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At least 1,297 records · Page 72

Multi-Game Modeling for Counter-Smuggling

International trade provides an avenue for terrorists to smuggle illicit materials into a target country. Policymakers need models and decision support tools that are both reliable and germane to inform their responses to this. Game theoretic approaches have been used in the analysis of counterterrorism strategies, but the models involved have often been small and abstracted. To address this need, we have developed a multi-game model to account for both security-related and economic aspects of counter-smuggling interdiction efforts. Additionally, we use different games to represent different types of interactions, and these games are then coupled to each other to form an integrated model. In this paper, we demonstrate the model's capabilities on a representative system of ports (both foreign and domestic), trade routes, and commodities. We specifically investigate the impacts of changes in screening policies at domestic ports, detection device capabilities, shipping subsidies, and worldwide corruption levels. In these studies, we find that economic factors play a large role in the interdiction task and provide correspondingly important tools for deterrence.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

Uncertainty quantification and reliability assessment for intermodal freight transportation

Intermodal freight optimization models support cost-effective, low-emission, and timely goods movement by coordinating trucks, rail, and barges. These models determine optimal flows, routing, and modal switches while respecting infrastructure and operational constraints. However, their real-world utility is often undermined by pervasive uncertainties-such as fluctuating transportation costs and emissions, variable terminal capacities, and uncertain freight demand-that distort key performance outcomes, including total system cost, carbon footprint, and transit time reliability. This study presents a structured framework for quantifying uncertainty in intermodal freight transportation (IFT) optimization. The framework evaluates how input uncertainty affects system performance and reliability, a critical need for ensuring that model-based decisions remain robust under real-world variability, especially amid volatile fuel prices, shifting demand, and growing disruptions. It integrates three complementary methods: (1) Sobol-based global sensitivity analysis to identify influential parameters affecting cost, emissions, and transit time, (2) Monte Carlo-based capacity perturbation analysis to assess robustness under probabilistic facility disruptions, and (3) Monte Carlo filtering with Bayesian inference to detect threshold-based performance vulnerabilities. The results highlight diesel truck unit cost as the dominant driver of variability. To improve system resilience, planners should prioritize uncertainty in fuel-related parameters when designing intermodal strategies.

Intermodal freight transportation↗

Identification of opportunities for integrating chemical processes for carbon (dioxide) utilization to nuclear power plants

The energy and industrial sectors are responsible for more than 75% of global carbon dioxide emissions, which are primary contributors to climate change. Decarbonization strategies to reduce overall carbon dioxide emissions are urgently needed. Among the numerous decarbonization strategies that are being defined and implemented, a particular strategy of interest for the present work is “the Re-X or zero waste” strategy, which involves recycling, reuse, repurposing, and remanufacturing of industrial emissions, by-products, and waste in general. A circular value chain or Circular Economy is embedded within this strategy. In a circular carbon economy, efficient reuse of emitted carbon dioxide is considered. However, the stability of carbon dioxide implies the requirement of significant amounts of energy for its transformation into value-added chemicals or products, which must be supplied by low carbon emitting energy sources. Nuclear power plants are low carbon energy sources that, additionally to electricity, could also supply heat and radiation for chemical transformations. This work identifies the opportunities and challenges for the development of integrated energy systems to upgrade and transform carbon dioxide, involving chemical and nuclear energy. The analysis encompasses possible use of the different forms of energy that can be obtain from nuclear reactors (i.e., radiation, electricity, and heat), by reviewing the published literature on potential routes for its conversion. Overall, our review indicates that an universal technology of the one-fits-all solution-type is an utopic dream. Instead, a suite of (contaminants tolerant) technologies for processing various concentrations CO 2 and producing a variety of products is currently needed.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Advancing biological processing for valorization of plastic wastes

We report the useful applications of plastics are as significant as the problems associated with their disposal. Current waste management strategies are ineffective at preventing the flow of plastics into landfills, wastewater treatment, and the environment. Despite the importance of recycling technologies, most plastics are used for consumables and are discarded after limited usage. Moreover, only certain plastics are recycled, and those that are generally yield lower value products. Discovering alternative routes for valorizing plastic wastes is essential. Emerging research involves the use of biocatalysts (i.e., enzymes and microorganisms) to produce valuable products like specialty polymers, biosurfactants, and drug precursors from these feedstocks. These bioprocesses commonly integrate physio-chemical pretreatments (to generate biologically reactive intermediates) and biological upgrading (to convert intermediates to products). Herein, publications that explore plastic deconstruction technologies and bioprocesses are reviewed with an emphasis on plastic waste valorization. Understanding how microorganisms metabolize the intermediates of plastic degradation and manage their inhibitory effects is a prerequisite for engineering bioprocesses. For these heterogeneous wastes, a paradigm shift from axenic cultivation of microorganisms to cultivation of microbial consortia may benefit conversion efficiency and stress resilience. Thus, a summary is provided for metabolic pathways and constituent enzymes required to synthesize biofuels, biomaterials, and chemicals from biologically reactive intermediates. Colossal challenges associated with the use of plastics as feedstocks for direct biological processing highlight the need for integrating physical, chemical, and biological technologies.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

A survey on degradation modeling, prognosis, and prognostics-driven maintenance in wind energy systems

Wind energy generation proliferated over the past decades, introducing unique challenges and opportunities for failure prediction, operation and maintenance. Decision-makers are continuously looking into new methods to infer failure mechanisms and behaviors of wind turbine components to detect and intervene in the failures before they happen. Evidently, degradation modeling and prognosis become engaging topics for researchers and practitioners to prevent catastrophic failures. Prognostics-driven approaches predict the time of failure for the components (e.g., predicting remaining useful life), which provides significant insights for scheduling of operations and maintenance activities. Integrating these prognostics-driven insights into wind farm operations and maintenance presents a substantial challenge, demanding careful consideration of numerous factors such as accessibility, crew routing, and spare part logistics. This study provides state-of-the-art review for degradation modeling, prognosis, and prognostics-driven maintenance techniques for wind energy systems. The discussed techniques align with the United Nations' sustainable development goals, in particular Goal 7 (Affordable and Clean Energy), by enhancing effectiveness and sustainability of wind energy operations. This work also showcases open research questions related to degradation modeling, prognosis, and prognostics-driven maintenance.

Altinpulluk, Nur Banu↗

A techno-economic assessment of carbon dioxide removal pathways via biochemical conversion of lignocellulose to biofuels and bioplastics

Biomass carbon removal and storage (BiCRS) is a promising pathway to mitigate climate change via large scale removal of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO 2 ). We modeled several fermentation technologies, producing a variety of bioproducts from lignocellulosic feedstocks, to understand their levelized cost of CO 2 removal under multiple scenarios. Lifecycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are accounted to provide cradle-to-grave estimates of carbon intensity (CI). We did not account for the avoided fossil CO 2 emissions from the use of biofuels in our CO 2 removal cost calculations, because avoided emissions do not contribute to CO 2 removal. The main products from the fermentation technologies we modeled include renewable diesel, ethanol, sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), and polyethylene (PE), with co-products including CO 2 , adipic acid, steam, and electricity. PE, depending on its end-of-life management, can serve as a form of biogenic carbon storage. PE has the potential to remove 1.2–1.5 tCO 2 per dry t-biomass, whereas biofuels have the potential to remove 0.3–0.9 tCO 2 per dry t-biomass, indicating that PE production is a more efficient method of carbon removal. We quantify costs of CO 2 removal to be $\$$60 – $\$$675 per metric tCO 2 removed across the various fermentation pathways. Under the scenarios analyzed, bioplastic production from lignocellulosic biomass is a more cost-effective route to CO 2 removal than biofuel production, with costs of CO 2 removal via bioplastics being 50–90 % lower than that of biofuels. Future research should explore the potential benefits and drawbacks of expanding bioplastic production for large-scale CO 2 removal.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Animal displacement from marine energy development: Mechanisms and consequences

For marine wave and tidal energy to successfully contribute to global renewable energy goals and climate change mitigation, marine energy projects need to expand beyond small deployments to large-scale arrays. However, with large-scale projects come potential environmental effects not observed at the scales of single devices and small arrays. One of these effects is the risk of displacing marine animals from their preferred habitats or their migration routes, which may increase with the size of arrays and location. Many marine animals may be susceptible to some level of displacement once large marine energy arrays are increasingly integrated into the seascape, including large migratory animals, non-migratory pelagic animals with large home ranges, and benthic and demersal mobile organisms with more limited ranges, among many others. Yet, research around the mechanisms and effects of displacement have been hindered by the lack of clarity within the international marine energy community regarding the definition of displacement, how it occurs, its consequences, species of concern, and methods to investigate the outcomes. This review paper leveraged lessons learned from other industries, such as offshore development, to establish a definition of displacement in the marine energy context, explore which functional groups of marine animals may be affected and in what way, and identify pathways for investigating displacement through modeling and monitoring. In the marine energy context, we defined displacement as the outcome of one of three mechanisms (i.e., attraction, avoidance, and exclusion) triggered by an animal's response to one or more stressors acting as a disturbance, with various consequences at the individual through population levels. The knowledge gaps highlighted in this study will help the regulatory and scientific communities prepare for mitigating, observing, measuring, and characterizing displacement of various animals around marine energy arrays in order to prevent irreversible consequences.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Transformative high entropy alloy conquers the strength-ductility paradigm by massive interface strengthening

Recent metastable alloy designs have demonstrated simultaneous attainment of high ultimate tensile strength (UTS) and ductility in high entropy alloys but with low yield strength. In this work, we present new strategy for improving the work hardenability and yield strength (YS) together in Fe 38.5 Mn 20 Co 20 Cr 15 Si 5 Cu 1.5 high entropy alloy (Cu-HEA). Drastic increase in the YS (1.5 GPa) is attributed to the formation of γ/ε, ε/ε (twin type) and ε/ε (plate type) interfaces in the microstructure due to extreme grain refinement whereas high UTS-ductility synergy (2.2 GPa, 15%) is attained by dynamic Hall-Petch hardening across these interfaces (i.e. massive interface strengthening) and transformation induced plasticity in γ phase. Thus, this harmonious combination of YS and UTS-ductility synergy in Cu-HEA outperform all structural materials till date. Therefore, deformation-induced massive interface strengthening is a new, yet cost-effective pathway for synergizing the benefits of advanced steels and high entropy alloys together in a material by conventional processing route.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Tailoring the nanotwin spacing of Ni-Mo-W alloys via composition and substrate temperature control

Alloy chemistry and deposition conditions can strongly influence the structure and properties of nanostructured materials. However, in Ni-Mo-W alloys, the limited influence of deposition rate on the twin spacing compels the exploration of other routes to tailor the structure and properties. This study was undertaken to investigate the effect of composition and substrate temperature on the nanotwin spacing of sputter-deposited Ni-Mo-W alloys. Increasing the Ni content from 84 at.% to 93 at.% doubled the average twin spacing from 1.8 nm to 3.8 nm, while raising the substrate temperature from room temperature to 200°C for a fixed Ni content of 91 at.% resulted in an increase from 2.9 nm to 5.0 nm. Concurrent weakening of the {111} texture occurred with both increased Ni and temperature. Furthermore, the combined effectiveness of composition and temperature demonstrated here provides a potential process window for tuning the twin spacing while maintaining the strongly textured columnar structure.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Processing-dependent chemical ordering in Cu 3 Au characterized via non-destructive Bragg coherent diffraction imaging

Of current importance for alloy design is controlling chemical ordering through processing routes to optimize an alloy's mechanical properties for a desired application. However, characterization of chemical ordering remains an ongoing challenge, particularly when nondestructive characterization is needed. Here, in this study, Bragg coherent diffraction imaging is used to reconstruct morphology and lattice displacement in model Cu 3 Au nanocrystals that have undergone different heat treatments to produce variation in chemical ordering. The magnitudes and distributions of the scattering amplitudes (proportional to electron density) and lattice strains within these crystals are then analyzed to correlate them to the expected amount of chemical ordering present. Nanocrystals with increased amounts of ordering are found to generally have less extreme strains present and reduced strain distribution widths. In addition, statistical correlations are found between the spatial arrangement of scattering amplitude and lattice strains.

Warren, Nathaniel [Pennsylvania State Univ., Unive↗

Induction ultrafast sintering

This study proposes and demonstrates induction ultrafast sintering (IUS), which enables rapid densification of refractory and other materials via two contactless modalities: direct IUS (d-IUS), where heating occurs through electromagnetic coupling with the sample, and susceptor IUS (s-IUS), where heating is achieved indirectly via an induction-heated metal case. Ultrahigh heating rates of ∼75 to >450 °C/s and temperatures exceeding 2500 °C are readily achieved. Both d-IUS and s-IUS densify molybdenum to high densities within 120 s, with only ∼1–3 % porosity observed by image analysis. Similarly, 3 mol % yttria-stabilized zirconia (3YSZ) reaches ∼97 % relative density in 30 s via s-IUS. This study further demonstrates ultrafast reactive sintering of two difficult-to-sinter materials: a refractory compositionally complex alloy–carbide (RCCA–CCC) composite, NbMoTaW–(Nb 0.37 Mo 0.11 Ta 0.39 W 0.13 ) 2 C, using d-IUS, and a compositionally complex silicide (CCS), (Mo 1/3 Nb 1/3 Zr 1/3 )Si 2 , using s-IUS. This IUS platform offers a versatile route for high-throughput materials discovery and energy-efficient fabrication of bulk refractory materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

In-situ synchrotron X-ray investigation of phase evolution in gas atomized powder enabling manufacturing of nanoscale oxide-dispersion strengthened ferritic steels

Here, we present an investigation of Fe-14Cr-3W-0.4Y-0.4Zr-0.18Ti (wt.%) as a reduced-activation oxide-dispersion strengthened (ODS) ferritic steel, an alternative to the “14YWT” structural alloys designed for nuclear energy applications. Gas atomization reaction synthesis (GARS) was used to produce these Zr-modified powders with a non-equilibrium (metastable) phase that enable a heat treatment (delayed) route for producing nanoscale oxide-dispersion strengthening. In situ synchrotron X-ray diffraction and transmission electron microscopy were used to analyze phase evolution as a function of temperature and time, revealing formation of highly dispersed oxide nanoprecipitate phases at temperatures above those needed for powder consolidation and shaping of components. This would allow fabrication of net-shape parts using conventional powder-processing methods prior to thermal activation of a reaction producing nanocrystalline Y-(Ti, Zr)-O particles, with a size of 20 ± 7 nm. These results can inform processing of tubes, cladding, sheets, and plates for use in advanced fission and fusion reactors.

In-situ synchrotron X-ray diffraction↗

Capture of volatile RuO 4 from oxidized simulated used nuclear fuel solutions

Ruthenium is a challenging fission product in used nuclear fuel (UNF) reprocessing due to its complex redox chemistry, variable speciation in nitric acid, partial extractability, and volatility. This work presents a strategy for Ru removal based on the volatilization of RuO 4 using the strong oxidant sodium bismuthate, followed by RuO 2 deposition onto various substrates. Among the materials tested, polymer-based substrates such as polyolefin wax film (Parafilm®), exhibited superior performance, achieving up to near-quantitative Ru removal from solution. After dissolution of the substrate, 99.6% of the Ru was recovered as RuO 2 . The deposition mechanism onto the polyolefin wax film involves both physisorption and chemical reaction through oxidative cleavage of olefinic bonds within the polymer. In contrast, on inorganic substrates such as Al foil, RuO 4 undergoes incomplete surface adsorption and reduction, as confirmed by FTIR and XPS analyses. This approach remains effective under conditions of simulated oxidation of UNF solutions, selectively removing Ru while leaving other fission products in solution. As a result, capture of RuO 4 offers a practical and efficient strategy for ruthenium decontamination and recovery, offering a route for integration into existing UNF reprocessing flowsheets to enhance overall process safety and performance.

Ruthenium↗

A mesoscopic link-transmission-model able to track individual vehicles

Macroscopic traffic flow is a common choice for large-scale traffic simulations. These models do not provide individual-specific metrics as outputs. However, this treatment is necessary in agent-based-models, as in, for example, assigning routes based on personal characteristics. Here, in this paper, we propose an extension of the link-transmission-model, an efficient and yet accurate discretization of the Lighthill-Whitham-Richards (LWR) model, which allow vehicles to be tracked individually while keeping the main features of the underlying model. The extension comprises modifying the link and node models to ensure that the flow between links is always at discrete levels. Therefore, every unit of flow is associated with one individual vehicle moving from its current to its next link. An upper bound of the discretization error is provided. We show that the proposed model resembles its continuous counterpart on lane drop, merge, and diverge cases. In addition, we apply the model into three different networks to validate its applicability in large networks. Finally, we also confirm the parameter transferability between continuous and discrete models and that both can well reproduce field data.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Amine-functionalized metal-organic framework ZIF-8 toward colorimetric CO 2 sensing in indoor air environment

Carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) has been shown to contribute to human health consequences indoors, such as shortness of breath, nasal and optic irritation, dizziness, and nausea. Here in this work, we explore the potential of metal–organic frameworks (MOFs) as highly-porous, crystalline sorbents for sensitive colorimetric CO 2 detection. In particular, the zeolitic imidazolate framework (ZIF-8) is chosen as the sorptive material due to its chemical stability and tunable CO 2 affinity. The colorimetric gas sensor is developed in methanol with three components: (i) MOF ZIF-8 as a high surface area adsorbent; (ii) ethylenediamine (ED) as the CO 2 -affinitive basic function; and (iii) phenolsulfonpthalein (PSP) as the pH indicator. Colorimetric assays and ratiometric analysis confirm a colorimetric response to variable CO 2 concentrations of relevance to indoor air quality. The color response is attributed to a zwitterion mechanism whereby ED reacts with CO 2 to form a zwitterionic intermediate. This intermediate is then deprotonated by the pH indicator, shifting the pH and inducing a color change. Given its simple fabrication, rapid and obvious response, and stability in ambient environment, the ZIF-8-based colorimetric sensor provides a promising route for an improved indoor air quality monitoring.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

The nitrogen gap in soil health concepts and fertility measurements

Soil nitrogen (N) often limits productivity in agroecosystems, prompting fertilizer applications that increase crop yields but can degrade the environment. Nitrogen's dual role in both productivity and environmental quality should center it in soil health frameworks. We use recent evidence to argue that N availability is an emergent property of the integrated soil biogeochemical system and is strongly influenced by plant traits and their interactions with microbes and minerals. Building upon this, we theorize that the sources of plant and microbial N shift across soil health gradients, from inorganic N dependence in ecologically simple systems with poor soil health to a highly networked supply of organic N in healthy soils; ergo, investments in soil health should increase ecological complexity and the pathways by which plants can access N, leading to more resilient nutrient supplies and yields in a variable climate. However, current N assessment methods derive from a historical emphasis on inorganic N pool sizes and are unable to capture the shifting drivers of N availability across soil health gradients. We highlight the need to better understand the plant-microbial-mineral interactions that regulate bioavailable N as a first step to improving our ability to measure it. We conclude it will be necessary to harness agroecosystem complexity, account for plant and microbial drivers, and carefully integrate external N inputs into soils' internal N network to expand the routes by which N from organic pools can be made bioavailable. Finally, by emphasizing N in soil health concepts, we argue that researchers can accelerate advances in N use efficiency and resiliency.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Investigating the Role of Copper in Arsenic Doped Cd(Se,Te) Photovoltaics

The open circuit voltage (VOC) deficit in Cd(Se,Te)-based photovoltaics remains a critical obstacle for pushing the technology closer to theoretical performance limits. Arsenic doping has become a dominant and promising route to achieve the higher p-type carrier concentrations necessary for higher VOC, but challenges associated with this alternate defect chemistry and higher doping density have hindered progress. Here we show that while arsenic doping enables high carrier concentrations (>1016 cm-3), co-doping with copper can provide a boost to VOC without a significant change to carrier concentration. A large data set is initially used to explore current-voltage and capacitance-voltage trends associated with arsenic doped devices with and without copper. A smaller subset is then used to probe these trends using a wide variety of characterization techniques. Copper is found to facilitate reduced interface recombination and potentially improved bulk absorber characteristics, though the mechanisms for these improvements are not yet clear. Despite the improved performance of co-doped devices, VOC is still far below its potential especially for highly doped devices. Low emitter doping in conjunction with high absorber doping seems to be a plausible cause for this significant deficit, though other device properties may exacerbate this problem.

CdSeTe↗

Low embodied energy and carbon, high lifetime silicon boules via a combined chemical vapor deposition/float zone process

This work evaluates a new process route to making float zone (Fz)-quality silicon wafers using a combination of computational fluid dynamics (CFD) modeling and technoeconomic analysis. Our analysis finds that the new process competes with Czochralski (Cz)-grown wafers on a levelized cost of energy system level. The new process also decreases embodied energy and carbon of silicon photovoltaics (PV) by ~6x circumventing the energy-costly Siemens process used in polycrystalline silicon (poly-Si) production plants to generate feedstock for Fz and Cz boules. Instead of using poly-Si from the Siemens process to feed crystallization, the new process uses the high-purity, trichlorosilane (TCS) precursor gas to grow a poly-Si feed rod in-situ during a modified Fz1,2 boule growth process. The gas-to-boule float zone process enables opportunity to produce high-purity (low metals and oxygen content), uniformly doped single crystal silicon boules and wafers with high bulk lifetimes (τ bulk > 15 ms) to enable higher efficiency cells (>27 %) with fewer known degradation mechanisms than Czochralski (Cz)-grown wafers. These benefits reduce the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of PV-produced electricity. Here we show the results of our CFD and chemical modeling of the process to prove feasibility and economic viability.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗