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At least 127 records · Page 7

A machine-learning inverse model framework for rapid forecasting and history matching in unconventional reservoirs

Model-based optimization for real-time forecasting in unconventional reser-voirs requires novel methods and work?ows since the strategies and work?ows used in conventional reservoirs are either inapplicable, or prohibitively expen-sive and time-consuming. Insu?cient site data and computational expense of high-?delity simulations mean that work?ows with high-?delity simulations are not ideal for usage in comprehensive uncertainty quanti?cation stud-ies that require 1000s of forward model runs. We present an alternative, novel work?ow for unconventional reservoirs, based on the interplay between reduced-order models and machine-learning. Our physics-informed machine-learning (PIML) work?ow addresses the challenges to real-time reservoir management in uncoventionals, namely lack of data (the time-frame for which the wells have been producing), and computational expense of high-?delity modeling. We use the machine-learning paradigm of transfer-learning to bind together fast but less accurate reduced-order models with slow, but accurate high-?delity models and circumvent the di?culties inherent in the current state-of-the-art for unconventionals. Such a PIML work?ow, grounded in physics, is a viable candidate for real-time history matching and production forecasting in a fractured shale gas reservoir. The signi?cance of our approach is that while it is developed for a particu-lar well and site in the Marcelus Shale gas reservoir of the Appalachian basin (MSEEL), it is not wedded to it. We expect the same work?ow can be ap-plied to other shale formations (e.g., Woodford, Barnett, Utica, EagleFord) should site-data become available, using the same set of machine-learning techniques from transfer learning. Some ?ne-tuning (or minimal retraining of the neural networks) will be required to transfer knowledge across shale gas sites/formations but it is a clearly superior alternative to developing a new machine-learning model altogether when considering a di?erent site.

Srinivasan, Shriram↗

From oversimplified to overlooked: The case for exploring rich dark sectors

The Standard Model (SM) of particle physics provides a very successful description of fundamental particles and their interactions but it is incomplete, as neutrino masses, dark matter and the baryon asymmetry of the Universe indicate. In addition, the origin of masses and of the approximate fundamental symmetries call out for deeper explanations. The quest for a New SM Theory, that extends the SM to a more general theory, is ongoing. For decades the main focus has been on the TeV scale, but despite an impressive theoretical and experimental effort, no hints of new physics at such scale has been found in experiments. Dark sectors provide an interesting alternative to TeV scale extensions of the SM to explain the open questions in particle and astroparticle physics. Going beyond minimal models, rich dark sectors extend the SM to a complex theory with multiple particles and interactions, in analogy to the SM itself. They have a wealth of theoretical and astrophysical/cosmological consequences and can lead to phenomenological signatures that can be markedly different to that of minimal ones. These include short-lived particles and semi-visible decay signatures, as opposed to minimal models where new states are typically long-lived and purely visible or invisible resonances. Given the experimental configurations and analysis strategies, current dark sector searches might miss such signatures. We advocate a dedicated programme of searches for rich dark sectors that overcomes the assumptions on minimality and on the long lifetime of particles and encompasses a broader range of possibilities. Here, we discuss a prototype model that includes a complex structure akin to the SM: multiple generations of fermions charged under a new spontaneously-broken gauge symmetry.

Dark matter↗

A Pilot-Scale Evaluation of Natural Gas-Based Foam at Elevated Pressure and Temperature Conditions

Abstract Nitrogen (N2) and Carbon Dioxide (CO2) foams have been used as hydraulic fracturing fluids for several decades to reduce water usage and minimize damage in water-sensitive reservoirs. These foam treatments require gases to be liquefied and transported to site. An alternative approach would be to use natural gas (NG) that is readily available from nearby wells, pipelines, and processing facilities as the internal, gaseous phase to create a NG-based foam. Hydraulic fracturing with NG foam is a relatively inexpensive option, makes use of an abundant and often wasted resource, and may even provide production benefits in certain reservoirs. As part of an ongoing development project sponsored by the Department of Energy (DOE), the surface process to create NG foam is being developed and the properties of NG foam are being explored. This paper presents recent results from a rigorous pilot-scale demonstration of NG foam over a range of operating scenarios relevant to surface and bottomhole conditions with a variety of base-fluid mixtures. The Pilot-scale Foam Test Facility (PFTF) used in these investigations is first described. The PFTF is capable of generating foamed fluids at pressures up to 7,500 psig and at temperatures in excess of 300°F. Then, results from several investigations aimed at proving NG foam at conditions relevant to the field are presented. NG foam was characterized using rheology measurements and flow visualization techniques. Experiments were performed to investigate the texture and stability of NG foam generated by two different mixing methods: one using a custom designed tee to match mixing velocities in the field where the gas phase is jetted into the aqueous stream, and another to ensure comprehensive mixing for laboratory analysis. Parametric studies were conducted to explore the effects of flow rate, foam quality, and temperature on the stability of NG foam. Moreover, different fluid preparations were used to investigate the effect of base fluid and additive concentrations on the stability of NG foams. Additional laboratory studies that investigated foam stability with produced water and multicomponent NG mixtures are also reported. The NG foams explored in these investigations exhibited typical, shear-thinning behavior observed in rheological studies of N2- and CO2-based foams. The measured viscosity and observed stability indicate that NG foams are well suited for fracturing applications. Like other foams, NG foam exhibits sensitivity to operating temperature characterized by a decrease in apparent viscosity as temperature increases. Rapid foam breakdown was observed at significantly elevated temperatures exceeding 290°F. In addition to fluid characterization, these investigations also yielded several key lessons that should be applied to future field demonstrations of NG foam.

Beck, Griffin↗

Infrastructure and Testing Needs for Molten Salt Reactor Safeguards

Molten salt reactors (MSRs) are an attractive advanced reactor technology because of their increased fuel utilization and efficiency, the ease of fueling, and the potential to use alternative fuel cycles, including thorium and breeder/burner scenarios. Since an MSR has never been domestically operated for commercial electricity production, minimal infrastructure exists to support performance and materials testing, reactor licensing (including research, test, and operating reactors), and technology development in general. These factors could present challenges for the commercialization of the proposed design technology. Several research and development efforts and investments have begun to identify and supplement the infrastructure to accommodate the molten salt concept, including the United States Department of Energy Office of Nuclear Energy Molten Salt Reactor Program. This report reviews safeguards technology and domestic infrastructure to support the evaluation of nuclear safeguards (primarily material control and accounting) measures and approaches for salt-fueled MSRs. Recommendations for potential priority infrastructure investments, including safeguards measurement test beds and future research, are presented.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Empirical Indicators of Transmission Value in the Southeast United States

Concurrent differences in energy price between different parts of the electric grid are a key indicator of the value of additional transmission. In areas without a wholesale electricity market, such as the Southeast, an alternative indicator to price is the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission’s (FERC) system lambda data. This economic metric represents the minimized marginal production costs of thermal generators, including fuel and other variable operation and maintenance expenses. Balancing Authorities report a single system lambda for their entire balancing area. Most Southeastern lambdas exhibit sufficient price variation to support a transmission valuation analysis, although incomplete accounting of congestion costs or scarcity rents during peak load hours may underestimate the true value of transmission capacity. With transmission value defined as the annual average hourly absolute price difference between two regions and FERC’s system lambda data used as a price proxy, we find the following results in the Southeast region during 2012-2023 (reported in $\$2024$/MWh): Intra‐regional findings: Annual averages historically span $\$2$–$\$28$/MWh and average $\$12$/MWh in SERTP and span $\$4$–$\$19$/MWh and average $\$9$/MWh in FRCC, disregarding transmission value driven by anomalous data. The ranges of transmission value reported here are large, spanning an order of magnitude in some cases. Much of this variation is driven by year-to-year changes, with 2022 having a particularly high intra-regional transmission value due to elevated natural gas prices. Inter‐regional corridors: Annual average transmission values across three broader regions range from $\$6$ to $\$28$/MWh with a long-term average of $\$11$/MWh. Much of the transmission value is concentrated in a small portion of hours. Across all regions, severe weather—particularly polar vortex events in January 2018, February 2021, and December 2022—drives the largest price spreads. Seasonal patterns also emerge, with summer afternoons and fall mornings contributing consistently to transmission value, as for example between MISO and SOCO in 2023.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Airships as Transformative Tools for Power Systems Logistics: Addressing Infrastructure Challenges and Enhancing Disaster Resilience

Airships represent a transformative advancement in logistics, particularly for the power systems industry. Their unique ability to transport heavy equipment and personnel efficiently over remote or disaster-stricken areas, while requiring minimal infrastructure, addresses critical gaps left by traditional methods. Combining adaptability with environmental sustainability, airships offer a low-carbon alternative for routine operations and emergency responses. This review presents current developments in airship technology, such as rigid airships designed for large payloads, demonstrate their potential to revolutionize supply chains.

Fuhr, Peter L. [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000211627445)↗

A Solar-assisted Voltage Optimization Method for Transmission Solar Network Power System

This paper proposes a new formulation and solution algorithm that uses transmission level solar inverters to address the security-constrained optimal power flow (SCOPF) problem. The goal is to stabilize voltage fluctuations in transmission networks in base case and contingency scenarios, by using bulk solar power plant with a minimal number of post-contingency corrections. To achieve this goal, a two-stage volt/var optimization method is proposed to first correct all voltage violations with the volt-var alternating current optimal power flow (ACOPF) algorithm for a base case. Then a linearized SCOPF volt-var control algorithm is proposed to identify the corrective actions for all potential voltage violations in all contingency scenarios. The proposed method was tested and validated on a modified IEEE 118-bus system with solar photovoltaic (PV) data.

Photovoltaic, Volt/Var Control↗

Carbon neutral manufacturing via on-site CO 2 recycling

The chemical industry needs to significantly decrease carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions in order to meet the 2050 carbon neutrality goal. Utilization of CO 2 as a chemical feedstock for bulk products is a promising way to mitigate industrial emissions; however, CO 2 -based manufacturing is currently not competitive with the established petrochemical methods and its deployment requires creation of a new value chain. Here, we show that an alternative approach, using CO 2 conversion as an add-on to existing manufactures, can disrupt the global carbon cycle while minimally perturbing the operation of chemical plants. Proposed closed-loop on-site CO 2 recycling processes are economically viable in the current market and have the potential for rapid introduction in the industries. Retrofit-based CO 2 recycling can reduce annually between 4 and 10 Gt CO 2 by 2050 and contribute to achieving up to 50% of the industrial carbon neutrality goal.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

Hybrid biological-chemical strategy for converting polyethylene into a recyclable plastic monomer using engineered Corynebacterium glutamicum

Converting polyethylene (PE) into valuable materials, particularly ones that are better for the environment than the incumbent plastics, not only helps mitigate environmental issues caused by plastic waste but also alleviates the long-standing problem of microbial fermentation competing with food supplies. However, the inherent robustness of PE due to its strong carbon-carbon bonds and high molecular weight necessitates harsh decomposition conditions, resulting in diverse decomposition outcomes that present significant challenges for downstream applications, especially for bioconversion. In this study, we demonstrate a hybrid biological-chemical conversion process for PE, converting its decomposition products, namely short-chain diacids, into a monomer, β-keto-δ-lactone (BKDL), for highly recyclable polydiketoenimine plastics using engineered Corynebacterium glutamicum. Since BKDL synthesis requires a substantial supply of malonyl-CoA, we employed an alternative biosynthesis pathway that leverages C. glutamicum's natural proficiency in amino acid production. We optimized this pathway in vivo by minimizing carbon loss to CO2 and byproducts, improving the transporter system, and maximizing co-factor regeneration. Furthermore, we co-optimized the PE deconstruction process to produce predominantly C4 to C6 diacids and integrated three catabolic pathways into the engineered strain to enhance diacid utilization, maximizing the carbon conversion from PE. Finally, an engineered polyketide synthase was introduced into C. glutamicum to enable BKDL synthesis. This work demonstrates the potential of a chemo-biological hybrid strategy for recycling plastic waste, highlighting its promise in addressing environmental challenges and promoting sustainable materials.

Zhan, Chunjun↗

Stellarators as a fast path to fusion

Herein this paper is focused on three points: (1) overcoming obstacles to tokamak power plants may require a configuration modification as large as that of a stellarator. (2) The demonstrated reliability of the computational design of stellarators should change fusion strategy. (3) Deployment of carbon-free energy sources is mandated by the thirty-year doubling of carbon dioxide emissions. Carbon-free energy options must be developed and fully deployed within a few doubling times. Unit size and cost of electricity are only relevant in comparison to alternative worldwide energy solutions. Intermittency, site specificity, waste management, and nuclear proliferation make fusion attractive as the basis for a carbon-free energy system compared to the alternatives. Nonetheless, fusion is not an option for deployment until a power plant has successfully operated. A critical element in a minimal time and risk program is the use of computational design as opposed to just extrapolation. Only the stellarator has an empirical demonstration of the reliable computational design through large changes in configuration properties and scale. The computational design of stellarators should proceed while the inventions necessary for a more tokamak-like power plant are sought. The cost of computational design is extremely small, but adequate time is required for the development of ideas that maximize attractiveness and minimize risk. Rapid power-plant construction without many intermediate steps may seem risky, but the price is small compared to the cost of trillions of dollars for each year's delay in addressing carbon-dioxide emissions.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Improving Longitudinal Impedance of Inductive Inserts

In this article, we discuss methods for improving the longitudinal impedance of inductive inserts used for space charge compensation in the proton storage ring (PSR) at Los Alamos Neutron Science Center (LANSCE) Facility. The PSR relies on inductive inserts to counteract the capacitive impedance produced by the space charge of the proton beam, which can otherwise lead to beam debunching. Existing inductive inserts, which utilize Toshiba M4C21A ferrite, have been effective but require heating to reduce resistive components that can cause instabilities at higher frequencies. This article explores the potential of alternative ferrite materials, specifically National Magnetics C2050, to enhance the performance of these inserts by reducing the need for heating and minimizing resistive impedance. Through both analytical modeling and CST Particle Studio simulations, it is demonstrated that optimized ferrite materials and geometries can significantly improve space charge compensation while mitigating instability risks, ultimately enhancing the performance of the PSR.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Investigation of Anion-Exchange Method for Purification of Fission-Produced 99 Mo

The LEU-Modified Cintichem (LMC) process is a small-scale (50- to 100-mL) method for purifying fission-produced 99 Mo. Traditionally, the process utilizes custom-made glassware and requires significant manual operations with hot cell manipulators. As an alternative to the LMC process, there is great interest in developing a 99 Mo purification method that could be automated to minimize remote handling while achieving the same purity specifications for the 99 Mo product. This report explores an ion-exchange approach to purifying fission-produced 99 Mo and discusses the decontamination factors for various fission products that are present after initial recovery of Mo on a titania column from a sulfate-based and uranium-containing solution.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

Experimental Investigation of the Effect of Air-Handling and DME-Propane Blends on the Performance and Emissions of a 4-Cylinder CI Engine

Dimethyl ether (DME) is considered an excellent alternative to diesel because of its higher cetane number and lower carbon content. Additionally, DME can be blended with abundantly available propane with minimal modifications to the propane infrastructure. This paper focuses on an experimental investigation of the effect of air-handling i.e., boost pressure and exhaust gas recirculation (EGR), and DME-propane blends on the combustion and emissions performance of a light-duty, four-cylinder, compression ignition (CI) engine. Here, the boost pressure and EGR sweeps were carried out and showed that higher boost pressures resulted in increased brake thermal efficiencies (BTE) at the expense of higher NOx emissions which could be reduced by an increase in EGR. The fuel sweeps were carried out at 0, 15 and 25% propane (neat, 85% and 75% DME) with 0% and 25% EGR. The fuel sweeps indicated that the ignition delay (ID) increased and burn duration (BD) decreased monotonically when the blend increased to 25% propane/75% DME. The results suggest optimum engine performance with neat DME at 105 kPa boost pressure and 25% EGR with propane addition improving the BTE with negligible increase in emissions. Higher contents of Propane, up to 25%, did not affect the variability of combustion, with standard deviations of burn duration and peak cylinder pressures below 1% for all test cases.

air-handling↗

An interregional optimization approach for time series aggregation in continent-scale electricity system models

Modeling electric power systems with high shares of weather-dependent resources requires tradeoffs between temporal, spatial, and operational resolution. Many studies perform time series aggregation using clustering algorithms to reduce the temporal dimension, but when modeling continent-scale electricity systems that are large enough to contain multiple independent weather systems, this approach requires large numbers of representative periods to minimize errors in regional wind and solar capacity factors. Here, a new optimization-based approach for representative period selection and weighting is introduced that minimizes regional errors in average renewable capacity factors and electricity demand. The method delivers higher regional fidelity with fewer representative periods than alternative clustering methods when applied to wind, solar, and demand profiles for the contiguous United States. When representative periods are selected from multiple weather years, the optimized method reproduces regional averages with lower error than a complete 365-day time series from any single weather year. The method identifies only representative (as opposed to outlying) periods but can be combined with an iterative "stress period" identification approach to guide efficient decision-making considering both average and high-risk weather conditions.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Mitigation of safety and environmental challenges posed by refrigerants

The abatement of safety and environmental burden associated with low and ultra-low Global Warming Potential (GWP) refrigerants is a critical undertaking. As the industry shifts towards more environmentally friendly alternatives, mitigating the potential risks and ensuring safety standards becomes paramount. The adoption of mildly and highly flammable refrigerants contributes significantly to minimizing the greenhouse gas impact on the environment, aligning with global climate and sustainability goals. However, it is essential to address safety concerns and potential environmental implications associated with the end use of these refrigerants. A method to mitigate the safety risk in a flammable refrigerant based heating, ventilation, air-conditioning, and refrigeration (HVACR) system is the primary focus of this paper. Advent of A2L and A3 refrigerants as replacements to high GWP refrigerants requires careful handling of leak episodes to lower or eliminate the risk associated with creating flammable mixtures capable of fire/explosion hazard. Solid materials tailored to target the molecule of interest (i.e., refrigerant.) by engineering the microporous structure as well as chemically functionalizing the surface to attract and hold on to the chemical compound being removed from the gas stream was realized. Quantitative analysis reveals the adsorbent's effectiveness in reducing leak potential in the range of 40 %–100 % for various refrigerants. Strategic placement and active leak management with negative pressure offer promising avenues for capturing leaked refrigerants, enhancing overall safety.

42 ENGINEERING↗

99m Tc Generator Development for Low Specific Activity 99 Mo

Because of aging reactor fleets, complicated regulatory applications for new reactors, unresolved uranium disposition pathways, and the nonproliferation and minimization efforts spearheaded by the National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA), non-fission-based production of 99 Mo is becoming an attractive alternative.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Diversifying the Materials and Technologies for the Future of Energy Storage

It is increasingly important to meet the growing global energy demand driven by factors such as population growth, electrification, and the rapid development of emerging economies, while minimizing the environmental harm caused by carbon dioxide emissions. Although fossil fuels remain an abundant and inexpensive energy source, there is a global consensus on the critical importance of addressing climate change and an increasing urgency to reduce carbon dioxide emissions without hindering economic growth. This challenge is particularly daunting due to the significant transformations required in electricity generation systems, transportation, and industrial processes. A significant portion of our energy still comes from burning fossil fuels, which poses harmful effects on the environment. Transitioning to renewable energy sources like solar and wind is essential, as these sources provide a low-carbon pathway for power generation and have become increasingly cost-competitive with fossil fuels. However, they face the inherent challenge of intermittency. Thus, energy storage systems (ESS) are essential not only to address this issue but also to accommodate the increasing adoption of electric vehicles (EVs). Lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) are still the predominant ESS used for these applications; however, they suffer from issues related to scarce and harmful resources, safety, and socio-economic impacts. This underscores the need for alternative energy storage systems beyond LIBs. Here, in this review, we discuss the diversification, repurposing, and recycling of ESS to meet the projected energy demand while minimizing environmental harm.

batteries↗

Flexible Ramping Product Procurement in Day-Ahead Markets

Flexible ramping products (FRPs) emerge as a promising instrument for addressing steep and uncertain ramping needs through market mechanisms. Initial implementations of FRPs in North American electricity markets, however, revealed several shortcomings in existing FRP designs. Here, in many instances, FRP prices failed to signal the true value of ramping capacity, most notably evident in zero FRP prices observed in a myriad of periods during which the system was in acute need for rampable capacity. These periods were marked by scheduled but undeliverable FRPs, often calling for operator out-of-market actions. On top of that, the methods used for procuring FRPs have been primarily rule-based, lacking explicit economic underpinnings. In this paper, we put forth an alternative framework for FRP procurement, which seeks to set FRP requirements and schedule FRP awards such that the expected system operation cost is minimized. Using real-world data from U.S. ISOs, we showcase the relative merits of the framework in (i) reducing the total system operation cost, (ii) improving price formation, (iii) enhancing the the deliverability of FRP awards, and (iv) reducing the need for out-of-market actions.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗