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At least 127 records · Page 7

Field-based AFDD for refrigerant undercharge in residential HVAC systems: enhancing reliability through false alarm mitigation

This study evaluated rule-based and machine learning (ML) based automated fault detection and diagnostics (AFDD) algorithms for detecting refrigerant undercharge faults in residential heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems, using actual building data and a minimal set of features. The ML-based algorithms included Decision Tree (DT) and K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN). Both the rule-based and ML-based algorithms demonstrated the capability to detect refrigerant undercharge faults of -30% or more. Both types of algorithms exhibited false alarms before the implementation of a false alarm mitigation algorithm, which motivated the development of such a mitigation strategy. After applying the mitigation, false alarms were substantially reduced, with the rule-based algorithm decreasing to 0.6% and the ML-based algorithms reaching 0%, while maintaining strong detection performance. Although the rule-based algorithm initially showed lower performance compared to the ML-based algorithms, its detection accuracy improved after mitigation to a level comparable to the ML-based algorithms. These results confirm that combining false alarm mitigation with both rule-based and ML-based AFDD algorithms significantly enhances practical reliability while preserving robust fault detection capabilities. Furthermore, the findings demonstrate the potential for field deployment of these algorithms in residential HVAC systems and highlight the importance of minimizing false alarms.

False Alarm↗

On the Language of Reliability: A System Engineer Perspective

In its classical definition, risk is defined by three elements: what can go wrong, what are its consequences, and how likely is it to occur? While this definition makes sense in a regulatory-based framework where for the current fleet of operating light water reactors (LWRs), the risks associated with nuclear power plants typically are characterized in terms of core damage and large early release frequency (LERF), this approach does not provide a useful snapshot of the health of the plant from a broader perspective. This is due to the very narrow context in which the term “risk” typically is defined as nuclear safety aspects that have the potential to impact public health. In this paper, we take the viewpoint of nuclear safety that is reflective of the current fleet of operating LWRs for which core damage frequency and LERF are appropriate metrics. For other advanced reactor designs, other more applicable technology neutral metrics of reactor safety metrics would be specified. A possible alternate path would start by redefining the word risk with a broader meaning that better reflects the needs of a system health and asset management decision-making process. Rather than asking how likely an event could occur (in probabilistic terms), we can ask how far this event is from occurring. Our approach starts by defining and quantifying component and system health in terms of a “distance” between its actual and limiting conditions, i.e., determination of the margin that exists between the current state/condition and the state where the component/system is no longer capable of achieving its intended function. A margin is a measure that is more reflective of the current state or performance of a component, and therefore more closely tied to decisions that are made on an ongoing basis. Further, we will show how, given the data available from plant equipment reliability and monitoring (e.g., pump vibration data) and prognostic (e.g., component remaining useful life estimation) data, a margin can be described and determined for all types of maintenance approaches (e.g., corrective or predictive maintenance). We show how classical reliability models (e.g., fault trees) can be used to quantify the system margin provided component margin values. In the approach described in this paper, the propagation of margin values through classical reliability models are not performed using classical probabilistic calculations applied to sets (as performed in a typical plant probabilistic risk assessment). Instead, we show how it is possible to propagate margin values through Boolean logic gates (i.e., AND and OR operators) through distance-based operations.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Fracture Toughness Evaluation for Spent Nuclear Fuel Clad Systems Using Spiral Notch Torsion Fracture Toughness Test

Many radioactive materials within the nuclear fuel cycle present a significant hazard. Such materials include spent nuclear fuel, high-level waste, legacy waste and other nuclear materials. These materials are often held in long-term storage as an interim stage within their lifecycle, including reuse or disposal. Safety and security of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) interim storage installations and follow-on SNF transportations to its final repository sites are very important, due to a great concentration of fission products, actinides and activation products. Fracture mechanics approach in applying to SNF system reliability investigation, especially for the high burn up (HBU) SNF, during SNF long term dry storage or SNF transportation is necessary due to the inherited flaws and inhomogeneity structures existed in a SNF system from the reactor operation. For instance, such as hydride and oxide formation, surface flaw induced by SNF assembly contact interactions, or internal flaws induced by pellet-clad mechanical interaction (PCMI). However, none of the existing fracture toughness data deal with fuel cladding specific geometry or SNF material conditions, such as cladding structure with the segment fuel pellets configuration and the PCMI mechanism. Consequently, the application of existing fracture toughness data to SNF system reliability investigation can be error prone; thus, the development of an industry-wide consensus fracture mechanics approach is needed. The objective of this research is to develop an in-situ fracture mechanics testing protocol, including the associated analytical procedure, that is suitable for evaluating the SNF fracture toughness. Fracture toughness data was obtained under quasi-static fracture loading using Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) developed Spiral Notch Torsion Test (SNTT) technology carried out on a biaxial tension/torsion tester. These data will be used to support SNF reliability investigation during long-tern SNF dry storage stage or in the follow-on SNF system transport to the final repository sites. SNTT has been a recent breakthrough in measuring fracture toughness for different materials, including metals, ceramics, concrete and polymers composites. Due to its high geometry constraint and unique loading condition, SNTT can be used to measure the fracture toughness with smaller specimens without concern of size effects. The application of SNTT to brittle materials has been proved to be successful. The micro-cracks induced by original notches in brittle materials could ensure crack growth in SNTT samples. Therefore, no fatigue pre cracks are needed for brittle materials specimens. The application of SNTT to the ductile material to generate valid toughness data will require a test sample with sufficient pre-crack length to increase the sample localized constraint at crack front. Fatigue pre-crack growth techniques with the associated compliance function estimated was developed for estimating the crack penetration depth to monitor the fatigue crack growth evolution. In order to extend SNTT approach to a thin shell cladding structure material, a new testing protocol and the associated analytical procedure for estimating the SNF fracture toughness was developed. The detailed SNTT approach and its estimated fracture toughness for the Zr-4 cladding structure with segment alumina inserts are presented in this report. The SNTT test results indicate that SNTT method is a reliable test approach with good repeatability in applying to Zr-4 cladding material. For the medium and the short crack length, the estimate J Q upon fracture for the baseline Zr-4 cladding is at 285.7 lb/in with 2-sigma uncertainty of 18.59 lb/in., and the associated K Q is at 61.4 Ksi√in. For a long crack length, the crack initialization orientation is apparently deviated from the principle tensile stress contour – 45° spiral crack front (i.e., Mode I + Mode III failure mechanism); and the estimated J Q is at 108 lb/in., the associated K Q is at 37.7 Ksi√in. The estimate Mode I J Q (along the 45° pitch principle tensile stress contour) is at 200 lb/in.; which indicate a significant reduction in the fracture toughness in a tubing structure under mixed mode loading condition, Mode I + Mode III, compared to that of Mode I (tensile stress dominated) alone.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DC Microgrid Reliability Enhancement with Adaptive Converter Thermal Management

Due to the different device selections, aging levels, and thermal dissipation performance, some converters may take additional thermal stress on switching devices than others in paralleled converter systems, which will reduce system reliability. To address this problem, this paper proposes a power-sharing strategy with adaptive thermal management. First, the temperature-based power loss model and electrical-thermal model are established. Based on that, a high-accuracy IGBT junction temperature estimate considering the power loss-temperature coupling can be achieved. Further, the thermal-sharing for all the switching devices in paralleled converters can be achieved with the proposed adaptive thermal management strategy. The proposed strategy can change the power-sharing ratio adaptively according to the system operation conditions, which will contribute to the system reliability enhancement. The effectiveness of the proposed strategy is verified through PLECS thermal simulation and joint real-time simulation with Dspace and RT-box.

DC microgrid↗

Pattern Mining and Anomaly Detection based on the Power System Synchrophasor Measurements

Real-time monitoring of power system dynamics using phasor measurement units (PMUs) data improves situational awareness and system reliability and potentially can help prevent blackouts due to early anomaly detection. The study presented in the paper is based on the actual PMU measurements of the U.S. western interconnection system. Given the nonlinear and nonstationary PMUs data, we developed a robust anomaly detection framework. Wavelet-based multi-resolution analysis, combined with moving-window-based outlier detection and anomaly scoring, were deployed to identify potential PMU events. The candidate events were evaluated using spatiotemporal correlation analysis, and then classified for a better understanding of the event types. The results demonstrated successful anomaly detection and classification, compared with the recorded real-world events.

Ren, Huiying↗

Vulnerability of existing and planned coal-fired power plants in Developing Asia to changes in climate and water resources

Coal power generation dominates electricity supply in Developing Asia, and more than 400 gigawatts (GW) of new coal-fired capacity is planned for operation by 2030. Past studies on thermal electricity-water nexus have not accounted for this new capacity, and use coarse spatial and temporal resolutions in the assessment of long-term power system reliability. Here, high-resolution hydro-climatic simulations and asset-level power plant water use models are integrated to quantify water constraints on coal-fired power plants in Developing Asia, for different scenarios of future climate change, cooling system choice, and capacity expansion. Future climate change and capacity expansion decrease the annual usable capacity factor (UF) of coal power generation in Mongolia, Southeast Asia, and parts of India and China. The negative impacts are lessened by widening the geographic areas of aggregation. Under near-term mitigation scenarios with high penetrations of CO 2 capture technology, the regional average water withdrawal intensity of coal power generation is 50–80% higher than current conditions. With careful siting, the increased water withdrawal intensity does not necessarily constrain future electricity production on annual or monthly time scales, but decreases system reliability by increasing the probability of low UF at daily time scale. Our findings highlight the unaccounted-for-risk in Developing Asia's long-term power plan featuring coal power generation. Regional capacity expansion should consider the reliability of future thermal power assets under long-term hydroclimate change using high-resolution models and multiple scenarios.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Optimal Control of Biomass Feedstock Processing System Under Uncertainty in Biomass Quality

Planning of biorefinery operations is complicated by the stochastic nature of physical and chemical characteristics of biomass feedstock, such as, moisture level and carbohydrate content. Biomass characteristics affect the performance of the equipment which feed the reactor and the efficiency of the conversion process in a biorefinery. We propose a stochastic optimization model to identify a blend of feedstocks, inventory levels, and operating conditions of equipment to ensure a continuous flowing of biomass to the reactor while meeting the requirements of the biochemical conversion process. We propose a sample average approximation (SAA) of the model, and develop an efficient algorithm to solve the SAA model. A feedstock preprocessing process consists of two-stage grinding and pelleting is used to develop a case study. Extensive numerical analysis are conducted which lead to a number of observations. Our main observation is that sequencing bales based on moisture level and carbohydrate content leads to robust solutions that improve processing time and processing rate of the reactor. We provide a number of managerial insights that facilitate the implementation of the model proposed. Note to Practitioners—This paper is motivated by the challenges faced in the bioenergy industry. The focus of this paper is on plants which use the biochemical conversion process to generate liquid fuels. It has been observed that variations in biomass characteristics, such as moisture content, cause variations in feeding of the system which lead to under-utilization of equipment. A requirement of biochemical conversion process is to maintain the carbohydrate content of biomass processed by the reactor, larger than a threshold. We propose a model that identifies the inventory levels and operating conditions of equipment to ensure a continuous flowing of biomass to the reactor. The goal is to improve equipment utilization while satisfying the requirements of the conversion process. The model is tested using real-life data. We found out that by sequencing bales based on moisture level and carbohydrate content, a plant can reduce variability in the system leading to improved system reliability, higher processing rates of the reactor, and higher throughput.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Survey of U.S. Ancillary Services Markets

In addition to providing energy to end-consumers, power system operators are also responsible for ensuring system reliability. To this end, power markets maintain an array of ancillary services to ensure that it is always possible to balance the supply and demand for energy in real-time. A subset of these ancillary services are commonly procured through market-based mechanisms: namely, Regulation, Spinning, and Non-spinning Reserves. Regulation Reserves are maintained to respond to supply/demand imbalances over short time frames, typically on the order of several seconds to one minute. Resources that provide Regulation Reserves adjust their generation or load levels in response to automatic generation control (AGC) signals provided by the system operator. Contingency reserves are maintained to provide additional generation capacity in the event that load increases substantially or supply side resources reduce their output or are taken offline. The reserves are typically segmented into two categories, 1) Spinning or Synchronized Reserves that are provided by generation units that are actively generating and have the ability to increase or decrease their output, 2) Non-spinning or Non-synchronized Reserves that are provided by generation resources that are not actively generating, but are able to start up and provide generation within a specified timeframe. Contingency reserves typically have response times on the order of ten to 30 minutes and can also be provided by demand-side resources that are capable of reducing their load. There are seven distinct power markets in the United States, each operated by a Regional Transmission Operator (RTO) or Independent System Operator (ISO) that operates the transmission system in its territory, operates markets for energy and ancillary services, and maintains system reliability. Each power market offers its own set of ancillary services, and precise definitions, requirements, and market mechanisms differ between markets. Despite the differences between markets, both in terms of services offered and system requirements, some broad trends generally apply. Regulation Reserves typically have the highest market prices, followed by Spinning Reserves and Non-spinning Reserves. Prices for Regulation Reserves have been the highest in the PJM market, since it opened in October 2012. This is partially because PJM experienced large price spikes during the period of extreme weather conditions in early 2014. ERCOT has traditionally had the highest prices for Spinning Reserves (called Responsive Reserves in ERCOT), including several periods of sustained high prices between 2010 and 2012. This can be explained in part by the relatively high penetration of variable wind resources and a similarly high requirement relative to peak load. ERCOT has also traditionally had the highest price for Non-spinning Reserves, followed by the NYISO East region. Both have experienced several periods of prolonged high prices since their inception, an occurrence that has not been regularly seen in other markets. In ISO-NE and PJM for example, the market clearing price for Non-spinning Reserves is typically $0/MWh more than 95% of the time. Market volume (in terms of the average amount of capacity of each service that is provided to a system) typically follows the reverse order of prices, as systems maintain the most Non-spinning Reserves capacity followed by Spinning Reserves and Regulation Reserves. PJM generally has the largest market for Regulation Reserves both in terms of capacity. The size of most Regulation Reserves markets in terms of capacity stay relatively constant year-to-year, as this is dictated largely by system requirements. PJM also generally has the largest Spinning Reserves market in terms of capacity. SPP, MISO, ISO-NE and SPP (beginning in 2014) all have Spinning Reserve markets with similar average capacity levels. When combined, the markets for Non-spinning and Operating reserves in ISO-NE have a comparable capacity to the market for Primary Reserves 1 in PJM. SPP, MISO, and CAISO all have smaller markets for their respective Non-spinning Reserves products that are roughly the same size as each other in terms of capacity.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Developing Flexible, Networked Lighting Control Systems That Reliably Save Energy in California Buildings

An important strategy to meet California's ambitious energy efficiency goals is to use innovative wireless communications, embedded sensors, data analytics and controls to significantly reduce lighting energy use in commercial buildings. This project developed a suite of networked lighting solutions to further this goal. The technologies include a platform for low-cost sensing, distributed intelligence and communications, the “PermaMote,” which is a self-powered sensor and controller for lighting applications. The project team also developed a task ambient daylighting system that integrates sensors with data-driven daylighting control using an open communication interface, called the “Readings-At-Desk” (RAD) system. To address the problem of building occupants being confused about how to operate traditional lighting control systems, the research team created content that could be the basis for a user interface standard for lighting controls. Finally, to address the difficulty of ensuring that advanced lighting control systems actually deliver their promised energy savings, the project team developed a new method for evaluating and specifying lighting systems’ performance. The research team validated these technologies in the laboratory, showing significant lighting energy savings, up to 73% for the PermaMote sensor system from occupancy control and daylight dimming features, compared to the same light source (LED replacement lamps) operated via simple on/off scheduling. The project team also developed a proposed standard lighting data model and user interface elements, which were contributed to the ANSI Lighting Systems Committee (C137) for standardization. Existing data models are incomplete and inconsistent, whereas the lighting-specific data model developed here is clear and comprehensive, to serve as a starting point for creating common, universally agreed upon semantic definitions of key lighting parameters, to promote interoperability. For the task on verifiable performance of lighting systems, the project team developed a more effective metric for capturing the actual energy impact of a lighting system over time — the energy usage intensity (kWh/ft2/year). Three commercial lighting systems were tested in FLEXLAB® using this new metric, and the tests show a wide range in the accuracy of the self-reported energy-use metric, from 0.5% to 28% error compared to direct measurement of lighting energy using dedicated submeters. Overall, the project team estimates that these advanced technologies can reduce California office lighting energy use by 20% (above and beyond normal advanced lighting controls mandated by Title 24), resulting in about 1,600 GWh/year in savings.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Development and evaluation of a Novel RT‐PCR system for reliable and rapid SARS‐CoV ‐2 screening of blood donations

Abstract Background The ongoing outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS‐CoV‐2) has caused great global concerns. In contrast to SARS, some SARS‐CoV‐2–infected people can be asymptomatic or have only mild nonspecific symptoms. Furthermore, there is evidence that SARS‐CoV‐2 may be infectious during an asymptomatic incubation period. With the discovery that SARS‐CoV‐2 can be detected in plasma or serum, blood safety is worthy of consideration. Study Design and Methods We developed a nucleic acid test (NAT) screening system for SARS‐CoV‐2 targeting nucleocapsid protein (N) and open reading frame 1ab (ORF 1ab) gene that could screen 5076 samples every 24 hours. The 2019 novel coronavirus RNA standard was used to evaluate linearity of standard curves. Diagnostic sensitivity and reproducibility were evaluated using artificial SARS‐CoV‐2. Specificity was evaluated with 61 other respiratory pathogens. Diagnostic performance was evaluated by testing two sputum and nine oropharyngeal swab specimens. The reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT‐PCR) assay was used to screen SARS‐CoV‐2 RNA in blood donor specimens collected during the outbreak of SARS‐CoV‐2 in Chengdu. Results Limits of detection of the SARS‐CoV‐2 RT‐PCR assay for N and ORF 1ab gene were 12.5 and 27.58 copies/mL, respectively. Intra‐assay and interassay for the SARS‐CoV‐2 RT‐PCR assay based on cycle threshold were acceptably low. No cross‐reactivity was observed with other respiratory virus and bacterial isolates. The overall agreement value between the SARS‐CoV‐2 RT‐PCR assay and clinical diagnostic results was 100%. A total of 16 287 blood specimens collected from blood donors during SARS‐CoV‐2 surveillance were tested negative. Conclusions A high‐throughput NAT screening system was developed for SARS‐CoV‐2 screening of blood donations during the outbreak of SARS‐CoV‐2.

Li, Meng↗

System and method for energy reduction based on history of reliability of a system

A system and method for managing operating parameters within a system for optimal power and reliability are described. A device includes a functional unit and a corresponding reliability evaluator. The functional unit provides reliability information to one or more reliability monitors, which translate the information to reliability values. The reliability evaluator determines an overall reliability level for the system based on the reliability values. The reliability monitor compares the actual usage values and the expected usage values. When system has maintained a relatively high level of reliability for a given time interval, the reliability evaluator sends an indication to update operating parameters to reduce reliability of the system, which also reduces power consumption for the system.

Sadowski, Greg↗

Inductive System for Reliable Magnesium Level Detection in a Titanium Reduction Reactor

The determination of the Magnesium level in a Titanium reduction retort by inductive methods is often hampered by the formation of Titanium sponge rings which disturb the propagation of electromagnetic signals between excitation and receiver coils. We present a new method for the reliable identification of the Magnesium level which explicitly takes into account the presence of sponge rings with unknown geometry and conductivity. The inverse problem is solved by a look-up-table method, based on the solution of the inductive forward problems for several tens of thousands parameter combinations.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Preliminary Neutronics Analysis of the ITER Toroidal Interferometer and Polarimeter Diagnostic Corner Cube Retroreflectors

ITER is an international project under construction in France that will demonstrate nuclear fusion at a power plant-relevant scale. The Toroidal Interferometer and Polarimeter (TIP) Diagnostic will be used to measure the plasma electron line density along 5 laser-beam chords. This line-averaged density measurement will be input to the ITER feedback-control system. The TIP is considered the primary diagnostic for these measurements, which are needed for basic ITER machine control. Therefore, system reliability & accuracy is a critical element in TIP’s design. There are two major challenges to the reliability of the TIP system. First is the survivability and performance of in-vessel optics and second is maintaining optical alignment over long optical paths and large vessel movements. Both of these issues greatly depend on minimizing the overall distortion due to neutron & gamma heating of the Corner Cube Retroreflectors (CCRs). These are small optical mirrors embedded in five first wall locations around the vacuum vessel, corresponding to certain plasma tangency radii. During the development of the design and location of these CCRs, several iterations of neutronics analyses were performed to determine and minimize the total distortion due to nuclear heating of the CCRs. The CCR corresponding to TIP Channel 2 was chosen for analysis as a good middle-road case, being an average distance from the plasma (of the five channels) and having moderate neutron shielding from its blanket shield housing. Results show that Channel 2 meets the requirements of the TIP Diagnostic, but barely. These results suggest other CCRs might be at risk of exceeding thermal deformation due to nuclear heating.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

System Engineering Analysis For Improved Scout Business Information Systems

The project uses system engineering principles to address the need of Boy Scout leaders for an integrated system to facilitate advancement and awards records, leader training and planning for meetings and activities. Existing products to address needs of Scout leaders and relevant stakeholders function to support record keeping and some communication functions but opportunity exists for a better system to fully integrate these functions with training delivery and recording, activity planning along with feedback and information gathering from stakeholders. Key stakeholders for the sytem include Scouts and their families, leaders, training providers, sellers of supplies and awards, content generators and facilities that serve Scout activities. Key performance parameters for the system are protection of personal information, availability of current information, information accuracy and information content that has depth. Implementation concepts considered for the system include (1) owned and operated by Boy Scouts of America, (2) Contracted out to a vendor (3) distributed system that functions with BSA managed interfaces. The selected concept is to contract out to a vendor to maximize the likelihood of successful integration and take advantage of the best technology. Development of requirements considers three key use cases (1) System facilitates planning a hike with training needed satisfied in advance and advancement recording real time (2) Scheduling and documenting in-person training, (3) Family interested in Scouting receives information and can request follow-up. Non-functional requirements are analyzed with the Quality Function Deployment tool. Requirement addressing frequency of backup, compatibility with legacy and new technology, language support, software update are developed to address system reliability and intuitive interface. System functions analyzed include update of activity database, maintenance of advancement status, archive of documents, and monitoring of content that is accessible. The study examines risks associated with information security, technological change and continued popularity of Scouting. Mitigation is based on system functions that are defined. The approach to developing an improved system for facilitating Boy Scout leader functions was iterative with insights into capabilities coming in the course of working through the used cases and sequence diagrams.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Geometric Tail Approximation for Reliability and Survivability

A common problem in developing high-reliability systems is estimating the reliability for a population of components that cannot be 100% tested. The radiation survivability of a population of components is often estimated by testing a very small sample to some multiple of the required specification level, known as an overtest. Given a successful test with a sufficient overtest margin, the population of components is assumed to have the required survivability or radiation reliability. However, no mathematical justification for such claims has been crafted without making aggressive assumptions regarding the statistics of the unknown distribution. Here we illustrate a new approach that leverages geometric bounding arguments founded on relatively modest distribution assumptions to produce conservative estimates of component reliability.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗