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DOE OSTI2021

DAKOTA (Design Analysis Kit for Optimization and Terascale) v.6.16

Sandia's Dakota software supports science and engineering transformation through advanced exploration of simulations. Specifically, Dakota manages and analyzes ensembles of simulations to provide broader and deeper perspective for analysts and decision makers. This enables them to: (1) enhance understanding of risk, (2) improve products, and (3) assess simulation credibility. In its simplest mode, Dakota can automate typical parameter variation studies through a generic interface to a computational model. Dakota also delivers advanced parametric analysis techniques enabling design exploration, optimization, model calibration, risk analysis, and quantification of margins and uncertainty with such models. It directly supports verification and validation activities. The algorithms implemented in Dakota aim to address challenges in performing these analyses with complex science and engineering models from desktop to high performance computers. Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-NA0003525 SAND2021-10468 O

Adams, BrianM.↗

DOE OSTI2023

Sensor and Actuator Attacks on Hierarchical Control Systems with Domain-Aware Operator Theory

Cyber-Physical Systems (CPSs) provide opportunities for cyber attacks to have physical impacts. Advanced Persistent Threats (APTs) are a subclass of cyber threats that act stealthily to avoid detection and enable long-term attacks. Here, we build on our past work in APT modelling to combine deception-based sensor bias attacks and direct actuator manipulations in attacks against a hierarchical control system. That past work used the Koopman operator to develop a data-driven, domain-aware, optimization-based attacker model. Using an expansion of this model, we compute several different attacks, including multiple simultaneous attacks, against a high-fidelity commercial building emulator and compare the impacts of those attacks to each other. One next step of interest is to construct a defender system, built on the same modelling approach, designed to detect and mitigate such attacks.

koopman operator, Cyber-Physical Security, machine↗

DOE OSTI2020

Modeling batch melting: Roles of heat transfer and reaction kinetics

Development of mathematical models of heat and mass transfer in glass-melting furnaces began in the 1970s and progressed rapidly with advances in sophisticated experimental/numerical techniques and increasing computational power. Today, practically all newly built or rebuilt furnaces are optimized with these models to meet stringent quality requirements, reduce the unit costs of manufacturing, or control emissions. One remaining hurdle is to model the batch-to-glass conversion accurately enough to reliably assess the glass production rate. This article summarizes two key aspects of the batch-conversion modeling—the heat transfer and the kinetics of conversion—and reviews the current state-of-the-art approaches to simulating them. We critically examine the advantages of the commonly used heat transfer approach, but also explain that its predictive capabilities are significantly restricted by the dependence of batch thermal properties on the time-temperature history. We argue that kinetic approaches to the batch-conversion modeling would offer a significant improvement when coupled with the heat transfer approach. Finally, we summarize key areas requiring further research on the way toward a realistic model of the batch blanket.

Pokorny, Richard↗

DOE OSTI2023

Diffusion Probabilistic Modeling for Video Generation

Denoising diffusion probabilistic models are a promising new class of generative models that mark a milestone in high-quality image generation. This paper showcases their ability to sequentially generate video, surpassing prior methods in perceptual and probabilistic forecasting metrics. We propose an autoregressive, end-to-end optimized video diffusion model inspired by recent advances in neural video compression. The model successively generates future frames by correcting a deterministic next-frame prediction using a stochastic residual generated by an inverse diffusion process. We compare this approach against six baselines on four datasets involving natural and simulation-based videos. We find significant improvements in terms of perceptual quality and probabilistic frame forecasting ability for all datasets.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2023

Multiobjective Hyperparameter Optimization for Deep Learning Interatomic Potential Training Using NSGA-II

Deep neural network (DNN) potentials are an emerging tool for simulation of dynamical atomistic systems, with the promise of quantum mechanical accuracy at speedups of 10000$\times$. As with other DNN methods, hyperparameters used during training can make a substantial difference in model accuracy, and optimal settings vary with dataset. To enable rapid tuning of hyperparameters for DNN potential training, we developed a scalable multiobjective optimization evolutionary algorithm for supercomputers and tested it on the Summit system at the Oak Ridge Leadership Computing Facility (OLCF). The multiobjective approach is required due to the coupling of two learned values defining the potential: the energy and force. Using a large-scale implementation of the NSGA-II algorithm adapted for training DNN potentials, we discovered several optimal multiobjective combinations, including best choices of activation functions, learning rate scaling scheme, and pairing of the two radial cutoffs used in the three dimensional descriptor function.

Coletti, Mark↗

DOE OSTI2026

Optimized Tandem Catalyst Patterning for CO 2 Reduction Flow Reactors

Tandem catalysis involves two or more catalysts arranged in proximity within a single reaction vessel, with the aim of synergistically aligning the catalysts’ reaction pathways to maximize overall system performance. This study presents a proof of concept showing the integration of continuum transport modeling with design optimization in a simplified two-dimensional flow reactor setup for electrochemical CO 2 reduction. Ag catalysts provide the CO 2 ⟶ CO reaction capability, and Cu catalysts provide the CO ⟶ high-value products reaction capability. Given a set of input parameters, the optimization algorithm uses adjoint methods to modify the Ag/Cu surface patterning in order to maximize the current density toward high-value products, such as ethylene. The optimized designs yield significant performance enhancement especially at more negative applied voltages (i.e., stronger surface reactions) and for larger numbers of patterning sections. For an applied voltage of −1.7 V vs. SHE, the 12-section optimized design increases the current density toward ethylene by up to 65% compared to the unoptimized 2-section design. For the optimized cases, observed differences in the production and consumption of CO (the key intermediate species) and minimized zones of low CO reactant surface concentration on Cu sections explain the improved reactor performance.

CO2 reduction↗

DOE OSTI2023

A dynamic model of wind turbine yaw for active farm control

This paper presents a graph-based dynamic yaw model to predict the dynamic response of the hub-height velocities and the power of a wind farm to a change in yaw. The model builds on previous work where the turbines define the nodes of the graph and the edges represent the interactions between turbines. Advances associated with the dynamic yaw model include a novel analytical description of the deformation of wind turbine wakes under yaw to represent the velocity deficits and a more accurate representation of the interturbine travel time of wakes. The accuracy of the model is improved by coupling it with time- and space-dependent estimates of the wind farm inflow based on real-time data from the wind farm. The model is validated both statically and dynamically using large-eddy simulations. An application of the model is presented that incorporates the model into an optimal control loop to control the farm power output.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2020

Chromatographic Modeling of 1-Foot Detritiation Test Column Results for the Optimization of Regeneration Time

This report documents the methods and results of a modeling study on a series of data generated by 1-foot test columns for the Water Detritiation project. In order to compliment modeling work already in progress on this project, a purely empirical curve-fitting approach is used in this study to determine chromatographic performance indicators such as retention time, curve width, and the number of chromatographic stages. The data used in this study comes from four sets of chromatographic test separations performed in March through May of 2017 using 1-foot columns. All are using the same flow rates and temperature (room temperature, nominally 25 C°). The first set of data (referred to in this report as the Column 1 data) is a series of twelve breakthrough curve measurements. Prior to each of these twelve runs, the column was regenerated by flowing hydrogen gas through the column, for increasing amounts of time, ranging from 2 hours to 25 hours. The second set of data (referred to as the Column 2 data) is comprised of five measurements of breakthrough curves measured in similar fashion as the Column 1 data, across a range of regeneration times from 2 to 21 hours. The third set of data (referred to as the Purge data) is of three breakthrough curves, measured after a regeneration time of 8 hours, which takes place after a nitrogen purge of 15, 30, or 45 minutes. The fourth data set is a series of five breakthrough curve measurements using a 2 nd batch of stationary phase, taken after regeneration times ranging from 2 to 20 hours. The overall modeling approach is as follows. First, the data is pre-processed for formatting, artifact removal, and is normalized. The data is then fit by integrated versions of four common chromatographic models. The best model is chosen based on the predictive performance of the model, and chromatographic performance values are calculated based on the best model’s fit parameters. Each of these processes are detailed below.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2026

A data-driven approach to real-time vertical position estimation for NSTX-U vertical stability control

In this paper, a database of 77 996 plasma equilibrium reconstructions from 727 discharges during the initial operation of the NSTX-U spherical tokamak is analyzed to develop a statistically robust model of the plasma vertical position for real-time control. A variety of regression models are developed and tested, ranging in complexity from linear models to deep neural networks, and including input signals ranging from the four pairs of flux loops used historically on NSTX-U up to the full set of 389 real-time signals available to the plasma control system. A linear model based on 140 real-time magnetics signals is found to offer excellent accuracy, with a coefficient of determination R 2 = 0.906. The robustness of this model to limited training data, new operating scenarios, and signal errors is tested, and a procedure is demonstrated to tune the model parameters to optimize its robustness. A time-dependent plasma equilibrium solver, TokaMaker, is used to simulate vertical stability control in NSTX-U, demonstrating that it should be possible to iteratively tune the parameters of a linear vertical position model to stabilize both positive and negative triangularity plasmas in future experiments.

magnetic diagnostics↗

DOE OSTI2021

PHOENIX Electrostatic Design

PHOENIX (Portable, High-efficiency, Optimal ENergy Imaging X-rays) is a quasi-DC, electrostatic, vacuum-diode designed as a portable x-ray source with national defense and commercial applications. The patent-pending PHOENIX concept combines a megavoltage, Cockroft-Walton voltage multiplier with a Van de-Graaff electrostatic charge-storage dome to create a vacuum-diode suitable for x-ray production. Naturally this structure must minimize internal electric fields to reduce electrical breakdown while simultaneously reducing size and weight to enhance portability. In this paper we describe the optimization process and model results obtained using the COMSOL multi-physics code. We describe three models: a prototype model built to demonstrate the PHOENIX concept as part of Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) Mission Foundation Research (MFR) Phase-I , a “back-of-the-envelope” design used as a starting point for further COMSOL optimization, and finally, the optimized geometry implemented in the MFR Phase-II. In all cases compromises resulting from cost, schedule, and manufacturing constraints were taken into account as the design progressed.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2026

Superstructure Optimization for Brine Valorization from Brackish Water Desalination

This poster presents preliminary results from a superstructure optimization framework developed to identify cost-optimal brine valorization configurations for brackish water desalination plants across diverse U.S. regional feed chemistries. The study uses brackish groundwater compositions from Arizona, California, Florida, New Mexico, and Texas. Using Pyomo Generalized Disjunctive Programming (GDP) within the WaterTAP modeling environment, the optimization framework simultaneously evaluates thousands of candidate treatment configurations, spanning nanofiltration, reverse osmosis, and chemical precipitation, to minimize the levelized cost of water (LCOW) while meeting water recovery targets and product recovery constraints. Results across eight representative feed clusters demonstrate water recovery rates of 57–87% and net LCOW values ranging from -$0.032/m³ (net revenue-positive) to $0.80/m. Notably, no single process configuration was optimal across all feed types, underscoring the necessity of feed-specific optimization. Products targeted include calcium carbonate (CaCO₃) at $0.01/kg and sodium chloride (NaCl) at $0.10/kg, both at 95% purity, with product revenues offsetting treatment costs in several scenarios. The work advances NAWI's process systems engineering capabilities for multi-configuration screening.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Human-automated vehicle interactions

This dissertation is proposed to answer the question: how can the interactions between human and automated vehicles be used to improve the overall performance of automated driving technology? Multiple different modules in automated vehicles such as the perception, motion plan and motion control modules can potentially be benefitted from human-automated vehicle interactions. For perception module, the self-correction of faulty sensors can be achieved using human demonstration data. For motion plan and motion control modules, the performance of the low-level motion controller can be improved with the help of human demonstration, and the behavior of the motion planner can be improved using human intervention data during automated driving. Moreover, a better model for a human driver could improve the overall efficiency and comfort of vehicles in connected mixed traffic. In this dissertation, the technical research toward these goals has been completed and has resulted in several peer-reviewed publications. Optimization methods and model predictive control are used extensively to improve energy efficiency while maintaining safe and comfort driving. An inverse model predictive control (IMPC) method has been developed and it has been proven to be effective in modeling the motion of human driven vehicles. The proposed method has demonstrated its benefits in both connected automated highway driving and the bilateral adaptation of human driver and automated driving controller in human-in-the loop simulations. The proposed future research seeks to broaden the application of IMPC by considering a more comprehensive cost function design and applying it to more complex driving situations.

Guo, Longxiang↗

DOE OSTI2021

HUMAN-AUTOMATED VEHICLE INTERACTIONS

Guo, Longxiang↗

DOE OSTI2026

Surrogate modeling of Monte Carlo radiation transport with convolutional neural networks for shielding optimization

Here, we present a machine learning (ML)-based surrogate model using convolutional neural networks (CNN) designed to emulate the attenuation of neutron fields as they pass through various shielding materials. This model can compute the outgoing neutron flux almost instantaneously and achieves reasonable accuracy compared to traditional Monte Carlo (MC)-based codes, which are computationally intensive. This emulator alleviates the complexity of neutron radiation transport through shielding materials by reducing the dimensionality and enables shielding optimization for a known radiation environment. This optimization process, which would have taken an unrealistic timeline due to several complex radiation transport simulations, can now be achieved in minutes, thus increasing computational capabilities in radiation shielding assessment. We demonstrate the applications of this emulator in computing effective dose rates and optimizing shielding solutions for a heavy-ion accelerator facility, such as the Facility for Rare Isotope Beams, where secondary neutrons produced via beam interactions dominate the radiation environment.

accelerator shielding↗

DOE OSTI2022

When physics-informed data analytics outperforms black-box machine learning: A case study in thickness control for additive manufacturing

Aerosol jet printing (AJP) has emerged as a promising noncontact additive manufacturing method for high-resolution printing for a wide range of material systems. A key challenge limiting the broader adoption of AJP in the material science community is the lack of methods to precisely control thickness. Herein, we develop a model-based design of experiment (MBDoE) framework that integrates physics-informed models, nonlinear regression, and information criteria to postulate, select and calibrate the best model to describe and optimize the AJP manufacturing process. Starting with already available data from system commissioning (e.g., prior single variable sensitivity analysis), four candidate physics-informed models are postulated and trained. MBDoE identifies a single additional optimal experiment to validate these predictive models with quantified uncertainties, which are then used to determine the best experimental conditions to control printed film thickness. As a comparative benchmark, the analysis is repeated using the same dataset with nonparametric Gaussian process regression (GPR) model that does not incorporate physical information. Using MBDoE principles, we find that only five experiments are necessary to calibrate the nonlinear physics-informed parametric model, and with said limited data, this model outperforms the black-box machine learning GPR model. This key result underscores an emerging trend in the data science community: incorporating physical information into predictive models often drastically reduces the data requirements. Leveraging MBDoE further increased the data efficiency. By design, the proposed data science framework is general in nature and can be easily extended to other experimental and additive manufacturing systems beyond AJP.

Aerosol jet printing↗

DOE OSTI2023

Proxy quality control of biomass particles using thermogravimetric analysis and Gaussian process regression models

Abstract The temperature experienced by reactants during preparation in a reactor is a key component in determining the yield and homogeneity of usable chemical products such as biomass particles. Thermocouples with sensors can be used to monitor spatial temperature gradients within reactors but these sensors are often too expensive and/or invasive. The present work proposes a strategy to identify optimal machine learning models to infer the maximum effective temperature experienced by particles during oxidative biomass torrefaction using key thermochemical combustion parameters. The maximum rate of weight loss, the corresponding temperature, and fixed carbon content on a dry‐ash‐free basis are used as literature‐based predictor variables obtained from thermogravimetric analysis. The evaluation of 24 machine‐learning models using the standard tenfold cross‐validation method suggests that the exponential Gaussian process regression (GPR) model is the most effective, followed by other GPR models. These high‐performing GPR models were also utilized to predict the effective preparation temperature distribution of reactor‐produced biomass particles under eight conditions of varying residence time and air‐to‐biomass ratio. The effective preparation temperature and residence time of individual biomass particles were then encoded into the torrefaction severity factor and used to estimate the energy yield of the reactor output as a novel quality control method. © 2023 The Authors. Biofuels, Bioproducts and Biorefining published by Society of Industrial Chemistry and John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Anisotropic power diagrams for polycrystal modelling: Efficient generation of curved grains via optimal transport

Not Available

Buze, M. (ORCID:000000018617974X)↗

DOE OSTI2022

Numerical modeling based machine learning approach for the optimization of falling - film evaporator in thermal desalination application

Scale formation that drastically increases thermal resistance and reduces freshwater production remains a critical challenge in thermal desalination. Novel designs of falling film evaporator and optimal operating condition hold great promise to mitigate scale formation, and increase heat transfer performance and fresh water production. In this work, CFD simulation based machine learning and multi-objective optimization are performed to identify optimal conditions and tube arrangement for evaporator. Non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm is adopted to determine and analyze the optimal pareto front for multiple objectives in desalination criteria. The errors of training, validation, and testing set are computed to identify an optimal hyperparameter set. For performance ratio, fouling resistance, and water production rate, the average relative error is 2.26%, 3.67%, and 3.24%. At pareto front, both performance ratio and water production rate increase at high temperature with fouling resistance (thermal resistance of the fouling layer) increasing as well. Tradeoffs between mitigating scale formation and enhancing desalination performance are evaluated in optimizations for different objectives. Finally, potential optima are identified and can be applied as guidelines to determine evaporator design and system operating conditions.

42 ENGINEERING↗