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At least 1,297 records · Page 72

Mechanistic verification of empirical UO 2 fuel fracture models

Standard UO 2 fuel pellets used in light-water reactors fracture during irradiation due to the large thermal gradient in the radial direction. Over the decades, numerous researchers have explored fuel cracking from experimental and modeling points of view. To date, there have been both empirical and mechanistic approaches to predict the number of fragments that form in UO 2 . The empirical models only consider maximum power and burnup as inputs. Existing mechanistic approaches for normal operation have not accounted for irradiation effects. Here, this work employs a mechanistic fuel cracking model using the extended finite element method to explore radial crack formation while including a sensitivity analysis that accounts for the randomization of tensile strength within the fuel, the strength randomization criteria (uniform or volume-weighted Weibull), power ramping rates, computational mesh density, maximum power level, and irradiation (burnup) effects. The results indicate that the uncertainty in this mechanistic modeling approach envelopes the predicted values from three different empirical correlations in almost all cases. This means that, for computationally intensive analyses involving UO 2 fragmentation, the empirical correlations can be used. However, since the mechanistic calculations bound those of the empirical correlations, there is confidence in the applicability of the mechanistic approach developed in this work to generate a correlation for fuel types where limited data exists (e.g., doped-UO 2 , U 3 Si 2 ).

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Characterization of Transducers and Resonators under High Drive Levels

In many applications, piezoelectric transducers are driven at AC voltage levels well beyond the level for which the material was nominally characterized. In this paper we describe an experimental setup that allows for the determination of the main transducer or resonator properties under large AC drive. A sinusoidal voltage from a waveform generator is amplified and applied across the transducer/resonator in series with a known high power resistor. The amplitude of applied voltage and the amplitude and the relative phase of the current through the resistor are monitored on a digital scope. The frequency of the applied signal is swept through resonance and the voltage/current signals are recorded. After corrections for the series resistance and parasitic elements the technique allows for the determination of the complex impedance spectra of the sample as a function of frequency. In addition, access to the current signal allows for the direct investigation of non-linear effects through the application of Fourier transform techniques on the current signal. Our results indicate that care is required when interpreting impedance data at high drive level due to the frequency dependence of the dissipated power. Although the transducer/resonator at a single frequency and after many cycles may reach thermal equilibrium, the spectra as a whole cannot be considered an isothermal measurement due to the temperature change with frequency. Methods to correct for this effect will be discussed. Results determined from resonators of both soft and hard PZT and a ultrasonic horn transducer are presented.

transducers↗

Evaluation Studies of a 800W Solid Oxide-Based Fuel Cells Stack for Electrical Power in Aviation

As both NASA and the aeronautics industry recognize the need for higher fuel efficiency and lower carbon emissions in both commercial airline and private aviation applications, development of all-electric or hybrid electric aircraft have garnered renewed interest in the aviation community. For the particular example of the hybrid-electric option, the solid oxide fuel cell (SOFC) is an attractive option for the power source, due to its potential to utilize aviation fuels thereby having minimal impact to aviation infrastructure. SOFC stack performance depends upon many factors, one of the most important is the way the oxidant and fuel gases are delivered to the fuel cells. System modeling of various aircraft configurations for FUELEAP (Fostering Ultra-Efficient, Low-Emitting Aviation Power) point to the need to operate SOFC stacks at high current densities. This creates challenges in the thermal profile of the stacks with potential to create large thermal gradients and hot spots. This study investigates two types of commercial solid oxide fuel cell stacks, the cross flow and co-flow gas designs, both convectively cooled with cathode air. High fuel utilization factors were also employed under varying electrical loads expected from the demands of flight. In addition, performance, range of operation and endurance were investigated under conditions of high current loads and thermal cycling. Evaluations include the study of gas kinetic using electrochemical spectroscopy. Testing took place at the facilities of NASA Glenn using a commercial test system (FuelCon AG, Magdeburg Germany). These studies are crucial to the Glenn Research Center's ability to conduct research, evaluation and development of the next-generation SOFC based stacks for cutting-edge energy technologies for aerospace applications. This study supports NASA's Convergent Aeronautics Solutions' (CAS) FUELEAP project.

Goldsby, Jon C.↗

Digital Twin Network (DTN): Concepts, Architecture, and Key Technologies

With the commercial deployment of 5G and the migration of internet from IPv4 to IPv6, the new development of the network technology has highly attracted the attention of the industry. The intelligentization of network is believed as the trend of the new generation of network development. The network provides the foundation for the information transmission in the digital society, and the digitalization of the network itself is the prerequisite for the intelligent development. Facing the goal of the new generation of digital and intelligent network, this paper introduces the new concept of "digital twin network (DTN)", designs the system architecture, and analyzes the key technologies of DTN. By investigating the challenges of DTN, this paper points out the future development direction of digital twin network.

digital twin network↗

CONCEPT OF A POLARIZED POSITRON SOURCE FOR CEBAF

Positron beams would provide new and meaningful probes for the experimental program at the Thomas Jefferson National Accelerator Facility (JLab), including but not limited to future hadronic physics and dark matter experiments. Critical requirements involve generating positron beams with a high degree of spin polarization, sufficient intensity and a continuous-wave (CW) bunch train compatible with acceleration to 12 GeV at the Continuous Electron Beam Accelerator Facility (CEBAF). To address these requirements, a polarized positron injector based upon the bremsstrahlung of an intense CW spin polarized electron beam is considered*. First a polarized electron beam line provides >1 mA of polarized electrons at ~120 MeV to a high-power target for positron production. Next, a second beam line collects, shapes and aligns the spin of positrons for users. Finally, the positron beam is matched into the CEBAF acceptance for acceleration and transport to the end stations with energies up to 12 GeV. An optimized layout to provide positrons beams with intensity >100 nA (polarized) or intensity >3 µA (unpolarized) will be discussed in this poster.

Habet, S. H.↗

Performance of Wide Operating Temperature Range Electrolytes in Quallion Prototype Li-Ion Cells

For a number of applications, there is a continued interest in the development of rechargeable lithium-based batteries that can effectively operate over a wide temperature range (i.e., -40 to +70 deg C). These applications include powering future planetary rovers for NASA, enabling the next generation of automotive batteries for DOE, and supporting many DOD applications. Li-ion technology has been demonstrated to have good performance over a reasonably wide temperature range with many systems; however, there is still a desire to improve the low temperature rate capacity as well as the high temperature resilience. In the current study, we would like to present recent results obtained with prototype Li-Ion cells (manufactured by Quallion, LLC) which include various wide operating temperature range electrolytes developed by both JPL and Quallion. To demonstrate the viability of the technology, a number of performance tests were carried out, including: (a) discharge rate characterization over a wide temperature range (down to -60 deg C) using various rates (up to 20C rates), (b) discharge rate characterization at low temperatures with low temperature charging, (c) variable temperature cycling over a wide temperature range (-40 to +70 deg C), and (d) cycling at high temperature (50 deg C). As will be discussed, impressive rate capability was observed at low temperatures with many systems, as well as good resilience to high temperature cycling. To augment the performance testing on the prototype cells, a number of experimental three electrodes cells were fabricated (including Li reference electrodes) to allow the determination of the lithium kinetics of the respective electrodes and interfacial properties as a function of temperatures.

Lithium-ion↗

Status of the Combined-Cycle Engine Large-Scale Inlet Mode Transition Experiment

The Large-Scale Inlet Mode Transition (LIMX) experiment is currently being conducted in the 10x10 foot supersonic wind tunnel at the NASA Glenn Research Center. The experiment has involved the efforts of a team for over four years to get to the first phase of testing, which is examining the aerodynamic characteristics of the inlet. The LIMX inlet involves dual flowpaths: one to provide flow to a turbine engine and one to provide flow to a dual-mode ramjet/scramjet. A rotating splitter cowl can close off the turbine flowpath, which would occur as the propulsion system transitions from turbine power to ramjet/scramjet power at Mach 4. The first phase of the experiment will simulate the turbine and ramjet/scramjet flows using cold pipes with flow rates controlled by mass-flow plugs. Much of the testing will characterize the performance of the turbine flowpath (total pressure recovery and distortion at the engine face location) as factors such as bleed rates and configuration and vortex generators are varied during the inlet mode transition. The performance of the inlet will also be examined at off-design Mach numbers (2.5-3.0) and at angle-of-attack.

Slater, John W.↗

System and component development for long-duration energy storage using particle thermal energy storage

Energy storage, at various scales, will be required to maintain reliable power supply from variable renewable resources, and improve grid resilience. Long-duration energy storage (10-100 h) can substitute baseload coal power generation and increase levels of renewable power supply. Thermal energy storage (TES) has siting flexibility and the ability to store a large capacity of energy, and thus it has the potential to meet the needs of long-duration energy storage. Here, a novel TES system was developed by using solid particles as storage media and charging/discharging electricity from renewable power connected via the electric grid. The particle TES uses low-cost silica sand at 30-40$/Ton that is stable at high temperatures of >1,000 degrees C. Thus, the particle TES system has an overall low storage cost and high thermal-power efficiency. Key components of the system were conceptually designed and modeled for their performance. Conversion of electricity to thermal energy using electric heating can achieve a >98% charging efficiency, and the conversion of thermal energy back to electricity uses an air-Brayton combined power cycle with >52% thermal-to-electricity efficiency at >1,170 degrees C to achieve a >50% roundtrip efficiency after subtracting estimated plant parasitic losses. Laboratory-scale prototypes were fabricated and tested to verify their design approaches and operations relevant to product-scale components.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Coupled Experimental–Theoretical Characterization of a Carbon Electrode in Vanadium Redox Flow Batteries using X-ray Absorption Spectroscopy

Vanadium redox flow batteries (VRFBs) have emerged as promising solutions for stationary grid energy storage due to their high efficiency, scalability, safety, near room-temperature operation conditions, and the ability to independently size power and energy capacities. The performance of VRFBs heavily relies on the redox couple reactions of V 2+ /V 3+ and VO 2+ /VO 2 + on carbon electrodes. Therefore, a thorough understanding of the surface functionality of carbon electrodes and their propensity for degradation during electrochemical cycles is crucial for designing VRFBs with extended lifespans. In this study, we present a coupled experimental–theoretical approach based on carbon K edge X-ray absorption spectroscopy (XAS) to characterize carbon electrodes prepared under different conditions and identify relevant functional groups that contribute to unique spectroscopic features. Atomic models were created to represent functional groups, such as hydroxyl, carboxyl, methyl, and aldehyde, bonded to carbon atoms in either sp 2 or sp 3 environments. The interactions between functionalized carbon and various solvated vanadium complexes were modeled using density functional theory. A library of carbon K-edge XAS spectra was generated for distinct carbon atoms in different functional groups, both before and after interacting with solvated vanadium complexes. Here we demonstrate how these simulated spectra can be used to deconvolve ex situ experimental spectra measured from carbon electrodes and to track changes in the electrode composition following immersion in different electrolytes or extended cycling within a functional VRFB. By doing so, we identify the active species present on the carbon electrodes, which play a crucial role in determining their electrochemical performance.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Megadrought: A Series of Unfortunate La Niña Events?

Megadroughts are multidecadal periods of aridity more persistent than most droughts during the instrumental period. Paleoclimate evidence suggests that megadroughts occur in many parts of the world, including North America, Central America, western Europe, eastern Asia, and northern Africa. It remains unclear to what extent such megadroughts require external forcing or whether they can arise from internal climate variability alone. A novel statistical–dynamical approach is used to evaluate the possibility that such events arise solely as a function of interannual tropical sea surface temperature (SST) variations. A statistical emulator of tropical SST variations is constructed by using an empirical moving-blocks bootstrap approach that randomly samples multiyear sequences of the observational SST record. This approach preserves the power spectrum, seasonal cycle, and spatial pattern of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) but removes longer timescale fluctuations embedded in the observational record. These resampled SST anomalies are then used to force an atmospheric model (the Community Atmosphere Model Version 5). As megadroughts emerge in this run, they should, therefore, be solely a consequence of La Niña sequences combined with internal atmospheric variability and persistence driven by soil moisture storage and other land-surface processes. We indeed find that megadroughts in this simulation have an amplitude-duration rate that is generally indistinguishable from the rate documented in paleoclimate records of the western United States. Our findings support the idea that megadroughts may occur randomly when the unforced climate system evolves freely over a sufficiently long period of time, implying that an unforced unusual but statistically plausible series of La Niña events may be sufficient to generate megadrought.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

How initial conditions-, structural-, and parameter-based model uncertainty interact and influence predictions in permafrost ecosystems: Modeling Archive

This dataset contains model output and input data, as well as source code examples for the Terrestrial Ecosystem Model with the Dynamic Vegetation Model and Dynamic Organic Soil (DVM-DOS-TEM) for the field sites Imnavait creek and the Bonanza creek Long Term Ecological Research Network (LTER). The data covers simulations from the last glacial maximum (LGM) until 2100 for a selection of paleo scenarios, setting the mean temperature of the LGM up to 10°C lower than pre-industrial conditions. The model structure was modulated to represent various model versions, and this dataset contains the relevant changes in the source code. The raw output data, the processed statistical data, the setup and processing scripts as well as parameter value distribution files from a parameter sensitivity analysis are included as well. Model outputs include active layer depth, organic soil carbon, soil layer depths, gross primary productivity (GPP) with and without nitrogen limitation, net primary productivity (NPP), soil liquid water content, heterotrophic, maintenance, and growth respiration, soil temperature, and vegetation carbon (*.nc files). The Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments in the Arctic (NGEE Arctic) project is a research effort to reduce uncertainty in the Department of Energy’s Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) by developing a predictive understanding of Arctic tundra ecosystems underlain by permafrost and to quantify feedbacks from the Arctic tundra to the Earth system. NGEE Arctic is supported by the Department of Energy's Office of Biological and Environmental Research.Over Phases 1–3, observations made by the NGEE Arctic team across a gradient of permafrost landscapes in Arctic Alaska improved the representation of tundra processes in the land surface component of E3SM (the E3SM Land Model, ELM). Model improvements emphasized unique aspects of permafrost environments and explored reductions in model complexity while retaining predictive power. The Arctic-informed ELM developed by NGEE Arctic has been used to make novel predictions on processes ranging from permafrost thaw to soil biogeochemical cycling to Earth system feedbacks associated with the unique characteristics of tundra plants. In Phase 4, the NGEE Arctic team is evaluating our new predictive understanding under novel conditions across the Arctic domain. In collaboration with partners at long-term pan-Arctic research sites we are examining whether an Arctic-informed ELM can faithfully simulate interactions among surface and subsurface processes at site, regional, and pan-Arctic scales. In turn, we are using variety of tools to dynamically extend and evaluate ELM inference, with an emphasis on data synthesis and pan-Arctic model evaluation, reintegration of code with an evolving E3SM, scaling across heterogeneous Arctic landscapes, and the appropriate representation of the impacts of increasingly frequent Arctic disturbances.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Understanding How Kurtosis Is Transferred from Input Acceleration to Stress Response and Its Influence on Fatigue Llife

High cycle fatigue of metals typically occurs through long term exposure to time varying loads which, although modest in amplitude, give rise to microscopic cracks that can ultimately propagate to failure. The fatigue life of a component is primarily dependent on the stress amplitude response at critical failure locations. For most vibration tests, it is common to assume a Gaussian distribution of both the input acceleration and stress response. In real life, however, it is common to experience non-Gaussian acceleration input, and this can cause the response to be non-Gaussian. Examples of non-Gaussian loads include road irregularities such as potholes in the automotive world or turbulent boundary layer pressure fluctuations for the aerospace sector or more generally wind, wave or high amplitude acoustic loads. The paper first reviews some of the methods used to generate non-Gaussian excitation signals with a given power spectral density and kurtosis. The kurtosis of the response is examined once the signal is passed through a linear time invariant system. Finally an algorithm is presented that determines the output kurtosis based upon the input kurtosis, the input power spectral density and the frequency response function of the system. The algorithm is validated using numerical simulations. Direct applications of these results include improved fatigue life estimations and a method to accelerate shaker tests by generating high kurtosis, non-Gaussian drive signals.

Kihm, Frederic↗

Geologic hydrogen: From natural occurrences to anthropogenic generation – A review of fundamentals, potential, challenges and prospects

Growing demand for hydrogen is exposing the environmental and economic limits of reforming-based and carbon-managed supply chains, while the scale-up of electrolytic capacity remains capital-constrained. Geologic hydrogen, defined as molecular H₂ generated and stored within the Earth's crust offers a complementary, potentially lower-cost resource, yet exploration is still ad hoc. This review (1) revisits a global inventory of confirmed hydrogen seeps and subsurface occurrences; (2) analyzes the controlling reactions, migration pathways, and trapping conditions governing these occurrences; (3) proposes a process-based geologic hydrogen system concept analogous to, yet distinct from, the petroleum system; and (4) evaluates potential geologic hydrogen systems within the United States as a representative case study. Here, we contrast natural systems powered by serpentinization, mantle degassing or radiolysis with anthropogenic systems that stimulate the same reactions or convert in-situ hydrocarbons. Stable hydrogen accumulations require generation rates that outpace combined physical, chemical and microbial losses; the Bourakébougou field (Mali) exemplifies a self-recharging, free-gas reservoir sustained by meteoric-water serpentinization beneath an efficient caprock. Prospective geologic hydrogen resources are likely to occur in regions where iron-rich lithologies, deep-seated faults, and low-permeability sealing formations coexist. Applying this principle, we highlight three promising hydrogen play types in U.S. geological terrains: ophiolite belts (Appalachian and Californian regions), the Midcontinent Rift and the Lake Superior banded‑iron formations. Multiphysics numerical models and positive-unlabeled machine-learning workflows help to accelerate play screening and de-risk future production; yet, reaction kinetics, stimulation strategies, and full techno-economic and life-cycle assessments remain pivotal knowledge gaps.

Anthropogenic hydrogen generation↗

Bipolar plate flow channel designs for vanadium redox flow battery: a review

Vanadium redox flow battery is one of the preferred systems for grid scale energy storage due to long service life (>20000 cycles), higher efficiency (>85 %), deep discharge capability (>95 % DoD), and inherent scalability and safety. Among system components, flow field is most critical as it governs electrolyte distribution, mass transport and hydraulic performance. Here, this review examines emerging flow channel geometries, highlighting the impact of channel width (0.66 to 1.5 mm), depth (1 to 1.5 mm) and land width (0.5 to 1.5 mm) can reduce pressure drop to <10 kPa while enabling power densities above 600 mW.cm -2 . A key finding is that low channel width to depth ratio (<1) enhances voltage and energy efficiencies by improving under rib convection. The review also provides an overview of progress and perspective in bipolar plate materials, manufacturability, and shunt current mitigation strategies for stack scaling up. Cost analysis emphasizes the influence of flow field designs on the levelized cost of storage and pathways towards the US DOE's $\$$0.05 per kWh energy generation cost target. In addition, opportunities for AI/ML/DT tools assisted design and data driven optimization strategies are also outlined to accelerate next generation flow field development.

Efficiency optimization↗

Modular high temperature gas reactor core modeling with RELAP5-3D/PHISICS – Optimization schemes for load following

The objective of this study is to develop a 3D/NK model to study the load following operation of a Modular High-Temperature Gas-Cooled Reactor (MHTGR). The selected design is the 350 MW prismatic, graphite moderated, helium cooled thermal reactor based on the MHTGR-350 transient benchmark led by the High-Temperature Gas-Cooled Reactor (HTGR) Methods Core Simulation Group at Idaho National Laboratory (INL) in the framework of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development Nuclear Energy Agency (OECD/NEA). This kind of reactor usually reacts very slowly to the perturbation of the core parameters due to the large amount of graphite in the core. This kind of behavior promotes the reactor stability but on the other hand limits the reactor load-following operability. Recently advances in gas reactor designs have made load-following in gas reactors a feasible and achievable goal. Modern nuclear reactors (such as the MHTGR-350) are designed to withstand the structural stresses associated with load-following. Operating the reactor in load-following mode will inevitably reduce the load factor. Although a higher load factor means more revenue and the best usage of the fuel, following the variable energy demand will increase the maximum achievable fraction of generated nuclear power, being no more limited to the base load power generation. In general, if low impact on material aging and the safe operability are demonstrated the plant economics will be minimally affected. In order to ensure that the system can be safely operated in a load-following mode an extensively study has been carried out. Some tests with linear coolant mass flow rate change demonstrated that the reactor behavior is suitable for operation in load following mode. This assumption has been confirmed by a 4 days load following transient test in which the reactor supplied the requested power with a negligible error.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Learning to Correct Climate Projection Biases

The fidelity of climate projections is often undermined by biases in climate models due to their simplification or misrepresentation of unresolved climate processes. While various bias correction methods have been developed to post-process model outputs to match observations, existing approaches usually focus on limited, low-order statistics, or break either the spatiotemporal consistency of the target variable, or its dependency upon model resolved dynamics. We develop a Regularized Adversarial Domain Adaptation (RADA) methodology to overcome these deficiencies, and enhance efficient identification and correction of climate model biases. Instead of pre-assuming the spatiotemporal characteristics of model biases, we apply discriminative neural networks to distinguish historical climate simulation samples and observation samples. The evidences based on which the discriminative neural networks make distinctions are applied to train the domain adaptation neural networks to bias correct climate simulations. We regularize the domain adaptation neural networks using cycle-consistent statistical and dynamical constraints. An application to daily precipitation projection over the contiguous United States shows that our methodology can correct all the considered moments of daily precipitation at approximately $1^\circ$ resolution, ensures spatiotemporal consistency and inter-field correlations, and can discriminate between different dynamical conditions. Our methodology offers a powerful tool for disentangling model parameterization biases from their interactions with the chaotic evolution of climate dynamics, opening a novel avenue toward big-data enhanced climate predictions.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Permafrost Thaw, Uneven Subsidence and Projected Drying of Ice-wedge Polygon Tundra: Modeling Archive

This dataset is a model archive of the paper Permafrost Thaw, Uneven Subsidence and Projected Drying of Ice-wedge Polygon Tundra (in prep) to support a modeling study investigating how projected increases in Arctic temperature and precipitation will jointly influence hydrologic conditions in ice-rich tundra landscapes. With this dataset, this study is to address the research question: Will Arctic tundra landscapes become wetter or drier with increasing precipitation and temperature in the future when thaw-induced ground subsidence and associated microtopographic evolution are represented? The simulations focus on ice-wedge polygon tundra, a widespread form of ice-rich permafrost terrain that is highly sensitive to thaw-driven landscape change. This dataset contains model input and output data for four study watersheds in Alaska: Anaktuvuk, Utqiagvik (formerly Barrow), Brooks Foothills, and Prudhoe Bay. Simulations were performed using the Advanced Terrestrial Simulator (ATS, v1.5), a physics-rich integrated surface–subsurface hydrologic model. For each watershed, ten modeling cases were performed representing two landscape evolution conditions (with subsidence and without subsidence) combined with five climate forcing scenarios derived from Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP5, SSP5 with precipitation trend, SSP2, SSP2 with precipitation trend, and SSP2 with double precipitation trend). Particularly, for each watershed under the forcing SSP2 with precipitation trend, there are two additional simulations considering spatially heterogeneous subsidence distributions: one assumes randomly distributed scaling and the other includes elevation dependent distribution scaling. These simulations span 1980–2099 and include spin-up runs (1980–2009) followed by transient projections (2010–2099). To facilitate reproducibility of simulations, all datasets are organized by watershed. For each study watershed, the dataset contains: (1) Pre-partitioned mesh files for 32-core modeling (.par.32.XX), located in EACH_WATERSHED/mesh/basin; and also a non-partitioned mesh file (.exo) located in EACH_WATERSHED/mesh; (2) Climate forcings corresponding to the five SSP scenarios (.h5), located in EACH_WATERSHED/data; (3) Final states (.h5) from column spin-up modeling used to initialize historical watershed-scale spin-up runs from 1980 to 2009, located in EACH_WATERSHED/PreSpinupHistorical; (4) Final states (.h5) of historical watershed-scale spin-up runs from 1980 to 2009 used to initialize projection runs, located in EACH_WATERSHED/Spinup_daymetERA5; (5) ATS modeling input files (.xml), located in EACH_WATERSHED/EACH_SIMULATION_SCENARIO/inputfiles; (6) ATS modeling output files (.dat), located in in EACH_WATERSHED/EACH_SIMULATION_SCENARIO/combined_obs; (7) For the Brooks Foothills watershed, additional spatial model outputs are provided (.h5) for selected years (2033 and 2093) used to generate spatial figures in this study, located in Brooksfoothills/EACH_SIMULATION_SCENARIO/results-WITH/WITHOUT_SUBSIDENCE-year2033/2093. All data files with suffix .h5 can be accessible through Python h5py, and all data files with suffix of .dat can be imported by Python pandas. Mesh file with .exo can be visualized through Paraview or read by Python netCDF. The Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments in the Arctic (NGEE Arctic) project is a research effort to reduce uncertainty in the Department of Energy’s Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) by developing a predictive understanding of Arctic tundra ecosystems underlain by permafrost and to quantify feedbacks from the Arctic tundra to the Earth system. NGEE Arctic is supported by the Department of Energy's Office of Biological and Environmental Research. Over Phases 1–3, observations made by the NGEE Arctic team across a gradient of permafrost landscapes in Arctic Alaska improved the representation of tundra processes in the land surface component of E3SM (the E3SM Land Model, ELM). Model improvements emphasized unique aspects of permafrost environments and explored reductions in model complexity while retaining predictive power. The Arctic-informed ELM developed by NGEE Arctic has been used to make novel predictions on processes ranging from permafrost thaw to soil biogeochemical cycling to Earth system feedbacks associated with the unique characteristics of tundra plants. In Phase 4, the NGEE Arctic team is evaluating our new predictive understanding under novel conditions across the Arctic domain. In collaboration with partners at long-term pan-Arctic research sites we are examining whether an Arctic-informed ELM can faithfully simulate interactions among surface and subsurface processes at site, regional, and pan-Arctic scales. In turn, we are using variety of tools to dynamically extend and evaluate ELM inference, with an emphasis on data synthesis and pan-Arctic model evaluation, reintegration of code with an evolving E3SM, scaling across heterogeneous Arctic landscapes, and the appropriate representation of the impacts of increasingly frequent Arctic disturbances.

EARTH SCIENCE > ATMOSPHERE > PRECIPITATION↗

Survey of Aging and Monitoring Concerns for Cables and Splices Due to Cable Repair and Replacement

The purpose of this report is to survey aging and monitoring concerns for electrical cable splices in nuclear power plants (NPPs) in long term operation. As portions of existing electrical cable runs in nuclear are replaced over time due to localized events, the total number of splices in NPPs is expected to increase. Relative to cables, the body of knowledge regarding aging of splices and splices in combination with aging cables in nuclear service environments in long-term operations is low. A few reports have considered the aging of cable system components other than cables (Jacobus 1990; Nelson 1998; Villaran and Lofaro 2002), but the nuclear industry has two decades of operating experience since these were published to further enlighten this issue. Herein we discuss electrical cables and splices commonly found in U.S. nuclear power plants, their qualification in safety-related application, and methods for monitoring their health condition. Common environmental stresses that can give rise to cable and splice failure are discussed. The Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) Licensee Event Reports (LER) database was used to identify documented issues of cable and splice failure. The trend in the resultant data over time is considered to see if failures are increasing as plants age. Observations and conclusions of this work include: 1. Cables and splices are highly reliable components. Occurrence rates for events of interest were low and nearly constant over the last 20 years. 2. Common-cause failure for evaluated cable events of interest was observed to primarily be associated with loose connections, which may manifest associated with workmanship issues, thermal cycling, and/or vibration. 3. Replacement of cables is more common than repair, leading to an increase in proportion of new generation cables in the plant over time. 4. Splices on degraded cables have been observed to be problematic. Due to aging NPP infrastructure, including electrical cables, it is expected that such issues will continue to increase. 5. Condition monitoring approaches, while shown to be fruitful for cables, have been shown to be insensitive to degradation of splice sleeves, which are critical to the continued performance of splices. Additional condition monitoring (CM) work is needed to evaluate methods which are sensitive to the degradation of splice components. 6. Extended Material Degradation Assessment (EMDA) knowledge gaps for electrical cables (Bernstein et al. 2014) have not been investigated for splices but may represent similar concerns such as for the accelerated aging process historically used in environmental qualification.

42 ENGINEERING↗