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DOE OSTI2021

Uniformly Ordered Binary Decision Algorithm for Benchmark Experiment Correlations in Whisper Validation

When performing a validation exercise for determining the upper subcritical limit of a nuclear criticality safety application, an analyst should select and perform a statistical analysis on a population of benchmark experiments that are neutronically similar to the application. The size of this population should be sufficiently large such that the statistical analysis has a high degree of confidence that the bias plus bias uncertainty (calculational margin) has been accurately quantified. A complication arises because many benchmark experiments share common components, leading to correlations in their measured effective multiplication factors. Correlations between benchmark experiments within the population reduces its predictive power. This motivates the need for methods that consider benchmark experiment correlations and ensure adequate statistical significance of results. The Whisper code is a statistical analysis pack- age that incorporates nuclear data sensitivity coefficients from MCNP to assess benchmark experiment similarity and then performs an extreme-value analysis to estimate the bias plus bias uncertainty. The original methodology in Whisper does not consider the effect of benchmark experiment correlations when making this estimation, and this summary proposes the uniformly ordered binary decision algorithm to address this shortcoming. The original methodology in Whisper computes similarity coefficients ck for an application compared to all benchmark experiments in its library and develops weighting factors for a selected population proportional to the ck values. The methodology can be interpreted as statistically emulating a validation exercise for a particular application where the weighting factors may be viewed as the likelihood that an analyst would include a particular benchmark experiment within the population. The effective sample size of the population is the expected or mean number of benchmark experiments in the population. The uniformly ordered binary decision algorithm identifies clusters of correlated benchmark experiments within the population and then computes adjusted weighting factors based on the magnitude of the correlation coefficients within the cluster to compute a reduced effective sample size accounting for the lower information content because of correlations. Benchmark experiments within the cluster are ordered randomly with equal probability and probabilistic decisions are made as to whether a benchmark. experiment within the cluster should treated as redundant with a previous one; if two redundant benchmark experiments are included, then the conservative worst case bias plus bias uncertainty is used and the pair is counted as a single benchmark experiment in the population. Results are provided for HEU solutions in a research version of the Whisper software using benchmark experiment correlations provided by DICE, the Database for the International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project (ICSBEP). These show that there can be a significant increase in the bias plus bias uncertainty because the effective sample size is reduced, and therefore the algorithm, needing to meet sample size requirements, expands the benchmark experiment population by accepting less similar benchmark experiments that would have otherwise not been included.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Integrating Flow Imaging Analysis and Single-Particle ICP-TOFMS for Comprehensive Micro- and Nanoplastic Characterization

Flow imaging analysis (FIA), provides composition-agnostic morphological characterization. These measurements of particle size and shape are valuable to mass-based analysis, such as single particle inductively coupled plasma time-of-flight mass spectrometry (sp-ICP-TOFMS), which provides quantitative data on elements within particles. Using these two methods together enables informed use of geometric assumptions required by sp-ICP-TOFMS, as particle mass is typically converted to a particle diameter using assumed-spherical geometry. To validate this concept, parallel measurements to determine particle diameters were performed by FIA and sp-ICP-TOFMS on four particle suspensions: 300 nm polystyrene Eu-doped nanoparticles, 1 μm Fe-rich beads, 3 μm four element calibration polystyrene beads and 5 μm polystyrene beads. The Fe-particles obtained the highest percent difference from the manufacturer’s nominal diameter, as the mean diameter obtained by FIA was overestimated by 21% and sp-ICP-TOFMS underestimated the mean diameter by 20.7%. Two types of particles were selected to test the effect of varying the particle number concentrations (PNC) on sizing accuracy, and both methods accurately sized each particle population at the PNC expected. Single particle analysis of carbon has continued to be a popular research topic, with direct applications to environmental pollutants in terms of nano- and micro- plastics. Real-world plastic particles were studied, and FIA’s measured circularity values demonstrated that the particles deviated from spherical geometries, therefore sp-ICP-TOFMS data should be interpreted as mass-based rather than size-based. Combining these techniques enables improved interpretation of particle populations and evaluation of particle sizes.

Szakas, Sarah [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000241332197)↗

DOE OSTI2023

Standardized Luminosity of the Tip of the Red Giant Branch Utilizing Multiple Fields in NGC 4258 and the CATs Algorithm

Abstract The tip of the red giant branch provides a luminous standard candle for calibrating distance ladders that reach Type Ia supernova (SN Ia) hosts. However, recent work reveals that tip measurements vary at the ∼0.1 mag level for different stellar populations and locations within a host, which may lead to inconsistencies along the distance ladder. We pursue a calibration of the tip using 11 Hubble Space Telescope fields around the maser host, NGC 4258, that is consistent with SN Ia hosts by standardizing tip measurements via their contrast ratios. We find F814W-band tips that exhibit a full 0.3 mag range and 0.1 mag dispersion. We do not find any correlation between Hicolumn density and the apparent tip to 0.04 ± 0.03 mag/cm −2 . We search for a tip–contrast relation (TCR) and measure the TCR within the fields of NGC 4258 of −0.015 ± 0.008 mag/R, whereRis the contrast ratio. This value is consistent with the TCR originally discovered in the GHOSTS sample of −0.023 ± 0.005 mag/R. Combining these measurements, we find a global TCR of −0.021 ± 0.004 mag/Rand a calibration of M I TRGB = − 4.025 ± 0.035 − ( R − 4 ) × 0.021 mag. We also use stellar models to simulate single age and metallicity stellar populations with [Fe/H] from −2.0 to −0.7 and ages from 3 to 12 Gyr and reconstruct the global TCR found here to a factor of ∼2. This work is combined in a companion analysis with tip measurements of nearby SN Ia hosts to measureH 0 .

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗

NASA NTRS1980

Velocity dispersion of M87 using a population model

The velocity dispersion of M 87 (NGC 4486) is determined using (1) a single star of class K0 III and (2) two different population models to represent the spectral region of the G-band. Although the models fit the overall spectrum better than the single-star, there is only a small difference in the derived velocity dispersion. This work revises the earlier velocity dispersion result of Brandt and Roosen (1969) down to 350 km/sec, in agreement with Faber and Jackson (1976) and Sargent et al. (1978).

Angione, R. J.↗

NASA NTRS1995

Hopkins Ultraviolet Telescope observations of H2 toward the planetary nebula NGC 1535

We have observed the far-ultraviolet spectrum (912-1860 A) of the bright high-excitation planetary nebula NGC 1535 with approximately 3 A resolution using the Hopkins Ultraviolet Telescope (HUT) aboard the Astro-1 space shuttle pmission in 1990 December. We see strong continuum emission down to the Lyman limit and strong P Cygni profiles from high-excitation lines such as C IV wavelength 1549, N V wavelength 1240, O V wavelength 1371, and O VI wavelength 1035. Below 1150 A strong absorption bands of H2 are seen, which were unanticipated by us because of the low reddening and high galactic latitude of the object and the absence of detected H2 emission in the infrared. We construct model H2 spectra and convolve them to the HUT resolution for comparison with the NGC 1535 data. We find good agreement with a population distribution characterized by a single temperature (T = 300 K) or a two-temperature model (T = 144/500 K), and determine limits on the H2 column density. While both inter-stellar and circumstellar origins for the observed H2 absorption are plausible, we ascribe the material to the planetary nebula in order to estimate the conditions of excitation and place upper limits on the mass of both H2 and H1 in this system. Because the UV transitions are ground-state connected, we determine a stringent upper limit of 0.03 d(sup 2)(sub 1.6) solar mass on the mass of H2, where d(sub 1.6) is the distance relative to an assumed distance of 1.6 kpc. This value is less model-dependent than IR estimates. Along with the central star and nebular masses, these estimates allow us to limit the main-sequence mass of the progenitor star to less than 1.8 solar mass. This upper limit is consistent with a relatively low-mass extended thick disk or Population II progenitor, as expected for an object approximately 1 kpc off the galactic plane.

Bowers, Charles W.↗

NASA NTRS1986

Kinematic evidence of satellite galaxy populations in the potential wells of first-ranked cluster galaxies

The velocities of 38 centrally positioned galaxies (r much less than 100 kpc) were measured relative to the velocity of the first-ranked galaxy in 14 rich clusters. Analysis of the velocity distribution function of this sample and of previous data shows that the population cannot be fit by a single Gaussian. An adequate fit is obtained if 60 percent of the objects lie in a Gaussian with sigma = 250 km/s and the remainder in a population with sigma = 1400 km/s. All previous data sets are individually consistent with this conclusion. This suggests that there is a bound population of galaxies in the potential well of the central galaxy in addition to the normal population of the cluster core. This is taken as supporting evidence for the galactic cannibalism model of cD galaxy formation.

Cowie, L. L.↗

DOE OSTI2024

High incidence and geographic distribution of cleft palate in Finland are associated with the IRF6 gene

In Finland, the frequency of isolated cleft palate (CP) is higher than that of isolated cleft lip with or without cleft palate (CL/P). This trend contrasts to that in other European countries but its genetic underpinnings are unknown. We conducted a genome-wide association study in the Finnish population and identified rs570516915, a single nucleotide polymorphism highly enriched in Finns, as strongly associated with CP (P = 5.25 × 10 -34 , OR = 8.65, 95% CI 6.11-12.25), but not with CL/P (P = 7.2 × 10 -5 ), with genome-wide significance. The risk allele frequency of rs570516915 parallels the regional variation of CP prevalence in Finland, and the association was replicated in independent cohorts of CP cases from Finland (P = 8.82 × 10 -28 ) and Estonia (P = 1.25 × 10 -5 ). The risk allele of rs570516915 alters a conserved binding site for the transcription factor IRF6 within an enhancer (MCS-9.7) upstream of the IRF6 gene and diminishes the enhancer activity. Oral epithelial cells derived from CRISPR-Cas9 edited induced pluripotent stem cells demonstrate that the CP-associated allele of rs570516915 concomitantly decreases the binding of IRF6 and the expression level of IRF6, suggesting impaired IRF6 autoregulation as a molecular mechanism underlying the risk for CP.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2022

High-resolution infrared spectroscopy of supersonically cooled singlet carbenes: Bromomethylene (HCBr) in the CH stretch region

First high-resolution spectra of cold (~35 K) singlet bromomethylene HCBr in the CH stretching (v 1 ) region from 2770 to 2850 cm-1 are reported using near quantum shot-noise limited laser absorption methods in a slit jet supersonic discharge expansion source. Three rovibrational bands are identified at high S/N (20:1 - 40:1) and rotationally assigned to i) the CH stretch fundamental (v 1 ) band $\tilde{X}$(1,0,0) ← $\tilde{X}$ (0,0,0) and ii) vibrational hot bands ($\tilde{X}$(1,1,0) ← $\tilde{X}$(0,1,0) and $\tilde{X}$(1,0,1) ← $\tilde{X}$(0,0,1)) arising from vibrationally excited HCBr populated in the discharge with single quanta in either the H–C–Br bend (v 2 ) or C–Br stretch (v 3 ) modes. Precision rotational constants are reported for a total of six states, with an experimentally determined CH stretch vibrational frequency (2799.38 cm -1 ) in good agreement with previous low-resolution fluorescence studies. Detailed analysis of the fundamental v 1 band highlights the presence of perturbations in the $\tilde{X}$(1,0,0) level, which we tentatively attribute to arise from the nearby triplet state $\tilde{a}$(0,0,1) through spin-orbit interaction or the multiple quanta $\tilde{X}$(0,2,1) singlet state via c-type Coriolis coupling. Reduced-Doppler resolution (60 MHz) in the slit-jet IR spectrometer permits clear observation of nuclear spin hyperfine structure, with experimental line shapes well reproduced by nuclear quadrupole/spin-rotation coupling constants from microwave studies. Lastly, the a-type to b-type transition intensity ratio for the fundamental CH stretch band is notably larger than predicted by a bond-dipole model, which from high level ab initio quantum calculations (CCSD(T)/PVQZ) can be attributed to vibrationally induced “charge-sloshing” of electron density along the polar C–Br bond.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2020

Computational design of closely related proteins that adopt two well-defined but structurally divergent folds

The plasticity of naturally occurring protein structures, which can change shape considerably in response to changes in environmental conditions, is critical to biological function. While computational methods have been used for de novo design of proteins that fold to a single state with a deep free-energy minimum [P.-S. Huang, S. E. Boyken, D. Baker, Nature 537, 320–327 (2016)], and to reengineer natural proteins to alter their dynamics [J. A. Davey, A. M. Damry, N. K. Goto, R. A. Chica, Nat. Chem. Biol.13, 1280–1285 (2017)] or fold [P. A. Alexander, Y. He, Y. Chen, J. Orban, P. N. Bryan, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 106, 21149–21154 (2009)], the de novo design of closely related sequences which adopt well-defined but structurally divergent structures remains an outstanding challenge. We designed closely related sequences (over 94% identity) that can adopt two very different homotrimeric helical bundle conformations—one short (~66 Å height) and the other long (~100 Å height)—reminiscent of the conformational transition of viral fusion proteins. Crystallographic and NMR spectroscopic characterization shows that both the short- and long-state sequences fold as designed. We sought to design bistable sequences for which both states are accessible, and obtained a single designed protein sequence that populates either the short state or the long state depending on the measurement conditions. The design of sequences which are poised to adopt two very different conformations sets the stage for creating large-scale conformational switches between structurally divergent forms.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Spectra and characteristics of somatic mutations induced by ionizing radiation in hematopoietic stem cells

Spectra and frequencies of spontaneous and X-ray-induced somatic mutations were revealed with mouse long-term hematopoietic stem cells (LT-HSCs) by whole-genome sequencing of clonal cell populations propagated in vitro from single isolated LT-HSCs. SNVs and small indels were the most common types of somatic mutations, and increased up to twofold to threefold by whole-body X-irradiation. Base substitution patterns in the SNVs suggested a role of reactive oxygen species in radiation mutagenesis, and signature analysis of single base substitutions (SBS) revealed a dose-dependent increase of SBS40. Most of spontaneous small deletions were shrinkage of tandem repeats, and X-irradiation specifically induced small deletions out of tandem repeats (non-repeat deletions). Presence of microhomology sequences in non-repeat deletions suggested involvement of microhomology mediated end-joining repair mechanisms as well as nonhomologous end-joining in radiation-induced DNA damages. We also identified multisite mutations and structural variants (SV), i.e., large indels, inversions, reciprocal translocations, and complex variants. The radiation-specificity of each mutation type was evaluated from the spontaneous mutation rate and the per-Gy mutation rate estimated by linear regression, and was highest with non-repeat deletions without microhomology, followed by those with microhomology, SV except retroelement insertions, and multisite mutations; these types were thus revealed as mutational signatures of ionizing radiation. Further analysis of somatic mutations in multiple LT-HSCs indicated that large fractions of postirradiation LT-HSCs originated from single LT-HSCs that survived the irradiation and then expanded in vivo to confer marked clonality to the entire hematopoietic system, with varying clonal expansion and dynamics depending on radiation dose and fractionation.

63 RADIATION, THERMAL, AND OTHER ENVIRON. POLLUTAN↗

DOE OSTI2021

Nanoscale chromatin imaging and analysis platform bridges 4D chromatin organization with molecular function

Extending across multiple length scales, dynamic chromatin structure is linked to transcription through the regulation of genome organization. However, no individual technique can fully elucidate this structure and its relation to molecular function at all length and time scales at both a single-cell level and a population level. Here, we present a multitechnique nanoscale chromatin imaging and analysis (nano-ChIA) platform that consolidates electron tomography of the primary chromatin fiber, optical super-resolution imaging of transcription processes, and label-free nano-sensing of chromatin packing and its dynamics in live cells. Using nano-ChIA, we observed that chromatin is localized into spatially separable packing domains, with an average diameter of around 200 nanometers, sub-megabase genomic size, and an internal fractal structure. The chromatin packing behavior of these domains exhibits a complex bidirectional relationship with active gene transcription. Furthermore, we found that properties of PDs are correlated among progenitor and progeny cells across cell division.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Reactor Pressure Vessel Fracture Mechanics Development and Concrete Application Testing for Grizzly

The Grizzly code is being developed to address degradation issues in nuclear reactor structures and components. For light-water reactors, Grizzly currently has capabilities to simulate degradation processes and their effects on structural integrity in two key areas: reactor pressure vessels (RPVs) and reinforced concrete structures. This report documents improvements made to Grizzly’s ability to address both of these structural systems. For RPVs, the reduced-order models (ROMs) used in fracture mechanics calculations have been expanded to allow their application over a broader range of the parameter space than was permitted by the previous models. The ROMs currently used in Grizzly for the evaluation of flaws that are fully embedded within the RPV (as opposed to surface-breaking flaws) are based on a model that is known to be conservative, indicating higher stress intensity factors than would be obtained from direct simulations. A more accurate model that eliminates these excess conservatisms has been recently included in the American Society of Mechanical Engineers Boiler and Pressure Vessel Code but was not applicable for flaws near the RPV surface, which is where the most critical flaws are usually located. That model has recently been extended for increased applicability in this near-surface region. The ROMs for embedded flaws in the Grizzly code have been expanded to include these recent extensions, which permit their use in a much broader set of cases than previously possible. Direct 3D simulations have been used to check these ROMs and have shown good agreement in most cases, although there are still some cases that need further investigation. There are considerable benefits to using these these more accurate and less conservative ROMs for embedded flaws. On a benchmark probabilistic fracture mechanics problem tested here, the conditional probability of fracture initiation computed for a population of flaws in a single plate in an RPV decreased by over a factor of 3. To address aging in reinforced concrete structures, a capability to simulate multiple degradation mechanisms, including alkali-silica reaction and radiation-induced volumetric expansion has been developed in Grizzly over the past several years. This had previously been demonstrated on laboratory-scale specimens but not on full-scale nuclear concrete structures with reinforcement. To demonstrate the applicability of Grizzly to the analysis of large-scale structures of interest, a full 3D model of a representative reinforced concrete structure, including a complex arrangement of reinforcing bars, was developed and demonstrated in Grizzly.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

NASA NTRS1987

Star formation in the merging Galaxy NGC3256

The central 5 kpc of the ultra-luminous merging galaxy NGC 3256 was mapped at J, H, K, L, and 10 micrometer, and a 2 micrometer spectra of the nuclear region was obtained. This data was used to identify and characterize the super starburst which has apparently been triggered and fuelled by the merger of two gas rich galaxies. It is also shown that the old stellar population has relaxed into a single spheroidal system, and that a supernova driven wind might eventually drive any remaining gas from the system to leave a relic which will be indistinguishable from an elliptical galaxy.

Graham, James R.↗

NASA NTRS2013

Experiments with a Parallel Multi-Objective Evolutionary Algorithm for Scheduling

Evolutionary multi-objective algorithms have great potential for scheduling in those situations where tradeoffs among competing objectives represent a key requirement. One challenge, however, is runtime performance, as a consequence of evolving not just a single schedule, but an entire population, while attempting to sample the Pareto frontier as accurately and uniformly as possible. The growing availability of multi-core processors in end user workstations, and even laptops, has raised the question of the extent to which such hardware can be used to speed up evolutionary algorithms. In this paper we report on early experiments in parallelizing a Generalized Differential Evolution (GDE) algorithm for scheduling long-range activities on NASA's Deep Space Network. Initial results show that significant speedups can be achieved, but that performance does not necessarily improve as more cores are utilized. We describe our preliminary results and some initial suggestions from parallelizing the GDE algorithm. Directions for future work are outlined.

scheduling↗

NASA NTRS2017

Coastal California's Fog as a Unique Habitable Niche: Design for Autonomous Sampling and Preliminary Aerobiological Characterization

Just as on the land or in the ocean, atmospheric regions may be more or less hospitable to life. The aerobiosphere, or collection of living things in Earth's atmosphere, is poorly understood due to the small number and ad hoc nature of samples studied. However, we know viable airborne microbes play important roles, such as providing cloud condensation nuclei. Knowing the distribution of such microorganisms and how their activity can alter water, carbon, and other geochemical cycles is key to developing criteria for planetary habitability, particularly for potential habitats with wet atmospheres but little stable surface water. Coastal California has regular, dense fog known to play a major transport role in the local ecosystem. In addition to the significant local (1 km) geographical variation in typical fog, previous studies have found that changes in height above surface of as little as a few meters can yield significant differences in typical concentrations, populations and residence times. No single current sampling platform (ground-based impactors, towers, balloons, aircraft) is capable of accessing all of these regions of interest.A novel passive fog and cloud water sampler, consisting of a lightweight passive impactor suspended from autonomous aerial vehicles (UAVs), is being developed to allow 4D point sampling within a single fog bank, allowing closer study of small-scale (100 m) system dynamics. Fog and cloud droplet water samples from low-altitude aircraft flights in nearby coastal waters were collected and assayed to estimate the required sample volumes, flight times, and sensitivity thresholds of the system under design.125 cloud water samples were collected from 16 flights of the Center for Interdisciplinary Remotely Piloted Aircraft Studies (CIRPAS) instrumented Twin Otter, equipped with a sampling tube collector, occurring between 18 July and 12 August 2016 below 1 km altitude off the central coast. The collector was flushed first with 70 ethanol, then with sterile DI water, between sampling regions. Collected volumes ranged from 100 L to 12 mL. All samples were diluted serially and plated on two different types of agar, nutrient-dense (PCA) and sparse (R-2A). Plates were incubated at room temperature and counted when colonies first appeared and again at 2 weeks.Preliminary results from seven flights are consistent with generally reported colony-forming unit (CFU) values for terrestrial fog water (e.g., [4]). The PCA assay ranged from 400 to 125,000 CFU/mL, R-2A from 700 to 130,000 CFU/mL. PCA and R-2A counts were not significantly different from each other at I^ plus or minus +/- 0.05, although observationally, the R2A plates had more pigmented colonies. CFU counts from the majority of flights were not different from each other in mean at the same level of significance, but about half differed in median, indicating differences in underlying distribution. These results validate the presence of viable microorganisms in coastal California fog at levels that should be easily detectable by our sampling system. The indicated distribution differences underscore the need for small-scale, long-term sampling surveys. Future planned work includes ion chromatography for limiting nutrients, ATP quantification, and qPCR for several microbial classes of interest.

Coastal↗

DOE OSTI2020

Implications from Monitoring Gopher Tortoises at Two Spatial Scales

A problem that conservation biologists face is how to monitor species, given both resource limitations and the inherent challenges of assessing long-term demographic processes. We assessed gopher tortoise (Gopherus polyphemus) abundance at a landscape scale and at the scale of 3 local populations within the Conecuh National Forest (CNF).USA between 1991 and 2017. Landscape-level data were collected 26 from line transect distance sampling arranged uniformly across the CNF and collected during a single season (2011); data for local populations were generated from long-term mark-recapture of individuals at three sites selected based on prior knowledge of high density at each. At a landscape scale, we estimated 5,242 (95% CI = 3,538-7,768) tortoises occurred across the approximately 34,000-ha forest, yielding a density of 0.14-0.32 tortoises/ ha. These low densities across the landscape suggest that, on average, management activities across the property have not allowed tortoise populations to retain social structure needed for long-term persistence. The three local populations, however, contained 25-60 individuals and densities of 1.9–6.9 tortoises/ha. Over the study period, populations at two sites were stable and the third experienced significant population growth. Mean annual survival of individuals was 0.89 and invariant across size classes. Altogether, line transect distance sampling is important for assessing landscape-scale abundance of tortoises but may fail to detect local clusters of high-density sites important for population persistence. Our mark-recapture efforts at the local scale revealed that small populations on these high-density sites can exhibit long-term stability or growth even though they do not meet current established criteria for viability. Improved models that incorporate immigration and emigration and better reflect dynamics of peripheral populations would assist in determining how such populations best contribute to species recovery and regional conservation targets.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Lens Modeling of STRIDES Strongly Lensed Quasars Using Neural Posterior Estimation

Strongly lensed quasars can be used to constrain cosmological parameters through time-delay cosmography. Models of the lens masses are a necessary component of this analysis. To enable time-delay cosmography from a sample of $\mathcal{O}(10^3)$ lenses, which will soon become available from surveys like the Rubin Observatory’s Legacy Survey of Space and Time and the Euclid Wide Survey, we require fast and standardizable modeling techniques. To address this need, we apply neural posterior estimation (NPE) for modeling galaxy-scale strongly lensed quasars from the Strong Lensing Insights into the Dark Energy Survey (STRIDES) sample. NPE brings two advantages: speed and the ability to implicitly marginalize over nuisance parameters. We extend this method by employing sequential NPE to increase precision of mass model posteriors. We then fold individual lens models into a hierarchical Bayesian inference to recover the population distribution of lens mass parameters, accounting for out-of-distribution shift. After verifying our method using simulated analogs of the STRIDES lens sample, we apply our method to 14 Hubble Space Telescope single-filter observations. We find the population mean of the power-law elliptical mass distribution slope, γ lens , to be $\mathcal{M}_γ$ lens = 2.13 ± 0.06. Our result represents the first population-level constraint for these systems. This population-level inference from fully automated modeling is an important stepping stone toward cosmological inference with large samples of strongly lensed quasars.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

AMMPER: Agent-based Model for Microbial Populations Exposed to Radiation

Exposure of microbial populations to galactic cosmic radiation (GCR) in the deep-space radiation environment may lead to intracellular damage that compromises the ability of cells to repair and replicate. While simulation programs of deep-space radiation do exist, they focus primarily on single-cell damage, rather than population-wide effects. In this work, a new application and graphical user interface, Agent-Based Model for Microbial Populations Exposed to Radiation (AMMPER) is presented, which simulates the effects of proton-based GCR on Saccharomyces cerevisiae population growth. AMMPER consists of a 50x50x50 µm simulation space, analogous to an aqueous culture medium with non-limiting nutrient and pH buffering, in a microwell plate or microfluidic culture card. This model utilizes Relativistic Ion Tracks (RITRACKS) to create detailed track structures of the radiation traversals. AMMPER then calculates the radiation dose present at each cell, and subsequently determines the damage (chromosomal aberrations, oxidative stress, etc.) and resulting loss of cell viability from both primary and secondary radiative effects. Through implementing cell replication, repair, damage, and death, the effect of radiation exposure on the population growth can be determined. With AMMPER, long-duration effects of the deep space environment on entire populations can be determined and used to assess the feasibility of sustaining life in space.

Amrita Singh↗