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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,315 records · Page 73
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

Exsolution Synthesis of Nanocomposite Perovskites with Tunable Electrical and Magnetic Properties

Nanostructured functional oxides play an important role in enabling clean energy technologies and novel memory and processor devices. Using thin-film La 0.6 Sr 0.4 FeO 3 (LSF) as a model system, the novel utility of exsolution in fabricating self-assembled metal oxide nanocomposites with tunable functionalities is shown. Exsolution triggers the formation of metallic iron (Fe 0 ) nanoparticles, Ruddlesden–Popper domains, and nm-scale percolated Fe-deficient channels in LSF. Combining multimodal characterization with numerical modeling, the chemical, magnetic, and electrical properties of the exsolution-synthesized nanocomposite at different stages of Fe 0 exsolution as well as during redox cycling are assessed. After exsolution, the electronic conductivity of the nanocomposite LSF increased by more than two orders of magnitude. Based on numerical analysis representing all the constituents, it is expected that this increase in conductivity originates mainly from the Fe-deficient percolating channels formed during exsolution. Moreover, the exsolved nanocomposite is redox-active even at moderate temperatures. Such redox capabilities can enable dynamic control of the nanocomposite functionality by tailoring the oxygen non-stoichiometry. This concept is demonstrated with a continuous modulation of magnetization between 0 and 110 emu cm -3 . These findings point out that exsolution may serve as a platform for scalable fabrication of complex metal oxide nanocomposites for electrochemical and electronic applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Thickness and Spin Dependence of Raman Modes in Magnetic Layered Fe 3 GeTe 2

2D layered Fe 3 GeTe 2 has attracted increasing attention due to its high magnetic ordering temperature and novel physical properties. Lattice dynamics is a fundamental property of Fe 3 GeTe 2 , and its relationships with the number of layers and interlayer spin ordering have not yet been explored in depth. Here, by first-principles density functional theory calculations, the phonon vibrations and Raman intensities of Fe 3 GeTe 2 are systematically studied from the bulk to monolayer structures. Furthermore, the spin-phonon coupling effect is investigated by considering different interlayer magnetic orderings: ferromagnetic and antiferromagnetic. It is found that the frequencies of Raman modes in Fe 3 GeTe 2 exhibit considerable dependence on the layer number and spin ordering. In this work, the results not only reveal the notable spin-phonon interactions in Fe 3 GeTe 2 , but also demonstrate that Raman modes can be utilized for characterizing the sample thickness and interlayer spin ordering in this 2D magnet.

2D magnets↗
DOE OSTI2023

ReaxFF reactive force field model enables accurate prediction of physiochemical and mechanical properties of crystalline and amorphous shape‐memory polyurethane

Abstract We investigate reactive force field (ReaxFF) prediction of physiochemical and mechanical properties, and stimuli response behavior of a shape‐memory polyurethane (SMPU) rigid segment. We used SMPUs as a platform to link the rigid/hard segment domain crystallinity with properties that can also be experimentally measured. Specifically, we developed models for crystalline and amorphous forms of a common rigid segment of SMPUs, for example, 4,4′‐diphenylmethane diisocyanate (MDI) with n‐butanediol (BDO), denoted as MDI‐BDO. ReaxFF molecular dynamics simulations with equilibrium dynamics are performed by controlling mass, temperature, and pressure or volume to predict the structural and physiochemical properties of crystalline and amorphous rigid segments of SMPU systems, followed by simulating their XRD and FTIR patterns, respectively. Non‐equilibrium ReaxFF simulations are implemented by using uniaxial box deformation technique to study response‐behavior of crystalline SMPU under tensile loading and during stress‐relaxation. The model and simulation scheme presented in this study demonstrates a robust theoretical pathway toward application‐dictated, on‐demand design of high‐performance SMPUs in applications such as soft robotics.

Afroz, Mohammad M.↗
DOE OSTI2022

Simulation study of chemo-mechanical impacts of CO 2 injection in morrow b sandstone reservoir

Here, this study investigates the impacts of geomechanical and geochemical changes on carbon storage in a partially depleted oil reservoir, using results from four different coupled simulation models. Models were used to examine the relative importance of storage mechanisms, and how changing reservoir parameters might affect these mechanisms through time. The study uses data from a Morrowan sandstone reservoir in the Farnsworth Unit (FWU), Ochiltree County, Texas which is currently undergoing CO 2 enhanced oil recovery (EOR). Partially depleted oil reservoirs such as the FWU offer attractive carbon utilization and/or storage targets because of existing infrastructure and economic benefits from incremental oil recovery as well as tax credits. However, prediction of storage capacity or long-term fluid migration in these fields can be difficult because of the wide variation in formation fluids and operational histories that may have undergone. CO 2 injection can cause complex geomechanical and geochemical responses in a reservoir as a result of interplay between dynamic changes in pore pressure, reservoir temperature, fluid composition, and interactions between formation fluids, CO 2 , and reservoir rock. Thus, multiple coupled numerical simulation models must be developed and used to more precisely understand what CO 2 storage mechanisms are most significant, as well as the long-term fate of the stored CO 2 . Our study used results from hydrodynamic, coupled hydro-geomechanical, coupled hydro-geochemical, and coupled hydro-geomechanical-geochemical models to examine how changes in geomechanical and geochemical properties can impact the injectivity or storage capacity of CO 2 . Models simulated historical field operations and then forward-modeled a water-alternate-gas (WAG) operation for 20 years, followed by a 1000-year post-injection monitoring. The work demonstrates that in this specific reservoir, geomechanical impacts appear to be more significant than any geochemical processes, which showed minimal impact on reservoir properties. Furthermore, these simulation scenarios corroborated other studies showing more than 90% of CO 2 injected are being stored and will remain stored in the reservoir. The study was able to draw on a rich set of data from this currently operational project for the work. Because the Morrow is a widespread oil-bearing reservoir in the midcontinent of the United States and is fairly typical of many sandstone reservoirs elsewhere, the study has significance beyond the boundaries of our field area.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Ecosystem-Level Biomimicry for the Built Environment: Adopting Systems Ecology Principles for the Control of Heterogeneous Energy Systems

This paper presents, to our knowledge, the first system-level engineering study to bio-mimic the cybernetics and flow dynamics of energy resources in natural ecosystems for the control of heterogeneous energy infrastructures in the built environment. To this end, we introduce a novel Biomimetic Pulsing State (BPS) control that functionally mimics mature ecosystems. A preliminary Modelica-based case study features a single-family residential building with electrical and HVAC subsystems. The BPS control objective is to minimize the energy exchange between the building and the grid for the purposes of future self-supporting buildings and grid stability. The building contains PV, a wind turbine, a battery storage system, and a fan coil/heat pump HVAC system served by an ambient district energy network. Evaluating the control performance (BPS vs. constant setpoint) over several renewable energy scenarios (net importer, net zero, net exporter), simulation results show how the building's HVAC system can dynamically adjust its electrical load and temperatures to the electrical system's net energy status in real-time with BPS control. As a net importer, the heat pump consumed 29% less energy and its peak power reduced by 15% with BPS control compared to the constant setpoint case, with the zone air temperature 1 degree C lower on average. As a net exporter, the heat pump effectively consumed the same energy, but the peak power increased by 34% with BPS control, while the zone air temperature was 1 degree C higher when renewable energy was abundant, preheating the home. BPS and constant setpoint control produced comparable results under a net zero scenario. While further evaluation is essential, BPS control may help communities meet their sustainability and resiliency targets as they transition towards fully distributed and renewable energy grids.

biomimicry↗
DOE OSTI2025

Speciation and diffusive dynamics in hydrated grain boundaries of complex oxide Gd2Ti2O7

Abstract Grain boundaries in polycrystalline materials significantly affect their properties, such as ionic transport, corrosion, and chemical durability. The pyrochlore compound (Gd 2 Ti 2 O 7 ) is employed as a model for complex oxides and is known for its diverse applications, including nuclear waste immobilization. Density functional theory-based first-principles molecular dynamics simulations were performed at different temperatures on the hydrated grain boundary system. The results show extensive transformations within the grain boundaries among hydrous water species (OH − , H 2 O, and H 3 O + ). The temperature dependence of self-diffusion coefficients follows Arrhenius behavior, with an activation energy of 35.9 kJ/mol for hydrogen and 46.3 kJ/mol for oxygen. The lifetime of OH − is about three to four times longer than that of H 2 O at temperatures from 800 to 2100 K, suggesting the greater stability of OH − over H 2 O, a unique characteristic of the grain boundaries. The estimated lifetime of the hydrous species decreases as the temperature increases, with an activation energy of 9.9 kJ/mol for OH − and 13.4 kJ/mol for H 2 O. While Gd 3 + is more mobile than Ti 4+ , both the Gd 3 + and Ti 4+ cations are orders of magnitude less mobile than the water species. The results suggest that water species are much more mobile within grain boundaries than in the bulk crystal and have the potential to penetrate deep into polycrystalline materials through grain boundaries, leading to grain boundary degradation and dissolution. The different mobilities of cations in complex oxides can lead to leaching of certain cations and incongruent dissolution during the chemical weathering of Earth and industrial materials.

B. Ghosh, Dipta↗
DOE OSTI2026

Origin of Metal-Insulator Transition in Rare-Earth Nickelates

Rare-earth nickelates RNiO3 (R=rare-earth element) undergo coupled structural, metal-insulator, and magnetic changes as temperature is lowered. Because the metal-insulator transition often occurs together with a symmetry-lowering distortion, it is commonly viewed as lattice driven. Here we use QSGW calculations to separate the roles of spin and structure. In the high-symmetry Pbnm phase, imposing spin disproportionation already starts to open an electronic gap, although the undistorted lattice cannot stabilize a full insulating state in both spin channels. In the low-symmetry P21/n phase, removing the spin disproportionation destroys the insulating solution even though the bond disproportionation remains. These tests show that spin disproportionation is the primary electronic driver of gap formation, while structural disproportionation acts as the enabler that allows the inequivalent Ni states to become spatially separated and fully insulating. As an explicit finite-temperature example, machine-learned molecular dynamics for NdNiO3 at 220 K shows that a nominally high-symmetry Pbnm structure dynamically samples local Ni-O bond disproportionation, while retaining Pbnm symmetry on average. This illustrates a general structural channel by which thermal fluctuations in the high-symmetry phase can help stabilize locally spin-disproportionated states.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Adsorption of Iodine on Metal Coupons in Humid and Dry Environments

In this study, five different metal coupons were evaluated for gaseous iodine [I2(g)] adsorption including two stainless steels (i.e., SS304 and SS316), two Inconel® alloys (i.e., 625 and 718) and pure Ni (i.e., Ni-200) within a dynamic flow-through system where temperature, iodine concentration, flow rate, atmosphere, and relative humidity were controlled. Humidity was shown to be critical to iodine adsorption on SS304 and SS316 and Ni-200 at ambient temperatures. The results presented herein suggest that a moisture mediated reaction is occurring. However, higher humidity levels decrease the adsorption, suggesting an ideal range of humidity for highest corrosion. A comparison of the five metal substrates showed the highest I2(g) adsorption in the following descending order Ni-200 > SS304 > SS316 >718>625.The 625 and 718 Inconel alloys were fairly inert to iodine adsorption under the conditions tested. Characterization by scanning electron microscopy, energy dispersive X-ray spectroscopy, and X-ray diffraction of the Ni-200 coupon indicates that NiI2 is formed and flakes off the surface as a black powder. The SS304 and SS316 coupons showed evidence of extensive reactions with I2(g) and formed a much more deliquescent corrosion product, which reacted with air when removed from the flow-through system for weighing on the analytical balance. These findings assist in predicting iodine adsorption behavior on a variety of metal surfaces under various conditions.

Beck, Chelsie L.↗
DOE OSTI2025

Friction surface layer deposition of triple-phase Al 10 Cr 12 Fe 35 Mn 23 Ni 20 high entropy alloy: Process optimization and microstructural evolution

A high-strength Co-free triple-phase Al 10 Cr 12 Fe 35 Mn 23 Ni 20 high-entropy alloy (HEA) was successfully fabricated using Friction Surface Layer Deposition (FSLD), a bulk manufacturing method. Multiple single-layer deposits were produced by varying forging force (F) and traverse speeds (T r ) to optimize the process parameters. The optimized conditions (F = 40 kN & T r = 200 mm/min) were then applied to manufacture a scaled-up multi-layer specimen. The initial microstructure of the HEA consisted of coarse grains of the soft FCC-phase, long columnar dendrites of the hard BCC-phase, and small precipitates of the harder B2-phase within the BCC-dendrites. During FSLD, the FCC-matrix underwent continuous dynamic recrystallization due to high-temperature severe plastic deformation, forming finer equiaxed grains. Simultaneously, the BCC-dendrites fractured into smaller fragments, some of which experienced partial growth and coarsening under applied stress, resulting in an hourglass morphology. In contrast, the small B2-precipitates within the BCC-fragments dissolved during the elevated temperatures of FSLD and reprecipitated as substantially finer precipitates during continuous cooling post-FSLD. Additionally, the orientation relationships between the FCC and BCC/B2 phases were completely destroyed by the severe thermoplastic deformation inherent to FSLD. The microstructural refinements led to a substantial improvement in hardness from 177 HV to 283 HV, driven by Hall-Petch strengthening. The increased number of interfaces, including coherent BCC-B2 interfaces, potentially enhances the sink strength and radiation tolerance of the HEA, making it a promising candidate for nuclear applications. In conclusion, this study also highlights FSLD as a versatile technique for achieving tunable properties in HEAs, with detailed schematics illustrating the complex mechanisms of phase transformations during processing.

Additive Manufacturing↗
DOE OSTI2022

What lies beneath: Vertical temperature heterogeneity in a Mediterranean woodland savanna

As the availability of satellite and airborne thermal infrared remote sensing (TIR-RS) data increases and their spatial, temporal, and spectral resolutions improve, researchers are finding diverse applications for TIR-RS measurements. TIR-RS is now commonly applied in regional- and continental-scale analyses, such as those focused on fire and surface energy balance. However, its application lags in plant physiology and ecology, for which a finer-scale understanding of plant canopy temperatures would be useful to elucidate plant water dynamics, for example. In particular, while methods to disaggregate TIR-RS pixels in horizontal space have advanced, possible vertical stratification of plant canopy temperature and its implications for understanding the correspondence between TIR-RS and finer-scale, field-based thermal measurements (e.g. made with a thermal camera) remain unexplored. Here, we use data from a thermal camera deployed concurrently with the recent ECOSTRESS mission to quantify vertical temperature gradients within tree canopies and temperatures of over- vs. under-story plants in a Mediterranean woodland savanna. We then leverage diverse ancillary data to maximize the geometric comparability of ECOSTRESS and thermal camera measurements, in order to assess the extent to which the two forms of thermal measurements correspond. Specifically, we ask: (1) What are the patterns of intra-canopy and over- vs. under-story vertical temperature in a Mediterranean woodland savanna?, and (2) How can vertically-resolved, but spatially-limited field-based temperature measurements be reconciled with spatially-extensive, but surface-only, temperature measurements of a space-borne remote sensor? Further, we found consistent patterns of vertical thermal heterogeneity both within tree canopies and between ecosystem over- and under-stories. The daytime difference between the top and bottom thirds of blue oak canopies was, on average, 0.48 ° C – and sometimes several times larger. Notably, canopy tops are cooler, likely associated with the under-story grass reaching daytime temperatures often exceeding over-story temperatures by 10° C. Given the consistency of the intra-canopy temperature gradients, we expected the ECOSTRESS sensor would be in better agreement with camera measurements of canopy tops than bulk canopies or canopy bottoms. However, within-canopy gradients were overwhelmed by other sources of disagreement between the measurements, in part associated with upscaling camera measurements across space. Overall, thermal camera and ECOSTRESS measurements were largely in agreement at night (pixel RMSE = 1.1°C), but they were more divergent during times of low (but >0 W/m2) and high incoming solar radiation (daytime pixel RMSE = 3.5°C).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Two-Dimensional and Three-Dimensional Tetrel-Arsenide Frameworks Templated by Li and Cs Cations

Two new ternary tetrel pnictide phases, Li 1.08 Ge 4.92 As 7 and Cs 0.11 Zn 0.05 Si 0.95 As, have been synthesized. Both compounds crystallize in new structure types, which demonstrate the flexibility of Ge(Si)–As layers when accommodating electropositive cations of various sizes. Li 1.08 Ge 4.92 As 7 displays a Ge-As layer motif that has not been observed in ternary Ge-As systems, while Cs 0.11 Zn 0.05 Si 0.95 As exhibits a 3D framework composed of fragments of the 2D parent-phase SiAs. For Li 1.08 Ge 4.92 As 7 , a combination of computational modeling and solid-state 7 Li MAS NMR was used to establish the correct crystal structure with one mixed occupied Ge/Li site. The compositions of the phases were confirmed through energy-dispersive X-ray spectroscopy. Transport properties and UV–Vis spectroscopy reveal both reported compounds to be semiconductors. Cs 0.11 Zn 0.05 Si 0.95 As shows high thermal stability with congruent melting at 1300 K and an exceptionally low thermal conductivity of 0.5 W m –1 K –1 at 300 K. Temperature-dependent Li-ion hopping dynamics in Li 1.08 Ge 4.92 As 7 was characterized using 7 Li solid-state NMR.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Electron Paramagnetic Resonance Characteristics and Crystal Structure of a Tutton Salt Analogue: Copper-Doped Cadmium Creatininium Sulfate

Electron paramagnetic resonance and crystallographic studies on copper-doped cadmium creatininium sulfate (CdCrnS) were undertaken to study the characteristics of a copper-hexahydrate complex in an organic analogue of Tutton's salt. X-ray diffraction experiments determined the crystal structure of CdCrnS at both 100 and 298 K. CdCrnS, like Tutton salt, crystallizes in the monoclinic space group P2 1 /n. The unit cell contains two cadmium hexahydrate complexes, four creatininium ions, four sulfates, and four additional solvation waters. Both crystallography and EPR find that the doped copper replaces the cadmium in the structure. Single-crystal EPR measurements at room temperature determined the g and copper hyperfine (A Cu ) tensors (principal values: g = 2.437, 2.134, and 2.080 and A Cu = -327, -84.8, and 7.33 MHz). EPR spectra of the powder at room temperature gave g = 2.448, 2.125, and 2.085 and A Cu = -315, -75.0, and 35.0 MHz and at 110 K gave g = 2.462, 2.116, and 2.077 and A Cu = -340, -30.0, and 35.0 MHz. The room-temperature tensors are close to the "rigid lattice limit" values found in copper-doped Tutton salts but with a higher gmin and weaker A Cu x coupling than average. A small but measurable temperature dependency of the tensors indicated the presence of a dynamic Jahn-Teller (JT) effect. In addition, the EPR line width changed dramatically with temperature, which is like that found in all copper-doped Tutton crystals. Utilizing the model of Silver-Getz for the g-value variation gave an estimate for the energy difference (δ 12 = 640 cm -1 ) between the ground and next highest JT configurations. An empirical correlation appears to exist between δ 12 and g min and A Cu x for the copper hexahydrates studied in similar crystals. Finally, this suggests a relationship between the amount of unpaired spins in the copper d-orbital x lobe and the gap between wells of the adiabatic potential surface.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

Molecular Simulations of CH 4 and CO 2 Diffusion in Rigid Nanoporous Amorphous Materials

Molecular diffusion in nanoporous materials is important in determining the rate of equilibration of various adsorption processes and plays a pivotal role in kinetic separations and membrane-based separations. Because generating realistic structures of amorphous nanoporous materials is difficult, far less is known about diffusion in amorphous nanoporous materials than in their crystalline counterparts. Here, we present molecular dynamics simulations assessing the room-temperature self-diffusion of CH 4 and CO 2 in a wide range of rigid amorphous nanoporous materials, including porous carbons, kerogens, polymers of intrinsic microporosity, and hyper-cross-linked polymers. Our results are the largest collection of molecular diffusivities in amorphous nanoporous materials to date. In each material, the diffusivity increases with the adsorbate concentration at low and moderate adsorbate concentrations, reaching a maximum before decreasing due to steric effects at higher concentrations. The observed diffusivities are much slower than that would be expected based on standard descriptions of Knudsen diffusivity. Here we show that the observed diffusivities are not correlated in a simple way with scalar descriptors of the pore structures such as the pore limiting diameter.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

Surface Segregation of Liquid Metal Plasma-Facing Component Alloys: A ReaxFF Investigation

Engineering liquid metal alloys offers a transformative pathway for plasma-facing components by enabling chemically tailored surfaces that can simultaneously optimize plasma-material interactions, reduce divertor heat flux, and enhance core plasma confinement, thereby advancing the commercial viability of nuclear fusion power plants. This study, employing an atomistic simulation approach, provides direct evidence that incorporating nonmetal surface-active agents (such as O and H, or their combination) enables strong surface segregation. This capability makes tin−aluminum (Sn−Al) and tin−lithium (Sn−Li) alloys, with suitable compositions, good candidates for PFC applications. Specifically, the presence of low-Z solutes (Li, Al) leads to preferential surface enrichment, which imparts low-Z sputtering characteristics, while the Sn solvent maintains thermophysical stability. To systematically examine this behavior, we developed a ReaxFF force field spanning the full Sn/Al/Li/O/H chemistry, validated it against formation energies and elastic constants, and applied it in reactive molecular dynamics simulations at fusion-relevant temperatures. We also introduced an overlapbased segregation index that captures interfacial compositional separation directly from atomistic density distributions. Here, this metric reveals a clear hierarchy of segregation regimes and provides a unified view across all systems studied. Together, these findings establish a mechanistic link between nonmetal chemistry and interfacial structure, providing a predictive framework for designing self-adaptive, low-sputtering liquid metal alloys for fusion applications.

Alloys↗
DOE OSTI2023

Observations of Ethylene-for-CO Ligand Exchanges on a Zeolite-Supported Single-Site Rh Catalyst by X-ray Absorption Spectroscopy

Quick-scanning X-ray absorption fine structure (QXAFS) measurements were used to characterize the exchanges of ethylene and CO ligands in a zeolite HY-supported single-site Rh complex at a sampling rate of 1.0 Hz. The two ligands were reversibly exchanged on the rhodium, with quantitative results determined for the C 2 H 4 -for-CO exchange that are consistent with a first-order process. The apparent rate constant for the exchange decreased with increasing temperature. Fourier-transform infrared spectra characterizing the C 2 H 4 sorbed in the zeolite showed that the amount decreased with increasing temperature, consistent with the decrease in the exchange rate with increasing temperature. Here the results, illustrating the dynamics of ligand exchanges on a single-site supported metal catalyst, demonstrate the broad emerging applicability of the QXAFS technique for characterizing the dynamics of reactive intermediates on catalysts.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

Strain and Defect-Tailored Magnetotransport in NiCo 2 O 4 Thin Films and Freestanding Membranes

Magnetic spinel NiCo 2 O 4 is promising for developing spintronic applications due to its high magnetic Curie temperature, high spin polarization, fast spin dynamics, and strain-tunable magnetic anisotropy, while its electronic and magnetic properties depend sensitively on epitaxial strain and disorder. Here, in this study, we use epitaxial NiCo 2 O 4 thin films and freestanding NiCo 2 O 4 membranes as model systems to reveal the complex interplay of strain and defects in determining the metallicity and magnetotransport properties of the ferrimagnetic spinel. NiCo 2 O 4 on perovskite substrates and NiCo 2 O 4 membranes exhibit insulating behaviors and spin canting, in sharp contrast to the metallic NiCo 2 O 4 films on spinel substrates that possess strong perpendicular magnetic anisotropy. Anisotropic magnetoresistance studies provide critical information about disorder-induced spin scattering and strain-induced tetragonal magnetocrystalline anisotropy, which is corroborated by comprehensive electron microscopy characterizations. Our study presents a promising venue for designing flexible magnetic memory, sensor, and spintronic applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Projecting Large Fires in the Western US With an Interpretable and Accurate Hybrid Machine Learning Method

More frequent and widespread large fires are occurring in the western United States (US), yet reliable methods for predicting these fires, particularly with extended lead times and a high spatial resolution, remain challenging. In this study, we proposed an interpretable and accurate hybrid machine learning (ML) model, that explicitly represented the controls of fuel flammability, fuel availability, and human suppression effects on fires. The model demonstrated notable accuracy with a F 1 -score of 0.846 ± 0.012, surpassing process-driven fire danger indices and four commonly used ML models by up to 40% and 9%, respectively. More importantly, the ML model showed remarkably higher interpretability relative to other ML models. Specifically, by demystifying the “black box” of each ML model using the explainable AI techniques, we identified substantial structural differences across ML fire models, even among those with similar accuracy. The relationships between fires and their drivers, identified by our model, were aligned closer with established fire physical principles. The ML structural discrepancy led to diverse fire predictions and our model predictions exhibited greater consistency with actual fire occurrence. With the highly interpretable and accurate model, we revealed the strong compound effects from multiple climate variables related to evaporative demand, energy release component, temperature, and wind speed, on the dynamics of large fires and megafires in the western US. Our findings highlight the importance of assessing the structural integrity of models in addition to their accuracy. They also underscore the critical need to address the rise in compound climate extremes linked to large wildfires.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Engineering the formation of spin-defects from first principles

The full realization of spin qubits for quantum technologies relies on the ability to control and design the formation processes of spin defects in semiconductors and insulators. We present a computational protocol to investigate the synthesis of point-defects at the atomistic level, and we apply it to the study of a promising spin-qubit in silicon carbide, the divacancy (VV). Our strategy combines electronic structure calculations based on density functional theory and enhanced sampling techniques coupled with first principles molecular dynamics. We predict the optimal annealing temperatures for the formation of VVs at high temperature and show how to engineer the Fermi level of the material to optimize the defect’s yield for several polytypes of silicon carbide. Our results are in excellent agreement with available experimental data and provide novel atomistic insights into point defect formation and annihilation processes as a function of temperature.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗