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At least 1,243 records · Page 69

The shape of Eros

Monte Carlo simulations are presently used to optimize estimation, ascertain associated errors, and guide bias-correction procedures, for the Eros polar silhouette convex hull that has been estimated from radar echo spectra. This hull is trapezoidal; this nonaxisymmetric shape may account for odd harmonics in Eros' echo spectral signature as a function of rotation phase. Additional constraints have been obtained for the figure of Eros through the inversion of the optical lightcurve to estimate the asteroid's two-dimensional average of the three-dimensional shape. This 'mean cross-section' and the polar silhouette exhibit similar elongations.

Ostro, S. J.↗

Comparison of FFP predictions with measurements of a low-frequency signal propagated in the atmosphere

An experimental study of low-frequency propagation over a distance of 770 m was previously reported (J. Acoust. Soc. Am. Suppl. 1 86, S120 (1989)). For that study, sound speed profiles were reconstructed entirely from surface-layer micrometeorological data. When the acoustic data were compared with theoretical predictions from a fast field program (FFP), it was found that the FFP underpredicted sound levels measured in a shadow zone. Here, the effect on the predictions of including meteorological data for heights greater than the surface layer, i.e., wind profiles measured by a Doppler sodar, is discussed. Vertical structure of turbulence is simulated by stochastically perturbing the mean profiles, and the agreement between the acoustic data and FFP predictions is improved.

Wilson, K. Keith↗

Homogeneous buoyancy-generated turbulence

Using a theoretical analysis of fundamental equations and a numerical simulation of the flow field, the statistically homogeneous motion that is generated by buoyancy forces after the creation of homogeneous random fluctuations in the density of infinite fluid at an initial instant is examined. It is shown that analytical results together with numerical results provide a comprehensive description of the 'birth, life, and death' of buoyancy-generated turbulence. Results of numerical simulations yielded the mean-square density mean-square velocity fluctuations and the associated spectra as functions of time for various initial conditions, and the time required for the mean-square density fluctuation to fall to a specified small value was estimated.

Batchelor, G. K.↗

Old-growth and mature forests near spotted owl nests in western Oregon

We investigated how the amount of old-growth and mature forest influences the selection of nest sites by northern spotted owls (Strix occidentalis caurina) in the Central Cascade Mountains of Oregon. We used 7 different plot sizes to compare the proportion of mature and old-growth forest between 30 nest sites and 30 random sites. The proportion of old-growth and mature forest was significantly greater at nests sites than at random sites for all plot sizes (P less than or equal to 0.01). Thus, management of the spotted owl might require setting the percentage of old-growth and mature forest retained from harvesting at least 1 standard deviation above the mean for the 30 nest sites we examined.

Ripple, William J.↗

Effects of Buoyancy on the Flowfields of Lean Premixed Turbulent V-Flames

Open laboratory turbulent flames used for investigating fundament flame turbulence interactions are greatly affected by buoyancy. Though much of our current knowledge is based on observations made in these open flames, the effects of buoyancy are usually not included in data interpretation, numerical analysis or theories. This inconsistency remains an obstacle to merging experimental observations and theoretical predictions. To better understanding the effects of buoyancy, our research focuses on steady lean premixed flames propagating in fully developed turbulence. We hypothesize that the most significant role of buoyancy forces on these flames is to influence their flowfields through a coupling with mean and fluctuating pressure fields. Changes in flow pattern alter the mean aerodynamic stretch and in turn affect turbulence fluctuation intensities both upstream and downstream of the flame zone. Consequently, flame stabilization, reaction rates, and turbulent flame processes are all affected. This coupling relates to the elliptical problem that emphasizes the importance of the upstream, wall and downstream boundary conditions in determining all aspects of flame propagation. Therefore, buoyancy has the same significance as other parameters such as flow configuration, flame geometry, means of flame stabilization, flame shape, enclosure size, mixture conditions, and flow conditions.

Cheng, R. K.↗

Latent Heating Retrievals Using the TRMM Precipitation Radar: A Multi-Seasonal Study

The Goddard Convective-Stratiform Heating (CSH) algorithm is used to retrieve profiles of latent heating over the global tropics for a period of several months using TRMM precipitation radar data. The seasonal variation of heating over the tropics is then examined. The period of interest also coincides with several TRMM field campaigns that recently occurred over the South China Sea in 1998 (SCSMEX), Brazil in 1999 (TRMM-LBA), and in the central Pacific in 1999 (KWAJEX). Sounding diagnosed Q1 budgets from these experiments could provide a means of validating the retrieved profiles of latent heating from the CSH algorithm.

Tao, W.-K.↗

Observations of Geographically Correlated Orbit Errors of TOPEX/POSEIDON

We have compared GPS-based dynamic and reduced-dynamic TOPEX/POSEIDON orbits over a 10 day period beginning March 10,1993. The results suggest that the prelaunch gravity model (JGM-1) introduces geographically correlated errors which, when projectd on a mean sea survase, have a storng meridional dependence.

TOPEX/POSEIDON↗

Acoustic Detection of Faults and Degradation in a High-Bypass Turbofan Engine during VIPR Phase III Testing

The Vehicle Integrated Propulsion Research (VIPR) Phase III project was executed at Edwards Air Force Base, California, by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration and several industry, academic, and government partners in the summer of 2015. One of the research objectives was to use external radial acoustic microphone arrays to detect changes in the noise characteristics produced by the research engine during volcanic ash ingestion and seeded fault insertion scenarios involving bleed air valves. Preliminary results indicate the successful acoustic detection of suspected degradation as a result of cumulative exposure to volcanic ash. This detection is shown through progressive changes, particularly in the high-frequency content, as a function of exposure to greater cumulative quantities of ash. Additionally, detection of the simulated failure of the 14th stage stability bleed valve and, to a lesser extent, the station 2.5 stability bleed valve, to their fully-open fail-safe positions was achieved by means of spectral comparisons between nominal (normal valve operation) and seeded fault scenarios.

noise spectra↗

The Silfela Mission to the Aristarchus Plateau, Moon

Silfela is a low-cost lunar PRISM mission concept designed to study the regolith proper-ties of the Aristarchus Plateau on the Moon (Fig. 1). The mission will make use of the PRISM mobility capability (rover) to assess regoliths in different geo-logical units. The instrument suite consists of the SPARTA regolith sampling toolkit, the NIRVSS imager/spectrometer, the NSS neutron spectrometer [4], context cameras, and a high-resolution hand-lens imager. “Silfela” is a word from the fictional Qenya language which means “small lunar excavation.”

L. S. Sollitt↗

The Effect of Deep, Tropical Convection on the Tropical Tropopause Layer

There is evidence that most convective detrainment occurs below 355-K potential temperature (14 km). On the other hand, it is also generally accepted that convection does occasionally reach the altitude of the tropopause, typically approx. 16 km, or higher. The question is whether the relatively infrequent penetrations above 14 km are sufficient to influence the composition of the atmosphere above 14 km. Using measurements of O3 and CO as tracers of convective activity, I quantify the height distribution of mass detraining from convection near the tropopause by means of a simple mixing model similar to those used to calculate mixing into the stratospheric "tropical pipe". I calculate that significant detrainment from convection is occurring as high as approx. 380 K (16 km), an altitude typical of the tropopause. Further, I calculate that as much as 40% of the mass crossing the 380-K surface at this time detrained above 370 K. I conclude that the "mixing barrier" at 14 km is more porous than previously thought.

Dessler, A. E.↗

Development of k{sub eff} in the unfolding process of the LOTUS reactor design

An innovative small thermal reactor concept named LOTUS, which is a pool-type reactor aimed at heat supply. The passive concept applied in the LOTUS and it has a separable core. It means that its core can passively unfold into four parts along its central axis only with the buoyancy and gravity when some accidents happen, especially the wall rupture of the pool caused by earthquake, aircraft impact and so on. This idea can effectively enhance the ability of pool-type reactor for resisting some severe accidents. We have executed some pre-computations in order to check a non-supercritical system for the transient simulation. In this paper, the development of k{sub eff} have been calculated by both stepwise steady-state and transient modes using Serpent, as well as including some sensitivity analyses about the k{sub eff} to unfolding velocity, inserting velocity of control rod (CR) and time step. The result showed that k{sub eff} value decreased definitely as the reactor unfolded and the consistent change exposed between the stepwise steady state and transient result when the unfolding angle varied from 0 to 1 degree. However, the stepwise steady state k{sub eff} negatively declined after that angle, which demonstrated that for such a dynamic unfolding change the transient mode was more suitable, peculiarly for considering delayed neutrons and neutron moderation. For sensitivity calculation, the k{sub eff} decreased more rapidly as the unfolding velocity and inserting velocity of CR increased, and a smaller time step corresponded to a more stable change. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

A comparison of machine learning methods to classify radioactive elements using prompt-gamma-ray neutron activation data

The detection of illicit radiological materials is critical to establishing a robust second line of defence in nuclear security. Neutron-capture prompt-gamma activation analysis (PGAA) can be used to detect multiple radioactive materials across the entire Periodic Table. However, long detection times and a high rate of false positives pose a significant hindrance in the deployment of PGAA-based systems to identify the presence of illicit substances in nuclear forensics. In the present work, six different machine-learning algorithms were developed to classify radioactive elements based on the PGAA energy spectra. The model performance was evaluated using standard classification metrics and trend curves with an emphasis on comparing the effectiveness of algorithms that are best suited for classifying imbalanced datasets. We analyse the classification performance based on Precision, Recall, F1-score, Specificity, Confusion matrix, ROC-AUC curves, and Geometric Mean Score (GMS) measures. The tree-based algorithms (Decision Trees, Random Forest and AdaBoost) have consistently outperformed Support Vector Machine and K-Nearest Neighbours. Based on the results presented, AdaBoost is the preferred classifier to analyse data containing PGAA spectral information due to the high recall and minimal false negatives reported in the minority class.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Mass Detection for Heavy-Duty Vehicles using Gaussian Belief Propagation

Predicting vehicle mass is critical to accurately estimate energy use and emissions of commercial trucks. However, data from vehicle telematics is often not at sufficient temporal resolution or accuracy for use in model-based detection methods. In this work, a new statistical mass prediction technique is described for heavy-duty vehicles that incorporates the use Gaussian Belief Propagation (GBP) for probabilistic inference. Similar to Bayesian inference models, the GBP model typically requires less labeled training data than other contemporary machine learning techniques. First, a factor graph is constructed, and a set of Gaussian belief nodes with associated means and variances are fitted to the training data. To better handle noisy input data, the GBP mass prediction model utilizes a k-nearest factors (kNF) algorithm for probabilistic inference on unseen testing data. The proposed method is compared with a classical weighted k-nearest neighbors (kNN) regressor. This statistical kNF-GBP model works even with low-quantity, low-quality initial training data, while being capable of realtime mass estimation. Unlike the kNN regressor, the GBP model produces a measure of uncertainty with its predictions. The proposed method is validated using curve-sampled driving data collected from multiple cloud-connected Class 8 regional haul diesel trucks. Both the kNN regressor and the kNF-GBP mass prediction model were able to predict payload mass with coefficients of determination above 0.97 with minimal data preprocessing.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

X-Ray Spectroscopic Studies of X-Pinch Plasmas with 3-5 Picosecond Resolution: A Quest for Clear Experimental Evidence for Radiative Collapse in the X-ray Spectra (Final Report)

Dense Z-pinch plasmas produced from current-carrying exploding wires frequently produce very brief (less than 0.1 nanosecond), intense, bursts of soft X-rays from tiny (about 1 micrometer), very hot (10-30 million K) regions of the plasma. This project addresses the physical processes that lead to those tiny, high-energy density plasmas and develops means to measure the conditions just before and during the X-ray bursts. One possible relevant process is radiative collapse, which starts if the power radiated by a dense Z-pinch, proportional to the density-squared, exceeds the resistive heating rate from the current flow, thereby cooling the plasma and enabling the magnetic pinching force to exceed the outward plasma thermal pressure. As the resulting radius reduction further increases the radiation rate, this process produces a runaway magnetic implosion. A competing mechanism is a sausage-like instability that can develop in a Z-pinch plasma at a lower current than is needed to induce radiative collapse. This mechanism can also produce tiny hot spots in the neck regions of the sausage-shaped plasma column. It is also possible that these two mechanisms work together to produce the X-ray emitting hot spots. If radiative collapse does contribute to hot spot formation, it would be terminated when the plasma becomes so dense that the radiation cannot escape, enabling the plasma kinetic pressure to build up and stop the current-driven implosion. This project aims to study the development of the hot spots by means of high temporal and spatial resolution X-ray spectroscopy to determine if there is evidence for the presence of the radiative collapse mechanism. Progress toward this goal is presented. To summarize, during the four-year period 09/15/2017 - 9/14/2021, we have collected necessary spectroscopic data to determine the plasma conditions and continue to do so. We are also now in the process of calibrating diagnostic systems (especially the x-ray streak camera system) and analyzing data to determine plasma conditions as a function of time before, during and after the X-ray burst.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Evaluating the 238 U PFNS Including Chi-Nu Experimental Data

This report documents an evaluation of 238 U prompt fission neutron spectra (PFNS) which is a deliverable for a FY2024 Q4 NCSP (Nuclear Criticality Safety Program) milestone. This evaluation is new; its prior input is based on extended Los Alamos and exciton models implemented in the code CoH. Experimental covariances were estimated for five experimental data sets. One of these data sets that was measured by the Chi-Nu team of LANL and LLNL. It covers the 238 U PFNS for continuous incident-neutron energies of 1–20 MeV and outgoing-neutron energies from 10 keV– 10 MeV with high precision. Contrary to Chi-Nu data, previous data sets were measured in a limited energy range. The resulting evaluated data correspond well to the experimental PFNS taken into account for the evaluation. The evaluated PFNS also produce average mean energies in agreement with associated Chi-Nu data. If one uses the new evaluated data to predict the neutron multiplication factor, k eff , of the Flattop, Flattop-Pu and BigTen ICSBEP critical assemblies (which all have thick reflectors with high percentages of 238 U), the differences of simulated values compared to those using ENDF/B-VIII.1β3 is modest (less than 25 pcm). In addition to that, the new PFNS predict on average 238 U LLNL pulsed-sphere neutron-leakage spectra slightly better than ENDF/BVIIII.0 and ENDF/B-VIII.1β3 PFNS. The differences are, however, well within the experimental uncertainties.

238U↗

Estimating Compressional Velocity and Bulk Density Logs in Marine Gas Hydrates Using Machine Learning

Compressional velocity (Vp) and bulk density (ρb) logs are essential for characterizing gas hydrates and near-seafloor sediments; however, it is sometimes difficult to acquire these logs due to poor borehole conditions, safety concerns, or cost-related issues. We present a machine learning approach to predict either compressional Vp or ρb logs with high accuracy and low error in near-seafloor sediments within water-saturated intervals, in intervals where hydrate fills fractures, and intervals where hydrate occupies the primary pore space. We use scientific-quality logging-while-drilling well logs, gamma ray, ρb, Vp, and resistivity to train the machine learning model to predict Vp or ρb logs. Of the six machine learning algorithms tested (multilinear regression, polynomial regression, polynomial regression with ridge regularization, K nearest neighbors, random forest, and multilayer perceptron), we find that the random forest and K nearest neighbors algorithms are best suited to predicting Vp and ρb logs based on coefficients of determination (R2) greater than 70% and mean absolute percentage errors less than 4%. Given the high accuracy and low error results for Vp and ρb prediction in both hydrate and water-saturated sediments, we argue that our model can be applied in most LWD wells to predict Vp or ρb logs in near-seafloor siliciclastic sediments on continental slopes irrespective of the presence or absence of gas hydrate.

Naim, Fawz↗

Method of simultaneous measurement of radiative and lattice thermal conductivity.

A new technique of high-temperature thermal-conductivity measurement is described. A CO2 gas laser is used to generate a low-frequency temperature wave at one face of a small disk-shaped sample, and an infrared detector views the opposite face to detect the phase of the emerging radiation. A mathematical expression is derived which enables phase data at several frequencies to be used for the simultaneous determination of thermal diffusivity and mean extinction coefficient. Lattice and radiative thermal conductivities are then calculated. Test results for sintered aluminum oxide at temperatures from 530 to 1924 K are within the range of error of previously existing data.

Schatz, J. F.↗