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At least 127 records · Page 7

Development of a Time-Height Profile Assimilation Technique for Large-Eddy Simulation

Mesoscale-to-microscale coupling (MMC) aims to address the limited scope of traditional large-eddy simulations by driving the microscale flow with information concerning large-scale weather patterns provided by mesoscale models. We present a new offline MMC technique for horizontally homogeneous microscale flow conditions, in which internal forcing terms are computed based on mesoscale time–height profiles of mean-flow quantities. The advantage of such an approach is that it can be used to drive a microscale simulation with either mesoscale or observational data, and that it does not rely on specific terms in the mesoscale budget equations, which are typically not part of the default output of a mesoscale solver. The performance of the proposed profile assimilation technique is assessed based on the simulation of a typical diurnal cycle over the Scaled Wind Farm Technology site in west Texas. Results indicate that simple data assimilation techniques lead to unphysically high levels of shear and turbulence caused by the algorithm’s inability to cope with inaccuracies in the mesoscale time–height profiles. Modifying the algorithm to account for vertical coherence in the mesoscale source terms gives the microscale solver a greater ability to correct the provided mesoscale time–height profiles, leading to improved predictions of shear and turbulence statistics. The resulting turbulence statistics are in good agreement with meteorological tower observations and simulation results obtained with state-of-the-art coupling techniques using mesoscale budget components.

data assimilation↗

Quantifying Soil Phosphorus Dynamics: A Data Assimilation Approach

The dynamics of soil phosphorus (P) control its bioavailability. Yet it remains a challenge to quantify soil P dynamics. In this work we developed a soil P dynamics (SPD) model. We then assimilated eight data sets of 426-day changes in Hedley P fractions into the SPD model, to quantify the dynamics of six major P pools in eight soil samples that are representative of a wide type of soils. The performance of our SPD model was better for labile P, secondary mineral P, and occluded P than for nonoccluded organic P (Po) and primary mineral P. All parameters describing soil P dynamics were approximately constrained by the data sets. The average turnover rates were labile P 0.040 g g -1 day-1, nonoccluded Po 0.051 g g -1 day -1 , secondary mineral P 0.023 g g -1 day -1 , primary mineral P 0.00088 g g -1 day -1 , occluded Po 0.0066 g g -1 day -1 , and occluded inorganic P 0.0065 g g -1 day -1 , in the greenhouse environment studied. Labile P was transferred on average more to nonoccluded Po (transfer coefficient of 0.42) and secondary mineral P (0.38) than to plants (0.20). Soil pH and organic C concentration were the key soil properties regulating the competition for P between plants and soil secondary minerals. The turnover rate of labile P was positively correlated with that of nonoccluded Po and secondary mineral P. The pool size of labile P was most sensitive to its turnover rate. Overall, we suggest data assimilation can contribute significantly to an improved understanding of soil P dynamics.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Data Assimilative Optimization of WSA Source Surface and Interface Radii using Particle Filtering

TheWang-Sheeley-Arge (WSA) model estimates solar wind speed and interplanetary magnetic field polarity in the inner heliosphere using global photospheric magnetic field maps. WSA employs the Potential Field Source Surface (PFSS) and Schatten Current Sheet (SCS) models to determine the Sun's global coronal magnetic field. The PFSS and SCS models are connected through two radial parameters, the source surface and interface radii, which specify the overlap region between the inner SCS and outer PFSS models. Though both radii values are adjustable, they have typically been fixed to 2.5 solar radii. Our work highlights how solar wind predictions improve when the radii are allowed to vary over time. Data assimilation using particle filtering (sequential Monte Carlo) is used to infer optimal values over a fixed time window. Solar wind model predictions and satellite observations are compared with a newly developed quality-of-agreement prediction metric. The agreement metric between the model and observations is assumed to correspond to the probability of the two key WSA model parameters, the source surface and interface radii, where the highest metric value implies the optimal radii.We find that the optimal particle filter values of solar radii can perform twice as well as standard values for an exploratory period during Carrington Rotation 1901, with these values also reducing nonphysical kinking effects seen in solar magnetic field lines. Data assimilation choices of input realization and time frame have implications for variation in the solar wind over time. We present this work's theoretical context and practical applications for prediction accuracy.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Data-Driven Closures and Assimilation for Stiff Multiscale Random Dynamics

Here, we introduce a data-driven and physics-informed framework for propagating uncertainty in stiff, multiscale random ordinary differential equations (RODEs) driven by correlated (colored) noise. Unlike systems subjected to Gaussian white noise, a deterministic equation for the joint probability density function (PDF) of RODE state variables does not exist in closed form. Moreover, such an equation would require as many phase-space variables as there are states in the RODE system. To alleviate this curse of dimensionality, we instead derive exact, albeit unclosed, reduced-order PDF (RoPDF) equations for low-dimensional observables/quantities of interest. The unclosed terms take the form of state-dependent conditional expectations, which are directly estimated from data at sparse observation times. However, for systems exhibiting stiff, multiscale dynamics, data sparsity introduces regression discrepancies that compound during RoPDF evolution. This is overcome by introducing a kinetic-like defect term to the RoPDF equation, which is learned by assimilating in sparse, low-fidelity RoPDF estimates. Two assimilation methods are considered, namely nudging and deep neural networks, which are successfully tested against Monte Carlo simulations.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Data Assimilation with Machine Learning Surrogate Models: A Case Study with FourCastNet

Modern data-driven surrogate models for weather forecasting provide accurate short-term predictions but inaccurate and nonphysical long-term forecasts. This paper investigates online weather prediction using machine learning surrogates supplemented with partial and noisy observations. We empirically demonstrate and theoretically justify that, despite the long-time instability of the surrogates and the sparsity of the observations, filtering estimates can remain accurate in the long-time horizon. As a case study, we integrate the Fourier Forecasting Neural Network (FourCastNet), a weather surrogate model, within a variational data assimilation framework using partial, noisy ERA5 global reanalysis data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Here, our results show that filtering estimates remain accurate over a year-long assimilation window and provide effective initial conditions for forecasting tasks, including extreme event prediction.

Data assimilation↗

Assimilation of Satellite-Derived Soil Moisture for Improved Forecasts of the Great Plains Low-Level Jet

In the context of forecasting societally impactful Great Plains low-level jets (GPLLJs), the potential added value of satellite soil moisture (SM) data assimilation (DA) is high. GPLLJs are both sensitive to regional soil moisture gradients and frequent drivers of severe weather, including mesoscale convective systems. An untested hypothesis is that SM DA is more effective in forecasts of weakly synoptically forced, or uncoupled GPLLJs, than in forecasts of cyclone-induced coupled GPLLJs. Using the NASA Unified Weather Research and Forecasting (NU-WRF) Model, 75 GPLLJs are simulated at 9-km resolution both with and without NASA Soil Moisture Active Passive SM DA. Differences in modeled SM, surface sensible (SH) and latent heat (LH) fluxes, 2-m temperature (T2), 2-m humidity (Q2), PBL height (PBLH), and 850-hPa wind speed (W850) are quantified for individual jets and jet-type event subsets over the south-central Great Plains, as well as separately for each GPLLJ sector (entrance, core, and exit). At the GPLLJ core, DA-related changes of up to 5.4 kg m–2 in SM can result in T2, Q2, LH, SH, PBLH, and W850 differences of 0.68°C, 0.71 g kg –2 , 59.9 W m –2 , 52.4 W m –2 , 240 m, and 4 m s –1 , respectively. W850 differences focus along the jet axis and tend to increase from south to north. Further, jet-type differences are most evident at the GPLLJ exit where DA increases and decreases W850 in uncoupled and coupled GPLLJs, respectively. Data assimilation marginally reduces negative wind speed bias for all jets, but the correction is greater for uncoupled GPLLJs, as hypothesized.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Assimilation of repeated woody biomass observations constrains decadal ecosystem carbon cycle uncertainty in aggrading forests

Forest carbon sink strengths are governed by plant growth, mineralization of dead organic matter, and disturbance. Across landscapes, remote sensing can provide information about aboveground states of forests and this information can be linked to models to estimate carbon cycling in forests close to steady state. For aggrading forests this approach is more challenging and has not been demonstrated. Here in this paper we apply a Bayesian approach, linking a simple model to a range of data, to evaluate their information content, for two aggrading forests. We compare high information content analyses using local observations with retrievals using progressively sparser remotely sensed information (repeated, single, and no woody biomass observations). The net biome productivity of both forests is constrained to be a net sink with <2 Mg C ha -1 yr -1 variation across the range of inputs. However, the sequestration of particular carbon pool(s) varies with assimilated biomass information. Assimilation of repeated biomass observations reduces uncertainty and/or bias in all ecosystem C pools not just wood, compared to analyses using single or no stock information. As verification, our repeated biomass analysis explains 78–86% of variation in litter dynamics at one forest, while at the second forest total dead organic matter estimates are within observational uncertainty. The uncertainty of retrieved ecosystem traits in the repeated biomass analysis is reduced by up to 50% compared to analyses with less biomass information. This study quantifies the importance of repeated woody observations in constraining the dynamics of both wood and dead organic matter, highlighting the benefit of proposed remote sensing missions.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Robustness of the Ensemble Score Filter to the Type of Assimilated Observation Networks

Recent advances in data assimilation (DA) have focused on developing more flexible approaches that can better accommodate nonlinearities in models and observations. However, it remains unclear how the performance of these advanced methods depends on the observation network characteristics. In this study, we present initial experiments with the surface quasi‐geostrophic model, in which we compare a recently developed ensemble filter using score‐based diffusion models with the standard Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter (LETKF). Our results show that the analysis solutions respond differently to the number, spatial distribution, and nonlinear fraction of assimilated observations. We also find notable changes in the multiscale characteristics of the analysis errors. Given that standard DA techniques will eventually be replaced by more advanced methods, we hope this study sets the ground for future efforts to reassess the value of Earth observing systems in the context of newly emerging algorithms.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Osh6p, a homologue of the oxysterol-binding protein, is involved in production of functional cytochrome P450 belonging to CYP52 family in n-alkane-assimilating yeast Yarrowia lipolytica

Highlights: • Yarrowia lipolytica has four OSBP homolog genes, OSH1, OSH3, OSH4, and OSH6. • OSH3 and OSH6 are required for growth on n-alkanes. • OSH6 is involved in the production of functional P450 of CYP52 family. • Osh6p might provide an ideal ER membrane environment for CYP52 P450 in Y. lipolytica. In this study, we investigated the role of OSH6, which encodes a homolog of the oxysterol-binding protein, in the assimilation of n-alkanes in the yeast Yarrowia lipolytica. The deletion mutant of OSH6 showed growth defects on n-alkanes of 10–16 carbons. In the deletion mutant, production of the functional cytochrome P450 was not observed. However, transcription of ALK1, encoding a major P450 belonging to the CYP52 family that plays a critical role in n-alkane hydroxylation, and further translation of its transcript were noted in the deletion mutant as well as in the wild-type strain. The phospholipid composition was altered and, the ratio of phosphatidylserine (PS) was reduced by the deletion of OSH6. Residues involved in the transport of PS and phosphatidylinositol-4-phosphate in Osh6 of Saccharomyces cerevisiae are conserved in Y. lipolytica Osh6p and substitutions of these residues resulted in a defect in the n-alkane assimilation by Y. lipolytica. From these results, we propose a hypothesis that Osh6p provides an ideal endoplasmic reticulum membrane environment for Alk proteins to have a functional conformation via lipid transport activity in Y. lipolytica.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Expression of heterologous non-oxidative pentose phosphate pathway from Bacillus methanolicus and phosphoglucose isomerase deletion improves methanol assimilation and metabolite production by a synthetic Escherichia coli methylotroph

Synthetic methylotrophy aims to develop non-native methylotrophic microorganisms to utilize methane or methanol to produce chemicals and biofuels. We report two complimentary strategies to further engineer a previously engineered methylotrophic E. coli strain for improved methanol utilization. First, we demonstrate improved methanol assimilation in the presence of small amounts of yeast extract by expressing the non-oxidative pentose phosphate pathway (PPP) from Bacillus methanolicus . Second, we demonstrate improved co-utilization of methanol and glucose by deleting the phosphoglucose isomerase gene ( pgi ), which rerouted glucose carbon flux through the oxidative PPP. Both strategies led to significant improvements in methanol assimilation as determined by 13 C-labeling in intracellular metabolites. As a result, introduction of an acetone-formation pathway in the pgi -deficient methylotrophic E. coli strain led to improved methanol utilization and acetone titers during glucose fed-batch fermentation.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Global Temperature Responses to Large Tropical Volcanic Eruptions in Paleo Data Assimilation Products and Climate Model Simulations Over the Last Millennium

Abstract Large volcanic eruptions are one of the dominant perturbations to global and regional atmospheric temperatures on timescales of years to decades. Discrepancies remain, however, in the estimated magnitude and persistence of the surface temperature cooling caused by volcanic eruptions, as characterized by paleoclimatic proxies and climate models. We investigate these discrepancies in the context of large tropical eruptions over the Last Millennium using two state‐of‐the‐art data assimilation products, the Paleo Hydrodynamics Data Assimilation product (PHYDA) and the Last Millennium Reanalysis (LMR), and simulations from the National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Earth System Model‐Last Millennium Ensemble (NCAR CESM‐LME). We find that PHYDA and LMR estimate mean global and hemispheric cooling that is similar in magnitude and persistence once effects from eruptions occurring in short succession are removed. The estimates also compare well to Northern‐Hemisphere reconstructions based solely or partially on tree‐ring density, which have been proposed as the most accurate proxy estimates of surface cooling due to volcanism. All proxy‐based estimates also agree well with the magnitude of the mean cooling simulated by the CESM‐LME. Differences remain, however, in the spatial patterns of the temperature responses in the PHYDA, LMR, and the CESM‐LME. The duration of cooling anomalies also persists for several years longer in the PHYDA and LMR relative to the CESM‐LME. Our results demonstrate progress in resolving discrepancies between proxy‐ and model‐based estimates of temperature responses to volcanism, but also indicate these estimates must be further reconciled to better characterize the risks of future volcanic eruptions.

Tejedor, E.↗

The ‘photosynthetic C 1 pathway’ links carbon assimilation and growth in California poplar

Although primarily studied in relation to photorespiration, serine metabolism in chloroplasts may play a key role in plant CO 2 fertilization responses by linking CO 2 assimilation with growth. Here, we show that the phosphorylated serine pathway is part of a 'photosynthetic C 1 pathway' and demonstrate its high activity in foliage of a C 3 tree where it rapidly integrates photosynthesis and C 1 metabolism contributing to new biomass via methyl transfer reactions, imparting a large natural 13 C-depleted signature. Using 13 CO 2 -labelling, we show that leaf serine, the S-methyl group of leaf methionine, pectin methyl esters, and the associated methanol released during cell wall expansion during growth, are directly produced from photosynthetically-linked C 1 metabolism, within minutes of light exposure. We speculate that the photosynthetic C 1 pathway is highly conserved across the photosynthetic tree of life, is responsible for synthesis of the greenhouse gas methane, and may have evolved with oxygenic photosynthesis by providing a mechanism of directly linking carbon and ammonia assimilation with growth. Although the rise in atmospheric CO 2 inhibits major metabolic pathways like photorespiration, our results suggest that the photosynthetic C 1 pathway may accelerate and represents a missing link between enhanced photosynthesis and plant growth rates during CO 2 fertilization under a changing climate.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Sequential data assimilation for single-molecule FRET photon-counting data

Data assimilation is a statistical method designed to improve the quality of numerical simulations in combination with real observations. Here, we develop a sequential data assimilation method that incorporates one-dimensional time-series data of smFRET (single-molecule Förster resonance energy transfer) photon-counting into conformational ensembles of biomolecules derived from “replicated” molecular dynamics (MD) simulations. A particle filter using a large number of “replicated” MD simulations with a likelihood function for smFRET photon-counting data is employed to screen the conformational ensembles that match the experimental data. We examine the performance of the method using emulated smFRET data and coarse-grained (CG) MD simulations of a dye-labeled polyproline-20. The method estimates the dynamics of the end-to-end distance from smFRET data as well as revealing that of latent conformational variables. The particle filter is also able to correct model parameter dependence in CG MD simulations. We discuss the applicability of the method to real experimental data for conformational dynamics of biomolecules.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Study of argon assimilation into the post-disruption runaway electron plateau in DIII-D and comparison with a 1D diffusion model

The assimilation of argon injected into post-disruption runaway electron (RE) plateaus is studied and compared to the vertical loss rate for vertically unstable RE plateaus. A 1D diffusion model is developed to include neutral diffusion and ionization and is used to help in data interpretation. It is found that the radial mixing time scale of argon ions (~0.05 s) is comparable to the vertical loss timescale. Neutral argon becomes the dominant Ar species in the RE plateau for large Ar numbers (> 3 x 10 21 ); at the same time the neutral Ar diffusivity decreases due to plasma cooling, causing a saturation in the assimilation of injected Ar on the vertical loss time scale. Injection of Ar into vertically unstable RE plateaus in DIII-D does increase the vertical loss rate, as predicted by previous modeling of ITER. Furthermore, there is a decreasing trend in RE current at the wall strike as the Ar quantity is turned up or as the Ar is injected earlier, indicating a decrease in RE energy deposited to the wall.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Towards real-time monitoring: data assimilated time-lapse full waveform inversion for seismic velocity and uncertainty estimation

SUMMARY Rapid development of time-lapse seismic monitoring instrumentations has made it possible to collect dense time-lapse data for tomographically retrieving time-lapse (even continuous) images of subsurface changes. While traditional time-lapse full waveform inversion (TLFWI) algorithms are designed for sparse time-lapse surveys, they lack of effective temporal constraint on time-lapse data, and, more importantly, lack of the uncertainty estimation of the TLFWI results that is critical for further interpretation. Here, we propose a new data assimilation TLFWI method, using hierarchical matrix powered extended Kalman filter (HiEKF) to quantify the image uncertainty. Compared to existing Kalman filter algorithms, HiEKF allows to store and update a data-sparse representation of the cross-covariance matrices and propagate model errors without expensive operations involving covariance matrices. Hence, HiEKF is computationally efficient and applicable to 3-D TLFWI problems. Then, we reformulate TLFWI in the framework of HiEKF (termed hereafter as TLFWI-HiEKF) to predict time-lapse images of subsurface spatiotemporal velocity changes and simultaneously quantify the uncertainty of the inverted velocity changes over time. We demonstrate the validity and applicability of TLFWI–HiEKF with two realistic CO2 monitoring models derived from Frio-II and Cranfield CO2 injection sites, respectively. In both 2-D and 3-D examples, the inverted high-resolution time-lapse velocity results clearly reveal a continuous velocity reduction due to the injection of CO2. Moreover, the accuracy of the model is increasing over time by assimilating more time-lapse data while the standard deviation is decreasing over lapsed time. We expect TLFWI-HiEKF to be equipped with real-time seismic monitoring systems for continuously imaging the distribution of subsurface gas and fluids in the future large-scale CO2 sequestration experiments and reservoir management.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Bacterial xylan utilization regulons: systems for coupling depolymerization of methylglucuronoxylans with assimilation and metabolism

Abstract Bioconversion of lignocellulosic resources offers an economically promising path to renewable energy. Technological challenges to achieving bioconversion include the development of cost-effective processes that render the cellulose and hemicellulose components of these resources to fermentable hexoses and pentoses. Natural bioprocessing of the hemicellulose fraction of lignocellulosic biomass requires depolymerization of methylglucuronoxylans. This requires secretion of endoxylanases that release xylooligosaccharides and aldouronates. Physiological, biochemical, and genetic studies with selected bacteria support a process in which a cell-anchored multimodular GH10 endoxylanase catalyzes release of the hydrolysis products, aldotetrauronate, xylotriose, and xylobiose, which are directly assimilated and metabolized. Gene clusters encoding intracellular enzymes, including α-glucuronidase, endoxylanase, β-xylosidase, ABC transporter proteins, and transcriptional regulators, are coordinately responsive to substrate induction or repression. The rapid rates of glucuronoxylan utilization and microbial growth, along with the absence of detectable products of depolymerization in the medium, indicate that assimilation and depolymerization are coupled processes. Genomic comparisons provide evidence that such systems occur in xylanolytic species in several genera, including Clostridium, Geobacillus, Paenibacillus, and Thermotoga. These systems offer promise, either in their native configurations or through gene transfer to other organisms, to develop biocatalysts for efficient production of fuels and chemicals from the hemicellulose fractions of lignocellulosic resources.

Biotechnology & Applied Microbiology↗

The Dynamic Assimilation Technique measures photosynthetic CO 2 response curves with similar fidelity to steady-state approaches in half the time

The net CO 2 assimilation (A) response to intercellular CO 2 concentration (C i ) is a fundamental measurement in photosynthesis and plant physiology research. The conventional A/C i protocols rely on steady-state measurements and take 15–40 min per measurement, limiting data resolution or biological replication. Additionally, there are several CO 2 protocols employed across the literature, without clear consensus as to the optimal protocol or systematic biases in their estimations. We compared the non-steady-state Dynamic Assimilation Technique (DAT) protocol and the three most used CO 2 protocols in steady-state measurements, and tested whether different CO 2 protocols lead to systematic differences in estimations of the biochemical limitations to photosynthesis. The DAT protocol reduced the measurement time by almost half without compromising estimation accuracy or precision. The monotonic protocol was the fastest steady-state method. Estimations of biochemical limitations to photosynthesis were very consistent across all CO 2 protocols, with slight differences in Rubisco carboxylation limitation. The A/C i curves were not affected by the direction of the change of CO 2 concentration but rather the time spent under triose phosphate utilization (TPU)-limited conditions. Our results suggest that the maximum rate of Rubisco carboxylation (V cmax ), linear electron flow for NADPH supply (J), and TPU measured using different protocols within the literature are comparable, or at least not systematically different based on the measurement protocol used.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗