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At least 127 records · Page 7

Initial Land Use/Cover Distribution Substantially Affects Global Carbon and Local Temperature Projections in the Integrated Earth System Model

Initial land cover distribution varies among Earth system models, an uncertainty in initial conditions that can substantially affect carbon and climate projections. We use the integrated Earth System Model to show that a 3.9 M km2 difference in 2005 global forest area (9–14% of total forest area) generates uncertainties in initial atmospheric CO2 concentration, terrestrial carbon, and local temperature that propagate through a future simulation following the Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5. By 2095, the initial 6 ppmv uncertainty range increases to 9 ppmv and the initial 26 PgC uncertainty range in terrestrial carbon increases to 33 PgC. The initial uncertainty range in annual average local temperature of -0.74 to 0.96 °C persists throughout the future simulation, with a seasonal maximum in Dec-Jan-Feb. These results highlight the importance of accurately characterizing historical land use and land cover to reduce overall initial condition uncertainty.

Di Vittorio, Alan↗

Emerging multiscale insights on microbial carbon use efficiency in the land carbon cycle

Microbial carbon use efficiency (CUE) affects the fate and storage of carbon in terrestrial ecosystems, but its global importance remains uncertain. Accurately modeling and predicting CUE on a global scale is challenging due to inconsistencies in measurement techniques and the complex interactions of climatic, edaphic, and biological factors across scales. The link between microbial CUE and soil organic carbon relies on the stabilization of microbial necromass within soil aggregates or its association with minerals, necessitating an integration of microbial and stabilization processes in modeling approaches. In this perspective, we propose a comprehensive framework that integrates diverse data sources, ranging from genomic information to traditional soil carbon assessments, to refine carbon cycle models by incorporating variations in CUE, thereby enhancing our understanding of the microbial contribution to carbon cycling.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Integrated low carbon H 2 conversion with in situ carbon mineralization from aqueous biomass oxygenate precursors by tuning reactive multiphase chemical interactions

Meeting our rising demand for clean energy carriers such as H 2 from renewable biomass resources is challenged by the co-emission of CO 2 and CH 4 . To address this challenge, we design novel reactive separation pathways that integrate multiphase chemical reactions by harnessing Ca and Mg bearing minerals as a sorbent to capture CO 2 released during the hydrothermal deconstruction of aqueous biomass oxygenates to produce H 2 and solid carbonates via low temperature aqueous phase reforming and thermodynamically downhill carbon mineralization. Earth abundant catalysts such as Ni/Al 2 O 3 are effective in producing H 2 yields as high as 79% and 74% using ethylene glycol and methanol in the presence of Ca(OH) 2 as an alkaline sorbent, without contaminating or deactivating the catalyst. H 2 yields with in situ carbon mineralization using a Ni or Pt/Al 2 O 3 catalyst are enhanced based on the following order of reactivity: acetate < glycerol < methanol < formate < ethylene glycol. These studies demonstrate that the multiphase chemical interactions can be successfully tuned to enhance H 2 yields through the selective cleavage of C–C bonds using Ni/Al 2 O 3 catalysts to deconstruct biomass oxygenates for producing H 2 and CO 2 , and in situ carbon mineralization by harnessing abundant alkaline materials, as demonstrated using ladle slag. This approach unlocks new scientific possibilities for harnessing multiple emissions including abundant organic-rich wastewater streams and alkaline industrial residues to co-produce low carbon H 2 and carbonate-bearing materials for use in construction by using renewable solar thermal energy resources.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Winter warming rapidly increases carbon degradation capacities of fungal communities in tundra soil: Potential consequences on carbon stability

We report high-latitude tundra ecosystems are increasingly affected by climate warming. As an important fraction of soil microorganisms, fungi play essential roles in carbon degradation, especially the old, chemically recalcitrant carbon. However, it remains obscure how fungi respond to climate warming and whether fungi, in turn, affect carbon stability of tundra. In a 2-year winter soil warming experiment of 2°C by snow fences, we investigated responses of fungal communities to warming in the active layer of an Alaskan tundra. Although fungal community composition, revealed by the 28S rRNA gene amplicon sequencing, remained unchanged (p > .05), fungal functional gene composition, revealed by a microarray named GeoChip, was altered (p < .05). Changes in functional gene composition were linked to winter soil temperature, thaw depth, soil moisture, and gross primary productivity (canonical correlation analysis, p < .05). Specifically, relative abundances of fungal genes encoding invertase, xylose reductase and vanillin dehydrogenase significantly increased (p < .05), indicating higher carbon degradation capacities of fungal communities under warming. Accordingly, we detected changes in fungal gene networks under warming, including higher average path distance, lower average clustering coefficient and lower percentage of negative links, indicating that warming potentially changed fungal interactions. Together, our study reveals higher carbon degradation capacities of fungal communities under short-term warming and highlights the potential impacts of fungal communities on tundra ecosystem respiration, and consequently future carbon stability of high-latitude tundra.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Choosing the Best Carbon Factor for the Job: Exploring Available Carbon Emissions Factors and the Impact of Factor Selection

Over 600 local governments in the United States, including nearly half of the largest 100 cities, have enacted climate action plans that include carbon reduction goals and greenhouse gas inventories (Markolf et al. 2020). The magnitude of these goals ranges from modest reduction targets to carbon neutrality. None will be met without significant contributions from the buildings sector. Understanding how energy efficiency and building electrification impact greenhouse gas emissions requires local, time-sensitive, and forward-looking carbon emissions factors for electricity use in buildings. There are a variety of emissions factors currently available from various sources, including average emissions factors and historical short-run marginal emissions factors. Long-run marginal emissions factors and future-year short-run marginal emissions factors are also now available from the National Renewable Energy Laboratory's (NREL's) Cambium data sets. In this paper, we describe the different carbon emissions factors available, including both conventional sources and newly available options. We discuss the types of analyses each emissions factor is best suited to support. Then, using residential energy efficiency and electrification load profiles, we demonstrate how different conclusions result from different choices of carbon emissions factors. For two grid regions, we explore takeaways of using current versus future-year emissions, short-run versus long-run, and levelized versus single-year values. We include a framework for selecting the best carbon emissions factor for the job.

carbon emissions factors↗

Generating Emissions Inventory for Carbon Capture and Storage Analysis for Carbon-Intensive Industrial Sectors

Decarbonizing the industrial sector is critical to achieve carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions reductions goals of the Biden Administration. Currently available decarbonization options include electrification, fuel switching to zero carbon fuels like green hydrogen (H2) and carbon capture and storage (CCS). Application of post-combustion carbon capture (PCCC) technology in the power sector, as well as research at the U.S. Department of Energy's Fossil Energy and Carbon Management (FECM) Office has shown that its application in the industrial sector could have co-benefits in the form of emissions reductions of non-CO2 regulated pollutants. For example, solvent based PCCC systems require pre-conditioning of flue gas to remove sulfur and particulate matter (PM) upstream of the CO2 absorber. However, there is a lack of understanding about the type of non-CO2 pollutants which can be captured and the amount of reduction possible. PCCC application differs across industrial sectors as it depends on the availability of decarbonization options, characteristics of industrial processes and the amount and composition of pollutant flows. Certain facilities can also have multiple effluent flows with or without a CO2 stream. As such, understanding industrial processes and their effluent flows in detail is required to quantify the co-benefits opportunities presented by PCCC. Considering this requirement, the goal of this analysis is to develop a high-resolution inventory of effluent flows from facilities of 8 industrial sectors in the U.S. These industrial sectors - ethanol, ammonia, cement, steel, natural gas processing, hydrogen, petroleum refining and wood and pulp products - have carbon-intensive effluent flows, and thus are prime candidates for PCCC applications. In this study, we map the composition of pollutant flow from flue stacks across the identified facilities. Using data available in three Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) databases - the Green House Gas Reporting Program (GHGRP), the National Emissions Inventory (NEI) and the Toxic Release Inventory (TRI), we create a combined inventory which lists the type, amount, and concentration of pollutant flows. Using total weight of the pollutant flow back calculated from observed data for CO2 concentrations in flue gas for individual sectors, we calculate the concentration of each pollutant in the flue gas stream. Thus, the resultant emissions inventory includes the following details for each facility in the sector: facility-level and if possible, process-level pollutant flows, concentrations of pollutants in the flue gas, and geographical coordinates of the facilities. A detailed statistical analysis and summary allows us to search for erroneous data and remove them from the final inventory. The generation of the inventory is achieved using a python-based framework which can recreate this inventory for other industrial sectors as well as using newer releases of emission inventories from EPA. The statistical analysis performed on the inventory is also calibrated and automated to identify outliers efficiently.

air pollutants↗

Choosing the Best Carbon Factor for the Job: Exploring Available Carbon Emissions Factors and the Impact of Factor Selection: Preprint

Over 600 local governments in the United States, including nearly half of the largest 100 cities, have enacted climate action plans that include carbon reduction goals and greenhouse gas inventories (Markolf et al. 2020). The magnitude of these goals ranges from modest reduction targets to carbon neutrality. None will be met without significant contributions from the buildings sector. Understanding how energy efficiency and building electrification impact greenhouse gas emissions requires local, time-sensitive, and forward-looking carbon emissions factors for electricity use in buildings. There are a variety of emissions factors currently available from various sources, including average emissions factors and historical short-run marginal emissions factors. Long-run marginal emissions factors and future-year short-run marginal emissions factors are also now available from the National Renewable Energy Laboratory's (NREL's) Cambium data sets. In this paper, we describe the different carbon emissions factors available, including both conventional sources and newly available options. We discuss the types of analyses each emissions factor is best suited to support. Then, using residential energy efficiency and electrification load profiles, we demonstrate how different conclusions result from different choices of carbon emissions factors. For two grid regions, we explore takeaways of using current versus future-year emissions, short-run versus long-run, and levelized versus single-year values. We include a framework for selecting the best carbon emissions factor for the job.

carbon emissions factors↗

Electrochemically Enhanced Carbonate Precipitation into Building Materials: A Scalable Carbon Sequestration Strategy

Decarbonization goals across hard-to-abate industries have prompted an urgent need for advanced carbon capture and storage technologies. Sequestering CO2 into carbonate minerals is a scalable method of carbon management with the ability to produce value-added carbon negative materials from waste streams for the construction industry. Waste streams rich in Ca and Mg such as nickel mine tailings, iron/steel slag, and reverse osmosis brines can store 7.6 Mt CO2/year as minerals. Additionally, CO2 mineralization in acid-neutralization processes currently present in industrial waste treatment can eliminate associated CO2 emissions of lime processing by improving process circularity. The carbonate minerals formed from these waste sources are valuable as components of carbon-negative concrete, which have the potential to sequester 1.8 billion Mt of CO2/year. Electrochemical means of CO2 mineralization improves the kinetics of the thermodynamically favorable mineralization process, lessening or eliminating the high energy requirements of traditional methods. Here, we investigate benchtop scale electrochemical CO2 mineralization of alkaline mining waste, highlighting the effects of key constituents in mining waste on the mineralization process.

carbon capture↗

Investigation of poly(phenylacetylene) derivatives for carbon precursor with high carbon yield and good solubility

This paper investigates a family of poly(phenylacetylene) derivatives with a p-electrons conjugated polymer backbone and side groups containing only sp 2 and sp carbons. The objective is to identify the suitable carbon precursor that is processible and can be transformed to carbonaceous material with high carbon yield by a simple (one-step) thermal transformation process (without any external reagent). Poly(phenylacetylene) with para-substituted acetylene group poly(PA-A) shows an exceptionally high C-yield (~90%) in one-step heating from ambient temperature to 1000 °C under N 2 atmosphere. Unfortunately, this poly(PA-A) polymer is quite sensitive to heat and light with very limited solubility. On the other hand, poly(phenylacetylene) with para-substituted phenylacetylene group, i.e. poly(PA-PA), offers a relatively high C-yield (~80%) and also good solubility in common organic solvents, such as toluene and tetrahydrofuran (THF). Several uniform dark-red poly(PA-PA) fibers with smooth surface and fiber diameter in the range of 3–6 μm were prepared from 30 wt% poly(PA-PA)/THF solution using electrospinning technique. Furthermore, the resulting precursor fibers were converted to the corresponding carbon structure in a one-step thermal heating process under N 2 atmosphere. Both X-ray and Raman spectra show the polymorphous carbon morphology with the graphene crystalline domains.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Bicarbonate-Carbonate Selectivity through Nanofiltration for Direct Air Capture of Carbon Dioxide

Direct air capture (DAC) of carbon dioxide is one approach among many proposed that is capable of offsetting hard-to-avoid emissions. In previous work, we developed the alkalinity concentration swing (ACS) method, which is driven through concentrating an alkaline solution that has been loaded with atmospheric CO 2 by desalination technologies, such as reverse osmosis or capacitive deionization. Though the ACS is promising in terms of energy usage and implementation, its absorption rate and water requirements are infeasible for a large-scale DAC process. Here, we propose an improvement on the ACS, the bicarbonate-enriched alkalinity concentration swing (BE-ACS), which selects bicarbonate ions from a stream of aqueous alkaline solution that has absorbed atmospheric CO 2 . The bicarbonate-rich stream is then concentrated, which greatly increases its CO 2 partial pressure, and then CO 2 is extracted from solution. We experimentally investigate the use of pressure-driven nanofiltration (NF) membrane-based separation to select bicarbonate ions over carbonate ions. We screen commercial membranes and select one high-performance membrane for detailed studies, quantifying its bicarbonate-carbonate selectivity factor and bicarbonate-passage factor. Feed pH, the combined concentration of aqueous CO 2 , bicarbonate, and carbonate species (or dissolved inorganic carbon), alkalinity, and permeation flux are systematically varied to study NF separation properties. We find that the selectivity factor, which exceeds 30 times in certain regimes, increases with higher feed pH and higher alkalinity. Lastly, the performance metrics of the selected NF membrane are input into a theoretical BE-ACS cycle analysis, and the required energy input and cycle capacity output are evaluated. Ideal cycle energy is found to be as low as around 250 kJ/mol, with opportunities identified for further decreases through process engineering and forward osmosis energy recovery.

animal feed↗

Effect of secondary gas-phase reactions (SGR) in pyrolysis of carbon feedstocks for anisotropic carbon materials production – 1: Controlling SGR to modify intermediate coal tar species to improve pitch anisotropy

To meet the increasing demand for graphitizable carbon products, such as needle coke and carbon fiber, more carbon feedstocks capable of forming anisotropy should be utilized. Non-coking coals are widely available but are not typically suitable for producing anisotropic carbons due to lacking proper coal chemistry. This work used secondary gas-phase reactions (SGR) during coal pyrolysis to improve the coal tar chemistry of a non-coking coal for anisotropic carbon production. SGR pyrolysis temperatures and residence times were varied (T = 800–900°C and τ = 0–2.5 s), and analysis of the intermediate coal tar products showed that as these SGR pyrolysis conditions increased, the oxygen and aliphatic concentrations decreased, whereas aromatic contents and molecular weights increased. Without any SGR, microscopy of the thermally-treated coal tar pitch product revealed that the coal tar pitch was isotropic; however, upon using increased SGR pyrolysis conditions, the resulting coal tar pitch samples substantially increased in the percentage and quality of anisotropy formation. Further, the products' analyses show clear trends of modified chemical properties in the intermediate coal tar and improved anisotropy results. Thus, the results presented in this work show that by controlling the SGR during pyrolysis of a non-coking coal, this approach can modify the coal tar chemistry towards a precursor more suitable for quality anisotropic carbon material production.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Uncertainty quantification for competing failure mechanisms in unidirectionally reinforced carbon–carbon composites

Microstructure-informed finite element models play a key role in the carbon–carbon composite design process. Variability in manufacturing process parameters and experimental limitations introduce model parameter uncertainty. This study quantifies the effect of model parameter uncertainty on transverse tensile fracture behavior and proposes a methodology to predict the failure mode based on competing microscale damage mechanisms. Finite element simulations incorporate fiber–matrix interface debonding with cohesive zones and matrix damage with a smeared crack band approach in a unidirectional carbon–carbon composite. Results from a variance-based global sensitivity analysis identifies interfacial and matrix damage parameters as the primary source of variability in fracture behavior. Sobol’ indices indicate that matrix and cohesive zone strengths contribute 94% of the variance in the effective ultimate stress. A local analysis elucidates the relationship between these constituent strength parameters and failure mode by estimating the probability of cohesive, matrix, and mixed-mode dominated failure. Based on the results for 4000 simulations, 93% exhibit mixed-mode or interfacial dominated failure, which underscores the crucial role of fiber–matrix interface debonding in the transverse tensile failure of carbon–carbon composites. These uncertainty quantification results facilitate more efficient model calibration and provide a framework for microstructure-informed failure predictions in the face of manufacturing-induced uncertainty.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Examining astrophysical gas cloud collapse using an optical depth-scaled, x-ray-irradiated, carbon-foam sphere

When stellar radiation interacts with a molecular cloud, the cloud's fate depends on the strength of the incident radiation and the radiation's mean-free-path within the cloud [F. Bertoldi, Astrophys. J. 346, 735–755 (1989)]. Under the right conditions, the radiation compresses the cloud and a star formation may occur. Where and when the stellar formation occurs in the cloud's collapse are open questions. Direct observation of the complete star–cloud lifecycle is nearly impossible due to the immense timescales and distances over which the interaction occurs. Laboratory astrophysics offers a way to investigate such a system by scaling the important astrophysical parameters to the laboratory. This work describes laboratory experiments to study the radiation-driven implosion of clouds, using x rays from a laser-irradiated, thin, gold foil as a surrogate star and a carbon-foam sphere as a surrogate cloud. An optically thick system, theoretically corresponding to a star-forming regime, was selected by choice of the foam density. Gold foil and sphere motions were imaged by x-ray radiography. Radiographic images show the formation of an interface between rarefied gold and carbon plasmas, a shock moving into the sphere, and a blunting of the initial sphere's shape. Measurements show that the shock moved linearly around 64 μm/ns into the sphere, and the gold–carbon interface formed by 2 ns at the sphere edge remained stationary. The deformation of the sphere was driven by the incident radiation and not by mechanical pressures applied by gold plasma. The blunting of the sphere was likely due to the geometric reduction of flux near the sphere's poles. Higher x-ray flux near the sphere's equator caused high compression and a faster shock, which flattened the sphere. We will discuss the results and implications of our observations.

VanDervort, R. W. [University of Michigan 1 , Ann ↗