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NASA NTRS2018

Airplane Capabilities: Translating Non-Normal Information for Operational Decision-Making

We consider how a jet transport airplane interface supports the flight crew in managing airplane system failures (or non-normals) for continued safe flight and landing. The existing state of the art starts with a list of airplane system component failures and asks the flight crew to determine, with the help of non-normal procedures, the operational consequences of those failures. As airplane systems become more complex and interconnected, the flight crew's ability to determine operational consequences will become inadequate. We describe an approach that attempts to translate airplane system failures directly into airplane "capabilities," which is a set of basic airplane functions, such as the ability to stop after landing. This paper describes the overall framework for supporting flight crews in operational decision making and the initial efforts to develop a language and display concepts.

managing airplane system non-normals↗
NASA NTRS2019

Method for Tracking and Communicating Aggregate Risk Through the Use of Model-Based Systems Engineering (MBSE) Tools

Large, complex projects can identify a significant number and variety of risks, throughout the project life cycle. These risks are analyzed, mitigated, closed or accepted as independent uncertainties. Once closed or accepted, it is easy for projects to lose awareness of their impact. In reality, each of these risks contributes some amount to the overall risk posture of the project. The ability to track and effectively communicate this aggregate risk has represented a challenge to project management. There have been previous attempts to create a schema to communicate the aggregate effect of risks, without notable success. Most of these attempts have centered on some additive metric derived from the scoring of likelihood and consequence values. This, in and of itself, is a logical approach, but all too often the scores were then aggregated to a level where all context was lost. One weakness has been a lack of attempt to create linkages or logical groups of the risks upon which useful aggregation could then occur. The overall move to model-based (systems) engineering (MBSE) has opened up a vast frontier of opportunities to better integrate all project data. MBSE provides an underlying layer that links data items to each other. Objectives link to requirements, which then link to functions, functions to physical architecture items, and so on, as far down as projects want to model. While it started with a focus on modeling requirements based on things like use cases, efforts are now underway to integrate safety and mission assurance (S&MA) information and analyses, such as risks. This effort, called Model Based Mission Assurance (MBMA), is yielding models that are more useful and are a more accurate representations of the systems. MBSE models, with this ability to link related items, provide a new means of tracking and communicating aggregate risks. In the proposed method, risks are added into the models as distinct items, having attributes that communicate a scoring derived from the likelihood and consequence values as charted on the standard NASA 5x5 risk matrix. Like earlier efforts, each box in the 5x5 has an associated scoring, which may include both a current score and potential post-mitigation/control score. The risk items are then linked to elements of the model, such as system objectives/goals, requirements, functions, or physical architecture items, with "Risk to" relationships. These risks will then be communicated by use of reports generated from the model, detailing all risks and/or hazards linked to model elements. These reports can include aggregate impacts, including a current scoring and potential future state scoring based on the planned mitigations and/or controls. These reports will show all risks, open, accepted, and closed, linked to project objectives or requirements. When run as part of an upcoming risk acceptance discussion, these reports will serve to remind the team of all previous risks that relate to the effected portion of the system. When included as part of periodic program or project reviews, risk reviews, and safety reviews, this method can improve the overall understanding of the system's true risk posture. This proposed method takes full advantage of the advances that modern modeling techniques provide, with a minimal investment of additional time. Utilizing the model environment also enables a near constant access to current state of aggregate risks.

model based mission assurance↗
NASA NTRS2018

CALIPSO Lidar Calibration at 532 nm: Version 4 Nighttime Algorithm

Data products from the Cloud-Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP) on board Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observations (CALIPSO) were recently updated following the implementation of new (version 4) calibration algorithms for all of the level 1 attenuated backscatter measurements. In this work we present the motivation for and the implementation of the version 4 nighttime 532 nm parallel channel calibration. The nighttime 532 nm calibration is the most fundamental calibration of CALIOP data, since all of CALIOP’s other radiometric calibration procedures – i.e., the 532 nm daytime calibration and the 1064 nm calibrations during both nighttime and daytime – depend either directly or indirectly on the 532 nm nighttime calibration. The accuracy of the 532 nm nighttime calibration has been significantly improved by raising the molecular normalization altitude from 30-34 km to 36-39 km to substantially reduce stratospheric aerosol contamination. Due to the greatly reduced molecular number density and consequently reduced signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) at these higher altitudes, the signal is now averaged over a larger number of samples using data from multiple adjacent granules. As well, an enhanced strategy for filtering the radiation-induced noise from high energy particles was adopted. Further, the meteorological model used in the earlier versions has been replaced by the improved MERRA-2 model. An aerosol scattering ratio of 1.01 ± 0.01 is now explicitly used for the calibration altitude. These modifications lead to globally revised calibration coefficients which are, on average, 2-3% lower than in previous data releases. Further, the new calibration procedure is shown to eliminate biases at high altitudes that were present in earlier versions and consequently leads to an improved representation of stratospheric aerosols. Validation results using airborne lidar measurements are also presented. Biases relative to collocated measurements acquired by the Langley Research Center (LaRC) airborne high spectral resolution lidar (HSRL) are reduced from 3.6% ± 2.2% in the version 3 data set to 1.6% ± 2.4 % in the version 4 release.

Jayanta Kar↗
NASA NTRS2017

The Evolution of Planetary Protection Implementation on Mars Landed Missions

NASA has developed requirements dedicated to the prevention of forward and backward contamination during space exploration. Historically, international agreements provided guidelines to prevent contamination of the Moon and other celestial bodies, as well as the Earth (e.g., sample return missions). The UN Outer Space Treaty was established in 1967 and the Committee on Space Research (COSPAR) maintains a planetary protection policy complying with Article IX of this treaty. By avoiding forward contamination, the integrity of scientific exploration is preserved. Planetary Protection mission requirements are levied on missions to control contamination. These requirements are dependent on the science of the mission and on the celestial bodies encountered or targeted along the way. Consequently, categories are assigned to missions, and specific implementation plans are developed to meet the planetary protection requirements. NASA missions have evolved over time with increasingly more demanding scientific objectives and more complex flight systems to achieve those objectives and, thus, planetary protection methods and processes used for implementation have become much more intricate, complicated, and challenging. Here, we will portray the evolution of planetary protection implementation at JPL in several important areas throughout the course of NASA sponsored robotic Mars lander or rover missions, starting from Mars Pathfinder through the beginning of Mars 2020. Highlighted in the discussion will be process changes in planetary protection requirements development and flow down. Development and implementation of new and improved methods used in the reduction of spacecraft bioburden will be discussed as well as approaches and challenges that come along with setting up remote laboratories to perform bioassays. The consequences and forward planning of delays on missions will be highlighted as well as lessons learned on the impact of communication and training in achieving planetary protection requirements. The evolution of methods used for the detection of microbial bioburden on spacecraft hardware will be considered. These methods use standard microbiology as well as the adaptation of advances in biotechnology, molecular biology, and bioinformatics. Technical approaches developed for the prevention of contamination and recontamination of hardware during Assembly, Test, and Launch Operations will be discussed.

Kazarians, Gayane A.↗
NASA NTRS2019

Controlled Rest on the Flight Deck: Profile of Use, Challenges, and Best Practices

Managing fatigue in 24/7 operations is complex; fatigue and performance degradation can have health and safety consequences for the workers and can have economic and community consequences. We will present new findings on sleep, circadian misalignment, and performance in operational personnel. The presentations will shed light on how sleep and circadian misalignment affect workers' performance, safety, and health across multiple operations, and their application in fatigue risk management.As part of this symposium, I will discuss how pilots can use short naps (controlled rest) as a countermeasure to elevated sleepiness in-flight. My presentation will describe how and when controlled rest is used operationally and outline best practice guidelines for maximizing the benefits while managing the associated risks.

aviation↗
NASA NTRS2019

Design of a Nozzle for the Spyder 2nd Stage Solid Rocket Motor

During the 2019 summer term, the author worked with a group of four interns to complete the preliminary design of a 2nd stage solid rocket motor for Up Aerospace’s Spyder Launch Vehicle. The Spyder vehicle is a four stage, solid fuel rocket designed as part of collaboration between NASA and Up Aerospace to develop a vehicle capable of delivering a 10 kg, 6U CubeSat into a 350 km, circular, low Earth orbit. As part of the agreement, NASA is tasked with designing high performance 2nd, 3rd, and 4th stages while Up Aerospace will provide the 1st stage, derived from the first stage of the company’s sub-orbital Spaceloft XL vehicle. Previous intern teams have designed the 3rd and 4th stages, which left the preliminary design of the 2nd stage motor to be completed this summer. The purpose of this report is to highlight a trade study which the author conducted to determine the nozzle geometry which would most benefit the performance of the 2nd stage motor. In this study, various nozzle parameters such as throat radius (RSI), expansion ratio, mass and their effects on the Isp and Delta V of the 2nd Stage were investigated. From this study, a nozzle geometry providing the necessary performance was chosen and implemented as part of the preliminary design of the 2nd stage motor. To mature the 2nd stage motor design, a trade space was needed to determine the nozzle configuration which would most benefit the performance of the 2nd stage. The trade space established did not only evaluate different expansion ratios for the same throat radius, but also investigated the possible performance gained from decreasing the throat radius to increase the expansion ratio and Isp capable of being delivered by the nozzle. Decreasing the throat radius would cause the chamber pressure to increase, consequently increasing the case and insulation mass required to safely operate a motor at higher pressures. To account for this factor, accurate estimates of inert mass first needed to be established. After doing so, the effects of varying nozzle expansion ratios, exit half angles, and subsequently length and mass were evaluated against motor and nozzle performance factors such as delta V and Isp. For this study, four throat radii ranging from 1.75” to 2.375” and consequently four different chamber pressures ranging 550 psia to 1200 psia were investigated. BACKGROUND To launch into Low Earth Orbit, a payload needs to be accelerated to the orbital velocity necessary to keep it from falling back to Earth. The change in velocity required between launch and orbital insertion is known as Delta V. The Delta V which a rocket or stage can deliver can be calculated using the Ideal Rocket equation, 𝛥𝑉=−𝑔0∗𝐼𝑠𝑝∗ln(𝑀𝑓𝑀𝑖) (3) Where 𝑔0 is the acceleration due to gravity at the earth’s surface, 𝐼𝑠𝑝 is the specific impulse of the rocket, 𝑀𝑖 is the initial mass of the rocket, and 𝑀𝑓 is the final mass of the rocket after burnout. From preliminary calculations beyond the scope of this paper, it was determined that 30500 ft/s of delta V would be required for a payload to be inserted into a 350 km circular orbit around the Earth. Using the known masses and Isp values of the 1st, 3rd, and 4th stages and equation 3, the delta V of each stage was calculated. The delta V required by the 2nd stage could then be found by taking the difference between the total delta V required and the delta V of the 1st, 3rd, and 4th stages. From this, the required delta V of the 2nd Stage was calculated to be 7340 ft/s. Specific impulse is an efficiency factor of the nozzle which defines the impulse delivered by the motor per unit of propellant weight. The main variables of a nozzle’s specific impulse investigated in this trade were exit cone half angle, throat radius, and expansion ratio which is affected by the throat radius. The expansion ratio, ε, of a nozzle is defined as the ratio between the nozzle exit area and throat area, and can be calculated using the equation, ε=𝑅𝑒𝑥𝑖𝑡2𝑅𝑠𝑖2 (2) Where 𝑅𝑒𝑥𝑖𝑡 is the radius of the nozzle’s exit and 𝑅𝑠𝑖 is the radius of the nozzle’s throat. A larger expansion ratio and smaller exit half angle will increase the Isp of a nozzle by allowing the gas to expand more and by allowing more of the exhaust gas to produce thrust in the direction of the motor’s central axis. A cross section view of the 2nd Stage motor with the major components annotated is provided in figure 1.

Bennett, Daniel↗
NASA NTRS2019

The Missing Economic Risks in Assessments of Climate Change Impacts

Economic assessments of the potential future risks of climate change have been omitting or grossly underestimating many of the most serious consequences for lives and livelihoods because these risks are difficult to quantify precisely and lie outside of human experience. Political and business leaders need to understand the scale of these ‘missing risks’ because they could have drastic and potentially catastrophic impacts on citizens, communities and companies. Scientists are growing in confidence about the evidence for the largest potential impacts of climate change and the rising probability that major thresholds in the Earth’s climate system will be breached as global mean surface temperature rises, particularly if warming exceeds 2°C above the pre-industrial level. These impacts include: (1) Destabilisation of ice sheets and glaciers and consequent sea level rise. (2) Stronger tropical cyclones. (3) Extreme heat impacts. (4) More frequent and intense floods and droughts. (5) Disruptions to oceanic and atmospheric circulation. (6) Destruction of biodiversity and collapse of ecosystems. Many of these impacts will grow and occur concurrently across the world as global temperature climbs. Some of these impacts involve thresholds in the climate system beyond which major impacts accelerate, or become irreversible and unstoppable. When a threshold is breached, it might cause one or more other thresholds to be exceeded as well, leading to a cascade of impacts. Many of these impacts could exceed the capacity of human populations to adapt, and would significantly affect and disrupt the lives and livelihoods of hundreds of millions, if not billions, of people worldwide. These impacts would also undermine economic growth and development, exacerbate poverty and destabilise communities. Economic assessments fail to take account of the potential for large concurrent impacts across the world that would cause mass migration, displacement and conflict, with huge loss of life. Economic assessments that are expressed solely in terms of effects on output (e.g. gross domestic product), or that only extrapolate from past experience, or that use inappropriate discounting, do not provide a clear indication of the potential risks to lives and livelihoods. It is likely that there are additional risks that we are not yet anticipating simply because scientists have not yet detected their possibility, as we have entered a period of climate change that is unprecedented in human history. Some advances are being made in improving economic assessments of climate change impacts but much more progress is required if assessments are to offer reliable guidance for political and business leaders on the biggest risks. The lack of firm quantifications is not a reason to ignore these risks, and when the missing risks are taken into account, the case for strong and urgent action to reduce greenhouse gas emissions becomes even more compelling.

DeFries, Ruth↗
NASA NTRS2019

The Semiannual and 4.4-Year Modulations of Extreme High Tides

In most places extreme high tides undergo a clear seasonal variation. It is well known that semidiurnal tides tend to peak during equinox seasons, and diurnals during solstice seasons. This is a consequence of the solar and lunar declinations, which when large maximize diurnal tides at the expense of semidiurnals. The semiannual range modulation of tidal extremes for a pure semidiurnal tide is determined mainly by the amplitude of the K2 constituent; a pure diurnal is determined mainly by P1. Mixed tidal regimes tend to experience maxima very roughly around the times of solstice, but not always, with the semiannual modulation generally a complicated function of constituent amplitudes and phases. These modulations are here mapped worldwide by analyzing tidal extremes predicted with a global tide model. The known 4.4-year modulation in extreme tides is a consequence of declinational and perigean effects coming in and out of phase. The phase of the 4.4-year modulation is controlled by the phase of the semiannual modulation, irrespective of whether the tide is diurnal, semidiurnal, or mixed.

Ray, R. D.↗
NASA NTRS2019

Maintaining Skeletal Health During the Mission to Mars

Understanding how the effects of long-duration spaceflight (~6-months) might increase fracture risk in the younger-aged, physically-fit astronaut is challenging. Most of our skeletal data have been acquired from long-duration astronauts, crewmembers who typically serve on 120-180 day missions aboard the International Space Station (ISS). Astronaut biomedical data are predominantly 2-d measurements from DXA scans because this is a required clinical test at Johnson Space Center. Data from these clinical tests, and some data from research studies, are what NASA evaluates to define a risk for fracture in astronauts, both during a mission and long-term health. To date, the agency considers the risk for fracture during spaceflight to be of high (severe) consequence but of low probability (<0.1%) while the risk for fracture in during long-term health to be of medium consequence (interventions available) and medium probability (<1%). These risks are considered acceptable. Notably, there are minimal data to suggest that postflight fractures in long-duration astronauts are directly due to spaceflight exposure. Analyses by NASA epidemiologists and by biomedical engineers suggest that postflight fracture incidence in astronauts is consistent with a physically-active terrestrial population with no exposure to spaceflight. The epidemiological data to-date may be considered insufficient (low # and younger-aged subjects, limited follow-up time) to assess a fracture risk with reliability. In the absence of fracture evidence to substantiate a risk, it may be more useful to maintain astronauts at baseline (preflight) level of skeletal health during a mission. This lecture will present data from astronauts that affirms that 1) the maintenance of skeletal health during the future 3-year Mars mission will require an anti-resorptive therapy and 2) the risk for fracture during long-term health cannot be defined by the DXA clinical test alone.

Sibonga, Jean↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

The Residuum-Those Who Technology Leaves Behind

The introduction of new technologies has direct and indirect advantages and disadvantages on societies. As the relentless pace of technology increases, societies have to adjust, accommodate, integrate or reject the latest invention or innovation. Many people even experience the unintended consequences associated with these technologies. Some technologies appear to have a stabilizing effect on society (where the technology lifts all of society) while other technologies appear disruptive with unsettling effects(benefits are shared by a few with previously established firms being displaced). In this latter case, companies with the most disruptive technologies provide benefits but also gain market share by decimating their competitors. Those in society who have the means or the opportunity to seize the benefits of advanced technologies undoubtedly gain efficiencies of time and effectiveness while those who cannot afford or those who chose not to adopt these same technologies unfortunately fall behind. During the present worldwide pandemic, schools have physically closed their doors causing the mto pursue virtual classrooms. How will the teachers and children without internet access in their homes compare to those who do? In the near future, increased automation will lead to some reduction in the full-time workforce. A co-worker recently improved her skills in a fortuitous technical discipline. Others did not. Who should be held responsible for reskilling? Stated another way, who should be held responsible for finding new employment opportunities?In the distant future, parents who incorporated genetically enhanced benefits during childbirth will have offspring who will probably advance beyond those who cannot afford the technology. In these various ways, who should be held responsible for those who technology leaves behind?Are those left behind simply those who suffer inequality or is there something more?Should the semi-transparent hand of technology be allowed to roam freely through society selecting the survival of the fittest as it chooses? Should the invisible hand of the financial market make the decisions? Or, should governments and companies bear some responsibility by crafting policies to mitigate the consequences to those cast aside by the technology? This paper will endeavor to address some of the underlying issues of this question while attempting to find a set of sensible solutions to this problem.

Residuum↗
NASA NTRS2020

SNPP VIIRS Reflective Solar Bands On-Orbit Calibration Using the Moon

The Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) on board the Suomi National Polar-Orbiting Partnership (SNPP) satellite has been on orbit for more than eight years since its launch on October 28, 2011. The VIIRS has 22 spectral bands, among which 14 are reflective solar bands(RSBs) covering a spectral range from 0.41 to 2.25 m. The VIIRS RSBs are primarily calibrated on-orbit by an onboard solar diffuser (SD) panel and a solar diffuser stability monitor (SDSM). Besides the SD and SDSM calibration, the RSBs are scheduled to view the Moon approximately monthly through the instrument’s space view (SV). The lunar observations have also been used to calibrate the RSBs on-orbit since early mission. Due to the non uniformity of the SD’s degradation, the calibration coefficients that are derived from the SD/SDSM calibration have long-term biases, especially at short wavelengths. In addition, the SDSM has no capability to monitor the SD degradation beyond 0.935 m, resulting in long-term bias in the shortwave infrared bands, about 0.72% for band M8 (1.238 m). These biases induce significant errors and long-term drifts in the VIIRS sensor data records (SDR) and consequently in the environmental data records (EDR). Unlike the SD, the Moon is a known stable target and any temporal drifts observed while viewing the Moon can be attributed to the sensor’s degradation. Thus, the VIIRS lunar calibration is used to track the RSB on-orbit changes, especially to provide an accurate long-term baseline. Due to the non-uniformity of the lunar surface, the lunar irradiance, instead of the lunar radiance, is used to calibrate the RSBs. The lunar irradiance strongly depends on lunar view geometry and it is still a challenge to accurately characterize the geometric effects associated with the lunar measurements and any residual errors can induce seasonal oscillations in the derived calibration coefficients. The errors of the geometric dependence correction induce seasonal oscillations in the derived RSB lunar calibration coefficients. In this paper, the algorithms for the view geometric effect correction are significantly improved, resulting in a significant reduction in the seasonal oscillations observed in the calibration coefficient time-series. The lunar and SD/SDSM calibration results are properly incorporated to generate a set of hybrid calibration coefficients and implementation of these coefficients is shown to significantly improve the long-term stability of the VIIRS SDR. This is of fundamental importance in making accurate Earth observations from which reliable and high quality science products are generated. The consequent improvements in SNPP VIIRS RSB SDRs and EDRs are shown and discussed. The lunar calibration methodology can be directly applied to follow-on VIIRS instruments.

Junqiang Sun↗
NASA NTRS2021

Impact of Regional Northern Hemisphere Mid-latitude Anthropogenic Sulfur Dioxide Emissions on Local and Remote Tropospheric Oxidants

The unintended consequences of reductions in regional anthropogenic sulfur dioxide (SO2) emissions implemented to protect human health are poorly understood. SO2 decreases began in the 1970s in the US and Europe and are expected to continue into the future, while recent emissions decreases in China are also projected to continue. In addition to the well-documented climate effects (warming) from reducing aerosols, tropospheric oxidation is impacted via aerosol modification of photolysis rates and radical sinks. Impacts on the hydroxyl radical and other trace constituents directly affect climate and air quality metrics such as surface ozone levels. We use the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Atmospheric Model version 3 nudged towards National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) reanalysis wind velocities to estimate the impact of SO2 emissions from the US, Europe, and China by differencing a control simulation with an otherwise identical simulation in which 2015 anthropogenic SO2 emissions are set to zero over one of the regions. Springtime sulfate aerosol changes occur both locally to the emission region and also throughout the Northern Hemispheric troposphere, including remote oceanic regions and the Arctic. Hydroperoxy (HO2) radicals are directly removed via heterogeneous chemistry on aerosol surfaces, including sulfate, in the model, and we find that sulfate aerosol produced by SO2 emissions from the three individual northern mid-latitude regions strongly reduces both HO2 and hydroxyl (OH) by up to 10 % year-round throughout most of the troposphere north of 30∘ N latitude. Regional SO2 emissions significantly increase nitrogen oxides (NOx) by about 5 %–8 % throughout most of the free troposphere in the Northern Hemisphere by increasing the NOx lifetime as the heterogeneous sink of HO2 on sulfate aerosol declines. Despite the NOx increases, tropospheric ozone decreases at northern mid-latitudes by 1 %–4 % zonally averaged and by up to 5 ppbv in summertime surface air over China, where the decreases in HO2 and OH suppress O3 production. Since 2015 anthropogenic SO2 emissions in China exceed those in the US or Europe, the oxidative response is greatest for the China perturbation simulation. Chemical effects of aerosols on oxidation (reactive uptake) dominate over radiative effects (photolysis rates), the latter of which are only statistically significant locally for the large perturbation over China. We find that the SO2 emissions decrease in China, which has yet to be fully realized, will have the largest impact on oxidants and related species in the Northern Hemisphere free troposphere compared to future decreases in Europe or the US. Our results bolster previous calls for a multipollutant strategy for air pollution mitigation to avoid the unintended consequence of aerosol removal leading to surface ozone increases that offset or mask surface ozone gains achieved by regulation of other pollutants, especially in countries where current usage of high-sulfur emitting fuels may be phased out in the future.

anthropogenic sulfur dioxide emissions↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Viability of Small Dimension Crew Quarters for Surface Habitation

During early planning for the Artemis program’s sustained phase of lunar activity, NASA planners have been held to work towards a NASA reference lunar lander concept. With this activity taking place prior to the awarding of a lander contract, NASA planners cannot assume which of several potential landers will be available. This has limited habitation team engineers to a 12-metric ton mass limit for the reference concept of the lunar Surface Habitat. Consequently, minimal approaches have been applied to many habitat systems and it is important to determine acceptable volume for crew quarters. A number of both NASA and non-NASA surface habitat concepts have proposed relatively small crew quarters due to this constraint. Consequently, there is a need to collect objective test data to confirm or refute the validity of small crew quarters. NASA-STD-3001 is looked to for guidance in its many standards but offers little to no help. While prior versions called for private habitation, the current version – Revision B – calls for “individual privacy” to “accommodate social retreat.” Proposed Revision C modifications change the language slightly to “accommodate sleep and social retreat.” This is not enough guidance to determine the size of a crew quarters or even its capabilities. Unfortunately, only a small number of US spacecraft have included crew quarters, primarily the International Space Station and the Skylab Space Station. The space shuttle orbiter sometimes flew a set of private bunks that some might consider a crew quarters. All of these are dramatically smaller than US standards for minimum jail cells. The first opportunity for NASA to test a small crew quarters in a surface habitat application has been created through the Exploration Atmospheres test series, which is evaluating human performance under reduced cabin pressures. The test is converting the 20-Foot Vacuum Chamber at Johnson Space Center into a habitat, with the lower level outfitted as an EVA test area and the upper two levels for human habitation. The test will place eight people (six test subjects and two technicians) inside the chamber for eleven days. All eight will sleep in private quarters during the test. Volume limitations in the chamber forced extremely small crew quarters, measuring approximately 2 meters in length, 0.85 meters in height, and 0.9 meters in width. The test cabin pressure of 8.2 psi and elevated oxygen also introduces significant material limitations, limiting outfitting options. Nonetheless, the crew quarters design requirements were to accommodate visual separation, auditory separation, olfactory separation, tactile separation, air flow control, lighting control, single person personal computing, physical work surface access, sleep accommodations, non-sleep rest/relaxation, meditation, stretching, two-person meetings, snacking, changing clothes, viewing appearance, video communication, and audio communication. This paper will detail the acceptability of the crew quarters as measured in the October 2021 Exploration Atmosphere test. Based on this data, the viability of the type of crew quarters used in the 20 Foot Chamber will be assessed. Design recommendations for a 30-60-day Surface Habitat crew quarters will be provided, along with recommendations for future testing.

Crew Quarters↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Transforming Science Prioritization Processes Using Artificial Intelligence

Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) have potential to augment significantly the current labor-intensive processes of science prioritization, specifically by the National Academies’ Decadal Survey on behalf of NASA and NSF. Here we summarize what we believe to be the first exploratory demonstration-of-concept results from an application of AI/ML to Survey science prioritization. Specifically, we applied Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) and Natural Language Processing (NLP) to reveal trends in published astrophysics research that may indicate science priorities and which could be applied to strategic planning. For the purpose of the work that we summarize here, AI/ML is able to analyze – that is, to “understand,” in a manner of speaking – a vast amount of text to reveal complex relationships among research topics, including the growth or decline of science community activities in those topics over time. We trained ourselves and AI/ML algorithms by using ~400,000 abstracts in the period 1998 to 2010 to “forecast” the Academies’ Astro2010 recommendations and compare with the solicited white papers. Comparing our results with actual Astro2010 recommendations allowed us to identify candidate metrics that better predicted the actual results of the Survey. We found, for example, that Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of papers published in a topic area is a good proxy measure for importance of this topic area of research. With this training complete, we identified candidate astrophysics astrophysics science priorities for the 2021+ period using the research during 2007 - 2019 . We conclude that appropriate application of AI can potentially significantly reduce the current workload of the Decadal Survey processes and reveal otherwise unrecognized characteristics in the body of astronomical research. We emphasize throughout the exploratory nature of our work, encouraging colleagues to pursue promising results further. Our most critical governing assumption was that increased (or decreased) research activity can be used to identify scientific or technology topic areas worthy of increased (or decreased) future emphasis. We discuss advantages, limitations, and recognize the “black box” nature of our technique. We note ethics issues associated, for example, with using AI/ML to reveal “hidden” meanings and biases in published work. Furthermore, inevitable improvements in AI may soon enable widespread and welcome identification of and advocacy for science and technology priorities by disparate and diverse groups and organizations. Consequently, we continue to urge a near-term, in-depth evaluation of appropriate applications of AI, including implications and consequences, as well as support for multiple follow-on assessments, of which ours is only a beginning.

Artificial Intelligence↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Improving Efficacy and Safety of Pharmacological Treatment Through Precision Medicine and Pharmacogenomics for Human Deep Space Exploration

INTRODUCTION: Future spaceflight will require increased crew medical autonomy as exploration class missions expanding duration and distance from Earth, especially for Mars missions. As mission duration increases, it will be even more essential to have appropriate amounts of effective medication to ensure the maintenance of crew health and performance. Conversely, mass and volume constraints will become more severe as future spaceflight expands beyond low Earth orbit, where resupply is difficult or becomes impossible. These constraints thus convey an urgency to further tailor medications included in the spacecraft formulary and increased examination of appropriate dosing regimens. BACKGROUND: Precision Health is an exciting area of cutting-edge research and medicine focused on maintaining an individual’s health and performance through in-depth understanding of an individual’s unique factors and molecular profiles. This approach can be adapted to better predict, monitor, and address physiological responses to the spaceflight environment. One example is the field of pharmacogenomics (PGX),the study of how the expressed genome impacts drug responses with the goal of prescribing the right dose of the right drug at the right time. Specifically, PGX testing provides valuable information on an individual’s precise allelic variations to guide physicians in making informed decisions on pharmaceutical choice and dosing to avoid adverse drug events and maximize pharmacological efficacy. The goal of this study was to evaluate which drugs in the current space pharmacy could be evaluated using PGX testing and to understand the potential impact on the health and wellness of the astronaut population. Additionally, we sought to evaluate clinically available FDA-approved PGX testing solutions to better understand its applicability. METHODS: A complete list of drugs onboard the International Space Station (ISS) was analyzed for risk and likelihood of drug failure and PGX actionability. This analysis encompassed both personal astronaut medications, including supplements and over the counter drugs (n=151) and ISS MedKit formulary medications (n=95). Duplicate medications and different formulations were removed, which resulted in 157 total drugs used in the subsequent analysis. A 5x5 risk assessment table was produced by examining the likelihood of drug failure compared to the consequence of drug failure. Likelihood of individual drug failure was defined by whether existing processes are sufficient to prevent adverse events, as ranked from 1 (very low, can easily be prevented) to 5 (very high, cannot be prevented) during a Mars mission. In contrast, the consequence of drug failure was defined by impact to safety, schedule, cost or technical and ranked from 1 (very low) to 5 (very high).A comprehensive assessment of commercially available PGX solutions is currently underway to evaluate specimen requirements, cost/benefit analysis (cost vs. number of alleles assessed), utility of variant analysis, relevance to inflight medication usage, quality of reporting in enabling clinical application, and ease of integration into electronic medical records. RESULTS: Risk assessments(LxC 5x5 table) indicated29medicationswere in the yellow or red zone driven predominantly by drug failure or safety concerns, with the remainder(n=128)of the medications in the green zone where risk is acceptable. We found that current PGX testing results could impact 21% of the total medications in the ISS MedKit and IMAK; of these, 9 medications currently have direct clinically actionable guidance available. Results of the clinical PGX solution evaluations as related to these medications will be presented. CONCLUSION: PGX testing has demonstrated clear benefits in terrestrial medicine and clinical environments for the selection of proper medications, avoiding adverse drug reactions, and maximizing drug efficacy. We propose that similar benefits would be bestowed on the astronaut and commercial spaceflight passenger population by performing preemptive pre-flight PGX testing to reduce risk of mission failure due to ineffective or toxic medications, improve targeting drug efficacy and safety, and further open the door to countermeasure research exploring PGX-related allelic variants. For example, PGX results could allow tailoring of specific medications at optimal doses more precisely to each individual astronaut, particularly in areas of space motion sickness, sleep aids, and analgesics. An additional benefit is that PGX results could provide information for better planning of the components of a space pharmacy for deep space missions to be more cost effective and more efficient in the utilization of limited pharmaceutical resources. Finally, while PGX testing of the astronaut corps is not currently conducted, this approach could provide immediate impact in support of mission success by reducing risks, optimizing astronaut performance, and providing valuable insights into long-term astronaut health. Such advancements in clinical decision making are important next steps in building dynamic individual risk profiles for astronauts, increasing crew autonomy and providing tailored countermeasures

Alice R W Tang↗
NASA NTRS2021

Demystification of Processes that Effect Prioritization of Space Radiation Element Research

In an effort to demystify how research funding priorities are established , the Space Radiation Element will present an introduction to the Human Space Risk Board (HSRB) framework that is that used to inform Human System Risk and can be found at https://humanresearchroadmap.nasa.gov/Risks/. These risks are based on the consequences of hazards (space radiation, altered gravity, isolation & confinement, distance from earth and hostile/closed environment) a human body is exposed to during spaceflight. The HSRB regularly evaluates risks to humans in space which includes updating the knowledge base to reflect emerging research, the development of effective countermeasures, and evolving operational approaches toward addressing those risks. To increase understanding and clarity, this talk will step through how risks (with the focus on Risk of Radiation Carcinogenesis) are assigned a rating (and color code) based on design reference missions, likelihood, and consequence. Further, The Space Radiation Element will discuss how risks, including the magnitude/rating, required technical deliverables, and expected products from current research efforts affect our element strategy and prioritization of research. In addition, navigation of the publicly available www.nasa.gov/hrp, will be demonstrated to inform principal investigators where this information can be readily accessed. Our primary objectives for this presentation/demonstration are to demystify The Space Radiation Element’s internal processes and to educate researchers concerning publicly available documents that can be used to better align their proposed objectives with Element priorities.

J A Zawaski↗
NASA NTRS2021

Wind suppression by X-rays in Cygnus X-3

Context: The radiatively driven wind of the primary star in wind-fed X-ray binaries can be suppressed by the X-ray irradiation of the compact secondary star. This causes feedback between the wind and the X-ray luminosity of the compact star. Aims: We aim to estimate how the wind velocity on the face-on side of the donor star depends on the spectral state of the high-mass X-ray binary Cygnus X-3. Methods: We modeled the supersonic part of the wind by computing the line force (force multiplier) with the Castor, Abbott & Klein formalism and XSTAR physics and by solving the mass conservation and momentum balance equations. We computed the line force locally in the wind considering the radiation fields from both the donor and the compact star in each spectral state. We solved the wind equations at different orbital angles from the line joining the stars and took the effect of wind clumping into account. Wind-induced accretion luminosities were estimated using the Bondi-Hoyle-Lyttleton formalism and computed wind velocities at the compact star. We compared them to those obtained from observations. Results: We found that the ionization potentials of the ions contributing the most to the line force fall in the extreme-UV region(100–230 Å). If the flux in this region is high, the line force is weak, and consequently, the wind velocity is low. We found a correlation between the luminosities estimated from the observations for each spectral state of Cyg X-3 and the computed accretion luminosities assuming moderate wind clumping and a low mass of the compact star. For high wind clumping, this correlation disappears. We compared the XSTAR method used here with the comoving frame method and found that they agree reasonably well with each other. Conclusions. We show that soft X-rays in the extreme-UV region from the compact star penetrate the wind from the donor star and diminish the line force and consequently the wind velocity on the face-on side. This increases the computed accretion luminosities qualitatively in a similar manner as observed in the spectral evolution of Cyg X-3 for a moderate clumping volume filling factor and a compact star mass of a few (2–3) solar masses.

O. Vilhu↗
NASA NTRS2022

Could Road Constructions Be More Hazardous Than an Earthquake in Terms of Mass Movement?

Roads can have a significant impact on the frequency of mass wasting events in mountainous areas. However, characterizing the extent and pervasiveness of mass movements over time has rarely been documented due to limitations in available data sources to consistently map such events. We monitored the evolution of a road network and assessed its effect on mass movements for a 11-year window in Arhavi, Turkey. The main road construction projects run in the area are associated with a hydroelectric power plant as well as other road extension works and are clearly associated with the vast majority (90.1%) of mass movements in the area. We also notice that the overall number and size of the mass movements are much larger than in the naturally-occurring comparison area. This means that the sediment load originating from the anthropogenically induced mass movements is larger than its counterpart associated with naturally occurred landslides. Notably, this extra sediment load could cause river channel aggregation, reduce accommodation space and as a consequence, it could lead to an increase in the probability and severity of flooding along the river channel. This marks a strong and negative effect of human activities on the natural course of earth surface processes. We also compare frequency-area distributions of human-induced mass movements mapped in this study and co-seismic landslide inventories from the literature. By doing so, we aim to better understand the consequences of human effects on mass movements in a comparative manner. Our findings show that the damage generated by the road construction in terms of sediment loads to river channels is compatible with the possible effect of a theoretical earthquake with a magnitude greater than Mw=6.0.

Hakan Tanyas↗