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At least 127 records · Page 7

The impact of aerosol mixing state on immersion freezing: insights from classical nucleation theory and particle-resolved simulations

Immersion freezing, initiated by ice-nucleating particles (INPs) in supercooled aqueous droplets, plays an important role in the formation of ice crystals within clouds. The efficiency of immersion freezing depends strongly on INP composition and, crucially, on the mixing state – how chemical species are distributed across the particle population. Here, we quantify the impact of aerosol mixing state on immersion freezing using a combined theoretical and particle-resolved modeling approach. We derive analytical expressions for the frozen fraction of internally and externally mixed INP populations based on classical nucleation theory, showing that the frozen fraction is sensitive to whether ice-active species are present in all particles or only in a subset of the population. We introduce a multi-species immersion freezing scheme into the particle-resolved model PartMC, using the water activity-based immersion freezing model (ABIFM) to compute freezing probabilities for mixed-composition particles. To improve computational efficiency, we implement a Binned Tau-Leaping algorithm and demonstrate an order-of-magnitude speedup with minimal accuracy loss. Simulations reproduce the analytical trends in limiting cases and extend the analysis to more general aerosol populations, where mixing state continues to exert a substantial control on frozen fraction. Sensitivity analyses across particle size, species type, and cooling condition reveal that the mixing state effect is most pronounced when small amounts of highly efficient INPs are mixed with less efficient materials. These findings underscore the need to represent aerosol mixing state explicitly in models of heterogeneous ice nucleation to reduce uncertainty in cloud-phase partitioning.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Elastomer coated filler and composites thereof comprising at least 60% by weight of a hydrated filler and an elastomer containing an acid substituent

The impact resistance of flame retardant composites, especially thermoplastic molding: compounds containing over 60% hydrated mineral filler such as Al(OH)3 or Mg(OH)2 as improved by coating the filler with 1 to 20% of an elastomer. The composite will fail by crazing or shearing rather than by brittle fracture. A well bonded elastomeric interphase resulted by utilizing acidic substituted resins such as ethyl-hexyl acrylate-acrylic acid copolymers which bond to and are cross-linked by the basic filler particles. Further improvement in impact resistance was provided by incorporating 1 to 10% of a resin fiber reinforcement such as polyvinyl alcohol fibers that decompose to yield at least 30% water when heated to decomposition temperature.

Mueller, W. A.↗

Accurately simulating nine-dimensional phase space of relativistic particles in strong fields

Next-generation high-power laser systems that can be focused to ultra-high intensities exceeding 10 23 W/cm 2 are enabling new physics regimes and applications. The physics of how these lasers interact with matter is highly nonlinear, relativistic, and can involve lowest-order quantum effects. The current tool of choice for modeling these interactions is the particle-in-cell (PIC) method. In the presence of strong electromagnetic fields, the motion of charged particles and their spin is affected by radiation reaction (either the semi-classical or the quantum limit). Standard (PIC) codes usually use Boris or similar operator-splitting methods to advance the particles in standard phase space. These methods have been shown to require very small time steps in the strong-field regime in order to obtain accurate results. In addition, some problems require tracking the spin of particles, which creates a nine-dimensional (9D) particle phase space, i.e., (x, u, s). Therefore, numerical algorithms that enable high-fidelity modeling of the 9D phase space in the strong-field regime (where both the spin and momentum evolution are affected by radiation reaction) are desired. Here we present a new particle pusher that works in 9D and 6D phase space (i.e., with and without spin) based on analytical rather than leapfrog solutions to the momentum and spin advance from the Lorentz force, together with the semi-classical form of radiation reaction in the Landau-Lifshitz equation and spin evolution given by the Bargmann-Michel-Telegdi equation. Analytical solutions for the position advance are also obtained, but these are not amenable to the staggering of space and time in standard PIC codes. These analytical solutions are obtained by assuming a locally uniform and constant electromagnetic field during a time step. The solutions provide the 9D phase space advance in terms of a particle's proper time, and a mapping is used to determine the proper time step duration for each particle as a function of the lab frame time step. Due to the analytical integration of particle trajectory and spin orbit, the constraint on the time step needed to resolve trajectories in ultra-high fields can be greatly reduced. The time step required in a PIC code for accurately advancing the fields may provide additional constraints. We present single-particle simulations to show that the proposed particle pusher can greatly improve the accuracy of particle trajectories in 6D or 9D phase space for given laser fields. We have implemented the new pusher into the PIC code Osiris. Example simulations show that the proposed pusher provides improvement for a given time step. A discussion on the numerical efficiency of the proposed pusher is also provided.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Particle classification by image analysis improves understanding of corn stover degradation mechanisms during deconstruction

Biomass feedstock heterogeneity is a principal roadblock to implementation of the biorefinery concept. Even within an identical cultivar of corn stover, different bales contain not only varying abundance moisture, ash, glucan, and other chemical compounds, but also varying abundance of tissue anatomies (e.g., leaf, husk, cob, or stalk). These different anatomical components not only differ in their response to pretreatment and enzymatic hydrolysis to glucose, but also vary in their mechanical and conveyance properties. Although this heterogeneous nature of corn stover feedstock has been identified as a challenge, a fundamental knowledge gap of how these tissues behave during biorefining processing remains. Here, we demonstrate the use of a commercial fiber image analyzer typically used for wood fiber characterization to monitor the particle size and shapes of non-woody feedstock during milling, pretreatment, and hydrolysis. Additionally, we present novel use of Gaussian process classification to distinguish bundle, parenchyma, and fiber particles to an accuracy of 96.4%. Quantitative probability distribution plots for characteristics such as length and roundness allow elucidation of particle morphology as pretreatment and enzymatic hydrolysis progress. In both stalk pith and stalk rind, particles peel into individual cells whose walls are subsequently fragmented during enzymatic hydrolysis.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Positive Role of Fluorine Impurity in Recovered LiNi 0.6 Co 0.2 Mn 0.2 O 2 Cathode Materials

Lithium-ion battery (LIB) recycling is considered as an important component to enable industry sustainability. A massive number of LIBs in portable electronics, electric vehicles, and grid storage will eventually end up as wastes, leading to serious economic and environmental problems. Hence, tremendous efforts have been made to improve the hydrometallurgical recycling process because it is the most promising option for handling end-of-life LIBs owing to its wide applicability, low cost, and high productivity. Despite these advantages, some extra elements (Al, Fe, C, F, and so forth) remain as impurities in the removal process and are retained in the solution, which is a great challenge to obtain high-quality cathode materials. In this work, the impacts caused by fluorine impurity on the LiNi 0.6 Co 0.2 Mn 0.2 O 2 (NCM622) cathode are intensively investigated via hydrometallurgical coprecipitation for the first time. Our results show that up to 1 at. % fluorine impurity brings a positive influence on the recovered material due to a higher Ni 2+ ratio on the surface of cathode particles. In addition, the presence of fluoride ions during coprecipitation could lead to the formation of holes in cathode particles, which improves the rate capability and cyclability dramatically. Compared to the virgin material, the capacity of the NCM622 material with 0.2 at. % fluorine impurity is boosted by ~8% (167.7 mA h/g) with a remarkable capacity retention of 98.0% after 100 cycles at 0.33 C. Besides, the cathode with 0.2 at. % fluorine impurity shows a far better rate performance, especially at high rates (~7% increased at 5 C) than that of virgin. Furthermore, these results convince that a low concentration of fluorine impurity is desirable in the hydrometallurgical recycling process. More importantly, this study offers implications in the design of high-performance NCM622 cathode materials via coprecipitation production with ion doping in the near future.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Probing Naturalness with Searches for Supersymmetric Higgs Partners at the Large Hadron Collider

The discovery of the Higgs boson at the Large Hadron Collider completed the standard model of particle physics and led to the 2013 Nobel Prize. While it has been extremely successful in describing a wide variety of phenomena, the standard model cannot be the final theory of nature because it is unable to explain why the Higgs boson mass lies at the electroweak scale rather than 16 orders of magnitude larger at the Planck scale, a theoretical flaw known as the ``hierarchy problem.'' Supersymmetry is a standard model extension that could provide a natural solution to the hierarchy problem by introducing light supersymmetric Higgs partners. This proposal focused on searches that are sensitive to supersymmetric Higgs partners in data collected by the ATLAS experiment, which were carried out by the University of Illinois high-energy physics group led by PI Ben Hooberman as part of his Department of Energy Early Career Research Program award from 2017-2023. The searches were complemented by improvements to particle identification algorithms and the ATLAS trigger system that extend the sensitivity of future supersymmetry searches.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Bi-modal particle size distribution for high energy product hybrid Nd–Fe–B—Sm–Fe–N bonded magnets

In this work, we have demonstrated high energy product bonded magnet by leveraging the variation in sizes between Nd-Fe-B and Sm-Fe-N, as well as their hard magnetic properties. The hybrid anisotropic bonded magnets contain 70 vol% of magnet powder (Dy-free Nd-Fe-B and Sm-Fe-N) and 30 vol% of nylon. The objective of the work was to create bi-modal and bi-compositional bonded magnets in which the fine (3μm) particles of Sm-Fe-N would be used to fill the voids between the bigger Nd-Fe-B (105μm) particles, thus improve packing density. The magnetic hysteresis loop did not show significant signs of decoupled interactions between the magnetic phases. It was also found that the performance of the bonded magnet was most enhanced at 1:4 ratio of Nd-Fe-B and Sm-Fe-N. At that ratio, maximum density of 5 g/cm 3 and the highest (BH) max value of 18.5 MGOe were obtained, although the intrinsic coercivity decreased, relative to the trend seen for other ratios. This work advances the opportunity to expand the use of Sm-Fe-N in bonded magnet applications.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Advanced Nanocarbons for Enhanced Performance and Durability of Platinum Catalysts in Proton Exchange Membrane Fuel Cells

Insufficient stability of current carbon supported Pt and Pt alloy catalysts is a significant barrier for proton-exchange membrane fuel cells (PEMFCs). As a primary degradation cause to trigger Pt nanoparticle migration, dissolution, and aggregation, carbon corrosion remains a significant challenge. Compared with enhancing Pt and PtM alloy particle stability, improving support stability is rather challenging due to carbon's thermodynamic instability under fuel cell operation. In recent years, significant efforts have been made to develop highly durable carbon-based supports concerning innovative nanostructure design and synthesis along with mechanistic understanding. Here, this review critically discusses recent progress in developing carbon-based materials for Pt catalysts and provides synthesis–structure–performance correlations to elucidate underlying stability enhancement mechanisms. The mechanisms and impacts of carbon support degradation on Pt catalyst performance are first discussed. The general strategies are summarized to tailor the carbon structures and strengthen the metal–support interactions, followed by discussions on how these designs lead to enhanced support stability. Based on current experimental and theoretical studies, the critical features of carbon supports are analyzed concerning their impacts on the performance and durability of Pt catalysts in fuel cells. Finally, the perspectives are shared on future directions to develop advanced carbon materials with favorable morphologies and nanostructures to increase Pt utilization, strengthen metal-support interactions, facilitate mass/charge transfer, and enhance corrosion resistance.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Tunable structure and reinforcement of polyvinyl alcohol (PVA) hydrogels using fungal chitin particles

Polysaccharides, including chitin, are one of the most abundant biopolymers in nature and are increasingly recognized as a sustainable alternative to petroleum-derived plastics and synthetic fillers in polymer composites. Traditionally sourced from crustacean shells, chitin offers mechanical strength and biocompatibility with limitations also in processability and functionality. Fungal-derived chitin material represents a promising alternative, with advantages including scalable fermentation on low-cost substrates, absence of shellfish allergens, and tunable molecular architectures that vary by species, developmental stage, and growth environment. Here, in this study, we systematically examined chitinous materials obtained from taxonomically and functionally distinct fungi, Laccaria bicolor, Trichoderma reesei and Rhizopus oryzae, to assess their structural, chemical, and morphological properties as reinforcement agents in polymer composites. Mild alkaline pretreatment was employed to obtain mycelium chitin particles, thereby improving accessibility to chitin and co-occurring β-D-glucans while maintaining microparticle integrity. Comprehensive FTIR and solid-state NMR analyses revealed species-specific differences in chemical composition and microstructure, with R. oryzae exhibiting a unique spectral signature. These fungal-derived chitin were then incorporated into poly(vinyl alcohol) (PVA) hydrogels, where they acted as reinforcing fillers without the need for additional chemical crosslinkers. Comparative evaluation of hydrogel properties demonstrated that fungal chitin significantly enhanced mechanical performance, with all mycelium fillers mitigating the water weakening in PVA hydrogels. R. oryzae-derived composites tripled the hydrogel tensile strength while the submicron fibrous morphology in L. bicolor contributes to over 45 % tensile improvement in dry PVA composites. Our findings highlight the potential of fungal biomass as a tunable, sustainable platform for producing chitin-based reinforcing agents.

Chitin↗

Highly durable platinum group metal-free catalyst fiber cathode MEAs for proton exchange membrane fuel cells

For this work, Fe-based platinum group metal (PGM)-free catalysts were incorporated into electrospun fiber mat or powder cathode membrane-electrode-assemblies (MEAs) with a Nafion 211 membrane and a Pt/C powder anode. Fabrication and characterization tests were performed on MEAs with: (1) a conventional powder cathode with a neat Nafion binder, (2) a fiber mat cathode with a Nafion/polyethylene oxide (PEO) binder, where PEO was extracted before MEA testing, (3) a powder cathode with a blended binder of Nafion and polyvinylidene fluoride (PVDF), and (4) a series of fiber mat cathodes with different Nafion/PVDF binder weight ratios. Cathode degradation occurred, with a loss in power output, in MEAs with a neat Nafion powder cathode or with a Nafion fiber cathode. In contrast, little or no power loss was observed for powder or fiber cathodes when the binder was a blend of Nafion and PVDF. The presence of hydrophobic PVDF drove water and electrogenerated peroxide out of the cathode, away from catalyst particles, which improved cathode durability, but PVDF also decreased the binder conductivity and slowed oxygen reduction kinetics, resulting in lower power densities. A 75:25 w:w Nafion:PVDF fiber cathode MEA was the best compromise for maximizing power and minimizing catalyst degradation. For such a cathode, with a PGM-free cathode catalyst loading of 3.0 mg cm –2 , a power density of 88 mW cm –2 at 0.5 V, 80 °C, and 200 kPa abs pressure was maintained for 80 h of continuous operation.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Advancing the physics basis for quasi-helically symmetric stellarators

A new optimized quasi-helically symmetric configuration is described that has the desirable properties of improved energetic particle confinement, reduced turbulent transport by three-dimensional shaping and non-resonant divertor capabilities. The configuration presented in this paper is explicitly optimized for quasi-helical symmetry, energetic particle confinement, neoclassical confinement and stability near the axis. Post optimization, the configuration was evaluated for its performance with regard to energetic particle transport, ideal magnetohydrodynamic stability at various values of plasma pressure and ion temperature gradient instability induced turbulent transport. The effects of discrete coils on various confinement figures of merit, including energetic particle confinement, are determined by generating single-filament coils for the configuration. Preliminary divertor analysis shows that coils can be created that do not interfere with expansion of the vessel volume near the regions of outgoing heat flux, thus demonstrating the possibility of operating a non-resonant divertor.

Physics↗

Nickel Speciation and Methane Dry Reforming Performance of Ni/Ce x Zr 1-x O 2 Prepared by Different Synthesis Methods

Herein, ceria–zirconia-supported Ni catalysts (Ni/Ce 0.83 Zr 0.17 O 2 or Ni/CZ) are prepared by dry impregnation, strong electrostatic adsorption, coprecipitation (CP), and combustion synthesis (CS). The nature and abundance of Ni species in these samples are characterized by X-ray adsorption spectroscopy, temperature-programmed reduction, and CO chemisorption. The bulk synthesis methods (i.e., CP and CS) produce Ni cations that are incorporated into the CZ lattice forming mixed-metal oxides with Ni 3+ species at low Ni content. The formation of mixed-metal oxides increases the reducibility of CZ and increases the abundance of active surface oxygen. All NiO/CZ catalysts are active for methane dry reforming and retain some of their activity at a steady state. The initial methane conversion correlates linearly with the fraction of accessible Ni after reduction. The predominant path of catalyst deactivation strongly depends on the structure of the catalyst and, thus, on the synthesis method used. All catalysts experience agglomeration of Ni particles under reaction conditions. Improving the Ni dispersion to isolated species embedded in a support does not improve resistance to Ni particle growth. Coke formation is inversely related to the concentration of active surface oxygen. The dominant deactivation mechanism for catalysts made by CS is the encapsulation of Ni particles by the support.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Application of a Chemical Index to Aerosol Mass Spectrometry: Delta Plots and Functional Group Distributions

A better understanding of the chemical properties of organic aerosol (OA) particles will improve our ability to characterize their sources and predict their lifetime. The high-resolution time-of-flight aerosol mass spectrometer (HR-ToF-AMS) is widely used to measure OA in real time using thermal vaporization followed by electron ionization (EI). EI creates fragment ions that can be assigned to functional groups using delta analysis, a method of classifying mass spectra according to the presence of different chemically related ion series. In this study, we demonstrate the application of delta analysis to characterize molecular structures using a new visualization method. We also use delta analysis to quantify the functional group distribution with an average absolute error of ∼5–6% for individual standard molecules, comparable to the error observed for OA mixtures from biomass and coal combustion fit with Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy. Finally, we apply delta functional group analysis to AMS positive matrix factorization (PMF) factors across seven different field campaigns and find a similar composition across the more oxidized factors with about 55% acid and 26% alcohol groups. The analysis method described here can be applied to any HR-ToF-AMS data set to provide quantitative relative functional group distributions for OA mixtures.

aerosol↗

Fine Ash-Bearing Particles as a Major Aerosol Component in Biomass Burning Smoke

Biomass burning (BB) events are occurring globally with increasing frequency, and their emissions are having more impacts on human health and climate. Large ash particles are recognized as a BB product with major influences on soil and water environments. However, fine-ash particles, which have diameters smaller than several microns and characteristic morphologies and compositions (mainly Ca and Mg carbonates), have not yet been explicitly considered as a major BB aerosol component either in field observations or climate models. This study measured BB aerosol samples using transmission electron microscopy (TEM) and ion chromatography during the Fire Influence on Regional to Global Environments and Air Quality (FIREX-AQ) campaign. We show that significant amounts of fine ash-bearing particles are transported >100 km from their fire sources. Our environmental chamber experiments suggest that they can act as cloud condensation and ice nuclei. We also found considerable amounts of fine ash-bearing particles in the TEM samples collected during previous campaigns (Biomass Burning Observation Project and Megacity Initiative: Local and Global Research Observations). These ash particles are commonly mixed with organic matter and make up ~8% and 5% of BB smoke by number and mass, respectively, in samples collected during the FIREX-AQ campaign. The measured ash-mass concentrations are approximately five times and six times greater than those of BB black carbon and potassium, respectively, scaling to an estimated global emission of 11.6 Tg yr -1 with a range of 8.8–16.3 Tg yr -1 . Better characterization and constraints on these fine ash-bearing particles will improve BB aerosol measurements and strengthen assessments of BB impacts on human health and climate.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Stabilized open metal sites in bimetallic metal–organic framework catalysts for hydrogen production from alcohols

Liquid organic hydrogen carriers such as alcohols and polyols are a high-capacity means of transporting and reversibly storing hydrogen that demands effective catalysts to drive the (de)hydrogenation reactions under mild conditions. We employed a combined theory/experiment approach to develop MOF-74 catalysts for alcohol dehydrogenation and examine the performance of the open metal sites (OMS), which have properties analogous to the active sites in high-performance single-site catalysts and homogeneous catalysts. Methanol dehydrogenation was used as a model reaction system for assessing the performance of five monometallic M-MOF-74 variants (M = Co, Cu, Mg, Mn, Ni). Co-MOF-74 and Ni-MOF-74 give the highest H 2 productivity. However, Ni-MOF-74 is unstable under reaction conditions and forms metallic nickel particles. To improve catalyst activity and stability, bimetallic (NixMg 1-x )-MOF-74 catalysts were developed that stabilize the Ni OMS and promote the dehydrogenation reaction. An optimal composition exists at (Ni 0.32 Mg 0.68 )-MOF-74 that gives the greatest H2 productivity, up to 203 mL gcat -1 min -1 at 300 °C, and maintains 100% selectivity to CO and H 2 between 225–275 °C. The optimized catalyst is also active for the dehydrogenation of other alcohols. DFT calculations reveal that synergistic interactions between the open metal site and the organic linker lead to lower reaction barriers in the MOF catalysts compared to the open metal site alone. This work expands the suite of hydrogen-related reactions catalyzed by MOF-74 which includes recent work on hydroformulation and our earlier reports of aryl-ether hydrogenolysis. Moreover, it highlights the use of bimetallic frameworks as an effective strategy for stabilizing a high density of catalytically active open metal sites.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Heavy ion beam probe for Wendelstein 7-X measurement capabilities as projected through its design

A heavy ion beam probe (HIBP) diagnostic is being developed for studies of plasma equilibrium and turbulence in the optimized Wendelstein 7-X (W7-X) stellarator. Operation of W7-X has experimentally demonstrated that its optimized magnetic field results in improved neoclassical particle confinement and, as a result, turbulence is the predominant cause of energy transport. The HIBP will have the unique ability to provide experimental data needed to complement models of both neoclassical and turbulent transport. It will acquire direct measurements in the W7-X plasma interior of the electric potential (needed for understanding ambipolar particle flux) and fluctuations of electron density and potential (needed for understanding turbulence). The HIBP for W7-X will inject singly charged ion beams with energies of up to 2 MeV and is designed to access the upper cross section of the W7-X plasma. We use trajectory simulations to illustrate the plasma coverage that the diagnostic can achieve in the reference magnetic configurations of W7-X. We calculate beam signal levels, discuss anticipated measurement sensitivity of broadband fluctuations of electron density and plasma potential, and show how they depend on plasma density. We also discuss the diagnostic sensitivity to equilibrium plasma potential.

Instruments & Instrumentation↗

The sweeper spectrometer for neutron invariant-mass spectroscopy at FRIB

Neutron invariant-mass spectroscopy (NIMS) is a key technique for studying unbound and weakly bound nuclei at the limits of stability. At the Facility for Rare Isotope Beams (FRIB), such measurements are performed using the Sweeper spectrometer, a large-gap, high-rigidity dipole system coupled to the MoNA-LISA neutron detector arrays. To meet the demands imposed by higher beam energies (>130 MeV/u) and the broad cocktail-beam selection available at FRIB, the spectrometer has recently been upgraded to improve particle-identification and detection performance. Upstream of the reaction target, a plastic scintillator with Silicon photomultiplier (SiPM) readout provides the global trigger and time reference, two parallel plate avalanche counters (PPACs) track the trajectories of incoming beam particles, and a silicon PIN detector measures the energy loss, ΔE, for charge (Z) identification. After the Sweeper magnet, the trajectories of the reaction products are tracked by two micro-pattern drift chambers (MPDCs), their charge (Z) is identified by a Frisch-grid ionization chamber (FG-IC), and their mass-to-charge ratio (A/Q) is deduced by time-of-flight measurement using a fast plastic scintillator read out by an array of photomultiplier tubes (PMTs). The detection system also incorporates the Modular Neutron Array (MoNA) for neutron detection and the CAESium-iodide scintillator ARray (CAESAR) for high-efficiency γ-ray measurements to enable full kinematic reconstruction. Performance was evaluated using a cocktail beam around 37 Al accelerated at E ≈ 130 MeV/u during the first FRIB campaign, demonstrating the readiness of the upgraded system for future studies of nuclei at and beyond the neutron drip line.

Particle identification methods↗

Smoke from 2020 United States wildfires responsible for substantial solar energy forecast errors

Abstract The 2020 wildfire season (May through December) in the United States was exceptionally active, with the National Interagency Fire Center reporting over 10 million acres ( > 40 000 km 2 ) burned. During the September 2020 wildfire events, large concentrations of smoke particulates were emitted into the atmosphere. As a result, smoke was responsible for ∼10%–30% reduction in solar power production during peak hours as recorded by the California Independent System Operator (CAISO) sites. In this study, we focus on a 9 d period in September when wildfire smoke had a profound impact on solar energy production. During the smoke episodes, hour-ahead forecasts utilized by CAISO did not include the effects of smoke and therefore overestimated the expected power production by ∼10%–50%. Here we use multiple observational networks and a numerical weather prediction (NWP) model to show that the wildfire events of 2020 had a significantly detrimental influence on solar energy production due to high aerosol loading. We find that including the contribution of biomass burning particles greatly improves the day-ahead solar energy bias forecast of both global horizontal irradiance and direct normal irradiance by nearly ∼50%. Our results suggest that a more comprehensive treatment of aerosols, including biomass burning aerosols, in NWP models may be an important consideration for energy grid balancing, in addition to solar resource assessment, as solar power reliance increases.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗