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At least 1,297 records · Page 72

Forecast of Wildfire Potential Across California USA Using a Transformer

Wildfires are a major issue facing the United States, a matter further exacerbated by an ever-changing climate. In California alone, wildfires are responsible for billions of dollars in damages and take lives each year. Accurately predicting fire danger conditions allows preparation awareness before wildfires start. Transformers are a class of deep learning models designed to identify patterns in sequential datasets. In recent years, transformers have gained popularity through their impressive performance in natural language processing and other applications of signal recognition. This analysis demonstrates the ability of a transformer with a residual connection to forecast fire danger potential over the state of California. Wildland fire potential index (WFPI) maps collected from the US Geological Survey database from January 1st 2020 to December 31st 2023 were used to tune, train and evaluate the transformer. Meteorological inputs (provided by Daymet daily weather and climatological summaries), the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) (calculated from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS)), and outputs from the Scott and Burgman fire behavior fuel models (to characterize maps of fuel types), were used as inputs. Our results show that a transformer can effectively emulate the US Forest Service modeled WFPI maps of California USA for four week long forecasts over the month of July, 2023, with correlations ranging from 0.85 – 0.98.

Limber, Russell [ORNL]↗

Empirical studies of design software: Implications for software engineering environments

The empirical studies team of MCC's Design Process Group conducted three studies in 1986-87 in order to gather data on professionals designing software systems in a range of situations. The first study (the Lift Experiment) used thinking aloud protocols in a controlled laboratory setting to study the cognitive processes of individual designers. The second study (the Object Server Project) involved the observation, videotaping, and data collection of a design team of a medium-sized development project over several months in order to study team dynamics. The third study (the Field Study) involved interviews with the personnel from 19 large development projects in the MCC shareholders in order to study how the process of design is affected by organizationl and project behavior. The focus of this report will be on key observations of design process (at several levels) and their implications for the design of environments.

Krasner, Herb↗

Retrieval of ice thickness from polarimetric SAR data

We describe a potential procedure for retrieving ice thickness from multi-frequency polarimetric SAR data for thin ice. This procedure includes first masking out the thicker ice types with a simple classifier and then deriving the thickness of the remaining pixels using a model-inversion technique. The technique used to derive ice thickness from polarimetric observations is provided by a numerical estimator or neural network. A three-layer perceptron implemented with the backpropagation algorithm is used in this investigation with several improved aspects for a faster convergence rate and a better accuracy of the neural network. These improvements include weight initialization, normalization of the output range, the selection of offset constant, and a heuristic learning algorithm. The performance of the neural network is demonstrated by using training data generated by a theoretical scattering model for sea ice matched to the database of interest. The training data are comprised of the polarimetric backscattering coefficients of thin ice and the corresponding input ice parameters to the scattering model. The retrieved ice thickness from the theoretical backscattering coefficients is compare with the input ice thickness to the scattering model to illustrate the accuracy of the inversion method. Results indicate that the network convergence rate and accuracy are higher when multi-frequency training sets are presented. In addition, the dominant backscattering coefficients in retrieving ice thickness are found by comparing the behavior of the network trained backscattering data at various incidence angels. After the neural network is trained with the theoretical backscattering data at various incidence anges, the interconnection weights between nodes are saved and applied to the experimental data to be investigated. In this paper, we illustrate the effectiveness of this technique using polarimetric SAR data collected by the JPL DC-8 radar over a sea ice scene.

Kwok, R.↗

Behavior of Langmuir Probes in Non-Equilibrium Plasmas

Langmuir probes are diagnostic tools used to determine electron temperature, number density, and plasma potential. Irving Langmuir first used an electrostatic probe in the 1920s to find these characteristics in ionized gases. Single, double, and triple Langmuir probes are commonly used in plasma diagnostics because of their relative simplicity. In the single probe, a swept voltage is applied between the probe tip and circuit common to acquire a waveform showing the collected current as a function of applied voltage. A double Langmuir probe consists of two tips, both inserted into the plasma, with a voltage applied between them. As this voltage is swept, a current-voltage characteristic is measured. In a triple probe three probe tips are electrically coupled to each other with constant non-swept voltages applied between each of the tips. The voltages are selected to represent three points on the single Langmuir probe I-V curve. Elimination of the voltage sweep makes it possible to measure time-varying plasma properties in transient plasmas. Triple Langmuir probe measurements have been widely employed for various types of plasmas, including pulsed and time-varying plasmas such as those seen in pulsed plasma thrusters (PPTs), dense plasma focus devices, plasma flows, and fusion experiments. The typical Langmuir probe analysis for determining electron temperature and number density of the plasma (for a single, double, or triple Langmuir probe) includes an assumption that the plasma is in thermal equilibrium. While the this assumption may be justified for some applications, it is unlikely that it is fully justifiable for pulsed and time-varying plasmas or for the entire time a plasma device is in use. In the present work, we model the responses of Langmuir probes as they are inserted into a range of simple equilibrium and non-equilibrium plasmas. We return to basic governing equations of probe current collection and compute the current to the probes for a distribution function consisting of two Maxwellian distributions with different temperatures (the two-temperature Maxwellian). A variation of this method is also employed, where one of the Maxwellians is offset from zero (in velocity space) to add a suprathermal beam of electrons to the tail of the main Maxwellian distribution (the bump-on-the-tail distribution function). For a range of parameters in these non-Maxwellian distributions, we compute the current collection to the probes. Comparing the distribution function that was assumed a priori with the plasma density and temperature one would infer when applying standard probe theory to analyze the collected currents serves to illustrate the effect a non- Maxwellian plasma would have on results interpreted using the equilibrium probe current collection theory, allowing us to state the magnitudes of these deviations as a function of the assumed distribution function properties.

Polzin, Kurt A.↗

Cryogenic Fuel Valve Testbed Development

The goal for this project is to update the cryogenic valve testbed program in LabVIEW to schedule and automate tests and experiments. By using an automated system, tens or hundreds of tests may be performed. This will ensure that accurate data is being collected for testing of the remaining useful life and end of life predictions. From the data obtained, new diagnostic and prognostic methods will be developed to manage or predict potential leaks which may occur in the future. The Cryogenic valve testbed injects controlled faults into the cryogenic fuel valve system in order to accurately determine failure behavior.

Prognostics↗

Characterization of the X-ARAPUCA systems' response for SBND's light detection

X-ARAPUCA waveform data, collected at a test stand at the Noble Liquid Test Facility (NLTF) and the Short Baseline Near Detector (SBND), were analyzed via python scripts. For the ARARA system, various distributions and correlations were studied, including the area and amplitude distributions of the waveform peaks for identifying single photoelectron peaks, which was able to be accomplished. The behavior of the baseline artifact was also characterized, which appeared only at high voltages/bright events, and separates further from the prompt peak as the voltage/brightness increases. The ARARA system is being studied in order to be implemented into SBND, just as the APSAIA X-ARAPUCAs have been.

Novotny, Andrew [Fermilab]↗

Development of Nanocomposite Coatings for Future Large-Scale Time Projection Chambers

In the context of this award we tested the performance of thin high-resistivity coatings for their potential usage as field shaping systems in future large scale xenon Time Projection Chambers (TPC). A successful implementation of such thin coatings would likely simplify the design of potential future detectors, allowing to overcome some of the challenges observed with traditional systems constituted by massive discrete electrodes. We studied a wide range of materials and characterized their optical and electrical performances as functions of temperature and wavelength. The measurement campaign indicated that uniform coatings covering the full PTFE substrate (usually used as reflector in LXe TPCs) impact too severely on the light collection performance of such detectors when used with deep UV light. Despite tuning the composition and thicknesses of nanocomposite coatings, we were not able to identify a single coating, properly working at LXe temperature, that would simultaneously fulfill the resistance and optical requirements. Following the risk mitigation strategy identified in the proposal we moved the focus of the R&D to identify proper materials that, when coated with grid-like patterns on PTFE, would not alter meaningfully its optical properties (with respect to bare PTFE panels) but would still serve as effective field shaping systems, properly containing the drift field in TPC detectors. Among the various materials we identified germanium as the most promising one, providing a good adhesion to PTFE and the proper range of sheet resistivity. The Ge-patterned coating tested within a small scale LXe TPC showed good performance as a field shape system and, as desired, did not reduce the detector light yield. These results are encouraging and such technology should further be investigated as a potential alternative to more traditional field shaping electrodes. Incidentally, in the context of this R&D, we stumbled upon an unexpected behavior suggesting that some of the treatments performed on the PTFE panels, in preparation of the coatings, meaningfully boosted the PTFE reflectivity. The most probable candidate is the O2 plasma cleaning procedure. This hypothesis will be tested in the near future by operating the small scale TPC at UChicago first with regular PTFE panels and then with panels bombarded with O2 plasma (but no coatings). This finding, if confirmed, might open up the possibility of further boosting UV light collection in future large detectors by performing such a treatment on the PTFE surfaces.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Radiation damage and dose limits in serial synchrotron crystallography at cryo- and room temperatures

Radiation damage limits the accuracy of macromolecular structures in X-ray crystallography. Cryogenic (cryo-) cooling reduces the global radiation damage rate and, therefore, became the method of choice over the past decades. The recent advent of serial crystallography, which spreads the absorbed energy over many crystals, thereby reducing damage, has rendered room temperature (RT) data collection more practical and also extendable to microcrystals, both enabling and requiring the study of specific and global radiation damage at RT. Here, we performed sequential serial raster-scanning crystallography using a microfocused synchrotron beam that allowed for the collection of two series of 40 and 90 full datasets at 2- and 1.9-Å resolution at a dose rate of 40.3 MGy/s on hen egg white lysozyme (HEWL) crystals at RT and cryotemperature, respectively. The diffraction intensity halved its initial value at average doses ( D 1/2 ) of 0.57 and 15.3 MGy at RT and 100 K, respectively. Specific radiation damage at RT was observed at disulfide bonds but not at acidic residues, increasing and then apparently reversing, a peculiar behavior that can be modeled by accounting for differential diffraction intensity decay due to the nonuniform illumination by the X-ray beam. Specific damage to disulfide bonds is evident early on at RT and proceeds at a fivefold higher rate than global damage. The decay modeling suggests it is advisable not to exceed a dose of 0.38 MGy per dataset in static and time-resolved synchrotron crystallography experiments at RT. This rough yardstick might change for proteins other than HEWL and at resolutions other than 2 Å.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Electrode Mesoscale as a Collection of Particles: Coupled Electrochemical and Mechanical Analysis of NMC Cathodes

Battery electrodes are composed of polydisperse particles and a porous, composite binder domain. These materials are arranged into a complex mesostructure whose morphology impacts both electrochemical performance and mechanical response. We present image-based, particle-resolved, mesoscale finite element model simulations of coupled electrochemical-mechanical performance on a representative NMC electrode domain. Beyond predicting macroscale quantities such as half-cell voltage and evolving electrical conductivity, studying behaviors on a per-particle and per-surface basis enables performance and material design insights previously unachievable. Voltage losses are primarily attributable to a complex interplay between interfacial charge transfer kinetics, lithium diffusion, and, locally, electrical conductivity. Mesoscale heterogeneities arise from particle polydispersity and lead to material underutilization at high current densities. Particle-particle contacts, however, reduce heterogeneities by enabling lithium diffusion between connected particle groups. While the porous composite binder domain (CBD) may have slower ionic transport and less available area for electrochemical reactions, its high electrical conductivity makes it the preferred reaction site late in electrode discharge. Mesoscale results are favorably compared to both experimental data and macrohomogeneous models. This work enables improvements in materials design by providing a tool for optimization of particle sizes, CBD morphology, and manufacturing conditions.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Domain wall motion across microstructural features in polycrystalline ferroelectric films

This paper describes the effect of microstructural features such as grain boundaries and triple points on the pinning of domain wall motion in perovskite Pb(Zr 0.52 Ti 0.48 )O 3 (PZT) films on polycrystalline SrRuO 3 /SrTiO 3 substrates. Here, spatial variability in the collective domain wall dynamics was assessed using non-linearity mapping via Band Excitation Piezoresponse Force Microscopy (BE-PFM). Collocating the non-linearity maps with triple point locations (as visualized by EBSD) allowed for exploration of the effects that local microstructure (e.g., grain boundary) have on domain wall motion. It was found that the extrinsic behavior varied with both the misorientation angle and the proximity to the grain boundary. The width of influence of individual grain boundaries on the motion of domain walls was a function of the character of the grain boundary; random grain boundaries exhibit deeper minima in α d /d 33,initial and larger widths of influence (up to 905 nm) compared to coincident site lattice (CSL) boundaries (up to 572 nm). Additionally, triple points containing larger numbers of random boundaries exhibited non-Rayleigh behavior to greater distances, suggesting that the triple point provides either a deep potential minimum or a region where domain wall motion is unfavorable.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Performance Debugging and Tuning of Flash-X with Data Analysis Tools

State-of-the-art multiphysics simulations running on large scale leadership computing platforms have many variables contributing to their performance and scaling behavior. We recently encountered an interesting performance anomaly in Flash-X, a multiphysics multicomponent simulation software, when characterizing its performance behavior on several large-scale HPC platforms. The anomaly was tracked down to the interaction between the use of dynamic allocation of scratch data and data locality in the cache hierarchy. In this paper we present the details of unexpected performance variability of Flash-X, its extensive analysis using the performance measurement tool TAU to collect the data and Python data analysis libraries to explore the data, and our insights from this experience. In this process, we discovered and removed or mitigated two additional performance limiting bottlenecks for performance tuning.

Huck, Kevin↗

Creep-fatigue Behavior and Damage Accumulation of a Candidate Structural Material for Concentrating Solar Power Solar Thermal Receiver (Final Technical Report)

Creep-fatigue deformation is an important consideration for a thermal receiver in Concentrating Solar Power systems due to the constant static stress or pressure, diurnal cycling, and elevated service temperatures required for efficient operation. An accurate description of the creep-fatigue behavior, not available for five of the six candidate materials, is important for assessment of preliminary designs. This project has provided a detailed analysis of the creep-fatigue behavior and damage accumulation of Alloy 740H, a candidate structural material for a CSP solar thermal receiver to address a critical knowledge barrier for receiver designs identified in the CSP Gen3 Demonstration Roadmap. This project was divided in to three tasks, split between two general categories: Experimental and design methodology. Tasks 1 and 3, relating to the collection of data on Alloy 740H plate and sheet forms, respectively, were performed at the Idaho National Laboratory and used as input to Task 2, the development of design methodology performed at Argonne National Laboratory. Experimental work covered limited tensile and creep testing to fill gaps in available data that is currently available and to demonstrate how the plate of Alloy 740H tested in this work compared to historical data. A more substantial testing program for fatigue and creep-fatigue was performed, with particular emphasis on creep-fatigue as there is little available data and it is necessary to understand the creep-fatigue interaction and develop related design models. This effort includes the development of rules for the design of solar receiver components against high temperature creep-fatigue and ratcheting failure modes. The ASME Code rules for high temperature nuclear components was used to the basis of the method but adjustments will be made to reflect the generally shorter, diurnal operating cycles of thermal receivers and the relative consequences of failure, comparing nuclear to solar components. This work has provided guidance for the design of components for concentrating power facilities operating at high temperatures and undergoing high, secondary thermal stresses relative to the applied primary pressure stress. The design rules were developed for the design of Generation 3 CSP tubular receivers manufactured from Alloy 740H, but are generally applicable to a wide range of component types undergoing similar loads. Procedural design rules for components to be used in conjunction with the 2019 edition of the ASME Boiler & Pressure Vessel Code and the corresponding design data for Alloy 740H have been developed. A commentary describing the rationale behind the design rules and the data underlying the design material properties, as well as an extensive set of worked sample problems detailing the application of the rules to CSP components were developed as a part of this project, with a separate report covering these aspects in detail and included in the Appendix of this report.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

An investigation of arc discharging on negatively biased dielectric conductor samples in a plasma

Proposals are now being developed for the construction of high-power photovoltaic systems for operation in low Earth orbit, where the plasma number density is about 1,000 to 1,000,000 per cubic cm. Existing data indicate that interactions between the plasma and high-voltage surfaces of an orbiting power system will occur. In ground tests, where the applied voltage is increased negatively from ground, the array current collection shows an approximately linear rise until it terminates in arcing at greater than several hundred volts negative. This arcing may reduce the power generation efficiency and could possibly affect the low-level logic circuits of the spacecraft. Therefore it is important that the arcing phenomenon be well understood. This study is a survey of the behavior of different dielectric-conductor samples, including a solar cell module, that were biased negatively in a low-density plasma environment with the intent of defining arc discharge conditions and characteristics. Procedures and results are discussed.

Miller, W. L.↗

Performance characterization of a segmented anode arcjet thruster

Results are presented from a continuing experimental program aimed at providing insight into arc energy deposition in the nozzle, the nature of the arc attachment, and its effects on performance characteristics of the device. A modular, 1-2 kW class arcjet thruster incorporating a segmented anode/nozzle was run on a thrust stand to determine performance characteristics under a number of experimental conditions. The nozzle comprised five axial conducting segments isolated from each other by boron nitride spacers. The electrical configuration permitted the current delivered to the arcjet to be collected at any combination of segments. It is concluded that the changes in the electric field in the nozzle that occur as a result of the changes in the current distribution do not significantly affect the momentum transfer or loss mechanisms in the type of nozzle investigated. Performance characteristics show that the segmented anode reasonably simulates the behavior of solid anodes of similar geometry.

Curran, Francis M.↗

Behavioral characteristics of effective crew leaders

The behaviors of effective versus less effective captains as they form and lead their crews in line operations are analyzed. The research examines real work groups in an actual organization with a specific and consequential task to perform and is based on a normative model of work group effectiveness. Selection of captains is outlined, as well as data collection over the course of six months of crew and cockpit observations including over 300 hours of direct crew observations and 110 hours of actual flight time. Common characteristics of the effective leaders as well as the deviations of the less effective are described, and organizational implications are assessed. The concept of 'shells' depicted as a series of concentric circles moving outward from the group's task execution at the center is introduced and discussed.

Ginnett, Robert C.↗

Measuring multiple cosmogenic nuclides in glacial cobbles sheds light on Greenland Ice Sheet processes

The behavior of the Greenland Ice Sheet during the Pleistocene remains uncertain due to the paucity of evidence predating the Last Glacial Maximum. Here, we employ a novel approach, cosmogenic nuclide analysis of individual subglacially-derived cobbles, which allows us to make inferences about ice sheet processes and subglacial erosion. From three locations in western Greenland, we collected 86 cobbles from the current ice sheet margin and nine cobbles exposed on the modern proglacial land surface. We measured the concentration of in situ 10Be in all cobbles (n =95) and 26Al and 14C in a subset (n =14). Cobbles deposited during Holocene retreat have 10Be exposure ages generally consistent with the timing of ice retreat determined by other methods. Conversely, most of the 86 subglacial cobbles contain very low concentrations of 10Be (median 1.0×10^3atoms/g), although several have ∼104and one has ∼10^5atoms/g. The low concentrations of 10Be in most subglacial cobbles imply that their source areas under the Greenland Ice Sheet are deeply eroded, preserving minimal evidence of surface or near-surface exposure. The presence of measurable 14C in ten of the cobbles requires that they experienced cosmogenic nuclide production within the past ∼30 ka; however, 14C/10Be ratios of ∼6 suggest that nuclide production occurred during shielding by overlying material. Only two of the 86 subglacial cobbles definitively have cosmogenic nuclide concentrations consistent with prior surface exposure. Overall, isotopic analysis of subglacial cobbles indicates that much of western Greenland’s subglacial landscape is characterized by deep erosion and minimal subaerial exposure.

cosmogenic nuclides↗

Translational Line of Sight: a multi-omics longitudinal study of the murine retinal response to spaceflight hazard analogs

The space environment includes unique hazards like radiation and microgravity which adversely affect physiology and behavior of humans and rodent models. To better characterize the retinal response to spaceflight, we assessed a multi-omics NASA GeneLab dataset where 6-month-old female mice were gamma irradiated and/or hindlimb unloaded for 21 days followed by whole transcriptome shotgun sequencing (RNA-Seq) and reduced representation bisulfite sequencing (RRBS) of retina samples collected at 7 days, 1 month or 4 months post-exposure. We compared time-matched epigenomic and transcriptomic retinal profiles revealing a total of 4,178 differentially methylated loci or regions, and 457 differentially expressed genes. Highest correlation in methylation differences was seen across different conditions at the same time point (e.g., between radiation exposure and hindlimb unloaded at 7 days). Biological processes related to nucleotide metabolism were enriched in all groups with activation at 1 month and suppression at 7 days and 4 months. Genes and processes related to Notch and Wnt signaling showed alterations 4 months post-exposure. Interestingly, Notch3 and Lrg1 showed differential patterns in the NASA Twins Study in-flight samples and in response to stressors in the murine retina in the current study. A total of 23 genes were both differentially methylated and expressed, including genes involved in retinal disease or cataract development (Crybb3, Fgfr1, Pitpnm3, Sipa1l3, Sox9) and inflammatory response (B4galt6, Ppm1a, Sphk1). To our knowledge, the current multi-omics analysis is the first multi-omics study to interrogate the epigenomic and transcriptomic impacts of radiation and hindlimb unloading on the retina in isolation and in combination. The results provide an insight into the retinal response to individual spaceflight hazard analogs and their interplay at different post-exposure stages and contributes towards a mechanistic understanding of spaceflight-induced vision impairment using ground-based models.

Prachi Kothiyal↗

A Multi-omics Longitudinal Study of the Murine Retinal Response to Chronic Low-dose Irradiation and/or Simulated Microgravity

The space environment includes unique hazards like radiation and microgravity which adversely affect physiology and behavior of humans and rodent models. To better characterize the retinal response to spaceflight, we assessed a multi-omics NASA GeneLab dataset where 6-month-old female mice were gamma irradiated and/or hindlimb unloaded for 21 days followed by whole transcriptome shotgun sequencing (RNA-Seq) and reduced representation bisulfite sequencing (RRBS) of retina samples collected at 7 days, 1 month or 4 months post-exposure. We compared time-matched epigenomic and transcriptomic retinal profiles revealing a total of 4,178 differentially methylated loci or regions, and 457 differentially expressed genes. Highest correlation in methylation differences was seen across different conditions at the same time point (e.g., between radiation exposure and hindlimb unloaded at 7 days). Biological processes related to nucleotide metabolism were enriched in all groups with activation at 1 month and suppression at 7 days and 4 months. Genes and processes related to Notch and Wnt signaling showed alterations 4 months post-exposure. Interestingly, Notch3 and Lrg1 showed differential patterns in the NASA Twins Study in-flight samples and in response to stressors in the murine retina in the current study. A total of 23 genes were both differentially methylated and expressed, including genes involved in retinal disease or cataract development (Crybb3, Fgfr1, Pitpnm3, Sipa1l3, Sox9) and inflammatory response (B4galt6, Ppm1a, Sphk1). To our knowledge, the current multi-omics analysis is the first multi-omics study to interrogate the epigenomic and transcriptomic impacts of radiation and hindlimb unloading on the retina in isolation and in combination. The results provide an insight into the retinal response to individual spaceflight hazard analogs and their interplay at different post-exposure stages and contributes towards a mechanistic understanding of spaceflight-induced vision impairment using ground-based models.

Prachi Kothiyal↗