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At least 127 records · Page 7

The Scale and Activity of Symmetric Instability Estimated from a Global Submesoscale-Permitting Ocean Model

Abstract Symmetric instability (SI) extracts kinetic energy from fronts in the surface mixed layer (SML), potentially affecting the SML structure and dynamics. Here, a global submesoscale-permitting ocean model named MITgcm LLC4320 simulation is used to examine the Stone linear prediction of the maximum SI scale to estimate grid spacings needed to begin resolving SI. Furthermore, potential effects of SI on the usable wind work are estimated roughly: this estimate of SI “activity” is useful for assessing if these modes should be resolved or parameterized. The maximum SI scale varies by latitude with median values from 568 to 23 m. Strong seasonality is observed in the SI scale and activity. The median scale in winter is 188 m globally, 2.5 times of that of summer (75 m). SI is more active in winter: 15% of the time compared with 6% in summer. The strongest SI activity is found in the western Pacific, western Atlantic, and Southern Oceans. The required grid spacings for a global model to begin resolving SI eddies in the SML are 24 m (50% of regions resolved) and 7.9 m (90%) in winter, decreasing to 9.4 m (50%) and 3.6 m (90%) in summer. It is also estimated that SI may reduce usable wind work by an upper bound of 0.83 mW m −2 globally, or 5% of the global magnitude. The sensitivity of these estimates to empirical thresholds is provided in the text.

Dong, Jihai↗

Potential Impacts of Assimilating All-sky Satellite Infrared Radiances on Convection-Permitting Analysis and Prediction of Tropical Convection

Geostationary infrared satellite observations are spatially dense [< 1/(20 km)2] and temporally frequent (< 1/hour). These suggest the possibility of using these observations to constrain sub-synoptic features over data sparse regions, such as tropical oceans. In this study, the potential impacts of assimilating water vapor channel brightness temperature (WV-BT) observations from the geostationary Meteorological Satellite 7 (Meteosat-7) on tropical convection analysis and prediction were systematically examined through a series of ensemble data assimilation experiments. WV-BT observations were assimilated hourly into convection-permitting ensembles using Penn State’s ensemble square root filter (EnSRF). Comparisons against independently observed Meteosat-7 window channel brightness temperature (Window-BT) show that the assimilation of WV-BT generally improved the intensities and locations of large-scale cloud patterns at spatial scales larger than 100 km. However, comparisons against independent soundings indicate that the EnSRF analysis produced a much stronger dry bias than the no data assimilation experiment. This strong dry bias is associated with the use of the simulated WV-BT from the prior mean during the EnSRF analysis step. A stochastic variant of the ensemble Kalman filter (NoMeanSF) is proposed. The NoMeanSF algorithm was able to assimilate the WV-BT without causing such a strong dry bias and the quality of the analyses’ horizontal cloud pattern is similar to EnSRF’s analyses. Finally, deterministic forecasts initiated from the NoMeanSF analyses possess better horizontal cloud patterns above 500 km than those of the EnSRF. These results suggest that it might be better to assimilate all-sky WV-BT through the NoMeanSF algorithm than EnSRF algorithm.

Chan, Man-Yau↗

Impacts of Stochastic Mixing in Idealized Convection-Permitting Simulations of Squall Lines

This study investigates impacts of altering subgrid-scale mixing in “convection-permitting” kilometer-scale horizontal-grid-spacing (Δ h ) simulations by applying either constant or stochastic multiplicative factors to the horizontal mixing coefficients within the Weather Research and Forecasting Model. In quasi-idealized 1-km Δ h simulations of two observationally based squall-line cases, constant enhanced mixing produces larger updraft cores that are more dilute at upper levels, weakens the cold pool, rear-inflow jet, and front-to-rear flow of the squall line, and degrades the model’s effective resolution. Reducing mixing by a constant multiplicative factor has the opposite effect on all metrics. Completely turning off parameterized horizontal mixing produces bulk updraft statistics and squall-line mesoscale structure closest to an LES “benchmark” among all 1-km simulations, although the updraft cores are too undilute. The stochastic mixing scheme, which applies a multiplicative factor to the mixing coefficients that varies stochastically in time and space, is employed at 0.5-, 1-, and 2-km Δ h . It generally reduces midlevel vertical velocities and enhances upper-level vertical velocities compared to simulations using the standard mixing scheme, with more substantial impacts at 1- and 2-km Δ h compared to 0.5-km Δ h . Further, the stochastic scheme also increases updraft dilution to better agree with the LES for one case, but has less impact on the other case. Stochastic mixing acts to weaken the cold pool but without a significant impact on squall-line propagation. It also does not affect the model’s overall effective resolution unlike applying constant multiplicative factors to the mixing coefficients.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Growth of Mesoscale Convective Systems in Observations and a Seasonal Convection-Permitting Simulation over Argentina

Abstract A 6.5-month, convection-permitting simulation is conducted over Argentina covering the Remote Sensing of Electrification, Lightning, And Mesoscale/Microscale Processes with Adaptive Ground Observations and Clouds, Aerosols, and Complex Terrain Interactions (RELAMPAGO-CACTI) field campaign and is compared with observations to evaluate mesoscale convective system (MCS) growth prediction. Observed and simulated MCSs are consistently identified, tracked, and separated into growth, mature, and decay stages using top-of-the-atmosphere infrared brightness temperature and surface rainfall. Simulated MCS number, lifetime, seasonal and diurnal cycles, and various cloud-shield characteristics including growth rate are similar to those observed. However, the simulation produces smaller rainfall areas, greater proportions of heavy rainfall, and faster system propagations. Rainfall area is significantly underestimated for long-lived MCSs but not for shorter-lived MCSs, and rain rates are always overestimated. These differences result from a combination of model and satellite retrieval biases, in which simulated MCS rain rates are shifted from light to heavy, while satellite-retrieved rainfall is too frequent relative to rain gauge estimates. However, the simulation reproduces satellite-retrieved MCS cloud-shield evolution well, supporting its usage to examine environmental controls on MCS growth. MCS initiation locations are associated with removal of convective inhibition more than maximized low-level moisture convergence or instability. Rapid growth is associated with a stronger upper-level jet (ULJ) and a deeper northwestern Argentinean low that causes a stronger northerly low-level jet (LLJ), increasing heat and moisture fluxes, low-level vertical wind shear, baroclinicity, and instability. Sustained growth corresponds to similar LLJ, baroclinicity, and instability conditions but is less sensitive to the ULJ, large-scale vertical motion, or low-level shear. Growth sustenance controls MCS maximum extent more than growth rate.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Influences of the South American Low-Level Jet on the Convective Environment in Central Argentina Using a Convection-Permitting Simulation

This study documents the spatial and temporal distribution of the South American low-level jet (SALLJ) and quantifies its impact on the convective environment using a 6.5-month convection-permitting simulation during the Remote Sensing of Electrification, Lightning, And Mesoscale/Microscale Processes with Adaptive Ground Observations and Clouds, Aerosols, and Complex Terrain Interactions (RELAMPAGO-CACTI) campaigns. Overall, the simulation reproduces the observed SALLJ characteristics in central Argentina near the Sierras de Córdoba (SDC), a focal point for terrain-focused upscale growth. SALLJs most frequently occur in the summer with maxima to the northwest and east of the SDC and minima over the higher terrain. The shallower SALLJs (<1750 m) have a strong overnight skew, while the elevated jets are more equally spread throughout the day. SALLJ periods often have higher amounts of low-level moisture and instability compared to non-SALLJ periods, with these impacts increasing over time when the SALLJ is present and decreasing afterward. The SALLJ may enhance low-level wind shear magnitudes (particularly when accounting for the jet height); however, enhancement is somewhat limited due to the presence of speed shear in most situations. SALLJ periods are associated with low-level directional shear favorable for organized convection and an orientation of cloud-layer wind shear parallel to the terrain, which could favor upscale growth. A case study is shown in which the SALLJ influenced both the magnitude and direction of wind shear concurrent with convective upscale growth near the SDC. This study highlights the complex relationship between the SALLJ and its impacts during periods of widespread convection.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Convection-Permitting Ensembles of an Isolated Mountain Thunderstorm during RELAMPAGO/CACTI

Abstract The north–south-oriented Sierras de Córdoba (SDC) ridge in central Argentina is noted for initiating thunderstorms that may grow into intense mesoscale convective systems (MCSs). It also initiates more isolated, shorter-lived cells under weaker synoptic forcing. These cells are less impactful than MCSs but may be difficult to predict in convective-scale numerical weather prediction (NWP) due to their strong sensitivities to subgrid and partially resolved processes. To study the mechanisms and predictability of such cells, convection-permitting ensemble simulations were conducted of an isolated, diurnally forced SDC thunderstorm during Cloud, Aerosol, and Complex Terrain Interactions (CACTI)/Remote Sensing of Electrification, Lightning, and Mesoscale/Microscale Processes with Adaptive Ground Observations (RELAMPAGO). The rich observational data facilitated detailed ensemble verification, where dry biases in the surface energy balance and soil moisture were identified. These biases promoted rapid removal of convective inhibition and an early onset of precipitating cells over the SDC that were shallower and weaker than the observed cell. Correction, and then overcorrection, of the soil moisture bias in two successive ensembles was required to rectify the surface energy balance and improve the representation of the SDC cell. Nevertheless, substantial ensemble variability in convective precipitation was found, with some members producing more widespread convection than observed and others producing no deep convection at all. This variability was largely explained by a combination of thermodynamic and dynamic mechanisms, dominated by a positive sensitivity of convective precipitation to preconvective moist instability over the ridge. Secondary sensitivities were found to low-level upward mass flux and midlevel cross-barrier winds, the latter of which caused gravity waves with elevated downdrafts that tended to suppress incipient clouds.

Lopez, Andres [Department of Atmospheric and Ocean↗

Risk-Based Area of Review Estimation in Overpressured Reservoirs to Support Injection Well Storage Facility Permit Requirements for CO 2 Storage Projects

Conference paper presented at 16th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies (GHGT-16) Conference, Lyon, France, October 23–27, 2023. This paper summarizes the regulatory environment in North Dakota, briefly illustrates the authors’ published risk-based approach to AOR delineation in overpressured reservoirs, and provides a case study example from the Project Tundra commercial CO 2 capture and storage project that was recently permitted in North Dakota, USA.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Transmittal of the Sandia National Laboratories/New Mexico Five-Day Report for the Accidental Slug Discharge at the Albuquerque Bernalillo County Water Utility Authority (ABCWUA) Industrial Wastewater Permit No. 2069 Outfall [Letter and Enclosure]

This letter represents the five-day written notification for elevated fluoride levels at the Building 858N, Acid Waste Neutralization (AWN) System in accordance with the ABCWUA Sewer Use and Wastewater Ordinance § 3-6-5(B), Reports of Potential Problems. This AWN System is covered under the ABCWUA Industrial Wastewater Permit No. 2069G. The immediate notification to the ABCWUA occurred at 21:42 on August 1, 2019.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Policy, Regulatory, Legal, and Permitting Evaluation Task 6.0 (Technical Report)

This report revisits and updates work completed for the Phase I CarbonSAFE Illinois - East Sub Basin project, the precursor to the Phase II Wabash CarbonSAFE project; the current report summarizes the policy, regulatory, legal, and permitting considerations to-date as related to geologic CO 2 storage at the Wabash Valley Resources (WVR) gasification plant site in Vigo County, Indiana.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Soil Sample Report in Support of the Site 300 Hazardous Waste Facility Permit, Part V, Special Condition #16 a-f

The California Department of Toxic Substances Control (DTSC) issued a Resource Conservation and Recovery Act (RCRA) Hazardous Waste Facility Permit (HWFP) to Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) Experimental Test Site 300 (Site 300) in August 2017. This soil sampling summary report is required as part of the HWFP, Part V, Special Condition #16 a-f. Soil sample results for Constituents of Concern (COC) were evaluated relative to established site-wide background levels that were developed by the LLNL Environmental Restoration Department (ERD) for site mitigation work pursuant to the Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation, and Liability Act (CERCLA).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Calendar Year 2022 Annual Monitoring Report for Technical Area IV, Evaporation Lagoons Permit DP-530 at Sandia National Laboratories/New Mexico

Pursuant to Section 20.6.2.3104 of the New Mexico Administrative Code (NMAC), the U.S. Department of Energy/National Nuclear Security Administration/Sandia Field Office (DOE/NNSA/SFO) as owner and National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC (NTESS) as operator are submitting this annual monitoring and discharge report for calendar year (CY) 2022 as required in Discharge Permit 530 (DP-530), issued by the New Mexico Environment Department (NMED) for the Pulsed Power Development Facilities Evaporation Lagoons located at Sandia National Laboratories/New Mexico (SNL/NM) Technical Area IV (TA-IV).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Geophysical Characterization of 200 TEDF to Support Discharge Permit Renewal

The Treated Effluent Disposal Facility (TEDF) is a site where treated non-hazardous and non-radioactive liquid wastes are collected and disposed of in two state-permitted disposal basins near the 200 East Area at the Hanford Site. In 2016, a renewal application was submitted for TEDF that requested mass loading effluent limits instead of concentration-based effluent limits. The Washington State Department of Ecology denied this request due to a lack of groundwater monitoring wells that can be used to identify and characterize the impact of TEDF discharges on the underlying groundwater. Current TEDF monitoring wells are screened in the confined aquifer below the Ringold Lower Mud (RLM) unit and are not representative of TEDF discharges that can potentially mound above the RLM unit.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Permitting Commercial-Scale Carbon Dioxide Geological Storage

Conference presentation at Underground Injection Control Annual Meeting of the Groundwater Protection Council, San Antonio, Texas, February 18, 2020. An overview of the Plains CO 2 Reduction (PCOR) Partnership Initiative and carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) activity in the region. Includes permitting process for CCUS deployment in North Dakota.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

State's Perspective on Regulating CO 2 Storage and Permitting UIC Class VI Injection Wells

Conference presentation at 48th International Technical Conference on Clean Energy (Clearwater Clean Energy Conference), Clearwater, Florida, June 16–19, 2024. An overview of the Plains CO 2 Reduction (PCOR) Partnership Initiative, the regulatory framework for carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS), and a timeline of the state and federal permitting process.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗