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DOE OSTI2024

Addressing Failures in Molten Salt Thermal Energy Storage Tank for Central Receiver Concentrating Solar Power Plants

The thermal energy storage (TES) system is a critical component in concentrated solar power (CSP) plants that increases the plant's capacity factor and economic competitiveness by reducing the levelized cost of energy (LCOE) while simultaneously increasing the value of the delivered energy. Failures including molten-salt leaks and diverse localized cracking after several months to a few years of operation have been reported in hot tanks for CSP plants operating around the world. A model of a molten salt thermal energy storage tank was developed and validated to analyze the impact of different tank design features on the temperature and stress distributions as a function of typical plant operation conditions. Design features included the floor plate thicknesses, friction coefficients between the tank floor and the foundation, and the sparger ring location. Maximum stresses in the tank floor frequently surpassed the yield point of the material during operation, leading to a detriment of the tank's lifetime. Recommendations on design features to improve the reliability of new molten salt tanks for CSP plants are provided.

concentrating solar power↗

DOE OSTI2024

Assessment of effective elastic constants of U-10Mo fuel microstructures

Monolithic U-10Mo fuel undergoes significant microstructural changes during fuel burnup which degrades its mechanical properties. In this talk, we present results form a numerical method to assess the impact of the various microstructural features--grains, intragranular and intergranular Xe gas bubbles--on the elastic stiffness tensor. Using the Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE), phase-field-based microstructures are combined with asymptotic expansion homogenization method to obtain effective elastic constants as a function of porosity and fission density. The results are verified and compared against analytical homogenization models. With this approach, elastic degradation in operating nuclear fuels can be quantified when the distributions of microstructural features are known from experimental characterization or rate-theory based models. We further develop an evolution model based on the virial equation of state for Xe gas and investigate the effect of growth and coalescence of the bubbles at the grain boundary faces and triple junctions.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Safety Functions and Features, Events and Processes for the E-Area Performance Assessment

The DOE Technical Standard, “Disposal Authorization Statement and Tank Closure Documentation,” (DOE 2017) recommends the use of safety functions and features, events and processes (FEPs) to support development of conceptual models and identification of scenarios to be considered in a performance assessment (PA). The FEP process provides a means to describe how a PA considers and addresses the factors that could influence the performance of key barriers. Understanding the roles of barriers in terms of limiting migration helps to focus on how changes in the system could lead to a situation where those roles cannot be fulfilled and there is the potential for compromised performance. The FEPs screening and review process was used to identify FEPs that are relevant for the EArea Low-Level Waste Facility (LLWF) and specifically those FEPs that could have a detrimental impact on the effectiveness of a given safety function. For this PA, a default list of FEPs developed at the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA 2004) and an approach implemented for PAs at the Hanford and Idaho sites (Mehta et al. 2016, DOE-ID 2019) are used to identify processes and events that could influence the effectiveness of a given safety function for the E-Area LLWF (e.g., subsidence can impact the safety function of the cover system and lead to increased infiltration). The Hanford and Idaho PAs represent two of the most recent applications of this approach. The PA evaluates the potential impacts of changes in performance of different features of the system and demonstrates that the safety functions represent multiple and redundant barriers. Barrier analyses, assuming a safety function is not present, also test the robustness of the system in the event of the loss of one or more safety functions. Such evaluations also support a qualitative illustration of the concept of defense in depth. The safety concept for closure of the E-Area LLWF (generically referred to as “E-Area”) encompasses a variety of different features (i.e., administrative controls, natural site features, and engineered barriers) that reduce the potential impacts on human health and the environment from the residual waste that will remain after closure. These features can be represented as a collection of safety functions acting independently and as a system to provide for overall safety. In some applications, there have been attempts to assign numerical expectations to specific safety functions, but that is not the intent in this case. The concept of safety functions is used more qualitatively in two ways for this PA: 1. To illustrate the robustness of the E-Area design, operational practices and closure approach by documenting features that are and are not credited in different modeling cases. 2. To identify the roles of the different features and potential processes and events that could compromise the performance of safety features and need to be considered when developing the modeling approach. This report addresses both safety functions and FEPs for the E-Area PA.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2023

Analysis of the impact of broad absorption lines on quasar redshift measurements with synthetic observations

ABSTRACT Accurate quasar classifications and redshift measurements are increasingly important to precision cosmology experiments. Broad absorption line (BAL) features are present in 15–20 per cent of all quasars, and these features can introduce systematic redshift errors, and in extreme cases produce misclassifications. We quantitatively investigate the impact of BAL features on quasar classifications and redshift measurements with synthetic spectra that were designed to match observations by the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) survey. Over the course of 5 yr, DESI aims to measure spectra for 40 million galaxies and quasars, including nearly three million quasars. Our synthetic quasar spectra match the signal-to-noise ratio and redshift distributions of the first year of DESI observations, and include the same synthetic quasar spectra both with and without BAL features. We demonstrate that masking the locations of the BAL features decreases the redshift errors by about 1 per cent and reduces the number of catastrophic redshift errors by about 80 per cent. We conclude that identifying and masking BAL troughs should be a standard part of the redshift determination step for DESI and other large-scale spectroscopic surveys of quasars.

(galaxies:) quasars: absorption↗

DOE OSTI2025

Flow matching beyond kinematics: Generating jets with particle identification and trajectory displacement information

We introduce the first generative model trained on the etlass dataset. Our model generates jets at the constituent level, and it is a permutation-equivariant continuous normalizing flow (CNF) trained with the flow matching technique. It is conditioned on the jet type, so that a single model can be used to generate the ten different jet types of etlass. For the first time, we also introduce a generative model that goes beyond the kinematic features of jet constituents. The etlass dataset includes more features, such as particle-ID and track impact parameter, and we demonstrate that our CNF can accurately model all of these additional features as well. Our generative model for etlass expands on the versatility of existing jet generation techniques, enhancing their potential utility in high-energy physics research, and offering a more comprehensive understanding of the generated jets. Published by the American Physical Society 2025

Birk, Joschka (ORCID:0000000219310127)↗

DOE OSTI2023

Data-driven analysis and prediction of stable phases for high-entropy alloy design

High-entropy alloys (HEAs) represent a promising class of materials with exceptional structural and functional properties. However, their design and optimization pose challenges due to the large composition-phase space coupled with the complex and diverse nature of the phase formation dynamics. In this study, a data-driven approach that utilizes machine learning (ML) techniques to predict HEA phases and their composition-dependent phases is proposed. By employing a comprehensive dataset comprising 5692 experimental records encompassing 50 elements and 11 phase categories, we compare the performance of various ML models. Our analysis identifies the most influential features for accurate phase prediction. Furthermore, the class imbalance is addressed by employing data augmentation methods, raising the number of records to 1500 in each category, and ensuring a balanced representation of phase categories. The results show that XGBoost and Random Forest consistently outperform the other models, achieving 86% accuracy in predicting all phases. Additionally, this work provides an extensive analysis of HEA phase formers, showing the contributions of elements and features to the presence of specific phases. We also examine the impact of including different phases on ML model accuracy and feature significance. Notably, the findings underscore the need for ML model selection based on specific applications and desired predictions, as feature importance varies across models and phases. This study significantly advances the understanding of HEA phase formation, enabling targeted alloy design and fostering progress in the field of materials science.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2022

Chemical Pressure-Derived Assembly Principles for Dodecagonal Quasicrystal Approximants and Other Complex Frank–Kasper Phases

The structures of complex intermetallic compounds can often be interpreted in terms of assemblies of units from simpler parent phases. For example, dodecagonal quasicrystals appear, when viewed down their high-symmetry axes, as plane-filling arrangements of square and triangular tiles corresponding to the Cr 3 Si and Al 3 Zr 4 structure types, respectively. The atomic arrangements and cell-dimensions at the (100) faces of the cells of these structures provide a close geometrical match, which underlies not only dodecagonal quasicrystals and their approximants, but also the much more common σ-phase structure. In this Article, we show that such intergrowth of parent structures can arise from more than just geometrical coincidences, but can be driven by a complementary matching of atomic packing forces. DFT-Chemical Pressure (CP) analysis on elemental versions of the Cr 3 Si and Al 3 Zr 4 types reveal that in both cases arrays of positive interatomic pressures inhibit the formation of optimal contacts elsewhere in the structures. When they are lined up at the potential Cr 3 Si/Al 3 Zr 4 interfaces, however, positive pressures from the two structures interdigitate rather than coincide, providing the opportunity for the relaxation of strained interatomic contacts. That such relief is afforded by the interfaces is confirmed by CP analysis of the σ-phase (FeCr-type) structure. Building on this scheme, we introduce the CP interface function to represent how the CP features of atoms within a structure impact planes or other surfaces that could serve as interfaces between different structures. Using this function, we then explore how the favorability of interfaces between Cr 3 Si and Al 3 Zr 4 -type units is tuned by partial elemental substitution with Si, as well as their potential matches with Laves phase units. Furthermore, the emerging picture provides an account for features of the quasicrystal approximants Mn 7 VSi 2 and Mn 81.5 Si 18.5 , as well as a framework for approaching intermetallic intergrowth structures more broadly.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2023

Changes in Tropical Cyclones Undergoing Extratropical Transition in a Warming Climate: Quasi-Idealized Numerical Experiments of North Atlantic Landfalling Events

The current study extends earlier work that demonstrated future extratropical transition (ET) events will feature greater intensity and heavier precipitation to specifically consider potential changes in the impacts of landfalling ET events in a warming climate. A quasi-idealized modeling framework allows comparison of highly similar present-day and future event simulations; the model initial conditions are based on observational composites, increasing representativeness of the results. The future composite ET event features substantially more impactful weather conditions in coastal areas, with heavier precipitation and greater storm intensity. Specifically, a Category 2 present-day storm attained Category 4 Saffir-Simpson intensity in the future simulation and maintained greater intensity throughout the entire life cycle, although the storm undergoes less reintensification during the post-ET process, a result of reduced baroclinic conversion. These findings suggest increased potential for coastal hazards due to stronger tropical cyclone winds and heavier rainfall, leading to more severe coastal flooding and storm surge.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Impacts of Superalloys on the Surface Quality of Additively Manufactured Channels

Abstract Gas turbines feature many components that require superalloys capable of handling extreme thermal environments. Increasing the selection of materials available for these components is important to their use in these extremely high-temperature environments. This study investigated two recently developed materials intended to be used for additive manufacturing (AM), with one superalloy based on cobalt and the other on nickel. Sets of four test coupons were built using the materials, in addition to the commonly used Inconel-718, on multiple laser powder bed fusion machines. Several build conditions were varied between coupon sets, including coupon orientation, contour settings, and upskin and downskin treatment. Each set of test coupons featured four unique cooling designs to explore how different cooling technologies would be impacted by the variations in build conditions. After being built, coupons were computed tomography (CT) scanned to determine accuracy to design intent and quantify the surface roughness. The CT scans indicated that horizontally built test coupons had a significantly higher deviation from design intent and higher surface roughness than those built vertically. Results also indicated that the cobalt-based alloy consistently had a smoother surface quality with lower surface roughness compared to the nickel-based alloy. After geometric characterization, the cooling performance of the test coupons was measured experimentally. Pressure losses were found to correlate with increases in surface roughness; however, in some cases, the convective heat transfer did not increase proportionally to the pressure loss as a result of surface features significantly blocking the flow without proportionally increasing convective heat transfer.

Engineering↗

DOE OSTI2024

Uncertainty-informed selection of CMIP6 Earth System Model subsets for use in multisectoral and impact models

Earth system models (ESMs) and general circulation models (GCMs) are heavily used to provide inputs to sectoral impact and multisector dynamic models, which include representations of energy, water, land, economics, and their interactions. Therefore, representing the full range of model uncertainty, scenario uncertainty, and interannual variability that ensembles of these models capture is critical to the exploration of the future co-evolution of the integrated human–Earth system. The pre-eminent source of these ensembles has been the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP). With more modeling centers participating in each new CMIP phase, the size of the model archive is rapidly increasing, which can be intractable for impact modelers to effectively utilize due to computational constraints and the challenges of analyzing large datasets. In this work, we present a method to select a subset of the latest phase, CMIP6, featuring models for use as inputs to a sectoral impact or multisector dynamics models, while prioritizing preservation of the range of model uncertainty, scenario uncertainty, and interannual variability in the full CMIP6 ensemble results. This method is intended to help impact modelers select climate information from the CMIP archive efficiently for use in downstream models that require global coverage of climate information. This is particularly critical for large-ensemble experiments of multisector dynamic models that may be varying additional features beyond climate inputs in a factorial design, thus putting constraints on the number of climate simulations that can be used. We focus on temperature and precipitation outputs of CMIP6 models, as these are two of the most used variables among impact models, and many other key input variables for impacts are at least correlated with one or both of temperature and precipitation (e.g., relative humidity). Besides preserving the multi-model ensemble variance characteristics, we prioritize selecting CMIP6 models in the subset that preserve the very likely distribution of equilibrium climate sensitivity values as assessed by the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report. This approach could be applied to other output variables of climate models and, possibly when combined with emulators, offers a flexible framework for designing more efficient experiments on human-relevant climate impacts. It can also provide greater insight into the properties of existing CMIP6 models.

Snyder, Abigail C.↗

DOE OSTI2021

Deuterium transport and retention properties of representative fusion blanket structural materials

Reduced activation ferritic-martensitic (RAFM) steels have been developed for decades for use as fusion blanket structural materials, and have advantages in both mechanical properties and irradiation resistance following careful engineering of the microstructure. However, the hydrogen isotope behavior in these proposed fusion structural materials is not well understood, but is important to assess since it impacts the fusion reactor safety and self-sufficient tritium fuel cycle. Here, we investigated deuterium transport and retention in representative advanced RAFM steels, including castable nanostructured alloys (CNAs), and oxide-dispersion-strengthened (ODS) steels. A gas-driven permeation (GDP) system was used to measure the permeability, diffusivity and solubility of the studied materials, covering the temperature range from 623 K to 873 K, and the loading pressures from 1.8 x 10 4 to 1.0 x 10 5 Pa. The results indicated that the deuterium permeability has little material dependence. In contrast, the deuterium diffusivity of the studied materials showed significant variation. The deuterium diffusivity in ODS steels is one order of magnitude lower than that in RAFM steels and CNAs, and correspondingly, have an effective solubility that is 2–10 times larger than RAFM steels and CNAs. In addition, thermal desorption spectroscopy (TDS) measurements were performed to assess the deuterium retention and desorption of these materials following a static thermal deuterium charging at 723 Kfor 1 hour under the deuterium pressure of 1.0 x 10 5 Pa. It was found that ODS steels exhibit the highest deuterium retention and have broader desorption peaks. Microstructural features contributing to deuterium retention and impacting deuterium transport are discussed to rationalize the observed deuterium behavior in the studied RAFM steels.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2022

Impacts of annealing treatment on the microstructure of U-Mo monolithic fuel plates

The objective of this paper is to analyze the effect of different heat treatments on the fuel microstructure and texture in laboratory scale monolithic U-Mo fuel plates. Such analyses are relevant as they could possibly inform future fabrication methods for the optimization of microstructure and of material properties to ultimately improve fuel performance during irradiation. For this reason, detail characterization including Energy x-ray dispersive spectroscopy (EDS) and electron backscattered diffraction (EBSD) techniques were applied on U-Mo plates fabricated with different heat treatments to understand the influence of fabrication on fuel microstructure. Here, U-Mo fresh fuel specimens with or without annealing treatments (homogenization and stress release annealing) after rolling were analyzed in this work. In this study for the first time EBSD was systematically used to analyze the heat treatments influence on texture present in fresh fuel monolithic U-Mo fuel plates. Such changes were connected to other known microstructural and chemical changes. In this work minimization of molybdenum concentration variation and gamma phase decomposition of the U-Mo fuel core after homogenization was observed. Also, an increase in the interaction layer of the U-Mo fuel core with the Zr interlayer diffusion barrier was observed with the UZr 2 growing up to 1 µm in thickness. Such microstructural changes were aligned to the changes in texture and grain structure. Indeed, common texture observed in body-centered cubic (BCC) metal after cold rolling (e.g., α, ξ, γ fibers) were minimized by the annealing/homogenization process. Moreover, grain structure was influenced by the fabrication route with elongated grains formed in the rolled sample and equiaxed grains found after annealing. Such features are relevant since the formation of microstructural features formed during fuel fabrication can impact fuel performance in reactor.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Macroscopic Traffic Modeling Using Probe Vehicle Data: A Machine Learning Approach

Abstract The macroscopic fundamental diagram (MFD) captures an orderly relationship among traffic flow, density, and speed at the network level. It is a simple yet powerful tool for modeling traffic dynamics in large urban networks with broad application in traffic control and management. However, empirically derived MFDs in urban regions require high-resolution traffic data from the network. Having the network flow and vehicular density estimated at the (granular) census tract level using vehicle probe data, we apply machine learning methods to predict the MFDs across U.S. urban areas and capture the impacts of location-specific input features on the network flow–density relationships at a large scale. The results show that, among the four tested machine learning approaches (Random Forest, XGBoost, Support Vector Machine, and Neural Network), XGBoost delivers the best performance in predicting network traffic flow based on vehicular density and location attributes. Using interaction Shapley Additive explanation (SHAP) values and partial correlation analysis, we examine the factors influencing MFD shapes across different locations. Our empirical findings reveal that across U.S. urban areas, network topology, transportation infrastructure, and land use are primary factors shaping MFD curves, while demand and trip-related factors play a lesser role. Specifically, higher ranking roads, centrality, and development levels correlate positively with network capacity and critical density, whereas negative associations are observed for network connectivity, mixed-use development, and road roughness levels.

Jin, Ling↗

DOE OSTI2022

Prediction of Self-Diffusion in Binary Fluid Mixtures Using Artificial Neural Networks

Artificial neural networks (ANNs) were developed to accurately predict the self-diffusion constants for individual components in binary fluid mixtures. The ANNs were tested on an experimental database of 4328 self-diffusion constants from 131 mixtures containing 75 unique compounds. The presence of strong hydrogen bonding molecules may lead to clustering or dimerization resulting in non-linear diffusive behavior. To address this, self- and binary association energies were calculated for each molecule and mixture to provide information on intermolecular interaction strength and were used as input features to the ANN. An accurate, generalized ANN model was developed with an overall average absolute deviation of 4.1%. Forward input feature selection reveals the importance of critical properties and self-association energies along with other fluid properties. Additional ANNs were developed with subsets of the full input feature set to further investigate the impact of various properties on model performance. The results from two specific mixtures are discussed in additional detail: one providing an example of strong hydrogen bonding and the other an example of extreme pressure changes, with the ANN models predicting self-diffusion well in both cases.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

DOE OSTI2024

Using Active Learning to Rapidly Develop Machine Learned Diffusion Coefficients of CO 2 Conversion Reagents in Metal–Organic Frameworks

Here, we used a combined molecular dynamics/active learning (AL) approach to create machine learning models that can predict the diffusion coefficient of epichlorohydrin and chloropropene carbonate, the reactant and product of a common CO 2 cycloaddition reaction, in metal–organic frameworks (MOFs). Nanoporous MOFs are effective catalysts for the cycloaddition of CO 2 to epoxides. The diffusion rates within nanoporous catalysts can control the rate of reaction as the reactants and products must diffuse to the active sites within the MOF and then out of the nanoporous material for reusability. However, the diffusion process is routinely ignored when searching for new materials in catalytic applications. Here we verified improvement during the AL process by consistently tracking metrics on the same groups of MOFs to ensure consistency. Metal identity was found to have little impact on diffusion rates, while structural features like pore limiting diameter act as a threshold where a minimum value is needed for high diffusion rates. We identified the MOFs with the highest epichlorohydrin and chloropropene carbonate diffusion coefficients which can be used for further studies of reaction energetics.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2025

Fingerprints of Triaxiality in the Charge Radii of Neutron-Rich Ruthenium

We present the first measurements with a new collinear laser spectroscopy setup at the Argonne Tandem Linac Accelerator System, utilizing its unique capability to deliver neutron-rich refractory metal isotopes produced by the spontaneous fission of 252 Cf. We measured isotope shifts from optical spectra for nine radioactive ruthenium isotopes 106–114 Ru, reaching deep into the mid-shell region. The extracted charge radii are in excellent agreement with predictions from the Brussels-Skyrme-on-a-Grid models that account for the triaxial deformation of nuclear ground states. We show that triaxial deformation impacts charge radii in models that feature shell effects, in contrast to what could be concluded from a liquid drop analysis. This indicates that this exotic type of deformation should not be neglected in regions where it is known to occur, even if its presence cannot be unambiguously inferred through laser spectroscopy.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2023

The eco-evolutionary role of fire in shaping terrestrial ecosystems

Fire is an inherently evolutionary process, even though much more emphasis has been given to ecological responses of plants and their associated communities to fire. Here, in this work, we synthesize contributions to a Special Feature entitled ‘Fire as a dynamic ecological and evolutionary force’ and place them in a broader context of fire research. Topics covered in this Special Feature include a perspective on the impacts of novel fire regimes on differential forest mortality, discussions on new approaches to investigate vegetation-fire feedbacks and resulting plant syndromes, synthesis of fire impacts on plant–fungal interactions, and a meta-analysis of arthropod community responses to fire. We conclude by suggesting pathways forward to better understand the ecological and evolutionary consequences of fire. These include developing ecological and evolutionary databases for fire ecology, integrating hierarchical genetic structure or phylogenetic structure, and developing new experimental frameworks that limit context-dependent outcomes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Two-Stage Estimation and Variance Modeling for Latency-Constrained Variational Quantum Algorithms

The quantum approximate optimization algorithm (QAOA) has enjoyed increasing attention in noisy, intermediate-scale quantum computing with its application to combinatorial optimization problems. QAOA has the potential to demonstrate a quantum advantage for NP-hard combinatorial optimization problems. As a hybrid quantum-classical algorithm, the classical component of QAOA resembles a simulation optimization problem in which the simulation outcomes are attainable only through a quantum computer. The simulation that derives from QAOA exhibits two unique features that can have a substantial impact on the optimization process: (i) the variance of the stochastic objective values typically decreases in proportion to the optimality gap, and (ii) querying samples from a quantum computer introduces an additional latency overhead. In this paper, we introduce a novel stochastic trust-region method derived from a derivative-free, adaptive sampling trust-region optimization method intended to efficiently solve the classical optimization problem in QAOA by explicitly taking into account the two mentioned characteristics. The key idea behind the proposed algorithm involves constructing two separate local models in each iteration: a model of the objective function and a model of the variance of the objective function. Exploiting the variance model allows us to restrict the number of communications with the quantum computer and also helps navigate the nonconvex objective landscapes typical in QAOA optimization problems. In conclusion, we numerically demonstrate the superiority of our proposed algorithm using the SimOpt library and Qiskit when we consider a metric of computational burden that explicitly accounts for communication costs.

Derivative-free Optimization↗