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At least 1,261 records · Page 70

Risk analysis of an RTG on the Space Shuttle

As part of the effort to review the Ulysses Final Safety Analysis Report and to understand the risk of plutonium release from the Ulysses spacecraft General Purpose Heat Source-Radioisotope Thermal Generator (GPHS-RTG), the Interagency Nuclear Safety Review Panel (INSRP) and the author performed an integrated, quantitative analysis of the uncertainties of the calculated risk of plutonium release from Ulysses. Using state-of-the-art probabilistic risk assessment technology, the uncertainty analysis accounted for both variability and uncertainty of the key parameters of the risk analysis. The results show tht INSRP had high confidence that risk of fatal cancers from potential plutonium release associated with calculated launch and deployment accident scenarios is low.

Frank, Michael V.↗

Bounds on intergalactic compact objects from observations of compact radio sources

The constraints that can be imposed on the cosmic density of uniformly distributed intergalactic compact objects in the mass range of 10 million to 1 billion solar masses, using VLBI observations of compact radio sources. A compact object at a sufficiently small angular separation from a compact radio source produces a deamplified and inverted secondary image. No such cases are known. Using published maps of compact radio sources and assuming an Einstein-de Sitter cosmology, a density parameter for mass in this range greater than 0.4 is excluded at the 99.7 percent confidence level. Observations using the VLBA should allow one to exclude or discover a density parameter greater than about 0.001 for compact objects in the mass range of 0.1-100 solar masses.

Kassiola, Aggeliki↗

The temperature of the cosmic microwave background radiation at 3.8 GHz - Results of a measurement from the South Pole site

As part of an international collaboration to measure the low-frequency spectrum of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) radiation, its temperature was measured at a frequency of 3.8 GHz, during the austral spring of 1989, obtaining a brightness temperature, T(CMB), of 2.64 +/-0.07 K (68 percent confidence level). The new result is in agreement with previous measurements at the same frequency obtained in 1986-88 from a very different site and has comparable error bars. Combining measurements from all years, T(CMB) = 2.64 +/-0.06 K is obtained.

De Amici, Giovanni↗

The use of remotely sensed surface temperature and a spectral vegetation index for evaluating heat fluxes over the Konza Prairie

The relationship between surface temperature T(s) and the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) is examined to determine whether it can be used to characterize latent heat fluxes (LEs). The regression of T(s) on NDVI is studied in the context of surface heat fluxes over the prairie with a limited data set for four flux-measurement sites. The 17 flux-measurement stations at the sites provided data that are consistently significant at the 99-percent confidence level for the regression of T(s) on NDVI. Variations in the regression slopes are found to correlate with variations in the ground heat flux but not with LE. Important components of the regression of T(s) on NDVI include fractional vegetation cover and surface-soil moisture conditions. The relationship is important for determining the relative contributions of the soil and vegetation components of an area's total evaporative flux.

Hope, A. S.↗

High speed rotorcraft - Comparison of leading concepts and technology needs

Design studies have recently been completed by Bell, Boeing, McDonnell Douglas and Sikorsky with the goal of identifying technology needs of high speed rotorcraft concepts. The general study guidelines were for 450-kt cruise speeds and low downwash characteristics. These concepts included the the folding tiltrotor, the high speed tiltrotor, the variable diameter tiltrotor, a tip-drive stopped rotor and the tilt wing. The studies have also identified technology needs of these concepts with the objective of defining a systematic program of technology development to increase confidence in the subsystems and components and achieving a low-risk design capability in the year 2000. Each contractor has reported independently on his efforts. This paper is a survey of the contractor efforts taken together, with regard to concepts, selection methods, technical issues (common and critical technologies), technology benefits and the technology plan recommendations.

Talbot, Peter D.↗

Search for TeV gamma-ray emission from Hercules X-1

Six years of observations of Hercules X-1 with the Whipple Observatory gamma-ray telescope have been subjected to a Fourier analysis to search for emission at the 0.8079 Hz neutron star frequency. Evidence for a signal is found at the 99.5 percent confidence level for data taken with the medium-resolution imaging camera with some indications of emission at frequencies blueshifted from the fundamental frequency. However, analysis of the high-resolution camera data base have failed to substantiate this effect. Selection of events on the basis of gamma-ray-like image parameters did not enhance the signal from the medium-resolution data nor produce any indication of a signal from the high-resolution data. The overall conclusion is that no statistically significant evidence for TeV gamma-ray emission was found in the Whipple Observatory data base when the 6 years of data are taken as a whole.

Reynolds, P. T.↗

A Markov model reduction technique for fault tolerant processor reliability analysis

A fault tolerant processor (FTP) plays a key role in many high performance, safety-critical control system applications. Realistic modeling of an FTP is crucial to gaining a high degree of confidence in the reliability and safety analysis of such a system. While fidelity is clearly a major consideration, a practical model must also be kept to a moderate size to allow its incorporation into the overall system model. This paper presents a systematic reduction technique that starts from a complex, detailed model of a triple, redundant FTP and produces a low order approximation of very high accuracy. The existence of two distinct time scales represents the key to the success of the technique. No eigenvalue solution or coordinate transformation are needed. The reduced model captures all the important features of the detailed model, is amenable to an analytical solution and provides insight into the reconfiguration behavior of an FTP.

Schor, Andrei L.↗

Induced gravity Mars transportation systems configuration and hardware penalties

The need for an induced gravity environment in-transit to Mars is assessed based on current knowledge. Two possible alternatives to constant in-transit spinning, periodic spinning and Mars surface reconditioning are discussed and compared. Four propulsion options: cryogenic/aerobraking, solid core nuclear thermal, solar electric and nuclear electric are evaluated for concept adaptability to induced gravity, and salient differences from their microgravity counterparts are assessed. Configurations to the systems level are presented and accompanied by mass estimates. Hardware subsystems required for induced gravity vehicles, such as tether crawlers, tether reels, high-power roll-ring assemblies, etc., have been defined to a sufficient level of detail to confidently determine mass penalties. Results of this study show the mass penalties and complexity involved in producing an induced gravity environment.

Capps, Stephen↗

Galactic oscillations

Long-lived oscillations that act like normal modes are described. The total kinetic energy is found to vary with time by amounts far in excess of the fluctuations expected from the virial theorem, and the variation shows periodic patterns that suggest oscillations. Experimental results indicate that oscillation amplitudes depend on the nature of the model. It is noted that it is difficult to answer questions about likely amplitudes in real galaxies with any confidence at the present time.

Miller, R. H.↗

NASA sea ice validation program for the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program special sensor microwave imager

Attention is given to the prime objective of the NASA validation program, namely, to establish quantitative relationships between the sea ice parameters derived from the special sensor microwave imager (SSM/I) using an algorithm originally developed for the Nimbus 7 SMMR. The underlying philosophy of the validation program is that confidence in the SSM/I algorithm products is achieved not so much by detailed comparison with localized surface observations as by consistency with independent spatially and temporally coincident data sets. The results of the satellite and aircraft comparisons that serve as the basis for the validation of the NASA SSMI/I sea ice algorithm are presented. High-resolution radiometer and C-band SAR imagery from the March 1988 NASA and Navy SSM/I underflights are used to verify the location of the ice edge and to validate the sea ice concentrations as determined by the SSM/I algorithm. These studies are argued to provide the most comprehensive measure to date of the accuracy of sea ice products derived from a spaceborne multichannel microwave imager.

Cavalieri, Donald J.↗

Using VAPEPS for noise control on Space Station Freedom

Noise environmental control is an important design consideration for Space Station Freedom (SSF), both for crew safety and productivity. Acoustic noise requirements are established to eliminate fatigue and potential hearing loss by crew members from long-term exposure and to facilitate speech communication. VAPEPS (VibroAcoustic Payload Environment Prediction System) is currently being applied to SSF for prediction of the on-orbit noise and vibration environments induced in the 50 to 10,000 Hz frequency range. Various sources such as fans, pumps, centrifuges, exercise equipment, and other mechanical devices are used in the analysis. The predictions will be used in design tradeoff studies and to provide confidence that requirements will be met. Preliminary predictions show that the required levels will be exceeded unless substantial noise control measures are incorporated in the SSF design. Predicted levels for an SSF design without acoustic control treatments exceed requirements by 25 dB in some one-third octave frequency bands.

Badilla, Gloria↗

Review and statistical analysis of the use of ultrasonic velocity for estimating the porosity fraction in polycrystalline materials

A review and statistical analysis of the ultrasonic velocity method for estimating the porosity fraction in polycrystalline materials is presented. Initially, a semiempirical model is developed showing the origin of the linear relationship between ultrasonic velocity and porosity fraction. Then, from a compilation of data produced by many researchers, scatter plots of velocity versus percent porosity data are shown for Al2O3, MgO, porcelain-based ceramics, PZT, SiC, Si3N4, steel, tungsten, UO2,(U0.30Pu0.70)C, and YBa2Cu3O(7-x). Linear regression analysis produces predicted slope, intercept, correlation coefficient, level of significance, and confidence interval statistics for the data. Velocity values predicted from regression analysis of fully-dense materials are in good agreement with those calculated from elastic properties.

Roth, D. J.↗

Sensor placement for diagnosability in space-borne systems - A model-based reasoning approach

This paper presents an approach to evaluating sensor placements on the basis of how well they are able to discriminate between a given fault and normal operating modes and/or other fault modes. In this approach, a model of the system in both normal operations and fault modes is used to evaluate possible sensor placements upon the basis of three criteria. Discriminability measures how much of a divergence in expected sensor readings the two system modes can be expected to produce. Accuracy measures confidence in the particular model predictions. Timeliness measures how long after the fault occurrence the expected divergence will take place. These three metrics then can be used to form a recommendation for a sensor placement. This paper describes how these measures can be computed and illustrated these methods with a brief example.

Chien, Steve↗

EMU processing - A myth dispelled

The refurbishment-and-checkout 'processing' activities entailed by the Space Shuttle Extravehicular Mobility Units (EMUs) are currently significantly more modest, at 1050 man-hours, than when Space Shuttle services began (involving about 4000 man-hours). This great improvement in hardware efficiency is due to the design or modification of test rigs for simplification of procedures, as well as those procedures' standardization, in conjunction with an increase in hardware confidence which has allowed the extension of inspection, service, and testing intervals. Recent simplification of the hardware-processing sequence could reduce EMU processing requirements to 600 man-hours in the near future.

Peacock, Paul R.↗

Coronal X rays from single, magnetic white dwarfs - A search and probable detection

X-ray emission from a sample of five nearby (6-20 pc), strongly magnetic (10-200 MG), relatively cool (6000-14,000 K), single white dwarfs, two of which may possess coronae was explored. One star (GR 290) at better than 99-percent confidence is detected and upper limits from Einstein Observatory IPC data for four others are given. The detected luminosities and limits are in the range 1.4-12.5 x 10 exp 27 ergs/s.

Arnaud, Keith A.↗

A sensitive method for measuring atmospheric concentrations of sulfur dioxide

A new method for measuring tropospheric sulfur dioxide concentrations is proposed which is based on the mist chamber sampling method. At the present stage of development, the detection limit of the method is approximately 20 parts per trillion for a 45-min sampling time, with lower concentrations detectable with lower precision. The overall reproducibility of the method (+/-95 percent confidence intervals) is estimated at +/-10 percent. The technique is relatively simple, inexpensive, and lightweight, making it ideally suited for numerous field applications in atmospheric chemistry and biogeochemical studies from both ground-based and airborne platforms.

Klemm, O.↗

The Einstein Slew Survey

A catalog of 819 sources detected in the Einstein IPC Slew Survey of the X-ray sky is presented; 313 of the sources were not previously known as X-ray sources. Typical count rates are 0.1 IPC count/s, roughly equivalent to a flux of 3 x 10 exp -12 ergs/sq cm s. The sources have positional uncertainties of 1.2 arcmin (90 percent confidence) radius, based on a subset of 452 sources identified with previously known pointlike X-ray sources (i.e., extent less than 3 arcmin). Identifications based on a number of existing catalogs of X-ray and optical objects are proposed for 637 of the sources, 78 percent of the survey (within a 3-arcmin error radius) including 133 identifications of new X-ray sources. A public identification data base for the Slew Survey sources will be maintained at CfA, and contributions to this data base are invited.

Elvis, Martin↗

Surface knowledge and risks to landing and roving - The scale problem

The role of surface information in the performance of surface exploration missions is discussed. Accurate surface models based on direct measurements or inference are considered to be an important component in mission risk management. These models can be obtained using high resolution orbital photography or a combination of laser profiling, thermal inertia measurements, and/or radar. It is concluded that strategies for Martian exploration should use high confidence models to achieve maximum performance and low risk.

Bourke, Roger D.↗