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LONGITUDINAL-PHASE-SPACE MANIPULATION FOR EFFICIENT BEAM-DRIVEN STRUCTURE WAKEFIELD ACCELERATION∗

Collinear beam-driven structure wakefield acceleration (SWFA) is an advanced acceleration technique that could support the compact generation of high-energy beams for future multi-user x-ray free-electron-laser facilities [1]. Producing an ideal shaped drive beam through phase space manipulation is crucial for an efficient SWFA. Controlling the final longitudinal-phase space of the drive beam necessitate staged beam manipulations during acceleration. This paper describes the preliminary design of an accelerator beamline capable of producing drive beam with tailored current distribution and longitudinal-phase-space correlation. The proposed design is based on simple analytical models combined in a 1-D longitudinal beam-dynamics simulation tracking program supporting forward and backward (time reversal) tracking.

wakefield↗

Effect of Y{sub 2}O{sub 3} Addition on the Microstructure, Wear Resistance, and Corrosion Behavior of W-4.9Ni-2.1Fe Heavy Alloy

Binding and particle phases are the two important parameters influencing materials properties. In this study, a series of novel W-4.9Ni-2.1Fe-xY{sub 2}O{sub 3} (in weight%) alloys with different Y{sub 2}O{sub 3} contents are prepared by secondary ball milling and spark plasma sintering (SPS) techniques to obtain uniformly distributed γ-(Ni, Fe) binding phases and finer grains. The microstructure, mechanical, wear resistance, and corrosion behavior of the sintered bodies with different Y{sub 2}O{sub 3} were obtained by x-ray diffraction, scanning electron microscopy, Rockwell hardness tester, friction wear tester, and three-dimensional profile instruments. The results showed that a certain addition of Y{sub 2}O{sub 3} led to refined grains and uniformed microstructures; but, if excessive, a weak grain refinement would be appeared. Moreover, the grain size tends to be stable with enhancing of the Y{sub 2}O{sub 3} content. Considering properties such as density, hardness, compression yield strength, grain size, and uniform distribution of tungsten hard phase and γ-(Ni, Fe) binding phase, the comprehensive optimal amount of 0.7 wt.% of Y{sub 2}O{sub 3} was attained for the alloy. Meanwhile, the SPS sintered body also exhibited the best friction, wear behavior, and corrosion resistance in 3.5% of NaCl solution.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Spatial distributions of X CO 2 seasonal cycle amplitude and phase over northern high-latitude regions

Satellite-based observations of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) provide measurements in remote regions, such as the biologically sensitive but undersampled northern high latitudes, and are progressing toward true global data coverage. Recent improvements in satellite retrievals of total column-averaged dry air mole fractions of CO 2 (X CO 2 ) from the NASA Orbiting Carbon Observatory 2 (OCO-2) have allowed for unprecedented data coverage of northern high-latitude regions, while maintaining acceptable accuracy and consistency relative to ground-based observations, and finally providing sufficient data in spring and autumn for analysis of satellite-observed X CO 2 seasonal cycles across a majority of terrestrial northern high-latitude regions. Here, we present an analysis of X CO 2 seasonal cycles calculated from OCO-2 data for temperate, boreal, and tundra regions, subdivided into 5° latitude by 20° longitude zones. We quantify the seasonal cycle amplitudes (SCAs) and the annual half drawdown day (HDD). OCO-2 SCAs are in good agreement with ground-based observations at five high-latitude sites, and OCO-2 SCAs show very close agreement with SCAs calculated for model estimates of X CO 2 from the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Services (CAMS) global inversion-optimized greenhouse gas flux model v19r1 and the CarbonTracker2019 model (CT2019B). Model estimates of X CO 2 from the GEOS-Chem CO 2 simulation version 12.7.2 with underlying biospheric fluxes from CarbonTracker2019 (GC-CT2019) yield SCAs of larger magnitude and spread over a larger range than those from CAMS, CT2019B, or OCO-2; however, GC-CT2019 SCAs still exhibit a very similar spatial distribution across northern high-latitude regions to that from CAMS, CT2019B, and OCO-2. Zones in the Asian boreal forest were found to have exceptionally large SCA and early HDD, and both OCO-2 data and model estimates yield a distinct longitudinal gradient of increasing SCA from west to east across the Eurasian continent. In northern high-latitude regions, spanning latitudes from 47 to 72° N, longitudinal gradients in both SCA and HDD are at least as pronounced as latitudinal gradients, suggesting a role for global atmospheric transport patterns in defining spatial distributions of X CO2 seasonality across these regions. GEOS-Chem surface contact tracers show that the largest X CO 2 SCAs occur in areas with the greatest contact with land surfaces, integrated over 15–30d. The correlation of X CO 2 SCA with these land surface contact tracers is stronger than the correlation of X CO 2 SCA with the SCA of CO 2 fluxes or the total annual CO 2 flux within each 5° latitude by 20° longitude zone. This indicates that accumulation of terrestrial CO 2 flux during atmospheric transport is a major driver of regional variations in X CO 2 SCA.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Solar flare impulsive phase emission observed with SDO/EVE

Differential emission measures (DEMs) during the impulsive phase of solar flares were constructed using observations from the EUV Variability Experiment (EVE) and the Markov-Chain Monte Carlo method. Emission lines from ions formed over the temperature range log T{sub e} = 5.8-7.2 allow the evolution of the DEM to be studied over a wide temperature range at 10 s cadence. The technique was applied to several M- and X-class flares, where impulsive phase EUV emission is observable in the disk-integrated EVE spectra from emission lines formed up to 3-4 MK and we use spatially unresolved EVE observations to infer the thermal structure of the emitting region. For the nine events studied, the DEMs exhibited a two-component distribution during the impulsive phase, a low-temperature component with peak temperature of 1-2 MK, and a broad high-temperature component from 7 to 30 MK. A bimodal high-temperature component is also found for several events, with peaks at 8 and 25 MK during the impulsive phase. The origin of the emission was verified using Atmospheric Imaging Assembly images to be the flare ribbons and footpoints, indicating that the constructed DEMs represent the spatially average thermal structure of the chromospheric flare emission during the impulsive phase.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Grassmann phase space theory and the Jaynes–Cummings model

The Jaynes–Cummings model of a two-level atom in a single mode cavity is of fundamental importance both in quantum optics and in quantum physics generally, involving the interaction of two simple quantum systems—one fermionic system (the TLA), the other bosonic (the cavity mode). Depending on the initial conditions a variety of interesting effects occur, ranging from ongoing oscillations of the atomic population difference at the Rabi frequency when the atom is excited and the cavity is in an n-photon Fock state, to collapses and revivals of these oscillations starting with the atom unexcited and the cavity mode in a coherent state. The observation of revivals for Rydberg atoms in a high-Q microwave cavity is key experimental evidence for quantisation of the EM field. Theoretical treatments of the Jaynes–Cummings model based on expanding the state vector in terms of products of atomic and n-photon states and deriving coupled equations for the amplitudes are a well-known and simple method for determining the effects. In quantum optics however, the behaviour of the bosonic quantum EM field is often treated using phase space methods, where the bosonic mode annihilation and creation operators are represented by c-number phase space variables, with the density operator represented by a distribution function of these variables. Fokker–Planck equations for the distribution function are obtained, and either used directly to determine quantities of experimental interest or used to develop c-number Langevin equations for stochastic versions of the phase space variables from which experimental quantities are obtained as stochastic averages. Phase space methods have also been developed to include atomic systems, with the atomic spin operators being represented by c-number phase space variables, and distribution functions involving these variables and those for any bosonic modes being shown to satisfy Fokker–Planck equations from which c-number Langevin equations are often developed. However, atomic spin operators satisfy the standard angular momentum commutation rules rather than the commutation rules for bosonic annihilation and creation operators, and are in fact second order combinations of fermionic annihilation and creation operators. Though phase space methods in which the fermionic operators are represented directly by c-number phase space variables have not been successful, the anti-commutation rules for these operators suggest the possibility of using Grassmann variables—which have similar anti-commutation properties. However, in spite of the seminal work by Cahill and Glauber and a few applications, the use of phase space methods in quantum optics to treat fermionic systems by representing fermionic annihilation and creation operators directly by Grassmann phase space variables is rather rare. This paper shows that phase space methods using a positive P type distribution function involving both c-number variables (for the cavity mode) and Grassmann variables (for the TLA) can be used to treat the Jaynes–Cummings model. Although it is a Grassmann function, the distribution function is equivalent to six c-number functions of the two bosonic variables. Experimental quantities are given as bosonic phase space integrals involving the six functions. A Fokker–Planck equation involving both left and right Grassmann differentiations can be obtained for the distribution function, and is equivalent to six coupled equations for the six c-number functions. The approach used involves choosing the canonical form of the (non-unique) positive P distribution function, in which the correspondence rules for the bosonic operators are non-standard and hence the Fokker–Planck equation is also unusual. Initial conditions, such as those above for initially uncorrelated states, are discussed and used to determine the initial distribution function. Transformations to new bosonic variables rotating at the cavity frequency enable the six coupled equations for the new c-number functions–that are also equivalent to the canonical Grassmann distribution function–to be solved analytically, based on an ansatz from an earlier paper by Stenholm. It is then shown that the distribution function is exactly the same as that determined from the well-known solution based on coupled amplitude equations. In quantum–atom optics theories for many atom bosonic and fermionic systems are needed. With large atom numbers, treatments must often take into account many quantum modes—especially for fermions. Generalisations of phase space distribution functions of phase space variables for a few modes to phase space distribution functionals of field functions (which represent the field operators, c-number fields for bosons, Grassmann fields for fermions) are now being developed for large systems. For the fermionic case, the treatment of the simple two mode problem represented by the Jaynes–Cummings model is a useful test case for the future development of phase space Grassmann distribution functional methods for fermionic applications in quantum–atom optics. -- Highlights: •Novel phase space theory of the Jaynes–Cummings model using Grassmann variables. •Fokker–Planck equations solved analytically. •Results agree with the standard quantum optics treatment. •Grassmann phase space theory applicable to fermion many-body problems.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Cluster Dynamics Simulations of Intra-Granular Fission Gas Bubble Size and Pressure Evolution in UO 2

Fission gases such as xenon (Xe) play a critical role in determining the behavior and response of nuclear fuel. Given that Xe has little solubility in UO 2 , it accumulates and forms bubbles, which significantly impact fuel performance. Intra- and inter-granular bubble nucleation and growth can lead to fuel swelling, and once bubbles interconnect at grain boundaries, fission gas can be released into the plenum. At low temperatures, limited uranium vacancy mobility can restrict swelling, therefore causing the bubbles to become highly pressurized. Consequently, this can induce micro-cracking, promote fission gas release (increasing the likelihood of cladding failure), and even lead to fuel pulverization under accident conditions such as a loss of coolant accident. As bubble evolution is strongly influenced by local temperature and fission rate, markedly different behavior occurs across the radial profile of the fuel pellet. Capturing the mechanisms that underpin bubble evolution is therefore important to predict these behaviors in the fuel. Previous models describing important mechanisms informed by lower length scale simulations have been developed under the NEAMS program. These can describe the evolution of a single bubble type (i.e., single value for radius and pressure) at each position in the pellet, for instance using the Centipede cluster dynamic code. However, in reality, a full distribution in bubble sizes and pressures exists within the microstructure at a given position in the pellet. To address this the cluster dynamics code Xolotl, which can predict Xe and vacancy phase space (i.e., bubble distributions) for intra-granular bubbles, has been used before. Prior work benchmarked the Xolotl code against the Centipede cluster dynamics code to ensure compatibility and to verify that mobile defect properties are adequately transferred between the two codes, along with some physics improvements. In this work, we go further by introducing a physics-based set of improvements that will allow us to accurately predict bubble size distributions and internal bubble pressures under representative UO 2 irradiation conditions. The improvements include (i) coupling bubble-defect reaction energies to a virial equation of state (EOS), (ii) including a bubble surface tension contribution, (iii) incorporating radiation-induced re-solution of Xe and vacancies, (iv) enabling pressure-driven dislocation loop punching through an effective emission of interstitial clusters informed by interstitial loop energetics, (v) accounting for radiation induced athermal diffusion of Xe, and (vi) implementing a Booth-type grain boundary sink representation for all mobile defects and defect clusters. After these modifications, we observe good agreement of Xolotl fission gas bubble size and concentration predictions with legacy experimental measurements. Additionally, it allows the distribution of Xe bubble pressures and radius to also be predicted and compared to data produced through the Advanced Fuels Campaign (AFC) program. Here, we have done this by running simulations under conditions similar to the AFC post-irradiation examination (PIE) samples irradiated at North Anna 2 light water reactor (LWR). Our results shows excellent agreement with these experimental measurements.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Search for a Signature of Interaction between Relativistic Jet and Progenitor in Gamma-Ray Bursts

The time variability of prompt emission in gamma-ray bursts (GRBs) is expected to originate from the temporal behavior of the central engine activity and the jet propagation in the massive stellar envelope. Using a pulse search algorithm for bright GRBs, we investigate the time variability of gamma-ray light curves to search a signature of the interaction between the jet and the inner structure of the progenitor. Since this signature might appear in the earlier phase of prompt emission, we divide the light curves into the initial phase and the late phase by referring to the trigger time and the burst duration of each GRB. We also adopt this algorithm for GRBs associated with supernovae/hypernovae that certainly are accompanied by massive stars. However, there is no difference between each pulse interval distribution described by a lognorma distribution in the two phases. We confirm that this result can be explained by the photospheric emission model if the energy injection of the central engine is not steady or completely periodic but episodic and described by the lognormal distribution with a mean of ∼1 s.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Microstructural characterization of as-fabricated monolithic plates with boron carbide, aluminum boride, and zirconium boride burnable absorbers

The use of burnable absorbers can be beneficial for nuclear reactors by extending the fuel’s operational cycle, providing additional criticality control, and flattening the power profile. In this work, three burnable absorber materials (boron carbide, aluminum boride, and zirconium boride) embedded in aluminum have been fabricated into foils and clad in AA-6061 for potential use in high performance research reactors. The as-fabricated boron-containing phases were determined using transmission electron microscopy to be AlB2, B4C, and ZrB2. TEM also revealed weak bonding at the B4C-matrix interface. SEM showed a relatively uniform spatial distribution of boron-containing phases for all the candidate materials. Higher porosity was observed in the foil containing ZrB2 in its as-rolled condition. The porosity in the ZrB2 foil was reduced by hot isostatic pressing. The size and shape distributions of the boron-containing phases were analyzed on the criteria of cross-sectional area, perimeter, roundness, circularity, and aspect ratio. A method of converting the 2D burnable absorber dispersoids seen in cross-sectional microscopy images into 3D volumes was derived using both spherical and ellipsoidal geometry models. The difference in calculated burnable absorber dispersoid average volume between the two models ranges from 20% to 100%, which could impact burnable absorber burnout rates due to differences in neutron self-shielding.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Understanding solidification of near eutectic alloy using Cellular Automata (CA)

The solidification microstructure of an alloy strongly influences the mechanical properties. Dendritic and eutectic solidification are two important pathways of alloy solidification. The formation of phases, and their size and distribution depend on which pathway to take. In contrast to the Scheil model that has been widely used in describing the solidification pathways of alloys manufactured from conventional casting approach, more sophisticated solidification models are required to describe the state-of-the art manufacturing processes, such as additive manufacturing where distinctly different phase morphology, size and distribution than conventional casting can form, due to the vast difference in cooling conditions. Therefore, this work is to develop a computational Cellular Automata framework which includes the modeling of nucleation and growth of dendritic and eutectic solidification, as well as their competition as a function of alloy composition, undercooling and cooling rate. Further, after individual solidification models were validated against analytical solutions, the models were then combined to predict the competition between dendritic and eutectic solidification in alloys with off-eutectic compositions. This work predicts increased cooling rates suppress the dendritic solidification and promote eutectic solidification. Although quantitative validation is needed, this finding is consistent with qualitative observation in literature.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Derivation of heterogeneous material distributions and their sensitivity to HM-coupled two-phase flow models exemplified with the LASGIT experiment

Abstract Advective gas transport in bentonite, a possible buffer material in repositories for radioactive materials, is difficult to simulate in numerical continuum models, partly due to the complicated microstructure of bentonite. To generate reliable models of repositories nevertheless, spatially distributed heterogeneous material properties can be used to allow localization of gas flow. In this study, a pore-size-dependent stochastic approach of the gas entry pressure is derived from Mercury Intrusion Porosimetry, which is used to replicate measurements from the LASGIT experiment. In addition, three benchmark tests are simulated to investigate the dependence of heterogeneous distributions of material properties on the mesh discretization, the temporal dependence, and the coupling between the processes influenced by the heterogeneous parameters. The numerical modeling results of the LASGIT experiment show that the onset of gas flow into the system and the subsequent increase in pressure and stress can be well reproduced using heterogeneous distributions. Compared to a model with homogeneous material properties, heterogeneous distributions may allow the generation of dilatancy-controlled microfractures—an important feature with regard to the advective gas flow in bentonites. However, it can be observed that the heterogeneous distributions in LASGIT are less significant, as technical gaps or differences in material types could have a greater impact.

Environmental Sciences & Ecology↗

Effects of temperature on the atomic structure of synthetic calcium–silicate–deuterate gels: A neutron pair distribution function investigation

Due to the nanocrystallinity of the calcium–silicate–hydrate (C–S–H) gel in ordinary Portland cement-based paste combined with the presence of nanoscale heterogeneities such as varying calcium-to-silicon ratios and incorporation of aluminum in the structure, standard characterization techniques fail to fully capture the complex atomic structure and nanoscale morphology of this important binder phase. Here, neutron pair distribution function (PDF) analysis is applied to a range of deuterated C–S–H gels with varying Ca/Si ratios (denoted C–S–D). In situ temperature measurements reveal that the local atomic bonding environments in C–S–D gel undergo large structural rearrangements due to exposure to elevated temperature (above ~ 200 °C), including the collapse of the C–S–D gel interlayer spacing to 9.6 Å and the emergence of a disordered dicalcium silicate phase (similar to larnite). At lower elevated temperatures, the atom–atom correlations are dominated by scattering from deuterium atoms and therefore can be used to quantify the dehydration kinetics.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

An experimental study of phosphate reduction and phosphorus-bearing lunar metal particles

Results are reported for two sets of experiments conducted to investigate the distribution and origin of phosphorus in lunar metal particles. The first set measured the equilibrium oxygen fugacity as a function of temperature for synthesized Fe-Ni and Fe-Ni-P alloys; the second set imposed various oxygen pressures so that the P distribution among the coexisting phases could be observed. The conditions of temperature, oxygen fugacity, and time necessary to produce P contents similar to those found in lunar metal particles are determined. The results show that: (1) the P distribution in lunar-type metal is controlled by oxygen fugacity, temperature, and bulk composition; (2) the P distribution is limited by the reaction rate at the metal surface and by the amount of phosphate in contact with the metal; (3) the nucleation and growth rate of phosphate controls the rate of P loss during oxidation; and (4) an oxygen fugacity of 10 to the -20th power atm at 950 C is required to saturate iron with P. It is concluded that a reducing species such as carbon may establish a local equilibrium and prevent oxygen communication with the surrounding rock.

Friel, J. J.↗

Detection of the hot white dwarf in the magnetic nova V1500 Cygni with the Hubble Space Telescope

A comprehensive investigation of the AM Herculis-like nova system V1500 Cyg is presented, featuring time-resolved spectrophotometry with the Faint Object Spectrograph (FOS) of the Hubble Space Telescope (HST), coeval optical circular spectropolarimetry and spectrophotometry, and new broadband polarimetry. A revised ephemeris for the rotating white dwarf refines our knowledge of the timescale for synchronization with the orbital period -- and for becoming a bona fide AM Herculis system -- to 170 +/- 8 yrs. Three features of the orbital-phase-dependent spectral energy distribution are keys for understanding the relative contributions of several radiation sources in this system: (1) the brightness and shape of the ultraviolet continuum, which rises abruptly at short wavelengths and shows no significant phase dependence for lambda less than 2200 A, (2) the greater than or equal to 1 mag variations in the optical continuum and emission-line fluxes, and (3) a spectral slope in the optical which is reddest when brightest. These data lead us to conclude that the hot, postnova white dwarf is the dominant source of ultraviolet flux and of the unusually large bolometric luminosity of the system, compared with typical active AM Herculis binaries. The flat mid-ultraviolet spectrum requires a radiation component in addition to the white dwarf photosphere. We consider three possible origins: (1) cyclotron emission, (2) relatively broad, optically thick accretion columns with lumps of dense gas, and/or (3) orbiting debris in a disklike geometry. Observational tests are suggested to distinguish among these alternatives.

Schmidt, Gary D.↗

Nonlinear Dynamics and Nucleation Kinetics in Near-Critical Liquids

The objective of our study is to model the nonlinear behavior of a near-critical liquid following a rapid change of the temperature and/or other thermodynamic parameters (pressure, external electric or gravitational field). The thermodynamic critical point is manifested by large, strongly correlated fluctuations of the order parameter (particle density in liquid-gas systems, concentration in binary solutions) in the critical range of scales. The largest critical length scale is the correlation radius r(sub c). According to the scaling theory, r(sub c) increases as r(sub c) = r(sub 0)epsilon(exp -alpha) when the nondimensional distance epsilon = (T - T(sub c))/T(sub c) to the critical point decreases. The normal gravity alters the nature of correlated long-range fluctuations when one reaches epsilon approximately equal to 10(exp -5), and correspondingly the relaxation time, tau(r(sub c)), is approximately equal to 10(exp -3) seconds; this time is short when compared to the typical experimental time. Close to the critical point, a rapid, relatively small temperature change may perturb the thermodynamic equilibrium on many scales. The critical fluctuations have a hierarchical structure, and the relaxation involves many length and time scales. Above the critical point, in the one-phase region, we consider the relaxation of the liquid following a sudden temperature change that simultaneously violates the equilibrium on many scales. Below T(sub c), a non-equilibrium state may include a distribution of small scale phase droplets; we consider the relaxation of such a droplet following a temperature change that has made the phase of the matrix stable.

Patashinski, Alexander Z.↗

Charge Separation at the Evaporation (Condensation) Front of Water and Ice. Charging of Spherical Droplets

Charge separation at evaporation (condensation) front of water and ice is analyzed. Relatively low distribution coefficient of protons and hydroxide ions between vapor and condensed phase that is less than the distribution coefficient of water molecules leads to accumulation of protons and hydroxide ions at the phase front upon evaporation and a decrease in the amount of such species upon condensation. Interphase charge separation is caused by the subsequent diffusion of nonequilibrium protons and hydroxide ions. The charge separation is also affected by the double electric layer generated by orientation defects at the water and ice surfaces. Dependences of electric field at a plane surface of water and ice on the rate of phase transformation are calculated. Electric charges of spherical water droplets are estimated at different field strengths and droplet radii.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Hierarchical Mixture of Experts for Advanced Air Mobility Flight Phase Classification

Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) and Urban Air Mobility (UAM) operations will have numerous vehicles and aircraft flying in the airspace, which poses safety and security concerns. Commercial airlines utilize Air Traffic Management (ATM) and Air Traffic Control (ATC) for real-time monitoring, surveillance, traffic coordination, and rerouting to maintain safe and efficient flight patterns. Transferring ATM and ATC architectures to AAM/UAM will be challenging to implement since AAM/UAM aircraft fly at lower altitudes, have more static and dynamic obstacles, operate in highly dense environments, and have several more aircraft to monitor for a given volume of the national airspace (NAS). Aircraft typically have the following flight phases: takeoff, climb, cruise, descent, and landing. Classifying these flight phases provides insight into ensuring safe operations, providing situational awareness of the NAS, and monitoring flights in emergencies. Automatic flight phase classification will enhance the efficiencies of ATM/ATC-like architectures for AAM/UAM, especially since numerous aircraft will be flying in highly dense urban environments. Typical flight phase classification methods are all-or-nothing, which will not capture or accurately classify the transitions between flight phases. Utilizing hierarchical mixture of experts (HME) provides a flight phase classification solution that includes transitions between the flight phases by assigning weights based on ground-based distributed sensor readings from cameras and radar. Adding the transitions between flight phases increases the fidelity of flight phase classification and provides deeper insight into flight phase classification by leveraging distributed sensing concepts. Simulation results and post-processed flight test results demonstrate the utility of HME for automatic and robust flight phase classification for real-time AAM operations.

distributed sensing↗

Toward the Probabilistic Forecasting of High-latitude GPS Phase Scintillation

The phase scintillation index was obtained from L1 GPS data collected with the Canadian High Arctic Ionospheric Network (CHAIN) during years of extended solar minimum 2008-2010. Phase scintillation occurs predominantly on the dayside in the cusp and in the nightside auroral oval. We set forth a probabilistic forecast method of phase scintillation in the cusp based on the arrival time of either solar wind corotating interaction regions (CIRs) or interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs). CIRs on the leading edge of high-speed streams (HSS) from coronal holes are known to cause recurrent geomagnetic and ionospheric disturbances that can be forecast one or several solar rotations in advance. Superposed epoch analysis of phase scintillation occurrence showed a sharp increase in scintillation occurrence just after the arrival of high-speed solar wind and a peak associated with weak to moderate CMEs during the solar minimum. Cumulative probability distribution functions for the phase scintillation occurrence in the cusp are obtained from statistical data for days before and after CIR and ICME arrivals. The probability curves are also specified for low and high (below and above median) values of various solar wind plasma parameters. The initial results are used to demonstrate a forecasting technique on two example periods of CIRs and ICMEs.

scintillation↗