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At least 1,297 records · Page 72

Alanna Conners and the Origins of Principled Data Analysis

Alanna was one of the most important pioneers in the development of not just sophisticated algorithms for analyzing astronomical data but more importantly an overall viewpoint emphasizing the use of statistically sound principles in place of blind application of cook-book recipes, or black boxes. I will outline some of the threads of this viewpoint, emphasizing time series data, with a focus on the importance of these developments for the Age of Digital Astronomy that we are entering.

age of digital astronomy↗

Imaging Bragg Edge Analysis TooLs for Engineering Structures (iBeatles)

The Spallation Neutron Source (SNS) at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) provides pulsed neutrons with energies varying from epithermal to cold. In preparation for VENUS, the neutron imaging beamline to be located at beam port 10, we have performed a series of experiments focused on wavelength-dependent radiography and computed tomography for a broad range of applications, from materials science to biological tissues.One of the time-of-flight (TOF) techniques that is of interest to the scientific community is the 2-dimensional mapping of phases and average crystalline plane orientation in samples both ex-situ and during applied stresses such as tensile loading and heating. This technique is known as Bragg edgeimaging and relies on the identification of changes of transmission values, fitting of the edge to measure its displacement, and thus identify the shift in lattice parameter due to stresses. One of the challenges of TOF imaging measurements is the amount of data and the inability to observe Bragg edge shifts in real time during an experiment. Thus, we have been focusing on creating a Python-based interface that allows fast data processing and instantaneous mapping and fitting of the Bragg edges, and their evolution through time. Python libraries and Jupyter notebooks have been implemented to facilitate decision making during an experiment. The advantage of the notebooks is the possibility to guide an experiment as they can quickly process and display Bragg edge data. These notebooks can be used independently, or can be combined in a Python Graphical User Interface (GUI) tool called iBeatles. This interface permits visualization and fitting of the Bragg edges, and ultimately back-projects the fitting results onto the radiographs to display a strain map. Assuming data collection has sufficient statistics, the strain mapping analysis can be performed on a pixel-by-pixel basis. This development is a step forward toward a better user experience at the future VENUS beamline in terms of live feedback and productivity. Analysis that used to take days of switching between different applications can now be done in minutes within the

Bilheux, JeanChristophe [Oak Ridge National Labora↗

Decadal Changes in Global Ocean Annual Primary Production

The Sea-viewing Wide Field-of-View Sensor (SeaWiFS) has produced the first multi-year time series of global ocean chlorophyll observations since the demise of the Coastal Zone Color Scanner (CZCS) in 1986. Global observations from 1997-present from SeaWiFS combined with observations from 1979-1986 from the CZCS should in principle provide an opportunity to observe decadal changes in global ocean annual primary production, since chlorophyll is the primary driver for estimates of primary production. However, incompatibilities between algorithms have so far precluded quantitative analysis. We have developed and applied compatible processing methods for the CZCS, using modern advances in atmospheric correction and consistent bio-optical algorithms to advance the CZCS archive to comparable quality with SeaWiFS. We applied blending methodologies, where in situ data observations are incorporated into the CZCS and SeaWiFS data records, to provide improvement of the residuals. These re-analyzed, blended data records provide maximum compatibility and permit, for the first time, a quantitative analysis of the changes in global ocean primary production in the early-to-mid 1980's and the present, using synoptic satellite observations. An intercomparison of the global and regional primary production from these blended satellite observations is important to understand global climate change and the effects on ocean biota. Photosynthesis by chlorophyll-containing phytoplankton is responsible for biotic uptake of carbon in the oceans and potentially ultimately from the atmosphere. Global ocean annual primary decreased from the CZCS record to SeaWiFS, by nearly 6% from the early 1980s to the present. Annual primary production in the high latitudes was responsible for most of the decadal change. Conversely, primary production in the low latitudes generally increased, with the exception of the tropical Pacific. The differences and similarities of the two data records provide evidence of how the Earth's climate may be changing and how ocean biota respond. Furthermore, the results have implications for the ocean carbon cycle.

Gregg, Watson↗

Sources of error in detonation calorimeters and error analysis for neat 2,4,6-triamino-1,3,5- trinitrobenzene (TATB)

Here, a calorimeter for measuring heats of detonation at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory is described. A calibration precision of 0.2 % at the 95 % confidence interval (CI) is reported. Sources of uncertainty are discussed, including nonequivalent sources, which are those arising from differences between calibration and experimental tests. The systematic error due to nonequivalent sources is bounded to 0.19–0.22 % of the measured heat for a standard detonation test where the confinement material is gold. The recommendation is to correct for the systematic error by adding 0.19 % to the reported value and adding 0.03 % to the uncertainty. It is demonstrated that the precision of a detonation test is variable with testing duration because a source of uncertainty resides in the thermodynamic correction factor k6, which accounts for the contribution to heat by stirring; the generated power is additive and therefore highly impacted by total test time. The relative proportion also varies with the magnitude of heat release and sample size, adding variance to the weight of the error arising from the correction factor. A full error analysis based on the described sources of uncertainty is developed. The methodology is applied to a test series on neat 2,4,6-triamino-1,3,5- trinitrobenzene (TATB), demonstrating an ultimate precision of 0.7 % (single test) for materials testing and a relative standard deviation of 1.8 %.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

A new method for solving the linearized 1D Vlasov–Poisson system yielding a new class of solutions

We describe a new method for solving the linearized 1D Vlasov–Poisson system by using properties of Cauchy-type integrals. Our method remedies critical flaws of the two standard methods, reveals a previously unrecognized Gaussian-in-time-like decay, and can also account for an externally applied electric field. The Landau approximation involves deforming the Bromwich contour around the poles closest to the real axis due to the analytically continued dielectric function, finding the long-time behavior for a stable system: Landau damping. Jackson's generalization encircles all poles while sending the contour to infinity, assuming its contribution vanishes, which is not true in general. This gives incorrect solutions for physically reasonable configurations and can exhibit pathological behavior, of which we show examples. The van Kampen method expresses the solution for a stable equilibrium as a continuous superposition of waves, resulting in an opaque integral. Case's generalization includes unstable systems and predicts a decaying discrete mode for each growing discrete mode, an apparent contradiction to both the Jackson solution and ours. We show, without imposing additional constraints, that the decaying modes are never present in the time evolution due to an exact cancellation with part of the continuum. Our solution is free of integral expressions, is obtained using algebra and Laurent series expansions, does not rely on analytic continuations, and results in a correct asymptotically convergent form in the case of infinite sums. The analysis used can be readily applied in higher-dimensional, electromagnetic systems and also provides a new technique for evaluating certain inverse Laplace transforms.

Physics↗

First Results on Dark Matter Substructure from Astrometric Weak Lensing

Low-mass structures of dark matter (DM) are expected to be entirely devoid of light-emitting regions and baryons. Precisely because of this lack of baryonic feedback, small-scale substructures of the Milky Way are a relatively pristine testing ground for discovering aspects of DM microphysics and primordial fluctuations on subgalactic scales. In this work, we report results from the first search for Galactic DM subhalos with time-domain astrometric weak gravitational lensing. The analysis is based on a matched-filter template of local lensing corrections to the proper motion of stars in the Magellanic Clouds. We describe a data analysis pipeline detailing sample selection, background subtraction, and handling outliers and other systematics. For tentative candidate lenses, we identify a signature based on an anomalous parallax template that can unequivocally confirm the presence of a DM lens, opening up prospects for robust discovery potential with full time-series data. We present our constraints on substructure fraction f l ≲5 at 90% CL (and f l ≲2 at 50% CL) for compact lenses with radii r l <1pc, with best sensitivity reached for lens masses M l around 10 7 -10 8 M ⊙ . Parametric improvements are expected with future astrometric data sets; by end of mission, Gaia could reach f l ≲10 -3 for these massive point-like objects, and be sensitive to lighter and/or more extended subhalos for O(1) substructure fractions.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Feynman-α analysis using BGO gamma-ray detector in UTR-KINKI reactor

In conventional reactor noise measurement based on neutron detection, a neutron detector must be placed as close to a core as possible, to observe a largest possible correlation amplitude. For most of reactors other than critical assemblies, however, the placement is hardly possible. We focused on an alternative reactor noise measurement using prompt gamma-rays having a long flight range, to overcome the above constraint. A Feynman-α analysis using a NaI(Tl) scintillation detector was previously performed in UTR-KINKI, however, white noise originating from radioactivation of the scintillator significantly degraded the correlation amplitude. In this study, another Feynman-α analysis using a BGO gamma-ray detector, which never suffers from any radioactivation, is performed. A series of Feynman-α analyses for a critical state and several subcritical states of UTR-KINKI reactor has been carried out using two BGO detectors and a BF{sub 3} neutron detector to determine prompt-neutron decay constant. In the present analysis, the dead-time effect of these detectors and the delayed-neutron effect are considered. The prompt-neutron decay constant determined from Feynman-α analysis based on gamma-ray detection agrees with that from the analysis based on neutron detection. The Feynman-α analysis based on detecting gamma rays appears to be able to determine prompt-neutron decay constant at least as efficiently as the conventional analysis detecting neutrons.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Prominence Energetics Measured with SOHO/SUMER and TRACE

The mechanisms by which solar prominences are filled with plasma are still undetermined. In this study we perform a quantitative analysis of the thermal properties of moving features in prominences in order to put constraints on models of prominence formation and dynamics. In order to make such measurements of the quickly moving features seen in prominences in the W we use the SOHO/SUMER spectrograph to take a time series of exposures from a single pointing position, providing a measurement of spectral line properties as a function of time and position along the slit. temperatures from 80,000 - 1.6 million K. These measurements are combined with TRACE movies in transition region and coronal temperature bands to obtain more complete information concerning prominence structure and motions. The resulting observations allow us to analyze the thermal and kinetic energy of the moving prominence sources as functions of time.

Kucera, T.↗

Residual Strength Characterization of a Curved Integrally-Stiffened Panel

Over the years, Finite-element fracture simulation methodology has been very well established at NASA Langley to predict the residual strength of damaged aircraft structures. This methodology has been experimentally verified at NASA Langley for structures ranging from laboratory coupons up to full-scale built-up structural components with single and multiple-site damage cracking. The methodology uses the critical crack-tip-opening-angle (CTOA) fracture criterion to characterize the fracture behavior of the material. The CTOA fracture criterion assumes that stable crack growth occurs when the crack-tip angle reaches a constant critical value. The use of the CTOA criterion requires an elastic-plastic, finite-element analysis. The critical CTOA value is determined by simulating fracture behavior in laboratory specimens, such as a compact specimen, to obtain the angle that best fits the observed test behavior. The critical CTOA value appears to be independent of loading, crack length, and in-plane dimensions. However, it is a function of material thickness and local crack-front constraint. Modeling the local constraint requires either a three-dimensional analysis or a two-dimensional analysis with an approximation to account for the constraint effects. In recent times as the aircraft industry is leaning towards monolithic structures with the intension of reducing part count and manufacturing cost, there has been a consistent effort at NASA Langley to extend critical CTOA based numerical methodology in the analysis of integrally-stiffened panels. In this regard, a series of fracture tests were conducted on curved aluminum-alloy integrally-stiffened panels. These curved panels were subjected to uniaxial tension and pressure loading. During the test, applied load-crack extension, out-of-plane displacements and local deformations around the crack tip region were measured. Compact and middle-crack tension specimens were tested to determine the critical angle (psi(sub c) using three-dimensional code (ZIP3D) and the plane-strain core height (h(sub c)) using two-dimensional code (STAGS).

Seshadri, B. R.↗

Status of Precise Orbit Determination for Jason-2 Using GPS

The JASON-2 satellite, launched in June 2008, is the latest follow-on to the successful TOPEX/Poseidon (T/P) and JASON-I altimetry missions. JASON-2 is equipped with a TRSR Blackjack GPS dual-frequency receiver, a laser retroreflector array, and a DORIS receiver for precise orbit determination (POD). The most recent time series of orbits computed at NASA GSFC, based on SLR/DORIS data have been completed using both ITRF2005 and ITRF2008. These orbits have been shown to agree radially at 1 cm RMS for dynamic vs SLRlDORIS reduced-dynamic orbits and in comparison with orbits produced by other analysis centers (Lemoine et al., 2010; Zelensky et al., 2010; Cerri et al., 2010). We have recently upgraded the GEODYN software to implement model improvements for GPS processing. We describe the implementation of IGS standards to the Jason2 GEODYN GPS processing, and other dynamical and measurement model improvements. Our GPS-only JASON-2 orbit accuracy is assessed using a number of tests including analysis of independent SLR and altimeter crossover residuals, orbit overlap differences, and direct comparison to orbits generated at GSFC using SLR and DORIS tracking, and to orbits generated externally at other centers. Tests based on SLR and the altimeter crossover residuals provide the best performance indicator for independent validation of the NASAlGSFC GPS-only reduced dynamic orbits. For the ITRF2005 and ITRF2008 implementation of our GPS-only obits we are using the IGS05 and IGS08 standards. Reduced dynamic versus dynamic orbit differences are used to characterize the remaining force model error and TRF instability. We evaluate the GPS vs SLR & DORIS orbits produced using the GEODYN software and assess in particular their consistency radially and the stability of the altimeter satellite reference frame in the Z direction for both ITRF2005 and ITRF2008 as a proxy to assess the consistency of the reference frame for altimeter satellite POD.

Melachroinos, S.↗

A Novel Machine Learning Method for Surface PM2.5 Estimations from Geostationary Satellites

Particulate matter (PM) with a diameter of less or equal to 2.5 μm, known as PM , affects human health as it penetrates the respiratory system. The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) measures the atmospheric concentration of PM using air quality monitors stationed throughout the Continental United States (CONUS). Such measurements are points on a spatial domain and therefore, might not be representative of the air quality at nearby areas considering that the composition of the atmosphere is highly variable from place to place. Satellite based AOD permits a spatially uniform means of estimating PM and new geostationary satellites provide high temporal and spatial resolution estimation of AOD. However, the concentration of PM is non-linearly dependent on other atmospheric parameters that include relative humidity, temperature, and height of the planetary boundary layer. This information may be estimated at similar spatial and temporal resolutions as AOD from numerical modeling such as from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model which resolves near real-time atmospheric conditions over the CONUS. The estimation of PM concentration is a multi-parametric problem that considers the effect of temporal dependencies among the different parameters. Deep learning approaches are appropriate for such complex estimation problems as they intrinsically capture relations among multiple non-linear parameters. This study compares deep-learning methods to traditional regression analysis to demonstrate the capabilities of these methods in predicting PM2.5 concentrations. Additionally, a novel ensemble learning approach is employed to identify scientific processes that could further improve the estimation of PM concentration. Utilizing Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks, which are suitable for multivariate time series estimation problems as they are capable of learning long-term dependencies, individual models are created for each EPA station and trained on the aforementioned dataset collocated over each station. Individual station models are merged if the model's performance is improved by reducing the root mean squared error (RMSE) metric. This ensemble training method ultimately reduces the RMSE value. Evaluation of these results provide insights into physical processes and related observable parameters that may contribute to PM concentrations. Identified parameters evaluated to be statistically different between the merged and unmerged models are expected to improve overall performance. These new parameters are then utilized for reevaluation of the deep learning methods with an extreme gradient boosting model with an RMSE of 5.5 providing the best results.

George Priftis↗

Time-Variable Gravity Signal due to Extratropic Pacific Water Mass Redistribution

Using the satellite-laser-ranging (SLR) data, Cox and Chao [2002] reported the detection of a large post-1998 anomaly (in the form of a positive jump) in the time series of Earth s lowest-degree gravity harmonic 52, or the dynamic oblateness. Among several groups now examining the mass redistribution in the global geophysical fluids in search of the cause(s), we report here a temporally coinciding anomalies found in the extratropic north + south Pacific basins. Clearly seen in the leading EOFPC mode for extratropic Pacific, these anomalies occurred in sea-surface height, sea-surface temperature, and temperature- and salinity-depth profiles. We based our analysis on two different data sources: TOPEX/Poseidon altimetry, and the ECCO ocean general circulation model output assimilating T/P data. The magnitude of these changes, when converted to equivalent J2 change, appears to be a few times too small to explain the observed J2 directly. These findings, and the fact that the anomalies occurred following the strong 1997-98 El Nino, suggest strong geophysical connection of the interannual-to-decadal variation of 52 with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and the ultimate global-change processes that cause PDO. More work is underway, and additional independent data sources are examined, paying close attention to the fact that the J2 anomaly has been reversing back to normal since 2001. These include: (1) cryospheric contributions (melting of glaciers and ice sheets); (2) land hydrological contributions; (3) polar sea influences ( e g , via deep flow); (4) fluid flow in Earth's core; (5) time-variable gravity signals from SLR in higher harmonic degree/order, including J3,J4, (2,1), and (2,2) coefficients, considering their lower signal-to-noise ratios; (6) Earth rotation data in terms of length-of-day and polar motion.

Chao, B. F.↗

Documentation of the analysis of the benefits and costs of aeronautical research and technology models, volume 1

The analysis of the benefits and costs of aeronautical research and technology (ABC-ART) models are documented. These models were developed by NASA for use in analyzing the economic feasibility of applying advanced aeronautical technology to future civil aircraft. The methodology is composed of three major modules: fleet accounting module, airframe manufacturing module, and air carrier module. The fleet accounting module is used to estimate the number of new aircraft required as a function of time to meet demand. This estimation is based primarily upon the expected retirement age of existing aircraft and the expected change in revenue passenger miles demanded. Fuel consumption estimates are also generated by this module. The airframe manufacturer module is used to analyze the feasibility of the manufacturing the new aircraft demanded. The module includes logic for production scheduling and estimating manufacturing costs. For a series of aircraft selling prices, a cash flow analysis is performed and a rate of return on investment is calculated. The air carrier module provides a tool for analyzing the financial feasibility of an airline purchasing and operating the new aircraft. This module includes a methodology for computing the air carrier direct and indirect operating costs, performing a cash flow analysis, and estimating the internal rate of return on investment for a set of aircraft purchase prices.

Bobick, J. C.↗

Leading magnetic fusion energy science into the big-and-fast data lane

To crack the code of unlimited clean energy from magnetic fusion, researchers collaborate among numerous facilities that are scattered around the globe. Probing hot fusion plasmas with sophisticated diagnostics, they routinely generate fast streams of high-dimensional time-series data. We present the adaptation of a production code-base for a plasma diagnostic to the big-and-fast data lane. The new code-base is used to stream measurements, made in Korea, into a Top-15 computing facility in the US for remote analysis. We discuss software and design choices made for this new HPC-enabled scientific workflow.

Kube, Ralph↗

Accelerating engineered microbe optimization through machine learning and multi-omics datasets

This project demonstrated the use of a combination of multi-omics data with deep learning and a high-throughput Design- Build-Test-Learn (DBTL) cycle to improve the production of malonic acid, a versatile product with a large market. The project leveraged the unique capabilities of both Lygos and the Agile BioFoundry (ABF): Lygos provided its expertise efficiently designing, building, and cultivating P. kudriavzevii strains; LBNL, PNNL, and NTESS provided multi-omics analysis in the Test phase, LBNL provided machine learning techniques in the Learn phase to analyze the -omics datasets and make recommendations so as to increase malonic acid production in the next DBTL cycle. This project is the first to use large amounts of multi-omics time-series data to feed deep learning models, creating around 80,000 data points in a single DBTL cycle. This project has 1) demonstrated the utility of combining deep learning and multi-omics data sets by improving the production of malonic acid two fold, 2) created a large time-series datasets to be released publicly for external development of new machine learning algorithms, and 3) shown that supply chain problems, strain building bottlenecks, and adaptation times for new ML approaches are key obstacles for fast DBTL cycle times.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

On the stability of disklike galaxies in massive halos

Results are reported for a series of disk-galaxy simulations carried out as part of a systematic search for disk-galaxy models that show little change over the time of several galactic rotations. Systems in a given fixed external field, such as might be provided by a massive halo, are considered. The analysis is performed in terms of two parameters: the fraction of the total mass that resides in the active disk and the velocity dispersion in the active disk. The amount of halo mass required to stabilize a disk with a given velocity dispersion is investigated along with the question of whether any amount of halo mass can stabilize a completely 'cold' disk galaxy. The experimental results are quoted as growth rates estimated from plots of the amplitudes of Fourier analyses of the density in each of a set of narrow annuli, and systematic trends in the dependence of growth rates on the adjustable parameters are examined. It is shown that a massive inert halo contributes to the stability of disk-galaxy models, but some velocity dispersion is required.

Miller, R. H.↗

Interpretation of a class of in-flight lightning signatures

Data recorded on the NASA F-106B research aircraft during lightning strikes often reveals electric field waveforms which begin with a series of abrupt changes and end in an exponential variation. A possible interpretation of such events is that an ionized channel is completed to the aircraft during the time of the abrupt changes, and the charge on the aircraft dumps into this channel during the time of the exponential. An analysis of measured waveforms assuming a simple RC-circuit model has been carried out for one event, and the results include I = 1000 A, V = -650 kV, R = 1000 Ohms, and W = 100 J.

Trost, T. F.↗

An efficient approach for statistical calculations with globally gridded filtered time series

The formulas for performing several statistical calculations based on Fourier coefficients are presented for use in atmospheric observational studies. The calculations discussed include a method for estimating the degree of temporal freedoms of two correlated time series and a method for performing seasonal analyses using a half-year summer/winter projection operator in the frequency domain. A modified lag-correlation calculation is proposed for obtaining lag correlations in the frequency domain. Also, a spectral approach for Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) and Extended EOF analysis is given which reduces the size of the matrix to be solved in the eigenproblem.

Gao, X. H.↗