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At least 127 records · Page 7

On the Stochastic Stability of Deep Markov Models

Deep Markov models (DMM) are generative models which are scalable and expressive generalization of Markov models for representation, learning, and inference problems. However, the fundamental stochastic stability guarantees of such models have not been thoroughly investigated. In this paper, we present a novel stability analysis method and provide sufficient conditions of DMM's stochastic stability. The proposed stability analysis is based on the contraction of probabilistic maps modeled by deep neural networks. We make connections between the spectral properties of neural network's weights and different types of used activation function on the stability and overall dynamic behavior of DMMs with Gaussian distributions. Based on the theory, we propose a few practical methods for designing constrained DMMs with guaranteed stability. We empirically substantiate our theoretical results via intuitive numerical experiments using the proposed stability constraints.

Drgona, Jan↗

Blockchain-Enabled Cyber-Secure Microgrid Control Using Consensus Algorithm

This paper proposes a distributed control method based on a consensus algorithm for distributed energy resources (DERs) using blockchain as a secure communication medium for cyber resilience. Each DER communicates with a local blockchain server that is maintained by the distributed ledger technology to allow for securely sharing local measurements among neighbouring assets to achieve the global control objectives, i.e., voltage and frequency regulation as well as accurate power sharing among the DERs, including collective grid-forming capability. To prove that the distributed control can retain system stability under a blockchain-induced variable communication delay, Lyapunov function-based stability analysis is carried out. This paper demonstrates the concept on an 11-bus test case developed in MATLAB Simulink, which has been modified from the IEEE 9-bus test case, to study dynamic operations of the five inverter-based DERs working with a blockchain-induced variable delay. The results validate the superior performance of the proposed control method, compared to heavily compromised operations of the other test cases without the security measure, affected by heavy communication delays and communication interruptions.

blockchains↗

Dynamics and chemical mode analysis of plasma thermal-chemical instability

The stability of the weakly ionized plasma and the transition from a stable homogeneous discharge to unstable filaments play an important role in gas laser physics, plasma-assisted combustion, chemical reforming, and material synthesis. Here, theoretical stability analysis and thermal-chemical mode analysis were performed to understand the mechanism of plasma thermal-chemical instability by using a zero-dimensional plasma system with both simplified and detailed chemical kinetics of H 2 /O 2 /N 2 mixtures. The plasma dynamic and kinetic models accounted for multiple physical mechanisms in the chemically-reactive weakly ionized plasma, including ionization, attachment/detachment, recombination, vibrational and electronic energy relaxation, convective and diffusive species/heat removal, Joule heating, and detailed chemical kinetics. An analytical criterion and the explosive mode species/temperature pointers were formulated while the representative active species were identified for different thermal-chemical modes. The results showed that in addition to the classical thermal-ionization mechanism, various chemical modes from chemical heat imbalance and elementary kinetics significantly modified the time dynamics and the stability of the weakly ionized plasma. The present analysis provides insights and guidance to control plasma instability using chemical kinetics.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Linear instabilities in the hot-ion regime in a high-field spherical tokamak

Abstract The present operating high-field compact spherical tokamak ST40 is an important step toward an ST-based fusion reactor (Gryaznevich and Asunta 2017 Fusion Eng. Des. 123 177; McNamara 2023 Nucl. Fusion 63 054002). Temperature and density profiles and their uncertainties in recent hot ion ST40 plasmas with central ion temperatures exceeding 8.6 keV, have been inferred using an integrated analysis of several diagnostics including line-of-sight integration and volume average measurements, as well as limited profile information from a charge-exchange-recombination spectrometer. A linear gyrokinetic stability analysis has been carried out to identify the most unstable micro-instabilities in these hot ion plasmas. In one of these plasmas, it is found that linear growth rates of both ion- and electron-scale ( k θ ρ s ⩾ 0.2 where k θ is the poloidal wavenumber and ρ s is the ion gyro-radius with sound speed) modes decrease from the edge toward the core of the plasma (i.e. from ρ = 0.8 to 0.3 where ρ is the square root of the normalized magnetic flux), while the change of linear growth rates at k θ ρ s < 0.2 is non-monotonic. In particular, at ρ = 0.3 no unstable mode was found at k θ ρ s > 5 , and about an order of magnitude reduction in the maximum linear growth rate in the ion-scale wavenumber range of 0.2 ⩽ k θ ρ s < 1 is seen at ρ = 0.3 compared with the ρ = 0.8 location. It is found through parametric scans that while the ion temperature gradient (ITG) mode/trapped electron mode (TEM) and kinetic ballooning mode (KBM)/kinetic shear Alfvén (KSA) mode are more important in the plasma core, ubiquitous mode (UM) is found to be the important ion-scale instability at ρ ⩾ 0.6 . At ρ = 0.8, two instabilities are found at the electron scale, with one being the typical electrostatic electron temperature gradient (ETG) mode at ρ e scale and beyond and the other being an unidentified low-real-frequency instability (at the intermediate scale between electron and ion gyroradii) which can propagate in the ion direction and is driven by ETG. The existence of UM at the ion scale and the low-real-frequency instability and ETG mode at the electron scale at ρ = 0.8 is supported by an extensive linear gyrokinetic stability analysis of another ST40 hot ion plasma in a wider parametric range, taking into account the uncertainties in the experimental profiles.

ubiquitous mode↗

TPCPF: Three-Phase Continuation Power Flow Tool for Voltage Stability Assessment of Distribution Networks With Distributed Energy Resources

This article presents a three-phase unbalanced continuation power flow algorithm for voltage stability assessment of distribution systems with high penetration of distributed energy resources (DERs). Analyzing distribution system voltage stability with DER will allow high penetration of renewable energy necessary for the sustainability goals. The developed algorithm can analyze voltage stability for both the meshed and radial systems and the balanced and unbalanced three-phase distribution systems. The developed tool allows the voltage stability analysis to facilitate the planning, operation, control, and distribution system management. The impact of DER on the voltage stability of several test cases has been analyzed considering constant power (P Q) and regulated-voltage (P V ) modes of operation for DER units. Moreover, different voltage stability case studies are presented to demonstrate the impact of unbalance, load increment, and network topology on the maximum loading capacity. Finally, results using the IEEE 13-node feeder, the 18-bus balanced shipboard system, the 13-node CIGRE benchmark system, and the 136-bus redial distribution feeder demonstrate that the developed continuation power flow tool can efficiently perform voltage stability analysis for active distribution systems.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Stabilizing effect of enhanced resistivity on peeling-ballooning instabilities on EAST

Previous stability analysis of NSTX equilibrium with lithium-conditioning demonstrates that enhanced resistivity due to the increased effective charge number Z eff (i.e. increased impurity level) can provide a stabilizing effect on low-n edge localized modes. This paper extends the resistivity stabilizing effect to the intermediate-n peeling-ballooning (PB) instabilities with the linear stability analysis of EAST high-confinement mode equilibria in NIMROD two-fluid calculations. However, in this work, the resistivity stabilizing effect on PB instabilities in the EAST tokamak appears weaker than that found in NSTX. This work may provide better insight into the physical mechanism behind the beneficial effects of impurities on pedestal stability.

EAST tokamak↗

Uniform-density Bose-Einstein condensates of the Gross-Pitaevskii equation found by solving the inverse problem for the confining potential

Here, in this work, we consider a “reverse-engineering” approach to construct confining potentials that support exact, constant density kovaton solutions to the classical Gross-Pitaevskii equation (GPE) also known as the nonlinear Schr¨odinger equation (NLSE). In the one-dimensional case, the exact solution is the sum of stationary kink and anti-kink solutions, i.e. a kovaton, and in the overlapping region, the density is constant. In higher dimensions, the exact solutions are generalizations of this wave function. In the absence of self-interactions, the confining potential is similar to a smoothed out finite square well with minima also at the edges. When self-interactions are added, a term proportional to ±gψ*ψ gets added to the confining potential and ±gM, where M is the norm, gets added to the total energy. In the realm of stability analysis, we find (linearly) stable solutions in the case with repulsive self-interactions which also are stable to self-similar deformations. For attractive interactions, however, the minima at the edges of the potential get deeper and a barrier in the center forms as we increase the norm. This leads to instabilities at a critical value of M (related to the number of particles in the BEC). Comparing the stability criteria from Derrick’s theorem and Bogoliubov-de Gennes analysis stability results, we find that both predict stability for repulsive self-interactions and instability at a critical mass M for attractive interactions. However, the numerical analysis gives a much lower critical mass. The numerical analysis shows further that the initial instabilities violate the symmetry x → -x assumed by Derrick’s theorem.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Physical mechanisms for the transition from type-III to large ELMs induced by impurity injection on EAST

Transition from type-III to large-amplitude ELMs induced by neon injection has been observed in the EAST tokamak at overlapping q 95 space between large and small ELMs. With neon injection, pedestal density gradient shows a remarkable increase accompanied by some decrease of pedestal electron temperature, and consequently the pressure gradient increases moderately and edge bootstrap current has minimal change. Further experiment demonstrates that the occurrence of large ELMs after neon injection is highly correlated with the change in edge density. Linear peeling-ballooning stability analysis indicates that the large ELM case is more unstable than the type-III ELM case during the ELM transition. A scan of pedestal density gradient in linear stability analysis shows that the direct destabilizing effect of steep pedestal density gradient on peeling-ballooning instabilities via two-fluid effects could also facilitate the transition to large ELMs. In conclusion, these results could provide more insight into the role of pedestal density gradient on pedestal stability and ELM behavior.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Aeroelastic code comparison using the IEA 22MW reference turbine

Reference wind turbine designs and the associated aeroelastic models are widely used in both research and industry. Reference models representing future concepts are of particular interest. Current state of the art aeroelastic tools are relied upon to design the next generation of large wind turbines. However, modelling assumptions may be invalidated by upcoming very large turbines, and different aeroelastic tools may give inconsistent results. A 22MW turbine model has been defined as part of International Energy Agency (IEA) Wind Task 55 on Reference Wind Turbines and Farms to represent future turbines to be deployed in the 2030s. In this study, an aeroelastic model of this turbine has been created in four tools; Bladed, HAWC2, OpenFAST, and QBlade. Code comparisons are presented for steady state operation, linear stability analysis, and time domain power production simulations in steady and turbulent wind. Generally, the codes show a good agreement, but with some differences present in the linear stability analysis, periodic azimuthal variation, and time domain simulations. The models are a good basis for further study with the IEA 22MW turbine, and further code comparison exercises.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Energy transport analysis of NSTX plasmas with the TGLF turbulent and NEO neoclassical transport models

This work presents a study of plasma transport at low aspect ratio on the National Spherical Torus Experiment tokamak, where the turbulent and neoclassical energy fluxes calculated by the quasilinear Trapped Gyro Landau Fluid (TGLF) model and the multi species drift-kinetic Neoclassical solver (NEO) are validated against experimental data. The turbulent energy transport of two plasma discharges, one in the L-mode confinement regime and another in the H-mode regime, is dominated by electrostatic drift-wave instabilities, while the ion heat transport has a significant neoclassical contribution. The data analysis workflow is described in detail to understand how the variations of mapping and fitting of experimental data affect the power balance solution and subsequent flux-matching plasma profile predictions with the TGYRO solver. On average, the predicted plasma profiles are consistent with experimental data. However, the solutions are sensitive to various input parameters, including boundary conditions, and the electron-ion coupling. Linear gyrokinetic stability analysis demonstrates close agreement of the real frequencies of unstable modes between TGLF and CGYRO gyrokinetic simulations, but higher growth rates are predicted by TGLF, especially for the H-mode case. Estimates of the low-k modes' contributions to the total flux are consistent with linear stability analysis and the E × B suppression of turbulence in TGLF simulations with the SAT1 saturation model, while the SAT2 saturation model over-predicts the low-k modes' contribution in the H-mode case. Moreover, the results with SAT1 model are consistent with power balance analysis, which indicates only neoclassical ion energy fluxes inside ρ < 0.4 in the L-mode case and $\rho \unicode{x2A7D} 0.7$ in the H-mode case. The presence of multi-scale turbulence and ion-scale driven zonal flow mixing effects are also observed in TGLF scans of the electron turbulent heat flux over a range of temperature gradients and the electron-ion temperature ratio, which could explain the strong model sensitivity to variations of input parameters.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Stability margin analysis of the Holos-quad microreactor design

A simplified point model of the Holos-Quad microreactor is introduced. The model is based on the point kinetics equations coupled to three heat balance equations, representing the mean temperatures of the fuel particles, the graphite moderator and the helium coolant. The differential equations are converted to the frequency domain, enabling the construction of the closed-loop reactor transfer function. Using this function the stability margins of the core design is analyzed for various power levels. It is shown that the gain margins approaches infinity, demonstrating the stability of the reactor for all power levels. The phase margin at nominal power is about 60 degrees, however it shows a non-monotonous dependence on power, with minimal value obtained for about 10% of nominal power. As power level is further increased, the phase margin also increases, demonstrating the reactor becomes more stable. This behavior may be of high importance in load-follow scenarios, where the power level of the reactor changes with time. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Scaling Behavior of Thermally Driven Fractures in Deep Low‐Permeability Formations: A Plane Strain Model With 1‐D Heat Conduction

Abstract Injection of cold fluids through/into deep formations may cause significant cooling, thermal stress, and possible thermal fracturing. In this study, the thermal fracturing of low‐permeability formations under one‐dimensional heat conduction was investigated using a plane strain model. Dimensionless governing equations, with dimensionless fracture length , aperture , spacing , time , and effective confining stress , were derived. Solution of single thermal fracture was derived analytically, while solution of multiple fractures with constant (or dynamic) spacing were obtained using the displacement discontinuity method (and stability analysis). For single fracture, increases nonlinearly with and then transitions to scaling law , indicating that late‐time fracture length increases linearly with the square root of cooling time. For constantly spaced fractures, deviates from the single‐fracture solution at a later for a larger , showing slower propagation under inter‐fracture stress interaction . For dynamically spaced fractures, fracture arrest induced by stress interaction was determined by the stability analysis; the fully transient solution provides evolution of dimensionless fracture length, spacing, aperture, and pattern; a similar scaling law, with , obtained shows the effect of both stress interaction and fracture arrest. The solution and scaling law provide fast predictions for all reservoir and cooling conditions using (single) model parameter . Application to a geothermal site with demonstrates that thermal fractures reach 0.67, 6.25, and 78.00 m in length, 0.49, 2.30, and 13.00 m in spacing, and 0.43, 2.09, and 12.19 mm in aperture at 1, 100, and 10,000 days.

Chen, Bin↗

Stability of superthermal strahl electrons in the solar wind

We present a kinetic stability analysis of the solar wind electron distribution function consisting of the Maxwellian core and the magnetic-field aligned strahl, a superthermal electron beam propagating away from the sun. We use an electron strahl distribution function obtained as a solution of a weakly collisional drift-kinetic equation, representative of a strahl affected by Coulomb collisions but unadulterated by possible broadening from turbulence. This distribution function is essentially non-Maxwellian and varies with the heliospheric distance. The stability analysis is performed with the Vlasov–Maxwell linear solver leopard. We find that depending on the heliospheric distance, the core-strahl electron distribution becomes unstable with respect to sunward-propagating kinetic-Alfvén, magnetosonic, and whistler modes, in a broad range of propagation angles. The wavenumbers of the unstable modes are close to the ion inertial scales, and the radial distances at which the instabilities first appear are on the order of 1 au. However, we have not detected any instabilities driven by resonant wave interactions with the superthermal strahl electrons. Instead, the observed instabilities are triggered by a relative drift between the electron and ion cores necessary to maintain zero electric current in the solar wind frame (ion frame). Contrary to strahl distributions modelled by shifted Maxwellians, the electron strahl obtained as a solution of the kinetic equation is stable. Our results are consistent with the previous studies based on a more restricted solution for the electron strahl.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

On hybrid scenarios in KSTAR

We report the status of hybrid scenario experiments in Korea Superconducting Tokamak Advanced Research (KSTAR). The hybrid scenario is defined as stationary discharges with ${\beta _{\rm{N}}}$ $ \geqslant $ 2.4 and ${H_{89}}$ $ \geqslant $ 2.0 at ${q_{95}}$ < 6.5 without or with very mild sawtooth activities in KSTAR. It is being developed towards reactor-relevant conditions. High performance of ${\beta _{\rm{N}}} \lesssim 3.0$, ${H_{89}} \lesssim 2.4$ and G-factor ($ \equiv {\beta _{\rm{N}}}{H_{89}}/q_{95}^2$) $ \lesssim 0.4$6 has been achieved and sustained for $ \gtrsim 40{{\tau }_{\text{E}}}$ at ne/nGW ~ 0.7 with heating power of $ \lesssim $5 MW. Some KSTAR hybrid discharges exhibit a unique feature of a slow transition from conventional H-mode to hybrid mode after the third neutral beam injection. The reason for the confinement enhancement is extensively studied in this transition period of a representative discharge exhibiting a common feature of KSTAR hybrid scenarios. 0D performance analysis with magnetohydrodynamic activities, 1D kinetic profile dynamics, power balance analysis, linear gyro-kinetic analysis and edge pedestal stability analysis were conducted. The enhancement is thought to be from both the core and the pedestal. The improvement in the core region of the ion energy channel is observed from the linear gyro-kinetic analysis considering the electromagnetic, the fast ion, the Shafranov shift, ${\it{\omega }_{E \times B}}$, and the magnetic shear effect. The electromagnetic finite $\beta $ stabilisation plays a role in the inner core region at ${\rho _{\rm{tor}}}\sim0.35$ together with the fast ion effect. The alpha stabilisation effect is also found at ${\rho _{\rm{tor}}}\sim0.5$. ${\omega _{E \times B}}$, which could reduce the linear growth of the ion temperature gradient mode in the outer core region at ${\rho _{\rm{tor}}}\sim0.5 - 0.7$ with the highest contribution from the toroidal rotation. Furthermore, regarding the improvement in the pedestal, Shafranov shift broadens the stability boundary of the pedestal in support of the diamagnetic effect. The pedestal height and width could be reproduced by the EPED model, while a realistic current profile is used to calculate the internal inductance for Shafranov shift. Based on these findings, a comprehensive confinement enhancement mechanism has been proposed by considering the core-edge interplay.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Detecting and Analyzing Power System Disturbances in PMU Data with the Open-Source Archive Walker Tool

As the number of Phasor Measurement Units (PMUs) deployed in power systems increases, so do the archives of synchrophasor measurements stored by utilities. Significant value can be extracted from these archives by using them to support studies such as frequency response analysis, small-signal stability analysis, and power plant model validation. To better enable utilities to perform these studies, the open-source Archive Walker tool was developed. This tool examines PMU data for grid disturbances and periods of interest. Once identified, the data can be further analyzed inside Archive Walker or exported to specialty tools. In this paper, the various disturbance detectors available in Archive Walker are described, and its interactions with other openly-available tools are highlighted.

Follum, James D.↗

Long-term stability-degradation analysis of DUNE SiPMs in Liquid Nitrogen

We developed a cryogenic photon readout system to monitor arrays of DUNE SiPMs operating at various over-voltages in liquid nitrogen (LN2) for over three months. Photoelectron signals were read out simultaneously via weak capacitive coupling to the micro-FEMB, a 32-channel charge sensitive readout board designed for 77 K to 300 K operation in liquid argon time projection chambers (LAr-TPCs). A waveform snippet acquisition scheme was implemented to capture waveform signals whenever they exceeded a predetermined trigger level; consequently, empty waveforms were discarded. Selected SiPM parameters were monitored to detect any deviations beyond statistical fluctuations. While some parameters exhibited ~1σ variations over the 3-month test period, there was no evidence of drift being enhanced when operating at 4 V or 5 V compared to a 3 V over-voltage. However, a discernible PDE drop was observed across all channels, which warrants further investigation. In addition, we demonstrated that our system can simultaneously read out single photons from a selected group of SiPMs at room temperature.

Tsang, Thomas [Brookhaven]↗