DOE OSTI2017
In support of U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's on-line calculators for risk and dose assessment, a decay chain tool was developed to address the need to understand how radionuclide activity changes with time as the activity measured in the past will be different from current and future levels. When a radionuclide decays, its activity decreases exponentially as a function of time transforming into a different atom - a decay product. The atoms keep transforming to new decay products until they reach a stable state and are no longer radioactive. The series of decay products created to reach this balance is called the decay chain. For radionuclide chains, the daughter products can have significant implications in dosimetry and remediation. Thus, risk assessors evaluating sites with radioactive contamination need to plan for future progeny ingrowth, in addition to sampled radionuclides. These are important considerations for risk quantification during the characterization and cleanup plans, particularly when sampling may have occurred years before the remediation cleanup work begins. If a radionuclide half-life and current activity are known, then hand-calculating the future activity is straightforward. However, calculating the ingrowth of progeny quickly becomes cumbersome for longer chains such as the Thorium-232 decay series. For the more complex chains where many daughters are formed, possibly with multiple branches, this calculation involves solving a complex set of simultaneous differential equations known as the Bateman Equation. The Decay Chain Activity Projection Tool calculates the activity of radionuclides and their progeny as a function of time. This tool currently uses a combination of Perl, JavaScript, Plot.ly, and jQuery to automatically construct the radionuclide decay chains, solve the resulting Bateman Equation, and provide the user with tabular solution output and plots. Additional software may be used as development advances. The risk assessor can then use the data for exposure assessment and cleanup decisions without further costly sampling. The benefits of providing this calculator are to prevent overestimation of risk due to decay of the parent isotope and to avoid underestimation of risk due to ingrowth of progeny more toxic than the parent. Graphs are provided to show the simultaneous decay rates and ingrowth, as well as tabular output at time-point T and all the decay half-life intervals. (authors)
12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗