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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 127 records · Page 7
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2020

Limitations of traditional tools for beyond design basis external hazard PRA

Probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) is being used increasingly by the nuclear industry for safety during normal operations as well as for the protection against external hazards. Computation of total risk in an external hazard PRA is dependent on hazard assessment, fragility assessment, and systems analysis. A systems analysis for propagation of component fragilities is conducted using event and fault trees. The event and fault trees for an actual power plant can be fairly large in size, which imposes computational challenges. Hence, certain assumptions are employed for computational efficiency. These assumptions typically represent the conditions imposed during the design basis (DB) scenario. The traditional PRA tools based on these assumptions are also widely applied to perform risk assessment in the context of beyond design basis (BDB) scenarios. However, some of these assumptions may not be valid for certain BDB scenarios. In addition, the probability of dependent failures also increases in BDB scenarios due to common cause failures (CCF) which usually results from design modifications, human errors, etc. In this manuscript, a simple and a relatively more complex illustrative examples are used to show the limitation of these assumptions in the numerical quantification of risk for the case of BDB conditions. Case studies with CCF events across multiple fault trees are also presented to illustrate the effect of these assumptions when traditional approach is used in BDB risk assessment. It is shown that the assumptions are valid for the case of DB conditions but may lead to excessively conservative risk estimates in the case of BDB conditions. Finally, a Bayesian network based top-down algorithm is proposed as an alternative tool for accurate numerical quantification of total risk in systems analysis.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Uncertainty quantification for molecular property predictions with graph neural architecture search

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have emerged as a prominent class of data-driven methods for molecular property prediction. However, a key limitation of typical GNN models is their inability to quantify uncertainties in the predictions. This capability is crucial for ensuring the trustworthy use and deployment of models in downstream tasks. To that end, we introduce AutoGNNUQ, an automated uncertainty quantification (UQ) approach for molecular property prediction. AutoGNNUQ leverages architecture search to generate an ensemble of high-performing GNNs, enabling the estimation of predictive uncertainties. Our approach employs variance decomposition to separate data (aleatoric) and model (epistemic) uncertainties, providing valuable insights for reducing them. In our computational experiments, we demonstrate that AutoGNNUQ outperforms existing UQ methods in terms of both prediction accuracy and UQ performance on multiple benchmark datasets, and generalizes well to out-of-distribution datasets. Additionally, we utilize t-SNE visualization to explore correlations between molecular features and uncertainty, offering insight for dataset improvement. AutoGNNUQ has broad applicability in domains such as drug discovery and materials science, where accurate uncertainty quantification is crucial for decision-making.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Unorthodox parallelization for Bayesian quantum state estimation

Quantum state tomography (QST) allows for the reconstruction of quantum states through measurements and some inference technique under the assumption of repeated state preparations. Bayesian inference provides a promising platform to achieve both efficient QST and accurate uncertainty quantification, yet is generally plagued by the computational limitations associated with long Markov chains. In this work, we present a novel Bayesian QST approach that leverages modern distributed parallel computer architectures to efficiently sample a D-dimensional Hilbert space. Using a parallelized preconditioned Crank–Nicholson Metropolis–Hastings algorithm, we demonstrate our approach on simulated data and experimental results from IBM Quantum systems up to four qubits, showing significant speedups through parallelization. Although highly unorthodox in pooling independent Markov chains, our method proves remarkably practical, with validation ex post facto via diagnostics like the intrachain autocorrelation time. We conclude by discussing scalability to higher-dimensional systems, offering a path toward efficient and accurate Bayesian characterization of large quantum systems.

Bayesian inference↗
NASA NTRS2018

Multifidelity Uncertainty Quantification of a Commercial Supersonic Transport

The objective of this work was to develop a multifidelity uncertainty quantification approach for efficient analysis of a commercial supersonic transport concept. An approach based on point-collocation, non-intrusive polynomial chaos was formulated in which a low-fidelity model could be corrected using multiple higher-fidelity models. The formulation and methodology also allows for the addition of uncertainty sources not present in the lower fidelity models. To demonstrate the applicability and potential computational savings of the multifidelity polynomial chaos approach, two model problems were explored. The first was a supersonic airfoil with three levels of modeling fidelity, each capturing a gradual increase in modeling of the underlying flow physics. As much as 50% computational cost reduction was observed using the mutlifidelity approach, while predicting nearly the same amount of uncertainty in drag. The second problem was a commercial supersonic transport. This model had three levels of fidelity that included two different modeling approaches and the addition of physics between the fidelity levels. Results of this analysis yielded nearly a 70% computational savings to predict a comparable amount of uncertainty in ground noise. Both problems illustrate the applicability and significant computational savings of the multifidelity method for efficient and accurate uncertainty quantification.

Thomas K. West IV↗
DOE OSTI2021

Reynolds stress tensor measurements using magnetic resonance velocimetry: expansion of the dynamic measurement range and analysis of systematic measurement errors

This study presents magnetic resonance velocimetry (MRV) Reynolds Stress measurements in a periodic hill channel with a hill Reynolds number of Re = 29,500. The velocity encoding scheme is based on the ICOSA6 method with six icosahedral encoding directions and multiple encoding values are measured to increase the dynamic range. The full Reynolds stress tensor is obtained from a voxel-wise three-dimensional Gaussian fit using the magnitude data of all acquisitions. The MRV results are compared to a wall-resolved large eddy simulation and laser Doppler velocimetry measurements conducted in the same channel. It is shown that the MRV Reynolds stress data have excellent precision and agree qualitatively with the reference data. However, there are apparent systematic deviations. One of the most prominent error contributions is the signal attenuation caused by higher orders of motion, which leads to an overestimation of the turbulence level. Another fundamental error is identified in the assumption that the turbulence is Gaussian distributed. With the presented reconstruction technique, the MRV data are fitted to a statistical model, and depending on the examined flow setup, the Gaussian model can lead to considerable errors. Possible ways of how to reduce all identified errors are presented. In summary, this technique enables Reynolds stress tensor measurements in complex internal flows with high dynamic range and excellent precision. However, several issues need to be resolved to make the turbulence quantification more accurate.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Cell design for laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy measurements on reactive gas samples

Uranium hexafluoride (UF 6 ) is the primary material used for the enrichment of uranium in the production of light water nuclear reactor fuels worldwide. Accurate, rapid quantification of uranium isotopic composition in nuclear materials is required for safeguards programs and nonproliferation purposes. One potential technique for isotopic measurements in uranium species in the field is laser induced breakdown spectroscopy (LIBS). Safe and effective application of LIBS to UF 6 for enrichment measurements is uniquely challenging due to the chemical and physical properties of UF 6 , which necessitate specific handling procedures. The objective of this work is to design a cell for isotopic analysis of UF 6 that is (1) compatible with chemical and physical properties of UF 6 , (2) compatible with LIBS laser, and (3) portable-sized for nuclear safeguards applications. Along with cell design, initial testing of the cell for basic performance and chemical compatibility is performed. As designed and constructed, the portable gas cell was gas-tight, chemically compatible with UF 6 , and withstood long-duration laser exposure. In this work, the cell has proven capability for handling reactive gasses, such as UF 6 , with specification application to isotopic analysis.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

Systematic Benchmarking of Climate Models: Methodologies, Applications, and New Directions

As climate models become increasingly complex, there is a growing need to comprehensively and systematically assess model performance with respect to observations. Given the increasing number and diversity of climate model simulations in use, the community has moved beyond simple model intercomparison and toward developing methods capable of benchmarking a large number of simulations against a suite of climate metrics. Here, we present a detailed review of evaluation and benchmarking methods and approaches developed in the last decade, focusing primarily on scientific implications for Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) simulations and CMIP6 results that contributed to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6). Based on this review, we explain the resulting contemporary philosophy of model benchmarking, and provide clear distinctions and definitions of the terms model verification, process validation, evaluation, and benchmarking. While significant progress has been made in model development based on systematic evaluation and benchmarking efforts, some climate system biases still remain. The development of open‐source community software packages has played a fundamental role in identifying areas of significant model improvement and bias reduction. We review the key features of several software packages that have been commonly used over the past decade to evaluate and benchmark global and regional climate models. Additionally, we discuss best practices for the selection of evaluation and benchmarking metrics and for interpreting the obtained results, the importance of selecting suitable sources of reference data and accurate uncertainty quantification.

Environmental sciences↗
DOE OSTI2024

Deep energy-pressure regression for a thermodynamically consistent EOS model

Abstract In this paper, we aim to explore novel machine learning (ML) techniques to facilitate and accelerate the construction of universal equation-Of-State (EOS) models with a high accuracy while ensuring important thermodynamic consistency. When applying ML to fit a universal EOS model, there are two key requirements: (1) a high prediction accuracy to ensure precise estimation of relevant physics properties and (2) physical interpretability to support important physics-related downstream applications. We first identify a set of fundamental challenges from the accuracy perspective, including an extremely wide range of input/output space and highly sparse training data. We demonstrate that while a neural network (NN) model may fit the EOS data well, the black-box nature makes it difficult to provide physically interpretable results, leading to weak accountability of prediction results outside the training range and lack of guarantee to meet important thermodynamic consistency constraints. To this end, we propose a principled deep regression model that can be trained following a meta-learning style to predict the desired quantities with a high accuracy using scarce training data. We further introduce a uniquely designed kernel-based regularizer for accurate uncertainty quantification. An ensemble technique is leveraged to battle model overfitting with improved prediction stability. Auto-differentiation is conducted to verify that necessary thermodynamic consistency conditions are maintained. Our evaluation results show an excellent fit of the EOS table and the predicted values are ready to use for important physics-related tasks.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Accuracy limitations for composition analysis by XPS using relative peak intensities: LiF as an example

Although precision in XPS can be excellent, allowing small changes to be easily observed, obtaining accurate absolute elemental composition of a solid material from relative peak intensities is generally much more problematical, involving many factors: background removal; differing analysis depths at different photoelectron kinetic energies; possible angular distribution effects; calibration of the instrument transmission function, and variations of the distribution of the photoelectron intensity between “main” peaks (those usually used for analysis) and associated substructure following the main peak, as a function of the chemical bonding of the elements concerned. The last item, coupled with the use of photoionization cross-sections and/or relative sensitivity factors, is the major subject of this paper, though it is necessary to consider the other items also, using LiF as a test case. The results show that the above issues, which are relevant to differing degrees in most XPS analyses, present significant challenges to highly accurate XPS quantification.

Brundle, Christopher R.↗
DOE OSTI2024

Enhancing characterization of organic nitrogen components in aerosols and droplets using high-resolution aerosol mass spectrometry

Abstract. This study aims to enhance the understanding and application of the Aerodyne high-resolution aerosol mass spectrometer (HR-AMS) for the comprehensive characterization of organic nitrogen (ON) compounds in aerosol particles and atmospheric droplets. To achieve this goal, we analyzed 75 N-containing organic compounds, representing a diverse range of ambient non-organonitrate ON (NOON) types, including amines, amides, amino acids, N heterocycles, protein, and humic acids. Our results show that NOON compounds can produce significant levels of NHx+ and NOx+ ion fragments, which are typically recognized as ions representative of inorganic nitrogen species. We also identified the presence of CH2N+ at m/z = 28.0187, an ion fragment rarely quantified in ambient datasets due to substantial interference from N2+. As a result, the utilization of an updated calibration factor of 0.79 is necessary for accurate NOON quantification via the HR-AMS. We also assessed the relative ionization efficiencies (RIEs) for various NOON species and found that the average RIE for NOON compounds (1.52 ± 0.58) aligns with the commonly used default value of 1.40 for organic aerosol. Moreover, through a careful examination of the HR-AMS mass spectral features of various NOON types, we propose fingerprint ion series that can aid the NOON speciation analysis. For instance, the presence of CnH2n+2N+ ions is closely linked with amines, with CH4N+ indicating primary amines, C2H6N+ suggesting secondary amines, and C3H8N+ representing tertiary amines. CnH2nNO+ ions (especially for n values of 1–4) are very likely derived from amides. The co-existence of three ions, C2H4NO2+, C2H3NO+, and CH4NO+, serves as an indicator for the presence of amino acids. Additionally, the presence of CxHyN2+ ions indicates the occurrence of 2N-heterocyclic compounds. Notably, an elevated abundance of NH4+ is a distinct signature for amines and amino acids, as inorganic ammonium salts produce only negligible amounts of NH4+ in the HR-AMS. Finally, we quantified the NOON contents in submicron particles (PM1) and fog water in Fresno, California, and PM1 in New York City (NYC). Our results revealed the substantial presence of amino compounds in both Fresno and NYC aerosols, whereas concurrently collected fog water in Fresno contained a broader range of NOON species, including N-containing aromatic heterocycle (e.g., imidazoles) and amides. These findings highlight the significant potential of employing the widespread HR-AMS measurements of ambient aerosols and droplets to enhance our understanding of the sources, transformation processes, and environmental impacts associated with NOON compounds in the atmosphere.

Ge, Xinlei (ORCID:0000000195316478)↗
NASA NTRS1994

Study of activation data of metal samples from LDEF-1 and Spacelab-2

Gamma-ray spectra obtained from samples flown aboard the Long Duration Exposure Facility have been analyzed to obtain the nuclear species produced in this material by the interaction of this material with protons and neutrons in this material by the interaction of this material with protons and neutrons encountered in its 69 month orbital flight as well as to quantify the specific activity (pCi/kg) of these nuclear species. This quantification requires accurate corrections of efficiency, self-attenuation, and background. Plans have been developed for archival of the spectra in a form readily accessible to the scientific, engineering and technical community engaged in space research and application. Work has been initiated in the process of estimating the flux of activating particles encountered by material at various locations of the spacecraft.

Laird, C. E.↗
NASA NTRS2000

Real-time three-dimensional echocardiographic study of left ventricular function after infarct exclusion surgery for ischemic cardiomyopathy

BACKGROUND: Infarct exclusion (IE) surgery, a technique of left ventricular (LV) reconstruction for dyskinetic or akinetic LV segments in patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy, requires accurate volume quantification to determine the impact of surgery due to complicated geometric changes. METHODS AND RESULTS: Thirty patients who underwent IE (mean age 61+/-8 years, 73% men) had epicardial real-time 3-dimensional echocardiographic (RT3DE) studies performed before and after IE. RT3DE follow-up was performed transthoracically 42+/-67 days after surgery in 22 patients. Repeated measures ANOVA was used to compare the values before and after IE surgery and at follow-up. Significant decreases in LV end-diastolic (EDVI) and end-systolic (ESVI) volume indices were apparent immediately after IE and in follow-up (EDVI 99+/-40, 67+/-26, and 71+/-31 mL/m(2), respectively; ESVI 72+/-37, 40+/-21, and 42+/-22 mL/m(2), respectively; P:<0.05). LV ejection fraction increased significantly and remained higher (0.29+/-0.11, 0.43+/-0.13, and 0.42+/-0.09, respectively, P:<0.05). Forward stroke volume in 16 patients with preoperative mitral regurgitation significantly improved after IE and in follow-up (22+/-12, 53+/-24, and 58+/-21 mL, respectively, P:<0.005). New York Heart Association functional class at an average 285+/-144 days of clinical follow-up significantly improved from 3.0+/-0.8 to 1.8+/-0.8 (P:<0.0001). Smaller end-diastolic and end-systolic volumes measured with RT3DE immediately after IE were closely related to improvement in New York Heart Association functional class at clinical follow-up (Spearman's rho=0.58 and 0.60, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: RT3DE can be used to quantitatively assess changes in LV volume and function after complicated LV reconstruction. Decreased LV volume and increased ejection fraction imply a reduction in LV wall stress after IE surgery and are predictive of symptomatic improvement.

Non-NASA Center↗
NASA NTRS2015

Evidence Report: Risk of Cardiovascular Disease and Other Degenerative Tissue Effects from Radiation Exposure

Occupational radiation exposure from the space environment may result in non-cancer or non-CNS degenerative tissue diseases, such as cardiovascular disease, cataracts, and respiratory or digestive diseases. However, the magnitude of influence and mechanisms of action of radiation leading to these diseases are not well characterized. Radiation and synergistic effects of radiation cause DNA damage, persistent oxidative stress, chronic inflammation, and accelerated tissue aging and degeneration, which may lead to acute or chronic disease of susceptible organ tissues. In particular, cardiovascular pathologies such as atherosclerosis are of major concern following gamma-ray exposure. This provides evidence for possible degenerative tissue effects following exposures to ionizing radiation in the form of the GCR or SPEs expected during long-duration spaceflight. However, the existence of low dose thresholds and dose-rate and radiation quality effects, as well as mechanisms and major risk pathways, are not well-characterized. Degenerative disease risks are difficult to assess because multiple factors, including radiation, are believed to play a role in the etiology of the diseases. As additional evidence is pointing to lower, space-relevant thresholds for these degenerative effects, particularly for cardiovascular disease, additional research with cell and animal studies is required to quantify the magnitude of this risk, understand mechanisms, and determine if additional protection strategies are required.The NASA PEL (Permissive Exposure Limit)s for cataract and cardiovascular risks are based on existing human epidemiology data. Although animal and clinical astronaut data show a significant increase in cataracts following exposure and a reassessment of atomic bomb (A-bomb) data suggests an increase in cardiovascular disease from radiation exposure, additional research is required to fully understand and quantify these adverse outcomes at lower doses (less than 0.5 gray (SI unit for ionizing radiation dosage, i.e. one joule of radiation energy per one kilogram of matter)) to facilitate risk prediction. This risk has considerable uncertainty associated with it, and no acceptable model for projecting degenerative tissue risk is currently available. In particular, risk factors such as obesity, alcohol, and tobacco use can act as confounding factors that contribute to the large uncertainties. The PELs could be violated under certain scenarios, including following a large SPE (solar proton event) or long-term GCR (galactic cosmic ray) exposure. Specifically, for a Mars mission, the accumulated dose is sufficiently high that epidemiology data and preliminary risk estimates suggest a significant risk for cardiovascular disease. Ongoing research in this area is intended to provide the evidence base for accurate risk quantification to determine criticality for extended duration missions. Data specific to the space radiation environment must be compiled to quantify the magnitude of this risk to decrease the uncertainty in current PELs and to determine if additional protection strategies are required. New research results could lead to estimates of cumulative radiation risk from CNS and degenerative tissue diseases that, when combined with the cancer risk, may have major negative impacts on mission design, costs, schedule, and crew selection. The current report amends an earlier report (Human Research Program Requirements Document, HRP-47052, Rev. C, dated Jan 2009) in order to provide an update of evidence since 2009.

Patel, Zarana↗
NASA NTRS2021

Quantifying and Characterizing Striping of Microwave Humidity Sounder with Observation and Simulation

Striping has been observed in the MetOp-A Microwave Humidity Sounder (MHS) data since its degradation in November 2018. However, accurate striping quantification and characterization remain challenging due to the large scene dynamics observed at W/G bands of MHS. Here we have developed a set of novel algorithms for striping quantification, decomposition, characterization, and simulation. Our algorithm extracts striping from the warm-load and cold-space scenes that are relatively stable. We break down the striping into two parts of thermal and 1/f noise and quantify their absolute magnitude and relative ratio. We found a significant increase in striping at 157 GHz that has more than quadrupled by October 2019 relative to its normal level. Regardless of the degradation, the ratio of thermal and 1/f noise remains the same. Our simulation reproduces all the characteristics of striping against observation. It is shown that 1/f noise generates sharp, non-periodic stripes, while thermal noise also generates stripes but with smoother band features. The latter is due to the periodic calibration that has a chopping effect. The striping percentage, defined as the ratio of 1/f to total noise, shows no dependence on the scene temperature. Striping is pronounced not only in 157 GHz but also in 89 and190 GHz with the striping percentage over 50%, while lower in183 GHz of 20%. The results provide insights for quantifying and understanding striping. Our algorithm can be applied to other radiometers and to simulate striping for evaluating its impact in data assimilation and science products.

John Xun Yang↗
DOE OSTI2025

Characterization and Quantification of Radiation-Induced Clusters/Precipitates in RPV Steels Using STEM-EDS and Machine Learning

Over the operational lifespan of a nuclear reactor, reactor pressure vessel (RPV) steels are subjected to significant neutron irradiation, resulting in complex microstructural changes and the consequent degradation of mechanical properties. Various physically motivated correlation models have been developed to predict neutron irradiation-induced embrittlement of RPVs under different irradiation conditions. However, the efficient and accurate characterizations and quantification of radiation-induced clusters in RPVs are still challenging, which will affect the precision of the predictive models for embrittlement of RPV components. In the DOE Visiting Faculty Program (VFP) research work at Oak Ridge National Lab (ORNL), I integrate machine learning to aid Scanning Transmission Electron Microscopy – Energy Dispersive X-ray Spectroscopy (STEM-EDS) analyses, which improve the characterization and quantification of radiation-induced clusters in RPV steels, thereby enabling more accurate predictions of material behavior under irradiation. The surveillance base- and welded- RPV steels were annealed at various temperatures of 340 °C, 450 °C and 500 °C for up to 168 hours, respectively. Afterwards, I have characterized radiation-induced clusters using advanced STEM-EDS techniques and subsequently applying machine learning algorithms to analyze and refine STEM-EDS datasets, enhancing the quantification of clusters compositions and distributions. In the end, an efficient workflow for integrating STEM-EDS data analysis with machine learning to address challenges including noise reduction has been developed. The completion of this VFP work will support bridge critical gaps in the accurate quantification of radiation-induced clusters in RPV steels using STEM-EDS and support the development of more precise models for predicting RPV embrittlement in the Light Water Reactor Sustainability program supported by Department of Energy and enhancing the collaboration between ORNL and Alred University. The outcome of the VFP project will leverage a few research papers submission to peer-reviewed journals in the relevant scientific field and a few oral presentations at national and international conferences.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Fracture Network Quantification during CO2 Injection

This is the presentation prepared for the ARMA 2025 (59th US Rock Mechanics/Geomechanics Symposium) Conference held in Santa Fe, New Mexico, June 8-11, 2025. Accurate mapping and quantification of these networks are essential to ensure the integrity of CO2 storage reservoirs, understand and reduce potential leakage, and maintain long-term environmental safety. This study presents a novel machine learning-driven approach, integrated with geomechanical analysis, to quantify fracture networks and assess their spatial distribution during CO2 injection. This paper combines microseismic monitoring data with principles of hydraulic diffusivity and geomechanical analysis to characterize reservoir scale fracture network. The novelty of our approach lies in its capacity to assimilate time-dependent pressure data and microseismicity into a cohesive framework, which not only identifies microseismic triggering fronts but also tracks fracture distribution during active injection. Besides, leveraging image log data and analysis our approach also provides another angle of the insights to solidate the fracture networks understanding and geomechanical impacts. Key results from our study include the detection of over 100 distinct fracture clusters across the injection site, with fracture orientations strongly correlated with the prevailing in-situ stress field.

CO2 storage and sequestration↗
NASA NTRS2021

NASA Engineering and Safety Center Technical Bulletin No. 21-03-1: Best Practices for the Elemental Profiling of High-Purity Hydrazine

Trace contaminants in high-purity hydrazine (HPH) propellant impact a wide variety of commercial, Department of Defense (DoD), and NASA missions. Depending on thruster design, elemental contaminants must be kept at extremely low levels and are verified as such by routine analysis. A number of these contaminants have recently undergone an assessment to shed light on their quantities present following changes in the HPH supply chain. A round robin analysis utilizing four separate laboratories resulted in unacceptably high variability in the quantification of these contaminants. The principal objective of this technical bulletin is to signal the availability of a new analysis methodology which yields accurate and repeatable quantification by providing best practices for both quantitation methodology and strategies for avoiding sample contamination during analysis.

High-Purity Hydrazine↗