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At least 1,315 records · Page 73
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS2020

Using a Simple Water Balance Framework to Quantify the Impact of Soil Moisture Initialization on Subseasonal Evapotranspiration and Air Temperature Forecasts

Past studies have shown that accurate soil moisture initialization can contribute significant skill to near-surface air temperature (T2M) forecasts at subseasonal leads. The mechanisms by which soil moisture contributes such skill are examined here with a simple water balance-based model that captures the essence of soil moisture behavior in a state-of-the-art subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) forecasting system. The simple model successfully transforms initial soil moisture contents into average “forecasted” ET values at 16-30 day lead that agree well, during summer, with the values forecasted by the full NASA GEOS S2S system, indicating that soil moisture initialization dominates over forecasted meteorology in determining ET fluxes at subseasonal leads. When the simple model’s ET anomalies are interpreted in terms of T2M anomalies, a similar conclusion is reached for T2M: soil moisture initialization explains much (about 50% in the eastern half of the continental US) of the T2M anomalies produced by the full GEOS S2S system at 16-30 day lead, and the T2M forecasts produced by the simple model capture about half of the skill attained by the full system. The simple model’s framework is particularly conducive to an analysis of uncertainty in forecasts. Drier soils are generally found to induce larger uncertainty in ET (and thus T2M) forecasts, a result linked to the functional form relating ET to soil moisture in the simple model and verified by an analysis of the ensemble spreads within the forecasts produced by the full GEOS S2S system

Randal D Koster↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Implementation of Two Local Correlation-Based Transition Models in OVERFLOW 2.3e

Accurate prediction of the laminar-to-turbulent boundary layer transition is highlighted as a vital component of NASA's CFD Vision 2030 Study. With an increased emphasis on greener air transports and sustainable aviation, transition modeling is anticipated to have an added significance, particularly in the applications related to laminar flow technology. However, unmanned aerial vehicles, crewed reentry vehicles, and ground-to-flight extrapolation all benefit from transition models. It is useful to incorporate a variety of models in CFD solvers because there isn't a single transition model that is ideal for the complete spectrum of applications. While the Langtry-Menter γ–Reθt model has been widely used for CFD predictions of flows with laminar, transitional, and turbulent boundary layers, it does not meet the criteria for Galilean invariance, a desirable attribute for rotorcraft applications. To help overcome that limitation, we have implemented Menter's SST-based γ transition model within NASA’s OVERFLOW Overset CFD code (version 2.3e). In addition, an SA-based implementation of the Langtry-Menter γ–Reθt transition model has also been implemented in view of the increased robustness of the SA-turbulence model for external aerodynamic applications. An initial assessment of the implemented models has been carried out using benchmark 2D test cases involving flat plates and the NLF-0416 airfoil, focusing on bypass, Tollmien-Schlichting, and laminar separation bubble-induced transition scenarios. In comparison to the Langtry-Menter γ–Reθt model, both models were found to produce increased computation efficiency, principally as a result of the decrease from four to three auxiliary transport equations. Results from the initial analysis will be presented, along with additional details pertaining to the deployment of these models.

CFD modeling↗
DOE OSTI2019

Parametric Controls on Vegetation Responses to Biogeochemical Forcing in the CLM5

Future projections of land carbon uptake in Earth System Models are affected by land surface model responses to both CO 2 and nitrogen fertilization. The Community Land Model, Version 5 (CLM5), contains a suite of modifications to carbon and nitrogen cycle representation. Globally, the CLM5 has a larger CO 2 response and smaller nitrogen response than its predecessors. To improve our understanding of the controls over the fertilization responses of the new model, we assess sensitivity to eight parameters pertinent to the cycling of carbon and nitrogen by vegetation, both under present-day conditions and with CO 2 and nitrogen fertilization. The impact of fertilization varies with both model parameters and with the balance of limiting factors (water, temperature, nutrients, and light) in the pre-fertilization model state. The model parameters that impact the pre-fertilization state are in general not the same as those that control fertilization responses, meaning that goodness of fit to present-day conditions does not necessarily imply a constraint on future transient projections. Where pre-fertilization state has low leaf area, fertilization-induced increases in leaf production amplify the model response to the initial fertilization via further increases in photosynthesis. Model responses to CO 2 and N fertilization are strongly impacted by how much plant communities can increase their rates of nitrogen fixation and also directly affected by costs of N extraction from soil and stoichiometric flexibility. Illustration of how parametric flexibility impacts model outputs should help inform the interpretation of carbon-climate feedbacks estimated by in fully coupled Earth system model simulations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2019

Radiation-induced Swelling and Microcracking in SiC Cladding for LWRs

After the Fukushima accident in 2011, SiC has attracted considerable attention as a potential material for fuel cladding that can offer increased accident tolerance in light water reactors (LWRs) compared to zircaloy cladding. Existing measurements on nuclear grade SiC/SiC composites made of high-purity, stoichiometric SiC have already shown very good radiation tolerance in various harsh environments. However, there are a number of challenges that need to be addressed before SiC composites can be successfully used in LWR technologies. One of them is irradiation-induced swelling, which can lead to development of significant stresses in the matrix, followed by microcracking and subsequent release of fission products. Models of irradiation-induced swelling had been largely empirical and therefore they cannot be used to predict the microstructural dependence of microcracking. Existing models are also limited by the lack of understanding of defects that form due to irradiation in the range of temperatures relevant to fuel cladding in LWRs (<1000°C). Many of the defects in this regime of temperature are too small to be detected with traditional transmission electron microscopy (TEM) techniques. In fact the defects observed in traditional TEM account only for 10-45% of the swelling measured in irradiated SiC. Here, we developed a multi-scale simulation methodology combined with state of the art experimental imaging techniques based on aberration corrected scanning transmission electron microscopy (STEM) to provide a scientific basis for predictive models of radiation swelling and microcracking in SiC. Specifically, we have developed a phase field fracture model that predicts microcrack initiation and growth in polycrystalline SiC. The model accounts for single crystal anisotropy, including anisotropy in the elastic constants and anisotropic surface energy. It also considers the reduced fracture strength of grain boundaries. The model was implemented using the MARMOT mesoscale nuclear materials tool. We have parameterized the model for SiC using molecular dynamics simulation results. The model has been verified using single crystal, bicrystal, and polycrystal examples. Swelling model has also been developed based on cluster dynamics simulations of defect evolution in SiC. We found that point defects and small defect clusters have a significant contribution to swelling. This finding is important because point defects and very small defect clusters are not visible in experiments (e.g., in TEM). Combined modeling and experiments can bring critical insights into how swelling depends on irradiation conditions and the microstructure. In situ nanoindentation tests and ex situ nanoindentation tests were performed on assynthesized 3C-SiC and 3C-SiC irradiated under different radiation conditions. Without radiation, bend contour movement and residual bend contours after indentation demonstrate some room temperature plastic flow and residual plastic deformation. Plastic deformation recovery is also observed on unirradiated samples during unloading. Radiation-induced embrittlement is demonstrated by differences in crack geometry in in situ tests, and is consistent with ex situ test results. Failure by single, straight, cracks indicates decreased fracture toughness due to irradiation in 3C-SiC. Future work includes coupling of the swelling and fracture models and development of a master equation that can be used in the BISON code.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Thermal and Deposition Modeling of the Canister Deposition Field Demonstration

This report provides initial thermal and deposition modeling results of the spent nuclear fuel (SNF) storage system planned for use in the Canister Deposition Field Demonstration (CDFD). The goal of the CDFD testing is to collect deposition measurements on the surface of the dry shielded canister (DSC) to aid in chloride-induced stress corrosion crack (CISCC) research. Ideally this testing will occur in a marine coastal environment but at the time of this report no official site has been selected. The CDFD will use the NUHOMS ® Advanced Horizontal Storage Module – High Seismic (AHSM-HS) with a 32PTH2 canister. The SNF assemblies will be replaced with electrical heaters. Canisters are currently being outfitted with these heaters and tested at Sandia National Laboratory (SNL). Thermal modeling was conducted to ensure the electrical heaters were representative of the temperature distribution found within a storage system with SNF. Deposition models were built to evaluate contaminant deposition on SNF canisters. The CDFD testing will help to validate these models, which will then be used to plan and inform on-site test programs and predictive models for the timing and occurrence of canister CISCC.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
NASA NTRS1989

Mesoscale acid deposition modeling studies

The work performed in support of the EPA/DOE MADS (Mesoscale Acid Deposition) Project included the development of meteorological data bases for the initialization of chemistry models, the testing and implementation of new planetary boundary layer parameterization schemes in the MASS model, the simulation of transport and precipitation for MADS case studies employing the MASS model, and the use of the TASS model in the simulation of cloud statistics and the complex transport of conservative tracers within simulated cumuloform clouds. The work performed in support of the NASA/FAA Wind Shear Program included the use of the TASS model in the simulation of the dynamical processes within convective cloud systems, the analyses of the sensitivity of microburst intensity and general characteristics as a function of the atmospheric environment within which they are formed, comparisons of TASS model microburst simulation results to observed data sets, and the generation of simulated wind shear data bases for use by the aviation meteorological community in the evaluation of flight hazards caused by microbursts.

Kaplan, Michael L.↗
NASA NTRS1994

Automation of reverse engineering process in aircraft modeling and related optimization problems

During the year of 1994, the engineering problems in aircraft modeling were studied. The initial concern was to obtain a surface model with desirable geometric characteristics. Much of the effort during the first half of the year was to find an efficient way of solving a computationally difficult optimization model. Since the smoothing technique in the proposal 'Surface Modeling and Optimization Studies of Aerodynamic Configurations' requires solutions of a sequence of large-scale quadratic programming problems, it is important to design algorithms that can solve each quadratic program in a few interactions. This research led to three papers by Dr. W. Li, which were submitted to SIAM Journal on Optimization and Mathematical Programming. Two of these papers have been accepted for publication. Even though significant progress has been made during this phase of research and computation times was reduced from 30 min. to 2 min. for a sample problem, it was not good enough for on-line processing of digitized data points. After discussion with Dr. Robert E. Smith Jr., it was decided not to enforce shape constraints in order in order to simplify the model. As a consequence, P. Dierckx's nonparametric spline fitting approach was adopted, where one has only one control parameter for the fitting process - the error tolerance. At the same time the surface modeling software developed by Imageware was tested. Research indicated a substantially improved fitting of digitalized data points can be achieved if a proper parameterization of the spline surface is chosen. A winning strategy is to incorporate Dierckx's surface fitting with a natural parameterization for aircraft parts. The report consists of 4 chapters. Chapter 1 provides an overview of reverse engineering related to aircraft modeling and some preliminary findings of the effort in the second half of the year. Chapters 2-4 are the research results by Dr. W. Li on penalty functions and conjugate gradient methods for quadratic programming problems.

Li, W.↗
NASA NTRS2014

Configuration and Evaluation of a Dual-Doppler 3-D Wind Field System

Current LSP, GSDO, and SLS space vehicle operations are halted when wind speeds from specific directions exceed defined thresholds and when lightning is a threat. Strong winds and lightning are difficult parameters for the 45th Weather Squadron (45 WS) to forecast, yet are important in the protection of customer vehicle operations and the personnel that conduct them. A display of the low-level horizontal wind field to reveal areas of high winds or convergence would be a valuable tool for forecasters in assessing the timing of high winds, or convection initiation and subsequent lightning occurrence. This is especially important for areas where no weather observation platforms exist. Developing a dual-Doppler radar capability would provide such a display to assist forecasters in predicting high winds and convection initiation. The wind fields can also be used to initialize a local mesoscale numerical weather prediction model to help improve the model forecast winds, convection initiation, and other phenomena. The 45 WS and NWS MLB tasked the Applied Meteorology Unit (AMU) to develop a dual- Doppler wind field display using data from the 45th Space Wing radar, known as the Weather Surveillance Radar (WSR), NWS MLB Weather Surveillance Radar 1988 Doppler (KMLB), and the Orlando International Airport Terminal Doppler Weather Radar (KMCO). They also stipulated that the software used should be freely available. The AMU evaluated two software packages and, with concurrence from NWS MLB and the 45 WS, chose the Warning Decision Support System-Integrated Information (WDSS-II). The AMU collected data from two significant weather cases: a tornadic event on 14 April 2013 and a severe wind and hail event on 12 February 2014. For the 14 April case, the data were from WSR and KMLB. For the 12 February case, the data were from KMCO and KMLB. The AMU installed WDSS-II on a Linux PC, then processed and quality controlled the radar data for display and analysis using WDSS-II tools. Because of issues with de-aliasing the WSR velocity field, the AMU did not use data from this radar in this study and only analyzed the 12 February case. Merging the data to create the dual-Doppler analysis involved several steps. The AMU used instructions from the WDSS-II website and discussion forum to determine the correct tools to use for the analysis, and was successful in creating a merged reflectivity field, which was critical to the success of creating a merged velocity field. However, the AMU was unable to create a merged velocity field. The AMU researched the WDSS-II forum for discussions on similar issues, asked questions on the forum, and tested different options and values in the merger tool with no success. Developing a dual-Doppler wind field was the main goal of this task, but that was not accomplished. It could be an issue of not using the correct options or the correct value for the options used, or there could be issues with the radar data. There is a follow-on AMU task to install the operational version of WDSS-II in the NWS MLB office. This will provide more opportunities to try different options and input values in order to create a merged wind field from KMCO and KMLB.

Doppler radar↗
NASA NTRS1984

Sampling strategies and four-dimensional assimilation of altimetric data for ocean monitoring and prediction

Numerical experiments using simulated altimeter data were conducted in order to examine the assimilation of altimeter-derived sea surface heights into numerical ocean circulation models. A reduced-gravity, primitive equation circulation model of the Gulf of Mexico was utilized; the Gulf of Mexico was chosen because of its amenability to modeling and the ability of low vertical-mode models to reproduce the observed dynamical features of the Gulf circulation. The simulated data were obtained by flying an imaginary altimeter over the model ocean and sampling the model sea surface just as real altimeter would observe the true ocean. The data were used to initialize the numerical model and the subsequent forecast was compared to the true numerical solution. Results indicate that for a stationary, circular eddy, approximately three to four tracks (either ascending or descending) across the eddy are sufficient to ensure adequate spatial resolution.

Kindle, J. C.↗
NASA NTRS1985

An MHD model of the earth's magnetosphere

It is pointed out that the earth's magnetosphere arises from the interaction of the solar wind with the earth's geomagnetic field. A global magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) model of the earth's magnetosphere has drawn much attention in recent years. In this model, MHD equations are used to describe the solar wind interaction with the magnetosphere. In the present paper, some numerical aspects of the model are considered. Attention is given to the ideal MHD equations, an equation of state for the plasma, the model as an initial- and boundary-value problem, the shock capturing technique, computational requirements and techniques for global MHD modeling, a three-dimensional mesh system employed in the global MHD model, and some computational results.

Wu, C. C.↗
NASA NTRS2018

A Realization of Bias Correction Method in the GMAO Coupled System

Over the past several decades, a tremendous effort has been made to improve model performance in the simulation of the climate system. The cold or warm sea surface temperature (SST) bias in the tropics is still a problem common to most coupled ocean atmosphere general circulation models (CGCMs). The precipitation biases in CGCMs are also accompanied by SST and surface wind biases. The deficiencies and biases over the equatorial oceans through their influence on the Walker circulation likely contribute the precipitation biases over land surfaces. In this study, we introduce an approach in the CGCM modeling to correct model biases. This approach utilizes the history of the model's short-term forecasting errors and their seasonal dependence to modify model's tendency term and to minimize its climate drift. The study shows that such an approach removes most of model climate biases. A number of other aspects of the model simulation (e.g. extratropical transient activities) are also improved considerably due to the imposed pre-processed initial 3-hour model drift corrections. Because many regional biases in the GEOS-5 CGCM are common amongst other current models, our approaches and findings are applicable to these other models as well.

Chang, Yehui↗
NASA NTRS2019

Application of System Identification to Parachute Modeling

Parachute models are used in numerous flight simulation tools to predict a wide range of parachute flight performance characteristics (e.g., parachute inflation loads, parachute stability and dynamics, vehicle touchdown conditions, and, ultimately, the safety and survivability of the system using the parachute). The current state of the art in developing parachute models is to initially estimate the parachute characteristics based on the parachute geometry and historical data and then add increased model fidelity based on data from wind tunnel and/or flight tests. This approach, however, can be deficient in identifying which parachute states (e.g., angle of attack, sideslip, angular rates, flyout angles, descent rate, dynamic pressure, proximity to other parachutes) are responsible for the parachute motion, and the relationship between those states and the forces on the parachute.

Murri, Daniel G.↗
NASA NTRS2018

A Cellular Backshell Concept for a Planetary Entry Vehicle

The development of an alternative, novel backshell concept to replace the traditional approach for the backshell of a planetary entry vehicle, was initiated in this study. The motivation was to determine if the novel concept, with the potential to provide significant improvements compared to the traditional approach, would be feasible. In initiating this effort, two cellular-type structures were chosen for evaluation. Preliminary structural finite element analysis models of just a single backshell panel were created for both a traditional design and the cellular concepts. Structural results revealed similar behavior for all the models. Although these initial results predicted higher mass values for the cellular structures, eventually adding more variables to the cell structure to further tailor the cellular concept, may significantly lower the mass predicted, and is justification for further study. Additionally, a novel approach to the thermal protection system of the cellular structures was proposed that included the use of advanced thermal blanket insulation. Thermal sizing analysis was performed for a simplified planetary entry heating condition producing a preliminary thermal design. However, further development and testing will be needed to determine if the proposed novel thermal protection approach, in conjunction with the cellular structure, would be an attractive alternative candidate backshell concept for future planetary entry vehicles.

Krings, Ethan↗
NASA NTRS2009

Self-Consistent Model of Magnetospheric Electric Field, Ring Current, Plasmasphere, and Electromagnetic Ion Cyclotron Waves: Initial Results

Further development of our self-consistent model of interacting ring current (RC) ions and electromagnetic ion cyclotron (EMIC) waves is presented. This model incorporates large scale magnetosphere-ionosphere coupling and treats self-consistently not only EMIC waves and RC ions, but also the magnetospheric electric field, RC, and plasmasphere. Initial simulations indicate that the region beyond geostationary orbit should be included in the simulation of the magnetosphere-ionosphere coupling. Additionally, a self-consistent description, based on first principles, of the ionospheric conductance is required. These initial simulations further show that in order to model the EMIC wave distribution and wave spectral properties accurately, the plasmasphere should also be simulated self-consistently, since its fine structure requires as much care as that of the RC. Finally, an effect of the finite time needed to reestablish a new potential pattern throughout the ionosphere and to communicate between the ionosphere and the equatorial magnetosphere cannot be ignored.

Gamayunov, K. V.↗
NASA NTRS1985

Modeling and analysis of pinhole occulter experiment: Initial study phase

The feasibility of using a generic simulation, TREETOPS, to simulate the Pinhole/Occulter Facility (P/OF) to be tested on the space shuttle was demonstrated. The baseline control system was used to determine the pointing performance of the P/OF. The task included modeling the structure as a three body problem (shuttle-instrument pointing system- P/OP) including the flexibility of the 32 meter P/OF boom. Modeling of sensors, actuators, and control algorithms was also required. Detailed mathematical models for the structure, sensors, and actuators are presented, as well as the control algorithm and corresponding design procedure. Closed loop performance using this controller and computer listings for the simulator are also given.

Vandervoort, R. J.↗
NASA NTRS1985

Mesoscale research activities with the LAMPS model

Researchers achieved full implementation of the LAMPS mesoscale model on the Atmospheric Sciences Division computer and derived balanced and real wind initial states for three case studies: March 6, April 24, April 26, 1982. Numerical simulations were performed for three separate studies: (1) a satellite moisture data impact study using Vertical Atmospheric Sounder (VAS) precipitable water as a constraint on model initial state moisture analyses; (2) an evaluation of mesoscale model precipitation simulation accuracy with and without convective parameterization; and (3) the sensitivity of model precipitation to mesoscale detail of moisture and vertical motion in an initial state.

Kalb, M. W.↗
NASA NTRS2009

The Lunar Mapping and Modeling Project

LMMP was initiated in 2007 to help in making the anticipated results of the LRO spacecraft useful and accessible to Constellation. The LMMP is managing and developing a suite of lunar mapping and modeling tools and products that support the Constellation Program (CxP) and other lunar exploration activities. In addition to the LRO Principal Investigators, relevant activities and expertise that had already been funded by NASA was identified at ARC, CRREL (Army Cold Regions Research & Engineering Laboratory), GSFC, JPL, & USGS. LMMP is a cost capped, design-to-cost project (Project budget was established prior to obtaining Constellation needs)

Noble, Sarah↗
DOE OSTI2024

A comparison of model validation approaches for echo state networks using climate model replicates

As global temperatures continue to rise, climate mitigation strategies such as stratospheric aerosol injections (SAI) are increasingly discussed, but the downstream effects of these strategies are not well understood. As such, there is interest in developing statistical methods to quantify the evolution of climate variable relationships during the time period surrounding an SAI. Feature importance applied to echo state network (ESN) models has been proposed as a way to understand the effects of SAI using a data-driven model. This approach depends on the ESN fitting the data well. If not, the feature importance may place importance on features that are not representative of the underlying relationships. Typically, time series prediction models such as ESNs are assessed using out-of-sample performance metrics that divide the times series into separate training and testing sets. However, this model assessment approach is geared towards forecasting applications and not scenarios such as the motivating SAI example where the objective is using a data driven model to capture variable relationships. Here, in this paper, we demonstrate a novel use of climate model replicates to investigate the applicability of the commonly used repeated hold-out model assessment approach for the SAI application. Simulations of an SAI are generated using a simplified climate model, and different initialization conditions are used to provide independent training and testing sets containing the same SAI event. The climate model replicates enable out-of-sample measures of model performance, which are compared to the single time series hold-out validation approach. For our case study, it is found that the repeated hold-out sample performance is comparable, but conservative, to the replicate out-of-sample performance when the training set contains enough time after the aerosol injection.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗