Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “Cost Analysis”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 127 records · Page 7

Reliability and cost analysis methods

In the design phase of a system, how does a design engineer or manager choose between a subsystem with .990 reliability and a more costly subsystem with .995 reliability? When is the increased cost justified? High reliability is not necessarily an end in itself but may be desirable in order to reduce the expected cost due to subsystem failure. However, this may not be the wisest use of funds since the expected cost due to subsystem failure is not the only cost involved. The subsystem itself may be very costly. We should not consider either the cost of the subsystem or the expected cost due to subsystem failure separately but should minimize the total of the two costs, i.e., the total of the cost of the subsystem plus the expected cost due to subsystem failure. This final report discusses the Combined Analysis of Reliability, Redundancy, and Cost (CARRAC) methods which were developed under Grant Number NAG 3-1100 from the NASA Lewis Research Center. CARRAC methods and a CARRAC computer program employ five models which can be used to cover a wide range of problems. The models contain an option which can include repair of failed modules.

Suich, Ronald C.↗

Final Report: Hydrogen Production Pathways Cost Analysis (2013 – 2016)

This report summarizes work conducted under a three year Department of Energy (DOE) funded project to Strategic Analysis, Inc. (SA) to analyze multiple hydrogen (H 2 ) production technologies and project their corresponding levelized production cost of H 2 . The analysis was conducted using the H2A Hydrogen Analysis Tool developed by the DOE and National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL). The project was led by SA but conducted in close collaboration with the NREL and Argonne National Laboratory (ANL). In-depth techno-economic analysis (TEA) of five different H 2 production methods was conducted. These TEAs developed projections for capital costs, fuel/feedstock usage, energy usage, indirect capital costs, land usage, labor requirements, and other parameters, for each H 2 production pathway, and use the resulting cost and system parameters as inputs into the H2A discounted cash flow model to project the production cost of H 2 ($/kgH 2 ). Five technologies were analyzed as part of the project and are summarized in this report: Proton Exchange Membrane technology (PEM), High temperature solid oxide electrolysis cell technology (SOEC), Dark fermentation of biomass for H 2 production, H 2 production via Monolithic Piston-Type Reactors with rapid swing reforming and regeneration reactions, and Reformer-Electrolyzer-Purifier (REP) technology developed by Fuel Cell Energy, Inc. (FCE).

08 HYDROGEN↗

Optimization in the design of a 12 gigahertz low cost ground receiving system for broadcast satellites. Volume 1: System design, performance, and cost analysis

The technical and economical feasibility of using the 12 GHz band for broadcasting from satellites were examined. Among the assigned frequency bands for broadcast satellites, the 12 GHz band system offers the most channels. It also has the least interference on and from the terrestrial communication links. The system design and analysis are carried out on the basis of a decision analysis model. Technical difficulties in achieving low-cost 12 GHz ground receivers are solved by making use of a die cast aluminum packaging, a hybrid integrated circuit mixer, a cavity stabilized Gunn oscillator and other state-of-the-art microwave technologies for the receiver front-end. A working model was designed and tested, which used frequency modulation. A final design for the 2.6 GHz system ground receiver is also presented. The cost of the ground-terminal was analyzed and minimized for a given figure-of-merit (a ratio of receiving antenna gain to receiver system noise temperature). The results were used to analyze the performance and cost of the whole satellite system.

Ohkubo, K.↗

Online NASA Software Estimating Tools (ONSET): A Suite of Web-Based Cost Analysis Tools

This paper provides an overview of ONSET theOnline NASA Software Estimating Tools suite of web-basedcosts analysis tools. ONSET is comprised of the AnalogySoftware Cost Tool (ASCoT) [1], and the CubeSat Or MicrosatProbabilistic and Analogies Cost Tool (COMPACT) [2]. TheOnline NASA Space Estimation Tool (ONSET) has beendeveloped to provide a standardized platform for hosting webbasedNASA cost estimation tools on NASA ONCE (OneNASA Cost Engineering). It evolved from the BETA version ofASCoT (The NASA Analogy Software Cost Tool) which wasreleased in 2017 and was presented at the 2017 IEEEAerospace Conference. This first release of ONSET contains anew version of ASCoT as well as the first official release ofCOMPACT (CubeSat Or Microsat Probabilistic + AnalogiesCost Tool). In this paper we will provide an overview ofONSET, all its features and a high-level summary of bothASCoT and COMPACT. The heart of both tools arealgorithms for analogy-based estimation based on system levelinputs.

Johnson, James↗

Integrated orbital servicing study for low-cost payload programs. Volume 2: Technical and cost analysis

Orbital maintenance concepts were examined in an effort to determine a cost effective orbital maintenance system compatible with the space transportation system. An on-orbit servicer maintenance system is recommended as the most cost effective system. A pivoting arm on-orbit servicer was selected and a preliminary design was prepared. It is indicated that orbital maintenance does not have any significant impact on the space transportation system.

Cody, E. R.↗

Cost analysis of life support systems

A methodology was developed to predict realistic relative cost of Life Support Systems (LSS) and to define areas of major cost impacts in the development cycle. Emphasis was given to tailoring the cost data for usage by program planners and designers. The equipment classifications used based on the degree of refinement were as follows: (1) Working model; (2) low-fidelity prototype; (3) high-fidelity prototype; and (4) flight-qualified system. The major advanced LSS evaluated included the following: (1) Carbon dioxide removal; (2) oxygen recovery systems; (3) water recovery systems; (4) atmosphere analysis system.

Yakut, M. M.↗

Preliminary Engineering and Cost Analysis for DPC Disposal Solutions. Final Draft

There are currently (as of January, 2019) more than 2,700 dual-purpose canisters (DPCs) loaded with spent nuclear fuel (SNF) across the United States. DPCs continue to be loaded at a rate of more than 200 per year by mid-century there are likely to be more than 8,160 DPCs in service. Options for disposing of SNF loaded in DPCs include repackaging into specialized disposal canisters, directly disposing of the loaded DPCs (with or without modification), or some combination of the two. The main technical challenges for direct disposal of loaded DPCs are thermal management, handling and emplacement operations for the large, heavy packages, and postclosure criticality control. This report focuses on postclosure criticality control which is the most challenging. The challenge lies in determining how to modify DPCs so as to minimize the probability that a criticality event might occur in a repository, or if the DPCs are not modified, to understand the nature and consequences of postclosure criticality events. There are several approaches that could facilitate direct disposal of loaded DPCs with acceptable repository performance. This report describes these approaches and presents comparative analysis of the rough-order-of-magnitude (ROM) costs. Repackaging SNF in DPCs into specialized disposal canisters could be financially and operationally costly with additional radiological, operational safety, and management risks. A disposition approach that would not involve repackaging or modifications to DPCs (future or already loaded) is development of a new licensing strategy that addresses the risk (probability and consequence) from criticality events. A different approach would modify existing loaded DPCs (some or all of them), and change the loading or design of future DPCs, to decrease the probability of a criticality event in a repository below levels of concern. This report investigates the cost to modify existing loaded DPCs, and the cost to modify the loading or design of future DPCs to facilitate direct disposal. It establishes the ROM cost for repackaging SNF that has been loaded into DPCs, into specialized canisters for disposal. It also identifies technical and regulatory challenges associated with the potential design modifications and loading considerations. It is left to future analyses to compare radiological, operational safety, and management risks associated with the available approaches.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Cost Analysis of Wind and Uranium from Seawater Acquisition symbiotic Infrastructure using Shell Enclosures

At current consumption rates, global conventional reserves of uranium, estimated to be 7.6 million tonnes, could be depleted in a little over a century. As these reserves decrease, extraction of uranium is expected to shift to lower quality sites, resulting in higher extraction costs and greater environmental impact. Fortunately, the ocean contains approximately 4.5 billion tonnes of uranium, as uranyl ions at low concentrations of about 3 ppb. Uranium from seawater is a widely studied topic due to the long term security it can assure the nuclear fuel cycle. Additionally, harvesting uranium from seawater could reduce some of the environmental impacts associated with the recovery of land-based uranium. Seawater uranium is meant to create a cost ceiling that provides economic stability and potential savings, not to act as a direct competitor to terrestrial uranium. A recent review of uranium recovery technologies by found uranium adsorption by chelating polymers to be the most promising in terms of adsorbent capacity, environmental footprint, and cost. In this technology, chelating polymers are deployed in seawater and remain submerged until the amount of captured uranium approaches the adsorption capacity. Then, an elution bath is used to strip metal ions, such as uranium, off the adsorbent polymer. A polymer may be immersed in a number of elution baths before it is regenerated by an alkali wash to free its functional groups, allowing for the reuse of the polymer. The output from the elution process undergoes purification and precipitation typical for mined uranium to produce yellowcake. Offshore systems for the extraction of uranium from seawater have been developed since the early 2000's. The system currently studied by a nationwide consortium of national laboratory and university partners utilizes continuous adsorbent polyethylene fibers that are braided around a porous polypropylene float which can be made into long lengths. However, because this deployment scheme requires the adsorbent be brought to a mother-ship for the elution process and redeployed afterward, it has significant practical and economic deployment challenges. Detailed economic analysis have identified the adsorbent production and mooring as the most expensive components of the recovery process. Based on these results, proposed an alternative deployment method that is attached to an offshore wind turbine and continuously takes the adsorbent, that is fabricated into a belt, from the ocean through an elution process and before submerging it back into the sea. However, it has been found that adsorbents with high tensile strength and durability often have very low uranium adsorption properties. Hence, the Wind and Uranium from Seawater Acquisition symbiotic Infrastructure (WUSABI) previously studied, which requires the adsorbent into a belt held in tension, could face difficulties in an ocean environment. Instead, the design, further referred to in this paper as WUSABI-Koosh, utilized a two-part system to decouple the mechanical and chemical needs of an adsorbent for seawater harvesting of uranium. In these designs, the uranium adsorbent material with high adsorbent capacity is enclosed in a hard permeable outer shell with sufficient mechanical strength and durability for use in an offshore environment and chemical resilience against elution treatments. The integration of the design of a uranium harvesting system into an offshore wind turbine tower is pursued because the development of offshore wind or uranium harvesting by themselves bears a high capital cost for the structures, but if the mooring function can be shared, the overall cost for each will be lower. Furthermore, initial design analysis and prototyping of these symbiotic systems has proven they are technically feasible. This paper presents preliminary cost analysis for comparison to uranium recovery via alternative deployment schemes.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

Cost analysis of hydrogen production by high-temperature solid oxide electrolysis

In this study, we estimate construction and operation costs of gigawatt-scale solid oxide electrolysis (SOE) facilities for producing high purity hydrogen gas from water. Manufacturing and assembly costs for two types of SOE cell stacks are estimated using a detailed design for manufacture and assembly (DFMA®) analysis. Modular balance of plant (BOP) process equipment is designed and sized with Aspen®, and cost estimated using equipment vendor quotes. Factory and on-site assembly and installation costs for SOEC stack and BOP equipment integration into modular SOE process units are calculated using a simplified DFMA® method. Total stack costs on a stack input power (SIP) basis reduce to <$100/kW e DC SIP for >500 MW e DC SIP /year production rates with electrode cermet, interconnects, and high-temperature heat treatments dominating the total cost. Integration of stacks with larger BOP equipment operating at higher pressures offers ~36% cost reduction in total facility capital cost due to an economies of physical scale effect since BOP equipment comprises >50% of facility costs. Optimized H 2 prices decrease from ~$\$$4/kgH 2 to ~$\$$2/kgH 2 for 1 GWe DCSIP facilities using $\$$0.025/kWh electricity price. All costs are reported in 2021 US dollars.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Comparative Economic Analysis Between Bioenergy and Forage Types of Switchgrass for Sustainable Biofuel Feedstock Production: A Data Envelopment Analysis and Cost–Benefit Analysis Approach

ABSTRACT The capacity to produce switchgrass efficiently and cost‐effectively across diverse environments can be pivotal in achieving the short‐ and medium‐term Sustainable Aviation Fuel targets set by the U.S. Department of Energy. This study evaluated the economic performance of forage‐ and bioenergy‐type switchgrass cultivars and their response to N fertilization under diverse marginal environments across the US Midwest that included Illinois (IL), Iowa (IA), Nebraska (NE), and South Dakota (SD). Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) was used to evaluate the efficiency of 23 Decision‐Making Units (DMUs)—cultivar types and N fertilization rate combinations—while a cost–benefit analysis calculated their profitability over 5 years. Results showed that two energy‐type cultivars—“Independence” and “Liberty”—were superior economically to the forage cultivars. Independence performed best with the highest profit margin when fertilized at 56 kg N ha −1 , particularly in the US hardiness zone 6a (Urbana, IL). Liberty exhibited the highest profit margins in hardiness zone 5b (Madrid, IA, and Ithaca, NE) at 56 kg N ha −1 and showed exceptional profitability with 28 kg N ha −1 in hardiness zone 6b (Brighton, IL). Switchgrass cultivar “Carthage” showed better efficiency score and profitability results in hardiness zone 4b (South Shore, SD) at 56 kg N ha −1 . The profit trends observed in current study sites may indicate broader patterns across similar US hardiness zones. This study provides valuable insights for decision‐makers to optimize input strategies for biomass production of bioenergy switchgrass to meet renewable energy demands.

Arshad, Muhammad Umer [Department of Crop Sciences↗

A cost analysis for the implementation of commonality in the family of commuter airplanes, revised

The acquisition costs determined for the NASA family of commute airplanes are presented. The costs of the baseline designs are presented along with the calculated savings due to the commonality in the family. A sensitivity study is also presented to show the major drivers in the acquisition cost calculations. The baseline costs are calculated with the Nicolai method. A comparison is presented of the estimated costs for the commuter family with the actual price for existing commuters. The cost calculations for the engines and counter-rotating propellers are reported. The effects of commonality on acquisition costs are calculated. The sensitivity calculations of the cost to various costing parameters are shown. The calculations for the direct operating costs, with and without commonality are presented.

Creighton, Tom↗

Cost analysis of distributed storage in AC and DC microgrids

Building and microgrid designs with highly-distributed electrical storage have potential advantages over today's conventional topologies with centralized storage. Herein this paper studies the capital cost benefits of several residential behind-the-meter distributed-storage topologies, including AC and DC versions of systems with load-packaged batteries and resilient sub-networks. The study begins by defining the block configuration of each topology. This work then develops a model for the cost of the power electronics necessary to interface with the storage elements. Finally, the analysis develops a model for the total cost of each storage topology, incorporating the installation and soft costs. The results suggest that while the cost of power electronics is lower in centralized topologies, the total cost is lower for distributed storage due to the avoided costs of installation and permitting. This paper also explores the benefits of load-packaged batteries for savings in electrical infrastructure.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Final Report: Hydrogen Storage System Cost Analysis

The Fuel Cell Technologies Office (FCTO) has identified hydrogen storage as a key enabling technology for advancing hydrogen and fuel cell power technologies in transportation, stationary, and portable applications. Consequently, FCTO has established targets to chart the progress of developing and demonstrating viable hydrogen storage technologies for transportation and stationary applications. This cost assessment project supports the overall FCTO goals by identifying the current technology system components, performance levels, and manufacturing/assembly techniques most likely to lead to the lowest system storage cost. Furthermore, the project forecasts the cost of these systems at a variety of annual manufacturing rates to allow comparison to the overall 2017 and “Ultimate” DOE cost targets. The cost breakdown of the system components and manufacturing steps can then be used to guide future research and development (R&D) decisions. The project was led by Strategic Analysis Inc. (SA) and aided by Rajesh Ahluwalia and Thanh Hua from Argonne National Laboratory (ANL) and Lin Simpson at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL). Since SA coordinated the project activities of all three organizations, this report includes a technical description of all project activity. This report represents a summary of contract activities and findings under SA’s five year contract to the US Department of Energy (Award No. DE-EE0005253) and constitutes the “Final Scientific Report” deliverable. Project publications and presentations are listed in the Appendix.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Resource modeling: A reality for program cost analysis

The approach, implementation, operation, and utilization of a model to establish capital investment and operational costs for the Program is presented. These are based on their interrelationships, dependencies, and alternative actions.

Fouts, L. D.↗

Cost Analysis of an Air Brayton Receiver for a Solar Thermal Electric Power System in Selected Annual Production Volumes

Pioneer Engineering and Manufacturing Company estimated the cost of manufacturing and Air Brayton Receiver for a Solar Thermal Electric Power System as designed by the AiResearch Division of the Garrett Corporation. Production costs were estimated at annual volumes of 100; 1,000; 5,000; 10,000; 50,000; 100,000 and 1,000,000 units. These costs included direct labor, direct material and manufacturing burden. A make or buy analysis was made of each part of each volume. At high volumes special fabrication concepts were used to reduce operation cycle times. All costs were estimated at an assumed 100% plant capacity. Economic feasibility determined the level of production at which special concepts were to be introduced. Estimated costs were based on the economics of the last half of 1980. Tooling and capital equipment costs were estimated for ach volume. Infrastructure and personnel requirements were also estimated.

Source record↗

The NASA Analogy Software Cost Model: A Web-Based Cost Analysis Tool

This paper provides an overview of the many new features and algorithm updates in the release of the NASA Analogy Software Cost Tool (ASCoT). ASCoT is a web-based tool that provides a suite of estimation tools to support early lifecycle NASA Flight Software analysis. ASCoT employs advanced statistical methods such as Cluster Analysis to provide an analogy based estimate of software delivered lines of code and development effort, a regression based Cost Estimating Relationships (CER) model that estimates cost (dollars), and a COCOMO II based estimate. The ASCoT algorithms are designed to primarily work with system level inputs such as mission type (earth orbiter vs. planetary vs. rover), the number of instruments, and total mission cost. This allows the user to supply a minimal number of mission-level parameters which are better understood early in the life-cycle, rather than a large number of complex inputs.

Hihn, Jairus↗

Cost analysis of carbon dioxide concentrators

A methodology is developed to predict the relevant contributions of the more intangible cost elements encountered in the development of flight-qualified hardware and is used to predict the costs of three carbon dioxide concentration systems. The cost and performance data from Gemini, Skylab, and other programs are utilized as a basis for establishing the cost estimating relationships. The concentration systems analyzed are the molecular sieves C02 concentrator, the hydrogen-depolarized concentrator, and the regenerable solid desiccant concentrator. Besides the cost estimates for each system, their comparative criteria including relative characteristics, operational differences, and development status are considered.

Yakut, M. M.↗