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At least 127 records · Page 7

Recent evolution of risk analyses in atomic bomb survivor studies: new methods and applications

Abstract Several decades ago a dramatic leap forward occurred in the development and application of statistical methods for modeling radiation risk at the Radiation Effects Research Foundation (RERF). Poisson regression analysis for grouped person-year cohort data and the linear excess relative risk model were introduced, and subsequently a devoted software system, Epicure® (https://www.hirosoft.com), was developed by researchers at RERF and at the U.S. National Cancer Institute. Numerous advancements in understanding radiation effects on humans were made possible with these methods, which are still the state-of-the-art for risk assessment at RERF and have remained part of the standard toolbox for radiation—and other environmental—epidemiological studies worldwide. Nevertheless, as our understanding of radiation risk has increased, so have the breadth and depth of questions that require answers based on emerging data that are not amenable to these conventional methods. This overview briefly recounts the conventional methods and then describes our recent diversification into the use or development of new statistical approaches to meet the challenges of burgeoning biological data and emerging mechanistic information. We briefly discuss the development and application of new methods, current and planned, that are part of the RERF Statistics Department’s role in supporting institution-wide research, especially in our collaborations involving the Life Span Study, Adult Health Study, and First-generation Offspring Clinical Study. Some approaches to modeling and assessing radiation risk with newer methods mentioned herein have already been published, while some are still in development or are only beginning at the proposal stage.

Oncology↗

Cold ion beam in a storage ring as a platform for large-scale quantum computers and simulators: Challenges and directions for research and development

The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the possibility of constructing a large-scale storage-ring-type ion-trap system capable of storing, cooling, and controlling a large number of ions as a platform for scalable quantum computing (QC) and quantum simulations. In such a trap, the ions form a crystalline beam moving along a circular path with a constant velocity determined by the frequency and intensity of the cooling lasers. In this paper, we consider a large leap forward in terms of the number of ions that serve as qubits in QC, from fewer than 100 available in state of the art linear ion-trap devices today to an order of 10 5 crystallized ions in the storage-ring setup. This new trap design unifies two different concepts: the storage rings of charged particles and the linear ion traps used for QC and mass spectrometry. In this paper, we use the language of particle accelerators to discuss the ion state and dynamics. We outline the differences between the above concepts, analyze challenges of the large ring with a revolving chain of ions, and propose goals for the research and development required to enable future quantum computers with 1000 times more qubits than available today. The challenge of creating such a large-scale quantum system while maintaining the necessary coherence of the qubits and the high fidelity of quantum logic operations is significant. Performing analog quantum simulations may be an achievable initial goal for such a device. Quantum calculations and simulations of complex quantum systems will move forward both the fundamental science and the applied research. Nuclear and particle physics, many-body quantum systems, lattice gauge theories, and nuclear structure calculations are just a few examples in which a large-scale quantum simulation system will become a very powerful tool to move forward our understanding of nature.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Physics principles of inertial confinement fusion and U.S. program overview

Inertial confinement fusion (ICF) has existed as a field of study since the 1970s, but the field was born out of the Cold War. In the decades since the 1960s, pioneering research developing the principles and technologies of ICF culminated in the creation of three major Department of Energy facilities that still exist today, the National Ignition Facility (NIF) at Lawrence Livermore National Lab, the OMEGA laser at the Laboratory for Laser Energetics, and the Z pulsed power facility at Sandia National Laboratories. While the technology of ICF facilities themselves is fascinating, this review concentrates upon the physics principles of the targets fielded on U.S. ICF facilities and upon results from the last decade of research. Furthermore, while there have been periods of frustration on the road to ICF ignition, recent research has demonstrated great leaps in understanding what aspects of the implosions need more control. Tangible progress in ICF is evident as burning plasmas and ignited plasmas have recently been generated, repeatedly, on the NIF stemming from decades of science and engineering understanding generated from work on the above three facilities and international community.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

High‐Resolution Direct Push NMR Tools for Groundwater Investigations

Abstract A small‐diameter nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) technology optimized for use with direct push (DP) and cone penetrometer test (CPT) drilling has been developed. The DP NMR tool can be deployed through 2.25‐in. diameter DP and CPT drilling rods allowing high‐resolution NMR logging measurements to be acquired during retraction of drill rods. DP NMR technology runs from a person‐portable battery‐powered control unit and provides significantly higher resolution in both the spatial (vertical) dimension and in the time domain of the NMR measurement than previously available NMR technology. In this study, we summarize the development of two different DP NMR tools and demonstrate their application at different sites within the United States. We believe that this technology can provide a leap forward in adoption of NMR technology for high‐resolution hydrological and geophysical investigations in groundwater resources and environmental remediation applications.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Review of Radio Frequency Interference and Potential Impacts on the CMB-S4 Cosmic Microwave Background Survey

CMB-S4 will map the cosmic microwave background to unprecedented precision, while simultaneously surveying the millimeter-wave time-domain sky, in order to advance our understanding of cosmology and the universe. CMB-S4 will observe from two sites, the South Pole and the Atacama Desert of Chile. A combination of small- and large-aperture telescopes with hundreds of thousands of polarization-sensitive detectors will observe in several frequency bands from 20-300 GHz, surveying more than 50% of the sky to arcminute resolution with unprecedented sensitivity. CMB-54 seeks to make a dramatic leap in sensitivity while observing across a broad range of largely unprotected spectrum which is increasingly being utilized for terrestrial and satellite transmissions. Fundamental aspects of CMB instrument technology leave them vulnerable to radio frequency interference (RFI) across a wide range of frequencies, including frequencies outside of their observing bands. Ground-based CMB instruments achieve their extraordinary sensitivities by deploying large focal planes of superconducting bolometers to extremely dry, high-altitude sites, with large fractional bandwidths, wide fields of view, and years of integration time. Suitable observing sites have historically offered significant protection from RFI, both naturally through their extremely remote locations as well as through restrictions on local emissions. Since the coupling mechanisms are complex, "safe" levels or frequencies of emission that would not interfere with CMB measurements cannot always be determined through straightforward calculations. We discuss models of interference for various types of RFI relevant to CMB-54, mitigation strategies, and the potential impacts on survey sensitivity.

Cosmic Microwave Background↗

Tournament-Based Pretraining to Accelerate Federated Learning

Advances in hardware, proliferation of compute at the edge, and data creation at unprecedented scales have made federated learning (FL) necessary for the next leap forward in pervasive machine learning. For privacy and network reasons, large volumes of data remain stranded on endpoints located in geographically austere (or at least austere network-wise) locations. However, challenges exist to the effective use of these data. To solve the system and functional level challenges, we present an three novel variants of a serverless federated learning framework. We also present tournament-based pretraining, which we demonstrate significantly improves model performance in some experiments. Overall, these extensions to FL and our novel training method enable greater focus on science rather than ML development.

Baughman, Matt↗

Berkeley Quantum Synthesis Toolkit (BQSKit) v1

The Berkeley Quantum Synthesis Toolkit (BQSKit) is an optimizing quantum compiler and research vehicle that combines ideas from several projects at LBNL into one easily accessible and quickly extensible software package. The ideas in the QFAST, QSearch, LEAP, and QFactor software tools (all licensed through ipo.lbl.gov) all build upon one another. By combining these into one package, we create symbiotic interactions between the tools. This means better results, better throughput, less to maintain, and greater surface area to the public. Additionally, the BQSKit tool will create a research platform for future work here at LBNL.

Younis, Ed↗

SLICE

For most of their lifetime, pebble-bed reactors (PBRs) operate at an equilibrium state in which the core is filled with fuel pebbles at various levels of burnup. A fuel pebble travels multiple times in so-called passes through the reactor before it reaches its target discharge burnup and is replaced with a fresh fuel pebble. Given the stochastic nature of the fuel pebble travel paths and consequently the individual fuel pebble histories, it is not possible with standard methods developed for traditional reactor concepts to calculate the fuel inventory in the reactor core. An iterative approach, the SCALE Leap-In method for Cores at Equilibrium (SLICE), was developed to generate region-average fuel inventory for a PBR. The SLICE code enables automatic generation of input files for the SCALE code system (https://www.ornl.gov/scale), management of the SCALE result files, and analysis of results.

Bostelmann, Friederike [Oak Ridge National Laborat↗

An emerging multi-omic understanding of the genetics of opioid addiction

Opioid misuse, addiction, and associated overdose deaths remain global public health crises. Despite the tremendous need for pharmacological treatments, current options are limited in number, use, and effectiveness. Fundamental leaps forward in our understanding of the biology driving opioid addiction are needed to guide development of more effective medication-assisted therapies. This Review focuses on the omics-identified biological features associated with opioid addiction. Recent GWAS have begun to identify robust genetic associations, including variants in OPRM1, FURIN, and the gene cluster SCAI/PPP6C/RABEPK. An increasing number of omics studies of postmortem human brain tissue examining biological features (e.g., histone modification and gene expression) across different brain regions have identified broad gene dysregulation associated with overdose death among opioid misusers. Drawn together by meta-analysis and multi-omic systems biology, and informed by model organism studies, key biological pathways enriched for opioid addiction–associated genes are emerging, which include specific receptors (e.g., GABAB receptors, GPCR, and Trk) linked to signaling pathways (e.g., Trk, ERK/MAPK, orexin) that are associated with synaptic plasticity and neuronal signaling. Studies leveraging the agnostic discovery power of omics and placing it within the context of functional neurobiology will propel us toward much-needed, field-changing breakthroughs, including identification of actionable targets for drug development to treat this devastating brain disease.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Capturing Travel Mode Adoption in Designing On-Demand Multimodal Transit Systems

This paper studies how to integrate rider mode preferences into the design of on-demand multimodal transit systems (ODMTSs). It is motivated by a common worry in transit agencies that an ODMTS may be poorly designed if the latent demand, that is, new riders adopting the system, is not captured. This paper proposes a bilevel optimization model to address this challenge, in which the leader problem determines the ODMTS design, and the follower problems identify the most cost efficient and convenient route for riders under the chosen design. The leader model contains a choice model for every potential rider that determines whether the rider adopts the ODMTS given her proposed route. To solve the bilevel optimization model, the paper proposes an exact decomposition method that includes Benders optimal cuts and no-good cuts to ensure the consistency of the rider choices in the leader and follower problems. Moreover, to improve computational efficiency, the paper proposes upper and lower bounds on trip durations for the follower problems, valid inequalities that strengthen the no-good cuts, and approaches to reduce the problem size with problem-specific preprocessing techniques. The proposed method is validated using an extensive computational study on a real data set from the Ann Arbor Area Transportation Authority, the transit agency for the broader Ann Arbor and Ypsilanti region in Michigan. The study considers the impact of a number of factors, including the price of on-demand shuttles, the number of hubs, and access to transit systems criteria. The designed ODMTSs feature high adoption rates and significantly shorter trip durations compared with the existing transit system and highlight the benefits of ensuring access for low-income riders. Finally, the computational study demonstrates the efficiency of the decomposition method for the case study and the benefits of computational enhancements that improve the baseline method by several orders of magnitude. Funding: This research was partly supported by National Science Foundation [Leap HI Proposal NSF-1854684] and the Department of Energy [Research Award 7F-30154].

Operations Research & Management Science↗

Energy Assets Transformation Web Mapping Application

This submission contains the link and geospatial materials used in the Energy Assets Transformation Web Mapping Application. The zip file contains 19 geospatial layers in a file geodatabase called EAT.gdb to be grouped in the following categories. 1. Industrial Assets: Coal Generation Units Retirements 2012-2040 (EIA); Examples of Repurposing Projects (32 projects in total); Abandoned Coal Mines (CORD, SkyTruth); Abandoned or Orphaned Wells (for ten states only). 2. Energy Transition Communities: 48C (e) Tax Credits - Designated Energy Communities (IRA); Index of Deep Disadvantage; Local Energy Action Program (LEAP); EJ Index for Proximity to Hazardous Waste (EPA). 3. Regional Landscape: State-Level Funding Programs (relevant to repurposing projects, for 2022 and 2023 only); Coal Flows from Mine to Plant 2021 (EIA), Variable Renewable Energy Shares (Wind and Solar, 2021, EIA). 4. Supporting Infrastructure: Railroads (HIFLD), Electric Power Transmission Lines (HIFLD), Major Highways (NHPN, DOT), Major Ports (National Atlas of the U.S.); Independent System Operators (HIFLD), NERC Regions and Subregions (HIFLD).

abandoned coal mines↗

Geant4 Simulations on Faraday Cup Design for PIP-II Laser Wire Scanner System

The Proton Improvement Plan-II (PIP-II) accelerator upgrade at Fermilab represents a groundbreaking leap forward in high-energy physics research. This ambitious initiative involves enhancing Fermilab's accelerator complexby replacing the current linear accelerator (linac) with awarm front end (WFE) capable of accelerating H- beamsup to 2.1 MeV. Subsequently, a superconducting linac further accelerates these beams up to 800 MeV. To preciselymeasure the transverse beam profile, a combination of traditional wire scanners at the WFE section and Laser wirescanners along the superconducting linac are planned forimplementation. This investigation is centered on refiningthe Faraday cup design for the PIP-II Laser wire scannersby utilizing GEANT4, a Monte Carlo simulation toolkit.Leveraging this method enables a comprehensive analysisof particle trajectories, energy deposition, secondary particle emission, backscattering, etc., facilitating optimizationthrough adjustments to cup geometries, materials, andplacement to maximize its efficacy in beam diagnostics.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Verification and Validation of High Explosive Reactive Burn Models Implemented in LANL's EAP and LAP Code Base

Reactive burn models represent a significant leap in high explosive (HE) modeling capability. The first generation of engineering models of HE detonation are called programmed burn models and they are largely based on the distance between a prescribed detonation point and each zone in a simulation. There have been many advancements to programmed burn models over the years and when the assumptions upon which they are based are met, a properly tuned programmed burn model can be highly accurate but if any of their assumptions is not met, as is the case for corner turning or weakly initiated HE burn, they will give the wrong answer. Reactive burn models represent an entirely new way of modeling HE burn. They use the local conditions of a zone – e.g. temperature, pressure or density – as calculated by a hydrocode to determine if and when the zone is going to detonate and if so, how rapidly. This difference opens up an entirely new set of capabilities for HE modeling. It makes it possible to accurately and predictively model phenomena like the effect of confinement and the formation of dead zones. Reactive burn models have seen sustained development effort at LANL for at least the last decade but several recent developments make it timely to transition reactive burn models from a research topic to a production tool. The main goal of this milestone is to facilitate and accelerate the adoption of reactive burn as a commonly available modeling option, with recommendations on the resolution that will be required and uncertainties associated with their modeling choices. To achieve this, we have performed verification, validation, and uncertainty quantification (UQ) assessments of AWSD and SURF/SURFplus in xRage and FLAG on a variety of different problems.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

DISCOVR: Development of Integrated Screening, Cultivar Optimization, and Verification Research

The DISCOVR consortium has developed and is applying an integrated platform and workflow for standardized, deep characterization of highly productive and resilient microalgae strains. New strains are screened using three consecutive tiers in a conceptual down-selection funnel to arrive at the most promising strains. At tier I, strains are screened on gradient incubators to determine their temperature and salinity tolerance range, and to evaluate their resistance to infectious agents (e.g., chytrids). At tier II, the strains’ winter and summer season biomass productivities are quantified in Laboratory Environmental Algae Pond Simulator (LEAPS) photobioreactors, and biomass composition is determined under N-replete and N-deplete conditions. At tier III, the best winter and summer season strains are evaluated in indoor crash ponds to determine their resilience to induced infections, and strains are tested in outdoor raceway ponds to confirm high biomass productivity and culture stability. The top strains are then evaluated in seasonal SOT outdoor pond culture trials at AzCATI, the dedicated Department of Energy SOT (State of Technology) testbed. Additional research is carried out on evaluating growth promoting molecules, reducing the impact of oxygen inhibition, optimizing pond operational conditions, measuring compositional shift dynamics, developing integrated pest management strategies, analysing culture health using 96 well-plate tools, implementing spectroradiometric monitoring and using machine learning to predict culture crashes.

Huesemann, Michael H↗

GANpiler

Focal Area(s): Rather than augment or replace physical models with machine learning, we instead preserve the existing models and augment the underlying code with faster surrogate models created by generative adversarial networks (GAN). To leverage the performance optimization, we also propose a runtime system and user interfaces that allow prediction and tracking of accumulated error as well as dynamic, per-process decision making as to which model (if any) to use for each iteration. Science Challenge: This proposal sits at the nexus of two hard problems. First, climate models based on machine learning will be, by their nature, difficult to trust once their predictions begin diverging from the consensus. Second, compilers and hardware have been making only incremental performance gains for decades. GPGPUs have provided a welcome performance boost for codes that can take advantage of them, but there is no similar technology on the horizon to provide the next performance leap.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Multisensor Agile Adaptive Sampling of Convective Storms Driven by Real-time Analytics

Convective storms vertically transport water vapor and condensate from Earth’s surface to the upper troposphere. Life on Earth is fundamentally linked to this transport which determines the hydrological cycle, and the intensity of severe weather responsible for the destruction of life and property. Despite advances in high-resolution modeling and better observational capabilities, the scientific community continues to be confronted with knowledge gaps about convective storms that limit our predictive capabilities. The ongoing developments in the high-resolution Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM), large eddy simulations, and AI-based analytics to evaluate uncertainties are expected to provide a comprehensive framework for new scientific discovery. The model-experiment (MODEX) approach suggests that the aforementioned advancements in model development and AI-based inference techniques should be complemented by similar advancements in the experimental (observational) side so that the former does not outstrip the ability of the latter to provide meaningful constraints. What are the recent advancements in observations that will provide the necessary leap forward in improving our predictive capabilities? To address this question, we propose a new experimental paradigm called Multisensor Agile Adaptive Sampling (MAAS) that capitalizes on advancements in communications (5G), computational resources (edge/fog computing), sensor capabilities, and machine learning (ML) and AI techniques (Kollias et al., 2020). The MAAS framework allows for the collection of higher spatiotemporal resolution and quality observations of convective storms than is traditionally possible. The MAAS framework is scalable and applicable to atmospheric observatories such as those operated by the Department of Energy (DoE) Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) facility.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

III-V Solar Cells with Novel Epitaxial Lift-off Architectures for Extended Substrate Reuse for Low-cost Manufacturing

The highest solar cell efficiencies have been achieved with III-V photovoltaics (PV). Still, the use of III-V materials in terrestrial applications has been very limited, mainly because of their high cost. The high cost is primarily due to the expensive Ge or GaAs wafers which could amount up to one-half of the total module cost! A prominent approach to reduce the impact of the high cost of substrates used for III-V PV is through re-use of the wafer substrates by Epitaxial Lift-Off (ELO). Typically, using a sacrificial layer such as AlAs, the device part of the cell is lifted off, leaving behind the substrate for re-use for fabrication of the next device. While conversion efficiency as high as 29.1% has been achieved by ELO method, chemical mechanical polishing (CMP) of the substrate is required which significantly adds to the overall solar cell cost. In this project, we have developed a novel ELO architecture for single junction gallium arsenide (GaAs) solar cells that will not require CMP of the substrate for re-use. Multiple reuses of GaAs wafers have been demonstrated with no CMP, without degradation in solar cell efficiency. Also, the solar cells have been successfully lifted off and transferred to inexpensive substrates with less than 2% change in efficiency. By elimination of the CMP process, which is the highest cost component of III-V solar cells made by conventional ELO method (~$10/W), and decreasing the substrate cost by multiple re-uses, the developed technology could be a leap forward in significantly reducing the cost of III-V photovoltaics.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

LH CO 2 MENT Colorado Project (Final Report)

The objective of Electricore’s pre-FEED project “LH CO 2 MENT COLORADO PROJECT” is to accelerate the implementation of a 1.5 million tonnes per year (TPY), and first-of-a-kind (FOAK) at world scale, Svante VeloxoTherm™ carbon capture plant. This project represents a quantum leap to a large-scale facility that will launch Svante’s carbon capture technology into the next era of accomplishments and market acceptance. By completing the Front-End Loading (FEL) Feasibility Study Report (FEL-2) for a fit-for-purpose design at the HOLCIM cement plant, located near Florence Colorado, USA, this technology can be proven as the future of large-scale deployment for carbon capture and storage. This carbon capture plant was designed with the goal of reaching a target of near Net Zero Emissions by capturing 90% of the carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions from the HOLCIM cement plant and from the boiler which produces steam required to regenerate the adsorbent. Additionally, this project will be leveraging a renewable Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) using solar energy to acquire power at the target price of 0.04 $/kWh or less. In its current configuration CO 2 emissions from the HOLCIM cement plant is around 700 – 800 kg/ton of clinker produced. The proposed new carbon capture plant will allow a reduction of CO 2 emissions to about 100 kg/ton of clinker produced. The scope of work consists of the process design and capital & operating cost estimation (Class IV) for a total plant capacity of 4,750 TPD of pipeline grade CO 2 . The Svante VeloxoTherm™ technology is comprised of a Rotary Adsorption Machine (RAM) for intensified Thermal Swing Adsorption (TSA) using Structured Adsorbent Beds (SABs) and related Balance of Plant (BOP), including CO 2 compression. A business case (financial analysis) evaluation has been undertaken for the Owner’s management review. Recommendations on how best to proceed to the next stage of the project have been conveyed and are documented within this report. This analysis has relied on a detailed and comprehensive Project Financial Model, evaluating the Total Project IRR (after tax, unlevered, and including all forecast 45Q PTCs and 100% tax efficiency) – the project financial analysis (as opposed to standard TEA analysis) only considered a 12 year plant economic lifetime as a result of 45Q being the sole driver considered at this stage. The Total Project IRR was evaluated across a large number of potential scenarios. The evaluation demonstrated that if the 45Q PTD is increased to $85/MT for sequestration, there are a large number of feasible scenarios which demonstrate economic returns.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗