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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 127 records · Page 7
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Adoption of AI in the Utility T&D Sector: Use Cases, Consequence, Assessment and Benefits

Digital transformation and utilization of artificial intelligence (AI) in the electric grid are fundamentally changing the industry’s approach to common problems and enabling a broader paradigm shift in grid planning and operations. The change in approach is circularly both enabling and driving modernization, with load growth and reliable management of data center and AI infrastructure shifting away from planning approaches with relatively predictable behaviors and toward a mix of consumer and industrial choices that surpass human cognitive abilities to process. This movement has potential to condition humans to not understand the system on which the AI depends, while requiring it for development of the necessary infrastructure. Approaches which would address most likely grid conditions and events, such as faults, aging of equipment, and weather, now must also account for large loads which shift not based upon weather or time of day, but the computational load. Quantifying computational load is independent of the traditional grid forecasting variables, where a data center’s aggregate load is determined by user and AI system behavior and decoupled from normal grid planning and operations. AI is both the cause and solution for these challenges, with new grid planning tools integrating massive amounts of decisions into frameworks.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2022

The Diurnal Dynamics of Gross Primary Productivity Using Observations From the Advanced Baseline Imager on the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite‐R Series at an Oak Savanna Ecosystem

Gross primary productivity (GPP) is the largest flux in the global carbon cycle and satellite-based GPP estimates have long been used to study the trends and interannual variability of GPP. With recent updates to geostationary satellites, we can now explore the diurnal variability of GPP at a comparable spatial resolution to polar-orbiting satellites and at temporal frequencies comparable to eddy covariance (EC) tower sites. We used observations from the Advanced Baseline Imager on the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite-R series (GOES-R) to test the ability of subdaily satellite data to capture the shifts in the diurnal course of GPP at an oak savanna EC site in California, USA that is subject to seasonal soil moisture declines. We compared three methods to estimate GPP: (a) a light-use efficiency model, (b) a linear relationship between the product of near-infrared reflectance of vegetation and photosynthetically active radiation (LIN-NIR v P) and EC tower GPP, and (c) a light response curve (LRC-NIR v P) between NIR v P and EC GPP. The LRC-NIR v P achieved the lowest mean absolute error for winter (2 µmol CO 2 m –2 s –1 ), spring (2.51 µmol CO 2 m –2 s –1 ), summer (1.43 µmol CO 2 m –2 s –1 ), and fall (1.35 µmol CO 2 m –2 s –1 ). The ecosystem experienced the largest shift in daily peak GPP in relation to the peak of incoming solar radiation toward the morning hours during the dry summers. The LRC-NIRvP and the light-use efficiency model were in agreement with these patterns of a shift in peak daily GPP toward the morning hours during summer. Our results can help develop diurnal estimates of GPP from geostationary satellites that are sensitive to fluctuating environmental conditions during the day.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

A 1-year study on SARS-CoV-2 variant shifts in wastewater using dPCR: comparison with clinical and GISAID data

Wastewater testing can be used to monitor SARS-CoV-2 infections in communities. Data from PCR-based wastewater testing are usually available to public health authorities within 5–7 days after excreta and other body fluids enter the sewer. While PCR-based methods can accurately detect and quantify SARS-CoV-2, sequencing-based methods are usually required to distinguish between variants, delaying the results and adding cost to the process. We developed and assessed a novel, customizable digital PCR (dPCR)-based genotyping method for SARS-CoV-2 variant detection in wastewater, which is more cost-effective, faster, and more accessible than sequencing. This approach was applied to more than 1,400 wastewater samples

Wilton, Rose↗
DOE OSTI2025

Utah FORGE: 16B(78)-32 RFS DSS Strain Change Rate vs. Depth During 16A(78)-32 Stimulation

This dataset contains strain change rate versus depth data acquired using a Rayleigh frequency shift (RFS) distributed strain sensing (DSS) system during hydraulic stimulation of well 16A(78)-32 at the Utah FORGE site in April 2024. The data were collected from an optical fiber installed in the annulus of production well 16B(78)-32, approximately 300 feet from the injection well. The dataset includes tabulated strain data and an explanation of the methodology used to generate the frac log, which integrates strain change rate signals over selected time windows to identify fracture events.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Coulomb phase corrections to the transverse analyzing power AN(t) in high energy forward proton-proton scattering

Study of the polarized proton-proton elastic scattering in the Coulomb Nuclear interference region allows one to measure forward hadronic spin-flip amplitude including the phase. However, in a precision experimental data analysis, a phase shift correction δC due to the long distance Coulomb interaction should be taken into account. For the unpolarized scattering, δC is commonly considered as well established. Here, we evaluate the Coulomb phase shifts for the spin-flip electromagnetic and hadronic amplitudes. The difference between spin-flip and non-flip Coulomb phase shifts was found to be negligible for current experimental accuracy in the high energy transverse spin elastic pp measurements. However, effective alteration of the hadronic spin-flip amplitude by the long distance electromagnetic corrections can be noticeable.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗
DOE OSTI2025

HDG-1 Fiber Bragg grating data analysis

The main goal of the High dose graphite 1 Advanced test reactor experiment was to study nuclear grade graphite at high fluences. Additional supplementary optical fiber instrumentation was added to this long duration experiment for instrumentation development purposes. The supplementary instrumentation consisted of two pure silica core, fluorine doped cladding optical fibers each etched with 9 fiber Bragg gratings, one fiber being heat treated for 9 hours at 750 C and 16 hours at 750 C, the other being heat treated for 24 hours at 550 C and 48 hours at 650 C. Fiber Bragg gratings are known to have issues of measurement drift when in high temperature and high radiation environments like what is encountered in the Advanced test reactor. At the culmination of this experiment, the optical fibers saw ~1.3E21 n/cm2 total fluence, which is at the highest fluences that fiber Bragg gratings have been studied to date. Reported here is the analysis of this data including radiation induced shift and changes in sensitivity.

46 - INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AN↗
DOE OSTI2021

Near L-edge Single and Multiple Photoionization of Doubly Charged Iron Ions

Using the photon-ion merged-beams technique at a synchrotron light source, we have measured relative cross sections for single and up to five-fold photoionization of Fe 2+ ions in the energy range of 690-920 eV. This range contains thresholds and resonances associated with ionization and excitation of 2p and 2s electrons. Calculations were performed to simulate the total absorption spectra. The theoretical results show very good agreement with the experimental data, if overall energy shifts of up to 2.5 eV are applied to the calculated resonance positions and assumptions are made about the initial experimental population of the various levels of the Fe 2+ ([Ar]3d 6 ) ground configuration. Furthermore, we performed extensive calculations of the Auger cascades that result when an electron is removed from the 2p subshell of Fe 2+ . These computations lead to a better agreement with the measured product-charge-state distributions as compared to earlier work. We conclude that the L-shell absorption features of low-charged iron ions are useful for identifying gas-phase iron in the interstellar medium and for discriminating against the various forms of condensed-phase iron bound to composite interstellar dust grains.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Power now, pay later: the evolution of U.S. residential solar financing

Most U.S. residential rooftop solar customers finance their solar purchases through loans or by buying power from third-party owned systems. Prior research demonstrates how third-party ownership (TPO) models such as leases emerged in the early 2010s and accelerated solar adoption by low- and moderate-income households while driving market concentration in the installation industry. Since 2015, loans have emerged as a prevalent financing alternative, but the potential effects of loans on the customer base and industry remain understudied. Here, we fill that research gap by developing a methodology to identify loan-financed and third-party owned systems in a household-level solar adopter data set. The data suggest that loans accounted for increasing solar market shares from 2017 until reaching as high as 70% in 2022, but that the market has since shifted back to TPO. The data show that TPO adopters in our sample earned about 16%–18% less and loan recipients earned 3%–7% less, at the median, than customers who self-financed systems. These results reaffirm prior research showing that TPO has accelerated low- and moderate-income adoption and that loans have likewise expanded the customer base to a lesser extent. The results suggest that loan-financed systems entail around a 16%–26% price premium that is only partly explained by loan fees. Finally, the data suggest that the emergence of loans has likely reduced market concentration in the rooftop solar industry.

financing↗
DOE OSTI2024

Utah FORGE: Fiber Optic Cumulative Strain Change and Strain Change Rate Data From Well 16A Stimulation at Well 16B

This dataset includes Rayleigh Frequency Shift (RFS) Distributed Strain Sensing (DSS) cumulative strain change and change rate data. The data was acquired during the stimulation of Utah FORGE Well 16A(78)-32 in April 2024 via fiber installed in Well 16B(78)-32. The fiber optic data was acquired using Neubrex SR7000 RFS DSS Distributed Strain sensing instruments and is saved here in the format of HDF5 files (.h5 extension). The spatial sampling on the full wellbore profiles is 0.20 centimeters. The data is the far field strain change response from a baseline profile made down the 16B well on April 3, 2024, so each strain value represents the strain change or strain change rate at each depth relative to the baseline reference profile. The data arrays for each type share the same dimensions (number of channels and time stamps).

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Understanding electric vehicle ownership using data fusion and spatial modeling

The global shift toward electric vehicles (EVs) for climate sustainability lacks comprehensive insights into the impact of the built environment on EV ownership, especially in varying spatial contexts. This study, focusing on New York State, integrates data fusion techniques across diverse datasets to examine the influence of socioeconomic and built environmental factors on EV ownership. The utilization of spatial regression models reveals consistent coefficient values, highlighting the robustness of the results, with the Spatial Lag model better at capturing spatial autocorrelation. Further, results underscore the significance of charging stations within a 10-mile radius, indicative of a preference for convenient charging options influencing EV ownership decisions. Factors like higher education levels, lower rental populations, and concentrations of older population align with increased EV ownership. Utilizing publicly available data offers a more accessible avenue for understanding EV ownership across regions, complementing traditional survey approaches.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Time-temperature-stress superposition of PBX 9502 compressive creep data for lifetime predictions

The plastic-bonded explosive (PBX) 9502 is a viscoelastic, high-solids loaded polymer bound composite comprised of 95 weight% (wt%) TATB explosive crystals and 5 wt% FK-800 polymer binder. The uniaxial quasi-static mechanical properties have been studied and characterized extensively over 25+ years, including creep. Creep is the strain evolution over time as a result of an asymmetric load typically at temperatures above ambient. Creep measurements to failure can take excessively long periods of time depending on various factors including applied stress, temperature, and loading rate that render a single test to failure impossible. Using the principles of time-temperature-stress superposition (TTSSP), short-term creep tests at various applied stresses and temperatures can be used for long-term creep predictions. The TTSSP model shifts short-term test data using two factors, one for temperature and stress, creating a master curve at a reference test condition. The master curve can be shifted to predict the creep response at any desired test condition. PBX 9502 compression specimens were tested at three temperatures and various applied stresses. This work discusses the TTSSP analysis of PBX 9502 compressive creep data to create a single comprehensive master curve.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Time-Temperature-Stress Superposition of PBX 9502 Compressive Creep Data for Lifetime Predictions

The plastic-bonded explosive (PBX) 9502 is a viscoelastic, high-solids loaded polymer bound composite comprised of 95 weight% (wt%) TATB explosive crystals and 5 wt% FK-800 polymer binder. The uniaxial quasi-static mechanical properties have been studied and characterized extensively over 25+ years, including creep. Creep is the strain evolution over time as a result of an asymmetric load typically at temperatures above ambient. Creep measurements to failure can take excessively long periods of time depending on various factors including applied stress, temperature, and loading rate that render a single test to failure impossible. Using the principles of time-temperature-stress superposition (TTSSP), short-term creep tests at various applied stresses and temperatures can be used for long-term creep predictions. The TTSSP model shifts short-term test data using two factors, one for temperature and stress, creating a master curve at a reference test condition. The master curve can be shifted to predict the creep response at any desired test condition. PBX 9502 compression specimens were tested at three temperatures and various applied stresses. This work discusses the TTSSP analysis of PBX 9502 compressive creep data to create a single comprehensive master curve.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Uncertainty-Guided Prediction Horizon of Phase-Resolved Ocean Wave Forecasting Under Data Sparsity: Experimental and Numerical Evaluation

Accurate short-term wave forecasting is critical for the safe and efficient operation of marine structures that rely on real-time, phase-resolved ocean wave information for control and monitoring purposes (e.g., digital twins). These systems often depend on environmental sensors (e.g., waverider buoys, wave-sensing LIDAR). Challenges arise when upstream sensor data are missing, sparse, or phase-shifted due to drift. This study investigates the performance of two machine learning models, time-series dense encoder (TiDE) and long short-term memory (LSTM), for forecasting phase-resolved ocean surface elevations under varying degrees of data degradation. We introduce the τ-trimming algorithm, which adapts the prediction horizon based on uncertainty thresholds derived from historical forecasts. Numerical wave tank (NWT) and wave basin experiments are used to benchmark model performance under short- and long-term data masking, spatially coarse sensor grids, and upstream phase shifts. Results show under a 50% probability of upstream data loss, the τ-trimmed TiDE model achieves a 46% reduction in error at the most upstream target, compared to 22% for LSTM. Furthermore, phase misalignment in upstream data introduces a near-linear increase in forecast error. Under moderate model settings, a ±3 s misalignment increases the mean absolute error by approximately 0.5 m, while the same error is accumulated at ±4 s using the more conservative approach. These findings inform the design of resilient, uncertainty-aware wave forecasting systems suited for realistic offshore sensing environments.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Preventing Failures By Dataset Shift Detection in Safety-Critical Graph Applications

Dataset shift refers to the problem where the input data distribution may change over time (e.g., between training and test stages). Since this can be a critical bottleneck in several safety-critical applications such as healthcare, drug-discovery, etc., dataset shift detection has become an important research issue in machine learning. Though several existing efforts have focused on image/video data, applications with graph-structured data have not received sufficient attention. Therefore, in this paper, we investigate the problem of detecting shifts in graph structured data through the lens of statistical hypothesis testing. Specifically, we propose a practical two-sample test based approach for shift detection in large-scale graph structured data. Our approach is very flexible in that it is suitable for both undirected and directed graphs, and eliminates the need for equal sample sizes. Using empirical studies, we demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed test in detecting dataset shifts. We also corroborate these findings using real-world datasets, characterized by directed graphs and a large number of nodes.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Determination of oxidation rates and volatile oxidation products for HTGR graphite matrix material exposed to steam atmospheres

High-temperature gas-cooled reactors (HTGRs) in operation use tristructural isotropic (TRISO) particles embedded in graphite and carbonized resin matrix to form the fuel element. This graphite matrix material serves as a supportive structural element, heat transfer medium, and neutron moderator. In HTGR designs, fuel compacts are exposed to helium coolant, which facilitates high outlet temperatures (750°C 2 O, 800°C 2 , and H 2 , are quantified in varied oxidant atmospheres using a coupled thermogravimetric analyzer and mass spectrometer. Furthermore, oxidation rates reported here for varied steam (H 2 O [g]) atmospheres are predominantly linear and comparable with literature values in the range of tested temperatures (800–1200°C). Changes in dominant matrix oxidation products from primarily CO to a mixture of CO, CO 2 , and H 2 were observed at higher temperatures (≥1000°C) and steam atmospheres (≥5 kPa pH 2 O). Kinetic data indicates that there was no shift in oxidation regime with chemical oxidation occurring at all temperatures and H2O (g) atmospheres tested. These data provide insight into the oxidation behavior of graphite matrix material and will inform future testing conditions, notably mixed atmospheric conditions, of HTGR fuel elements.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Real-time Multi-granular Analytics Framework for HIT Systems

Streaming analytics is the process of ingesting and digesting live data from multiple data sources. In the healthcare domain, as the importance of extracting immediate insights while data are streaming into the system grows, the focus is shifting from batch processing to streaming analytics. With data increasing dramatically at high speeds, many informatics designs have been proposed to adapt healthcare domain into this new environment. In our previous work, we introduced a prototype of health informatics technology (HIT) framework that aims to address challenges in adopting state-of-the-art technologies to enable advanced healthcare analytic tasks in new streaming environments. We recently made major updates to the framework so that anomaly from multiple streaming data sources at different granularity levels can be detected in near real-time. In this paper, we detail the implementation and deployment of the framework in Kubernetes clusters and report its performances when tested on electronic health record (EHR) data of Veterans Affairs.

Park, Byung↗
DOE OSTI2023

The disCO2ver Platform: Curating Data and Tools for Geologic Carbon Sequestration and Deep Subsurface Research Systems

The U.S. DOE National Energy Technology Laboratory has invested 12+ years of development into the data repository and digital laboratory, the Energy Data eXchange (EDX, edx.netl.doe.gov). Supporting a variety of research areas across the DOE Office of Fossil Energy and Carbon Management, the platform has successfully curated and preserved thousands of data products from DOE research. The Carbon Storage Program has successfully supported data curation, upload, and publishing of data products on EDX for many years, demonstrating a success story of how resources like EDX can effectively help with long term preservation and publishing of DOE data products. EDX continues to shift towards cloud-supported infrastructure, taking a hybrid approach combining on-premises compute and storage integrated with cloud-hosted services. The integration of cloud compute and hybrid architecture enables the development of EDX-hosted platforms that tailor the data and tools hosted on them to a specific community, enables implementation of machine learning tools for data discovery and filtering, and enables the hosting of virtual (online user interface) tools. Geologic carbon sequestration (GCS) research continues to scale up in response to the current administration goals to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and transition the energy economy. Over the last year, EDX’s disCO2ver platform has been developed in response to the need for access to data products and tools to support the scaling up of GCS research. disCO2ver provides access to data resources and tools, produced by DOE and outside authoritative external resources. The platform also provides a user-access control component for the virtualization and cloud hosting of tools. Tools that need to be virtualized, to eliminate the need for users to download the tool and use local compute resources, is essential to supporting big-data analysis and machine learning that is becoming common place in carbon storage modeling, risk analysis, and data publishing practices. This talk will review the EDX’s disCO2ver platform and the current work ongoing to curate data and tools to support GCS and deep subsurface systems research.

Morkner, Paige↗
DOE OSTI2025

Observation of kinetic mix enhancement in thin-shell OMEGA implosions

Recent separated reactant experiments for thin-shell (6 µ⁢m) shock-driven implosions on OMEGA have demonstrated significant mix from a buried deuterated layer of the shell into the hot spot. Time resolved D 3 He-p reaction history data demonstrate a (50 ± 20)⁢ ps shift earlier in peak nuclear emission for separated reactant experiments relative to control, in contrast to past experimental data for thicker, 20 µ⁢m shells with no laser burn through that show a 75 ps delay due to the time required for hydrodynamic instabilities to develop. This contrast suggests that the mix mechanism was not hydrodynamic. Ion kinetic simulations utilizing fall line analyses show much closer agreement with mix yield and temperature than diffusion models, predicting a D 3 He-p mix yield of 1.7 × 10 9 as compared to the experimental value of 9.3⁢ (±2.1) × 10 8 . This is three orders of magnitude closer than the fall line analysis from a hydrodynamic simulation with an inline diffusive mix model, which suggests minimal mix and D 3 He-p yields of 5×10 5 . This makes kinetic mechanisms the only feasible explanation for the mix seen, demonstrating impact of a non-standard mix mechanism. An analytical model of this kinetic mix mechanism suggests that it can remain significant in situations when the shell expands significantly to low densities, and diffusive models predict negligible mix. Finally, kinetic mix will impact multiple types of high energy density, laser-driven fusion experiments including high-adiabat direct drive cryoexperiments, nuclear cross section experiments, and thin-shell polar direct drive experiments used to tune heat conduction models.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗