STAMPS and LANL Statistical Sciences Discussion [Slides]
Topics in this presentation are: IBEX, Nuclei Modeling, Tropical Cyclones, and Earth to Mars.
24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
SEARCH · Engineering Papers
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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.
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Community Solar Subscription Credit Considerations and Case Study
Together New Orleans (TNO) requested technical assistance through the US Department of Energy's (DOE's) National Community Solar Partnership (NCSP). The National Community Solar Partnership is a coalition of community solar stakeholders working to expand access to affordable community solar to every U.S. household and enable subscribers and their communities to realize meaningful benefits, such as reduced energy burden, increased resilience, community ownership, and equitable workforce development. TNO asked for a subject matter expert from NCSP to review the Entergy New Orleans (ENO) proposed revised Rate Schedule for Community Solar Generating Facilities. TNO requested that the proposed methodology for subscription credits for applicable residential and non-residential rate schedules be reviewed to determine the expected credit rate. The aim behind the analysis is to provide TNO and engaged stakeholders with an informed understanding of the proposed rate schedule before making decisions on the appropriate rate design for community solar (CS) subscriptions. This report is an exploration of CS subscription credit rate calculation considerations using the CS program in New Orleans as a case study. The report provides a framework for modeling CS credit rates in addition to topics that may be helpful to address when undertaking program design or rule making.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
Baryon Number Violation Searches Using the DUNE Far Detectors
The DUNE experiment will have a rich set of physics topics, including neutrino oscillation and Beyond Standard Model (BSM) physics.
72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
Studies on the Encapsulation of Brine Generated from a Process Using Selective Electrodialysis Reversal
This topical report summarizes the laboratory testing, geochemical modeling, and mineralogical testing conducted to examine the efficacy of wastewater encapsulation for the brine generated from the Saltworks Flex electrodialysis reversal technology. Within the laboratory testing, the short- and long-term physical properties of seven separate mix designs were examined along with the leaching of each mix design. Additionally, geochemical thermodynamic modeling was used along with mineralogical analyses to help gain a fundamental understanding of the chemistry involved in the encapsulation process. Encapsulation is a process that results in the immobilization of constituents of interest by creating an engineered material that contains the waste within its matrix, both physically and chemically, in such a manner that the receiving environment is protected from adverse effects. Within the context of this study, encapsulation mix designs involved mixing the Saltworks brine with fly ash and various additives, principally lime (calcium oxide) and cement, to form a paste that eventually sets and hardens into a monolith upon placement in a landfill. Moisture conditioning fly ash with wastewater sources for on-site landfill disposal is a process that is in use at some sites and has been presented as a viable option to dispose of liquid wastes. However, because chemical reactions that can lead to sequestration of constituents of interest are not optimized, leaching can occur. Therefore, in this study, mixes were created to mimic moisture conditioning, as well as engineered pastes of varying mix designs. The study found that engineered encapsulation mixes provide significant resistance to leaching compared to moisture conditioning alone. The best performing encapsulation mix used lime as the additive, which proved superior to the use of cement. After 90 days of curing, this encapsulated mix was 5.5 times stronger than the moisture conditioned mix. Additionally, this mix exhibited an approximate 2.5 order of magnitude drop in hydraulic conductivity compared to the moisture conditioned mix. When comparing leaching, nearly all the chloride was found to evolve from the moisture conditioned mix, whereas only 6.7% of the chlorine contained in the best performing encapsulated mix leached out. Mineralogical analysis via X-ray diffraction (XRD) showed a significant concentration of the chloride sequestering mineral, Friedel’s salt, in the best performing encapsulation mix, whereas none was observed in the moisture conditioned mix, pointing to it being the primary chemical mechanism for chloride retention, along with the physical impermeability of the material. With respect to the modeling study, the model was successful in predicting the presence of most mineral phases observed in the XRD analysis.
01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
Jackson County Community Solar Modeling Results [Slides]
Jackson County, via the U.S. Department of Energy's Communities LEAP (Local Energy Action Program) requested support on the topic of Community Solar in their area. NREL completed a technical and financial modeling exercise to determine the potential for developing community solar in the region. The analysis performed determined that the current policy and economic environment, in large part due to Illinois's Solar For All program, is advantageous to the deployment and growth of community solar in Illinois. Across all 6 scenarios modeled, including current minimum and maximum financial incentives, the economics yielded positive net present values for both the project owner and its subscribers. The analysis shown in this presentation is only one of the first steps in deploying community solar and suggests Jackson County should pursue next steps. Such actions could include refining project economics, partnering with local utilities, policy makers, and developers to identify potential projects and outreach opportunities, and educating and engaging community members.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
Review of WEC-Sim development and applications
WEC-Sim (Wave Energy Converter Simulator) is an open-source code for simulating wave energy converters, which has been actively developed and applied to simulate a wide variety of device archetypes, and has become a popular tool since its release. This paper reviewed the development efforts and the usage of WEC-Sim. The publications considered in this study have been broken down into six topic areas, namely feature development, experimental validation, device modeling, control modeling, PTO and grid modeling, and novel applications, which even includes some non-wave energy applications. This review paper has also attempted to recognize the contributions of the broader WEC-Sim development effort, meaning not only the internal WEC-Sim development team but also the external efforts from the academia researchers and technology developers around the world. The growing trend of external applications of WEC-Sim has demonstrated the broader acceptance of the open-source code, and how WEC-Sim has been used in a certain topic area also highlights the potential future development needs.
16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗
Prolate-Oblate Asymmetric Shape Phase Transition in the Interacting Boson Model with SU(3) Higher-Order Interactions
Prolate-oblate shape phase transition is an interesting topic in nuclear structure, which is useful for understanding the intrinsic interactions between nucleons. Recently, the interacting boson model with SU(3) higher-order interactions was proposed, in which the prolate shape and the oblate shape are not described in a mirror symmetric way. This asymmetric description seems more realistic. The level evolutions, B(E2) values, and other important indicators showing the prolate-oblate asymmetric transitions are investigated in detail, and realistic structure evolutions from 180Hf to 200Hg are compared. A key finding is that the average deformation of the prolate shape is nearly twice the one of the oblate shape. These results, together with the successful description of the B(E2) anomaly in 168,170Os, 172Pt, the γ -soft properties of 196Pt, 82Kr, and the normal states of 110Cd, support the validity of the new model.
Wang, Tao↗
The effect of anxiety on sleep disorders in medical students: a moderated mediation model
The relationship between anxiety and sleep disorders is a key research topic in the academic community. However, evidence on the mechanism through which anxiety influences sleep disorders remains limited. The purpose of this study was to investigate the roles of flourishing and neuroticism in the mechanism through which anxiety influences sleep disorders in medical students. We constructed a moderated mediation model and tested the mediating role of flourishing and the moderating role of neuroticism in medical college students. The results showed that: (1) anxiety was significantly and positively related to sleep disorders and significantly and negatively related to flourishing; flourishing was significantly and negatively related to sleep disorders; neuroticism was significantly and positively related to sleep disorders; (2) flourishing had a mediation effect on the relationship between anxiety and sleep disorders; (3) neuroticism moderated the process through which flourishing mediated the effect of anxiety on sleep disorders. Our research expands the literature on the mechanism underlying the effects of anxiety on sleep disorders and provides insights into the potential prevention and intervention of sleep and emotional problems in medical students.
Yu, Chuang↗
Directly monitoring the shift in corrosion mechanisms of a model FeCrNi alloy driven by electric potential
Abstract Stainless steels are used in a myriad of engineering applications, including construction, automobiles, and nuclear reactors. Developing accurate, predictive mechanistic models for corrosion and electrochemical corrosion kinetics of stainless steels has been a topic of research studies over many decades. Herein, we quantified the aqueous corrosion kinetics of a model austenitic Fe–18Cr–14Ni (wt%) alloy in the presence and absence of applied potential using systematic in situ electrochemical atomic force microscopy (EC-AFM) and transmission electron microscopy (TEM). Without an applied bias, vertical dissolution of corrosion pits is controlled by the surface kinetics/diffusion hybrid mechanism, whereas lateral dissolution is diffusion controlled. When an electric bias is applied, the increase in corrosion rate is dominated by the nucleation of new pits. These insights gained by the in situ EC-AFM will allow applications of this method for a quantitative understanding of corrosion of a wider class of materials.
36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
Surrogate modeling and optimization of the leaching process in a rare earth elements recovery plant
Critical minerals (CMs) and Rare Earth Elements (REEs) play a vital role in crucial infrastructure technologies such as renewable energy generation and batteries. Recovering them from waste materials has recently been found to significantly reduce environmental impact and supply chain costs related to these materials. In this work, we investigate surrogate modeling techniques aimed to simplify the modeling, simulation, and optimization of the leaching processes involved in CM and REE recovery flowsheets. As there is currently a lack of systematic studies on this topic, we perform extensive computational testing to ascertain which surrogate models are easier to construct and offer high predictive accuracy. Further, our results suggest that sparse quadratic models balance predictive accuracy and computational efficiency. Training and using these surrogates for global optimization of the leaching process requires two orders of magnitude fewer measurements and is up to four orders of magnitude faster than optimizing the original simulation using equation-oriented optimization or derivative-free optimization.
37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
Outage Forecast-Based Preventative Scheduling Model for Distribution System Resilience Enhancement
Distribution system resilience enhancement is an important topic to ensure customers have access to power supply during extreme events. In fact, certain weather-related extreme events can be predicted ahead of time. Therefore, it is important to investigate how to predict grid outages using extreme weather forecasts, and how outage predictions can be incorporated into distribution system resilience enhancement. In this paper, a preventative scheduling model for distribution systems is proposed. The model targets at allocating resources, especially mobile responsive resources such as mobile backup generators and mobile energy storage systems, to prepare for an extreme event in the day-ahead context. To achieve efficient resource allocation and scheduling, a machine learning-based outage prediction module is developed to predict vulnerable or risky segments of the distribution system based on historical operating records and extreme weather event forecast. By integrating the outage prediction results into the scheduling model, optimal resource allocation can be derived to help distribution systems prepare for an upcoming event and improve resilience performance. A real distribution feeder in North Carolina, U.S. is used in the case study to validate the proposed approach.
distributed energy resources↗
Runaway electron-induced plasma facing component damagein tokamaks
This Roadmap article addresses the critical and multifaceted challenge of plasma facing component (PFC) damage caused by runaway electrons (REs) in tokamaks, a phenomenon that poses a significant threat to the viability and longevity of future fusion reactors such as ITER and DEMO. The dramatically increased RE production expected in future high-current tokamaks makes it very difficult to avoid or mitigate REs in such devices when a plasma discharge terminates abnormally. Preventing damage from the intense localised heat loads they can cause requires a holistic approach that considers plasma, REs and PFC damage. Despite decades of progress in understanding the physics of REs and the thermomechanical response of PFCs separately, their complex interplay remains poorly understood. This document aims to initiate a coordinated, interdisciplinary approach to bridge this gap by reviewing experimental evidence, advancing diagnostic capabilities, and improving modelling tools across different scales, dimensionalities, and fidelities. Key topics include RE beam formation and transport, damage mechanisms in both brittle and metallic PFCs, and observed effects in major facilities such as JET, DIII-D, WEST and EAST. The Roadmap emphasises the urgency of predictive, high-fidelity modelling validated against well-diagnosed controlled experiments, particularly in the light of recent changes in ITER’s wall material strategy and the growing importance of private sector fusion initiatives. Each section of the Roadmap article is written to provide a concise overview of one area of this multidisciplinary subject, with an assessment of the status, a look at current and future challenges, and a brief summary. The ultimate goal of this initiative is to guide future mitigation strategies and design resilient components that can withstand the intense localised loads imposed by REs, thus ensuring the safe and sustainable operation of the next generation of fusion power plants.
Ratynskaia, Svetlana [KTH Royal Inst. of Technolog↗
Multi-scale modeling of fuel fragmentation and microstructural evolution
An overview of NEAMS program activities to model fuel fragmentation and microstructual evolution to a group of industry attendees at a meeting hosted by EPRI. Topics include atomistic methods to determine grain boundary strength, phase-field fracture modeling to determine critical pressure at grain boundaries, and coupled phase-field-cluster dynamics to model microstructural evolution.
11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
Tree architecture: A strigolactone-deficient mutant reveals a connection between branching order and auxin gradient along the tree stem
Due to their long lifespan, trees and bushes develop higher order of branches in a perennial manner. In contrast to a tall tree, with a clearly defined main stem and branching order, a bush is shorter and has a less apparent main stem and branching pattern. To address the developmental basis of these two forms, we studied several naturally occurring architectural variants in silver birch (Betula pendula). Using a candidate gene approach, we identified a bushy kanttarelli variant with a loss-of-function mutation in the BpMAX1 gene required for strigolactone (SL) biosynthesis. While kanttarelli is shorter than the wild type (WT), it has the same number of primary branches, whereas the number of secondary branches is increased, contributing to its bush-like phenotype. To confirm that the identified mutation was responsible for the phenotype, we phenocopied kanttarelli in transgenic BpMAX1::RNAi birch lines. SL profiling confirmed that both kanttarelli and the transgenic lines produced very limited amounts of SL. Interestingly, the auxin (IAA) distribution along the main stem differed between WT and BpMAX1::RNAi. In the WT, the auxin concentration formed a gradient, being higher in the uppermost internodes and decreasing toward the basal part of the stem, whereas in the transgenic line, this gradient was not observed. Through modeling, we showed that the different IAA distribution patterns may result from the difference in the number of higher-order branches and plant height. Future studies will determine whether the IAA gradient itself regulates aspects of plant architecture.
59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
CMIP7 data request: Earth system priorities and opportunities
This paper presents a comprehensive overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 7 (CMIP7) request for data pertaining to Earth systems science, and provides justification for the resources needed to produce this data. Topics within the CMIP7 Earth System (CMIP7-ES) theme centre around tracking of flows of energy, carbon, water and other fluxes across domains, and constraining feedbacks between these cycles and the climate system. These topics are summarized in this paper as scientific “opportunities” describing specific model intercomparison experiments and use cases for next-generation Earth System Model (ESM) output. These opportunities were submitted by modelling groups and scientific consortia following an extended public consultation process. Contained within each opportunity are requests for groups of Climate & Forecasting (CF) variables, which are bundled into variable groups representing all data required to address the opportunities' needs. Novel opportunities in CMIP7 compared with previous phases will include running `emissions-driven' simulations that integrate carbon emissions and removal scenarios with updated representations of the global carbon cycle, expanded variable groups needed to model marine trophic interactions and biogeochemistry, and data needed to understand the risk of global tipping points, among others. The production of these variables will close key gaps and uncertainties identified during previous rounds of CMIP, and support the 7th Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Assessment Report (AR7). We argue that CMIP7-ES data will be broadly used by scientific, policy, governmental, industry, and other communities that rely on climate model projections for research and decision making. As an author group we also reflect on the evolution of the CMIP7-ES data request as a part of a deliberative process in support of the global CMIP program.
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
Second-generation downscaled earth system model data using generative machine learning
The second-generation Sup3rCC dataset provides high-resolution meteorological data generated through the downscaling of multiple earth system models (ESMs) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). This downscaling is performed through application of a generative machine learning approach called Super-Resolution for Renewable Resource Data (sup3r). This dataset builds on the first-generation Sup3rCC data by applying improved bias correction methods and adding downscaled precipitation to the output variables. As with the first Sup3rCC version, the data still include temperature, wind speed and direction at multiple heights, pressure, three components of downwelling solar radiation, and relative humidity—all at 4-kilometer (km) hourly resolution over the contiguous United States. This is a 25x spatial enhancement and 24x temporal enhancement of the source 100-km daily-average ESM data. This extension of the Sup3rCC dataset includes data from six ESMs from two shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) totaling 400 years of data with multiple future projections of changing meteorological conditions. The scenario selection was based on a structured evaluation of historical ESM skill and comprehensive representation of possible trajectories of future climate change in temperature, humidity, precipitation, solar irradiance, and near-surface wind speeds. The inclusion of multiple future projections is intended to enable users to assess key drivers of un 36 certainty and variability. All data are double-bias corrected, resulting in a product that can be used out-of-the-box for energy system analysis with minimal historical bias. The potential applications of Sup3rCC data extend to various topics in renewable energy resource assessment, energy systems modeling, and grid resilience studies. High-resolution future meteorological projections are critical for evaluating the effects of changing meteorological conditions on renewable energy generation, energy demand, and for optimizing energy storage and grid infrastructure. The 4-km hourly resolution of the downscaled data enables understanding of spatial and temporal variability at the scales necessary for energy system operational planning. In addition, the dataset can support risk assessments by providing detailed information on possible future extreme weather events and long-term meteorological variability at scales relevant to energy infrastructure. By offering an enhanced representation of possible future meteorological conditions, the second-generation Sup3rCC dataset enables more precise modeling of energy resilience and adaptation strategies in response to changing meteorological conditions.
24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
Competition between inside-out unfolding and pathogenic aggregation in an amyloid-forming β-propeller
Studies of folded-to-misfolded transitions using model protein systems reveal a range of unfolding needed for exposure of amyloid-prone regions for subsequent fibrillization. Here, we probe the relationship between unfolding and aggregation for glaucoma-associated myocilin. Mutations within the olfactomedin domain of myocilin (OLF) cause a gain-of-function, namely cytotoxic intracellular aggregation, which hastens disease progression. Aggregation by wild-type OLF (OLF WT ) competes with its chemical unfolding, but only below the threshold where OLF loses tertiary structure. Representative moderate (OLF D380A ) and severe (OLF I499F ) disease variants aggregate differently, with rates comparable to OLF WT in initial stages of unfolding, and variants adopt distinct partially folded structures seen along the OLF WT urea-unfolding pathway. Whether initiated with mutation or chemical perturbation, unfolding propagates outward to the propeller surface. In sum, for this large protein prone to amyloid formation, the requirement for a conformational change to promote amyloid fibrillization leads to direct competition between unfolding and aggregation.
59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
Outage Forecast-Based Preventative Scheduling Model for Distribution System Resilience Enhancement
Distribution system resilience enhancement is an important topic to ensure customers have access to power supply during extreme events. In fact, certain weather-related extreme events can be predicted ahead of time. Therefore, it is important to investigate how to predict grid outages using extreme weather forecasts, and how outage predictions can be incorporated into distribution system resilience enhancement. In this paper, a preventative scheduling model for distribution systems is proposed. The model targets at allocating resources, especially mobile responsive resources such as mobile backup generators and mobile energy storage systems, to prepare for an extreme event in the day-ahead context. To achieve efficient resource allocation and scheduling, a machine learning-based outage prediction module is developed to predict vulnerable or risky segments of the distribution system based on historical operating records and extreme weather event forecast. By integrating the outage prediction results into the scheduling model, optimal resource allocation can be derived to help distribution systems prepare for an upcoming event and improve resilience performance. A real distribution feeder in North Carolina, U.S. is used in the case study to validate the proposed approach.
distributed energy resources↗