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At least 1,261 records · Page 70

Mapping Process Model Results to Fracture Model Initial Conditions for Adhesive Bonding

A systematic approach is proposed for mapping adhesive bonding process outcomes to initial conditions for progressive damage analysis (PDA). Herein, two mapping procedures are developed: 1) direct mapping for residual stresses, strains, and deformations obtained from a process model; and 2) functional mapping for quantities such as bondline thickness, degree of cure, and porosity that are assumed to have a functional relationship with fracture toughness but are not discretely modeled in the PDA. The spatial distribution of functionally mapped quantities may be determined by process modeling or inspection. The functional maps between the quantity of interest and fracture toughness may be obtained from independent lower-scale numerical simulations or empirical test campaigns. The proposed mapping procedure links the adhesive bonding process to the structural performance. Therefore, by accounting for the effects of bondline nonuniformities in structural analysis, analytical predictive accuracy can be improved, and off-nominal conditions can be evaluated. The mapping procedures are demonstrated and verified with example problems.

Andrew C Bergan↗

Mapping Process Model Results to Fracture Model Initial Conditions for Adhesive Bonding

A systematic approach is proposed for mapping adhesive bonding process outcomes to initial conditions for progressive damage analysis (PDA). Herein, two mapping procedures are developed: 1) direct mapping for residual stresses, strains, and deformations obtained from a process model; and 2) functional mapping for quantities such as bondline thickness, degree of cure, and porosity that are assumed to have a functional relationship with fracture toughness but are not discretely modeled in the PDA. The spatial distribution of functionally mapped quantities may be determined by process modeling or inspection. The functional maps between the quantity of interest and fracture toughness may be obtained from independent lower-scale numerical simulations or empirical test campaigns. The proposed mapping procedure links the adhesive bonding process to the structural performance. Therefore, by accounting for the effects of bondline nonuniformities in structural analysis, analytical predictive accuracy can be improved, and off-nominal conditions can be evaluated. The mapping procedures are demonstrated and verified with example problems.

Andrew Bergan↗

Integration of the Cardiovascular Clinical Risk Prediction Model Astro-CHARM Into the NASA Radiation Risk Model

Space radiation poses an increased risk for cardiovascular diseases (CVD) during and after spaceflight, that should be quantified to plan future space missions such as the flight to Mars. The radiation-induced CVD risk is evaluated using a linear no-threshold dose response excess relative risk (ERR) model, so that the risk is function of the radiation dose and of the background (i.e., non-exposed) incidence rate. The background CVD risk can be evaluated using clinical prediction models (CPMs). The first CPMs developed in the 1960’s have identified CVD risk factors such as blood pressure, diabetes, cholesterol, and smoking. In this work, the steps used to integrate the CVD risk provided by a CPM into the NASA Radiation Risk Model are described. Simulation results calculated using available data for relevant mission scenarios are also shown, and the challenges in CVD risk predictions are discussed.

I Plante↗

Integration of the Cardiovascular Risk Model Astro-CHARM in the NASA Radiation Risk Model

Space radiation poses an increased risk for cardiovascular diseases (CVD) during and after spaceflight, that should be quantified to plan future space missions such as the flight to Mars. The radiation-induced CVD risk is evaluated using a linear no-threshold dose response excess relative risk (ERR) model, so that the risk is function of the radiation dose and of the background (i.e., non-exposed) incidence rate. The background CVD risk can be evaluated using clinical prediction models (CPMs). The first CPMs developed in the 1960’s have identified CVD risk factors such as blood pressure, diabetes, cholesterol, and smoking. In this work, the steps used to integrate the CVD risk provided by a CPM into the NASA Radiation Risk Model are described. Simulation results calculated using available data for relevant mission scenarios are also shown, and the challenges in CVD risk predictions are discussed.

Space radiation↗

Dust Model Sensitivity to Dust Source Mask, Sandblasting Efficiency, Air Density, and Land Use: Implications for Model Improvement

This study compares dust storm simulations using two commonly adopted methods for representing four important dust emission parameters. Compared to a dynamic dust source mask based on land use and vegetation cover, a static mask based solely on land use overestimates dust concentration and optical depth by a factor of 2, besides generating spurious emissions. The results reinforce that seasonal variations in vegetation cover can significantly affect dust emissions. For sandblasting efficiency, a clay-dependent semiempirical expression produces 10 times more dust than a physics-based expression. Simulations using model-predicted versus a fixed constant for air density differ by only 8%. However, this difference could range between 12 and 22% for annual simulations over global dust source regions. Simulations with updated versus old land use data, using the same dust source mask, differ twofold, indicating the significant impact of land use change on regional dust emission in central Arizona. The differences in the pairs of these simulations are generally larger than the uncertainty due to meteorology. The simulations align better with observation when using the dynamic dust source mask, the physics-based sandblasting efficiency, and the up-to-date land use data. Given the high sensitivity of dust to surface conditions, the results discussed have implications for improving the dust cycle in weather and climate models and for interpreting model intercomparisons.

Dust-emission source↗

Dynamic Model Agnostic Reliability Evaluation of Machine-Learning Models Integrated in Instrumentation & Control Systems

In recent years, the field of machine learning (ML), specifically neural networks, has grown significantly and has spurred research in its applicability to digital instrumentation and control systems (DI&C). While ML models have shown promise in operational contexts, the trustworthiness of using such algorithms has not been adequately assessed. Failures of ML integrated systems are not well understood, and the lack of comprehensive risk modeling can degrade the trustworthiness in these systems. In recent reports by the National Institute for Standards and Technology (NIST) [1] and the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) [2], they indicate that trustworthiness in ML is a critical barrier and will play a vital role in the safe, accountable, and secure operation of intelligent systems. Thus, in this work, we demonstrate a dynamic model-agnostic method to quantify the relative reliability of AI/ML predictions by incorporating out-of-distribution (OOD) detection on the training dataset. It is well documented that most ML algorithms excel at interpolation (or near-interpolation) tasks but experience significant performance degradation at extrapolation. The method, referenced as the Laplacian distributed decay for reliability (LADDR), determines the difference between the operational and training datasets which can used to the relative reliability of AI/ML predictions. LADDR is then demonstrated on a feedforward neural network based digital twin used for the prediction of safety significant factors during a loss-of-flow transient. LADDR is used to demonstrate how training data can be used as evidence to support the relative reliability of ML/AI predictions enhancing the overall trustworthiness of the system.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Modeling the use of mobile modular gas samplers in near-field detection

The Wireless Independent Noble Gas Sampler (WINGS) is a mobile, modular gas sampling system designed for use in low infrastructure environments. In the case of a suspected underground nuclear explosion (UNE), WINGS units could be deployed to detect noble gases emanating from the suspected explosion site or identify gases originating from another source entering the local area from offsite. In conclusion, this work uses the atmospheric transport modeling tool inline WRF-HYSPLIT to test the effectiveness of WINGS units around a suspected UNE site as a function of sampler density and distance from the emission point of gases from a UNE.

Air sampling↗

Cryo-based Structural Characterization and Growth Model of Salt Film on Metal

Metal salt films play a critical role in high rate dissolution processes such as within an active pit. However, structural and compositional characterization of salt films is challenging owing to the dynamic nature of the dissolving interface. Here, the salt film formed on SS304 one-dimensional artificial pit surface was directly characterized using flash freezing and cryo-based focused ion beam/scanning electron microscopy. The salt film exhibits a porous structure. Ni is co-located with Fe in the salt film, indicating the formation of co-precipitated salt containing Fe2+ and Ni2+. Additionally, a salt film growth model is presented based on ion transport.

Salt film, Pitting corrosion, Cryogenic, Cryo-FIB/↗

Styrene Thermal Decomposition and Its Reaction with Acetylene under Shock Tube Pyrolysis Conditions: an Experimental and Kinetic Modeling Study

Styrene is an important compound for polymer production and a key intermediate in gas-phase kinetics of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs). For the first time, the pyrolysis of styrene with and without the presence of acetylene is investigated in a single-pulse shock tube coupled to gas chromatography and mass spectrometry. For each reaction system, quantitative speciation profiles are probed within the temperature range of 1100-1730 K, nominal pressure of 20 bar, and reaction duration of similar to 4 ms. A kinetic model is built to simulate the results. The model explains how styrene is consumed under high-pressure pyrolytic conditions, how the secondary chemistry of intermediate products affect subsequent PAH formation, and how acetylene addition alters the reaction pathways. Throughout the temperature range, styrene breakdown is dominated by the bimolecular interaction between styrene and hydrogen atom, which produces benzene+vinyl or phenyl and ethylene through the stabilization of 2-phenylethyl and its subsequent dissociation. As a result, large amounts of phenyl accumulate, which react with styrene to form C14H12 species while simultaneously releasing H atoms through addition/elimination reactions. The reactivity of fuel consumption is preserved by the regeneration of H atoms as chain carriers. Several C14H10 compounds are formed as a result of the following breakdown of the C14H12 isomers, particularly stilbene, 1,1-diphenyl ethylene, and 9-methyl-9H-fluorene. The presence of acetylene as a co-reactant with styrene allows the Hydrogen-Abstraction-Acetylene-Addition (HACA) pathway to proceed from phenyl radical to enhance the production of phenylacetylene at very low temperatures and acenaphthylene. This hinders the formation of C14H12 isomers, exclusive products from pure styrene dissociation by competing with the styrene+phenyl routes.

Kinetic Modeling↗

Wildfire-Power Grid Interactions: Feedback, Impacts, Monitoring, Modeling, and Mitigation Strategies

Wildfires are increasingly interacting with electric power systems through a two-way hazard chain: fires damage grid assets and trigger cascading outages, while grid faults can ignite new fires under hot, dry, and windy conditions. This review synthesizes the state of knowledge across five domains: (i) physical impacts of flames, heat, and smoke on lines, towers, insulators, and substations; (ii) power-infrastructure-initiated ignitions via conductor clash, high-impedance faults, and corona discharge; (iii) widespread blackouts and disproportionate societal impacts; (iv) multi-scale monitoring spanning laboratory tests, in-situ and grid-integrated sensors, and Earth observation; (v) coupled modeling that links fire behavior with grid operations; and (vi) technological and strategic mitigation pathways spanning prevention, response, and recovery. We integrate these domains into a novel 'feedback-aware' socio-technical framework. Through a longitudinal analysis (2005-2025) of global incidents, we identify that while vegetation contact remains the most frequent ignition source, aging infrastructure failure has emerged as a critical driver of catastrophic 'mega-fires'. We further identify persistent gaps, including limited interoperability of high-frequency grid and environmental data, scarce real-time data assimilation, and under-developed equity metrics for outage management. We conclude by outlining a research agenda to (1) deploy interoperable sensing architectures, (2) advance feedback-coupled fire-grid simulations, and (3) evaluate mitigation portfolios through techno-economic and fairness lenses. Recognizing wildfire-grid interactions as coupled socio-technical systems is essential for protecting infrastructure and communities and for ensuring reliable, sustainable electricity in a changing world.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

NMR Database of Lignin and Cell Wall Model Compounds

This database was designed to provide a coherent, single source of NMR data of lignin and other plant cell wall model compounds. The database exists as an Adobe pdf cross-platform file for viewing and printing. This is the latest public version of the Database, version 2024/08 updated from the 2009 version.

cell wall↗

Greenhouse Gas Life Cycle Emissions Assessment Model (GLEAM) Model Documentation

The Greenhouse gas Life cycle Emissions Assessment Model (GLEAM) estimates life cycle greenhouse gas emissions from future scenarios of electricity generation considering a wide range of generation technologies. Building on the National Laboratory of the Rockies longstanding effort to quantify life cycle emissions by electricity generation technology under the LCA Harmonization Project, GLEAM streamlines the process of estimating cumulative greenhouse gas emissions on a life cycle basis. Given a set of inputs regarding annual installed and decommissioned generation capacity, as well as generation, GLEAM estimates the carbon dioxide equivalent emissions by year. The model also offers optional modules to decompose carbon dioxide equivalent emissions into constituent greenhouse gases (e.g., carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide) as well as estimate hydrogen leakage from relevant technologies. The results from GLEAM can be used to inform future electricity planning scenarios as well as investment or regulatory decisions.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Design Basis Model for Hosting Small Modular Reactors

An aggressive transition from fossil fuels to other types of energy implies the need to construct a large number of nuclear power plants in the near future. However, the real and perceived risks of nuclear energy remain a significant impediment to this transition. This paper describes a comprehensive work process that combines the rigor of model-based systems engineering (MBSE) with 1) the Idaho National Laboratory's (INL) decades of experience with small reactors and with 2) modern project delivery processes. The objective is to reduce the risk of building new facilities or converting existing facilities to nuclear power generation.

42 ENGINEERING↗

A two-fluid single-column model of turbulent shallow convection. Part II: Single-column model formulation and numerics

The two-fluid single-column model of Thuburn et al. (Quart. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 2019, 145, 1535–1550) is extended to include moisture and horizontal wind shear. Turbulent kinetic energy is introduced as a prognostic variable, dependence on a diagnosed boundary-layer height is removed, and subfilter fluxes are approximated using a two-fluid version of a Mellor–Yamada scheme. Three mechanisms for entrainment and detrainment processes are introduced, which represent entrainment of unstable air at the surface, forced detrainment of air at the top of the boundary/cloud layers, and turbulent mixing that relaxes the convective fluid to a reference profile. A semi-implicit Eulerian discretization replaces the semi-implicit semi-Lagrangian implementation of Thuburn et al. (Quart. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 2019, 145, 1535–1550) to improve numerical stability and conservation. The equations for the implicit time step are solved using a quasi-Newton method, which is shown to perform well in numerical tests for conservation and convergence. The two-fluid single-column model presented in this article will be applied to simulations of shallow cumulus convection in Part III.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Modeling the AC Power Flow Equations with Optimally Compact Neural Networks: Application to Unit Commitment

Nonlinear power flow constraints render a variety of power system optimization problems computationally intractable. Emerging research shows, however, that the nonlinear AC power flow equations can be successfully modeled using neural networks. These neural networks can be exactly transformed into mixed integer linear programs and embedded inside challenging optimization problems, thus replacing nonlinearities that are intractable for many applications with tractable piecewise linear approximations. Such approaches, though, suffer from an explosion of the number of binary variables needed to represent the neural network. Accordingly, this paper develops a technique for training an "optimally compact'' neural network, i.e., one that can represent the power flow equations with a sufficiently high degree of accuracy while still maintaining a tractable number of binary variables. We demonstrate the use of this neural network as an approximator of the nonlinear power flow equations by embedding it in the AC unit commitment problem, transforming the problem from a mixed integer nonlinear program into a more manageable mixed integer linear program. We use the 14-, 57-, and 89-bus networks as test cases and compare the AC-feasibility of commitment decisions resulting from the neural network, DC, and linearized power flow approximations. Our results show that the neural network model outperforms both the DC and linearized power flow approximations when embedded in the unit commitment problem. The neural network formulation most often selects a feasible unit commitment schedule, and furthermore, it only s

AC power flow↗