sources by orders of magnitude. FEL operation requires precise control of the shape and energy of the extremely short electron bunches whose characteristics directly translate into the properties of the produced light. Control of short intense beams is difficult due to beam characteristics drifting with time and complex collective effects such as space charge and coherent synchrotron radiation. Detailed diagnostics of beam properties are therefore essential for precise beam control. Such measurements typically rely on a destructive approach based on a combination of a transverse deflecting resonant cavity followed by a dipole magnet in order to measure a beam’s 2D time vs energy longitudinal phase-space distribution. In this paper, we develop a non-invasive virtual diagnostic of an electron beam’s longitudinal phase space at megapixel resolution (1024 × 1024) based on a generative conditional diffusion model. We demonstrate the model’s generative ability on experimental data from the European X-ray FEL.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Desiccants enabling energy-efficient buildings: A review

Buildings account for about 39% of the total energy consumption in the United States. Developing highly energy-efficient and environmentally friendly systems that are either actively or passively integrated into buildings plays a crucial role in decarbonizing the building sector. Among various technologies, desiccant-based energy systems have received particular attention in recent years due to their unique advantages, such as being thermally driven using low-grade waste or solar energies and being reliable over a wide range of operating ranges. Extensive research efforts have been exerted on desiccant-enabled technologies at both material and system levels aiming to increase their performance and achieve high technological readiness levels. The present review paper comprehensively discusses research works made at the system level. It overviews desiccant-based air conditioning systems, desiccant-based humidity pumps, desiccant-based thermal energy storage systems, and desiccant-based appliances. The study identifies challenges and opportunities to accelerate the commercialization of desiccant-enabled technologies. It is found that desiccant materials offer great promise to improve energy efficiency and functionality of future buildings through decoupling the latent and sensible cooling loads in air conditioning systems, humidity pumps integrated into building facades, and next-generation appliances. However, commercial viability and widespread acceptance of desiccant-based systems have been hampered by several major obstacles, including liquid and air flow mal-distribution and inferior thermo-physical properties of desiccant materials resulting in low ab/adsorption and regeneration rates and bulky/costly systems.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2022

Influence of temporal variations in plasma conditions on the electric potential near self-organized dust chains

Self-organization of dust grains into stable filamentary dust structures (or “chains”) largely depends on dynamic interactions between individual charged dust grains and complex electric potential arising from the distribution of charges within a local plasma environment. Recent studies have shown that the positive column of the gas discharge plasma in the Plasmakristall-4 (PK-4) experiment at the International Space Station supports the presence of fast-moving ionization waves, which lead to variations of plasma parameters by up to an order of magnitude from the average background values. The highly variable environment resulting from ionization waves may have interesting implications for the dynamics and self-organization of dust particles, particularly concerning the formation and stability of dust chains. Here, we investigate the electric potential surrounding dust chains in the PK-4 experiment by employing a molecular dynamics model of the dust and ions with boundary conditions supplied by a particle-in-cell with Monte Carlo collision simulation of the ionization waves. The model is used to examine the effects of the plasma conditions within different regions of the ionization wave and compare the resulting dust structure to that obtained by employing the time-averaged plasma conditions. Here, the comparison between simulated dust chains and experimental data from the PK-4 experiment shows that the time-averaged plasma conditions do not accurately reproduce observed results for dust behavior, indicating that more careful treatment of plasma conditions in the presence of ionization waves is required. It is further shown that commonly used analytic forms of the electric potential do not accurately describe the electric potential near charged dust grains under these plasma conditions.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2023

Quantifying the impact of operating temperature on cracking in battery electrodes, using super-resolution of microscopy images and stereology

There are numerous factors that can have an impact on the degradation behavior of batteries, such as the number of recharge cycles or the charge rate. Here, we investigate the influence of operating temperature on the structural degradation of the microstructure in lithium-ion positive electrodes. For that purpose, the microstructure is characterized for cathodes which have been cycled for 200 cycles under 6C (10-minute) charging at different operating temperatures, namely, 20°C, 30°C, 40°C, and 50°C. For each operating condition scanning electron microscopy (SEM) images of cross-sectioned Li x Ni 0.5 Mn 0.3 Co 0.2 O 2 (NMC532) electrodes have been analyzed, to determine structural descriptors such as global particle porosity, crack size/length/width distribution, and porosity and specific surface area distribution of individual particles. Additionally, a stereological method has been deployed to investigate the local particle porosity as a function of distance to the particle center. Results show that particle porosity increases with increasing cycling temperature. Particle porosity is greatest at the particle center and decreases along the particle radius to the exterior. Particle surface area is similar across the four cycling-temperature aging conditions.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Structure and Synthesizability of Iron–Sulfur Metal–Organic Frameworks

Sulfur-based metal–organic frameworks (MOFs) and coordination polymers (CPs) are an emerging class of hybrid materials that have received growing attention due to their magnetic, conductive, and catalytic properties with potential applications in electrocatalysis and energy storage. In this work, we report a high-throughput virtual screening protocol to predict the synthesizability of candidate metal–sulfur MOFs/CPs by computing the thermodynamically stable structures resulting from a particular combination of metal cluster, linker, cation, and synthetic conditions. Free energies are computed by using all-atom classical mechanical thermodynamic integration. Low-free-energy structures are refined using ab initio density functional theory, and pair distribution functions and powder X-ray diffraction patterns are calculated to complement and guide experimental structure determination. We validate the computational approach by retrospective predictions of the stable structure produced by experimental syntheses, and a subsequent screen predicts Fe 4 S 4 -BDT–TPP as a new thermodynamically stable one-dimensional (1D) CP comprising a redox-active Fe 4 S 4 cluster, a 1,4-benzenedithiolate (BDT) linker, and a tetraphenylphosphonium (TPP) countercation. Furthermore, this material is experimentally synthesized, and the 1D chain structure of the crystal is confirmed using microcrystal electron diffraction. The computational screening pipeline is generically transferable to neutral and ionic MOFs/CPs comprising arbitrary metal clusters, linkers, cations, and synthetic conditions, and we make it freely available as an open source tool to guide and accelerate the discovery and engineering of novel porous materials.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2021

Using neutrons and x rays to measure plasma conditions in a solid sphere of deuterated polyethylene compressed to densities of 35 g/cc at temperatures of 2 keV and pressures of 40 Gbar

This paper describes an experiment that shock compresses the center of a solid deuterated polyethylene sphere, CD 2 , to densities of 35 g/cc and temperatures of 2 keV with corresponding pressure of 40 Gbar. The design employs a strong spherically converging shock launched through a solid ball of material using a Hohlraum radiation drive. As the shock coalesces at the center it produces a hot spot that we characterize by measuring the x-ray self-emission and 2.45 MeV neutrons emitted. Two-dimensional images and time-resolved measurements of the x rays emitted determine the size and time duration of the hot spot, leading to an estimated 2k eV electron temperature. The neutron time of flight spectrometer measures an average ion temperature of 1.06 ± 0.15 keV and neutron yield of 7.0 (±0.5) × 10 9 DD neutrons. Our new distribution function tool enables us to create a forward model of the experimental data based on 1D radiation-hydrodynamic simulations, leading to a better understanding of the plasma conditions that produce the measured neutrons and x rays. Furthermore, our simulations indicate that the x rays are produced in a short-lived hot-dense core over tens of picoseconds, whereas the neutron emission continues for about 200 ps, as the hot core starts to expand, thereby leading to a lower mean temperature of the plasma during neutron production. This finding is in agreement with the experimental data, and we therefore conclude that the forward-modeling is a useful tool for inferring the conditions of the hot spot in a laser-driven implosion during burn.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Elucidating the Radiation-Induced Redox Chemistry of Plutonium Under Used Nuclear Fuel Reprocessing Conditions

Plutonium plays a critical role in the development of sustainable nuclear fuel cycles, and yet, our fundamental understanding of this element’s inherent radiation-induced redox chemistry and associated impacts on nuclear fuel cycle technologies is limited. Unanticipated changes in oxidation state distribution can influence the speciation and transport of plutonium in a given process. Control of these parameters is especially important for used nuclear fuel reprocessing technologies, wherein the separation and recovery of plutonium is typically achieved by the selective formation, maintenance, and complexation of specific oxidation states. Furthermore, plutonium’s inherent radiation-induced redox chemistry has the capacity to influence the radiolytic behavior of its complexes, the longevity of which are critical in the design of efficient and cost-effective advanced reprocessing technologies. These radiation-induced processes are unavoidable under fuel cycle conditions owing to the inherency of ionizing radiation fields to the decay of plutonium’s isotopes and to the various other radioisotopes generated by nuclear fission and neutron-capture process and the subsequent radioactive decay of their products. As such, mechanistically understanding the response of plutonium’s multiple oxidation states to multi-component ionizing radiation fields is essential for predicting the behavior of this critical element under used nuclear fuel reprocessing conditions. Here, through a combination of time-resolved (electron pulse) and steady-state (alpha and gamma) irradiation experiments complemented by quantitative, multiscale modeling calculations, we present advances in our understanding of radiation-induced plutonium redox chemistry!

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2021

Analytical solution for the cumulative wake of wind turbines in wind farms

This paper solves an approximate form of conservation of mass and momentum for a turbine in a wind farm array. The solution is a fairly simple explicit relationship that predicts the streamwise velocity distribution within a wind farm with an arbitrary layout. As this model is obtained by solving flow-governing equations directly for a turbine that is subject to upwind turbine wakes, no ad hoc superposition technique is needed to predict wind farm flows. A suite of large-eddy simulations (LES) of wind farm arrays is used to examine self-similarity as well as validity of the so-called conservation of momentum deficit for turbine wakes in wind farms. The simulations are performed with and without the presence of some specific turbines in the wind farm. This allows us to systematically study some of the assumptions made to develop the analytical model. A modified version of the conservation of momentum deficit is also proposed to provide slightly better results at short downwind distances, as well as in the far wake of turbines deep inside a wind farm. Model predictions are validated against the LES data for turbines in both full-wake and partial-wake conditions. While our results highlight the limitation in capturing the flow speed-up between adjacent turbine columns, the model is overall able to acceptably predict flow distributions for a moderately sized wind farm. Finally, the paper employs the new model to provide insights on the accuracy of common wake superposition methods.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Proof-of-concept of a reinforcement learning framework for wind farm energy capture maximization in time-varying wind

Here, we present a proof-of-concept distributed reinforcement learning framework for wind farm energy capture maximization. The algorithm we propose uses Q-Learning in a wake-delayed wind farm environment and considers time-varying, though not yet fully turbulent, wind inflow conditions. These algorithm modifications are used to create the Gradient Approximation with Reinforcement Learning and Incremental Comparison (GARLIC) framework for optimizing wind farm energy capture in time-varying conditions, which is then compared to the FLOw Redirection and Induction in Steady State (FLORIS) static lookup table wind farm controller baseline.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Confronting lattice parton distributions with global QCD analysis

We present the first Monte Carlo based global QCD analysis of spin-averaged and spin-dependent parton distribution functions (PDFs) that includes nucleon isovector matrix elements in coordinate space from lattice QCD. We investigate the degree of universality of the extracted PDFs when the lattice and experimental data are treated under the same conditions within the Bayesian likelihood analysis. For the unpolarized sector, we find rather weak constraints from the current lattice data on the phenomenological PDFs, and difficulties in describing the lattice matrix elements at large spatial distances. In contrast, for the polarized PDFs we find good agreement between experiment and lattice data, with the latter providing significant constraints on the spin-dependent isovector quark and antiquark distributions.

Sato, Nobuo↗

DOE OSTI2024

Regulation of Solar Wind Electron Temperature Anisotropy by Collisions and Instabilities

Abstract Typical solar wind electrons are modeled as being composed of a dense but less energetic thermal “core” population plus a tenuous but energetic “halo” population with varying degrees of temperature anisotropies for both species. In this paper, we seek a fundamental explanation of how these solar wind core and halo electron temperature anisotropies are regulated by combined effects of collisions and instability excitations. The observed solar wind core/halo electron data in ( β ∥ , T ⊥ / T ∥ ) phase space show that their respective occurrence distributions are confined within an area enclosed by outer boundaries. Here, T ⊥ / T ∥ is the ratio of perpendicular and parallel temperatures and β ∥ is the ratio of parallel thermal energy to background magnetic field energy. While it is known that the boundary on the high- β ∥ side is constrained by the temperature anisotropy-driven plasma instability threshold conditions, the low- β ∥ boundary remains largely unexplained. The present paper provides a baseline explanation for the low- β ∥ boundary based upon the collisional relaxation process. By combining the instability and collisional dynamics it is shown that the observed distribution of the solar wind electrons in the ( β ∥ , T ⊥ / T ∥ ) phase space is adequately explained, both for the “core” and “halo” components.

Yoon, Peter H. (ORCID:0000000181343790)↗

DOE OSTI2021

Opportunities and Challenges to Capturing Distributed Battery Value via Retail Utility Rates and Programs

Distributed battery deployment is increasing with advanced metering, control, and communication technologies, leaving electric utilities with an under-utilized, flexible grid resource in aggregate. Rates can reflect locational and temporal prices while utility incentive-based programs allow DERs to provide direct grid services. However, utilities must balance accurately reflecting dynamic grid conditions versus simple and feasible design that encourages customer participation. Currently, most rates and incentive-based programs are simple, but as penetration of DER and advanced controls increase, dynamic designs could become prevalent. Utilities could encourage providing multiple services to optimize distributed battery dispatch and value streams, however, challenges persist when stacking services across distribution and bulk systems. A DER committed to multiple discrete services concurrently necessitates coordination between operators and a clear hierarchy of commitments. One way to address this is to separate commitments by time or capacity. For services that follow cyclic, predictable patterns, or those that are peak driven with predictability, an operator could ensure sufficient state of charge for participation, leaving time where a distributed battery could otherwise provide different services by segmenting participation temporally. To provide continuous or unexpected services, a battery operator may use state of charge management to reserve some percentage of the battery and segment participation by capacity. Macroeconomic trends, load patterns, generation profiles, and grid configurations drive variation in value and the subsequent implications for utility offerings and how a customer might participate. As distributed battery adoption increases, both regulators and utilities will need to ensure no adverse grid impacts and encourage provision of societal value beyond the customer domain.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2020

Computational modeling and neutron imaging to understand interface shape and solute segregation during the vertical gradient freeze growth of BaBrCl:Eu

In this work we apply continuum models to analyze phase change, heat transfer, fluid flow, solute transport, and segregation in order to understand prior neutron imaging observations of the vertical gradient freeze growth of Eu-doped BaBrCl. The models provide a rigorous framework in which to understand the mechanisms that are responsible for the complicated evolution of interface shape and dopant distribution in the growth experiment. We explain how a transition in the solid/liquid interface shape from concave to convex is driven by changes in radial heat transfer caused by furnace design. We also provide a mechanistic explanation of how dynamic growth conditions and changes of the flow structure in the melt result in complicated segregation patterns in this system. A growth pause caused by controller lock-up is shown to result in a band of solute depletion in accordance with classical theory. However, changing flow patterns during growth result in a non-monotonic axial distribution of solute that cannot be explained by simple application of classical segregation models. We assert that the approach presented here, namely the use of rigorous models in conjunction advanced diagnostics, such as neutron imaging, provides an exciting path forward for process optimization and control, accelerating the incremental advances that have, in the past, typically relied on empiricism, experience, and intuition.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗