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At least 1,297 records · Page 72

Investigation of a high-temperature combination heat pump for lower-cost electrification in multifamily buildings

The development of space and water heating combination heat pumps capable of generating water temperatures high enough for convective heat emitters will enable more cost-effective and equitable decarbonization solutions for electrifying multifamily buildings. Here, in this paper, multifamily building models and a charge-sensitive mechanistic cycle model of a combination heat pump are developed, and the system performance is predicted based on the models. Unlike other state-of-the-art residential heat pumping equipment, the modeled combination heat pump using an economized, fluid-injected variable-speed compressor can achieve higher temperature lifts of 40° - 85°C, with lower installation costs and complexity. The model predicted heating coefficient of performance (COP h ) is 2.1 at an ambient temperature of -15°C with a high-temperature lift of nearly 85°C, and a seasonal coefficient of performance in heating mode (SCOP h ) ranges from 2 - 4 for different locations. The system shows 30% - 90% lower CO 2 eq emissions over a condensing gas boiler and 9% - 13% lower projected installation costs than two separate space and water heat pumping appliances.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

A review of machine learning in building load prediction

The surge of machine learning in recent years has been empowering engineer modeling in various fields. The decreasing hardware cost, increasing data accessibility, and advances of building automation system (BAS) allow the collection and storage of a significant amount of building operation data. The two facts provide great opportunities of applying machine learning to building energy systems modeling and analysis. There are a great number of research papers on this topic but there lacks a comprehensive and general review to summarize the current development, limitations, gaps and future trend. In this review paper series, machine learning techniques in building energy system modeling and analysis are reviewed under the organization and logic of the machine learning definition by Tom M. Mitchell: a computer program is said to learn from experience E with respect to some class of tasks T and performance measure P if its performance at tasks in T, as measured by P, improves with experience E. This paper is the first part of the review paper series, which focuses on building load prediction. First, the applications of building load prediction model (task T) are reviewed. Then, the modeling algorithms improving machine learning performance and accuracy (performance P) are reviewed. At the same time, the literature on the data perspective for modeling (experience E), including data engineering from sensors level to data level, pre-processing, feature extraction and selection, is reviewed. Finally, what is well-studied and what is lacking but with great potential are concluded; the gaps between present and future utilization of machine learning techniques are identified; the future trend and development are also predicted. The target readers of this paper are not only researchers from the building side who can get exposed to cutting edge machine learning tools, but also those from machine learning side who can understand the potential and challenge to apply machine learning in buildings.

Liang, Zhang↗

Connectivity-informed drainage network generation using deep convolution generative adversarial networks

Abstract Stochastic network modeling is often limited by high computational costs to generate a large number of networks enough for meaningful statistical evaluation. In this study, Deep Convolutional Generative Adversarial Networks (DCGANs) were applied to quickly reproduce drainage networks from the already generated network samples without repetitive long modeling of the stochastic network model, Gibb’s model. In particular, we developed a novel connectivity-informed method that converts the drainage network images to the directional information of flow on each node of the drainage network, and then transforms it into multiple binary layers where the connectivity constraints between nodes in the drainage network are stored. DCGANs trained with three different types of training samples were compared; (1) original drainage network images, (2) their corresponding directional information only, and (3) the connectivity-informed directional information. A comparison of generated images demonstrated that the novel connectivity-informed method outperformed the other two methods by training DCGANs more effectively and better reproducing accurate drainage networks due to its compact representation of the network complexity and connectivity. This work highlights that DCGANs can be applicable for high contrast images common in earth and material sciences where the network, fractures, and other high contrast features are important.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Greenhouse gas consequences of the China dual credit policy

For over ten years, China has been the largest vehicle market in the world. In order to address energy security and air quality concerns, China issued the Dual Credit policy to improve vehicle efficiency and accelerate New Energy Vehicle adoption. In this paper, a market-penetration model is combined with a vehicle fleet model to assess implications on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and energy demand. Here we use this integrated modeling framework to study several scenarios, including hypothetical policy tweaks, oil price, battery cost and charging infrastructure for the Chinese passenger vehicle fleet. The model shows that the total GHGs of the Chinese passenger vehicle fleet are expected to peak in 2032 under the Dual Credit policy. A significant reduction in GHG emissions is possible if more efficient internal combustion engines continue to be part of the technology mix in the short term with more New Energy Vehicle penetration in the long term.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Learning Hidden Structure in Multi-Fidelity Information Sources for Efficient Uncertainty Quantification (LDRD 218317)

This report summarizes the work done under the Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) project entitled "Learning Hidden Structure in Multi-Fidelity Information Sources for Efficient Uncertainty Quantification". In this project we investigated multi-fidelity strategies for fusing data from information sources of varying cost and accuracy. Most existing strategies exploit hierarchical relationships between models, for example that occur when different models are generated by refining a numerical discretization parameter. In this work we focused on encoding the relationships between information sources using directed acyclic graphs. The multi-fidelity networks can have general structure and represent a significantly greater variety of modeling relationships than recursive networks used in the current state literature. Numerical results show that a non-hierarchical multi-fidelity Monte Carlo strategy can reduce the cost of estimating uncertainty in predictions of a model of plasma expanding in a vacuum by almost two orders of magnitude.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Computational analysis of the tryptophan cation radical energetics in peroxidase Compound $\mathrm{I}$

Three well-characterized heme peroxidases (cytochrome c peroxidase = CCP, ascorbate peroxidase = APX, and Leishmania major peroxidase = LMP) all have a Trp residue tucked under the heme stacked against the proximal His heme ligand. The reaction of peroxidases with H 2 O 2 to give Compound I results in the oxidation of this Trp to a cationic radical in CCP and LMP but not in APX. Considerable experimental data indicate that the local electrostatic environment controls whether this Trp or the porphyrin is oxidized in Compound I. Attempts have been made to place the differences between these peroxidases on a quantitative basis using computational methods. These efforts have been somewhat limited by the approximations required owing to the computational cost of using fully solvated atomistic models with well-developed forcefields. This now has changed with available GPU computing power and the associated development of software. Here we employ thermodynamic integration and multistate Bennett acceptance ratio methods to help fine-tune our understanding on the energetic differences in Trp radical stabilization in all three peroxidases. These results indicate that the local solvent structure near the redox active Trp plays a significant role in stabilization of the cationic Trp radical.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Invited Review Paper in Commemoration of Over 50 Years of Oxidation of Metals: Addressing the Role of Water Vapor on Long-Term Stainless Steel Oxidation Behavior

In the past 20 years, it has become clear that the long-term exposure of chromia-forming austenitic stainless steels to air containing ~ 10 vol% water vapor at 650–800 °C significantly increases the Cr consumption rate compared to laboratory air. However, a similar acceleration does not occur in 100% steam because O 2 is not available to form volatile CrO 2 (OH) 2 . As the research has shown, this accelerated Cr loss is particularly important for thin-walled components like gas turbine recuperators. Typically, conventional austenitic stainless steels exhibit accelerated attack (i.e., rapid formation of Fe-rich oxide nodules), while higher alloyed steels resist this type of degradation until the alloy surface becomes Cr depleted. The development of strategies and solutions for this issue are reviewed. Model Fe–Cr–Ni alloys have been used to study composition effects on this behavior. For example, increasing the Mn content up to ~ 4 wt% was not beneficial, but increasing the Ni content improved oxidation resistance in this environment. However, at 650–700 °C even highly alloyed steels showed surface Cr depletion at alloy grain boundaries resulting in Fe-rich oxide nodule formation. The path forward for this issue will require more refined mechanistic understanding and increased used of modeling to develop better application-specific lifetime models to identify the most cost-effective alloy solutions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Accurate and efficient predictions of keyhole dynamics in laser materials processing using machine learning-aided simulations

The keyhole phenomenon has been widely observed in laser materials processing, including laser welding, remelting, cladding, drilling, and additive manufacturing. Keyhole-induced defects, primarily pores, dramatically affect the performance of final products, impeding the broad use of these laser-based technologies. The formation of these pores is typically associated with the dynamic behavior of the keyhole. So far, the accurate characterization and prediction of keyhole features, particularly keyhole depth, as a function of time, has been a challenging task. In situ characterization of keyhole dynamic behavior using the synchrotron X-ray technique is informative but complicated and expensive. Current simulations are generally hindered by their poor accuracy and generalization abilities in predicting keyhole depths due to the lack of accurate laser absorptance data. In this study, we develop a machine learning-aided simulation method that accurately predicts keyhole dynamics, especially in keyhole depth fluctuations, over a wide range of processing parameters. In two case studies involving titanium and aluminum alloys, we achieve keyhole depth prediction with a mean absolute percentage error of 10 %, surpassing those simulated using the ray-tracing method with an error margin of 30 %, while also reducing computational time. This exceptional fidelity and efficiency empower our model to serve as a cost-effective alternative to synchrotron experiments. Our machine learning-aided simulation method is affordable and readily deployable for a large variety of materials, opening new doors to eliminate or reduce defects for a wide range of laser materials processing techniques.

Computational fluid dynamics↗

Application of pH-dependent environmental protection agency test method 1313 to low-activity nuclear waste glass

Here, in this study, we present results of a room temperature, pH-dependent leach test established by United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Leaching Environmental Assessment Framework (LEAF) (EPA Method 1313 and further abbreviated EPA 1313) to study the alteration behavior of low-activity nuclear waste (LAW) glasses. Implementation of EPA 1313, which is closer to LAW disposal temperatures, could allow for more flexibility in the formulation of Hanford LAW glasses, specifically in terms of increased waste loading. A set of 48 LAW glasses were selected to test with EPA 1313. Briefly, the test method consists of adding glass to a number of solutions at different initial pH values and at a fixed mass-to-solution-volume ratio. The glass is then allowed to corrode for two days and the final solution pH and concentration of different glass elements in solution is measured. The test was modified from the published procedure to constrain particle size to provide more reproducible results, reduce the studied pH range to a more applicable range, and to reduce solution volume to reduce costs associated with material preparation. Compositional modeling was used to predict the measured elemental releases at various pH. The model predictions improved in tests where there was a relatively small difference between initial and final solution pH indicating that pH controls would result in better predictive models.

Accelerated aging↗

A statistical model for the product energy distribution in reactions leading to prompt dissociation

Direct dynamics calculations have been performed for three reactions: C 3 H 8 + H → i-C 3 H 7 + H 2 , C 3 H 8 + H → n-C 3 H 7 + H 2 , and C 2 H 3 + O 2 → HCO + CH 2 O. The fraction of the population for the radical products that promptly dissociates is computed. Here the results for C 3 H 8 + H are qualitatively similar to previous results for C 3 H 8 + OH, but the new results exhibit a slightly higher branching fraction for prompt dissociation products, owing to the fact that a greater fraction of the internal energy in the transition state ends up in the radical. For C 2 H 3 + O 2 → HCO + CH 2 O, the fraction of HCO that promptly dissociates is in excess of 99%. Consequently, the main product for C 2 H 3 + O 2 at lower temperatures should be written as H + CO + CH 2 O and not HCO + CH 2 O. These results are then compared with four previous systems: CH 2 O + H → HCO + H 2 , CH 2 O + OH → HCO + H 2 O, C 3 H 8 + OH → i-C 3 H 7 + H 2 O, and C 3 H 8 + OH → n-C 3 H 7 + H 2 O. Based upon these seven system, several statistical models are presented. The goal of these statistical models is to predict the fraction of the transition state energy that ends up in the rovibrationally excited radical. On average, these statistical models provide an excellent prediction of product energy distribution. Consequently, these models can be used instead of costly trajectory simulations for predicting prompt radical dissociation for larger species.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Integrated charging infrastructure planning and charging scheduling for battery electric bus systems

We report studies on the electric bus system planning problem have typically focused exclusively on either the deployment of charging infrastructure or the scheduling of charging events; few have examined the impact of charging facility deployment on charging activities. Considering the interdependence of system design and operational strategies, this study proposes a two-phase optimization framework for charging infrastructure planning and charging scheduling for battery electric bus systems. An integrated optimization model is first developed to simultaneously optimize charger deployment, on-board battery capacity, and charging schedules. A charging scheduling model is further proposed and a rolling horizon approach is utilized in the second phase to optimize the real-time charging scheduling of electric buses. Compared to existing electric bus system planning methods, the proposed integrated model can reduce the total system cost by 19.5%. In addition, compared to uncontrolled charging, the proposed rolling horizon-based charging strategy can reduce the total charging cost by 68.3%.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

A Gradient Based Subgrid-Scale Parameterization for Ocean Mesoscale Eddies

Mesoscale eddies play an important role in transport of heat and biogeochemical tracers in the global ocean circulation. Resolving these energetic eddies, however, is challenging in ocean general circulation models (OGCM) because it requires a horizontal grid spacing of ≲1/8° that is computationally expensive. As a result, we are required to parameterize mesoscale eddy effects on large-scale ocean flows. In this work, we introduce a new subgrid-scale (SGS) model that is developed based on a Taylor series expansion of resolved variables to parameterize subgrid mesoscale eddy transports and momentum fluxes in OGCM. We have performed an a priori study to evaluate the performance of our new gradient model using high-resolution ocean simulations. Our results show that the gradient model well predicts the actual SGS thickness fluxes in the zonal and meridional directions in coarse-resolution simulations with the grid spacing ≳1/4°. The unresolved kinetic energy at the ocean surface is also skillfully estimated. More importantly, unlike current mesoscale eddy parameterizations, which are mainly developed based on an assumption of flat bottom ocean, our new SGS model can capture the structure of unresolved standing meanders at the ocean surface. We have also developed a dynamic procedure for setting in non-dimensional parameters in our new parameterization through a non-ad hoc and tuning-free method. Overall, this work suggests that implementing the gradient model in OGCM can improve the model accuracy with an affordable computational cost in eddy-permitting and non-eddying simulations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Electronic structure prediction of multi-million atom systems through uncertainty quantification enabled transfer learning

The ground state electron density — obtainable using Kohn-Sham Density Functional Theory (KS-DFT) simulations — contains a wealth of material information, making its prediction via machine learning (ML) models attractive. However, the computational expense of KS-DFT scales cubically with system size which tends to stymie training data generation, making it difficult to develop quantifiably accurate ML models that are applicable across many scales and system configurations. Here, we address this fundamental challenge by employing transfer learning to leverage the multi-scale nature of the training data, while comprehensively sampling system configurations using thermalization. Our ML models are less reliant on heuristics, and being based on Bayesian neural networks, enable uncertainty quantification. We show that our models incur significantly lower data generation costs while allowing confident — and when verifiable, accurate — predictions for a wide variety of bulk systems well beyond training, including systems with defects, different alloy compositions, and at multi-million-atom scales. Moreover, such predictions can be carried out using only modest computational resources.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Programmable heating and quenching for efficient thermochemical synthesis

Conventional thermochemical syntheses by continuous heating under near-equilibrium conditions face critical challenges in improving the synthesis rate, selectivity, catalyst stability and energy efficiency, owing to the lack of temporal control over the reaction temperature and time, and thus the reaction pathways. As an alternative, we present a non-equilibrium, continuous synthesis technique that uses pulsed heating and quenching (for example, 0.02 s on, 1.08 s off) using a programmable electric current to rapidly switch the reaction between high (for example, up to 2,400 K) and low temperatures. The rapid quenching ensures high selectivity and good catalyst stability, as well as lowers the average temperature to reduce the energy cost. Using CH4 pyrolysis as a model reaction, our programmable heating and quenching technique leads to high selectivity to value-added C2 products (>75% versus <35% by the conventional non-catalytic method and versus <60% by most conventional methods using optimized catalysts). Our technique can be extended to a range of thermochemical reactions, such as NH 3 synthesis, for which we achieve a stable and high synthesis rate of about 6,000 μmol g Fe –1 h –1 at ambient pressure for >100 h using a non-optimized catalyst. Furthermore, this study establishes a new model towards highly efficient non-equilibrium thermochemical synthesis.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Go with the flow: modeling unique biological flows in engineered in vitro platforms

Interest in recapitulating in vivo phenomena in vitro using organ-on-a-chip technology has grown rapidly and with it, attention to the types of fluid flow experienced in the body has followed suit. These platforms offer distinct advantages over in vivo models with regards to human relevance, cost, and control of inputs (e.g., controlled manipulation of biomechanical cues from fluid perfusion). Given the critical role biophysical forces play in several tissues and organs, it is therefore imperative that engineered in vitro platforms capture the complex, unique flow profiles experienced in the body that are intimately tied with organ function. In this review, we outline the complex and unique flow regimes experienced by three different organ systems: blood vasculature, lymphatic vasculature, and the intestinal system. Here, we highlight current state-of-the-art platforms that strive to replicate physiological flows within engineered tissues while introducing potential limitations in current approaches.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Disoriented isospin condensates in heavy-ion collisions

Anomalous neutral to charged kaon correlations measured by the ALICE collaboration have defied usual explanations. We propose that the large fluctuations could arise because of a disoriented isospin condensate where there is an imbalance between up and down condensates at the time kaons hadronize. This could happen in heavy-ion collisions when the quark condensate re-forms as the system cools and the approximate chiral symmetry of QCD is broken. Within the linear sigma model, we show that the energy cost of forming a disoriented isospin condensate is small making it very plausible.

Kapusta, Joseph [University of Minnesota, Minneapo↗

Toward quantum Monte Carlo forces on heavier ions: Scaling properties

Quantum Monte Carlo (QMC) forces have been studied extensively in recent decades because of their importance with spectroscopic observables and geometry optimization. Here, we benchmark the accuracy and computational cost of QMC forces. The zero-variance zero-bias (ZVZB) force estimator is used in standard variational and diffusion Monte Carlo simulations with mean-field based trial wavefunctions and atomic pseudopotentials. Statistical force uncertainties are obtained with a recently developed regression technique for heavy tailed QMC data [P. Lopez Rios and G. J. Conduit, Phys. Rev. E 99, 063312 (2019)]. By considering selected atoms and dimers with elements ranging from H to Zn (1 ≤ Z eff ≤ 20), we assess the accuracy and the computational cost of ZVZB forces as the effective pseudopotential valence charge, Z eff , increases. We find that the costs of QMC energies and forces approximately follow simple power laws in Zeff. The force uncertainty grows more rapidly, leading to a best case cost scaling relationship of approximately Z e ff 6.5 ( 3 ) for diffusion Monte Carlo. We find that the accessible system size at fixed computational cost scales as Z e ff &#x2212; 2 , insensitive to model assumptions or the use of the “space warp” variance-reduction technique. Our results predict the practical cost of obtaining forces for a range of materials, such as transition metal oxides where QMC forces have yet to be applied, and underscore the importance of further developing force variance-reduction techniques, particularly for atoms with high Z eff .

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗