Possible effects of solar UV variations on ozone and climate
A one-dimensional photochemical model was used to estimate the consequences of 27-day, 11-year, 22-year, and several-hundred-year variations of ultraviolet solar radiation on the concentration of ozone and nitrogen dioxide, and a one-dimensional radiative-convective equilibrium model was used to assess the joint effect of the radiation and concentration variations on the global temperature structure. For the several-hundred-year variations, the ozone column density increases by about 17.5% from minimum to maximum solar UV flux. For the 11-year period the ozone column density fluctuates by only about 7%, the lack of a full response being due to the time required for vertical motions to redistribute ozone from the altitudes of maximum production to those of maximum steady-state value. The 22-year period shows a full response, which the density varies by less than a percent for the 27-day period. Climatic consequences of these results are briefly discussed.