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At least 1,315 records · Page 73

(U) Average Scattering Angle Cosine Sensitivities

The Evaluated Nuclear Data File (ENDF) provides covariances of the average scattering angle cosine $\overline{μ}$ for 117 nuclides, and the NJOY nuclear data processing code can process these covariances. To propagate them to the uncertainty of a response due to uncertainties in $\overline{μ}$ requires sensitivities of the response with respect to $\overline{μ}$. This report uses NJOY’s definition of $\overline{μ}$ and derives a relationship between the sensitivity of a response to $\overline{μ}$ and the sensitivity of the response to the anisotropic P 1 elastic scattering cross section. This relationship has been implemented in the multigroup neutron sensitivity code SENSMG, which relies on the discrete ordinates code PARTISN for the neutron transport calculations. Kodeli has also calculated sensitivities with respect to $\overline{μ}$ and associated uncertainties. However, the formal derivation of this paper shows that the definition of the sensitivity with respect to $\overline{μ}$ is ambiguous because there are multiple ways to change $\overline{μ}$ by changing scattering cross sections. Here we derive two such ways. Both are implemented in SENSMG. This report is organized as follows. Section II discusses $\overline{μ}$ and its significance. Section III presents the equations used for the sensitivity of a response with respect to $\overline{μ}$, and Section IV discusses how to compute these sensitivities with SENSMG and MCNP6.3. Section V is a fast-spectrum test problem, and Sec. VI is a thermal-spectrum problem. Section VII is a summary. The example problem inputs are listed in the appendix.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Ground simulation and tunnel blockage for a jet-flapped, basic STOL model tested to very high lift coefficients

Ground effects experiments and large/small-tunnel interference studies were carried out on a model with a 20-inch (50.8 cm) span wing. The wing, which includes a highly deflected knee-blown flap can be fitted with unflapped tips and slats. A low-mounted tailplane can be fitted to the aft fuselage. Three-component balance meaurements, made with a fixed ground equipped with a single boundary-layer blowing slot, were compared with datum, moving-ground results. Good comparisons were obtained up to model blowing momentum coefficients of approximately two, after which the particular floor blowing settings used proved insufficient to prevent floor separation in the vicinity of the model. Skin friction measurements, taken routinely along the floor centerline, proved invaluable during the analysis of results, and their use is recommended as input to determination of floor BLC setting. A careful investigation was made of pitching moments, including tail-on, close-to-ground cases, with favorable results. Drag proved the most sensitive to the change from a moving to the boundary-layer controlled ground.

Hackett, J. E.↗

A general method for the layout of ailerons and elevators of gliders and motorplanes

A method is described which allows the layout of the spatial driving mechanism of the aileron for a glider or a motorplane to be performed in a systematic manner. In particular, a prescribed input-output behavior of the mechanism can be realized by variation of individual parameters of the spatial four-bar mechanisms which constitute the entire driving mechanism. By means of a sensitivity analysis, a systematic choice of parameters is possible. At the same time the forces acting in the mechanism can be limited by imposing maximum values of the forces as secondary conditions during the variation process.

Hiller, M. H.↗

Qualitative differences between on-orbit and transition RCS control

Two separate reaction control system (RCS) digital autopilots (DAPs) evolved from one original Space Shuttle orbital autopilot concept. A computer overload forced this evolution. Part of the overload problem was due to unique performance requirements imposed on the RCS controller during each of several different flight regimes. The two resultant RCS DAPs yield different effector responses because they rely on different sources of sensory input and they process data differently. This paper describes the evolution of the two RCS controllers and illustrates their behavioral differences. The transition autopilot, used in orbital insertion and deorbit, is sensitive to orbiter flexure due to its feedthrough character. The on-orbit autopilot is sensitive to transient rate control degradation from large disturbances due to feed-forward rate estimation. Simulation results and flight data are used to illustrate performance differences between the two autopilots under various conditions. These include computer failures where electronic stringing and procedural reconfiguration differences affect autopilot behavior.

Hattis, P. D.↗

Quantification of uncertainties in composites

An integrated methodology is developed for computationally simulating the probabilistic composite material properties at all composite scales. The simulation requires minimum input consisting of the description of uncertainties at the lowest scale (fiber and matrix constituents) of the composite and in the fabrication process variables. The methodology allows the determination of the sensitivity of the composite material behavior to all the relevant primitive variables. This information is crucial for reducing the undesirable scatter in composite behavior at its macro scale by reducing the uncertainties in the most influential primitive variables at the micro scale. The methodology is computationally efficient. The computational time required by the methodology described herein is an order of magnitude less than that for Monte Carlo Simulation. The methodology has been implemented into the computer code PICAN (Probabilistic Integrated Composite ANalyzer). The accuracy and efficiency of the methodology/code are demonstrated by simulating the uncertainties in the heat-transfer, thermal, and mechanical properties of a typical laminate and comparing the results with the Monte Carlo simulation method and experimental data. The important observation is that the computational simulation for probabilistic composite mechanics has sufficient flexibility to capture the observed scatter in composite properties.

Liaw, D. G.↗

Two-Dimensional Model Simulations of Interannual Variability in the Tropical Stratosphere

Meteorological data from the United Kingdom Meteorological Office (UKMO) and constituent data from the Upper Atmospheric Research Satellite (UARS) are used to construct yearly zonal mean dynamical fields for the 1990s for use in the GSFC 2-D chemistry and transport model. This allows for interannual dynamical variability to be included in the model constituent simulations. In this study, we focus on the tropical stratosphere. We find that the phase of quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) signals in equatorial CH4, and profile and total column 03 data is resolved quite well using this empirically- based 2-D model transport framework. However. the QBO amplitudes in the model constituents are systematically underestimated relative to the observations at most levels. This deficiency is probably due in part to the limited vertical resolutions of the 2-D model and the UKMO and UARS input data sets. We find that using different heating rate calculations in the model affects the interannual and QBO amplitudes in the constituent fields, but has little impact on the phase. Sensitivity tests reveal that the QBO in transport dominates the ozone interannual variability in the lower stratosphere. with the effect of the temperature QBO being dominant in the tipper stratosphere via the strong temperature dependence of the ozone loss reaction rates. We also find that the QBO in odd nitrogen radicals, which is caused by the QBO modulated transport of NOy, plays a significant but not dominant role in determining the ozone QBO variability in the middle stratosphere. The model mean age of air is in good overall agreement with that determined from tropical lower,middle stratospheric OMS balloon observations of SF6 and CO2. The interannual variability of tile equatorial mean age in the model increases with altitude and maximizes near 40 km, with a range, of 4-5 years over the 1993-2000 time period.

Fleming, Eric L.↗

Integrated Modeling Activities for the James Webb Space Telescope: Structural-Thermal-Optical Analysis

The James Web Space Telescope (JWST) is a large, infrared-optimized space telescope scheduled for launch in 2011. This is a continuation of a series of papers on modeling activities for JWST. The structural-thermal-optical, often referred to as STOP, analysis process is used to predict the effect of thermal distortion on optical performance. The benchmark STOP analysis for JWST assesses the effect of an observatory slew on wavefront error. Temperatures predicted using geometric and thermal math models are mapped to a structural finite element model in order to predict thermally induced deformations. Motions and deformations at optical surfaces are then input to optical models, and optical performance is predicted using either an optical ray trace or a linear optical analysis tool. In addition to baseline performance predictions, a process for performing sensitivity studies to assess modeling uncertainties is described.

Johnston, John D.↗

Deriving Plasma Densities and Elemental Abundances from SERTS Differential Emission Measure Analysis

We use high-resolution spectral emission line data obtained by the SERTS instrument during three rocket flights to demonstrate a new approach for constraining electron densities of solar active region plasma.We apply differential emission measure (DEM) forward-fitting techniques to characterize the multithermal solar plasma producing the observed EUV spectra, with constraints on the high-temperature plasma from the Yohkoh Soft X-ray Telescope. In this iterative process, we compare line intensities predicted by an input source distribution to observed line intensities for multiple iron ion species, and search a broad range of densities to optimize chi-square simultaneously for the many available density-sensitive lines. This produces a density weighted by the DEM, which appears to be useful for characterizing the bulk of the emitting plasma over a significant range of temperature. This "DEM-weighted density" technique is complementary to the use of density-sensitive line ratios and less affected by uncertainties in atomic data and ionization fraction for any specific line. Once the DEM shape and the DEM-weighted density have been established from the iron lines, the relative elemental abundances can be determined for other lines in the spectrum. We have also identified spectral lines in the SERTS wavelength range that may be problematic

corona↗

Multimodel Analysis of Future Land Use and Climate Change Impacts on Ecosystem Functioning

Land use and climate changes both affect terrestrial ecosystems. Here, we used three combinations of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and Representative Concentration Pathways (SSP1xRCP26, SSP3xRCP60, and SSP5xRCP85) as input to three dynamic global vegetation models to assess the impacts and associated uncertainty on several ecosystem functions: terrestrial carbon storage and fluxes, evapotranspiration, surface albedo, and runoff. We also performed sensitivity simulations in which we kept either land use or climate (including atmospheric CO2) constant from year 2015 on to calculate the isolated land use versus climate effects. By the 2080–2099 period, carbon storage increases by up to 87 ± 47 Gt (SSP1xRCP26) compared to present day, with large spatial variance across scenarios and models. Most of the carbon uptake is attributed to drivers beyond future land use and climate change, particularly the lagged effects of historic environmental changes. Future climate change typically increases carbon stocks in vegetation but not soils, while future land use change causes carbon losses, even for net agricultural abandonment (SSP1xRCP26). Evapotranspiration changes are highly variable across scenarios, and models do not agree on the magnitude or even sign of change of the individual effects. A calculated decrease in January and July surface albedo (up to −0.021 ± 0.007 and −0.004 ± 0.004 for SSP5xRCP85) and increase in runoff (+67 ± 6 mm/year) is largely driven by climate change. Overall, our results show that future land use and climate change will both have substantial impacts on ecosystem functioning. However, future changes can often not be fully explained by these two drivers and legacy effects have to be considered.

Krause, A.↗

Multimodel Analysis of Future Land Use and Climate Change Impacts on Ecosystem Functioning

Land use and climate changes both affect terrestrial ecosystems. Here, we used three combinations of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and Representative Concentration Pathways (SSP1xRCP26, SSP3xRCP60, and SSP5xRCP85) as input to three dynamic global vegetation models to assess the impacts and associated uncertainty on several ecosystem functions: terrestrial carbon storage and fluxes, evapotranspiration, surface albedo, and runoff. We also performed sensitivity simulations in which we kept either land use or climate (including atmospheric CO2) constant from year 2015 on to calculate the isolated land use versus climate effects. By the 2080–2099 period, carbon storage increases by up to 87 ± 47 Gt (SSP1xRCP26) compared to present day, with large spatial variance across scenarios and models. Most of the carbon uptake is attributed to drivers beyond future land use and climate change, particularly the lagged effects of historic environmental changes. Future climate change typically increases carbon stocks in vegetation but not soils, while future land use change causes carbon losses, even for net agricultural abandonment (SSP1xRCP26). Evapotranspiration changes are highly variable across scenarios, and models do not agree on the magnitude or even sign of change of the individual effects. A calculated decrease in January and July surface albedo (up to −0.021 ± 0.007 and −0.004 ± 0.004 for SSP5xRCP85) and increase in runoff (+67 ± 6 mm/year) is largely driven by climate change. Overall, our results show that future land use and climate change will both have substantial impacts on ecosystem functioning. However, future changes can often not be fully explained by these two drivers and legacy effects have to be considered.

land use change↗

POST Explorer: A Design Space Exploration Tool for POST2

Recent improvements for the Program to Optimize Simulated Trajectories II (POST2) have included the development of an application programming interface (API). This API allows POST2 simulation inputs to be directly manipulated from other applications (such as MATLAB or Python), and the outputs from POST2 are streamed directly to the external application that enables visualization, data manipulation, etc. Through this framework, a new tool called POST Explorer is being developed that provides a user the capability to modify the simulation inputs and interrogate the outputs within the same application, with raw data inspection and visualization embedded. This tool can be leveraged for multiple types of analyses, such as parametric sweeps and sensitivity studies, and will be available with a future release of the POST2 software.

Robert Anthony Williams↗

POST Explorer: A Design Space Exploration Tool for POST2

Recent improvements for the Program to Optimize Simulated Trajectories II (POST2) have included the development of an application programming interface (API). This API allows POST2 simulation inputs to be directly manipulated from other applications (such as MATLAB or Python), and the outputs from POST2 are streamed directly to the external application that enables visualization, data manipulation, etc. Through this framework, a new tool called POST Explorer is being developed that provides a user the capability to modify the simulation inputs and interrogate the outputs within the same application, with raw data inspection and visualization embedded. This tool can be leveraged for multiple types of analyses, such as parametric sweeps and sensitivity studies, and will be available with a future release of the POST2 software.

Anthony Williams↗

Modeling the Altitude Distribution of Meteor Head Echoes Observed with HPLA Radars: Implications for the Radar Detectability of Meteoroid Populations

The altitude distribution of meteors detected by a radar is sensitive to the instrument’s response function and can thus provide insight into the physical processes involved in radar measurements. This, in turn, can be used to determine the rate of ablation and ionization of the meteoroids and ultimately the input flux on Earth. In this work, we model the radar meteor head echo altitude distribution for three High Power and Large Aperture radar systems, by considering meteoroid populations from the main cometary family sources. In this simulation, we first use the results of a dynamical model of small meteoroids impacting Earth’s upper atmosphere to model the incoming mass, velocity, and entry angular distributions. We then combine these with the Chemical Ablation Model and establish the meteoroid ionization rates as a function of mass, velocity, and entry angle in order to determine the altitude at which these radars should detect the produced meteors and the portion of produced meteors from each population that are detected by these radars. We explore different sizes of head plasma as well as the possible effects on radar scattering of the head echo aspect sensitivity. We find that the modeled altitude distributions are generally in good agreement with measurements, particularly for ultra-high-frequency radars. In addition, our results indicate that the number of particles from Jupiter Family Comets (JFCs) required to fit the observations is lower than predicted by astronomical models. It is not clear yet if this discrepancy is due to the overprediction of JFC meteoroids by dynamical models or due to unaccounted physical processes in the treatment of ablation, ionization, and detections of meteoroids as they pass through Earth’s atmosphere.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

ATF material model development and validation for priority fuel concepts

Development, implementation, and validation of material and behavior models for accident tolerant fuel (ATF) concepts in the Bison fuel performance code began in 2014 in response to the events that occurred at the Fukushima Daichii nuclear power plant in March 2011. Early on the focus was on U 3 Si 2 fuel and FeCrAl cladding as part of a high impact problem through the Nuclear Energy and Advanced Modeling Simulation (NEAMS) program. Then, developments for Cr 2 O 3 -doped UO 2 fuel, and SiC-SiC and Cr-coated zirconium-based claddings began based upon industry interests. In late fiscal year 2018 the Consortium for Advanced Simulation of Light Water Reactors (CASL) took over further ATF work in Bison in support of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) engagement. Discussions with the NRC identified their list of priority fuel and cladding concepts, which included Cr 2 O 3 -doped UO 2 and U 3 Si 2 fuels, and Cr-coated zirconium-based and FeCrAl claddings. In particular, the NRC suggested that reports similar in form to NUREG/CR-7024 [1] that was developed for traditional LWR materials UO 2 and zirconium-based claddings (i.e., Zircaloy-4, M5®, ZIRLO) be created for the priority ATF concepts. The approach to ATF capability development in Bison since the beginning has been two-fold: (1) empirical correlations and (2) multiscale model development. Both approaches have uncertainty inherent to them. Uncertainty in empirical correlations is bounded by the experimental data upon which with the correlation was developed. Models developed through a multiscale approach have uncertainty associated with the lower length scale calculations and input parameters that must be propagated to the engineering scale model in Bison. In this report, the recommended models, their range of applicability (e.g., temperature, burnup), and associated uncertainty for the NRC priority fuel concepts Cr 2 O 3 -doped UO 2 and U 3 Si 2 are presented in a manner similar to the aforementioned NUREG. In addition, the Cr 2 O 3 -doped UO 2 models are validated to the Halden Reactor tess IFA-677.1 rods 1 and 5 and IFA-716.1 rod 1. For U 3 Si 2 the models are validated to the recent post-irradiation examination (PIE) data ATF-13 and ATF-15 rods that were irradiated in the Advanced Test Reactor (ATR) at Idaho National Laboratory. Finally, an uncertainty quantification (UQ) and sensitivity analysis (SA) is completed on a single rod for each fuel concept that takes into account the defined uncertainty in select models. The results of the UQ and SA analyses indicate that given the large uncertainty in some of the input ATF models that the uncertainty on the Bison predictions of fuel performance metrics of interest bound the available experimental data. Correlation coefficients are also reported that identified the uncertain inputs with the strongest correlation (positive or negative) with the outputs of interest. Fuel performance metrics investigated include fuel elongation, rod internal pressure, fuel centerline temperature, and fission gas release.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

A spatial emergent constraint on the sensitivity of soil carbon turnover to global warming

Carbon cycle feedbacks represent large uncertainties in climate change projections, and the response of soil carbon to climate change contributes the greatest uncertainty to this. Future changes in soil carbon depend on changes in litter and root inputs from plants and especially on reductions in the turnover time of soil carbon (τ s ) with warming. An approximation to the latter term for the top one metre of soil (ΔC s,τ ) can be diagnosed from projections made with the CMIP6 and CMIP5 Earth System Models (ESMs), and is found to span a large range even at 2 °C of global warming (-196 ± 117 PgC). Here, we present a constraint on ΔC s,τ , which makes use of current heterotrophic respiration and the spatial variability of τs inferred from observations. This spatial emergent constraint allows us to halve the uncertainty in ΔC s,τ at 2 °C to -232 ± 52 PgC.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Temperature sensitive oscillator

An oscillator circuit for sensing and indicating temperature by changing oscillator frequency with temperature comprises a programmable operational amplifier which is operated on the roll-off portion of its gain versus frequency curve and has its output directly connected to the inverting input to place the amplifier in a follower configuration. Its output is also connected to the non-inverting input by a capacitor with a crystal or other tuned circuit also being connected to the non-inverting input. A resistor is connected to the program input of the amplifier to produce a given set current at a given temperature, the set current varying with temperature. As the set current changes, the gain-bandwidth of the amplifier changes and, in turn, the reflected capacitance across the crystal changes, thereby providing the desired change in oscillator frequency by pulling the crystal. There is no requirement that a crystal employed with this circuit display either a linear frequency change with temperature or a substantial frequency change with temperature.

Kleinberg, L. L.↗

Soft-Switching GaN-Based Isolated Power Conversion System for Small Satellites with Wide Input Voltage Range

As we pursue the advancement of small satellites for space missions with more capabilities, there is a significant need for cutting-edge, modularly configurable, high density power converters. This article proposes a fixed switching frequency, high efficiency, compact isolated converter for sensitive loads such as radar, communication systems, or other instruments on small satellites.

Cook, Tom↗

A Graphical Design Approach for Two-Input Single-Output Systems Exploiting Plant/Controller Alignment: Design and Application

Due to the unique structure of two-input single-output (TISO) feedback systems, several closed-loop properties can be characterized using the concepts of plant and controller “directions” and “alignment.” Poor plant/controller alignment indicates significant limitations in terms of closed-loop performance. In general, it is desirable to design a controller that is well aligned with the plant in order to minimize the size of the closed-loop sensitivity functions and closed-loop interactions. Although the concept of alignment can be a useful analysis tool for a given plant/controller pair, it is not obvious how a controller should be designed to achieve good alignment. We present a new controller design approach, based on the PQ method (Schroeck et al., 2001, “On Compensator Design for Linear Time invariant Dual-Input Single-Output Systems,” IEEE/ASME Trans. Mechatronics, 6(1), pp. 50–57), which explicitly incorporates knowledge of alignment into the design process. Here, this is accomplished by providing graphical information about the alignment angle on the Bode plot of the PQ frequency response. We show the utility of this approach through a design example.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗