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At least 1,261 records · Page 70
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Fungal Spore Seasons Advanced Across the US Over Two Decades of Climate Change

Abstract Phenological shifts due to climate change have been extensively studied in plants and animals. Yet, the responses of fungal spores—organisms important to ecosystems and major airborne allergens—remain understudied. This knowledge gap limits our understanding of their ecological and public health implications. To address this, we analyzed a long‐term (2003–2022), large‐scale (the continental US) data set of airborne fungal spores collected by the US National Allergy Bureau. We first pre‐processed the spore data by gap‐filling and smoothing. Afterward, we extracted 10 metrics describing the phenology (e.g., start and end of season) and intensity (e.g., peak concentration and integral) of fungal spore seasons. These metrics were derived using two complementary but not mutually exclusive approaches—ecological and public health approaches, defined as percentiles of total spore concentration and allergenic thresholds of spore concentration, respectively. Using linear mixed‐effects models, we quantified annual shifts in these metrics across the continental US. We revealed a significant advancement in the onset of the spore seasons defined in both ecological (11 days, 95% confidence interval: 0.4–23 days) and public health (22 days, 6–38 days) approaches over two decades. Meanwhile, total spore concentrations in an annual cycle and in a spore allergy season tended to decrease over time. The earlier start of the spore season was significantly correlated with climatic variables, such as warmer temperatures and altered precipitations. Overall, our findings suggest possible climate‐driven advanced fungal spore seasons, highlighting the importance of climate change mitigation and adaptation in public health decision‐making.

Environmental Sciences & Ecology↗
DOE OSTI2024

Asymmetric jet shapes with two-dimensional jet tomography

Two-dimensional (2D) jet tomography is a promising tool to study jet medium modification in high-energy heavy-ion collisions. It combines gradient (transverse) and longitudinal jet tomography for selection of events with localized initial jet production positions. It exploits the transverse asymmetry and energy loss that depend, respectively, on the transverse gradient and jet path length inside the quark-gluon plasma (QGP). In this study, we employ 2D jet tomography to study medium modification of the jet shape of γ -triggered jets within the linear Boltzmann transport (LBT) model for jet propagation in heavy-ion collisions. Our results show that jets with small transverse asymmetry ( A N n ⃗ ) or small γ -jet asymmetry ( x J γ = p T jet / p T γ ) exhibit a broader jet shape than those with larger A N n ⃗ or x J γ , since the former are produced at the center and go through longer path lengths while the later are off center and close to the surface of the QGP fireball. In events with finite values of A N n ⃗ , jet shapes are asymmetric with respect to the event plane. Hard partons at the core of the jet are deflected away from the denser region while soft partons from the medium response at large angles flow toward the denser part of QGP. Future experimental measurements of these asymmetric features of the jet shape can be used to study the transport properties of jets and medium responses. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Post-flowering Soil Waterlogging Curtails Grain Yield Formation by Restricting Assimilates Supplies to Developing Grains

Soil waterlogging is among the major factors limiting the grain yield of winter wheat crops in many parts of the world, including the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River China. In a field study, we investigated the relationship between leaf physiology and grain development under a varying duration of post-flowering waterlogging. A winter wheat cultivar Ningmai 13 was exposed to soil waterlogging for 0 (W0), 3 (W3), 6 (W6), and 9 d (W9) at anthesis. Increasing waterlogging duration significantly reduced flag leaf SPAD (soil plant analysis development) values and net photosynthetic rate (Pn). There was a linear reduction in flag leaf Pn and SPAD as plant growth progressed under all treatments; however, the speed of damage was greater in the waterlogged leaves. For example, compared with their respective control (W0), flag leaves of W9 treatment have experienced 46% more reduction in Pn at 21 d after anthesis (DAA) than at 7 DAA. Increasing waterlogging duration also induced oxidative damage in flag leaves, measured as malondialdehyde (MDA) contents. The capacity to overcome this oxidative damage was limited by the poor performance of antioxidant enzymes in wheat leaves. Inhibited leaf Pn and capacity to sustain assimilate synthesis under waterlogged environments reduced grain development. Compared with W0, W6 and W9 plants experienced a 20 and 22% reduction in thousand grain weight (TGW) in response to W6 and W9, respectively at 7 DAA and 11 and 19%, respectively at 28 DAA. Sustained waterlogging also significantly reduced grain number per spike and final grain yield. Averaged across two years of study, W9 plants produced 28% lesser final grain yield than W0 plants. Our study suggested that wheat crops are highly sensitive to soil waterlogging during reproductive and grain filling phases due to their poor capacity to recover from oxidative injury to photosynthesis. Management strategies such as planting time, fertilization and genotype selection should be considered for the areas experiencing frequent waterlogging problems.

Ma, Shangyu↗
DOE OSTI2025

Emulation With Uncertainty Quantification of Regional Sea‐Level Change Caused by the Antarctic Ice Sheet

Abstract Projecting regional sea‐level change under various climate‐change scenarios typically involves running forward simulations of the Earth's gravitational, rotational and deformational (GRD) response to ice‐mass change, which requires substantial computational cost if applied to probabilistic frameworks requiring thousands to millions of samples. Here we build emulators of regional sea‐level change at 27 coastal locations, due to the GRD effects associated with future Antarctic Ice Sheet mass change over the 21st century. The emulators are evaluated against a numerical sea‐level model applied to an ensemble of ice‐sheet model simulations of the Antarctic Ice Sheet through 2100. We build a physics‐based emulator using a recent sensitivity kernel approach and compare it to machine learning based emulators (neural network and conditional variational autoencoder methods). In order to quantify uncertainty, we derive well‐calibrated prediction intervals for regional sea‐level change via split‐conformal inference and linear regression, and show that Monte Carlo dropout does not yield well‐calibrated uncertainties in this instance. We also demonstrate substantial gains in computational efficiency using both the physics‐based emulator and neural networks in comparison to the numerical model for the complete regional sea‐level solution. Overall, we find the physics‐based emulator modestly outperforms the machine learning emulators for this problem.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Perturbative analysis of low-frequency instabilities in high-field ST40 experiments

Abstract Linear and nonlinear perturbative analyses of low-frequency instabilities are presented for ST40 spherical torus high field plasmas, with simultaneous neutral beam heating due to two tangential sources at 25 keV and 55 keV. Initial plasma profiles on which the TRANSP and NUBEAM codes were based were obtained using an integrated analysis of several diagnostics including line-of-sight integrated and volume average measurements, as well as limited profile information from a charge-exchange-recombination spectrometer. Magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) analysis using the NOVA/NOVA-K codes suggests that the modes in the experiments are core-localized n = 1 eigenmodes with mixed acoustic and electromagnetic Alfvénic polarization. The global transport combined with the perturbative mode analysis indicates that there is greater tendency for bursty chirping response as the level of background micro-turbulence decreases in time and those predictions are shown to be consistent with the experimental data. This finding is interpreted in terms of the suppression of coherent phase-space structures that support chirping when the resonant fast ion dynamics is dominated by frequent stochastic, orbit-decorrelating events.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Bandwidth extension and conversion efficiency improvements beyond phase matching limitations using cavity-enhanced OPCPA

The conversion efficiency and phase matching bandwidth of ultrafast optical parametric amplification (OPA) are constrained by the dispersion and nonlinear coefficient of the employed crystal as well as pulse shaping effects. In our work we show that an enhancement cavity resonant with the pump seeded at the full repetition rate of the pump laser can automatically reshape the small-signal gain in optical parametric chirped-pulse amplification (OPCPA) to achieve close-to-optimal operation. This new method termed cavity-enhanced OPCPA or C-OPCPA significantly increases both the gain bandwidth and the conversion efficiency, in addition to boosting gain for high-repetition-rate amplification. The goal in C-OPCPA is to arrive at a condition of impedance matching at all temporal coordinates, such that, in the absence of linear losses, all the incident pump power is dissipated in the nonlinear loss element, i.e., converted to signal and idler. The use of a low finesse enhancement cavity resonant with a low average power (<1W) and a high repetition rate (78MHz) pump source is shown to achieve more than 50% conversion efficiency into signal and idler from the coupled pump in an optical parametric process, whereas an equivalent amount of pump power in a single-pass configuration leads to negligible conversion. Additionally, the gain bandwidth is extended by a factor of 3-4 beyond the phase-matching limit. Our empirical observations are corroborated by a numerical analysis of depletion optimizing the single-pass case, which assesses the underlying impedance matching that is responsible for the observed performance improvements.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2025

Direct sensitivity analysis on the parameterization of crystal plasticity models

Various methods for calibrating crystal plasticity finite element (CPFE) models lead to non-unique input parameter values, which subsequently introduce uncertainty in the predicted mechanical response. Sensitivity analysis (SA) conducted on crystal plasticity models is used to identify how variability in these parameters contribute to output uncertainty. Traditional SA on CPFE parameters uses simplified surrogate models to save computational time. However, the accuracy of the surrogate models depends on the quantity of training data used, and any modeling error can propagate into the SA results, potentially affecting their reliability. In this work, the elementary effects test (EET) method, a global SA technique using direct CPFE simulations was employed, and the results obtained were compared with the First Order Second Moment (FOSM) method. ExaConstit, an open-source GPU-enabled CPFE code, was used to perform the simulations and direct SA. The EET method was accurately able to capture the non-linear effects of all the input parameters on the output and is a valuable approach for reliably attributing parameter sensitivities in CPFE models. Based on the results, efficient strategies to perform future parameter calibration and SA are discussed. Additionally, the SA trends observed in different single crystal orientations closely mirrored the activity of the slip systems.

Elementary Effects Test↗
DOE OSTI2024

Development of (NO)Fe(N 2 S 2 ) as a Metallodithiolate Spin Probe Ligand: A Case Study Approach

The ubiquity of sulfur–metal connections in nature inspires the design of bi- and multimetallic systems in synthetic inorganic chemistry. Common motifs for biocatalysts developed in evolutionary biology include the placement of metals in close proximity with flexible sulfur bridges as well as the presence of π-acidic/delocalizing ligands. This Account will delve into the development of a (NO)Fe(N 2 S 2 ) metallodithiolate ligand that harnesses these principles. The Fe(NO) unit is the centroid of a N 2 S 2 donor field, which as a whole is capable of serving as a redox-active, bidentate S-donor ligand. Its paramagnetism as well as the ν(NO) vibrational monitor can be exploited in the development of new classes of heterobimetallic complexes. We offer four examples in which the unpaired electron on the {Fe(NO)} 7 unit is spin-paired with adjacent paramagnets in proximal and distal positions. First, the exceptional stability of the (NO)Fe(N 2 S 2 )-Fe(NO) 2 platform, which permits its isolation and structural characterization at three distinct redox levels, is linked to the charge delocalization occurring on both the Fe(NO) and the Fe(NO) 2 supports. This accommodates the formation of a rare nonheme {Fe(NO)} 8 triplet state, with a linear configuration. A subsequent FeNi complex, featuring redox-active ligands on both metals (NO on iron and dithiolene on nickel), displayed unexpected physical properties. Our research showed good reversibility in two redox processes, allowing isolation in reduced and oxidized forms. Various spectroscopic and crystallographic analyses confirmed these states, and Mössbauer data supported the redox change at the iron site upon reduction. Oxidation of the complex produced a dimeric dication, revealing an intriguing magnetic behavior. The monomer appears as a spin-coupled diradical between {Fe(NO)} 7 and the nickel dithiolene monoradical, while dimerization couples the latter radical units via a Ni 2 S 2 rhomb. Magnetic data (SQUID) on the dimer dication found a singlet ground state with a thermally accessible triplet state that is responsible for magnetism. A theoretical model built on an H 4 chain explains this unexpected ferromagnetic low-energy triplet state arising from the antiferromagnetic coupling of a four-radical molecular conglomerate. For comparison, two (NO)Fe(N 2 S 2 ) were connected through diamagnetic group 10 cations producing diradical trimetallic complexes. Antiferromagnetic coupling is observed between {Fe(NO)} 7 units, with exchange coupling constants (J) of -3, -23, and -124 cm –1 for Ni II , Pd II , and Pt II , respectively. This trend is explained by the enhanced covalency and polarizability of sulfur-dense metallodithiolate ligands. A central paramagnetic trans-Cr(NO)(MeCN) receiver unit core results in a cissoid structural topology, influenced by the stereoactivity of the lone pair(s) on the sulfur donors. This {Cr(NO)} 5 radical bridge, unlike all previous cases, finds the coupling between the distal Fe(NO) radicals to be ferromagnetic (J = 24 cm –1 ). The stability and predictability of this S = 1/2 moiety and the steric/electronic properties of the bridging thiolate sulfurs suggest it to be a likely candidate for the development of novel molecular (magnetic) compounds and possibly materials. The role of synthetic inorganic chemistry in designing synthons that permit connections of the (NO)Fe(N 2 S 2 ) metalloligand is highlighted as well as the properties of the heterobi- and polymetallic complexes derived therefrom.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Two Spacers, One Perovskite: Integrating Ruddlesden–Popper and Dion–Jacobson Halide Perovskites

Hybrid organic–inorganic perovskites are a rapidly developing class of materials due to their desirable properties for optoelectronic applications such as their ease of synthesis, solution-processable film formation, tunable band gap, strong photoluminescence, good charge carrier mobilities, and high defect tolerance. Here, we present a novel 2D perovskite motif that seamlessly integrates the structural elements from both Ruddlesden–Popper and Dion–Jacobson halide perovskites. We demonstrate the incorporation of two different organic spacer cations in an ordered manner in 5 novel 2D perovskite iodide materials. Both a cyclic diammonium cation 3-(aminomethyl)piperidinium (3AMP) and a linear alkyl monoammonium cation (Cn = C n H 2n+4 N, n = 4–8) are present in distinct alternating layers, making the new series (Cn) 2 (3AMP)[PbI 4 ] 2 . The crystallization of these materials was optimized through careful temperature control to obtain precise crystal structures via single-crystal X-ray diffraction (XRD) which confirmed the presence of the two cations in distinct layers. The influence of the two spacers on optical properties including the band gaps and photoluminescence spectra are found to more closely resemble (3AMP)PbI 4 than (Cn) 2 PbI 4 , which can be attributed to the amount of distortion imposed by the 3AMP spacer on the lead iodide layers. The findings are supported by density functional theory calculations. The strong photoelectric response of solution-processed thin films shows the potential of these materials in photodetectors or photovoltaics. This unprecedented amalgamation of RP–DJ in (Cn) 2 (3AMP)[PbI 4 ] 2 in a structurally ordered fashion suggests a potential vastly underexplored phase space of 2D perovskites in which there are chemically different spacers in distinct layers of the structure, providing an additional parameter to tune perovskite properties.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

Molecular and functional properties of human Plasmodium falciparum CSP C-terminus antibodies

Human monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) against the central repeat and junction domain of Plasmodium falciparum circumsporozoite protein (PfCSP) have been studied extensively to guide malaria vaccine design compared to antibodies against the PfCSP C terminus. Here, we describe the molecular characteristics and protective potential of 73 germline and mutated human mAbs against the highly immunogenic PfCSP C-terminal domain. Two mAbs recognized linear epitopes in the C-terminal linker with sequence similarity to repeat and junction motifs, whereas all others targeted conformational epitopes in the α-thrombospondin repeat (α-TSR) domain. Specificity for the polymorphic Th2R/Th3R but not the conserved RII+/CS.T3 region in the α-TSR was associated with IGHV3-21/IGVL3-21 or IGLV3-1 gene usage. Although the C terminus specific mAbs showed signs of more efficient affinity maturation and class-switching compared to anti-repeat mAbs, live sporozoite binding and inhibitory activity was limited to a single C-linker reactive mAb with cross-reactivity to the central repeat and junction. The data provide novel insights in the human anti-C-linker and anti-α-TSR antibody response that support exclusion of the PfCSP C terminus from malaria vaccine designs.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Elucidating the Role of Hydrogen Bonding in the Optical Spectroscopy of the Solvated Green Fluorescent Protein Chromophore: Using Machine Learning to Establish the Importance of High-Level Electronic Structure

Hydrogen bonding interactions with chromophores in chemical and biological environments play a key role in determining their electronic absorption and relaxation processes, which are manifested in their linear and multidimensional optical spectra. For chromophores in the condensed phase, the large number of atoms needed to simulate the environment has traditionally prohibited the use of high-level excited-state electronic structure methods. By leveraging transfer learning, we show how to construct machine-learned models to accurately predict the high-level excitation energies of a chromophore in solution from only 400 high-level calculations. Here, we show that when the electronic excitations of the green fluorescent protein chromophore in water are treated using EOM-CCSD embedded in a DFT description of the solvent the optical spectrum is correctly captured and that this improvement arises from correctly treating the coupling of the electronic transition to electric fields, which leads to a larger response upon hydrogen bonding between the chromophore and water.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

District EnErgy Planner (DEEP) v2

The District EnErgy Planner - DEEP is an Mixed Integer Linear Programming (MILP) optimization software tool to solve district energy system, technology configuration, operation strategies, and energy retail business schemes. DEEP takes user input energy demand on heating, cooling and electricity demand. Energy loss through pipeline is calculated for heating and cooling from central plants. The optimal system configuration to minimize the district energy system life cycle cost or minimize CO2 emission is calculated based on energy balance equations and various constraints. The recent update on DEEP include a feature of waste heat utilization energy balance based optimization to take into accounts of different temperature bands of heat into account to maximize system efficiency. Another feature is to optimize district energy retail by provide optimal pricing scheme for heating, cooling and electricity to end users to incorporate district to grid demand response.

Feng, Wei↗
DOE OSTI2021

First M87 Event Horizon Telescope Results. VII. Polarization of the Ring

In 2017 April, the Event Horizon Telescope (EHT) observed the near-horizon region around the supermassive black hole at the core of the M87 galaxy. These 1.3 mm wavelength observations revealed a compact asymmetric ring-like source morphology. This structure originates from synchrotron emission produced by relativistic plasma located in the immediate vicinity of the black hole. Here we present the corresponding linear-polarimetric EHT images of the center of M87. We find that only a part of the ring is significantly polarized. The resolved fractional linear polarization has a maximum located in the southwest part of the ring, where it rises to the level of ~15%. The polarization position angles are arranged in a nearly azimuthal pattern. We perform quantitative measurements of relevant polarimetric properties of the compact emission and find evidence for the temporal evolution of the polarized source structure over one week of EHT observations. The details of the polarimetric data reduction and calibration methodology are provided. We carry out the data analysis using multiple independent imaging and modeling techniques, each of which is validated against a suite of synthetic data sets. The gross polarimetric structure and its apparent evolution with time are insensitive to the method used to reconstruct the image. These polarimetric images carry information about the structure of the magnetic fields responsible for the synchrotron emission. Their physical interpretation is discussed in an accompanying publication.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Effect of artificial viscosity on shocked particle-laden flows for staggered grid Lagrangian methods

Abstract Shocked particle-laden flows are important to many natural and industrial processes. When simulating these systems, artificial viscosity is often required to prevent numerical artifacts, such as ringing, from arising in the pressure and density fields. The linear and quadratic coefficients of the artificial viscosity determine the amount of smoothing that occurs in these fields. For particle-laden flows, however, many of the fluid–particle interaction forces, for example, the pressure gradient force and unsteady forces, depend on gradients in the fluid fields. Furthermore, while the shock passes over a particle, these forces can be more dominant than drag. This means that the artificial viscosity coefficients affect how a particle and fluid interact when simulating shocked particle systems. Here this effect is investigated for isolated particles and for a particle curtain using a staggered grid Lagrangian approach. The artificial viscosity coefficients have a significant impact on the maximum force that a fluid imparts to a particle, which is important for determining whether a particle will break up in response to the shock. Furthermore, it is found that the density ratio between the particle and the fluid is important in determining whether the artificial viscosity coefficients have a significant impact on the particle’s motion.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2024

Machine Learning (ML) Classifier to Assist Metadata Creation

The Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Data Center is responsible for the timely collection, archival, and curation of science data products. These products are freely available through an online data repository. Metadata creation is paramount for scientific users to find and access over seven petabytes of atmospheric science data. The hierarchical metadata structure allows users to search for information at both broad and narrow levels. This project aims to leverage 30 years’ worth of manually created metadata to enable machine predictions of broad-term classifications from narrow-term descriptions. These classification predictions would assist metadata coordinators with their term selections. This paper discusses the cleaning and preprocessing of the training data, the pipeline developed to determine the best model for this task, and the creation of an API metadata classifier for ARM measurement metadata. Our results show that the Linear Support Vector Classification (LinearSVC) algorithm, along with the Term Frequency – Inverse Document Frequency (TF-IDF) vectorizer, is well-suited for our multi-class classification task. Lengthier input training data led to better results, and artificial balancing was unnecessary for this particular use case. This predictive classifier enhances efficiency in metadata creation, as well as supports greater consistency and accuracy in metadata tagging.

Collier, Hannah [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000341284292)↗
DOE OSTI2020

Pressure-Induced Spectroscopic Changes in a Californium 1D Material Are Twice as Large as Found in the Holmium Analog

Here, in this study, the synthesis, characterization, and pressure response of a 1D californium mellitate (mellitate = 1,2,3,4,5,6-benzenehexacarboxylate) coordination polymer, Cf 2 (mell)(H 2 O) 10 ·4H 2 O (Cf-1), are reported. The Cf–O lengths within the crystal structure are compared to its gadolinium (Gd-1) and holmium (Ho-1) analogs as well. These data show that the average Cf–O bond distance is slightly longer than the average Gd–O bond, consistent with trends in effective ionic radii. UV–vis-NIR absorption spectra as a function of pressure were collected using diamond-anvil techniques for both Cf-1 and Ho-1. These experiments show that the Cf(III) f → f transitions have a stronger dependence on pressure than that of the holmium analog. In the former case, the shift is nearly linear with applied pressure and averages 6.6 cm –1 /GPa, whereas in the latter, it is <3 cm –1 /GPa.

absorption spectroscopy↗
DOE OSTI2023

Protecting and Defending against Autonomous Control Systems and Digital Twin Cyber Attacks: Response Strategy for Hyperparameter attacks of Digital Twin Machine Learning Models in Nuclear Power Plants (Final)

Navigating through the complex tapestry of technological advancements, "Response Strategy for Hyperparameter attacks of Digital Twin Machine Learning Model in Nuclear Power Plants" stands at the intersection of cybersecurity and nuclear power plant operations, embarking on a journey through the intricacies of securing digital twins against malicious cyber activities. As nuclear power plants progressively integrate digital twin technology and machine learning models to optimize operations and ensure system reliability, they inadvertently expose themselves to a new spectrum of vulnerabilities, notably in the realm of hyperparameter attacks. Hyperparameters, integral in machine learning model tuning and optimal performance of digital twins, have emerged as a target for adversaries aiming to destabilize the predictive capabilities and therefore, the operational accuracy of these digital entities within critical infrastructures like nuclear plants. This paper, therefore, meticulously threads the needle through the development of a robust response strategy, poised to shield these digital reflections against calculated hyperparameter manipulations, ensuring that the digital twin can effectively and securely function as a reliable proxy for its physical counterpart. The ensuing sections delve into the orchestrated maelstrom of multi-rate time-changing intelligent coordinated hyperparameter attacks and the implementation of event-triggered predictive control, laying down a structured, predictive, and responsive framework that safeguards the nexus where the digital and physical realms of nuclear power plants coalesce. The operational integrity of digital twins in nuclear power plants depends critically on the security of machine learning hyperparameters. This study makes two different contributions. First, a decision-based idea known as a multi-rate time changing intelligent coordinated hyperparameter attack is put forth. In this attack, many hyperparameters are repeatedly changed using both random and intelligent optimal techniques by the attacker. These assaults introduce varied rates at different attack steps, compromise various amounts of hyperparameters, and improve stealth and flexibility. Second, a technique is developed for event triggered predictive control to rapidly respond to potential hyperparameter attacks. This control integrates a sliding window framework, retaining a history of previous data points and employing linear regression to predict the next data point from the current dataset. The control gain K is determined using the Lyapunov-Krasovskii method, and subsequently, an action is developed. Finally, the outcome of the simulation demonstrates the viability of the proposed method for defending nuclear power plant digital twins from hyperparameter attacks.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Simulation of the PBX 9501 Self-Ignited Heavily Confined Cookoff Test

The PBX 9501 self-ignited thermally damaged explosive (SITX) test was carried out by Holmes et al. A 6-inch diameter sphere made of the PBX 9501 was heated inside a steel confinement vessel until it underwent a thermal explosion. This test provided measured temperature data that was used to define a boundary condition to carry out post-experiment finite element (FE) thermal simulations and comparisons of the FE thermal response with the experimental time to thermal ignition and internal temperature measurements at the center of the PBX 9501 sphere. Finite element models of this experiment were constructed using the heat transfer code Aria. A cookoff model for PBX 9501 was used to simulate the thermal decomposition of PBX 9501 and to predict the time to thermal ignition. An inverse heat conduction scheme was designed and applied to estimate a 1D temperature boundary condition.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗