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Rapid Open-Air Fabrication of Perovskite Solar Modules
We report on the open-air fabrication of perovskite solar modules with key advances including scalable large-area spray deposition, new monolithic integration scribing techniques, advanced photoluminescence characterization, and reproducible high-throughput manufacturability. Perovskite deposition with linear speeds of 12 m/min without a post-anneal are demonstrated with improved device performance, luminescent yield and >10X carrier lifetimes. Manufacturability using monolithic integration of series-connected modules is accomplished with a new indirect fiber laser ablation scribing method. A stable cell and module power output of 18.0% and 15.5%, respectively, was achieved with a subcell V oc > 1.06V. A comprehensive supporting technoeconomic analysis details the entire in-line manufacturing process from the glass substrate to the junction box of the encapsulated module. Here, the module manufacturing cost, balance of system costs and levelized cost of energy for a range of module efficiencies and lifetimes provides insights for the necessary tool speeds, efficiencies, and lifetimes for utility-scale energy generation.
Reproducing curvature effects due to differential diffusion in tabulated chemistry for premixed flames
Tabulated chemistry reduces the cost of modeling reacting flows by transporting fewer scalars. It also has the benefit of introducing fewer terms that must be closed for Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes and large eddy simulation modeling. In this study of premixed lean hydrogen–air flames, an extension to an existing tabulated chemistry model was developed by including differential diffusion and thermal diffusion of multiple species, using a mixture-averaged diffusion model. The transport equations for the tabulation variables (a progress variable and a mixture fraction-like variable) have been formulated, and curvature effects are intrinsic to the transport equations derived from first principles. The mathematical derivation is general, such that other fuel/air mixtures could be examined. The new tabulated chemistry model was then validated using a range of configurations, including flames with curvature, extinction, and hot spots. The model validation indicated excellent agreement with detailed chemistry simulations for lean premixed hydrogen–air mixtures. Conditional means of the progress variable source term were shown to agree well with detailed chemistry simulations of two-dimensional freely propagating flames and three-dimensional turbulent flames. Finally, progress variable source terms three times higher than one-dimensional flat flame results were identified and validated with detailed chemistry, and super-adiabatic hot spots were also predicted in the turbulent flame configuration.
Comparing the Economics of Metal Additive Manufacturing Processes for Micro-scale Plate Reactors in the Chemical Process Industry
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Modeling noise and lease soft costs improves wind farm design and cost-of-energy predictions
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How Equivalent Are Equivalent Porous Media?
Abstract Geoenergy and geoengineering applications usually involve fluid injection into and production from fractured media. Accounting for fractures is important because of the strong poromechanical coupling that ties pore pressure changes and deformation. A possible approach to the problem uses equivalent porous media to reduce the computational cost and model complexity instead of explicitly including fractures in the models. We investigate the validity of this simplification by comparing these two approaches. Simulation results show that pore pressure distribution significantly differs between the two approaches even when both are calibrated to predict identical values at the injection and production wells. Additionally, changes in fracture stability are not well captured with the equivalent porous medium. We conclude that explicitly accounting for fractures in numerical models may be necessary under some circumstances to perform reliable coupled thermohydromechanical simulations, which could be used in conjunction with other tools for induced seismicity forecasting.
Non-Boussinesq subgrid-scale model with dynamic tensorial coefficients
A major drawback of Boussinesq-type subgrid-scale stress models used in large-eddy simulations is the inherent assumption of alignment between large-scale strain rates and filtered subgrid-stresses. A priori analyses using direct numerical simulation (DNS) data have shown that this assumption is invalid locally as subgrid-scale stresses are poorly correlated with the large-scale strain rates [J. Bardina, J. Ferziger, and W. Reynolds, Improved subgrid-scale models for large-eddy simulation, in Proceedings of the 13th Fluid and Plasmadynamics Conference, AIAA (1980); C. Meneveau and K. Katz, Scale-invariance and turbulence models for large-eddy simulation, Ann. Rev. Fluid Mech. 32, 1 (2000)]. In the present work, a new, non-Boussinesq subgrid-scale model is presented where the model coefficients are computed dynamically. Some previous non-Boussinesq models have observed issues in providing adequate dissipation of turbulent kinetic energy [e.g., Bardina et al., Proceedings of the 13th Fluid and Plasmadynamics Conference (1980); R. A. Clark, J. Ferziger, and W.C. Reynolds. Evaluation of subgrid-scale models using an accurately simulated turbulent flow, J. Fluid Mech. 91, 1 (1979); S. Stolz and N. A. Adams, An approximate deconvolution procedure for large-eddy simulation, Phys. Fluids 11, 1699 (1999)]; however, the present model is shown to provide sufficient dissipation using dynamic coefficients. Modeled subgrid-scale Reynolds stresses satisfy the consistency requirements of the governing equations for large-eddy simulation (LES), vanish in laminar flow and at solid boundaries, and have the correct asymptotic behavior in the near-wall region of a turbulent boundary layer. The new model, referred to as the dynamic tensor-coefficient Smagorinsky model (DTCSM), has been tested in simulations of canonical flows: decaying and forced homogeneous isotropic turbulence, and wall-modeled turbulent channel flow at high Reynolds numbers. The results show favorable agreement with DNS data. It has been shown that DTCSM offers similar predictive capabilities as the dynamic Smagorinsky model for canonical flows. In order to assess the performance of DTCSM in more complex flows, wall-modeled simulations of high Reynolds number flow over a Gaussian bump (Boeing speed bump) exhibiting smooth-body flow separation are performed. Predictions of surface pressure and skin friction, compared against DNS and experimental data, show improved accuracy from DTCSM in comparison to existing static coefficient (Vreman) and dynamic Smagorinsky model. The computational cost of performing LES with this model is up to 15% higher than the dynamic Smagorinsky model.
Management of Large-Scale Wireless Sensor Networks Utilizing Multi-Parent Recursive Area Hierarchies
Autonomously configuring and self-healing a largescale wireless sensor network requires a light-weight maintenance protocol that is scalable. Further, in a battery powered wireless sensor network duty-cycling a node’s radio can reduce the power consumption of a device and extend the lifetime of a network. With duty-cycled nodes the power consumption of a node’s radio depends on the amount of communication is must perform and by reducing the communication the power consumption can also be reduced. Multi-parent hierarchies can be used to reduce the communication cost when constructing a recursive area clustering hierarchy when compared to singleparent solutions that utilize inefficient communication methods such as flooding and information propagation via single-hop broadcasts. The multi-parent hierarchies remain scalable and provides a level of redundancy for the hierarchy.
Editorial: Toward 100 Gigawatts of Concentrator Photovoltaics by 2030
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Proactive Assignment Strategy With Human Choice Models for Boosting Pooled Rideshare Service
This study analyzes various human factors considerations in estimating discounts for pooled rideshare trips. The discounts are utilized in an optimization-based rideshare assignment strategy (proactive strategy) and compared against each other, as well as a heuristic strategy attempting to replicate current real-world pooling rates. Simulations within Austin, Texas and Greenville, South Carolina, reveal the proactive strategy’s ability to increase average vehicle occupancy by 0.23 persons/mile in Austin and 0.52 persons/mile in Greenville. A significant ability to decrease trip rejections and increase profitability is also observed. Finally, the strengths of particular combinations of factors are discussed relative to their effectiveness in each region.
The influence of increasing atmospheric CO 2 , temperature, and vapor pressure deficit on seawater-induced tree mortality
We report increasing seawater exposure is killing coastal trees globally, with expectations of accelerating mortality with rising sea levels. However, the impact of concomitant changes in atmospheric CO 2 concentration, temperature, and vapor pressure deficit (VPD) on seawater-induced tree mortality is uncertain. We examined the mechanisms of seawater-induced mortality under varying climate scenarios using a photosynthetic gain and hydraulic cost optimization model validated against observations in a mature stand of Sitka-spruce (Picea sitchensis) trees in the Pacific Northwest, USA, that were dying from recent seawater exposure. The simulations matched well with observations of photosynthesis, transpiration, nonstructural carbohydrates concentrations, leaf water potential, the percentage loss of xylem conductivity, and stand-level mortality rates. The simulations suggest that seawater-induced mortality could decrease by ~16.7% with increasing atmospheric CO 2 levels due to reduced risk of carbon starvation. Conversely, rising VPD could increase mortality by ~5.6% because of increasing risk of hydraulic failure. Across all scenarios, seawater-induced mortality was driven by hydraulic failure in the first two years after seawater exposure began, with carbon starvation becoming more important in subsequent years. Changing CO 2 and climate appear unlikely to have a significant impact on coastal tree mortality under rising sea levels.
Investigation of Early Dry and Wet/Dry Cooling Studies
In mid 1974, The U.S. Atomic Energy Commission initiated the Dry Cooling Tower Program to provide the technology to support the increased use of dry cooling for central power stations. The purpose of the program was to provide solutions to existing problems of dry cooling and the development and demonstration of new dry cooling concepts. The program included input from utilities, architect engineers, dry cooling system vendors and others involved in technology development. This paper focuses on initial studies conducted at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory to investigate dry and wet/dry cooling concepts to develop economic and performance models for cost optimization of total heat rejection systems using dry and wet/dry cooling to provide a compilation of studies and results.
WE-A-BRD-01: Innovation in Radiation Therapy Planning I: Knowledge Guided Treatment Planning
Intensity modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) and Volumetric Modulated Arc Therapy (VMAT) offer the capability of normal tissues and organs sparing. However, the exact amount of sparing is often unknown until the plan is complete. This lack of prior guidance has led to the iterative, trial and-error approach in current planning practice. Even with this effort the search for patient-specific optimal organ sparing is still strongly influenced by planner's experience. While experience generally helps in maximizing the dosimetric advantages of IMRT/VMAT, there have been several reports showing unnecessarily high degree of plan quality variability at individual institutions and amongst different institutions, even with a large amount of experience and the best available tools. Further, when physician and physicist evaluate a plan, the dosimetric quality of the plan is often compared with a standard protocol that ignores individual patient anatomy and tumor characteristic variations. In recent years, developments of knowledge models for clinical IMRT/VMAT planning guidance have shown promising clinical potentials. These knowledge models extract past expert clinical experience into mathematical models that predict dose sparing references at patient-specific level. For physicians and planners, these references provide objective values that reflect best achievable dosimetric constraints. For quality assurance, applying patient-specific dosimetry requirements will enable more quantitative and objective assessment of protocol compliance for complex IMRT planning. Learning Objectives: Modeling and representation of knowledge for knowledge-guided treatment planning. Demonstrations of knowledge-guided treatment planning with a few clinical caanatomical sites. Validation and evaluation of knowledge models for cost and quality effective standardization of plan optimization.
FASTSim™ (Future Automotive Systems Technology Simulator) [SWR-20-101 and SWR-12-07]
The Future Automotive Systems Technology Simulator (FASTSim™) provides a simple way to compare powertrains and estimate the impact of technology improvements on light-, medium-, and heavy-duty vehicle efficiency, performance, cost, and battery life. This extremely fast simulation tool features a streamlined user interface and can rapidly perform a variety of tasks using basic computing resources: • less than 0.1 second to simulate second-by-second standard duty cycles • less than 10 seconds to estimate vehicle efficiency, fuel economy, acceleration, battery life, and cost • less than 5 minutes to perform powertrain comparisons of efficiency and cost. FASTSim models a variety of vehicle powertrains and fuel converter types: • Conventional vehicles - spark ignition, Atkinson, diesel, and hybrid diesel • Electric-drive vehicles - hybrid, plug-in hybrid, and all-electric • Hydrogen fuel cell vehicles. The default model includes a variety of vehicles and duty cycles and an option for adding additional vehicles and custom cycles: • Packaged with more than 20 vehicles • User interface enables addition of more vehicles • Includes standard U.S. drive cycles as well as European and Japanese cycles. FASTSim is available for download in Microsoft Excel and Python formats here: https://www.nrel.gov/transportation/fastsim.html
Scaling trends for balance-of-system costs at land-based wind power plants: Opportunities for innovations in foundation and erection
Wind power plant sizes, hub heights, and turbine ratings have increased since 2008 to optimize the cost and performance of wind power; however, the limits of these economies of scale remain unclear. Here, we explore how the costs incurred to install turbines at a wind power plant—the balance-of-system (BOS) costs—scale with turbine rating, hub height, and plant size. We also investigate how these changes in BOS costs influence the levelized cost of energy (LCOE). We show that increasing the plant size from 150 to 400 MW could reduce the BOS costs by 21%. We also show that if the foundation costs decreased by 50%, building a wind power plant with 5-MW turbines (having rotor diameters of 166 m and hub heights of 120 m) could decrease the LCOE by 5%. These results could help inform future BOS cost-reduction opportunities and thereby reduce future capital costs for land-based wind power.
LCOE and Baseline Data for ORPC's RivGen 1.F River Power System
Base data and documentation of LCOE calculations for ORPC's RivGen 1.F Power System, demonstrated in the Kvichak River at Igiugig, Alaska in 2015.
Assessing the value of improved variable renewable energy forecasting accuracy in the South African power system
The value associated with an improved variable renewable energy (VRE) forecast has been quantified in this research. The value of improved VRE forecasts can increase with increasing VRE penetration levels as well as the range of this value becoming wider. This value also saturates with high levels of improved VRE forecasts as there is relatively lower impact of improving VRE forecasts further. This paper discusses how the improvement of VRE forecasting could impact the South African power system and representative United States power system jurisdictions.