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At least 127 records · Page 7

Association Between Changes in Timing of Spring Onset and Asthma Hospitalization in Maryland

The proposed association between climate change and increased burden of allergic diseases are based on three different thematic observational studies that have linked (i) increased CO 2 concentration with higher pollen production, (ii) warmer air/surface temperatures with early spring onset and longer pollen season, and (iii) higher pollen exposure with increased risk of asthma hospitalizations. Yet empirical evidence collectively linking climate change with pollen season and asthma exacerbation is still lacking. Using satellite observations, in situ pollen monitoring data, and hospitalization records (2001-2012), here we show that changes in the timing of spring onset resulting from ongoing climate variability and change is directly related to a longer tree pollen season and increased risk of asthma hospitalization. More specifically, we observed that very early start of season (SOS) to be associated with 10% increase in risk of asthma hospitalization (Incident Rate Ratio (IRR): 1.10, 95% Confidence Interval (CI): 1.02- 1.20) while late onset of SOS to be associated with 3% increase in risk of asthma hospitalization in Maryland (IRR: 1.03, 95% CI: 0.97-1.11), however the risk in the latter case was not statistically significant. Our results serve as a wake-up call to public health and medical communities regarding the need to anticipate and adapt to the ongoing changes in the timing and severity of the spring allergy season.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Interannual variability of spring and summer monsoon growing season carbon exchange at a semiarid savanna over nearly two decades

Eddy covariance measurements of land-atmosphere energy, carbon, and water exchange now span multiple decades at some sites, supporting an improved understanding of flux interannual variability (IAV) and its ecophysiological and physical controls. Most eddy covariance IAV studies have focused on temperate forest ecosystems, where carbon fluxes are large and flux records are longest – but also where IAV is much lower than in dryland regions, which have been identified as an essential driver of the trend and variability in the global terrestrial carbon sink. In this study, we leveraged 19 years of continuous micrometeorological measurements at the AmeriFlux US-SRM mesquite savanna site in southern Arizona, USA to quantify the IAV, trends, and drivers of carbon fluxes during the distinct spring and summer growing seasons. We also assessed the ability of modern satellite and land surface models to capture the IAV of seasonal water and carbon fluxes. Annual net ecosystem production (NEP) was small and highly variable (23 +/- 64 gC m –2 yr –1 ). Precipitation and associated measures of water availability determined most of the variability in NEP, largely through their influence on annual and seasonal gross ecosystem productivity (GEP) as opposed to ecosystem respiration (ER). Root-zone soil moisture captured between 73% (spring) and 85% (summer) of GEP variability and between 73% (spring) and 58% (summer) of ER variability. Throughout the study period, soil moisture and greenness increased with associated increases in GEP, ER and NEP. These trends were strongly influenced by very productive and wet summer growing seasons during the last two years, which were characterized by abundant understory grass cover. Typically, less than half of the variability in growing season GEP and evapotranspiration was captured by satellite-based estimates and land surface model simulations with local site forcing and calibration, highlighting the ongoing utility of long-term datasets to support careful model testing and improvement.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

High-Latitude Stratospheric Aerosol Geoengineering Can Be More Effective if Injection Is Limited to Spring

Stratospheric aerosol geoengineering focused on the Arctic could substantially reduce local and worldwide impacts of anthropogenic global warming. Because the Arctic receives little sunlight during the winter, stratospheric aerosols present in the winter at high latitudes have little impact on the climate, whereas stratospheric aerosols present during the summer achieve larger changes in radiative forcing. Injecting SO 2 in the spring leads to peak aerosol optical depth (AOD) in the summer. We demonstrate that spring injection produces approximately twice as much summer AOD as year-round injection and restores approximately twice as much September sea ice, resulting in less increase in stratospheric sulfur burden, stratospheric heating, and stratospheric ozone depletion per unit of sea ice restored. Furthermore, we also find that differences in AOD between different seasonal injection strategies are small compared to the difference between annual and spring injection.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Observed and Projected Changes of Large‐Scale Environments Conducive to Spring MCS Initiation Over the US Great Plains

Abstract Mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) are frequent over the US Great Plains during spring. The link between large‐scale environments and spring MCS initiation were well established. Here, historical and future changes of spring large‐scale environments favorable for MCS initiation are investigated using an MCS tracking data set, ERA5 reanalysis, and 20 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) models. The frequency of Great Plains low‐level jet (GPLLJ)‐related MCS environments is found to have increased by ∼41% from 1979 to 2019, consistent with the enhanced GPLLJ and more frequent MCSs. Comparing CMIP6 AMIP and historical experiments, we find that the observed GPLLJ strengthening and more frequent MCS environments are mainly due to the decadal sea‐surface temperature variations rather than external forcings. Under a high emission scenario, the frequency of GPLLJ‐related environments favorable for MCS initiation will increase by ∼65% during 2015–2100, along with a stronger GPLLJ, suggesting more frequent MCSs over the US Great Plains in a warming world.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Widespread spring phenology effects on drought recovery of Northern Hemisphere ecosystems

The time required for an ecosystem to recover from severe drought is a key component of ecological resilience. The phenology effects on drought recovery are, however, poorly understood. These effects centre on how phenology variations impact biophysical feedbacks, vegetation growth and, ultimately, recovery itself. Using multiple remotely sensed datasets, we found that more than half of ecosystems in mid- and high-latitudinal Northern Hemisphere failed to recover from extreme droughts within a single growing season. Earlier spring phenology in the drought year slowed drought recovery when extreme droughts occurred in mid-growing season. Delayed spring phenology in the subsequent year slowed drought recovery for all vegetation types (with importance of spring phenology ranging from 46% to 58%). The phenology effects on drought recovery were comparable to or larger than other well-known postdrought climatic factors. These results strongly suggest that the interactions between vegetation phenology and drought must be incorporated into Earth system models to accurately quantify ecosystem resilience.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Phenological responses of temperate and boreal trees to warming depend on ambient spring temperatures, leaf habit, and geographic range

Changes in plant phenology associated with climate change have been observed globally. What is poorly known is whether and how phenological responses to climate warming will differ from year to year, season to season, habitat to habitat, or species to species. Here, we present 5 y of phenological responses to experimental warming for 10 subboreal tree species. Research took place in the open-air B4WarmED experiment in Minnesota. The design is a two habitat (understory and open) × three warming treatments (ambient, +1.7 °C, +3.4 °C) factorial at two sites. Phenology was measured twice weekly during the growing seasons of 2009 through 2013. We found significant interannual variation in the effect of warming and differences among species in response to warming that relate to geographic origin and plant functional group. Moreover, responses to experimental temperature variation were similar to responses to natural temperature variation. Warming advanced the date of budburst more in early compared to late springs, suggesting that to simulate interannual variability in climate sensitivity of phenology, models should employ process-based or continuous development approaches. Differences among species in timing of budburst were also greater in early compared to late springs. Our results suggest that climate change—which will make most springs relatively “early”—could lead to a future with more variable phenology among years and among species, with consequences including greater risk of inappropriately early leafing and altered interactions among species.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Analysis and Experimental Testing of a New Type of Variable Stiffness Magnetic Spring with a Linear Stroke Length

In this paper a new type of variable stiffness magnetic spring is proposed. The magnetic spring is composed of radially magnetized outer rotor magnets coupled with axially magnetized inner cylindrical magnets. It is shown that this magnet arrangement creates a highly linear stroke length. By rotating the inner magnetic rotor, the stiffness of the spring can be adjusted. The force as a function of stroke length and torque required to adjust the stiffness were computed using finite element analysis and then verified using an experimental test setup.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Modelling the coupled mercury-halogen-ozone cycle in the central Arctic during spring

Near-surface mercury and ozone depletion events occur in the lowest part of the atmosphere during Arctic spring. Mercury depletion is the first step in a process that transforms long-lived elemental mercury to more reactive forms within the Arctic that are deposited to the cryosphere, ocean, and other surfaces, which can ultimately get integrated into the Arctic food web. Depletion of both mercury and ozone occur due to the presence of reactive halogen radicals that are released from snow, ice, and aerosols. In this work, we added a detailed description of the Arctic atmospheric mercury cycle to our recently published version of the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem 4.3.3) that includes Arctic bromine and chlorine chemistry and activation/recycling on snow and aerosols. The major advantage of our modelling approach is the online calculation of bromine concentrations and emission/recycling that is required to simulate the hourly and daily variability of Arctic mercury depletion. We used this model to study coupling between reactive cycling of mercury, ozone, and bromine during the Multidisciplinary drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate (MOSAiC) spring season in 2020 and evaluated results compared to land-based, ship-based, and remote sensing observations. The model predicts that elemental mercury oxidation is driven largely by bromine chemistry and that particulate mercury is the major form of oxidized mercury. The model predicts that the majority (74%) of oxidized mercury deposited to land-based snow is re-emitted to the atmosphere as gaseous elemental mercury, while a minor fraction (4%) of oxidized mercury that is deposited to sea ice is re-emitted during spring. Our work demonstrates that hourly differences in bromine/ozone chemistry in the atmosphere must be considered to capture the springtime Arctic mercury cycle, including its integration into the cryosphere and ocean.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Field Evaluation of the High Efficiency Dehumidification System (HEDS) at the Timken Museum of Art - Measurement and Verification (M&V) Results from Summer, Winter and Spring Evaluation Periods

The High Efficiency Dehumidification System (HEDS) technology from Conservant Systems Inc., installed at the Timken Museum of Art in San Diego, California, was evaluated to determine its performance relative to appropriate baseline operation. Data was collected for measurement and verification for several weeks during three evaluation periods: Summer (Aug-Sep 2023), Winter (Dec 2023-Feb 2024) and Spring (May-Jun 2024). The evaluation included operating the heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) system in both constant air volume (CAV) and variable air volume (VAV) modes, with and without the HEDS energy recovery and HVAC system optimization technology enabled. The electricity consumption of the chiller and the gas-supplied reheat energy were measured to characterize savings achieved by the HEDS operation. Based on these measurements, the HEDS was responsible for chiller electrical load savings during the summer evaluation period of 39% and 42% for the CAV and VAV operating modes, respectively; 97% and 100% chiller electrical load reductions were observed during the winter evaluation for the CAV and VAV operating modes, respectively; and the corresponding reductions during the spring evaluation were 42% and 52% for CAV and VAV operation, respectively. The measured reheat energy reductions, which are typically provided by natural gas, due to the HEDS during summer were 64% and 97% in CAV and VAV operating modes, respectively, while the corresponding values were 99% and 78% during the winter evaluation, and 59% and 56% during the spring evaluation.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Adjustable support spring

Restraining spring mechanism acting against a force has adjustable spring constant, and its performance is not affected by changes in ambient pressure. Natural frequency of device is varied by changing absolute pressures within bellows and may be tuned to prevent coupling while maintaining a given spring constant.

Hadland, W. O.↗

The line spring model for surface flaws.

A model is discussed for the analysis of long part-through surface cracks in the walls of plate or shell structures. Such problems are formulated within the context of two dimensional plate and shell theory with the part-cracked section represented as a line-spring in the middle surface. The spring allows relative separations and rotations of the middle surface, and constitutive laws relating these discontinuities to the prevailing force and moment per unit length at any point are taken from the plane strain solution for a strip in combined tension and bending, which contains an edge crack of a corresponding depth. Prior work is reviewed and further line spring constitutive laws are discussed as appropriate to elastic analysis with thermal or residual stresses and to elastic-plastic analysis, with yielding in the ligament between the crack front and far wall in the latter case.

Rice, J. R.↗

Evaluation of a stall-flutter spring-damper pushrod in the rotating control system of a CH-54B helicopter

Results of a design and flight test program conducted to define the effect of rotating pushrod damping on stall-flutter induced control loads are presented. The CH-54B helicopter was chosen as the test aircraft because it exhibited stall induced control loads. Damping was introduced into the CH-54B control system by replacing the standard pushrod with spring-damper assemblies. Design features of the spring-damper are described and the results of a dynamic analysis are shown which define the pushrod stiffness and damping requirements. Flight test measurements taken at 47,000 lb gross weight with and without the damper are presented. The results indicate that the spring-damper pushrods reduced high frequency, stall-induced rotating control loads by almost 50%. Fixed system control loads were reduced by 40%. Handling qualities in stall were unchanged, as expected.

Nettles, W. E.↗

Soil moisture ground truth: Steamboat Springs, Colorado, site and Walden, Colorado, site

Ground-truth data taken at Steamboat Springs and Walden, Colorado in support of the NASA missions in these areas during the period March 8, 1976 through March 11, 1976 was presented. This includes the following information: snow course data for Steamboat Springs and Walden, snow pit and snow quality data for Steamboat Springs, and soil moisture report.

Jones, E. B.↗

Influences of joystick spring resistance on the execution of simple and complex positioning movements

To provide good proprioceptive feedback in a manual control device for a designation task, spring resistance of a joystick was optimized by adjustment of centering force and deflection nonlinearly with each other by using the psychophysical method of cross modality matching. Designation with zero and first order systems showed that the coarse adjustment was insensitive to stick and certain task parameters, although it was influenced by some biomechanical parameters and the anticipated demands of the final control positioning. Only the more difficult fine adjustment is sensitive to parameter alterations and therefore suitable for optimization attempts. The strong centering of the stick by a nonlinear degressive spring resistance facilitates fine adjustment. Through this, total adjustment time with the first order system is reduced by more than thirty percent, compared to a linear resistance. Tracking experiments affirm the usefulness and preference of nonlinear spring resistance.

Rothbauer, G.↗

Evaluation of spring wheat and barley crop calender models for the 1979 crop year

During the Large Area Crop Inventory Experiment, spring wheat planting date and crop development stage estimates based on historical normals were improved by the use of the Feyerherm planting date and Robertson spring wheat crop calendar models. The Supporting Research Crop Calendar Project element modified the Robertson model to reduce bias at cardinal growth stages within the growing season. These models were tested in 1980 along with a state-of-the-art barley model (Williams) against a ground-truth data set from 49 calendar year 1979 segments in the U.S. Great Plains spring wheat and barley region.

Nazare, C. V.↗

Evaluation of the Doraiswamy-Thompson winter wheat crop calendar model incorporating a modified spring restart sequence

The Robertson phenology was used to provide growth stage information to a wheat stress indicator mode. A stress indicator model demands two acurate predictions from a crop calendar: date of spring growth initiation; and crop calendar stage at growth initiation. Several approaches for restarting the Robertson phenology model at spring growth initiation were studied. Although best results were obtained with a solar thermal unit method, an alternate approach which indicates soil temperature as the controlling parameter for spring growth initiation was selected and tested. The modified model (Doraiswamy-Thompson) is compared to LACIE-Robertson model predictions.

Taylor, T. W.↗