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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 127 records · Page 7
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2020

Survey and Assessment of Computational Capabilities for Advanced (Non-LWR) Reactor Mechanistic Source Term Analysis.

A vital part of the licensing process for advanced (non-LWR) nuclear reactor developers in the United States is the assessment of the reactor’s source term, i.e., the potential release of radionuclides from the reactor system to the environment during normal operations and accident sequences. In comparison to source term assessments which follow a bounding approach with conservative assumptions, a mechanistic approach to modeling radionuclide transport, which realistically accounts for transport and retention phenomena, is expected to be used for advanced reactor systems. As the designs of advanced reactors increase in maturity and progress towards licensing, there is a need to advance modeling and simulation capabilities in analyzing the mechanistic source term (MST) of a prospective reactor concept. In the present work, a survey is provided of existing computational capabilities for the modeling of advanced reactors MSTs. The following reactors are considered: high temperature gas reactors (HTGR); molten salt reactors (MSR) which include salt-fueled reactors and fluoride salt-cooled high temperature reactors (FHR); and sodium- and lead-cooled fast reactors (SFR, LFR). A review of relevant codes which may be useful in providing information to MST analyses is also completed, including codes that have been used for source term analyses of LWRs, as well as those being developed for other aspects of advanced reactor system modeling such as reactor physics, thermal hydraulics, and chemistry. A discussion of MST modeling capabilities for each reactor type is provided with additional focus on important phenomena and functional requirements. Additionally, a comprehensive survey is provided of tools for consequence modeling such as atmospheric transport and dispersion (ATD).

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Nuclear Targeting Terms for Engineers and Scientists Revised Edition

This is a revised version of LA-UR-17-20752, Nuclear Targeting Terms for Engineers and Scientists, March 1, 2017. The discussion of compounding for damage and compounding for reliability was reworded for clarity. The Department of Defense has a methodology for targeting nuclear weapons, and a jargon that is used to communicate between the analysts, planners, aircrews, and missile crews. The typical engineer or scientist in the Department of Energy may not have been exposed to the nuclear weapons targeting terms and methods. This report provides an introduction to the terms and methodologies used for nuclear targeting. Its purpose is to prepare engineers and scientists to participate in wargames, exercises, and discussions with the Department of Defense. Terms such as Circular Error Probable, probability of hit and damage, damage expectancy, and the physical vulnerability system are discussed. Methods for compounding damage from multiple weapons applied to one target are presented.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗
DOE OSTI2021

Mechanistic Source Term Considerations for Advanced Non-LWRs (Revision 1)

This report is a functional review of the radionuclide containment strategies of fluoride-salt-cooled high temperature reactor (FHR), molten salt reactor (MSR) and high temperature gas reactor (HTGR) systems. This analysis serves as a starting point for further, more in-depth analyses geared towards identifying phenomenological gaps that still exist, hindering the creation of a mechanistic source term for these reactor types. As background information to this review, an overview of how a mechanistic source term is created and used for consequence assessment necessary for licensing is provided. How a mechanistic source term is used within the Licensing Modernization Project (LMP) is also provided. Lastly, the characteristics of non-LWR mechanistic source terms are examined. This report does not assess the viability of any software system for use with advanced reactor designs, but instead covers system function requirements. Future work within the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulations (NEAMS) program will address such gaps. This document is an update of SAND 2020-6730. An additional chapter is included as well as edits to original content.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Developing Source Term Database for Advanced Reactors

A source term database is crucial to informing nuclear emergency response measures, enabling emergency responders to assess the potential severity of nuclear and radiological consequences. In recent times, various advanced reactor designs have come into operation, are under construction, or are being designed and developed. This report documents an effort carried out to develop a source term database for advanced reactors. The report covers key design features of these reactors and discusses radioactivity buildup and source term inventories of dose-significant radionuclides in the reactor core. For neutronic and depletion analyses, we used the SCALE code system, a computational suite for reactor physics, depletion, criticality, and sensitivity/uncertainty quantification. We used SCALE/TRITON to perform depletion calculations to predict cycle length and discharge burnup and to generate the ORIGEN reactor library. Subsequently, we used SCALE/ORIGAMI to calculate radioactivity buildup and, thereby, the source term inventories at the targeted discharge burnup, using the ENDF/B-VII.1 nuclear data library. This report covers several advanced reactors, including the KLT-40S, RITM-200N, VOYGR, and eVinci. However, other reactors, such as the RITM-200S and ARC-100, have yet to be investigated and will be explored in future efforts.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Baryon $\sigma$ terms in SU(3) BChPT x 1/N c

ChPT and the 1/N c expansion provide systematic frameworks for the strong interactions at low energy. A combined framework of both expansions has been developed and applied for baryons with three light-quark-flavors. The small scale expansion of the combined approach is identified as the ξ-expansion, in which the power counting of the expansions is linked according to O(p) = O(1/N c ) = O(ξ). The physical baryon masses as well as lattice QCD baryon masses for different quark mass masses are analyzed to O(ξ 3 ) in that framework. σ terms are addressed using the Feynman Hellmann theorem. For the nucleon, a useful connection between the deviation of the Gell-Mann-Okubo relation and the σ term σ 8N associated with the scalar density $\bar{u}u+\bar{d}d-2\bar{s}s$ is identified. In particular, the deviation from the tree level relation σ 8N = $\frac{1}{3}$(2m N -m Σ -m Ξ ), which gives rise to the so called σ-term puzzle, is studied in the ξ-expansion. A large correction non-analytic in ξ results for that relation, making plausible the resolution of the puzzle. Issues with the determination of the strangeness σ terms are discussed, emphasizing the need for lattice calculations at smaller m s for better understanding the range of validity of the effective theory. The analysis presented here leads to σ πN = 69(10) MeV and σ πΔ = 60(10) MeV.

Fernando, Ishara P.↗
DOE OSTI2022

Advanced Finite-Volume Numerics and Source Term Assumptions for Kernel and G-Equation Modelling of Propane/Air Flames

Here G-Equation models represent propagating flame fronts with an implicit two-dimensional surface representation (level-set). Level-set methods are fast, as transport source terms for the implicit surface can be solved with finite-volume operators on the finite-volume domain, without having to build the actual surface. However, they include approximations whose practical effects are not properly understood. In this study, we improved the numerics of the FRESCO CFD code’s G-Equation solver and developed a new method to simulate kernel growth using signed distance functions and the analytical sphere-mesh overlap. We analyzed their role for simulating propane/air flames, using three well-established constant-volume configurations: a one-dimensional, freely propagating laminar flame; a disc-shaped, constant-volume swirl combustor; and torch-jet flame development through an orifice from a two-chamber device. We tested the explicit (sub-cycled) vs. implicit formulation for the standard transport operators (advection, diffusion, compressibility). In addition to the accurate flame swept-volume method for chemistry and species source term, we developed a more accurate estimator for the burnt/unburnt split cell composition. Then, we developed a signed-distance-function (SDF) based method which provides a more stable reinitialization of the level-set field at every time-step. We found that simplifying assumptions common to several G-Equation implementations, for straightforward terms such as compressibility and advection, lead to large errors in predicting the propagation of even laminar flames, with deviations up to ~300% in simulated vs. formulated flame speed. Conversely, the enhanced numerics enabled through the SDF field reinitialization and improved chemistry source term improve simulation stability and smooth flame propagation even with significantly larger solver time-steps.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Long-term uncertainty quantification in WRF-modeled offshore wind resource off the US Atlantic coast

Uncertainty quantification of long-term modeled wind speed is essential to ensure stakeholders can best leverage wind resource numerical data sets. Offshore, this need is even stronger given the limited availability of observations of wind speed at heights relevant for wind energy purposes and the resulting heavier relative weight of numerical data sets for wind energy planning and operational projects. In this analysis, we consider the National Renewable Energy Laboratory's 21-year updated numerical offshore data set for the US East Coast and provide a methodological framework to leverage both floating lidar and near-surface buoy observations in the region to quantify uncertainty in the modeled hub-height wind resource. We first show how using a numerical ensemble to quantify the uncertainty in modeled wind speed is insufficient to fully capture the model deviation from real-world observations. Next, we train and validate a random forest to vertically extrapolate near-surface wind speed to hub height using the available short-term lidar data sets in the region. We then apply this model to vertically extrapolate the long-term near-surface buoy wind speed observations to hub height so that they can be directly compared to the long-term numerical data set. We find that the mean 21-year uncertainty in 140 m hourly average wind speed is slightly lower than 3 m s -1 (roughly 30m% of the mean observed wind speed) across the considered region. Atmospheric stability is strictly connected to the modeled wind speed uncertainty, with stable conditions associated with an uncertainty which is, on average, about 20 % larger than the overall mean uncertainty.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Verification and validation of developed short-term forecasting models

Recent advancements in machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI) technologies provide an opportunity for leveraging data-driven algorithms to predict future nuclear power plant (NPP) operating conditions by using recorded plant process data. Successfully implementing these models can lead to cost-reducing, conditioned-based predictive maintenance through optimized maintenance schedules and a reduction of unnecessary maintenance activities. This report discusses the verification and validation of short-term forecasting processes (i.e., data cleaning, feature selection, model optimization, and forecasting) developed in previous reports. The verification and validation (V&V) process demonstrates the expected precision and accuracy when the ML model encounters new datasets from different systems. Shapley additive explanations were used as the primary means of feature selection across these different data set. Individual models were trained for each data set, then validated through a cross-validation procedure. In this report, two different ML models were tasked to predict variables from three different plant process data sets with varying prediction horizons. The results indicate that support vector regression (SVR) outperformed long short-term memory (LSTM) neural networks in regard to each data set and each prediction horizon in this study, but further tuning and optimization could improve long short-term memory results. However, each forecasting model showed reduced performance as the prediction horizon was extended from 1 hour to 1 day ahead. Research is ongoing to evaluate the optimal input variable space, which is based on a given set of process parameters, to further improve forecasting accuracy.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2022

Development of Short-Term Forecasting Models Using Plant Asset Data and Feature Selection

Nuclear power plants collect and store large volumes of heterogeneous data from various components and systems. With recent advances in machine learning (ML) techniques, these data can be leveraged to develop diagnostic and short-term forecasting models to better predict future equipment condition. Maintenance operations can then be planned in advance whenever degraded performance is predicted, thus resulting in fewer unplanned outages and the optimization of maintenance activities. This enables lower maintenance costs and improves the overall economics of nuclear power. This paper focuses on developing a short-term forecasting process that leverages a feature selection process to distill large volumes of heterogeneous data and predict specific equipment parameters. A variety of feature selection methods, including Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) and variance inflation factor (VIF), were used to select the optimal features as inputs for three ML methods: long short-term memory (LSTM) networks, support vector regression (SVR), and random forest (RF). Each combination of model and input features was used to predict a pump bearing temperature both 1 and 24 hours in advance, based on actual plant system data. The optimal inputs for the LSTM and SVR were selected using the SHAP values, while the optimal input for the RF consisted solely of the response variable itself. Each model produced similar 1-hour-ahead predictions, with root mean square errors (RMSEs) of roughly 0.006. For the 24-hour-ahead predictions, differences could be seen between LSTM, SVR, and RF, as reflected by model performances of 0.036 +- 0.014, 0.0026 +- 0, and 0.063 +- 0.004 RMSE, respectively. As big data and continuous online monitoring become more widely available, the proposed feature selection process can be used for many applications beyond the prediction of process parameters within nuclear infrastructure.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2021

Long-Term Degradation of Passivated Emitter and Rear Contact Silicon Solar Cell under Light and Heat

Advanced designs enable high-efficiency solar cells; however, more complex structures create new long-term stability concerns. Herein, the long-term degradation processes affecting advanced silicon solar cells using laboratory-based illumination and heating over hundreds of hours are investigated. The activation energy for the degradation of voltage is estimated and the degradation rates to normal solar cell operating temperature ranges are extrapolated. The cell degradation observed at high temperatures in the lab is kinetically similar to the process affecting field-deployed modules contributing to 0.37% year-1 of annualized degradation. Electroluminescence and photoluminescence mapping show that the degradation is dominated by minority carrier lifetime reduction. Suns-open-circuit voltage and light beam-induced current results indicate that the degradation could result from passivation degradation at the surface or defect formation in the near-subsurface region, leading to increased minority carrier recombination. This work highlights a long-term degradation process under elevated temperature and illumination that may continue to affect cells in an irreversible manner that is separate from recoverable light-induced degradation and light- and elevated temperature-induced degradation.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Depth-dependent links between microbial taxa and nitrous oxide emissions in a long-term cotton cropping system employing soil health practices

Long-term management practices can shape soil microbial communities in ways that influence nitrogen (N) dynamics and nitrous oxide (N 2 O) emissions. We leverage a 41-year continuous cotton cropping experiment with contrasting tillage, cover cropping, and N fertilization regimes to investigate how these long-term strategies influence soil microbial communities and their associations with N 2 O fluxes during the cotton growing season. Using 16S rRNA gene metabarcoding, we assessed microbial composition in surface and subsurface soils and evaluated its relationship with temporal N 2 O emissions. Among the management practices, N fertilization – a known driver of N 2 O emissions – had the strongest effect on microbial community composition and was linked to a greater number of taxa correlated to N 2 O emissions, particularly in surface soils. Soil pH emerged as a key variable influencing microbial structure across depth and was negatively associated with both N 2 O emissions and microbial composition in the surface layers of fertilized soils. In total, 57 archaeal/bacterial taxa were correlated with N 2 O fluxes, but only seven were shared across depths, suggesting distinct microbial contributors in surface and subsurface soils. Several of these taxa have been previously reported to be associated with N and C cycling processes such as nitrate respiration or carbon turnover, indicating functional context to their correlation with N 2 O fluxes. Temporal shifts in the abundance of key taxa aligned with seasonal peaks in N 2 O emissions, notably in early and late August, and were most pronounced under conventional tillage, hairy vetch cover cropping, and N fertilization. While 16S-based associations cannot confirm functional gene presence or activity, these findings demonstrate that long-term fertilization and associated soil acidification are dominant drivers of microbial shifts linked to N 2 O emissions and highlight the importance of accounting for depth-specific and seasonal microbial dynamics when evaluating management impacts on greenhouse gas emissions.

16S rRNA gene sequencing↗
DOE OSTI2020

Exact and locally implicit source term solvers for multifluid-Maxwell systems

Recently, a family of models that couple multifluid systems to the full Maxwell equations have been used in laboratory, space, and astrophysical plasma modeling. These models are more complete descriptions of the plasma than reduced models like magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) since they are derived more closely from the full kinetic Vlasov-Maxwell system, without assumptions like quasi-neutrality, negligible electron mass, etc. Thus these models naturally retain non-ideal MHD effects like electron inertia, Hall term, pressure anisotropy/nongyrotropy, displacement current, among others. One obstacle to broader application of these model is that an explicit treatment of their source terms leads to the need to resolve rapid processes like plasma oscillation and electron cyclotron motion, even when these are not important. In this paper, we suggest two ways to address this issue. First, we derive the analytic solutions to the source update equations, which can be implemented as a practical, but less generic solver. We then develop a time-centered, locally implicit algorithm to update the source terms, allowing stepping over the fast kinetic time-scales. For a plasma with S species, the locally implicit algorithm involves inverting a local (3 S + 3) × (3 S + 3) matrix only, thus is very efficient. The performance can be further increased by using the direct update formulas to skip null calculations. In this paper, we present benchmarks illustrating the exact energy-conservation of the locally implicit solver, as well as its efficiency and robustness for both small-scale, idealized problems and largescale, complex systems. The locally implicit algorithm can be also easily extended to include other local sources, like collisions and ionization, which are difficult to solve analytically.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Dirty bomb source term characterization and downwind dispersion: Review of experimental evidence

Dirty bombs are considered one of the easiest forms of radiological terrorism, a form of terrorism based on the deliberate use of radiological material to cause adverse effects in a target population. One U.S. Government official has even described a dirty bomb attack as “all but inevitable”. While people in the vicinity of the blast may experience acute radiation effects, people downwind may unknowingly be contaminated by the radioactive airborne particulate and face increased long-term cancer risk. The likelihood of increased cancer risk depends on the radionuclide used and its specific activity, its aerosolization potential, the particle sizes generated in the blast, and where a person is with respect to the detonation. Different studies have reported that plausible radionuclides for dirty bomb include 60 Co, 90 Sr, 137 Cs, 192 Ir, 241 Am based on their availability in commercial sources as well as safeguards, the amount needed for adverse health effects, previous mishandling of radionuclides and malicious uses. In order to have increased long-term cancer risk, the radionuclide would have to deposit inside the body by entering the respiratory tract and then possibly migrate to other organs or bones (ground shine is not considered in this paper because areas affected by the event will likely become inaccessible). This implies that the particles will have to be smaller than 10 μm to be inhaled. Experiments involving the detonation of dirty bombs have shown that particles or droplets smaller than 10 μm are generated, independently from the initial radionuclide or its state (e.g., powder, solution). Atmospheric tests have shown that in unobstructed terrain, the radionuclide laden cloud can travel kilometers downwind even for relatively small amounts of explosives. Furthermore, buildings in the path of the cloud can change the dose rate. For instance, in one experiment with a single building, the dose rate was 1–2 orders of magnitude lower behind the obstacle compared to its front face. For people walking around, the amount of particulate deposited on them and inhaled will depend on their path relative to the cloud, resulting in the counterintuitive result that the closer people may actually not be the ones more at risk because they could simply miss the bulk of the cloud in their wandering. In summary, the long-term cancer risk for people caught in a dirty bomb cloud away from the detonation requires considering where and when the people are, which radionuclide was used, and the layout of the obstacles (e.g., buildings, vegetation) in the path of the cloud.

63 RADIATION, THERMAL, AND OTHER ENVIRON. POLLUTAN↗
DOE OSTI2020

Long-term spatial and temporal solar resource variability over America using the NSRDB version 3 (1998–2017)

The study assesses the long-term spatial and temporal solar resource variability in America using the 20-year National Renewable Energy Laboratory's (NREL's) National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB). Specifically, the coefficient of variation (COV) is used to analyze the spatial and temporal (interannual and seasonal) variability. Further, both spatial and temporal long-term variability are analyzed using the Köppen-Geiger climate classification. The temporal variability is found that, on average, the continental United States (CONUS) COV reaches up to 5% for global horizontal irradiance (GHI) and 10% for direct normal irradiance (DNI), and that the NSRDB domain's COV is roughly twice that of CONUS. For the seasonal variability analysis, the winter months are found to exhibit higher COV than the other seasons. In particular, December exhibits the highest variability, reaching on average 30% for DNI and 20% for GHI over various areas. On the other hand, the summer months demonstrate significantly lower variability, reaching only less than 20% for DNI and 10% for GHI, on average. Similarly, the spatial variability is analyzed by comparing each pixel to its neighbors. The long-term spatial variability is found to increase with the number of neighboring pixels being considered, which is equivalent to an increase in distance (within a 100-km x 100-km square grid). As expected, the DNI spatial variability is higher than that of GHI. Moreover, the annual solar irradiance anomalies are found to reach ±25% for both GHI and DNI (and even exceed those value in some instances) during each year of the 20-year period.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Experimental and Computational Mechanisms that Govern Long-Term Stability of CO 2 -Adsorbed ZIF-8-Based Porous Liquids

Porous liquids (PLs) based on the zeolitic imidazole framework ZIF-8 are attractive systems for carbon capture since the hydrophobic ZIF framework can be solvated in aqueous solvent systems without porous host degradation. However, solid ZIF-8 is known to degrade when exposed to CO 2 in wet environments, and therefore the long-term stability of ZIF-8-based PLs is unknown. Here, through aging experiments, the long-term stability of a ZIF-8 PL formed using the water, ethylene glycol, and 2-methylimidazole solvent system was systematically examined, and the mechanisms of degradation were elucidated. The PL was found to be stable for several weeks, with no ZIF framework degradation observed after aging in N 2 or air. However, for PLs aged in a CO 2 atmosphere, formation of a secondary phase occurred within 1 day from the degradation of the ZIF-8 framework. From the computational and structural evaluation of the effects of CO 2 on the PL solvent mixture, it was identified that the basic environment of the PL caused ethylene glycol to react with CO 2 forming carbonate species. These carbonate species further react within the PL to degrade ZIF-8. The mechanisms governing this process involves a multistep pathway for PL degradation and lays out a long-term evaluation strategy of PLs for carbon capture. Additionally, it clearly demonstrates the need to examine the reactivity and aging properties of all components in these complex PL systems in order to fully assess their stabilities and lifetimes.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

Cations Control Lipid Bilayer Memcapacitance Associated with Long-Term Potentiation

Phospholipid bilayers can be described as capacitors whose capacitance per unit area (specific capacitance, C m ) is determined by their thickness and dielectric constant–independent of applied voltage. It is also widely assumed that the C m of membranes can be treated as a “biological constant”. Recently, using droplet interface bilayers (DIBs), it was shown that zwitterionic phosphatidylcholine (PC) lipid bilayers can act as voltage-dependent, nonlinear memory capacitors, or memcapacitors. When exposed to an electrical “training” stimulation protocol, capacitive energy storage in lipid membranes was enhanced in the form of long-term potentiation (LTP), which enables biological learning and long-term memory. LTP was the result of membrane restructuring and the progressive asymmetric distribution of ions across the lipid bilayer during training, which is analogous, for example, to exponential capacitive energy harvesting from self-powered nanogenerators. Here, we describe how LTP could be produced from a membrane that is continuously pumped into a nonequilibrium steady state, altering its dielectric properties. During this time, the membrane undergoes static and dynamic changes that are fed back to the system’s potential energy, ultimately resulting in a membrane whose modified molecular structure supports long-term memory storage and LTP. Here, we also show that LTP is very sensitive to different salts (KCl, NaCl, LiCl, and TmCl 3 ), with LiCl and TmCl 3 having the most profound effect in depressing LTP, relative to KCl. This effect is related to how the different cations interact with the bilayer zwitterionic PC lipid headgroups primarily through electric-field-induced changes to the statistically averaged orientations of water dipoles at the bilayer headgroup interface.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Considerations for Medium-Term Load Forecasting in Morocco

There are many factors that determine how demand for electricity may change over time. Medium-term load forecasting is a subset of load forecasting that focuses on the next year. This presentation summarizes analysis performed by NREL on medium-term load forecasting performed for the Moroccan energy system. This analysis includes hourly regressions and load clustering. This work also describes potential next steps that can be implemented by ONEE to improve this medium-term load forecasting.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Long Term Damage Testing (NREL)

DOE's Regional Test Center program has fielded several strings of PV modules as part of their Long Term Testing program. Some of these modules have been installed since 2016 and have been exposed to severe weather events. A key to developing long lifespans for PV modules (in excess of 30 years) is understanding how damage and defects develop, propagate and progress. Researchers at the NREL Regional Test Center have started developing testing procedures and analysis tools in order to characterize modules in a controlled manner with the goal of understanding how damage spreads under normal operations. Characterization methods include EL and IR imaging, outdoor and indoor IV curves, and long term exposure monitoring. Modules to be evaluated will be chosen based on severity of defect, ability to track changes in defect and space requirements. The samples will be loaded at maximum power using grid-tied inverters or other means. Gathering and reporting on this data may help engineers and scientists design for damage and improve long-term performance.

crack damage↗