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At least 127 records · Page 7

Wholesale electricity market design with increasing levels of renewable generation: Revenue sufficiency and long-term reliability

This paper discusses challenges that relate to assessing and properly incentivizing the resources necessary to ensure a reliable electricity system with growing penetrations of variable generation (VG). The output of VG (primarily wind and solar generation) varies over time and cannot be predicted precisely. Therefore, the energy from VG is not always guaranteed to be available at times when it is most needed. This means that its contribution towards resource adequacy can be significantly less than the contribution from traditional resources. Variable renewable resources also have near-zero variable costs, and with production-based subsidies they may even have negative offer costs. Because variable costs drive the spot price of energy, this can lead to reduced prices, sales, and therefore revenue for all resources within the energy market. The characteristics of VG can also result in increased price volatility as well as the need for more flexibility in the resource fleet in order to maintain system reliability. Furthermore, we explore both traditional and evolving electricity market designs in the United States that aim to ensure resource adequacy and sufficient revenues to recover costs when those resources are needed for long-term reliability. We also investigate how reliability needs may be evolving and discuss how VG may affect future electricity market designs.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Planning for sustained water-electricity resilience over the U.S.: Persistence of current water-electricity operations and long-term transformative plans

The electricity system relies upon the availability and predictability of water to support hydropower operations and cooling of thermoelectric plants, implying that water plays a fundamental role in power operations and that water-related stresses may have a critical effect on the electricity system. Designing for electricity system resilience to changing societal demands and environmental conditions is a complex and urgent endeavor, one that requires robust diagnosis and an articulation of interdependencies among key system components. Here we consider the argument that water may help to navigate that complexity, revealing thresholds for system change and the transformations that may be required for enduring resilience of the electricity sector. To assess this thesis, we apply a framework for understanding resilient systems following Folke et al., that is extended in this special issue, by which resilience comprises three capabilities: system persistence, adaptability, and transformation. We apply this resilience diagnosis approach to the bulk electricity system of the contiguous United States, with particular attention to water-driven stressors. We provide a qualitative narrative that discusses the spectrum of resilience capabilities (persistence, adaptability, and transformability) of the water-electricity system in the United States over three scales of inter-dependencies: individual power plant, urban and grid scales.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Empirical Investigations of the Opportunity Limits of Automatic Residential Electric Load Shaping

Residential electric load shaping is often modeled as infrequent, utility-initiated, short-duration deferral of peak demand through direct load control. In contrast, modeled herein is the potential for frequent, transactive, intraday, consumer-configurable load shaping for storage-capable thermostatically controlled electric loads (TCLs), including refrigerators, freezers, and hot water heaters. Unique to this study are 28 months of 15-minute-interval observations of usage in 101 homes in the Pacific Northwest United States that specify exact start, duration, and usage patterns of approximately 25 submetered loads per home. The magnitudes of the load shift from voluntarily-participating TCL appliances are aggregated to form hourly upper and lower load-shaping limits for the coordination of electrical generation, transmission, distribution, storage, and demand. Empirical data are statistically analyzed to define metrics that help quantify load-shaping opportunities.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Comparison of Linear and Rotary Electric Machine Topologies for a Hybrid Hydraulic Electric Architecture of Off-Highway Vehicles

Electrification of off-highway vehicles offers the benefits of improved energy efficiency, enhanced controllability, and reduction in greenhouse gas emissions. However, progress towards electrification has been limited by the low power density of electric components compared to hydraulic components. A recently proposed hybrid hydraulic electric vehicle architecture provides a potential solution to these power density challenges by minimizing the required power rating of the electric components. This paper investigates the optimal design of linear and rotary electric machines for this new system architecture. Key performance metrics are identified for the electric machine, several variants of electric machines are analytically sized and compared for two different power levels, and an FEA-assisted design optimization is performed on promising candidates. Based on the optimization results, it is shown that an axial flux rotary machine is most suitable for implements requiring high power ratings, while the linear machine's form factor makes it a compelling candidate for lower power implements.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Cu-Local Structures and Their Relation with Nanoscale Electrical Performance in CdTe

For decades, copper has been introduced in CdTe devices to improve overall performance (open circuit voltage, fill factor, and series resistance). While multiple articles have reported on Cu-based defects, very little is known about how the local structure around the copper atom affects electrical performance. Using X-ray Absorption Near Edge Structure (XANES) coupled with X-ray microscopy we investigate good and poor performing region in Cu-doped CdTe devices. Our XANES coupled with theoretical standards by FEFF9 suggest that CU 2 Te phase and Cu Cd may be responsible for the high electrical performance of the regions under study. This correlation of structure-performance at the nanoscale offers a unique framework to understand and tune processes with deep implications to the overall electrical performance of the solar cell.

CdTe↗

Human-in-the-Loop Motion Control of a Two-DOF Hydraulic Backhoe Powered by the Hybrid Hydraulic Electric Architecture (HHEA)

Abstract The Hybrid Hydraulic-Electric Architecture (HHEA) combines the respective power density and control advantages of hydraulic and electric actuation to save energy for off-road vehicles. It uses a set of selectable common pressure rails to transmit the majority of power and electric actuation to modulate that power. As it is critical that off-road vehicles can perform tasks dexterously and exactly as commanded by the operator, the switchings between discrete pressure rails pose a potential challenge for smooth and precise motion. A control strategy consisting of a backstepping nominal control and least norm transition control has previously been developed to address this issue. It has been tested on 1 degree of freedom (DOF) testbeds where known trajectories were able to be tracked precisely. This paper presents the implementation of the HHEA motion control strategy on a 2-DOF backhoe operated by a human operator via a 2-DOF joystick. Unlike previous studies, the duty cycle is unknown beforehand and the decision to change pressure rails is taken in real-time. The efficacy of the motion control strategy has been validated experimentally. Several strategies to improve the user interface: control in workspace coordinates, pressure feedback, and velocity field-based task specification, have also been implemented and demonstrated to make operating the multiple DOF, HHEA actuated machine more intuitive to novice operators.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Comparison of Real-Time Pressure Rail Selection Algorithms for the Hybrid Hydraulic Electric Architecture: Case Study on a Track Loader

Abstract The hybrid hydraulic electric architecture (HHEA) seeks to combine the high power/torque/force density of hydraulics with the efficiency of electric machines. A set of common pressure rails is used to provide a majority of the power and this power is modulated by small electric machines to provide precise control for the operator. The HHEA has been studied in previous work using off-line dynamic programming optimization to determine energy efficient pressure rail selections, but this approach requires drive cycle information apriori. A Lagrange multiplier method has also been investigated where a set of gains (Lagrange multipliers) are optimized off-line with the idea the these gains, once determined, could be used for real-time operation. In this work, three new real-time pressure rail selection algorithms that do not require future drive cycle information are investigated; greedy, torque minimizing, and thresholding. The greedy control is found to only use 1% more energy than the globally optimal dynamic programming solution; but a model of energy loss is required.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Impacts of High Variable Renewable Energy Futures on Wholesale Electricity Prices, and on Electric-Sector Decision Making

Increasing penetrations of variable renewable energy (VRE) can affect wholesale electricity price patterns and make them meaningfully different from past, traditional price patterns. Many long-lasting decisions for supply- and demand-side electricity infrastructure and programs are based on historical observations or assume a business-as-usual future with low shares of VRE. Our motivating question is whether certain electric-sector decisions that are made based on assumptions reflecting low VRE levels will still achieve their intended objective in a high VRE future. We qualitatively describe how various decisions may change with higher shares of VRE and outline an analytical framework for quantitatively evaluating the impacts of VRE on long-lasting decisions. We then present results from detailed electricity market simulations with capacity expansion and unit commitment models for multiple regions of the U.S. for low and high VRE futures. We find a general decrease in average annual hourly wholesale energy prices with more VRE penetration, increased price volatility and frequency of very low-priced hours, and changing diurnal price patterns. Ancillary service prices rise substantially and peak net-load hours with high capacity value are shifted increasingly into the evening, particularly for high solar futures. While in this report we only highlight qualitatively the possible impact of these altered price patterns on other demand- and supply-side electric sector decisions, the core set of electricity market prices derived here provides a foundation for later planned quantitative evaluations of these decisions in low and high VRE futures.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗