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At least 1,261 records · Page 70
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

Dark radiation isocurvature from cosmological phase transitions

Abstract Cosmological first order phase transitions are typically associated with physics beyond the Standard Model, and thus of great theoretical and observational interest. Models of phase transitions where the energy is mostly converted to dark radiation can be constrained through limits on the dark radiation energy density (parameterized by ΔN eff ). However, the current constraint (ΔN eff < 0.3) assumes the perturbations are adiabatic. We point out that a broad class of non-thermal first order phase transitions that start during inflation but do not complete until after reheating leave a distinct imprint in the scalar field from bubble nucleation. Dark radiation inherits the perturbation from the scalar field when the phase transition completes, leading to large-scale isocurvature that would be observable in the CMB. We perform a detailed calculation of the isocurvature power spectrum and derive constraints on ΔN eff based on CMB+BAO data. For a reheating temperature ofT rh and a nucleation temperatureT * , the constraint is approximately ΔN eff ≲ 10 -5 (T * /T rh ) -4 , which can be much stronger than the adiabatic result. We also point out that since perturbations of dark radiation have a non-Gaussian origin, searches for non-Gaussianity in the CMB could place a stringent bound on ΔN eff as well.

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗
NASA NTRS2008

Performance of Versions 1,2 and 3 of the Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) Chemistry-Climate Model (CCM)

Version 1 of the Goddard Earth Observing System Chemistry-Climate Model (GEOS CCM) was used in the first CCMVa1 model evaluation and forms the basis for several studies of links between ozone and the circulation. That version of the CCM was based on the GEOS-4 GCM. Versions 2 and 3 of the GEOS CCM are based on the GEOS-5 GCM, which retains the "Lin-Rood" dynamical core but has a totally different set of physical parameterizatiOns to GEOS-4. In Version 2 of the GEOS CCM the Goddard stratospheric chemistry module is retained. Difference between Versions 1 and 2 thus reflect the physics changes of the underlying GCMs. Several comparisons between these two models are made, several of which reveal improvements in Version 2 (including a more realistic representation of the interannual variability of the Antarctic vortex). In Version 3 of the GEOS CCM, the stratospheric chemistry mechanism is replaced by the "GMI COMBO" code that includes tropospheric chemistry and different computational approaches. An advantage of this model version. is the reduction of high ozone biases that prevail at low chlorine loadings in Versions 1 and 2. This poster will compare and contrast various aspects of the three model versions that are relevant for understanding interactions between ozone and climate.

Pawson, Steven↗
NASA NTRS1973

Amplitude variations of whistler-mode signals caused by their interaction with energetic electrons of the magnetosphere

Whistler mode waves that propagate through the magnetosphere exchange energy with energetic electrons by wave-particle interaction mechanisms. Using linear theory, a detailed investigation is presented of the resulting amplitude variations of the wave as it propagates. Arbitrary wave frequency and direction of propagation are considered. A general class of electron distributions that are nonseparable in particle energy and pitch-angle is proposed. It is found that the proposed distribution model is consistent with available whistler and particle observations. This model yields insignificant amplitude variation over a large frequency band, a feature commonly observed in whistler data. This feature implies a certain equilibrium between waves and particles in the magnetosphere over a wide spread of particle energy, and is relevant to plasma injection experiments and to monitoring the distribution of energetic electrons in the magnetosphere.

Bernard, L. C.↗
NASA NTRS2017

The GEOS-5 Neural Network Retrieval (NNR) for AOD

One of the difficulties in data assimilation is the need for multi-sensor data merging that can account for temporal and spatial biases between satellite sensors. In the Goddard Earth Observing System Model Version 5 (GEOS-5) aerosol data assimilation system, a neural network retrieval (NNR) is used as a mapping between satellite observed top of the atmosphere (TOA) reflectance and AOD, which is the target variable that is assimilated in the model. By training observations of TOA reflectance from multiple sensors to map to a common AOD dataset (in this case AOD observed by the ground based Aerosol Robotic Network, AERONET), we are able to create a global, homogenous, satellite data record of AOD from MODIS observations on board the Terra and Aqua satellites. In this talk, I will present the implementation of and recent updates to the GEOS-5 NNR for MODIS collection 6 data.

Castellanos, Patricia↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

The GEOS Neural Network Retrieval (NNR) for Multi-spectral AOD

One of the difficulties in data assimilation is the need for multi-sensor data merging that can account for temporal and spatial biases between satellite sensors. In the Goddard Earth Observing System Model Version 5 (GEOS-5) aerosol data assimilation system, a neural network retrieval (NNR) is used as a mapping between satellite observed top of the atmosphere (TOA) reflectance and AOD, which is the target variable that is assimilated in the model. By training observations of TOA reflectance from multiple sensors to map to a common AOD dataset (in this case AOD observed by the ground based Aerosol Robotic Network, AERONET), we are able to create a global, homogenous, satellite data record of AOD from multiple sensors. In this presentation, I will present recent updates to the GEOS-5 NNR for estimation of spectral AOD from MODIS and VIIRS, and the potential for multi-channel AOD assimilation to provide constraints on aerosol composition.

GEOS↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

The GEOS Neural Network Retrieval (NNR) for Multi-spectral AOD

One of the difficulties in data assimilation is the need for multi-sensor data merging that can account for temporal and spatial biases between satellite sensors. In the Goddard Earth Observing System Model Version 5 (GEOS-5) aerosol data assimilation system, a neural network retrieval (NNR) is used as a mapping between satellite observed top of the atmosphere (TOA) reflectance and AOD, which is the target variable that is assimilated in the model. By training observations of TOA reflectance from multiple sensors to map to a common AOD dataset (in this case AOD observed by the ground based Aerosol Robotic Network, AERONET), we are able to create a global, homogenous, satellite data record of AOD from multiple sensors. In this presentation, I will present recent updates to the GEOS-5 NNR for estimation of spectral AOD from MODIS and VIIRS, and the potential for multi-channel AOD assimilation to provide constraints on aerosol composition.

Patricia Castellanos↗
DOE OSTI2023

Thermal acclimation of plant photosynthesis and autotrophic respiration in a northern peatland

Peatlands contain one-third of global soil carbon (C), but the responses of peatland ecosystems to long-term warming are not well understood. Here, we pursue an emergent understanding of warming effects on ecosystem C fluxes at peatlands by constraining a process-oriented model, the terrestrial ECOsystem model, with observational data from a long-term warming experiment at the Spruce and Peatland Responses Under Changing Environments site. Model-based assessments show that ecosystem-level photosynthesis and autotrophic respiration exhibited significant thermal acclimation, with temperature sensitivities being linearly decreased with warming. Using the thermal-acclimated parameter values, simulated gross primary production, net primary production, and plant autotrophic respiration (R a ), were all lower than those simulated with non-thermal acclimated parameter values. In contrast, ecosystem respiration simulated with thermal acclimated parameter values was higher than that simulated with non-thermal acclimated parameter values. Net ecosystem CO 2 exchange was much higher after constraining model parameters with observational data from the warming treatments, releasing C at a rate of 28.3 g C m -2 yr -1 °C -1 . Our data-model integration study suggests that peatlands are likely to release more C than previously estimated. Earth system models may overestimate C uptake by peatlands under warming if physiological thermal acclimation of plants is not incorporated. Thus, it is critical to consider the long-term physiological thermal acclimation of plants in the models to better predict global C dynamics under future climate and their feedback to climate change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

A Bayesian model for multivariate discrete data using spatial and expert information with application to inferring building attributes

When modeling sparsely observed multivariate data, strong prior information elicited from experts can be used to bolster predictive accuracy and counteract sampling bias. Similarly, modeling autocorrelation in space can help make use of co-occurrence patterns present in many types of spatial data. To make use of both expert prior information and spatial structure, we propose a novel graphical model for a spatial Bayesian network developed specifically to address challenges in inferring the attributes of buildings from geographically sparse observational data. This model is implemented as the sum of a spatial multivariate Gaussian random field and a tabular conditional probability function in real-valued space prior to projection onto the probability simplex. This modeling form is especially suitable for the usage of prior information in the form of sets of atomic rules obtained from experts. To perform inference with missing data, we implement a Markov chain Monte Carlo scheme composed of alternating steps of Gibbs sampling of missing entries and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo for model parameters. A case study in building attribution is presented to highlight the advantages and limitations of this approach.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Numerical analysis of a time discretized method for nonlinear filtering problem with Lévy process observations

Abstract In this paper, we consider a nonlinear filtering model with observations driven by correlated Wiener processes and point processes. We first derive a Zakai equation whose solution is an unnormalized probability density function of the filter solution. Then, we apply a splitting-up technique to decompose the Zakai equation into three stochastic differential equations, based on which we construct a splitting-up approximate solution and prove its half-order convergence. Furthermore, we apply a finite difference method to construct a time semi-discrete approximate solution to the splitting-up system and prove its half-order convergence to the exact solution of the Zakai equation. Finally, we present some numerical experiments to demonstrate the theoretical analysis.

Mathematics↗
DOE OSTI2022

Solid organic-coated ammonium sulfate particles at high relative humidity in the summertime Arctic atmosphere

The ability of atmospheric aerosols to impact climate through water uptake and cloud formation is fundamentally determined by the size, composition, and phase (liquid, semisolid, or solid) of individual particles. Particle phase is dependent on atmospheric conditions (relative humidity and temperature) and chemical composition and, importantly, solid particles can inhibit the uptake of water and other trace gases, even under humid conditions. Particles composed primarily of ammonium sulfate are presumed to be liquid at the relative humidities (67 to 98%) and temperatures (–2 to 4 °C) of the summertime Arctic. Under these atmospheric conditions, we report the observation of solid organic-coated ammonium sulfate particles representing 30% of particles, by number, in a key size range (<0.2 µm) for cloud activation within marine air masses from the Arctic Ocean at Utqiagvik, AK. The composition and size of the observed particles are consistent with recent Arctic modeling and observational results showing new particle formation and growth from dimethylsulfide oxidation to form sulfuric acid, reaction with ammonia, and condensation of marine biogenic sulfate and highly oxygenated organic molecules. Aqueous sulfate particles typically undergo efflorescence and solidify at relative humidities of less than 34%. Therefore, the observed solid phase is hypothesized to occur from contact efflorescence during collision of a newly formed Aitken mode sulfate particle with an organic-coated ammonium sulfate particle. With declining sea ice in the warming Arctic, this particle source is expected to increase with increasing open water and marine biogenic emissions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Soil Water Potentials (1990-2018) from a calibrated ELM-FATES, and rooting depth analyses scripts, PA-BCI, Panama

This dataset has ELM-FATES simulation outputs and scripts that accompany and reproduce the manuscript, Chitra-Tarak et al. (2021) Hydraulically-vulnerable trees survive on deep-water access during droughts in a tropical forest. New Phytologist. https: //doi.org/10.1111/nph.17464”. This dataset is organized into four parts: (1) source code for the model, Energy Exascale Earth System Land Model-Functionally Assembled Advanced Terrestrial simulator (ELM-FATES) (2) R scripts associated with ELM-FATES simulations: to prepare files for parameter ensemble simulation runs, calibrate the model with observed hydrological fluxes observed at BCI, re-run the model with tuned parameters and obtain long-term soil matric potentials by depth (3) ELM-FATES hydrological simulation outputs at PA-BCI, Panama (1990-2018, daily), and (4) R scripts for inverse rooting depth modeling and post-processing: prepare datasets and inversely model tree rooting depths at BCI, test hypotheses about the relationship of rooting depths with plant hydraulic traits and drought-induced mortality, and reproduce the manuscript itself. n.b. 1. Data needed to run R scripts in (2) and (4) and thus to reproduce the manuscript are sourced from various public datasets. Refer to the data availability section of the accompanying manuscript. 2. This dataset version (prepared on May 12, 2021) matches the revised and published version of the accompanying manuscript (published May 16, 2021) replacing a previous version. In the publication, this dataset is cited as follows: Chitra-Tarak R, Xu C, Aguilar S, Anderson-Teixeira K, Chambers J, Detto M, Faybishenko B, Fisher R, Knox R, Koven C et al. 2020. Soil water potentials (1990–2018) from a calibrated ELM-FATES, and rooting depth analyses scripts, PA-BCI, Panama. 2.0. NGEE Tropics Data Collection. doi: 10.15486/ngt/1696806

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Probabilistic Deliverability Assessment of Distributed Energy Resources via Scenario-Based AC Optimal Power Flow

As electric grids decarbonize and distributed energy resources (DERs) become increasingly prevalent, interconnection assessments must evolve to reflect operational variability and control flexibility. This paper highlights key modeling limitations observed in practice and reviews approaches for modeling uncertainty. It then introduces a Probabilistic Deliverability Assessment (PDA) framework designed to complement and extend existing procedures. The framework integrates scenario-based AC optimal power flow (AC OPF), corrective dispatch, and optional multi-temporal constraints. Together, these form a structured methodology for quantifying DER utilization, deliverability, and reliability under uncertainty in load, generation, and topology. Outputs include interpretable metrics with confidence intervals that inform siting decisions and evaluate compliance with reliability thresholds across sampled operating conditions. A case study on Puerto Rico’s publicly available bulk power system model demonstrates the framework’s application using minimal input data, consistent with current interconnection practice. Across staged fossil generation retirements, the PDA identifies high-value DER sites and regions requiring additional reactive power support. Results are presented through mean dispatch signals, reliability metrics, and geospatial visualizations, demonstrating how the framework provides transparent, data-driven siting recommendations. The framework’s modular design supports incremental adoption within existing workflows, encouraging broader use of AC OPF in interconnection and planning contexts.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
NASA NTRS1982

Single and multiple ionization of sulfur atoms by electron impact

In 1979 significant concentrations of singly and multiply charged sulfur ions were observed in the Io torus. Attempts to model these observations revealed a need for new fundamental cross section data. In response, laboratory measurements of the cross-sections for single, double, triple and quadruple ionization of sulfur atoms by electron impact are presented for collision energies from threshold to 500 eV.

Ziegler, D. L.↗
NASA NTRS1984

Analysis of head-down tilt as an analog of weightlessness using a methematical simulation model

Antiorthostasis or head down tilt of a moderate degree was used as a ground based analog of weightless space flight to study headward fluid shifts, decreased plasma volume, orthostatic intolerance and muscular skeletal degradation. A mathematical model was used to help interpret these observations. The model proved most valuable for these studies was originally developed as a description of the major circulatory, fluid and electrolyte control systems. Two different experimental studies are employed to validate the model. The first is a 24 hour head down tilt study and the second is a 7 day head down bed rest study. The major issues addressed include the reduction in plasma volume, the dynamic changes of venous pressure and cardiac output, the extent of central hypervolemia during long term zero g exposure, the existence of an early diuresis, the mechanisms which alter the renal regulating hormones during the short term and long term periods, the significance of potassium loss on other zero g responses, and the role of transcapillary filtration in adjusting fluid shifts. The use of mathematical models as an interpretive and analysis technique for experimental research for space life science is illustrated.

Leonard, J. I.↗
NASA NTRS1992

Event-driven simulation in SELMON: An overview of EDSE

EDSE (event-driven simulation engine), a model-based event-driven simulator implemented for SELMON, a tool for sensor selection and anomaly detection in real-time monitoring is described. The simulator is used in conjunction with a causal model to predict future behavior of the model from observed data. The behavior of the causal model is interpreted as equivalent to the behavior of the physical system being modeled. An overview of the functionality of the simulator and the model-based event-driven simulation paradigm on which it is based is provided. Included are high-level descriptions of the following key properties: event consumption and event creation, iterative simulation, synchronization and filtering of monitoring data from the physical system. Finally, how EDSE stands with respect to the relevant open issues of discrete-event and model-based simulation is discussed.

Rouquette, Nicolas F.↗
NASA NTRS1994

The high-state/low-state transition in V794 Aquilae

We present a V-magnitude light curve of the cataclysmic binary V794 Quilae covering an 800 day time span. The system shows variations of ups to 3 mag. In particular, there are two dips of approximately 1 mag which last for about 50 days, and are followed by a rapid recovery to the original brightness, and a third dip of approximately 3 mag lasting about 100 days. These fluctuations are thought to be caused by the response of the accretion disk in the system to the cessation of mass transfer from the mass-losing secondary star. We present computations using a time-dependent accretion disk code to delineate a range of allowed behavior for th accretion disk. To model the observed light curve, we require that the model parameters alpha(sub cold) and alpha(sub hot), which characterize the degree of coupling of the viscous dissipation to the orbital shear in the low and high states of the accretion disk, be smaller than they have been inferred to be in the dwarf novae, and that the ratio alpha(sub hot)/alpha(sub cold) also be smaller. The fact that alpha seems to vary with the rate of mass transfer may provide support for the model of Vishniac and Diamond, in which the impact of the mass transfer stream onto the outer edge of the accretion disk excites internal waves which transport angular momentum outward and provide the viscous dissipation.

Honeycutt, R. Kent↗
NASA NTRS1995

Durability and life prediction modeling in polyimide composites

Sudden appearance of cracks on a macroscopically smooth surface of brittle materials due to cooling or drying shrinkage is a phenomenon related to many engineering problems. Although conventional strength theories can be used to predict the necessary condition for crack appearance, they are unable to predict crack spacing and depth. On the other hand, fracture mechanics theory can only study the behavior of existing cracks. The theory of crack initiation can be summarized into three conditions, which is a combination of a strength criterion and laws of energy conservation, the average crack spacing and depth can thus be determined. The problem of crack initiation from the surface of an elastic half plane is solved and compares quite well with available experimental evidence. The theory of crack initiation is also applied to concrete pavements. The influence of cracking is modeled by the additional compliance according to Okamura's method. The theoretical prediction by this structural mechanics type of model correlates very well with the field observation. The model may serve as a theoretical foundation for future pavement joint design. The initiation of interactive cracks of quasi-brittle material is studied based on a theory of cohesive crack model. These cracks may grow simultaneously, or some of them may close during certain stages. The concept of crack unloading of cohesive crack model is proposed. The critical behavior (crack bifurcation, maximum loads) of the cohesive crack model are characterized by rate equations. The post-critical behavior of crack initiation is also studied.

Binienda, Wieslaw K.↗