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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.
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Biomass Environmental Analysis in Bioenergy with Carbon Capture and Storage Modeling
Goals, key points and updates of Bioenergy with Carbon Capture and Storage (BECCS) Tool.
PV Soiling Losses: Measurements, Modeling, and Mitigation Strategies
An update will be provided on NREL's ongoing work to address the range of soiling challenges the PV community is facing. First, results will be shown on the efforts to develop a low-cost and low-maintenance soiling measurement sensor. Second, the latest NREL soiling map will be demonstrated as well as how the PVfleets database is enabling regular improvement to the map. Additionally, PVfleets is uncovering challenges with pollen and other bio-soiling in rainy regions in the southeast United States. Finally new results will be presented for improvement of automated algorithms to extract soiling losses from PV data.
SLS Integrated Modal Test Uncertainty Quantification using the Hybrid Parametric Variation Method
Uncertainty in structural loading during launch is a significant concern in the development of spacecraft and launch vehicles. Small variations in launch vehicle and payload mode shapes and their interaction can result in significant variation in system loads. In many cases involving large aerospace systems it is difficult, not economical, or impossible to perform a system modal test. However, it is still vital to obtain test results that can be compared with analytical predictions to validate models. Instead, the “Building Block Approach” is used in which system components are tested individually. Component models are correlated and updated to agree as best they can with test results. The Space Launch System consists of a number of components that are assembled into a launch vehicle. Finite element models of the components are developed, reduced to Hurty/Craig-Bampton models and assembled to represent different phases of flight. The only opportunity to obtain modal test data from an assembled Space Launch System will be during the Integrated Modal Test. There is always uncertainty in every model, which flows into uncertainty in predicted system results. Uncertainty Quantification is used to determine statistical bounds on prediction accuracy based on model uncertainty. For the Space Launch System, model uncertainty is at the Hurty/Craig-Bampton component level. Uncertainty in the Hurty/Craig-Bampton components is quantified using the hybrid parametric variation approach that combines parametric and nonparametric uncertainty. Uncertainty in model form is one of the biggest contributors to uncertainty in complex built-up structures. This type of uncertainty cannot be represented by variations infinite element model input parameters and thus cannot be included in a parametric approach. However, model-form uncertainty can be modeled using a nonparametric approach based on random matrix theory. The hybrid parametric variation method requires the selection of dispersion values for the Hurty/Craig-Bampton fixed-interface eigenvalues, and the Hurty/Craig-Bampton stiffness matrices. Component test/analysis frequency error is used to identify the fixed-interface eigenvalue dispersions, while test/analysis cross-orthogonality is used to identify stiffness dispersion values. The hybrid parametric variation uncertainty quantification approach is applied to the Space Launch System Integrated Modal Test configuration. Monte Carlo analysis is performed, and statistics are determined for modal correlation metrics, frequency response from Integrated Modal Test shakers to selected accelerometers, as well as other metrics for determining how well target modes are excited and identified. If the predicted uncertainty envelopes future Integrated Modal Test results, then there will be increased confidence in the utility of the component-based hybrid parametric variation uncertainty quantification approach.
Report on the LLNL Global Full-waveform Inversion Workflow and Progress
LLNL has developed the SPiRaL global seismic tomography model based upon millions of body wave travel times and surface wave dispersion curves in the period range of 25-200 seconds (Simmons et al., 2021). The motivation to construct the SPiRaL model (which stands for S-, P-, Rayleigh, and Love waves) is based upon the guidance provided by a 3-D model workshop held in Berkeley in 2007 and documented in a paper by Zucca et al. (2009). It was concluded in Zucca et al. (2009) that a “practical and obtainable” model is one that predicts body wave travel times for event location while also predicting surface wave velocities for moment tensor estimation. We have largely followed that guidance which has led to the construction of SPiRaL. Looking forward, we now seek to improve the global model through full waveform inversion (FWI). This necessitates the development/customization of an efficient and flexible modeling workflow to automate the process using LLNL’s supercomputing platforms. This report briefly outlines the work that being performed at LLNL to develop the necessary tools and framework to update the SPiRaL global model with full waveform information.
DOLCE: A Model-Based Probabilistic Diffusion Framework for Limited-Angle CT Reconstruction
Limited-Angle Computed Tomography (LACT) is a non-destructive evaluation technique used in a variety of applications ranging from security to medicine. The limited angle coverage in LACT is often a dominant source of severe artifacts in the reconstructed images, making it a challenging inverse problem. We present DOLCE, a new deep model-based framework for LACT that uses a conditional diffusion model as an image prior. Diffusion models are a recent class of deep generative models that are relatively easy to train due to their implementation as image denoisers. DOLCE can form high-quality images from severely under-sampled data by integrating data-consistency updates with the sampling updates of a diffusion model, which is conditioned on the transformed limited-angle data. We show through extensive experimentation on several challenging real LACT datasets that, the same pre-trained DOLCE model achieves the SOTA performance on drastically different types of images. Additionally, we show that, unlike standard LACT reconstruction methods, DOLCE naturally enables the quantification of the reconstruction uncertainty by generating multiple samples consistent with the measured data.
Numerical simulation of airfoil ice accretion
A mathematical model of glaze and rime ice accretion on a two-dimensional airfoil is presented. The model employs standard methods for calculating the flow field and cloud droplet trajectories. This data is used as input to a thermodynamic analysis of the ice accretion process which includes liquid runback. The structure of the model allows for dynamic updating of the droplet collection efficiency and heat and mass transfer processes as the accreted ice shape changes. This results in the improved shape prediction over previously described methods. Simulations made with the model are compared to experimental results obtained for a NACA 0012 airfoil in the NASA/Lewis Icing Research Tunnel. The agreement with experiment is found to be generally satisfactory for some cases, but a need for improvements is indicated by others. Suggestions for improvements are made.
Evaluation of the GaAs displacement damage metric using updated nuclear data
The emerging use of the physics-based athermal recombination-corrected displacement per atom (arc-dpa) model for the displacement damage efficiency has motivated a re-evaluation of the historical empirically-derived GaAs damage response function with the purpose of highlighting needs for future analytical and experimental work. The 1-MeV neutron damage equivalence methodology used in the ASTM E-722 standard for GaAs has been re-evaluated using updated nuclear data. This yielded a higher fidelity representation of the GaAs displacement kerma and, through the use of the refined PKA recoil energy-dependent damage efficiency model, an updated 1-MeV(GaAs) displacement damage function. This re-evaluation included use of the Norgett-Robinson-Torrens (NRT) model for an updated threshold treatment, rather than the sharp-threshold Kinchin-Pease model used in the current ASTM standard. The underlying nuclear data evaluations have been updated to use the ENDF/VIII.0 {sup 75}As and TENDL-2019 {sup 71}Ga/{sup 69}Ga evaluations. The displacement kerma and 1-MeV-equivalent damage responses were calculated using a modified NJOY-2016 code which allowed for refinements in some of the damage models. This paper shows that an updated displacement damage function, based upon the latest nuclear data, is consistent with the experimental data used to develop the current ASTM E-722 GaAs standard. Using a double ratio approach to compare the available experimental data with the calculated response, the average legacy double ratio was found to be 0.97 ± 0.05 and the average updated double ratio was found to be 0.94 ± 0.05. (authors)
Theoretical and kinetic modeling study of H 2 S pyrolysis
Hydrogen sulfide pyrolysis was investigated theoretically and through chemical kinetic modeling. Reactions on the SHH potential energy surface, primarily S + H 2 (+Ar) ⇌ H 2 S (+ Ar) (R1) and S + H 2 ⇌ SH + H (R6b) were characterized by ab initio calculations. Results for k 1 were in good agreement with experiment, but deviated strongly below 2000 K from values previously used in modeling. Collider efficiencies for H 2 S, S 2 , and N 2 compared to Ar were calculated for R1. Hydrogen sulfide decomposition experiments reported in literature were re-examined in terms of an updated detailed chemical kinetic model. Concentration profiles for the atomic S at high temperature in shock tubes supported the present value of k 1 and served to constrain the rate constants for reaction of S with SH and H 2 S. To explain results from batch and flow reactors, conducted at high H 2 S concentrations in the 900–1400 K range, a very fast rate constant was required for HSS + H ⇌ SH + SH. Under dilute conditions, the gas-phase chemistry was too slow to compete and the decomposition of H 2 S was controlled by loss on the reactor surface.
Infrastructure improvements in the National Reactor Innovation Center Virtual Test Bed
The National Reactor Innovation Center’s (NRIC) mission is to support deployment of novel reactor concepts. This is achieved by providing physical and virtual spaces for building and testing various components, systems, and complete pilot plants. The Virtual Test Bed (VTB) represents the virtual counterpart to the physical test bed. The VTB is being developed in collaboration with the Department of Energy’s (DOE) Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program. The mission of the VTB is to accelerate the deployment and licensing of advanced reactors by leveraging state-of-the-art modeling and simulation (M&S) tools developed by the DOE NEAMS program. This is accomplished via three primary means: (1) openly hosting simulations that showcase analysis capabilities, (2) continuously testing the models hosted against code updates to avoid deprecation, and (3) filling key M&S gaps that are relevant for the physical NRIC test beds. The VTB repository consists of two sub-entities: • A documentation website detailing the models: https://mooseframework.inl.gov/virtual_test_bed • A GitHub repository that hosts the corresponding files: https://github.com/idaholab/virtual_test_bed. This paper presents the infrastructure added to the VTB in the last two fiscal years. Additional information about the VTB can be found in various publications [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8].
A mechanistic model for creep and thermal aging in Alloy 709
This report describes a physics-based model for creep and thermal aging in Alloy 709. Alloy 709 is an advanced austenitic alloy, targeted for use in future Sodium Fast Reactors (SFRs) and other advanced reactors. The material has superior high temperature properties compared to currently qualified 316 and 304 stainless steels. However, the available creep and thermal aging test database for Alloy 709 is significantly more limited compared to the historical materials. The physics-based model developed here is one way to accelerate the qualification of the material by providing more accurate long-term predictions for creep properties and thermal aging, compared to current empirical time-extrapolate techniques. The crystal plasticity finite element model is used to predict the deformation and failure of alloy 709. The same setup for the CPFE model is used in both the baseline model calibration process and the simulation campaigns for parameter inference. Specific constitutive choices are made for Alloy 709 to capture the primary deformation mechanisms. The dislocation creep formulation developed by Hu and Cocks is extended to account for coupled precipitation formation and the grain boundary cavitation model developed by Sham, Needleman, et al. is used to model grain boundary cavitation-induced failure. A novel update algorithm is proposed to render the semi-discrete constitutive update for the Sham-Needleman model unconditionally stable. A progressive calibration approach is adopted based on the observations that several types of material responses can be effectively decoupled. A surrogate model is trained based on full-fledged CPFE simulations to accelerate the forward model evaluations, and stochastic variational inference (SVI) is used to calibrate the unknown microstructural model parameters. The calibrated mechanistic model is used to predict the long-term creep life of Alloy 709, and the predictions are compared against classical empirical approaches.
The updating and dissemination of the knowledge of trapped radiation - model environments
Model environments of trapped radiation for system planning and engineering
Remote sensing of forest ecosystem dynamics: Measurements and modeling
The development of an integrated approach to the modeling of forest dynamics encompassing submodels of forest growth and succession, soil processes and radiation interactions, is reported. Remote sensing technology is a key element of this study in that it provides data for developing, initializing, updating, and validating the models. The objectives are reviewed, the data collected and models in use are discussed, and a framework for studying interactions between the forest growth, soil process and energy interaction components, is described. Remote sensing technology used in the study includes optical and microwave field, aircraft and satellite borne instruments. The types of data collected during intensive field and aircraft campaigns included bidirectional reflectance, thermal emittance and multifrequency, multipolarization synthetic aperture radar backscatter. Synthetic imagery of derived products such as forest biomass and NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetative Index), and collections of ground data are being assembled in a georeferenced data base. These data are used to drive or test multidiscipline simulations of forested ecosystems. Enhancements to the modeling environment permit considerable flexibility in configuring simulations and selecting results for reporting and graphical display.
Medical Updates to the International Space Station Probabilistic Risk Assessment Model Using the Integrated Medical Model
No abstract available
A novel implicit hybrid machine learning model and its application for reinforcement learning
A novel methodology to develop implicit hybrid models is presented. PyTorch is used to integrate physics-based equations with machine learning models. Automatic differentiation of the hybrid model is leveraged to solve the implicit equations. Iterative solving enables gradient based updates to the machine learning model. The novel methodology is compared to an explicit hybrid approach on a continuously stirred tank reactor (CSTR). The novel method results in a lower modelling error. Both hybrid models effectively train with noisy data. To test the implicit hybrid model, it is employed as a reinforcement learning (RL) training model. The RL algorithm trained on the hybrid model outperforms real time optimization of the CSTR and performs nearly as well as RL trained directly on the CSTR and a traditional gradient based approach. Training RL directly on the CSTR requires over 60,000 system interactions compared to 6000 historical data points for hybrid model development.
NRAP-Open-IAM: Open Wellbore Component (V.2.0)
The Open Wellbore component of NRAP-Open-IAM is applicable to the calculation of Area of Review at a carbon storage site and fast estimation of dense gas dispersion from multiple continuous CO 2 surface leakage sources for risk assessment. The Open Wellbore Component of NRAP-Open-IAM is a lookup table model based on the drift-flux approach. The National Research Assessment Partnership’s second-generation integrated assessment model, NRAP-Open-IAM, is open-source software written in Python for use in performance and quantitative risk assessment of geologic carbon storage (GCS) systems. The look-up table for open well leakage is an updated version the previous model which provides finer resolution of reservoir depth and more accurate fluid properties than the previous open well look-up table, especially in calculating the gas (CO 2 -rich) phase properties. The component model input parameters include the reservoir transmissivity, aquifer transmissivity, brine salinity, well radius, and well top and bottom depths. The reservoir transmissivity and brine salinity were set to values consistent with the reservoir component, and the well top and bottom depths varied with location. The possible outputs from the Open Wellbore component are leakage rates of CO 2 and brine to either an aquifer or atmosphere, depending on the depth of the well top. Several python test scripts are presented that demonstrate that the Open Wellbore component works correctly. Use of the open wellbore model in NRAP-Open-IAM may result in a large CO 2 leakage rates, comparable to the leakage rates of CO 2 blow out.
X-29A Lateral-Directional Stability and Control Derivatives Extracted From High-Angle-of-Attack Flight Data
The lateral-directional stability and control derivatives of the X-29A number 2 are extracted from flight data over an angle-of-attack range of 4 degrees to 53 degrees using a parameter identification algorithm. The algorithm uses the linearized aircraft equations of motion and a maximum likelihood estimator in the presence of state and measurement noise. State noise is used to model the uncommanded forcing function caused by unsteady aerodynamics over the aircraft at angles of attack above 15 degrees. The results supported the flight-envelope-expansion phase of the X-29A number 2 by helping to update the aerodynamic mathematical model, to improve the real-time simulator, and to revise flight control system laws. Effects of the aircraft high gain flight control system on maneuver quality and the estimated derivatives are also discussed. The derivatives are plotted as functions of angle of attack and compared with the predicted aerodynamic database. Agreement between predicted and flight values is quite good for some derivatives such as the lateral force due to sideslip, the lateral force due to rudder deflection, and the rolling moment due to roll rate. The results also show significant differences in several important derivatives such as the rolling moment due to sideslip, the yawing moment due to sideslip, the yawing moment due to aileron deflection, and the yawing moment due to rudder deflection.
Ground Operations of the ISS GNC Babb-Mueller Atmospheric Density Model
The ISS GNC system was updated recently with a new software release that provides onboard state determination capability. Prior to this release, only the Russian segment maintained and propagated the onboard state, which was periodically updated through Russian ground tracking. The new software gives the US segment the capability for maintaining the onboard state, and includes new GPS and state vector propagation capabilities. Part of this software package is an atmospheric density model based on the Babb-Mueller algorithm. Babb-Mueller efficiently mimics a full analytical density model, such as the Jacchia model. While lacchia is very robust and is used in the Mission Control Center, it is too computationally intensive for use onboard. Thus, Babb-Mueller was chosen as an alternative. The onboard model depends on a set of calibration coefficients that produce a curve fit to the lacchia model. The ISS GNC system only maintains one set of coefficients onboard, so a new set must be uplinked by controllers when the atmospheric conditions change. The onboard density model provides a real-time density value, which is used to calculate the drag experienced by the ISS. This drag value is then incorporated into the onboard propagation of the state vector. The propagation of the state vector, and therefore operation of the BabbMueller algorithm, will be most critical when GPS updates and secondary state vector sources fail. When GPS is active, the onboard state vector will be updated every ten seconds, so the propagation error is irrelevant. When GPS is inactive, the state vector must be updated at least every 24 hours, based on current protocol. Therefore, the Babb-Mueller coefficients must be accurate enough to fulfill the state vector accuracy requirements for at least one day. A ground operations concept was needed in order to manage both the on board Babb-Mueller density model and the onboard state quality. The Babb-Mueller coefficients can be determined operationally in two ways. The first method is to calibrate the coefficients in real-time, where a set of custom coefficients is generated for the real-time atmospheric conditions. The second approach is to generate pre-canned sets of coefficients that encompass the expected atmospheric conditions over the lifetime of the vehicle. These predetermined sets are known as occurrences. Even though a particular occurrence will not match the true atmospheric conditions, the error will be constrained by limiting the breadth of each occurrence. Both methods were investigated and the advantages and disadvantages of each were considered. The choice between these implementations was a trade-off between the additional accuracy of the real-time calibration and the simpler development for the approach using occurrences. The operations concept for the frequency of updates was also explored, and depends on the deviation in solar flux that still achieves the necessary accuracy of the coefficients. This was determined based on historical solar flux trends. This analysis resulted in an accurate and reliable implementation of the Babb-Mueller coefficients and how flight controllers use them during realtime operations.